Mastering chart patterns - How to use them in trading!Chart patterns are visual formations created by the price movements of a financial asset—like a stock, currency, or cryptocurrency, on a price chart. Traders use these patterns in technical analysis to predict future market direction based on historical behavior. The main chart patterns are the reversal and continuation patterns.
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What will we discuss?
- Bullish reversal patterns
- Bearish reversal patterns
- Bullish continuation patterns
- Bearish continuation patterns
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Bullish reversal patterns:
Double bottom
A double bottom in trading is a bullish reversal pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. It forms when the price of an asset falls to a low, bounces back up, then drops again to roughly the same low before rising once more. This creates a "W" shape on the chart.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break back above the neckline with strong volume, as this indicates a potential bullish reversal. Once the breakout is confirmed, look for an entry on the pullback to the neckline.
Inverted head and shoulders
An inverted head and shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend and signals a possible shift to an uptrend.
It consists of three parts:
* The left shoulder, where the price makes a low and then bounces.
* The head, which is a deeper low followed by another bounce.
* The right shoulder, a higher low similar in level to the left shoulder.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break above the neckline with strong volume, as this confirms the pattern and signals a potential upward move. After the breakout, it's important to wait for a retest of the neckline to look for an entry. Traders typically place a stop-loss just below the right shoulder to manage risk.
Falling wedge
A falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern that often signals a potential reversal or continuation of an uptrend, depending on where it forms in a price trend.
It appears when the price is moving lower but within a narrowing range, creating two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. Both the highs and lows are falling, but the lower highs are coming down faster than the lower lows, which shows that selling pressure is losing strength over time.
How to trade it:
Wait for the falling wedge to break above the downward trendline and for the price to reclaim the most recent lower high. A breakout alone isn’t always reliable, sometimes the price moves briefly above the trendline without making a higher high, resulting in a fake-out. To confirm the move, wait for a clear higher high and then look to enter on the retracement that follows.
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Bearish reversal patterns
Double top
A double top is a bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
It forms when the price reaches a high, pulls back, then rallies again to the same or similar high but fails to break above it. This creates an "M" shape on the chart. The neckline is the support level at the low point between the two peaks. When the price breaks below this neckline with strong volume, it confirms the pattern and suggests that selling pressure is taking over.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break below the neckline with strong volume, as this indicates a potential bearish reversal. Once the breakout is confirmed, look for an entry on the pullback to the neckline.
Head and shoulders
A head and shoulders is a bearish reversal pattern that typically forms after an uptrend and signals a potential shift to a downtrend.
It consists of three peaks:
* The left shoulder, where the price rises and then falls.
* The head, which is a higher peak followed by another decline.
* The right shoulder, a lower high that is roughly equal in height to the left shoulder.
How to trade it:
Before entering a trade, wait for the price to break below the neckline with strong volume, as this confirms the pattern and signals a potential downside move, After the breakout, it’s important to wait for a retest of the neckline to look for an entry. Traders typically place a stop-loss just above the right shoulder to manage risk
Rising wedge
A rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern that often signals a potential reversal or continuation of an downtrend, depending on where it forms in a price trend.
It appears when the price is moving higher but within a narrowing range, creating two upward-sloping, converging trendlines. Both the highs and lows are rising, but the highs are increasing at a faster rate than the lows. This suggests that buying pressure is weakening over time, and the market may be preparing for a downturn.
How to trade it:
Wait for the rising wedge to break below the upsloping trendline and for the price to reclaim the most recent high low. A breakout alone isn’t always reliable, sometimes the price moves briefly below the trendline without making a lower low, resulting in a fake-out. To confirm the move, wait for a clear lower low and then look to enter on the retracement that follows.
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Bullish continuation patterns
Bullflag
A bull flag is a continuation pattern that signals the potential for a price to continue moving upward after a brief consolidation or pullback.
It forms when the price experiences a strong upward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation or a slight downward movement (the flag). The flag typically slopes downward or moves sideways, and the consolidation phase usually occurs within two parallel trendlines, creating a rectangle or slight downward channel.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the downsloping trendline and establish a higher high. If the price doesn’t make a higher high, it could be a fake-out. Once a higher high is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected upward from the breakout point.
