Hello, according to my chart analysis of the T-BOND FUTURES (ZB), there is a high probability of a decline towards the levels of 119`08.
Hello, according to my chart analysis of the T-BOND FUTURES (ZB), there is a high probability of a decline towards the levels of 118`06.
This chart suggests that the coming recession will be anywhere from Q4 next year to Q4 2024 which is much later than what the 10 minus 2 year chart could be saying. There's also a possibility that the recent inversion is a false signal but unlike the 1998 fakeout, it went deeper and is much more likely a legitimate signal.
Hello, according to my chart analysis of the T-BOND FUTURES (ZB), there is a high probability of a decline towards the levels of 118`28 .
UK 5 YEAR GOVT BONDS YIELD The chart above shows a potential trade for this asset; it is currently bearish following the recent surge that started around the beginning of August 2022. Heed your DD!
The US10Y recently broke below the August Higher Lows trendline and remains below the 4H MA50 since October 25. The bearish divergence that RSI's Lower Lows suggested is identical to the one in April, May. The price patterns are very similar and this was a sell signal that dropped to the 1D MA50 and the Support of the previous Higher Low. We have drawn these...
This year alone we've seen almost 400 basis points! #FED rates are finally @ $TNX level! We called this some time ago, catching up Why is #TNX not ripping? Likely believe there's not that much more in hikes by the fed That HUGE negative divergence is telling #stocks #bonds #crypto
As we look ahead to the US midterms on 9 November, the question traders ask is whether it has the potential to be a risk event and promote increased cross-market volatility – as part of the risks assessment, the election has implications on whether to reduce trading exposures over the event. Anecdotally it feels like traders aren’t giving the elections too much...
The US 10-year Treasury yield left behind a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart this Friday. This is as the bond tested a rising range of support from August. A turn higher from here could open the door to revisiting the October high of 4.33. Otherwise, breaking lower exposes the 50-day Simple Moving Average, which could reinstate the...
🇩🇪 DAX time for a correction? 🇩🇪 During last week's trading sessions, we could see an attempt to stem the declines on Germany's main index, which comprises the 40 largest German companies. The correction from the bottom was already 9%. 🇩🇪 The bottom fell on 28 September and from then on we began to slowly form breakout formations on the chart. We have been...
Bonds hit resistance at 111'26, dipping back to support at 110'27. We anticipated this in our reports yesterday. It is likely we will continue the sideways correction from here, bound between these two levels. If ZN can break out, then 113'12 is the next target. We expect 110'05 to be a floor for now.
It looks like the 2YR yield is looking to do a reversal. If so that would sustain the rally in stocks. Have to see if it is confirmed on the daily. It looked like a reversal before and then blasted higher.
Long on TLT here.. I think we could see 99-102 fairly soon with a huge reversal in the coming days. 100 lvl broke through and sold hard, I believe this will be a fake breakdown and if anything could be bottoming or reversing soon.
Based on the TLT pattern shown here, bonds may have much further below to go. They've continued to steadily sell off as rates have continued climbing, and show no signs of a long-term bounce. Target 1 has been breached, leaving target 2 in the crosshairs: $86-87.
Mortgage rates are penciling-in to be around 10% on a first mortgage note by Jan/Feb - so everyone with a couple of brain cells to rub together knows what that will do to real estate prices. Some good things will come out of this - like the Gen Z's in the market will get a chance to become homeowners, but in trading terms, this is a very good opportunity. ...
You think the stock market correction is painful. The bond market is seeing its worse decline since the 1940's. It is down 50% since March 2020. My suggestion is that retirees don't look at their 401k. I sure hope it finds a bottom soon.