Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #11 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #11
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What is Fundamental Analysis? -
Fundamental analysis is a method of determining a market’s “real value” or "fair market" value through the collection and examination of financial and economic information. Information gathered may include financial metrics which identify business drivers of the market, and could involve financial modeling of the market.
Fundamental analysts search for markets that are currently trading at prices that are higher or lower than what is expected to be their fair market value. If the fair market value is calculated to be higher than the market price, the market is deemed to be undervalued and could be considered to be bought. Conversely, if the fair market value is calculated to be lower than the market price, the market is deemed to be overvalued and could be considered to be sold.
What is Technical Analysis? -
Technical analysis is a method employed to evaluate a market and identify trading opportunities with a focus on inputs that include price and/or volume. Various financially based calculations and statistical models are commonly employed to derive price trends and patterns based upon which trading decisions are made.
Technical analysts believe past trading activity and price changes of a market could be valuable indicators of a market’s future price movements.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS -
Common application of financial market instruments for managing risk and opportunities.
Portfolio Diversification
Portfolio diversification is the process of investing your money in different asset classes and securities in order to minimize the overall risk of the portfolio.
For both corporate and individual investors, having access to markets that enable the building of a diversified portfolio is an important consideration when managing futures focused accounts.
Similar to managing risk, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each.
For example, the parameters for a price driven strategy may be designed to be applied to any market whether it be index equity futures or forex futures. However, the signals for entry may not always trigger if a trader were just to focus on a single index equity futures such as the Micro MSCI Europe Index futures. Having access to other futures markets, such as the Mini Onshore Renminbi/US Dollar Futures, can introduce both a foreign currency and Asian element to a portfolio. This allows for the creation of a diversified portfolio with varying entry and exit points, or the ability for more trading oriented investors, increased opportunities to execute price driven strategies more often across a range of futures markets.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Technical Analysis
The Element of Time - The Most Underrate Technical Analysis ToolMarket timing is an essential tool whether you're a day-trader, portfolio manager and/or long-term investor. I present to you the most underrated technical analysis tool in the space of retail trading. The purpose of this short educational webinar is to open your eyes to something you don't hear about abundantly because it is the most disregarded aspect of trading in my opinion.
As an intraday trader, my main focus is on the speculation of "the next daily candle". However, I first analyze and project on "the next weekly candle". Each weekly candle is broken into 5 individual daily candles, and each daily candle is broken down into 3 main market sessions - namely, Asia, London & New York Session.
You'll find that my main focus in this lesson is on the day in which you find a lower / upper wick being created on the weekly candle. More often than not, "Tuesday" typically forms the low of a bullish weekly candle, and the high of a bearish weekly candle.
Watch the lesson entirely, take notes, but most importantly, let it open up the opportunity for you to exponentially elevate your trading skillset.
The Most Underrated Technical Analysis Tool - Element of Time !Market timing is an essential tool whether you're a day-trader, portfolio manager and/or long-term investor. I present to you the most underrated technical analysis tool in the space of retail trading. The purpose of this short educational webinar is to open your eyes to something you don't hear about abundantly because it is the most disregarded aspect of trading in my opinion.
As an intraday trader, my main focus is on the speculation of "the next daily candle". However, I first analyze and project on "the next weekly candle". Each weekly candle is broken into 5 individual daily candles, and each daily candle is broken down into 3 main market sessions - namely, Asia, London & New York Session.
You'll find that my main focus in this lesson is on the day in which you find a lower / upper wick being created on the weekly candle. More often than not, "Tuesday" typically forms the low of a bullish weekly candle, and the high of a bearish weekly candle.
I encourage you to mark out the Open of your week, and highlight the swing point on the Tuesday of each week. I promise, you'll start implementing the "Element of Time" in your trading toolbox.
Of course this is not a standalone tool, however is helps greatly with the determination of your weekly directional bias. It will also assist with your trade and risk management.
It is to up to you to put the work in and infer whatever information you can from this little teaser of an illustration.
Let this open up the opportunity for you to exponentially elevate your trading skillset.