Bullish pennant
A bullish pennant is a continuation pattern that indicates the potential for a price to continue its upward trend after a brief consolidation. It forms when a strong upward move (the flagpole) is followed by a period of consolidation, where the price moves within converging trendlines, creating a small symmetrical triangle or pennant shape. The consolidation typically shows lower highs and higher lows, and the pattern suggests that the market is taking a "breather" before continuing its upward momentum.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the downsloping trendline and establish a higher high. If the price doesn’t make a higher high, it could be a fake-out. Once a higher high is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected upward form the breakout point.
Ascending triangle
An ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that typically forms during an uptrend, signaling that the price is likely to continue moving higher.
It is characterized by a horizontal resistance line at the top, formed by a series of peaks at roughly the same price level, and an ascending support line at the bottom, formed by higher lows. This creates a triangle shape, where the price is gradually compressing between the horizontal resistance and the rising support.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break above the horizontal resistance level with strong volume. Once the breakout occurs, look for an entry on the retracement back to this area.
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Bearish continuation patterns
Bearflag
A bear flag is a bearish continuation pattern that suggests the price is likely to continue moving downward after a brief consolidation or upward pullback.
It forms when there is a strong downward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation or slight upward movement (the flag). The flag typically slopes upward or moves sideways, and the consolidation occurs within two parallel trendlines, creating a rectangular or upward-sloping channel. This pattern shows that, despite the short-term pullback, the overall downtrend remains intact.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the upsloping trendline and establish a lower low. If the price doesn’t make a lower low, it could be a fake-out. Once a lower low is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected downward for the breakout point.
Bearish pennant
A bearish pennant is a bearish continuation pattern that signals a potential continuation of a downtrend after a brief consolidation.
It forms when there is a strong downward move (the flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where the price moves within converging trendlines, creating a small symmetrical triangle or pennant shape. The consolidation typically shows lower highs and higher lows, indicating that the price is taking a pause before continuing its downward movement.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the upsloping trendline and establish a lower low. If the price doesn’t make a lower low, it could be a fake-out. Once a lower low is confirmed, look for an entry on the retracement. The target is typically the length of the flagpole projected downward for the breakout point.
Descending triangle
A descending triangle is a bearish continuation pattern that typically forms during a downtrend, indicating that the price is likely to continue moving lower after a period of consolidation.
The pattern is characterized by a horizontal support line at the bottom, formed by a series of lows at approximately the same price level, and a descending resistance line at the top, formed by a series of lower highs. The price contracts between these two trendlines, creating a triangle shape with a downward-sloping upper boundary and a flat lower boundary.
How to trade it?
Before entering a position, wait for the price to break below the horizontal support level with strong volume. Once the breakout occurs, look for an entry on the retracement back to this area.
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Chart Patterns
Learn KEY PRINCIPLES of Technical Analysis in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's article, we will discuss the absolute basics of trading - 3 key principles of technical analysis in Forex & Gold Trading.
1️⃣History Repeats
History tends to repeat itself in the Forex market.
Certain trends are cyclical and may reemerge in a predictable manner, certain key levels are respected again and again over time.
Take a look at the example:
Silver perfectly respected a historical horizontal resistance in 2011 that was respected in 1980 already. Moreover, the price action before and after the tests of the underlined zone were absolutely identical.
2️⃣Priced In
All relevant information about a currency pair: economical and political events, rumors, and facts; is already reflected in a price.
When the FED increased the rate 26th of July by 25 bp, EURUSD bounced instead of falling. Before the rate hike, the market was going down on EXPECTATIONS of a rate hike. The release of the news was already price in.
3️⃣Pattern DO Work
Some specific price models can be applied for predicting the future price movements.
Technicians strongly believe that certain formations - being applied and interpreted properly, can give the edge on the market.
Depending on the trading style, different categories of patterns exist: harmonic patterns, price action patterns, wave patterns, candlestick patterns...
Above, I have listed various price action patterns that are applied by many traders and investors as the main tool for analyzing the financial markets.
If you believe in these 3 principles, you are an inborn technician!
Study technical analysis and learn to apply these principles to make money in trading.
b]❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How to Enter Trades the RIGHT Way!In this video, we're tackling an important question from our community member who's been crushing it in paper trading but faces the common challenge of entering trades blindly based on alerts, fearing they'll miss out otherwise.
We'll discuss:
Why blindly following signals can hurt your long-term success
The power of context in market structure: Why waiting for price to hit key support/resistance levels drastically improves your entries
A practical approach to manage FOMO: How scaling into trades can balance quick reaction times with better entries and tighter stops
Real examples of good vs. rushed entries, highlighting the impact on your risk-to-reward
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Behind The Scenes ResearchI want to say thank you to all of you and to share with you all the work/resources/servers/and other data I maintain to help me identify where and how the markets will present opportunities to all of us.
