Everything is Just Beginning: Why the War-Driven Rally is a Trap
Hey everyone,
The war in the Middle East, which I have been warning about throughout 2025, has begun. But to the surprise of many, the markets did not collapse. On the contrary, we saw a rally in cryptocurrency and gold, while indices only corrected slightly.
Just 5 min read it I warned you long

The best trades require research, then commitment.
Get started for free$0 forever, no credit card needed

Scott "Kidd" PoteetPolaris Dawn astronaut

Where the world does markets
Join 100 million traders and investors taking the future into their own hands.
Gold (XAU/USD): Safehaven flows favour Dollar โ will $5k hold?Gold took a serious hit yesterday, falling sharply despite the massive geopolitical escalation in the Middle East. Why? Because the resulting energy shock is inherently inflationary, and safe-haven flows are currently pouring into the US Dollar instead.
However, XAU/USD has found a critical floor a
Is Apple Rolling Over?Apple has done little for a long time, and some traders may think the tech giant is rolling over.
The first pattern on todayโs chart is the weekly close of $278.78 on December 5. AAPL tried to cross above that level the following week but failed. It was revisited early last month without breaking.
Microsoft - One of the best swingtrades ever!๐ตMicrosoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is setting up for something big:
๐Analysis summary:
For over six months, Microsoft has clearly been creating a healthy correction. But looking at higher timeframe structure, Microsoft is also currently retesting a major support area. If we see bullish confirmation s
BITCOIN at $50k would follow exactly the 2022 script.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to replicate the 2022 Bear Cycle, in fact it's been repeating the price action even before it as the build up sequence since 2021 is identical to the one of late 2024 - 2025.
BTC is right now at the 2nd Stage of consolidation right above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Oil Gaps Into Multi-Year ResistanceWith conflict erupting in the Middle East over the weekend, the gap higher in oil prices is hardly surprising. But while sudden price moves tend to attract traders like moths to a flame, moments like this are exactly when context becomes most important.
Geopolitics jolts energy markets
Energy
Gold โ Volatility Risks Increase Due to Iran ConflictIt could be argued that geopolitics werenโt considered a primary driver of Gold through much of February. The focus for traders was more on positioning, shifting Federal Reserve interest rate expectations and the jolt of uncertainty that followed the US Supreme Courtโs decision to strike down Presid
S&P and a very timely correction for the U.S. presidentWith the start of the boxing match between the U.S. and the regime in Iran in the Middle East ring, and with rising threats around the Strait of Hormuz, around 20โ30% of global oil and gas supply could be disruptedโat least in the coming week (hopefully not for long).
Usually, these kinds of tensio
Bitcoin - War in Dubai, Bitcoin crash soon! (pump after that)The current war between Iran and the UAE (Dubai) will probably send the price of Bitcoin (and all altcoins) down! Dubai has been one of the most secure places in the world, but with the current attacks, people may lose trust, and the housing market could collapse in this country. Dubai is known as a
See all editors' picks ideasย
Swing Profile [BigBeluga]๐ต OVERVIEW
Swing Profile is a dynamic swing-based volume profiling tool that builds a complete volume profile for each completed market swing.
Instead of using fixed sessions or time ranges, the indicator anchors its profile strictly between confirmed swing highs and swing lows, allowing tra
[MAD] Gann o MaticusGannomat โ Full Automated Gann Grids & Astro Cycles
Automatic Gann quadrant boxes with geometric arc projections. Cycle boundaries from standard timeframes or real planetary astronomy.
Thanks BarefootJoey, master of Astrolib
What Does This Indicator Do?
Gannomat draws a Gann quadrant box
Breakout Volume Delta | Flux ChartsGENERAL OVERVIEW:
Breakout Volume Delta is an indicator that measures breakout strength using lower-timeframe volume delta. It estimates buyer vs. seller participation within the breakout candle by summing bullish and bearish sub-candle volumes, then visualizes that dominance by splitting the candl
HTF Floating Candles w/ Volume Footprint [theUltimator5]This indicator is designed to pull higher-timeframe candles outside of the chart, and add the footprint volume data to give a complete snapshot of the Higher Timeframe (HTF) trading range and volume data without cluttering your view.
IMPORTANT!
