Resharing this as my last idea wasn't very useful in micro terms. Knowing all to well that the macro picture is what matters most, I still had 0 intents of sharing a decade's long trade idea. Hopefully it ages well though :) Focusing this time on the more near time, anticipated price action, we can see that Gold is near very strong support levels. In Elliott Wave...
GBP/USD is down sharply today and has fallen below the 1.11 level for the first time since 1985. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1125, down 1.16%. The British pound can't seem to find any love. GBP/USD is looking dreadful, down 2.1% this week and 3.8% in September. The currency hasn't sunk to such levels since 1985 and the strong US dollar could...
All the fixed tenure yields have broken above their four decades of downtrend. - 2yr, 5yr, 10 yr & 30yr To note, the shorter end, the fixed 2 year tenure yield is climbing faster than the longer end, the U.S. fixed 30 year tenure government bond yield. The year closing, it will be crucial to determine the trend transition; from this long-term downtend to uptrend.
The History of the Gold-Silver Ratio Citation: www.investopedia.com Historically, the gold-silver ratio has only evidenced substantial fluctuation since just before the beginning of the 20th century. For hundreds of years prior to that time, the ratio, often set by governments for purposes of monetary stability, was fairly steady. The Roman Empire...
The DXY got a strong burst of momentum from yesterday's FOMC. Although we got our 75 bps hike (as expected), the press conference that followed was a lot more somber. Powell forecasted more hikes, despite the markets expectations of a more dovish forward guidance. This fueled an interest rate spike in treasuries, and bolstered the DXY's meteoric rally to break...
Stocks got slammed yesterday, breaking through lows in the 3800's. We anticipated support at the base of the 3800 handle, but the S&P 500 broke down even lower, currently feeling out the highs of the 3700 handle. At this time, 3758 has provided support and we appear to be attempting a push back to the 3800's. The FOMC meeting came out more hawkish than...
Bonds have slid further and there is no relief rally insight. The markets were hoping for a 'dovish hike' in the sense that the 75 bps hike would be followed by dovish rhetoric. In fact it was the opposite. Yields have maintained highs pressing prices further down. We are hugging 113'12 and expect support there. If not, we will use Fibonacci extension levels...
As expected, the Bank of England hiked interest rates by 0.50%, bringing the cash rate to 2.25%. There was an outside chance that the BoE would press the rate pedal to the floor and deliver a 0.75% increase, but in the end, members decided unanimously on a less aggressive hike. The central bank is grappling with 9.9% inflation and a falling British pound, which...
*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* Entry: $9.62 Take Profit: $13 (+35%) Stop Loss: $8.98 (-6.6%) *Stop loss is...
DXY officially peaked after J Powell meeting, IMHO, technically there are divergences at the month RSI, that is a inevitably reversion sign, is like a marathon runner drinking martinis, it will fall but when? I think the time has come
KOG Report – FOMC This is our view for FOMC today, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile and can cause aggressive swings in price. For...
As any true trader knows, the inflation rate DID NOT GO UP 8.3%. That is what some retail news outlets claimed "year-over-year," which is plain misinformation. The retail news was designed to trigger a panic dump among the less informed last week. FACT: The rise in inflation started in late 2020, not this year. FACT: The rise in 2021 went to 7%. But the news...
The Australian dollar is in negative territory today. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6706, down 0.30% on the day. The RBA minutes of the September 6th meeting didn't shed any new light on the central bank's rate policy, and the Australian dollar's response has been muted. The minutes reiterated the message that the markets have already heard from Governor Lowe -...
I am currently holding onto this buy position on Gold & targeting 1702 as a mid-term target. As long as Gold holds above 1654, I think we should see the market enter a CONSOLIDATION PHASE. The market needs to correct itself after the heavy sell off & grab liquidity for its next move. Drop me a follow to keep up with updates and the latest analysis✅
🎲 #ETHPERP #SHORT #SCALP 🎲 "Roll The Dice" Risk - Med-High Entry Conditions: - Lost Multiple local supports - Money flowing out of market heavily ahead of the Weds Inflation announcements News Source: - Fed Announcements on Weds will disrupt market ENTRY: 1308 TP1: 4.7% 1248 TP2: 8.64% 1195 SL: 2.67% 1343
COMEX: Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) Last Tuesday, September 13th, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% in August to an annual rate of 8.3%. Both were higher than market expectations of -0.1% and 8.1%, respectively. One tenth of one percent didn’t seem much, but it refuted the mainstream notion that inflation has already...
KOG Report Daily Chart: We’re going to stick with the same daily chart with the levels in place which have been working well for us. We’ve mapped this move quite accurately from the high, to the low, to the high, to the lows and as a longer term projection will stick with the view of lower pricing. Again, as per the previous report, we can see a turn coming...
This idea is a study of the top 4 US Airlines compared to inflation rates. I still vividly remember the day I decided to learn about markets and economics. It was the Friday after markets closed on January 29th, 2021 and Kevin O’Leary (Mr. Wonderful) was on CNBC debating the so called reddit short squeeze of gamestop with MA Sec of State William Galvin. With...