Corporate bonds or tradeable debt instruments issued by corporations are a type of fixed income security. Given the recent media attention and the rising demand for fixed income investments among retail investors, it may come as a surprise that they are not suitable for all investors. Corporate bonds have different risks associated with them than other fixed...
Recently we've seen a lot of news and headlines surrounding today's CPI. The market expected that we'd go from 9.1% to 8.7% headline inflation. Furthermore, the market expected that the core inflation would rise from 5.9% to 6.1%. As seen on the charts, both expectations have been beaten. Both headline inflation and core inflation beat expectations by 0.2%,...
A look at the near term targets and some talk about the possibility of a commodity rally - including oil.
The much anticipated (or dreaded if you're a miner) "merge" coming in Sep 19th will officially move the Ethereum ecosystem from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake. Justin Sun seems to see the opportunity for this event to sow some chaos within his competition by supporting ETHW and ETHS coins on the Poloniex exchanges as of this week. - ETHW and ETHS is similar to...
TL:DR The NDX & Yeild Curve Inversion Pattern suggests that price is bouncing very technically and logically at a long term support trend line. The bubble phase will be complete when price action gets a lot of "white space" between itself and the trendline and the yield curve inverts again in about 2 years. Introduction There is definitely a lot of...
One of the attributes of technical analysis is that it offers consistent tools to define and manage risk. The current SPX daily chart offers good illustration. -The current rally is maturing at a significant resistance level created by prior support and resistance levels (February, March, and June). I think of this as a polarity zone. -This is the polarity...
Primary Chart 1 : AMC Price on the Daily Chart with Significant Fibonacci Levels Noted Will AMC's Short Squeeze Continue? Another short squeeze has successfully launched a few lucky traders into the stratosphere. Maybe more than a few if some take profits timely. AMC has risen about +183% above its low on May 12, 2022. In the past several days since July 27,...
Hey everyone! 👋 This month, we wanted to explore the topic of interest rates; what they are, why they are important, and how you can use interest rate information in your trading. This is a topic that new traders typically gloss over when starting out, so we hope this is a helpful and actionable series for new people looking to learn more about macroeconomics and...
USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE With headline inflation >9%, the Fed has been pressured to tighten policy aggressively, hiking rates by 75bsp at their July meeting, and continuing with Quantitative Tightening. However, as a result of increasing fears of a growth slowdown (as evidenced by recent econ data), the Fed confirmed a more data-dependent...
We argued in last week's ‘Traders’ week ahead playbook’ that with an unwavering focus on inflation Fed officials may look to push back on easier financial conditions. So, while the technicals pointed to further upside, from a tactical perceptive, we could see headwinds to risky assets. What transpired was that various Fed members, even well-known doves such as...
It's been a while since we analysed Bitcoin. That was partly due to Bitcoin being stuck in a correction. The higher timeframe remains the same. We're in a massive ABC flat correction that has been in play for almost 2 years now. We are almost at the end of the correction. A flat correction has 3 major waves - ABC (3-3-5). We are in C wave now, which has 5...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Whether you've just gotten into crypto trading or you're trying to expand your knowledge on what this space has to offer; this post is for you!...
The Nasdaq-100 has been climbing for weeks and just finished its best month since April 2020. Will it stall and roll over like in April and early June, or is it different this time? Today’s chart shows some reasons to feel potentially more constructive about the current activity. The first pattern is the price zone around 13,000. NDQ bottomed near this area in...
Understanding VIX Generally VIX measures the pricing of at-the-money options on the S&P 500 SP:SPX FOREXCOM:SPXUSD where such options have about 30 days until expiration. Higher VIX readings mean that demand for at-the-money options on SPX has risen through hedging or bearish positioning (usually both)—meaning that fear and uncertainty has arisen along with...
For some time now, we have been providing relatively accurate price targets for the WTI crude oil. Last year, we navigated the oil bull market from 60 USD per barrel up to 100 USD a year later. Then, in April 2022, we called the peak in the oil market and laid out a few reasons why the oil market could temporarily bounce, but it would continue lower despite that....
This topic is quite a sensitive one. On one hand we enjoy trading and have passion for it, thus we don't want to miss action/opportunities, on the other is balanced life and ability to enjoy fruits of our labor/decisions. When I first started trading in December 2014 - I didn't take a full-week break from charts until February 2022. Almost 8 years of non-stop...
Hey all, I wanted to post a few thoughts of the somewhat educational variety. Hopefully this will help with perspective on where we've been and why I continue to see equity market weakness for the extended and foreseeable future (1-3 years maybe). So starting with this chart, this is the 10 year US Treasury yield below and the S&P 500 index above going back to...
To make an assessment if the market has turned bear, during the closing second quarter on 29th June 2022, we discussed on the topic “Using S&P to Identify Recession and on the 19 Jul, 2 weeks ago the tutorial posted here, we studied and expecting this current rebound, topic “Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P & Russell”. In today’s tutorial, I thought...