Lines, trendlines and channelsLines are one-dimensional figures that extend endlessly into a future and which connect the price segments on a chart. They are often used to determine a trend and particular support and resistance levels. Lines are easy to draw and use as technical tools. Over time, lines became implemented into various trading systems such as Andrews' Pitchfork and Gann Fan Lines. However, lines have countless more uses. For example, lines can be used to section particular parts of a price pattern. Additionally, they can be used to draw horizontal support and resistance levels. Lines also find utility in measuring the speed of the price ascend or descend. Furthermore, they can be deployed in various trading strategies and used to identify a trend.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of Microsoft Corporation stock. A simple dashed line (white) measures the percentual decline between 22nd November 2021 and 8th March 2022.
Trendline
The trendline is a simple line that connects prices across a chart. It reflects a primary trend in the prices of stocks, commodities, etc. Trendlines can be used to construct channels and numerous different bodies. In addition to that, trendlines can also act as resistance or support.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows Lockheed Martin stock on the daily chart. It also shows the trendline (white) pointed to the upside as it cuts through a substantial portion of lows.
Channels
Channel can be constructed by two parallel trendlines, which act as support and resistance levels. A channel can be sloped upward or downward depending on the general trend of prices. When a channel is correctly determined and drawn, the price often moves between the two boundaries. However, occasional breakouts occur. As a result, they establish a new trend or validate a current one once the price returns to a channel.
Illustration 1.03
The image above shows the daily chart of gold. The channel (white lines/boundaries) can be observed as well. False breakout took place on 27th January 2022. However, the price retraced back into the channel on 9th February 2022.
Resistance and support levels
Often, a line or trendline acts as a particular support or resistance level. The function of these two levels is to halt price rise or decline. Typically, it is considered bullish when resistance is penetrated to the upside. Contrarily, when support fails to hold selling pressure and breaks, it is usually a bearish sign. Resistance and support can be drawn by a simple horizontal line. However, resistance and support can be at a slope. That is common, for example, for channels in a strong uptrend or downtrend. Generally, the significance of support or resistance grows with an increasing number of successful halts being put to a price rise or decline.
Illustration 1.04
Illustration 1.04 portrays the daily chart of Bitcoin. Major support and resistance levels are indicated by white horizontal lines. The first top also acts as the resistance of utmost significance as the price previously halted its rise at this level.
Speed lines
Speed lines are three consecutive lines used to estimate future support and resistance levels. In an uptrend, speed lines are constructed by creating a box connecting a low point in the lower-left corner and a high point in the upper-right corner. Next, a vertical line connecting these two points is sectioned at each third and in the middle. Then a speed line is drawn from the actual low in the lower-left corner through the right side of a box where sections were marked. These speed lines are extended into the future and considered to estimate natural support and resistance levels. Modern techniques include creating speed lines, such as sectioning a box according to Fibonacci ratio numbers.
Illustration 1.05
The picture above shows Tesla stock on the daily chart. It also shows the unconventional construction of speed lines from a box cut into four equal sections.
Disclaimer: This content serves solely educational purposes.
Big snapper scalping indicatorThe big snapper indicator gives buy and sell recommendations based on the current trend in the market measured by 3 different moving average (fast, medium, slow). I therefore encourage you to try it out if you are still struggling to build a strategy. Entry and exist rule is explained in the video.
NB. This video is made for educational purposes only and not an investment advice
What is Flag pattern and how to trade with that?Flag Pattern (Bullish)
* One of the most common patterns of price trend continuation is the FLAG pattern. How to identify this pattern? How to use it in trading most effectively?I will cover it all through this post.
* The Flag pattern is a type of price pattern in bullish trends. This pattern consists of a strong increase (called a flagpole), followed by a countertrend with two levels of Resistance and Support (called flags). The price forms this pattern after a strong increase. It then breaks out of the Resistance and continues rising, marking the end of the pattern. This is a very common behavior of prices during an uptrend.
* After breaking out of the Resistance, the price can retest this new Support.
How to open an order :
Entry Point : Right after the candlestick breaks out of the Resistance.
Stop-Loss : At the bottom of the price channel (the lowest point of the support).
Target : At the price whose, from the entry point, the length is equal to the length of the flagpole.
* In the future, we will publish other patterns such as Triangle, head and shoulders, wedge and other educational materials 📚 . Please follow our page to be informed as soon as the materials are published.
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Why Do You Need a Trading Plan?📝
If you want to become a consistently profitable trader you have two choices:
1️⃣strictly follow your trading plan
or
2️⃣fail.
Trading plan is essential for achieving your financial goals.
