So the 10Y Yield (USA) has a fib time zone that places a strong move in the afternoon of the 30th of this month. I feel like it goes without saying but this is when Q2 ends and if we have another quarter with a negative GDP - thanks to the braindead president's apocalyptic ineptitude - then we will enter a recession which for those unawares is just two quarters of...
Arguably the number one saying to always avoid uttering in investing is “This time is different”. Usually, it is related to overly optimistic bullish expectations of future market highs due to global adoption finally taking place. Ironically, as this cycle continues it is proving to be different… In all prior market cycles, bitcoin never rested or went below...
Macro conditions couldn’t be any worse. Starting this month, the Fed unleashed its quantitative tightening (QT) plans, trimming the $9trillion balance sheet at an unprecedented scale (current run-off cap: $47.5bn/month initial; $95bn/month 3 month later; 2017 run-off: max $50bn/month). The last two quantitative tightening led to a sharp rise in yields in 2013 and...
The weekly chart shows a bearish divergence of the RSI and MACD's bearish cross below zero. To me, this says the hawkish Fed trade driven by inflation concerns may be over and the focus could soon shift to the impending economic slowdown/recession.
Hello Friends! Traditional markets are closed tomorrow (6/20/22) and BTC might have an extra day for some positive gains/reaction rally. Be careful here, the macroeconomics are not supporting crypto or traditional markets. Let’s look at some levels to watch. The 200 week ($22350) is the biggest level for BTC to target in the short term. $19,800 (December 2017...
Financial markets plummeting and macroeconomics hit with a torrent of shocking news what does this mean for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies? Before jumping into Bitcoins (BTC) price analysis it is important to understand the top reasons why markets are falling at an accelerated rate. Inflation throughout the world is at record highs with inflation in United...
It makes sense to Long Bitcoin Now that Volatility is finally spiking. Remember, Bitcoin has been on a consistent downtrend in volatility for years now. So nothing will change given the amounts in which more institutions invest; Volaitly will have to continue to go down due to price transparency in the marketplace. The opportunity I see here is to go long...
I will say it again. Caution in all asset classes remains. How much risk are you taking on for how much reward you are expecting to acquire? Keep asking yourself that question. Better to be out of the market wishing you were in rather than being in the market wishing you were out. Not enough time to finish sorry :(
Hello Traders, I will get straight to the point today. It looks like a bit of a reversal, or is it a bear market relief rally? What I'm looking at: If price moves above around 408.80-409.5 and keeps momentum, watch out for a gap up around 412. This is likely a relief rally, and we are probably just reverting to back to the trend because we were QUITE a bit...
Base Case: Given the current macro risks to global markets, I anticipate markets enter the late cycle starting from Mid-to-Late July lasting until Q1 2023 for the oncoming bear market. Idea: (Long) Entry Price: $30,000.00 Entry Date: Late July 22' Price Target: $36,500.00 Date Target: Jan. 23' (Short) Entry Price: $36,500.00 Entry Date: Jan. 23' - Mar....
Pull from any major pivot and you get the same thing, golden zone. Does its really get much better? Plenty of other add ons too. Accumulate.
Whats up eveybody. Just wanted to make a quick update on the macros of BTC, where do we see a possible bottom. We know that BTC and USDT dominance have a strong correlation. We can see on the left chart that dominance is approaching a strong resistance at about 5.5%. We can have a double top there and dominance goes down, BTC goes up. On the right chart we have...
From what I've managed to gather, 7 out of 9 governors vote for a +50bp hike; 8 out of 9 are in favor of reducing B/S. If the news to be released in 3.5 hours comes out with reducing balance sheet, which is likely to take effect in June, then highly likely we’ll see a black swan. +50bp is within expectation, but it’s still negative to the market. We can expect...
U.S. Inflation has surged significantly to 8.5% in March 2022, It hits a new forty-year high. As the Inflation keeps increasing month over month, The Federal Reserve is committed to tackling inflation by Rising Interest Rate, potentially 0.50% in May 2022. The rising interest rate will cause bond prices to fall. Consequently, The Bond yield will be...
Hey mates, When the market behaves unexpectedly and many people lose their money it is the best time to calm down and take a look at the market globally and historically. Market Phases Theory comes from the roots of the Dow Jones theory of Stock Market Cycles. Basically, all markets are passing 4 constant market phases: 1. accumulation 2. uptrend or markup 3....
What I observe from technical analysis is that they have corrected the imbalance that was generated on Monday, and that they will go a little farther UP, at which time I will wait and ride with them. If it hasn't reached that stage, I'm not expecting anything. After that, I'll embark on a market exploitation spree. For the time being, I have a very solid figure...
After a rapid growth following a full cup and handle pattern mattress, Cardano grew as sharply as expected. Following the negative fundamental news that caused a TVL 18% decrease, Cardano left the ascending channel and is expected to return to the top of cup. Some of the negative macroeconomic news is as follows: 1-CHINA REPORTS 8,655 NEW CORONAVIRUS CASES,...
Prior to two weeks ago, I was looking for a new employment. I hadn't had good statistics for some weeks before to this. However, the prior week, I received it once again... Most of the time, when I get a foundational analysis, when I get solid statistics, and I know what should be... even if I go in SL, which is usual between Monday and Tuesday, and then...