This uses the new request.footprint() call, which ma
Earnings Snapshot [Trendoscope]๐ฒ Overview
The Earnings Snapshot is a custom indicator designed to provide traders and investors with a quick, visual overview of a stock's earnings performance and its impact on price action. This tool automates the analysis of earnings reports by fetching historical and future earnings data,
Market Structure Dashboard | Flux ChartsGENERAL OVERVIEW
Market Structure Dashboard is a multi-timeframe market structure analysis indicator. It combines EMA trend detection, swing high/low tracking, market structure labels, Order Block detection, Fair Value Gap detection, liquidity sweep detection, volume analysis, volatility analysis,
Smart NR2-NR20 and Inside Bar (Zeiierman)โ Overview
Smart NR2โNR20 + Inside Bar (Zeiierman) is a compression + breakout scanner that searches for the tightest Narrow Range (NR) condition across NR2โฆNR20, plus optional Inside Bar detection. When a valid compression forms, it draws a box around the setup, projects the high/low levels for
TASC 2026.03 One Percent A Weekโ OVERVIEW
This script implements "A High-Probability Weekly Trading Strategy For TQQQ" as dictated in the March 2026 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips , "Trading Snapbacks In A Leveraged ETFโ. In this article the author creates a mean reversion strategy intended for systematic and discretionary
Smart Trader, Concentric Candles & Aristotelian Cycloids
Smart Trader, Episode 05
Concentric Candles & Aristotelian Cycloids
by Ata Sabanci
The Spark โ How a 2,000-Year-Old Paradox Found the Charts
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
It started with a film about Aristotle's Wheel
Paradox โ a problem that puzzled mathematicians
for two mille
MovingAveragesLibrary "MovingAverages"
A collection of O(1) numerically stable moving averages that support anchors and fractional lengths up to 100k bars.
Pine Script has a robust set of moving averages suitable for a majority of cases, making these alternatives useful only if you need anchoring, fractional
See all indicators and strategiesย
Community trends
๏ปฟBROADCOM If this level breaks, expect a bottom at $255.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) rebounded aggressively this week on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but remains practically ranged within that and its 1D MA100 (red trend-line) since the week of January 20.
Within its 4-year Channel Up, this is not the first time we see this price action, as the stock was in th
TESLA Inc (TSLA): Price Trends On Descending ChannelAs of Friday, March 6, 2026, Tesla stock is trading around $405.55, following a slight decrease of 0.10% in the previous session. the stock has recently seen upward momentum following a high profile upgrade from Bank of America, which raised its rating to Buy with a $460 price target.
Technical Out
Alibaba - Another textbook swingtrade!๐Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) creates another break and retest:
๐Analysis summary:
Just a couple of months ago, Alibaba retested a major horizontal resistance. And with the recent expected rejection of about -30%, Alibaba is creating another bullish break and retest. Give it some time but Alibaba lo
RCL โ 1,000% in 5 Years. CRACK!Royal Caribbean went from crash to 10x in five years. That's one of the biggest recoveries in the market. But big moves don't last forever. Right now, RCL is showing a double top followed by a head-and-shoulders โ stacked on top of each other โ right at a major ceiling. Two CRACKS have already been
The key is whether it can rise above 87.68 ~ 92.50
Hello, traders!
Follow me to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
-------------------------------------
To continue the uptrend, the price must remain above 81.28.
Therefore, the key is whether it can find support in the 81.28 ~ 91.78 range and rise.
If the upward movement fa
Exxon Has Paused. Is there Still Gas in the Tank?Exxon Mobil has paused after a breakout, and some traders may think it still has gas in the tank.
The first pattern on todayโs chart is the steady uptrend in January and early February after the energy giant cleared its previous all-time high from October 2024.
Second is the period of sideways mo
XOM | Oil Is About To Make a Move | LONGExxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. It operates through the following segments: Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products. The Upstream segment organizes the exploration of crude oil and natural g
OXY Breaks Above $50 โ Buffettโs Oil BetOccidental Petroleum (OXY) is one of the largest U.S. oil and gas producers, with core operations concentrated in the Permian Basin, one of the most profitable and lowest-cost oil regions in the world.
In addition to traditional upstream production, the company has been investing heavily in carbon
See all stocks ideasย
Mar 9
KFYKorn Ferry
Actual
โ
Estimate
1.24
USD
Mar 9
TSHATaysha Gene Therapies, Inc.