It is a set of actions to follow for making trading decisions
guiding you on how to react to certain events.
It reflects your personality and characteristics.
Moreover, its entire structure and content are primarily based on them.
Your way to success will be full of obstacles.
A lot of things will come in your way:
losses, drawdowns, and losing streaks;
mistakes, scams, and emotional decisions.
Only your trading plan will show you a correct path, it ensures you will stay on track on your journey to your desired destination.
When you make a wrong turn, it knows to make adjustments, and it points you back in the right direction.
It is your guard from making any hurried decisions you could later regret.
Trading without a trading plan wouldn’t be a smart idea. You wouldn’t know how to get to your destination and it’s highly likely that you get lost.
Most importantly, if you suck at trading (and you certainly will in the beginning), you will know it is down to one of only two reasons: either there’s a problem in your trading plan or you are not sticking to your trading plan.
Stick to your plan traders. "If you fail to plan, you plan to fail".
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Chart Analysis is not a gambling! Reason why TA is greatHello traders. This is Tommy.
Today, I prepared the most basic and at the same time essential materials that every trader should know. Trading is literally the act of exchanging or trading something with a certain value. If we look at the history, we humans have always traded something within the social community from the Neolithic Age to develop into a better civilization or for individual survival when we have enough food or assets. When the surplus accumulation and self-sufficiency economy due to food production was formed, even before the concept of currency or money, buying and selling (trading) was always with us.
But when we trade, it is not a reasonable thing to do if we lose money when you buy or sell something, right? We humans have always traded at a value or price that is commensurate with supply and demand, within this immutable fence. And we, who are full of greed, have been trading in such a way as to somehow benefit ourselves a little bit more. In a way, I think this is the basic idea of capitalism.
Anyway, our ancestors naturally oriented trades for profit, sometimes seeing losses and sometimes profits through these transactions. And suddenly realized. “Ah, the quantity demanded, and the quantity supplied change over time. Because of this, all objects in this world, even abstract ones, change in value over time. Oh, I can make money if I use this well?”
A culture of profit taking has naturally been formed thanks to those who possess the temperament of smart entrepreneurs. In this way, the economy and financial markets were eventually born, and several market participants came in for the sole purpose of generating profits, that is, for investment purposes. People who have properly understood the market principle of supply and demand have been trading with certain standards to make money with it. Some people can trade by the weather (buy when it's sunny, sell when it's raining), some by rolling the dice (buy when it's high, sell when it's low), and someone just by feeling. Of course, economists studied after realizing that trading on unreliable and absurd standards would eventually destroy them. And realized it. “Ah, let’s find the right standard to set the standard. From what I've seen so far, does it make money by trading based on the information about the product and the value of the product that changes every moment? Let’s dig into it properly!”
And they created a great science. Analysis through information, Fundamental Analysis (FA), analysis through charts, that is, past transaction data, and Technical Analysis (TA: Technical Analysis).
FA is an analysis method that determines whether a product's current intrinsic value is overvalued or undervalued. For example, when we want to invest in a company, that is, if we want to buy shares or stocks in that company, we must first estimate the company's growth potential and potential, right? To do this, you must make a final investment decision by referring to the company's financial indicators, good news/bad news, past asset/revenue growth rates, etc.
On the other hand, TA is a method of making investment decisions by referring to various theories and indicators with meaning in charts that intuitively show past price movements and momentum.
Of course, it would be the best to do both FA and TA, but in these days, retail traders and individual investors, like us, have time/technical limitations to receive information, analyze it, and immediately reflect it in investment. It is not enough that there are various kinds of false information to deceive the traders, and even if it is reliable information, it is highly likely to start at a loss even if it is received a little later than others. It is useful to spot large market trends in the long run, but when this information reaches the public, it is likely that it has already been priced in by institutions (Big Parties). Without huge information power or a computer that can perform FA quickly and accurately, it is difficult to survive in this market with only FA. There is a risk that is too great to carry out an investment with only one FA standard.
Therefore, to make a successful investment decision, you need to find a more precise trading position through TA, and in the end, if you are a skilled investor, you must learn TA.