This video shows you a bit of the behind-the-scenes work I do and some of my proprietary modeling systems.
I'm not sharing this with you to try to win you over or to tell you I do more than anyone else in terms of research. I'm sure there are many others who go much further than I do in terms of trying to dissect the markets and the opportunities available.
But I do believe I deliver very unique research, which is a one-of-a-kind solution for traders.
Again, I'm not 100% accurate (I wish I were).
But I am trying to share some of the decision-making solutions I use to understand where the markets are likely to move over the next 2- 4+ months and how traders can profit from my research.
Remember, you are only seeing about 10% of my total research, tools, modeling systems, and capabilities in these Plan Your Trade videos.
I want to thank all of you who continue to value my work. It is not easy. It takes money, time, and resources to continue to monitor all of these systems/algos.
The end result, I believe, is one of the most unique future/current modeling system resources you can find anywhere.
Again, thank you for making my research a success. I promise to do more and improve my tools over the next 12+ months for everyone to find better profits.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Why All You Need Is the Chart: Let the Market Speak FirstYou missed the news? Doesn’t matter. The chart already heard it for you.
________________________________________
1. The Myth of Being “Informed”
Modern traders feel pressured to be constantly plugged in:
• Twitter alerts
• Trump’s latest outburst
• CNBC headlines
It feels like you’re missing out if you’re not watching everything.
But here’s the truth:
By the time you read the news, the market already priced it in.
Being "informed" doesn’t make you early . It usually makes you late .
________________________________________
2. The Chart Already Knows
Imagine a bullish surprise in the economy. You didn’t catch it live.
But when you open your chart, you see this:
📈 A bullish engulfing candle bouncing cleanly off major support.
That’s all you need. That’s your trade. You don’t need to know why it happened.
The chart speaks last. And the chart speaks loudest.
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3. Price Is the Final Judge
All the noise — opinions, reports, breaking headlines — flows into a single output: price.
• Economic collapse? The chart shows a break.
• Political turmoil? Price still rejects resistance.
Price is truth.
Instead of asking: " What happened? ", start asking: " What is price doing? "
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4. Real-Life Analogy
You don’t need to read the newspaper to know it’s raining. Just look out the window. 🌧️
Same with trading. Just look at the chart.
The price is your weather forecast. React to that. Not to noise.
________________________________________
5. What to Do Instead of Watching News:
• Draw clean support/resistance levels
• Wait for real confirmation (engulfings, breakouts, rejections)
• Manage risk — always
• Be patient. Let the market show its hand
________________________________________
Final Thought:
If something important happened, you’ll see it on the chart. You don’t need 10 sources. You don’t need speed. You need clarity.
Let the chart speak. It knows more than the news ever will.
How to Trade Liquidity Sweeps Using PDH/PDL Levels (Smart Money This guide shows how to use the **Liquidity Sweep Detector – PDH/PDL Levels** script, now live on my profile.
**What It Does:**
- Accurately plots the previous day's high and low on intraday charts (15m, 1H)
- Detects when price *sweeps* above or below those levels (potential liquidity grabs)
- Visually marks sweeps with a dashed line and alerts you in real time
- Optional table to show current sweep status (can be toggled off)
**How I Use It:**
- Wait for a sweep above PDH or below PDL
- Look for rejection candles or structure shift afterward (e.g., CHoCH or BOS)
- Combine with session timing (e.g., London/NY) for confluence
**Pro Tip:**
Set alerts to catch sweeps even when you're away from the screen. Just click "Add Alert" and use:
- `PDH Sweep Triggered`
- `PDL Sweep Triggered`
This is part of how I approach Smart Money trading — combining market structure with real liquidity events.
Script is open and free to use — find it on my profile:
**Liquidity Sweep Detector – PDH/PDL Levels**
Three Peaks and Domed House
Identification Guidelines
Points Discussion
1, 2 This is the base. It may or may not appear and has no significance.
3, 5, 7 These points form the three peaks pattern. It’s not a triple top where price
needs to peak near the same price. The shape of the peaks may be flat or
pointed. The time between peak 3 and 7 is about 8 months.
4, 6, 8 These are valleys between peaks 3, 5, and 7. The drop to the valley floor
can be considerable (that is, the retrace of the move up from 2 to 3 can
be large).
