Impressive. Once 10Yr Yields begin to close over 1.545... 1.76 and then 2.12 - 2.26 will be on the way. It is remarkable how the Cult of 007s was winked by the likes of CNBC and Steve Vam Metre. Thank you 007s, as promised we took your Jing. 140 Puts are up nicely again. xoxo - Hunter Killer
Interest rates are going to crash commodity, stock prices and bonds.
Wedge for potential lower Fractal given for an idea of what to expect Fractal from 2H20 when reflation trade started
4100 held in May. Given the head and shoulders if we break lower here we'll revisit that support and the 200dma $SPY $SPX $VIX $QQQ $NDX $NQ_F $TLT $TNX $GLD $DXY #ElliottWave #Stocks #Trading 📉
Macro Observations As the Global Economy continues to weaken, DEBT is beginning to weigh heavily on the same. Inflations have many Vectors - Monetary, Fiscal, and Confidence. Throughout the history of the United States, the "Debt Ceiling" has always been a Glass Roof. At present, decades of abuse since the 1980s have come home to roost. The result of...
morning, tlt looks to have been in a prolonged triple 3 correction for this complex wave 4 triple 3's can be described as an area of re-accumulation by smart money, before the next mark up phase begins. after hitting the downside wave 4 algo target perfectly today, i do think the triple 3 has been completed. possible it hangs out around this range for a few more...
Book Clearing 9/27/2021 TLT Position Closures Today @ > 131.40 ZN Closing 100 x 152 Puts Closing 100 x 151 Puts Closing 100 x 150 Puts Open 100 x 151~ Open 100 x 149 Open 60 x 148 Open 60 x 147 Open 60 x 140 We will closely watch 145.24 Level for the Support Level, should it trade below the trade is cast to 139s with a minor retracement to SELL the ETF. Put...
Pay attention to the bond market folks... Break out of this triangle can see TLT move up to 157 if the projected target out of the triangle is reached..
Admittedly, the above Chart is Richly Busy. The Crux this is the true "Don't Fight The Fed" expression. Long Strong the Final Bond, with this upside breakout. NASDAQ:TLT
In the Kingdom of Wood Paneling TLT remains in a divdergent pattern as the Indicies continue their Downside Objectives. Bondies believe this is there Trump Card. Indy Sell, Bonds ON for Bid. Although this can true in the very short term, Wednesday will have a decidely different look and feel to it. It's good to see the usualy Baggies tossing their "Banter"...
When looking on the weekly the Federal reserve's QE in the bond market to reduce interest rates has resulted in manic rallies in gold. So much that any hint of rising rates like in the summer this year when bonds sold off resulting in steep declines in gold. Smart money says QE off will be stagflationary or deflationary. This trend is apparent in all equities...
Looking across the panel of leading indicators, it is starting to look as if something ominous is almost completed in building up and about to pop... The JNK High Yield bond ETF is hitting a resistance; The IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF is in a bind, unable to break out as MACD is crossing into bearish region; The TIPS Bond ETF is falling over; The VIX is about to...
Enraged Evergrande Investors weild Laterns and Pitchforks. The carnage for hostages provides a demonstration to our thesis for Banking and Bonds. Perhaps a soft default in October when the Government runs its tap dry temporarily. Further evidence, things are not well at all. The chart illustrates the First Accident 2020 Covid Event. The second, required YCC...
10Yr Yields declined as international Capital Flows began demanding dollars out of the fear as to what is occurring outside the USSA. Yields will remain under suppression due to YCC Interventions. It is axiomatic the Trade is contrary to the Vast Herd of Bond Buyers, master of the obvious type statements withstanding, We are opposing the TLT trade for the...
TLT continues to Wedge out into the Break Down. Althought the Yield Curve appears to be heading into an inversion into 2022, the Long End of the Curve remains in peril... Countdown to Depression is ticking into Q2-Q3 2022. Fed language and statements are beginning to shift into 2022 indicating they are off balance NOW. Volaility will increase well ahead of...
Expecting a pivotal day around October 15th, sending TLT lower and rates higher. Is that Taper coming ? China selling ? Who knows and who cares ?
I'm concerned of broad risk off possibilities between now and EOY, as potential tax increases might impact the equity markets, going into effect from 2022 onwards...I was already concerned due to long term technical charts suggesting this year we would likely get the end of the bullish trend we had in equities since the 2009 bottom. This week's turn of events has...
10Yr Yields declined as international Capital Flows began demanding dollars out of the fear as to what is occurring outside the USSA. This implies, as well, a robust demand for perceived "Safety" - the very last thing it actually is. Europe, as we have indicated for months now, remains a basket case. For as bad as it is here, it's worse there. However, this is...