The Bear Market Isn't Coming? Old BTC Playbook is a TrapFor years, traders have relied on Bitcoin's predictable cycles. We look for the same clues, the same topping signals, and the same patterns. But what if the market has evolved? What if the playbook we've all been studying is now a trap?
This analysis dives deep into key indicators across all three

The best trades require research, then commitment.
Get started for free$0 forever, no credit card needed

Scott "Kidd" PoteetThe unlikely astronaut

Where the world does markets
Join 100 million traders and investors taking the future into their own hands.
Major indices
QE and YCC: What does it all mean?ECONOMICS:USCBBS
CBOT:ZB1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
There is growing market speculation that the Fed may tolerate inflation above 2% for longer, consistent with its Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework introduced in 2020.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal rates minus
EURUSD: Rally from Wedge Support to 1.1880Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
A prior uptrend failed, leading to a sharp drop down to the major Support zone 2 around the 1.1450 level. However, strong buying pressure emerged from that low, initiating a powerful reversal and establishing the cu
BTC Breakdown: Watching 112.6K-113.5K for Rejection Toward 109kHello guys!
Trend Structure:
The price was moving in a clear ascending channel, but recently broke down below the lower boundary with strong bearish momentum. This confirms a structural shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Current Price Action:
After the breakdown, BTC attempted a relief rally
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum to ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish phase, confirmed by the establishment of a well-defined ascending channel. This uptrend was initiated after a breakout from lower levels and has shown significant strength by pushing through multiple prior resistance areas, in
Bear market has startedThe End of the Bull Cycle. Why I'm Selling Everything and Won't Buy Again Until September 2026.
For the last year and a half, I have said that we are in a bull market. I never once changed my opinion. But all things come to an end. The time has come.
September 13, 2025, the date I have been ment
IPO Market Is Hot – Explore Winners, Losers & Listing CandidatesThe IPO market has woken up from its multi-year nap and is now in beast mode. But as always, Wall Street’s hottest party comes with an entrance fee and a dose of uncertainty – opaque prices, sketchy balance sheets, and a whole lot of FOMO.
So who’s winning, who’s losing, and who’s still waiting in
INDV - Helping Trump Fight The Drug War In The US and Overseas.Thought this was a good example of the kind of stock I like to trade.
Not all of these have to be true to make it tradable. Just things I like to see.
Up over 100% over the last 12 months
Nice and steady price gains continuing to make higher highs
Had a good bump on earnings
Has had a recent
Nvidia Returns to Yearly Highs on Temporary Boost in ConfidenceNvidia’s stock started the week with a gain of more than 4%, maintaining a steady bullish bias after it was announced that the company will invest over $100 billion in OpenAI to support the development of artificial intelligence infrastructure. As part of the agreement, Nvidia is expected to receive
Supreme Court ruling could lift gold further Gold has climbed $410 over the past four weeks, reaching ~$3,750 today after an additional ~$60 gain.
The combination of political risk, questions over central bank independence, and robust technical momentum has positioned gold as one of the best performing assets.
The Supreme Court has appare
See all editors' picks ideas
FiniteStateMachine🟩 OVERVIEW
A flexible framework for creating, testing and implementing a Finite State Machine (FSM) in your script. FSMs use rules to control how states change in response to events.
This is the first Finite State Machine library on TradingView and it's quite a different way to think about your
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman) is a volume-based market activity meter that transforms dollar-volume into a smooth, normalized “activity index.”
It highlights when market participation is unusually low or high with a dynamic color gradient:
Light Blue → Low Activity (thin p
Expected Value Monte CarloI created this indicator after noticing that there was no Expected Value indicator here on TradingView.
The EVMC provides statistical Expected Value to what might happen in the future regarding the asset you are analyzing.
It uses 2 quantitative methods:
Historical Backtest to ground your anal
Bar Index & TimeLibrary to convert a bar index to a timestamp and vice versa.
Utilizes runtime memory to store the 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎 and 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎_𝚌𝚕𝚘𝚜𝚎 values of every bar on the chart (and optional future bars), with the ability of storing additional custom values for every chart bar.
█ PREFACE
This library aims to tackle s
Liquidity Void Detector (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Liquidity Void Detector (Zeiierman) is an oscillator highlighting inefficient price displacements under low participation. It measures the most recent price move (standardized return) and amplifies it only when volume is below its own trend.