8, 9, 10 This is the separating decline. Price drops in at least two selling waves (7 to 8
and 9 to 10). The word least suggests there can be multiple selling waves,
so be flexible. The separating decline divides the three peaks from the
domed house, making both look squarish.
10 Valley 10 is always lower than 4 or 6 and often lower than both.
11–14 Price bottoms at 10 and then recovers to form at least two valleys that test
the low at 10. The peaks and valleys here should look symmetrical, not
irregular.
14–23 or 27 The time from turn 14 to 23 should be 7 months and 8-to-10 days, but
the measure from 14 can include peak 27. In other words, be flexible
and don’t exclude a pattern because the duration is incorrect. If price
at 12 or 14 fails to test the low at 10 (or 12 or 14 are absent), then
try using valley 4 or 6 in the 7-month calculation to better predict the
domed house peak.
15 Price rises quickly and steeply to peak 15, forming the left wall of the
first story.
15–20 Look for price to form five waves here, 15–16, 16–17, and so on, ending
at 19–20. Price bounces between peaks and valleys, forming the firstfloor
roof.
20–21 This is the second story’s left wall. It’s the move up to 21 from 20.
21–25 This is the dome of the house. Price forms another set of peaks and valleys,
trying to move to a new high but failing.
25–27 Price drops from 25 and forms a wave 26–27, which may mirror the roof
from 15–20. Point 27, if tall enough, may be the right shoulder of a headand-
shoulders top formed by the move from 21–25.
27–28 Price drops all the way back to the level of point 10 (or close to it). The drop
may be a straight-line run down or it may have several retraces, but price
will eventually make it to the price of 10 (in theory).
Thomas_N_Bulkowski_Encyclopedia_of_Chart_Patterns_John_Wiley_&_Sons
Candlestick Patterns + Trend and Momentum: A Perfect CombinationCandlestick patterns provide valuable insights into price action, showing potential reversals, continuations, or market indecision. However, to significantly improve their effectiveness, combining candlestick analysis with trend and momentum indicators is essential. Here’s how you can use these combinations to trade with more confidence and accuracy.
1. Why Candlestick Patterns Matter
Candlestick patterns visually represent traders’ psychology through price movements, including four key prices: Open, Close, High, and Low. Some of the most common and useful patterns include:
Doji: Indicates market indecision and potential reversals.
Hammer & Hanging Man: Signals possible trend reversals at support or resistance.
Engulfing Pattern: Often marks the beginning of a significant reversal.
Morning/Evening Star: Combination patterns that strongly suggest a trend reversal.
2. Adding Trend and Momentum Indicators
Candlestick patterns alone might lead to false signals or confusion. By pairing them with other technical tools, such as moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), you gain crucial context to confirm the reliability of the patterns.
Here’s how:
Trend Alignment:
Using moving averages, such as the 20 or 50-period EMA, helps confirm whether a bullish candlestick pattern appears in an uptrend (strengthening the signal) or countertrend (potentially weaker signal).
Momentum Confirmation:
Oscillators like the RSI or MACD can confirm the underlying momentum behind a candlestick pattern. For instance, a bullish engulfing pattern becomes more reliable if it coincides with RSI moving upward from oversold territory or MACD showing a bullish crossover.
Volume Analysis:
Higher volume on the candle that forms the pattern typically confirms increased market interest and strengthens the validity of the signal.
3. Practical Example: Bullish Engulfing + RSI
Imagine you spot a bullish engulfing pattern forming at a clear support level after a downtrend:
Step 1: Identify the Pattern: Confirm the bullish engulfing visually.
Step 2: Check RSI: Ensure RSI is below 30 or rising, signaling oversold conditions and potential bullish momentum.
4. Why This Approach Works
Enhanced Accuracy: Combining candlestick signals with trend and momentum indicators increases signal reliability.
Improved Risk Management: Clearer signals mean more confident entries and better-defined stop-loss levels.
Reduces False Signals: Multiple confirmations reduce the risk of false breakouts or reversals.
5. Final Tips
Always look for multiple confirmations (trend, momentum, volume) before making trade decisions based solely on candlestick patterns.
Be patient—waiting for full confirmation can help avoid premature trades.
Regularly backtest and practice recognizing these combined signals to strengthen your trading strategy.