The dictionary meaning of TA is known as a technique for predicting future market trends by examining a tool called a chart that digitizes the overall price volatility and momentum of a product. I'm someone who doesn't fully agree with this meaning. The term “prediction” itself is a very dangerous word. Even the most talented investors in the world cannot predict future prices unless they are gods. Technical analysis is closer to the realm of response than prediction. For this reason, our traders look at the charts and always have various possible scenarios in mind and come up with appropriate countermeasures accordingly.
With less than 10 years of trading experience, if I dared to define the meaning of the term technical analysis, I would like to say: Personally, all TAs are based on historical data, and through various theories (or methodologies) and technical indicators, first, probabilistically identify the market trend, that is, whether the price is an upward trend or a downward trend, and then determine the price action, that is, support resistance. I think it is an analysis technique that derives the sections with high probability.
Some of you may have questions like this. “No, how do you find a trend and price action interval by looking at only historical data?”
This is the reason I fell in love with market analysis. This study called technical analysis is a technique that statistically patterned and quantified the psychology of investors (greed, doubt, fear, etc.) with a lot of data from the past. Surprisingly, external variables that can affect the market, such as good news/bad news, are also reflected in this probabilistically. There have been many times when I have felt the greatness of technical analysis, and there were many times when good news/bad news came out amazingly at just the right timing in situations where there was no choice but to rise or fall referring to the chart. Of course, there are situations where Big Parties leak news to the media to take advantage of popular psychology, but even the pattern, timing, or frequency of such good news and bad news is reflected in the study of technical analysis.
Anyway, once you have probabilistically derived the market trend and price action section through TA, you need to design a trading strategy according to the situation. There are words that I keep emphasizing like nagging. Just looking at the charts doesn't mean you're good at trading. This trading strategy includes how to structure the portfolio, how to design the profit/loss ratio/range, how much seed to enter, high/low multiplier, and how to set up profit/loss response strategies.
In addition, a well-designed principled strategy is essential to prevent non-thinking trading. This principled strategy is easy to design, but incredibly difficult to follow and implement. No matter how well technical analysis and trading strategies are formulated, these principles are of no use if they are not well designed or adhered to. There are individual differences, but honestly, I don't think there is an answer to the principle strategy other than learning or mastering it through long-term practice or entrusting your own technical analysis/trading strategy to a machine/computer/algorithm. The fewer human emotions are involved, the higher the success rate, but how can you trade without emotions when your money is at stake? It's hard. One tip is to start trading with a small amount that you don't mind losing if you want to learn principle trading well. It doesn't matter if you lose it, so you'll be less empathetic that much, and you'll be able to increase a seed little by little.
We must become traders who always think of risks (losses) before rewards (returns). Please keep this word in mind. For example, in a trading setup that costs 10 million dollars if you make a profit and 10 million dollars if you lose, rather than a mindset like “Oh, I want to win 10 million dollars quickly~”, “I may lose 10 million dollars. You must trade with the mindset of “Let’s be prepared.” This will naturally match the seed to your bowl.
Then I'll wrap up for today.
Until now, this was Tommy of the Tommy Trading Team.
Your subscriptions, likes, and comments are a big help to me.
Thank you.
FOLLOW THE RAINBOWWhile technical analysis is usually NOT easy, once in a while it can be.
This chart - which shows the TOTAL MARKET CAP minus ETH & BTC - just so happens to be one of those rare cases, and some simple pattern recognition is all it requires to see the obvious similarities that exist between the two fractals/structures. Assuming the pattern holds, expect to see price bounce one more time within the final (purple) circle before...BLAST OFF.
What is going on in the markets? Aftermaths of Russian invasionRight after Russia declared war and started its military operations in Ukraine, the markets started going crazy. Investors started moving to "safe heaven" trades and sticking with "risk-off" securities.
GOLD (XAU/USD) is everyone's favourite to trade for the moment, as the price plummeted straight after the escalation of the war. It has experienced a growth of +4.5% so far, and it has more upside potential.
EUR/USD, having a strong negative correlation with GOLD, has endured a 200 pip drop so far, constituting a 1.8% dip. AUD/USD, GBP/USD and other highly correlated USD pairs have deteriorated as well.
BITCOIN, often claimed as "digital Gold", is still continuing its downside movements, experiencing a 12.6% drop in 24 hours.
Sticking to the safe heavens and riding the trend would be the best possibility right now. Also, remember to stay risk tolerant and cold-blooded, as the markets could get really volatile from time to time, taking into account the current situation.
