Chart Patterns
Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025 [03.11.- 07.11.2025]Wall Street Weekly Outlook - Week 45 2025
📅 November 3 – November 7, 2025
Let’s kick off an exciting new trading week — and a brand-new trading month! 🚀
Seasonal factors often play a major role in November and December, and I’ll break them down for you in this week’s video. 🎥📈
Sit back, enjoy the overview, and dive into the world of banks, hedge funds, and institutional flows — with exclusive insights into how the pros are positioned right now. 🧠💼📊
💡 Bonus segments: Strategies, setups & market psychology — everything you need to know for the week ahead. ⚡️
📘 Topics covered in this week’s outlook:
🏛 Seasonality in the Nasdaq:
🥇 Seasonality in Gold:
... and many more charts & concepts in the video! 🎬📊
💬 I’m looking forward to your questions, comments, and an active discussion here on TradingView!
👋 Best,
Meikel
Is the Gold Bull Market Over? Gold has had a double digit correction form the all time high.
Pulling back just over 11% is very healthy if the bull market trend is to resume.
On an intra day 4 hour time frame gold is still looking very weak.
However the weekly pattern was able to hold a key weekly bullish level.
Gold is at a very tricky inflection point so i would personally wait until you get some key breakout or breakdown signals.
Look towards your miners to see if they are gaining additional liquidity. They will often lead.
Emphasis on goldThis is Saturday night. Warren Buffett's very bearish on gold but a better way to look at it in my opinion is that the pattern is going to actually take the market lower than where it is now probably around the 50% but I think it's going to go to the 618 and possibly lower///and that doesn't mean that the market's bearish it's better to think of this as the market trading the patterns it had a wonderful move higher and so you would expect the market to have a very good move when it goes lower and you can use this with your trading decisions////if the market goes lower it's an opportunity to take a long trade if you have a good setup with a good 2 bar reversal going higher.
Gold Futures (MGCZ2025) — Weekly FVG Magnet & Potential ReversalPrice has been respecting Standard Deviation levels beautifully across the H4, Daily, and Weekly timeframes. The market recently rejected the H4 FVG and is now hovering mid-range, with a Weekly Fair Value Gap left open below.
This imbalance could attract price early in the week, creating a liquidity grab and possible weekly low before Gold flips bullish again.
Key Levels:
🟤 H4 FVG rejection zone: 4,040 – 4,080
🔵 Weekly FVG target: 3,880 – 3,900
⚫ Weekly High: 4,124
⚫ Weekly Low: 3,901
Narrative:
I’m expecting price to push into the Weekly FVG discount zone early in the week — potentially aligning with high-impact financial news — and then reverse bullish for a mid-week or end-of-week rally.
Watch For:
Price displacement or BOS near the Weekly FVG
Killzone reactions (London & NY)
Volume and order flow confirmation before entering
Bias: Short-term bearish → medium-term bullish
Invalidation: Sustained trade below 3,842 (Weekly Lows & -1σ zone breach)
XAUUSD📊 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook
Monthly:
Gold closed the last monthly candle bullish, even with a long upper wick.
✅ Buyers are still in control
⚠️ But the wick shows loss of momentum at the top
✅ Weekly Timeframe
Price broke out of a symmetric triangle, and for 9 consecutive weeks, gold pushed aggressively to the upside.
However, the last two weekly candles show:
smaller bodies
longer wicks
loss of momentum
📉 If this correction continues, price may come back down to retest the broken triangle around the 3,500 zone.
This retest would collect liquidity and give the market structure needed to build a new leg toward the 5,000 long-term target.
✅ Daily Timeframe
Recent high near 4,400
Price dropped to 4,000 → new low
Pullback to 4,150 → Lower High
Deeper drop to 3,886 → new lower low
Bounce up to 4,046 → another Lower High
🔻 Conclusion on D1:
The daily structure is bearish with a clear sequence of Lower Highs, showing loss of bullish strength.
✅ H4 Timeframe
On H4, price is currently forming a bearish flag pattern — slow, corrective movement after the drop.