GBP/USD – 1992 Replay | George Soros “Broke the Bank” TradeHistorical Context Summary:
This chart revisits the iconic 1992 short by George Soros against the British Pound, which ultimately forced the UK to abandon its currency peg and exit the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). The marked zones reflect the approximate levels where Soros reportedly initiated and closed his short position, anticipating a collapse of the GBP against the USD.
Real-time Trade Thesis:
Soros identified that the British economy was fundamentally too weak to sustain a fixed exchange rate against the Deutsche Mark, enforced through the ERM. Inflation was high, the economy was slowing, and the government was hiking rates and burning through reserves to defend the pound. Meanwhile, Germany’s economy was far stronger, making the GBP significantly overvalued relative to its fundamentals.
The Quantum Fund went short over £10 billion worth of GBP using highly leveraged positions, primarily via GBP/USD. On September 16, 1992 ("Black Wednesday") , the Bank of England capitulated after failing to hold the peg, and the pound collapsed—securing Soros one of the most profitable trades in history with over $1 billion in gains.
Technical Analysis Context:
This GBP/USD chart highlights the upper “order activation” zone where Soros began scaling into his short, as price stalled near the artificially defended level. As speculative pressure intensified, the central bank’s interventions failed, leading to a violent breakdown. The lower box marks the approximate range where Soros likely began closing the trade and locking in profit as the peg failed and panic selling set in.
Key Lessons:
Pegged currencies can’t defy economic fundamentals forever.
Macro conviction + tactical timing = asymmetric return.
Central banks can lose to coordinated market pressure.
Use leverage wisely, only when your thesis is airtight.
Liquidity stress often precedes capitulation—watch reserve flows and bond yields.
History leaves patterns—legendary trades repeat in new forms across cycles.
From Scanner to Trade: Full Workflow GuidesFrom Scanner to Trade: Full Workflow Guides
Table of Contents
Introduction
Why a Full Workflow is Crucial for Consistent Trading
Step 1: Defining Your Edge-What to Scan For
Step 2: Setting Up Scanners in TradingView
Step 3: Filtering & Ranking Potential Trades
Step 4: Deep Analysis-Technical, Fundamental, and Sentiment Checks
Step 5: Planning the Trade-Entries, Exits, and Risk
Step 6: Executing the Trade and Real-Time Adjustments
Step 7: Trade Management-Monitoring and Adapting
Step 8: Post-Trade Review and Journaling
Step 9: Tips, Case Studies, and Advanced Workflows
Conclusion: Making the Scanner-to-Trade Workflow Your Own
Introduction
What separates a consistent trader from someone who hops between strategies, never seeing results? Workflow.
The difference is as dramatic as preparing a gourmet moussaka with carefully layered ingredients versus tossing random ones into a pan.
As passionate trading tool creators, we know the power of process . Yet, most TradingView users stop at scanning for new tickers, rarely following a structured approach from scanning to trade selection , execution , and review . That’s where this in-depth guide comes in.
This article will walk you through a step-by-step workflow , using TradingView’s powerful features and easy-to-follow frameworks to help you transform from a chart-hopper into a methodical trader.
Let’s get started!
Why a Full Workflow is Crucial for Consistent Trading
Before we break down the process, let’s understand why a workflow matters.
Eliminates Guesswork : A workflow ensures every trade passes the same high standards, reducing emotional decisions.
Saves Time : Systematic filtering and ranking quickly highlight the best opportunities.
Improves Results : Backtests show that traders using a structured workflow outperform those who pick trades impulsively.
Enables Review : Every step can be reviewed post-trade, so you always know what worked and what didn’t.
The workflow is your trading “recipe.” Follow it, tweak it, and the results will come.
Step 1: Defining Your Edge-What to Scan For
Your workflow begins before you scan. First, define what you want to find. Are you a breakout trader, mean-reversion specialist, or a momentum chaser? Your edge -the reason you believe you can profit-should drive every scan.
Ask Yourself:
Do I want to catch squeeze breakouts with momentum?
Am I seeking multi-timeframe trend alignment?
Are volume spikes important for my entries?
Do I care about a stock’s fundamentals or just the chart?
Case Study: Finding Squeeze Momentum Setups
Suppose you love the squeeze momentum strategy. Your scanner should look for:
Low Bollinger Bandwidth (market coiling up)
Rising momentum (e.g., MACD turning up)
Volume spike confirming interest
This is your “ingredient list”-customize it to your taste and strategy.