Positive readings ⇒ strong up-move
DeltaFlow Volume Profile [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
The DeltaFlow Volume Profile builds a compact volume profile next to price and enriches every bin with flow context : bullish vs. bearish participation (%), a per-bin Delta % , an optional Delta Heat Map , and a PoC band with the bin’s absolute volume. This lets you see not just
Volume by Time [LuxAlgo]The Volume by Time indicator collects volume data for every point in time over the day and displays the average volume of the specific dataset collected at each respective bar.
The indicator overlays the current volume and the historical average to allow for better comparisons.
🔶 USAGE
Thr
FlowScope [Hapharmonic]FlowScope: Uncover the Market's True Intent 🔬
Ever wished you could look inside the candles and see where the real action is happening? FlowScope is your microscope for the market's flow, designed to give you a powerful edge by revealing the volume distribution that price action alone can't sh
VWAP Price ChannelVWAP Price Channel cuts the crust off of a traditional price channel (Donchian Channel) by anchoring VWAPs at the highs and lows. By doing this, the flat levels, characteristic of traditional Donchian Channels, are no more!
Author's Note: This indicator is formed with no inherent use, and serves
Fibonacci Sequence Circles [BigBeluga]🔵 Overview
The Fibonacci Sequence Circles is a unique and visually intuitive indicator designed for the TradingView platform. It combines the principles of the Fibonacci sequence with geometric circles to help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as price expansio
See all indicators and strategies
Community trends
TSLA: Likely to Continue Rising if Holding Above $440Hello everyone,
Today, Tesla (TSLA) shares are trading at $442.87, up 0.77% from the previous close. After a strong rally recently, the market is closely watching whether TSLA can sustain its upward momentum or if a short-term pullback may occur.
The slight retreat in recent sessions mainly stems
$TSLA: Sierpinski Fibs (RAW)Documenting in interactive the geometry of movements for research purposes to learn how future outcomes deviates in respect to angles from original measurements. Since the periods are vast, the corresponding price axis also spans large magnitudes. This uncovers the long-term confluence points and pr
NVDA Is Setup to Break New All-time Highs2025-09-26: NVDA Bullish Setup is Ready
1). Higher Lows Thursday ($173.13), Friday ($174.93). Will be perfect setup if next Monday close higher than $174.93.
2). Today vs Startup date Volume 23% Decrease 09-18: 191.76M vs 09-26 148.47M
3). Support Doji (Lower wig longer)
4). Close above all Moving
NVDA: Potential Long Opportunity at Key Support LevelHello, fellow traders.
This analysis looks at a potential bullish setup on the 15-minute chart for NVIDIA (NVDA).
A key horizontal level has been identified around the $175.24 mark. As seen on the chart, this price has acted as a significant area of both support and resistance in recent trading sess
TSLA: Battery Low, Time to Recharge?After reaching the all-time high area again with Elliott Wave C on the daily chart, a downside retracement looks likely. There are still gaps below to be filled, along with key Fibonacci levels yet to be tested. This creates a solid opportunity for a 1 ATR short trade, with the first target set at $
Apple Shares (AAPL) Close to Reaching Record HighApple Shares (AAPL) Close to Reaching Record High
On 10 September, we noted that following the launch of new products — including the iPhone 17 — AAPL shares had fallen by approximately 1.5%, as analysts considered the model lacked the breakthrough appeal necessary to drive further growth.
Howeve
TESLA - Expected drop to 350 area following newswassup guys its Tommy here, its been a while i know.
With less time on my hands to scalp gold as i did, i have been looking at stocks and applying my skills in different areas like swing trading and investing short and long term.
Its easier on the mind for me as i can research in my own time and
9/26/25 - $naka - continuing to load9/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NAKA
continuing to load
- not complicated
- 25-30% discount to BTC on balance sheet
- good Trump play
- defn the only -ve i find here is ppl complaining about getting burned (story as old as time), i mean you were all buying BTC at >$1.0M equivalent at the peak of
See all stocks ideas
Sep 29
TAOPTaoping Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
—
Sep 29
GMGIGolden Matrix Group, Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
−0.00
USD
Sep 29
APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
0.84
USD
Sep 29
CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp.
