IF YOU CAN'T SEE LOWER CHART, PLEASE RIGHT CLICK ON LOWER PRICE AXIS AND SELECT "RESET PRICE SCALE" Dividend Yield to Gold ratio for S&P500 green rectangle: BUY gold red circle: SELL gold
Volume capitulation on Month CAM S3 backtest. $USO $XLF $TLT $IEF $SPY $QQQ $IWM
The Bond Auction went well as expected that could help the Bond Yield which could underpin the Dollar. Bond Auction for the 10Y later today and expecting a Demand>Supply situation as well. EURUSD -0.13% have been ranging between 1.17xx handle and 1.16xx (Accumulation) and I am picking a downward direction if the pair attempts to expand its range for September....
Yield spread of NZD/USD dropped to new lows.
FVX Longer Term Outlook for Rates Since Yellen retired in February FVX has risen to test the the junction of the upper parallel at the same point in time as it hit the fixed resistance line at 29.83. Since then it's been consolidating inside a slowly forming pennant formation with a spike down to the 25.46 line almost exactly before it pushed higher again. Though...
The dividend yield (DY) is simply the amount of money a company pays a shareholder in dividends divided by the share price. It's therefore a measure of value for a stock. A DY < 1 would mean that the shares cost more to by than the shareholder receives in dividends, therefore extremely overvalued. In a bear market, the DY increases very fast. During a bull...
Regarding today's bond market behavior, I am reminded of the following words of wisdom mostly attributed to the economist John Maynard Keynes: "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent." From Trump's successful efforts in negotiating an end to a 70 year North/South Korean war, and denuclearization of NoKo, to the Fed raising interest...
The SPX volatility so far this year shows some uncertainty over 'fair value'. Based on 2018 earnings estimates from Factset of 160 earnings/share for the SPX, if we divide 160 by the current SPX price the chart reflects what's known as the 'earnings yield'. Shown inversely it is known as the forward P/E ratio. So far this year the SPX earnings yield has...
AMEX:SPY S&P 500 is following a giant descending triangle, even though on 04.18.18 it has not touched the triangle. Overall the market is bearish short term , despite being in the earnings season. In a bullish market some neutral and positive earnings report would have been interpreted as bullish . Increasing treasury yields may be partly to blame. As...
Potential Short bringing the Yields back down to 2.5% pricing in the next leg up.
Are we headed for a flat Yield Curve? The Yield Curve highlights the spread between short term and long term bonds and is an important indicator of economic growth. We are currently in an uptrend, with short interest rates lower than longer maturities. A flat yield curve can signal an adjustment in the economy and a shift in growth. It precedes an inverted...
EMLC has just experienced a bullish breakout of a wedge pattern. That occurred above support (23.6% retracement of all-time high to all-time low), which lends to the bullish slant. It's also recently tested and held a rising channel bottom and had a bullish breakout in the RSI, further strengthening the bullish setup. Volume has been robust and accelerating, as...
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum . You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators Kindly, Phil If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my...
TLT treasury bonds are at a huge support, potentially forming a massive top... A break below the neckline would possibly have huge bearish implications.
Here is a trade based in 100% Fundamental approach. BUT: Always limit your risk regardless how strong your conviction is. ALWAYS! Trade safe, Trade well
After forming a somewhat imperfect rising wedge, a bearish breakout confirmed.
Double Divergence seen on RSI along with price confirmation of SO's most recent bottom. A "W" pattern is also setting up with a break above $45 further solidifying the opportunity for a low risk positional trade when taking the stated yield % into account. Pin bar seen on Heavy volume, and the most recent double bottom also coming on good volume.