Step 2: Setting Up Scanners in TradingView
TradingView’s Stock Screener is powerful, yet many traders barely scratch the surface. Here’s how to go beyond the basics.
2.1 Launching the Screener
Open any TradingView chart.
Click the Screener tab (bottom panel).
Choose Stocks , Crypto , or Forex according to your focus.
2.2 Customizing Your Filters
Set market (e.g., NASDAQ, NYSE, Crypto Top 100).
Add technical filters: price change %, RSI, MACD, volume, volatility, and, if available, squeeze momentum values (e.g., your custom script output).
Add fundamental filters if needed: EPS growth, P/E ratio, market cap, etc.
Example Setup: Squeeze Momentum Breakout Scan
Market: US stocks (selected in the screener)
Liquidity Filter: Volume × Price > 100M USD (focuses on liquid stocks and avoids thinly traded names)
Volatility & Momentum Filter: Vol Change > 10% (captures stocks with significant recent movement)
Minimum Price Filter: Price > 10 USD (to avoid penny stocks and illiquid tickers)
Volatility Squeeze Condition: 1. Bollinger Bands (20, 1 day) Lower above Keltner Channels (20, 1 day) Lower, and 2. Bollinger Bands (20, 1 day) Upper below Keltner Channels (20, 1 day) Upper (classic squeeze setup: BB inside KC highlights contraction/ready-to-expand momentum)
Calibration isn't about being perfect-it's about making your tools work better for specific markets.
2.3 Saving and Automating Your Scanner
Save your screener settings as a preset ( Save Screener Template ).
Set up alerts (once this feature becomes available in TradingView) so you’ll be notified when a new ticker matches your criteria.
Step 3: Filtering & Ranking Potential Trades
Your scanner likely spits out dozens of results. Time to filter and rank them, so you focus only on the “cream of the crop.”
3.1 The First Pass-Eliminate Noise
Skip tickers with low liquidity (e.g., daily volume < 100,000 shares for stocks).
Ignore assets with unreliable price action (wide spreads, frequent gaps).
Check for major news events or earnings that could cause unexpected volatility.
3.2 Ranking Your Candidates
Prioritize by:
Strength of signal (e.g., squeeze + multi-timeframe trend alignment)
Volume surge (higher is better)
Relative strength vs. benchmark (e.g., SPY, BTC)
Proximity to strong support/resistance (closer is often better for risk/reward)
Pro Tip: Create a Scorecard
Assign 1–5 points for each criterion and total up scores for each ticker. Focus on the top 3–5 results.
Don’t just “feel” your top picks-score them for objective clarity!
Step 4: Deep Analysis-Technical, Fundamental, and Sentiment Checks
With ranked candidates, now perform a deeper dive. This is where your experience and favorite tools come into play.
4.1 Charting and Technicals
Apply your key indicators (e.g., Squeeze Mom, Power Trends, Volume Profile).
Check price structure: higher highs/lows, base breakouts, wedges, etc.
Look for confluence: do different indicators and patterns agree?
4.2 Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Check setup validity on daily, 4H, and 1H charts.
Does the larger trend support your trade, or are you trading against momentum?
4.3 Optional: Fundamental & Sentiment Checks
Is the company reporting earnings soon? Any big news?
For crypto, is there on-chain or social sentiment you should know about?
Example Workflow:
Chart 1: Daily Squeeze setting up, MACD positive, volume picking up.
Chart 2: 1H uptrend confirmed, minor pullback for entry.
News: No earnings for two weeks-less risk of surprise.
Step 5: Planning the Trade-Entries, Exits, and Risk
Now that you have a shortlist of well-vetted opportunities, it’s time to craft a plan. Failing to prepare is preparing to fail-so we layer in precise entries, realistic targets, and robust risk management.
5.1 Entry Strategies: The Art of Timing
Your scanner found potential, but your entry determines your reward-to-risk. Here’s how to approach it on TradingView:
Breakout Entry: Place buy-stop orders just above resistance or the squeeze “release” point.
Pullback Entry: Wait for a retrace to moving average or previous support, then enter on bullish reversal candle.
Confirmation Entry: Wait for indicator confirmation (e.g., Squeeze firing, MACD cross, volume surge) before pulling the trigger.
Great entries are less about prediction and more about preparation and confirmation.
Visualizing Your Entry
Draw horizontal lines at anticipated entry points ( Alt + J hotkey). Use TradingView’s “long position” tool to visualize profit/loss zones.