Actual
โ
Estimate
โ0.10
USD
Mar 9
FHTXFoghorn Therapeutics Inc.
Actual
โ
Estimate
โ0.24
USD
Mar 9
LSTALisata Therapeutics, Inc.
Actual
โ
Estimate
โ0.51
USD
Mar 9
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.
Actual
โ
Estimate
โ0.36
USD
Mar 9
CGEMCullinan Therapeutics, Inc.
Actual
โ
Estimate
โ0.81
USD
Mar 9
WKHSWorkhorse Group, Inc.
Actual
โ
Estimate
โ8.88
USD
Mar 9
EBEventbrite, Inc.
Actual
โ
Estimate
โ0.03
USD
See more eventsย
Community trends
๏ปฟBTC in trap area before testing bottom again BTC / USDT
This might seem like a breakout to many , but to me, Bitcoin doesn't typically exhibit simple breakouts like this; it looks more like a liquidity zone or a trap. News about wars and energy in the Middle East is also a catalyst.
What next ?
I see we'll retest the bottom of the horizo
BITCOIN latest Death Cross historically does -50% drop from hereBitcoin (BTCUSD) has just completed a Death Cross on the 3D time-frame, which is when the MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the MA200 (orange trend-line).
Every time this took place since 2014 during a Bear Cycle, BTC dropped by at least another -52%. That was the case of the 2022 and 2018 Bear
March Altcoin Analysis Request โ Limited SlotsGlobal tension and ongoing geopolitical conflicts are currently creating extreme uncertainty across financial markets. With increasing instability around the world, market structure has become more reactive, volatile, and difficult to predict, especially within the crypto sector.
Because of this en
Bitcoin Price Update โ Clean & Clear ExplanationBitcoin where price recently experienced a strong bullish rally before encountering resistance and starting a short-term pullback.
Technically, Bitcoin surged with strong momentum and reached a key resistance zone around 73,000 โ 74,000, where sellers stepped in and rejected higher prices. After th
BTCUSDT Analysis: Rejection at 71,400 Signals Possible PullbackHello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (3H) chart structure. Bitcoin previously moved under a broad descending resistance line, where sellers maintained control and the market consistently produced lower highs after each recovery attempt. This structure reflected sus
BTCUSDT Short: Pullback Scenario Toward 71,200 Before Next MoveHello traders! Hereโs my technical outlook based on the current BTCUSDT (1H) chart structure. Bitcoin previously moved within a clearly defined descending channel, where price consistently printed lower highs and lower lows, confirming sustained bearish pressure during that phase. Sellers controlled
BTC/USD โ Key Support & Target ZonesThe chart highlights critical support and resistance levels for BTC/USD. The blue upward channel trendline indicates strong dynamic support, while the 80,000 line marks the potential major resistance/target zone. Price is expected to bounce from the current support zone, with potential upward moveme
Ethereum - Creating the bearmarket bottom!๐ฐEthereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is finishing its bearmarket:
๐Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Ethereum created an expected correction of more than -50%. But with this recent dip, Ethereum is now retesting major support. The underlying triangle is still valid and Et
SOL/USDT: Massive Bearish Flag - Road to $47.53As shown in my chart, Solana is following a textbook Bearish Flag pattern. The flagpole started from the $150 level, and after a period of consolidation, the price is now rejecting the upper resistance of the flag.
I have drawn a purple projection line that shows the expected path. Once we break the
BTCUSD Bullish Triangle Breakout.....
The BTCUSD chart shows a **bullish triangle formation** where price consolidates between rising support and horizontal resistance. The market respected the **ascending trend line**, creating higher lows and building buying pressure. A clear **Break of Structure (BOS)** occurs as price breaks above
See all crypto ideasย
Gold: Breakout and Potential Retrace! Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 5,110 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 5,110 support and resistance area.
XAUUSD โ 4H Triangle Compression Inside a Broader CorrectionXAUUSD โ 4H Triangle Compression Inside a Broader Correction
XAUUSD is compressing inside what currently looks like a post-impulse triangle on the 4H chart, not a confirmed trend reversal.
The key structural point is the context of the pattern. This triangle is forming after a sharp bearish di
XAUUSD โ 2H Structure Analysis (SMC Perspective)Market Context
On the 2H timeframe, gold appears to be consolidating within a defined range after a strong impulsive move down. The market has formed a distribution-like structure, where price is repeatedly reacting inside the range without creating strong bullish continuation.