Price Action Definition #2Price Action Definition #2
Hello My Dear Traders... I Am A New Trader... Not Too Long In The Game... But Just Starting Out On Social Media To Help Grow Myself As A Price Action Trader
I Am New To Trading View And I Am Hoping That I Can Fit Right In And Hopefully Make Some Great Educational & Analytical Content With Accurate And Understandable Information... Thank You
Price Action Trading Is My Way Of Trading... And I Just Wanted To Share Some Information On This Great Trading Style Of Trading The Markets Using Past Historical Price Movement And Data
As A Price Action Trader It Is Crucial That You Learn To Read & Understand What The Candlesticks On The Chart In Front Of You Are Saying.
You Need To Remember That The Market Leaves Clues And These Clues Are Somewhere Hidden In The Chaos / Confusion And Noise Of The Market...
Price Action Is A Form Of Technical Analysis... And It's Main Focus Is On The Relationship Of A Market's Current / Recent And Most Importantly Past Price Action / Price Movements
When It Comes To Price Action... The Candlesticks And Bars That Are Printed On The Charts Help To Play A Very Important Role In The Market And Also In Your Interpretation Of What Is On The Charts.
You Need To Also Remember That Second-Hand Indicators And Price-Derived Indicators Are Especially Not Needed When Trading With Price Action And Your Specific Price Action Trading Strategy.
Think Of Those Printed Candlesticks On The Charts As First-Handed Market Data
Price Action Trading Analysis Gives The Trader The Opportunity To Make Sense Of What The Market's Price Movement Is Trying To Convey Through Patterns Or Price Action Signals And Price Action Setups...
This Is Why When You Are Trading With Price Action... You Must Have A Proper Price Action Trading Strategy That Has Been Previously Tested And Approved...
There Are Many Many Price Action Strategies Out There... You Just Need To Pick One - Learn It - Study It - And Understand Its Function And Process, And Most Of All Master It.
You Must Master Your Strategy... It Is Very Important That You So.
As A Price Action Trader... You Should Generally Be Concerned With The Last 3-6 Months Of The Market's Past Historical Price Action Data.
Last But Not Least... You Need To Remember That All Of The Price Action And Market Data That You See On A Chart Is A Result Of The Minds / Emotions And Attitudes Of Traders / Investors And Anyone Participating In The Everyday Cycle Of The Market And The Economy...
Hope You Enjoyed This Lesson... Please Stay Tuned For The Last And Final Part Of This Trading Lesson
Price Action Definition #1Price Action Definition #1
Hello My Dear Traders... I Am A New Trader... Not Too Long In The Game... But Just Starting Out On Social Media To Help Grow Myself As A Price Action Trader
I Am New To Trading View And I Am Hoping That I Can Fit Right In And Hopefully Make Some Great Educational & Analytical Content With Accurate And Understandable Information... Thank You
Price Action Trading Is My Way Of Trading... And I Just Wanted To Share Some Information On This Great Trading Style Of Trading The Markets Using Past Historical Price Movement And Data
Price Action Trading Is A Style Of Trading That Utilizes Price Movements Across A Specific Time Period
Price Action Traders Base Their Trading Decisions Off Of Price / Market Movements Rather Than On Market Indicators
Price Action Trading Ignores Other Means Of Analysis Such News / Economic Events And Fundamental Analysis That Tend To Influence The Movements Of The Markets
Price Action Traders Use Raw Price / Market Historical Data To Help Them Predict Future Price Movements And Market Direction. This In And Of Itself Is A Form Of Technical Analysis
As A Price Action Trader... your main concern is to know how to Read And Understand the movements of the Market. A Price Action Trader ignores all the fundamental factors that tend to influence the movements of the market.
Price Action Traders solely rely on Price Action Data And Past Historical Market Data to help them predict future Market Movements And Direction.
Price Action is the Movement Of Price And How Price Changes... which is the "Action" of price. Price Action is much easily observed in markets with High Liquidity And Volatility.
But any market where anything is Bought Or Sold will most certainly produce some kind of Price Action
Price Action Is A Great Way Of Trading...
It Has Been Around For Many Many Years And Has Been Used By Many Many Traders All Over The World For Many Decades...
As The Saying Goes... PRICE ACTION Is King
TYPES OF FIBONACCI's & WHEN TO USE THEM 📐📏
Hey traders,
In this article we will discuss two very popular Fibonacci tools:
Fibonacci retracement and extension.