If price breaks below the flag, that would open the door for another leg down, targeting:
3,900
3,750
and possibly the 3,500 weekly retest zone
📌 Summary
Monthly → bullish but losing steam
Weekly → breakout confirmed, but correction likely before continuation
Daily → bearish market structure
H4 → bearish flag building momentum for another drop
If the flag breaks down, the next major liquidity zone sits around 3,500 — the same zone as the symmetric triangle retest.
🔥 Bias: Bearish short-term
🚀 Long-term: Bullish continuation toward 5,000 after deeper correction
Weekend Analysis: DXY, BTC, Gold, Silver, Nas100 and SPX500In this video presentation I am expecting the dollar index to continue its uptrend on the lower time frame towards the liquidation level target of 99.500.
Bitcoin is still in a distribution range and currently correcting the sharp sell off from $126,296. I am observing an A-B-C corrective pattern potentially to targets of either $115,044 or $117,653. These are confluence of resistance level and will be expecting a sell off from these levels. If these levels gets invalidated then potentially the all time highs of $126k is in view. However that's not my expectation so a breach of the target level will invalidate the bearish analysis on Bitcoin.
I think Gold and Silver have peaked out for now and smart money is off loading to FOMO retail traders. I am expect Silver to sell off much faster than Gold.
Nas100 and SPX500 clinched to a breakout of new highs but the buying volume is fading out and seems to be a fake out. I will be watching if the breakout levels gets support or breakdown on pullback to decide a long position or short position.
This is my opinion on the market this week and I thank you for your time to visit my publications.
Have a great trading week and don't forget risk and money management is your first job as trader or investor. Cheers!!
BTCUSD price await one time breakout below 109850 before selling#BTCUSD price await one time breakout below 109850 before selling.
Multiple rejection have happened between 110150 and 109850.
Sell from 109850, target 108900, stop loss 110531.
Above 110300 shows bullish continuation on 2 times breakout.
S&P500: Rising?S&P 500 futures edged slightly lower in yesterday’s session but are expected to remain within the upward trajectory of magenta wave (5), which, under our primary scenario, is likely to continue moving higher. This advance would also complete the larger blue wave (III). Afterward, we anticipate a corrective phase in magenta wave (A), which should put renewed pressure on the index. At the same time, we are monitoring our alternative scenario, which suggests that magenta wave alt.(3) has not yet concluded. If prices drop below the support level at 6,371 points, this scenario will come into play. In that case, wave alt.(4) would likely extend further downward, reaching its low within the magenta alternative Target Zone between 6,055 and 5,822 points (probability: 30%).
Bitcoin Update – November 1, 2025 - Revised 2026 target $46KBitcoin and Crypto Market Update – November 1, 2025
Bitcoin has completed its cup-and-handle pattern , hitting the technical target near $118,000 before rolling over into a fresh rising-wedge formation . The new structure is supported by declining volume , hinting at fading momentum and a potential pullback toward $46,000 .
Today’s move mirrors broader macro caution—the Fed’s pause on rate cuts and Trump–Xi trade tensions have triggered a wave of risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin is down 3.8% to $110,063 , Ethereum −3.6% ($3,853), and XRP −4.1% ($2.51).
Despite the dip, ETF inflows remain strong (BTC +$202 M, ETH +$246 M), showing institutions still buying the weakness. November historically delivers +42.5% average gains, but traders should stay alert as the rising wedge matures.
Technical summary:
* ✅ Cup & Handle target ≈ $118 K (completed)
* ⚠️ Rising Wedge forming → Target ≈ $46 K
* 📉 Volume decline = weakening trend strength
* 🟢 Institutional inflows = long-term support, volume declining over 5-10 year cycle
📊 Posted by Market Monkey — decoding the market’s next move.
AVOID LOSSES - BE SMART - LIVE ANALYSIS AVOID LOSSES - BE SMART - LIVE ANALYSIS
FRGNT
Be smart — avoid needless and pointless losses.