5.2 Setting Targets: Aim for Realistic Wins
Don’t hope-measure! Define exits before entering so emotion doesn’t sabotage your plan.
Price Target: Project a move based on past squeeze breakouts (e.g., last breakout ranged $4, set target for similar move).
ATR (Average True Range): Use ATR to estimate typical moves and avoid setting targets too far or too close.
Fibonacci Extensions: Use Fibs to find likely resistance/support for partial profits.
5.3 Stop Losses: Defend Your Capital
Risk management is your lifeline. Set stops where the trade idea is invalidated-not just at arbitrary numbers.
Below previous support or swing low (for long trades).
At technical invalidation-e.g., squeeze fails and price dips below the setup.
ATR-based stop (e.g., 1.5x ATR below entry).
Trade Example:
Entry: Breakout above $100.
Stop Loss: $97 (previous support, 1.5x ATR).
Target: $104 (measured move from last squeeze).
5.4 Position Sizing: How Much to Risk?
Golden Rule: Risk only a small percentage of your trading capital per trade.
Standard: 1–2% of account per trade.
Use TradingView’s position tool to measure.
Calculate shares/contracts based on distance from entry to stop.
Position sizing is the invisible lever that controls your trading destiny.
Step 6: Executing the Trade and Real-Time Adjustments
Execution bridges planning and reality. Even the best plans need discipline, fast reflexes, and the willingness to adapt if markets shift.
6.1 Entering the Trade: Be Precise
Use limit or stop orders, not market orders, to avoid slippage-especially in fast-moving assets.
Review your parameters one last time.
Set alerts using TradingView’s Alarm Clock icon for your entry, stop, and target.
// Basic Alert Example in Pine Script
if (ta.crossover(ta.sma(close, 9),ta.sma(close, 21)) )
alert("Bullish crossover detected", alert.freq_once_per_bar)
6.2 Monitoring During the Trade
Keep emotions out-let the process work. However, always watch for:
Sudden news events or market shocks.
Volume surges against your position.
Reversal candles (e.g., bearish engulfing at target zone).
6.3 Adjusting On-the-Fly
Sometimes, price action demands flexibility:
Move stop to break-even once price moves in your favor.
Scale out (sell a portion) at first target, let the rest run.
Exit early if your setup is invalidated (e.g., heavy volume reversal).
Adaptation is not abandoning the plan-it’s respecting the market’s message.
Step 7: Trade Management-Monitoring and Adapting
Trade management is an art that separates amateur from pro.
7.1 Trailing Stops and Locking Profits
Use trailing stops (fixed % or ATR-based) to lock in gains if price runs well past your target.
TradingView’s “long/short position” tool helps visualize your risk/reward as price moves.
7.2 Scaling In/Out
Scale in: Add to winners on confirmed strength (e.g., after strong breakout retest).
Scale out: Sell partial positions at key resistance/fib levels.
7.3 Dealing With Adverse Moves
If stop hit, close trade-review, don’t revenge trade.
If setup changes dramatically (e.g., news reversal), consider exiting early.
The best traders protect profits, not egos.
Step 8: Post-Trade Review and Journaling
By now, you’ve completed the trade-but the learning (and edge-building) is just beginning.
8.1 Review Every Trade: The Secret to Improvement
Did you follow your plan? If not, why?
What worked? What didn’t?
Were your scanner criteria effective?
Was your sizing/risk on point?
8.2 Journaling Your Workflow
Create a trade journal, either in TradingView’s notes or external tool (Notion, Google Sheets, etc.)
Screenshot entry/exit with annotations.
Log your scanner triggers and reasoning.
Add psychological notes: Were you calm or emotional?
Tag setups: “Earnings Squeeze,” “Breakout,” etc.
A detailed journal is your best trading mentor.
8.3 Performance Analysis
Periodically review your logs to spot patterns:
Which setups yield best R/R?
Where do you most often break your rules?
How does time of day/market impact outcomes?
Step 9: Tips, Case Studies, and Advanced Workflows
9.1 Expert Tips for Workflow Success
Automate alerts for scanner triggers-don’t stare at screens all day.
Batch your research (e.g., scan every evening, then focus only on finalists).
Develop a pre-trade checklist (see sample below).
Refine regularly: Tweak scanner filters as markets evolve.
// Sample Pre-Trade Checklist as Comments
// 1. Is the squeeze setup clear on multiple timeframes?
// 2. Is volume confirming the move?
// 3. Any major news/earnings ahead?