1️⃣Fib.Retracement tool is applied to identify a completion point of a retracement leg within an impulse.
As you know price action has a zig-zag form.
For example, in a bullish trend, the price tends to set a higher high then retrace and set a higher low before going to the next highs.
In a bearish trend, the price tends to set a lower low and retrace to a lower high.
With retracement levels, we are trying to spot the point from where the next impulse in a bullish or bearish trend will initiate based on the last impulse leg.
Fib.levels that we will apply are:
✔️0.382
✔️0.5
✔️0.618
✔️0.786
The retracement levels will be drawn based on XA impulse leg.
From its low to high if the impulse is bullish
and from its high to low if the impulse is bearish.
From one of the above-mentioned levels, a trend-following movement will be expected.
One should apply different techniques to confirm the strength of one of these levels.
2️⃣Fib.Extension tool is applied to identify a completion point of the impulse.
In a bearish trend, the extension levels will indicate a potential level of the next lower low based on the length of the last bearish impulse.
Fib.levels that we will apply are:
✔️1.272
✔️1.414
✔️1.618
The extension levels will be drawn based on XA impulse leg.
From its low to high if the impulse is bullish
and from its high to low if the impulse is bearish.
From one of the above-mentioned levels, a retracement leg will initiate.
One should apply different techniques to confirm the strength of one of these levels.
Of course other ways of application Fib.Retracement and Extension levels exist. However, these two are the most common.
How do you use these levels?
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⭐ ZOOM OUT ⭐ ZOOM OUT
1️⃣ When preparing to take a trade, it is better to take a broad look at the charts.
2️⃣ Taking into account the higher time frame charts, makes you see the bigger picture of the market structure and have a better bias.
3️⃣ Analysis carried out on the daily (1D) and
four hour (4H) gives you "stronger entries" and reduces the chances of having false signals.
4️⃣ Of course there are different types of traders, and the SCALPERS would not want to stay long in the markets thus trading the smaller time frame. This can also be done with reference to higher time frame zones by scalping only when the market is around a strong reaction point from the higher time frames.
💥 ZOOM OUT
Beware False Breakouts! How To Spot Them...Investors should use basic Technical Analysis for powerful decision making. I see it as a challenge to demonstrate how useful knowledge of one simple pattern can be to identify price reversals. Recognizing this pattern and acting on it will save much money and headache!
Both traders and investors need to be on guard for false breakout reversals. Seeing this pattern in action can provide an excellent profit target, entry point, or prevent major drawdown!
In this video I look at examples in the Silver ETF AMEX:SLV , Spotify stock NYSE:SPOT , and Forex Euro/Dollar pair FX:EURUSD for false breakouts and what follows.
I am excited to make this video for my viewers and for Best of Us Investing!
MOVING AVERAGE | 4 Efficient Methods To Apply
Hey traders,
The moving average is one of the most popular technical indicators.
It is applied in stocks/forex/crypto trading and proved its high level of efficiency.
There are hundreds of trading strategies based on MA.
In this post, we will discuss the 4 most popular ways to apply the moving average.
1️⃣The first method is applied to identify the market trend.
While the price keeps trading above the MA, one considers the trend to be bullish and looks for buying opportunities.
Once the price starts trading below the MA, the trend is considered to be bearish and a trader is looking for shorting opportunities.
2️⃣The second method applies the combination of 2 MA's: preferably a long-term one and a short-term one.
The point is that once a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term MA, with high probability it signifies the initiation of a bullish trend.
Alternatively, a crossover of short-term and long-term MA's to the downside indicates a start of a bearish trend.
3️⃣The third method applies MA as a structure.
While the moving average is lying above the price, it is considered to be a dynamic resistance.
Staying below the price it serves as a strong dynamic support.
Perceiving MA as the structure, one applies that for trade entries.
4️⃣The fourth method is aimed to track the crossover of the moving average and the price.
The idea is that a bullish violation of the MA by the price gives an early signal for a possible trend reversal.
While a bearish breakout of the MA by the market indicates a highly probable bullish trend violation.
Backtest different MA's inputs and learn to apply that for predicting the future direction of the market and for trading it.
Do you use MA?
