As forecast last week, price is set into motion, jumping towards probability levels: 1 - High = 260.00 2 - Moderate = 270.50 and 3 - Low = 285.22 Background geometry acting as the principal engine. The larger picture remains under bears control (see prior analysis here: ) David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Denver, Colorado -...
Predictive/Forecasting Model refined the original target from 1.44396 (defined on April 10th) to now the following qualitative targets: 1 - TG-Lo = 1.45041 - 21 APR 2015 and 2 - TG-Lox = 1.44341 - 21 APR 2015 For the record, following is the former target: (Source: ) From a market geo viewpoint, a nascent geometry is likely to cap the current rally to a...
Geometry had to be modified from its original plotting (see it here: ). Modification pertained to a more complex 2-3 and 3-4 leg developments into deeper zig-zags. As indicated before, the 2-3 leg is typically the longest, most complex - This re-adjustment only reflects this point. There is no attempted Predictive/Forecasting Model for at the moment, so as...
Predictive/Forecasting Model's target defined last March 10th as 1.93154 is coming near. The background geometry continues to support this development as well. Consider a significant pushback, or probable reversal at that level. David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Denver, Colorado - USA ----- Twitter: @4xForecaster LinkedIn: David...
Predictive/Forecasting Model defined bearish qualitative target as: TG-Lo = 1.31707 - 21 APR 2015. Background geometry continues to develop into credible decline continuation. Extent of ectopic Point-5 as 5-prime (5') also remains attainable relative to above forecast. David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Denver, Colorado -...
Large geometry completed at Point-5. Waiting to cross > level of point-3 is the prudent, time consumptive part of this long consideration. Look for discreet overhead resistance as shown. Bulls are coming in force. Predictive/Forecasting Model will likely churn a precise target level. David Alcindor Predictive Analysis/Forecasting Denver, Colorado -...
Watch for significant support at 1.06298/1.06241 range. Pattern reciprocity is highly probable at respective 5-second (5") positions. David Alcindor Predictive Analysis & Forecasting Denver, Colorado - USA ----- Twitter: @4xForecaster LinkedIn: David Alcindor ----- More Advanced Market Geos here:
Following is a step-by-step demonstration of my own approach to Wolfe Waves detection, analysis and trading application. This does not constitute or represent Mr. Bill Wolfe's lesson on his namesake pattern, the Wolfe Wave (www.WolfeWave.com). $EURGBP - H4 Chart: Instead, it represents my own interpretation based on a preceding interest in occult market...
Friends, Price is likely to encounter a significant support at 1445.00. Breaking of that floor opens price to the following Predictive/Forecasting Model's target: - TG-Lo = 1089.93 - 10 APR 2015 This would only represent a smaller aperture to the prior analysis done over this following chart: Source of predictive analysis and forecasting: This chart...
Friends, The Dollar Index is currently facing a significant, but discreet hurdle at 98.39. A break above 98.66 would indicate further headway towards the bearish entrenchment, defined by 99.49/99.91 range. Predictive Analysis and Forecasting Model offers a limited upside potential given this first hurdle condition met, with a nominal/qualitative target defined...
Friends, This will remain a very short post. If you recall, last year, i released a long-term bearish signal, defining one numerical target and one nominal target (see today's dated technical note on "Predictive/Forecasting Model - Definition" in this thread: for more on the significance of these distinct targets). This DAILY chart shows older targets,...
Looking at following potential interim development: 1 - background geometry to 1-4 Line 2 - Range: 1.89098 to 1.89610 Expecting further decline based on predictive/forecasting model, aiming for following bearish target: - TG-Lo = 1.79707 - 20 MAR 2015 OVERALL: Background geometry is likely to contain price subdued to range defined above....
05 MAR 2015 - Tech-Note: Friends, A quick explanation of what TG-Hi, Lo and TG-Hix and TG-Lox are - Cut/pasted from a private message: WHAT ARE TG-Hi/Lo; HOW DO THEY COMPARE TO TG-Hix/Lox? ---------------------------------- TG-Hi and TG-Lo are are named target, as opposed to numbered target, hence called nominal target. Nominal targets represent a...
PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING SYSTEM: 1 - 575.65 - 27 FEB 2015 and 2 - 405.95 - 27 FEB 2015 SIMPLE MARKET GEOMETRIES: Large simple symmetrical a-b = c-d patterns aim for similar vicinity. 1 - The largest in light blue projects into the Model's range of 575.65 to 405.95 2 - The smallest in light purple projects slight above the Model's first target of...
Bearish bias prevails at this point PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: - Numerical Targets: 1 - TG-1 = 1.21656 - 25 FEB 2015 and 2 - TG-2 = 1.17984 - 25 FEB 2015 - Nominal Targets: 1 - TG-Lo = 1.15527 - 25 FEB 2015 and 2 - TG-Lox = 1.13517 - 25 FEB 2015 STRUCTURAL TRADING: - Invalidation > 1.26965 - Strongest bearish resistance @ 1.26234 - See "Market Geo"...
Friends, PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: Predictive/forecasting model signals a nominal target attainment at TG-Lo = 0.73344, implying a high-probability reversal at this precise level. This target was defined today - There was no prior target defined at this level, so not a "Target Hit" announcement. MARKET GEOMETRY: The background geometry supporting this...
Friends, GEOPOLITICAL SHIFTS: The relative strength between pricing of oil on an international vs. US domestic bases illustrates quite well the geopolitical changes that have occurred in the oil-producing theaters, not only from disruption of supply in the middle east - likely causing the shift fron under-to-above parity (purple line) around 2009, as well as...
Looking at the majors in e-mini Forex, here is a quick synopsis of potential price action - Black levels are model-based R/S level projection; Colors are TG-Hi/Lo in red and TG-Hix/Lox in purple. $EUR vs. $USD: Expected to lose ground against USD. A hard structure stands at 1.1538 to invalidate this bearish outlook. In opposite, a softer ground at 1.1267 would...