Hello everyone, I would like to share with the community my first analysis ever. First thing first I am in the process of learning, so all the feedbacks are more than welcome. --------------------- Let's start, I have been watching BTC movement very closely more than ever this bear cycle. Even more so as we are more likely to enter a recession cycle within the...
1. Be a perfectionist when looking at shares There are plenty of fish in the ocean and there is no share that is a once in a lifetime opportunity. With thousands of stocks to choose from, missing out on a lucrative trade is no big issue as there will undoubtedly be plenty more. 2. Avoid conformation bias Sometimes we see a share and before delving into proper...
During the current week, Bitcoin gained slightly, and in the process, it constituted a new high at 24 280.30 USD. However, since then, it has started to move sideways and struggled to move higher. Because of that, we will continue to pay close attention to the volume and technical indicators. We think BTCUSD might continue a little bit higher in the short-term;...
May was a very good month for Boeing: the company returned to space with a (mostly) successful test flight of its CST-100 Starliner crewless spacecraft. Of course, SpaceX still has the edge over Boeing in manned spaceflight: since conducting its own crewless test flight in 2019, the company has put 25 people into orbit, compared to Boeing's zero. But Boeing is...
WEED is suddenly coming to life so I'll be covering some names here. CGC was the strongest today up 17%. Taking a 2 point reverse fibonacci projection - CGC has crashed to tag the outer extremity of a Shakeout Reversal Zone at 1.786. And this 17% bounce appears to be a buy-to-close AR Automatic Rally following a heavy SC Selling Climax. Due to this I would say...
NASDAQ:TSLA reportedly sold $936 million dollars, 75% of their BINANCE:BTCUSDT Position. What does this mean for the Crypto market... It's still too early to tell if this news will be the catalyst that sends BTC back down, however here are some key levels to watch. BTC has taken support after rejecting from a strong supply level on the daily timeframe...
This is a quite interesting chart showing a ratio (black trend-line) of the Interest Rate, 5Y Yield and Federal Debt trading within a Megaphone pattern since the 1990s. Its (Higher) Highs have naturally coincided with peaks in Rate Hikes (red trend-line). The last peak was on October 2018 and currently the ratio just broke within that range again (red...
Henry Hub ( US natural gas ) prices have fallen 25% from their peak of $9.64 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) hit in June, as the fire at Freeport LNG’s natural gas liquefaction plant reduced U.S. export capacity by an estimated 2.0 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) or approximately 15% of annual volumes. The major driver behind the spectacular rise in...
Relational Technical Analysis™ or “Relational Analysis” is my contribution to the continuing evolution of technical analysis. It helps me understand who is in control of the price action of stocks, indexes, ETFs and more. It can provide a leading analysis for trading or investing in any chartable trading instrument, even cryptocurrencies. Relational Technical...
How to use related markets to complement each other? Definitely you can apply this technique to other related markets. In this tutorial, I am seeing Nasdaq as a leading indicator for the rest may likely to follow. i) Nasdaq bear trend was nicely formed, but not yet for the Dow Jones, S&P and Russell. ii) Nasdaq in the short-term has also a confirmation for a...
CBOT:ZW1! On June 15th, I issued an options trading strategy on CBOT Wheat Futures. At the time, I expected wheat price to experience a very large move but was unsure of its direction. Consequently, I recommended a Long Strangle options strategy : Purchase both an out-of-money (OTM) call and an OTM put on September Wheat Futures. The original trading idea may...
This is a weekly chart of Apple (AAPL) as measured relative to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The chart has been arbitrarily adjusted in magnitude (x1000) to improve visibility of price movement. One should always analyze an asset's performance relative to the performance of the broader index before choosing to invest. If an asset is underperforming the broader index,...
I haven't done one of these in a while ... . Here's how this works (basically). I price out the at-the-money short straddle in the expiry nearest 45 days. I'm generally not going to do a short straddle as a setup, but it helps me rank underlyings by what they're paying in risk premium as a function of strike price to help me utilize what I've got in the most...
EUR FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE In recent weeks, the persistently high inflation has seen the ECB take a more hawkish turn with the bank confirming at least a 25bsp hike for July and possibility of a 50bsp hike in September. Despite the hawkish policy shift, the concerns over fragmentation in bond spreads (BTP\Bund) as well as fears of...
Hey everyone! 👋 Grab your beverage of choice: it's time to sit back, relax, and take a look at some of the hottest up and coming authors on TradingView. All of these folks deserve a follow, so be sure to show them some love! ❤️❤️ If you think we’re missing someone, be sure to make it known below in the comments. Also, we’ll be doing these roundups from time to...
The price of crude oil has been moving sideways between 95 and 125. As a general rule, 90% of the time, I only trade once the price reaches key levels. In this case, the price is in the support zone. Therefore, I have looked for all the scenarios where the price was behaving similar to what it is now (we can define it as a triple bottom). Of course, in some of...
Watch the video and original text here: News: ''Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi has tendered his resignation after populist coalition partner Five Star withdrew its support in a confidence vote. The former head of the European Central Bank (aka SUPER MARIO of Printing) has led a unity government since February 2021. However, the president refused to...
Yesterday, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) reported that the bank's second-quarter earnings fell as a result of adding $428 million in bad loan reserves. With this view, JPMorgan has chosen to temporarily halt its share repurchases in order to meet regulatory capital requirements. According to a statement from JPMorgan, the reserve rise was primarily to blame for...