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How to Choose Which Pairs to Trade With - The Ultimate Guide!Everyone always asks when they start out "which pairs should I choose to trade with" as there is a long list of currencies. So let's break it down:
1. The currency market is the most liquid market place in the world, but that's not the case with ALL currencies. In fact, the US Dollar is involved in around 90% of all trades that occur in the market and therefore it's what we call the most "liquid". Liquidity refers to how easy it is to exchange assets into cash or vice versa. For example, the US Dollar has upwards of a trillion dollars a day in volume which translates to an unimaginable number of traders ready to buy or sell at any given price at any given time, so it's very easy to fill a trade at the amount and price you want. For a less liquid market, such as an altcoin in cryptocurrencies, the liquidity is a lot thinner which means it's not as easy to fill a trade at any given price. Trades are filled when your broker matches your buy order to a sell order(s) of equal amount. When the market orders to buy exceed the limit orders to sell at any given price, the broker will quote a higher price to attract sellers. If the market is liquid like the dollar, the price will move up a tick or so, but if the price is illiquid like an altcoin, it can run up several pips which is why crypto fluctuates so much. So what does this mean for me when I choose a currency pair? It means that the more exotic you get in your choice such as the USDZAR vs EURUSD, the more volatility, unpredictable and volatile trading conditions you will get. Since we use leverage in the currency markets, we want very liquid pairs and very predictable, stable market conditions which brings our currency pool to EUR, USD, GBP, JPY, AUD and Gold is good too.
2. You should not be trading every single variation of the currency list provided above. There is 0 point having both EURUSD AND GBPUSD or USDJPY, EURJPY AND GBPJPY on your list because of correlation. Correlation means these currencies will move together because in the real world currencies aren't exchanged in pairs, they are singular. When I want to make an investment in the U.S. or if I go an visit New York, I'm not going to the exchange counter asking can I sell my EURUSD currency... no, I sell my Euros and I buy USD in return. So since we know the USD is responsible for 90% of currency trades, if EURUSD is moving up it's a result of the USD being weak unless the Euro has had a signficant news event. In that case, GBPUSD will also move up with it. If you ever find yourself buying EU and selling GU at the same time, you'll lose that more often than not. The exact same happens with the Yen pairs.
3. AUD, CAD are commodity currencies whereby their value comes from the investment purposes their economies are pegged to. AUD is commodity rich in a lot of things so analysing conditions in the commodity markets will give you an idea of it's strength. CAD is based off oil and when oil is up, CAD will be up. So there's no point having Oil and Gold and all these other commodities open along with USDCAD, XAUUSD and XTIUSD.
Based on the above, we can wittle about 20 different signifcant currency options down to a handful of choices which are as follows
1. EURUSD or GBPUSD
2. USDJPY or EURJPY or GBPJPY
3. EURAUD or GBPAUD or AUDUSD
AND
4. USDCAD or EURCAD or GBPCAD
OR
5. XAUUSD and XTIUSD (oil)
You shouldn't really have more than 4 to 5 pairs that you know inside out being traded at any given time. If you are looking for more opportunities, branch out into indices such as the S&P or maybe BTC, both are correlated.
4 Harmonic Patterns Every Trader Should Know 📚
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss 4 phenomenally accurate harmonic patterns that you must know.
1️⃣The first and the simplest harmonic pattern is called ABCD pattern.
This pattern is based on 3 legs of a move:
✔️Initial impulse (bullish or bearish). AB leg
✔️Retracement leg with a completion point lying within the range of the initial impulse. BC leg.
✔️Second impulse with a completion point lying beyond the range of the initial impulse (it must have the same direction as the initial impulse). BD leg
Equal AB and CD legs indicate a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern.
❗️Please, note that the time horizon and the length of the impulses must be equal.
2️⃣The second harmonic pattern is called Gartley Pattern.
This pattern is based on 4 legs of a move and has a "W/M" shape form.
To identify a Harmonic Gartley Pattern we measure the retracement of B/C points with Fib. Retracement tool and extension of D point of a harmonic pattern with Fib. Extension tool:
✔️ - The retracement of B point should lie between 0.618 level and 0.786 level of XA leg (Fib. Retracement of XA)
*it can touch both 0.618 and 0.786
✔️ - The retracement of C point should lie between 0.618 level and 1.0 level of AB leg(Fib. Retracement of AB)
*it can touch both 0.618 and 1.0
✔️ - D point should lie strictly on 1.272 extension of AB leg (Fib. Extension of AB)
*it should strictly touch 1.272
Such a formation indicates a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern.