The sharp selloff f
Goldโs Larger ABCDE Structure Points to a Potential Upside BreakGoldโs Larger ABCDE Structure Points to a Potential Upside Break
This is another perspective on how I see gold developing.
The price may be in wave E of a larger ABCDE pattern.
After an aggressive correction in wave D, it looks like Gold may soon start an impulsive wave.
I am not the only one s
GOLD Very Near Perfect Place For See , 500 Pips Waiting !Here is My 15Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we again Below 5120.00 With 4H Candle and This was a very strong res and forced the price to go up many times very hard so it will be a great place to sell and the price come back to retest it ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perf
GOLD (XAU/USD): Technical Outlook & Where to Buy/Sell!โ ๏ธGold is currently consolidating. within a symmetrical triangle formation on a 4-hour timeframe.
Taking into consideration, that the market is trading in a global bullish trend,
I would suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of the resistance line of this pattern to catch the next trend - followin
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
During the week we managed to capture the turn, break the defence, hit the target and as you can see we've bounced from the lower target which was also a strong defence box.
A decent week, although we didn't really do much today due to NFP, we've ended with a
Gold Price Action Analysis โ Key Support and Resistance LevelsThis chart presents a detailed technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD), highlighting critical price levels and market behavior. The Upper Resistance at 5,700.000 USD represents a strong potential rejection zone, while the Key Resistance Level at 5,588.643 USD could act as an obstacle to further price g
XAUUSD: Trend Line Support Could Trigger New Move Toward 5,280Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold previously showed a strong bullish impulse, moving higher from the lower price region while respecting a well-defined ascending trend line. During this move, the market repeatedly created higher lows, confirmin
See all futures ideasย
EURUSD: Descending Structure Favors Further Decline To 1.1530Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD previously traded inside a clearly defined downward channel, where sellers maintained control and price consistently formed lower highs and lower lows. This structure reflected sustained bearish pressure as t
GBPUSD Bearish Outlook | War Tensions Boost USD!Hey Traders,
In the coming week, we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around the 1.34800 zone.
GBPUSD is currently trading in a downtrend and is undergoing a corrective phase, approaching a key trendline confluence and the 1.34800 supportโresistance area. This level could act as a st
GBPUSD Consolidates Before NFP โ Breakout Will Define DirectionGBPUSD Consolidates Before NFP โ Breakout Will Define Direction
GBPUSD is in a very complex position this time. The trend is down on the 4-hour chart and the pattern looks like a bearish continuation pattern.
However, since we are ahead of the NFP data today, we are also exposed to any strange up
EUR/CAD - Bearish Flag (05.03.2026)๐ Descriptionโ
Setu p FX:EURCAD
EURCAD on the M30 timeframe is forming a bearish flag pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the prior downtrend.
Key observations from the chart:
โ Strong impulsive bearish move (flag pole)
โ Consolidation forming an ascending flag channel
โ Price tr
NZD-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZDUSD reclaimed a bullish imbalance after sweeping sell-side liquidity, suggesting a shift in short-term orderflow. If buyers maintain control above this level, continuation toward the next buy-side liquidity is likely.
--------------------
Stop Loss: 0.5856
Take Profit: 0.5941
E
GBPJPY is showing a strong bullish trend on the 15-minute timefr๐ GBP/JPY Trade Setup โ 15M Timeframe ๐
๐ Market Outlook:
GBPJPY is showing a strong bullish trend on the 15-minute timeframe. Price is expected to continue upward with buying interest from the previous breakout area around 210.800, where buyers may step in again.
๐ Buy Zone (Breakout Retest): 210
Consolidation Before the Next Leg Higher?The British Pound against the Yen is currently navigating a complex corrective phase. After losing the primary ascending trendline (dashed), the pair has entered a horizontal range between 209.50 and 211.30.
The Thesis: Price is currently rejecting the mid-range. I am looking for a final sweep of t
See all forex ideasย
Trade directly on Supercharts through our supported, fully-verified, and user-reviewed brokers.



























































