Reminiscent of the roaring 1920s, the 2020 epidemic and the inability to work for many people brought an influx of new retail investors to the public market. Furthermore, the FED's decision to prop up the market by dropping interest rates combined with stimulus checks handed out by the U.S. government lured in even more investors who were hungry for profits....
Where are the meat or commodity prices heading? Meat prices have been rising at a rate of about 3% per annual over the last 40 years. Meat is what I classified as an edible commodity, so is corn, wheat and rice. And as these commodities start picking up in prices, they are the one that will give the central banks a huge headache and to consider to hike its...
-After inflation data, 90% probability of raising rates by 75 basis points at the next Fed meeting Why is the data negative? 1. Annual inflation declined, but monthly inflation rose 0.1%. 2. The impact of oil prices is still high, but the impact of the inflation on food and housing prices rose month on month ------- -Annual general inflation is 8.3%, but...
Today's CPI print in the U.S. spooked the market, affecting Bitcoin, which dropped more than 4% within merely two minutes. The report of higher-than-expected inflation shattered market participants' last hopes for the FED pivot. Currently, the FED is expected to raise interest rates in the range between 75bps to 100bps during its September meeting. However, after...
Seasonalities are regular and predictable patterns that recur every calendar year. Every industry exhibits unique seasonal trends that are based on fundamental drivers. The best-known seasonal drivers include harvest periods, the timing of interest payments, weather, and investor sentiment. At certain times of the year, tax and balance sheet deadlines, annual or...
28 July 2022 was an historic day in both biology and artificial intelligence (AI). DeepMind, a firm specialising in AI research owned by Alphabet, made freely available the structural data on more than 200 million proteins from its AlphaFold tool. This represents data on roughly 1 million species and covers the vast majority of known proteins on earth1. In...
This is spoken about a lot but what does it mean? In starting a business you would need funding and a business plan, right? You would have realistic goals mapped out and be focused on your cashflow. You wouldn't blow your 'cash' in recruiting too fast, or buying too much stock or spending too much on marketing. Yet, in trading most don't have a plan. Or...
When the Russia-Ukraine conflict first broke out, world markets were in a complete shock. Equities fell and commodities rose as geopolitical tension became the dominant price driver. As fighting dragged on from weeks to months, other important factors took over. Besides the traditional supply and demand variables, we have witnessed a record shattering inflation...
Since we last covered gold , most of our views have played out, as real yields rose and dollar strengthened significantly. As central banks remain committed to fighting the greatest inflation seen in decades, we see continued headwind for the yellow metal. Going back to our real-yield and dollar analysis framework, we see 2 key points. Firstly, real...
I have been a trader for a very long time, so listen as I spit some facts. News is worse than a distraction, it ACTIVELY inhibits you from making good decisions. You have TradingView at your fingertips and it contains all the information you need, in a package so advanced it's frightening. STICK TO PRICE ACTION! I will say this again at the end. I am 100%...
We roll into the new trading week with risk and sentiment on the front foot – a broadly weaker USD, a slight dip in US real rates and a 5% rise WoW in reserve liabilities (on the Fed’s balance sheet) all working concurrently as a tailwind. Certainly, the correlation with reserves seems key and where reserves go risky assets head in obedience – liquidity is always...
Hey everyone! 👋 This month, we wanted to explore the topic of interest rates; what they are, why they are important, and how you can use interest rate information in your trading. This is a topic that new traders typically gloss over when starting out, so we hope this is a helpful and actionable series for new people looking to learn more about macroeconomics and...
A brief walk-through analysis on my most recent position. In this video I talk about: Breakout analysis of Cardano Profit Targets utilizing Fib analysis Trade entry using basic position sizing calculation Identifying stop loss and support areas RSI divergences Thanks for watching! 🤙
Despite guessing the trajectory for Ethereum over the last few weeks quite successfully, my trading profits have been "okay," but not up to par with what I would accept as "worthwhile." I even opened a short two days ago at support but got stopped out, instead of following my plan and opening a long. Why is that? You can see my trades, in addition to my reasoning...
During recessionary economies, the money-classes that take the biggest hits are usually assets - stocks, real-estate, speculative assets, which, yes, also includes NFTs. As they say, during tough times, "cash is king". As we get deeper into it, we're going to see a big shift in the way people use and talk about their money. For crypto investors out there (or...
Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. on WEEKLY: Left Chart GBPUSD is sitting around a strong support zone so we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes. Unless that support is broken downward, then further movement downward would be expected. on H4: Right Chart GBPUSD is forming an inverse head and...
I think $LTHM offers tremendous long term upside here from a fundamental POV, as well as technical. I have a LEAPS position going, aiming to capture the upside in the chart. I suggest you keep some long term exposure to it via shares or calls (riskier, Jan 2024 calls should be fine). Miners will have a tough time ramping up lithium mining to meet EV makers...
When you understand the Wyckoffian phases of the market, you can determine when to be in or out of the market. You begin to understand how the large accounts determining market the trend, change of trend and price action. Wyckoff Phases of Accumulation Phase A: In phase A, supply has been dominant and it appears that finally the exhaustion of supply is...