This analysis will be very simple, as this mkt is one of the most neutral I have seen recently.
Weekly:
- Ichimoku setup could not be more neutral: Price, Tenkan and Kijun are all in the Kumo.
- Heikin Ashi signal has been totally neutral for the past four weeks! Printing perfect doji candles. haDelta/SMA3 stuck exactly at zero line.
Daily:
- guess what, quite...
"They" certainly did not want to see something similar to June - July price action.
Obviously the make it or break it level was 127 on dec futures. Protected succesfully!
Weekly:
- Look how important 127 is! Touch below Kijun, appr level of Kumo bottom and 100 weeks (!) WMA! Also a multi year key horizontal level is here.
- Ichimou setup is neutral, with...
Mid-Point of Rally is being TESTED
AND
50% speed-line is being violated today
AND
price cluster at 127'16'0 is breaking (where every day touched for the past 16 days)
If no "bounce" from oversold here at the mid-point of the rally at 127'03, then sell @ market over the next two days. A market that can't bounce from oversold is even more weak.
Target 125'24. ...
As I warned before, the last few days selling may not unfold as obviously and and so go as deep as the last two rounds before. Actually there is serious loss of bearish momentum, so maybe a short squeeze and spike is just around the corner?
Bund:
- Today the Heikin Ashi candle shows serious undecision. It seems in last two days on average sellers are slowly...
This is TNX (Yields) And the 30y/10y ratio (the idea that higher dated bonds should reflect higher yields) This range the markets have been has coincided with the de-coupling from this Ratio and Yields on 10y US bonds (TNX). Why this re-coupling? might be inportant, is because it leaves the door open for markets to start matching fundementals and vice versa....
Volume at Price is available for Pro users here at TradingView, but you can see how valuable it is at finding important levels of resistance and support.
Notice how the rally in ZNM2015 peaked in the zone where trading volume was at a minimum. Why was volume so low? We can deduce that there are sellers there because the market didn't stay there very long and...
FYI I put on the continous contract this time on both time frames (Ichimoku components look a bit different on daily compared to ZNM2015 chart, but Price reffers to the same front contract)
Weekly:
- Trend is still bullish until Price holds above Kumo and horizontal bullish support: 127,29. upper resistance is ard 131,75.
- There is some slowdown in the bullish...
Previous bullish continuation idea worked very well. However we have some hesitation here again as market is gigesting FED statement and comments from FED officials.
Weekly:
- The trend is still up, but it looks like Price is struggling to make a new high. If by tomorrow close haDelta still stays below SMA3, then next week we may see some pull back down...
No need for too much comment, after three days of pull back Heikin Ashi daily candle and haDelta suggest a possible bullish continuation in US 10y Treasury futures. In case it prints a new low below 128,20, that would invalidate the short term trade idea, so this time I use Tenkan Sen minus buffer as a stop trigger.
Weekly setup is also bullish, more acceleration...
Weekly:
- Some hesitation freak happened by the end of last week due to mixed FED comments and mixed US macro data, but in fact the weekly Heikin Ashi candle with both upper and lower wicks is a signal for possible bullish continuation.
- haDelta is further up
- Ichimoku setup and the bullish trendline is intact, weekly Tenkan and Senkou A both point up.
Daily:
-...
Weekly:
- Bullish Ichimoku trend: Price retested Kijun Sen. Price is still above Kumo, which has no shade over Price. Tenkan/Kijun is bullish
- Weekly Heikin Ashi candle so far has a smaller body and thus haDelta is making a cross above SMA3
Daily:
- Ichimoku setup maybe looks a bit bearish, but it can be the similar false bearish break pattern, that we saw in...
Left chart is 10Y, right panel is 5Y T-Note daily chart
The rather dovish FED minutes saved US bonds yesterday once again
- Ichimoku setup is neutral, Price is at Kumo, Chikou Span hits Price candles.
- Yesterday Heikin Ashi candles had smaller bod with both upper and lower wicks. Today candle is green. haDelta up above SMA3, trying to cross back above zero...
Weekly:
- Ichimoku setup is bullish: no Kumo overshade, Price is above all averages, Chikou Span is above Kumo too. Price has been developing a well described bullish channel.
- Last week HA candle had good indication for pull back within the bullish trend, this week's candle confirmed it. However Price has reached first support at weekly Tenkan Sen, also Chikou...
Well, it looks like bonds right now do not care about any rate hike comments from the "hawkish" FED.
10y T-Note Price is surging further (yield is dropping). This is not surprising as the whole world is in a yield hunting rush and bonds being bought globally, not just sending yields all time record lows, but in fact 16 % of total global debt is now trading at...
The 10-YR is seeing demand as every data point in 2015 has come under expectations, while the slump in US economic data began months ago. Key bond gurus, such as Gundlach and Gross, look at the US 10-Y to reach a 1-handle.
Safe-haven demand will be a major trend in 2015 as volatility increases, which will drive more traders into treasuries. Initially, look for...
10 Year T-note is going to fall, macd has been rising now for a year to 0 and the price didnt go up.
this seems to be a classic bearish setup, so i guess interest rates will rise sooner than the market expect, bonds are realizing that, then the rest of the market will
This is the exact same chart published 21 days ago ( see attached) . We can see that the 10 years treasury briefly broke above it resistance before descending to its current level. So far it seems to to follow the downward channel.
Things to keep in mind :
Carney, the governor of the Bank of England, suggested last week that he will raise interest rates rather...
10 years treasuries have been pretty volatile so far in 2014. We saw a nice returns in Q1, only to see them evaporate in the first month of Q2 , but has made some gains since. If you look closely , we can see that it has been making lower highs since fall 2013. Support and Resistance have been tested and broken, but seems to have a hard time going back above....