3️⃣The third harmonic pattern is called Bat Pattern.
This pattern is based on 4 legs of a move and has a "W/M" shape form.
To identify a Harmonic Bat Pattern we measure the retracement of B/C/D points of a harmonic pattern with Fib. Retracement tool:
✔️ - The retracement of B point should lie between 0.5 level and 0.618 level of XA leg (Fib. Retracement of XA)
*it can touch 0.5 but it can’t touch 0.618
✔️ - The retracement of C point should lie between 0.618 level and 1.0 level of AB leg(Fib. Retracement of AB)
*it can touch both 0.618 and 1.0
✔️ - The retracement of D point should lie strictly on 0.886 level of XA leg (Fib.Retracement of XA)
*it should strictly touch 0.886
Such a formation indicates a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern.
4️⃣The fourth harmonic pattern is called Cypher Pattern.
This pattern is based on 4 legs of a move and has a "W/M" shape form with C point lying beyond the range of XA leg.
To identify a Harmonic Cypher Pattern we measure the retracement of B point with Fib. Retracement tool and extension of C point with Fib. Extension tool:
✔️ - The retracement of B point should lie between 0.382 level and 0.618 level of XA leg (Fib. Retracement of XA)
*it can touch both 0.382 and 0.618
✔️ - The extension of C point should lie between 1.272 level and 1.414 level of XA leg(Fib. Extension of XA)
*it can touch both 1.272 and 1.414
✔️ - D point should lie strictly on 0.786 retracement of XC leg (Fib. Retracement of XC)
*it should strictly touch 0.786
Such a formation indicates a highly probable retracement from D point of the pattern.
🦉What is good about these patterns is the fact that they are objective.
Since each point of the pattern is measured with Fibonacci levels, one can avoid subjectivity.
Try harmonic pattern trading and you will see how efficient this strategy is.
Do you trade harmonic patterns?
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
CANDLESTICK PATTERN TRADING | Engulfing Candle 📚
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss a classic candlestick pattern formation each trader must know - the engulfing candle.
Key properties of this pattern:
🔑 Engulfing candle is a reversal pattern.
🔑 Engulfing candle can be bullish or bearish.
❗️Also, remember that this candle demonstrates the highest accuracy when it is formed on a key level (support or resistance).
⬆️Bullish Engulfing Candle usually forms after a strong bearish impulse.
Weakening, the market keeps going lower forming bearish candles.
However, at some moment, instead of forming a new bearish candle the market reverses. The price forms a bullish candle that engulfs the range of the previous bearish candle and closes above its opening price.
Such a candle we call a bullish engulfing candle.
The main feature of this pattern is the fact that its total range (distance from the wick high to wick low) & body range (distance from body open to body close) exceed the ranges of a previous bearish candle.
Being formed on a key support level or within a demand zone it signifies a highly probable pullback or even a trend reversal.
⬇️Bearish Engulfing Candle usually forms after a strong bullish move.
Reaching an overbought condition, the market keeps going higher forming bullish candles.
However, at some moment, instead of forming a new bullish candle the market goes in the opposite direction. The price forms a bearish candle that engulfs the range of the previous bullish candle and closes below its opening price.
Such a candle we call a bearish engulfing candle.
The main feature of this pattern is the fact that its total range (distance from the wick high to wick low) & body range (distance from body open to body close) exceed the ranges of a previous bullish candle.
Being formed on a key resistance level or within a supply zone it signifies a highly probable pullback or even a trend reversal.
📝Engulfing candle can be applied for scalping lower time frames, for intraday trading, or even for swing trading.
Personally, I apply this candle on daily/4h time frames as one of the confirmations of the strength of the structure level that I spotted.
Do you trade engulfing candle?
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
How To Trade Sideways Markets-When trading a sideways market, I simply buy low, sell high with confirmation.
-Some of my best trade setups occur in a sideways market.
-If price has respected a high or low 4x times then why not play the probability game and say "the previous 4x times price has came high on the range the sellers have taken control so next time I will play the probability game and look for shorts if price gives me evidence of sellers". same thing for when the price is low on the higher timeframe.






















