On chart.
VIX is an enemy of global indexes and a friend of weighted JPY. It's not very correlated with DXY and Euro now, depends on where're those impacts coming from.
On chart.
On chart. Capital flow needs time for processing market. It's called time-lag correlation analysis.
Warning: Pure theory not for trade. This is an example how correlation changes. After that red line we have an upside down situation. It's a self-fulfilling machine.
On chart. Be careful with EURUSD it's launching now.
Today, I'm showing you guys shanghai composite index chart which is measured by DXY. I'm not calling the end of world or something pessimism. As we can see, the index is lack of the 7th. swing before touching down ideal inflection zone. Last week China CPI data fallen to 1.8%. Now the CPI tends to be falling lower which is too low for achieving GDP target. We got...
We'll see which way that it'll thrust out.
On chart. Market is a ( range of) mountians.
After 7 years QE and special money policies, dollar is now recovered from crisis to 2008 level. I copied pink bars from Oct. 2014 and pasted those bars to Oct. 2008, so as it shows a trend line respect but look at that huge triangle. I'm thinking about US repeating 1980's success so after some weak (0.382 retrace) dollar will rise to 120.
Each time we're assuming something then the market is turning against it. Keep humble and keep learning. Market is a mountains.
KIWI/JPY is an leading index for global indexes by its risk on property. As we can see, the situation is on the edge now. Because JPY has no more easing as BOJ promised and 520 is a very risky day. The weighted JPY is recovering its purchase value soon. All pairs will be reset. Watch out!
EURUSD and DXY have an all time negative correlation. Now, it's a clearly short opportunity.
I know people would not believe it but Oil price will drop to 20 and trades between 10-40 for many years. Now FRB and ECB are totally control commodities prices. I think this scenario have the same possibility with previous analisys. Check my USdollar weekly chart for details. Be careful with XAU and other commodities futures they are only at half way of free dropping.
Fundamental: 1, USdollar is in a situaton could draw capitals from EEM market now. FRB is fishing with patients and let’s see which one would like to bite the hook. 2, EEM are many countries there're a lot of risks over there in the future. A capital squeezing will happen. 3, Weighted JPY colud benefit from safe haven. It’s not surprising to see JPY stronger...
This is a key moment which is hedge is playing. I’m still looking for a new high of us dollar index. 1, It’s a monthly 5 wave from 2011, I believe in 7 waves too but this is a 5 wave with RSI divergence. 2, Because it’s a 5, I’ll use some tools for measuring 4th. wave and 5th. wave from monthly weekly and daily. 3, Now, we’re at monthly wave 3rd. of 3rd. and in a...