Actual
—
Estimate
−0.75
USD
Sep 29
LITSLite Strategy, Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
—
Sep 29
IXHLIncannex Healthcare Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
−0.29
USD
Sep 29
ANEBAnebulo Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
−0.07
USD
Sep 29
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated
Actual
—
Estimate
0.09
USD
See more events
Community trends
Bitcoin - Sacrificed by the banks! (100k, then 130k - buy here)Bitcoin and the whole crypto market have been dropping heavily these days. And I know why! You may wonder, why is Bitcoin in such a weak uptrend, and why do the majority of altcoins never grow, or after a small pump, a huge dump follows? Finally, I bring you the answer to this important question man
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Buy the Dip Before $138K!Hello guys!
Bitcoin is once again at a critical stage, and the chart is giving us a clear roadmap for the next move. Let’s break it down:
Current Setup
Price is holding above $108K–109K and has shown strength around the $103K support zone.
The structure remains bullish as long as BTC trades abo
Bitcoin Short Update - Updated Targets and Corrective MoveHi all,
Short update on my BTC short - with updated numbers and anticipated zig zag correction.
I’m updating frequently because this drop will happen extremely fast. Only those who are prepared before hand will be able to take advantage.
110,000 to 35,000
35,000 to 81,000
81,000 to 8,000
Ta
Bitcoin Buy signalThis signal is a little risky and i would say it would be MED_RISK level.
also the RR is good and it is 1:3(Risk: Reward).
i put entry below the support of green trendline because we may have some stop loss hunting there.
Also if stop hit then market is also bearish for a while and more dump may le
Bitcoin Roadmap: Can BTC Hold the $108K Before Next Big move!?Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to break the Support zone($110,920-$109,900) and Support lines yesterday with the help of a Bearish Marubozu Candle(the Marubozu candle volume was acceptable).
Bitcoin is still moving in the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and near the important Support line
BTCUSD: Bearish Reversal on the Horizon?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
Bitcoin is showing signs of a bearish reversal as it tests the lower boundary of its rising channel, with the likelihood of a breakdown below the trendline increasing. The diamond pattern also seems to be completing, signaling further do
Arbitrum (ARB): Looking For Buy Entry | 2 Zones To Keep an EyeArbitrum caught our attention with potential buy zones that we might be seeing pretty soon. We are looking for slight downward movement from here toward the major CME gap, which would be an ideal area for a buy entry, once we form the proper MSB there, so that's what we are looking for.
Swallow Aca
PORTOUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumPORTOUSDT is currently trading with strong support levels, showing signs of accumulation and potential breakout momentum. The chart structure suggests that the pair is building strength within a demand zone, and with good trading volume backing it up, the probability of an upward move is high. Based
BTCUSD: Awaiting Rejection from the Seller ZoneHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been highly volatile, transitioning from a Downward Channel into the current Broadening wedge. This pattern is defined by higher highs and lower lows,
Bitcoin Setup: Will the Bears Push the Price Down to $100,000?Hey everyone, what’s your view on Bitcoin at the moment?
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is clearly in a downtrend, moving within a descending channel that shows strong bearish momentum. The price is currently at an important support level after a significant drop. As the market approaches the
See all crypto ideas
XAU/USD | Gold at $3,740 – Demand Zone Decides the Next MoveBy analyzing the Gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price finally started a correction, dropping to $3,717 . From this key psychological level, demand stepped in and pushed gold strongly up to $3,761 .
Currently, gold is trading around $3,740 , but it hasn’t full
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEDaily Chart Update
3776 Target Achieved!!
A beautifully strong finish to the week, with our 1H and 4H chart ideas playing out, and now the daily chart projection completing perfectly.
Last week, we highlighted the importance of a candle body close above 3683, which opened the gap toward 3776. That
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of the news. Rise or fall?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar.
The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increa
Gold could continue higher!Price had been consolidating, where sellers tried to cap momentum but could only slow buyers down, not reverse them. Buyers steadily building pressure. Eventually, price broke through the flag’s resistance line with conviction, signaling a strong continuation move.
If price retests the broken fla
XAU/USD: Gold Pauses Ahead of Inflation ReportHello everyone, let’s take a look at gold (XAU/USD) price action during the 25th of September session!