Anyone can trade, but what truly defines your return is your level of professionalism.
Use the facts to your advantage and build your bias using multiple sources of information. Build your confluence from correlating pairs, not just the pair you’re looking to trade.
Remember — GBPUSD, EURUSD, and AUDUSD are correlating.
So if you believe a trade is ready on one pair, but not showing the same readiness on the others, ask yourself: does this make sense?
Am I acting in line with a professional trader’s mindset?
Use the facts. Trade with logic. Think like a professional.
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Bitcoin BTC Bears Regain Control: Watching for a Short Setup 📊 Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSD)
Currently, Bitcoin is showing clear bearish intent on the higher timeframes 🧭. After an extended period of range-bound price action, we’ve now seen a decisive displacement to the downside 💥 — a strong signal that sellers are taking control.
From here, I’ll be watching for a retracement back into equilibrium ⚖️ — the 50% level of the most recent swing — and will then look for signs of rotation and a break of structure 🧩 on the 30-minute chart to confirm a potential short setup 📉.
Patience is key here 🕰️ — I want to see price react efficiently to that retracement before considering entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis before taking any trade.
EURUSD Trade: Anticipating a Pullback Before the Next Leg Down💹 EURUSD Analysis & Outlook
I'm currently watching the EURUSD, and the broader structure tells a clear story 📉. On the higher timeframe (weekly chart), the pair remains firmly in a bearish trend, signaling that institutional capital is positioned short — big money continues to lean on the downside.
On the lower timeframe, we can identify a clean three-drive structure, where price has already traded down into previous external range liquidity 🏦. From a technical perspective, it makes sense to anticipate a reaction off this level, leading to a retracement back toward the previous 4-hour order block and potentially into the VWAP zone ⚖️.
Should this reaction materialize, I’ll be eyeing that retrace area as my point of interest (POI) for a potential short setup 🎯. However, if price fails to pull back as expected, I’ll stand aside and invalidate this trade idea — discipline over bias always.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared here is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence before trading.
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc Based on macd UP trendthe technical picture of an established uptrend, with price sitting on moving average support, is validated by the fundamental picture of aggressive upward analyst revisions and strong anticipated earnings growth driven by their major gaming franchises.
1. Trend and Moving AveragesUptrend: The overall price action from the low around May/June to the present suggests a strong, established uptrend. Higher highs and higher lows are visible, which is the definition of a bull market.Position Relative to Moving Averages (MAs): The current price is trading above both the shorter-term (likely 50-day, represented by the green line) and longer-term (likely 200-day, represented by the red line) Moving Averages.Short-term MA Support: The price appears to have recently found support on or near the green MA (around the $\$240-\$245$ area) and bounced higher. This MA is acting as dynamic support.Moving Average Order: The green MA is above the red MA, which is a classic "Golden Cross" configuration (or continued follow-through), indicating strong long-term momentum.
2. Price Action and ConsolidationRecent Pullback/Consolidation: After reaching a recent peak (around $\$265$), the stock experienced a pullback. This is a normal, healthy part of an uptrend, often shaking out weak hands before the next leg up.Support Holding: The price is showing signs of stabilizing after the drop, potentially on strong support defined by the shorter-term MA. The large green candle preceding the target area suggests that buyers have stepped in aggressively.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
DXY ANALYSIS: TRADING WEEK 3 - 7 NOVEMBER 2025On this video i higlight the importance of the 101.800 area of resistance, a multi year resistance that on my view will be reached soon
I have two possible scenarios for the DXY next week:
- Test of the 101.800 during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 97,700 area of support where the DXY would cover a gap left open 3 weeks ago and where the DXY will start rallying up again
- Test of the 101.300 - 101.500 level of resistance during the first 2/3 trading days and pullback to the 98.500 - 98.400 area of support where the DXY will start rallying up again
Data released through the week and the strength of the Index will ultimately confirm one of the two scenario
I will update and follow up on this trading analysis - setup; please like, comment and share if you like this Trading Idea






