Following a surprise drop in US jobless claims, gold has stalled around $3,740 per ounce while investors await the PCE inflation report – a key release that could shape the Fed’s next move on int
Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Complete Potential ContinuationOANDA:XAUUSD pulled back after hitting the 3,790 resistance but continues to respect the upward trendline and channel structure. Price action shows a trend continuation setup with consolidation zones acting as mid-support. As long as 3,730 holds, buyers may attempt another push toward the 3,800 and
Gold Prepares for a New Breakout👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
XAUUSD has been consolidating in a narrow range, forming a bullish flag pattern with clear support at 3,730. Additionally, the Bollinger Bands are showing that the market is preparing for a potential breakout.
If the price co
Gold at Key Decision Zone: Breakout or Breakdown?Hello guys!
Let's analyze Gold!
🔸 Current Market Structure
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle after a strong bullish run.
Momentum remains positive, but sellers are defending the upper trendline.
Key short-term support is around 3,720 – 3,710 zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (Mo
Gold Roadmap: Breakout Confirmed –New ATH or Another Correction?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) as I expected in the previous idea (Short and Long positions hit the target).
First of all, I should say that this analysis is for the short term and on a 15-minute time frame.
Gold seems to have managed to break the Resistance lines, Resistance zone($3,763-$3,750), and the
See all futures ideas
EUR/AUD - Breakout Pattern|Buy Opportunity (26.09.2025)The EUR/AUD pair has been trading inside a descending wedge formation and is now showing a potential breakout to the upside.
🔹 Price successfully tested the trendline resistance and is gaining bullish momentum.
🔹 Buyers are stepping in after multiple rejections near the lower boundary (A–C trendlin
Euro will Fall Towards the 1.1575 Support LevelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has recently shown a significant sign of weakness, with a failed breakout above the key 1.1770 Resistance Level. After a sustained rally within an upward channel, the price of EURUSD pushed into the 1.1770 - 1.1790 s
EURUSD: Strong U.S. Data Supports USD, All Eyes on PCEEURUSD: Strong U.S. Data Supports USD, All Eyes on PCE
From our analysis during the FOMC meeting, EURUSD formed only a false bullish breakout, as I explained earlier, and has already reached two of our targets.
U.S. data has been strong for a long time, but the dollar has been held back by specul
CAD/JPY 1H chart Pattern..CAD/JPY 1H chart:
Current price is around 107.43.
I have already marked two downside target levels with arrows.
📉 Targets shown:
1. First target: ~ 107.00
2. Second target: ~ 106.30
So if CAD/JPY continues to reject from the red resistance zone, my downside targets are:
TP1 → 107.00
TP2
USD/JPY: Important Bearish SignalFollowing a strong bullish rally, 📉USDJPY shows a brief period of consolidation on an hourly chart
Subsequent to the release of today's US economic data, the price experienced a decline, resulting in the formation of a high-momentum bearish candle.
The hourly candle closed below the range's suppo
GBPUSD → Will the bulls be able to maintain the bullish trend?FX:GBPUSD slows down in the 1.334 zone amid a sharp decline. The market is testing trend support against the backdrop of a bullish run in the DXY due to confusing data from Powell...
The dollar continues its countertrend correction and is approaching resistance as part of the rally. A fall in
GBPUSD - Unexpected Reversal👋Hello everyone, what do you think about FX:GBPUSD ?
The GBP/USD pair ended Thursday's trading session with a decline of over 0.78%, seemingly preparing to test even lower levels due to the lack of economic data in the UK, which will likely draw traders into the momentum of the U.S. Dollar.
Loo
AUD/JPY - Bearish Rejection from Key Zone📉 AUD/JPY Analysis 📉
Price is currently testing a key structure level after rejecting the upper zone. If bearish pressure continues, we could see a potential drop toward the highlighted Key Zones below. 🚨
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 96.10 – 96.30
Support Zones: 97.40 / 97.25
⚠️ Watch how price
GBPCAD Gears up to Break Higher?Price has been steadily climbing while respecting the ascending trendline, showing that buyers are consistently stepping in. Sellers have been defending the horizontal resistance zone, but each push lower is weaker as buyers continue to build pressure from below.
If buyers finally break through thi
EUR/USD Forecast: Market Shifts Toward Bearish PressureThe pair has shown a strong upward run earlier this month, but momentum slowed down as sellers stepped in with consistent pressure. Recent movement reflects a corrective phase, with price action shifting into a more cautious and volatile rhythm.
Short-term activity shows fluctuations suggesting ind
See all forex ideas
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Trade directly on the supercharts through our supported, fully-verified and user-reviewed brokers.