// 4. Stop loss + target realistic?
9.2 Real-World Case Study: Squeeze Momentum on TSLA
Imagine your scanner spits out NASDAQ:TSLA due to a tight squeeze and surge in volume.
Analyze the chart: Daily chart shows a strong squeeze setup with multi-timeframe squeezes firing bullish momentum (see the MTF Squeeze dashboard and green histogram). Volume spikes confirm buying interest. The 4H and daily timeframes are both aligned to the upside.
Check Earnings: Earnings are 30 days away, reducing the risk of event-driven surprises.
Trade Setup: Set entry just above the most recent swing high ( $197.5 ), with stop-loss below the support and squeeze base ( $186 ). The initial profit target is set at a measured move near $220 (prior swing high resistance and typical squeeze expansion).
Manage the Trade: Enter on breakout above $197.5; once price reaches around $208–$210, move stop to break-even. As price hits $220, sell half and trail the remainder using the 4H ATR or dynamic support.
Journal: “Setup fired as per screener and indicator alignment: volume spike, momentum, and squeeze breakout confirmed. Exited partial at target, managed risk throughout.”
9.3 Advanced: Multi-Timeframe, Multi-Asset Workflow
Combine scans across different assets (stocks, crypto, forex) using saved screener presets for catching opportunities globally. Create custom “watchlists” for different strategies, and rotate focus based on market conditions.
Stocks: Focus on squeeze breakouts.
Crypto: Seek mean reversion in sideways markets.
Forex: Look for multi-timeframe trend alignment.
Conclusion: Making the Scanner-to-Trade Workflow Your Own
Trading is not about prediction, but process. The difference between hope and edge is workflow-layered, adaptable, and reviewable.
By mastering the scanner-to-trade workflow, you can:
Act with confidence, not hesitation.
Avoid missed wins and costly emotional losses.
Turn complexity into clarity-one structured step at a time.
Start simple, layer in complexity as your skills grow, and let your journal be your improvement compass. The recipes here are just a foundation-make them your own, adapt them for your tools, markets, and goals.
Your next high-quality trade is just a repeatable workflow away.
Happy trading and happy building!
TWAP and Chaikin's Osc vs VWAP Orders and VWAP IndicatorThere are two primary Order Types that the Professional Side of the market use.
1. Time Weighted at Average Price, aka TWAP , is used extensively by the Dark Pool Buy Side, Derivative Developers, and Sell Side Banks of record for Buybacks for corporations.
The TWAP can be set at a penny to few pennies spread and pings and transacts on a specific TIME to PRICE. It can be set to time intervals shorter or longer. This is why the stock market is called "fully automated".
TWAP is used most of the time. It is rare for the Giant Institutions to use VWAP orders due to the May 2010 FLASH CRASH when a fundamental trader of e-minis accidentally hit the VWAP order type rather than the TWAP order type which caused a massive collapse of all stocks as VWAPs accelerate selling as volume increases.
2. Volume Weighted at Price or VWAP is ALSO an ORDER TYPE. It is primarily used by Small Funds Managers and Small Asset Managers who are independents trading their customers' investment money actively, often intraday. Volume Weighted at price ORDER TYPES are also automated and ping to trigger the order to transact as volume increases.
This is an easy, simple way for a busy small fund manager to cope with the complexity of buying and selling stocks with 10,000 share lots to 100,000 share lots. These are the NEW "whales" of the market.
Professional Traders Swing trade 1 million to 5 million or higher share-lot sizes. The size of the orders of the professional trader has increased significantly in the past decade.
All of you need to be aware of the market participants on the professional side as they control 80% of the 1 trillion dollars that exchange hands daily on the US Markets.
Using Chaikin's Oscillator is ideal for tracking the Dark Pool Buy Side who create the bottoms. This excellent indicator analyzes all 3 data sets: price, volume and time. Thus, it can signal early that the Dark Pools have slowly started to accumulate over time and the runs down will turn into a bottom and then pro traders will nudge price to inspire VWAP orders from the Smaller funds managers.
The VWAP INDICATOR is excellent for tracking the smaller funds managers' trading activity and it ALSO has price, volume, and time in the formula. So this is great for those of you who need an indicator for following smaller funds activity as these smaller funds VWAP orders trigger more and more volume and then runs that can move up or down for several days.
TradingView has an awesome group of indicators to use. You should customize your indicators to which market participant groups you wish to track so that you can be ready and in a position before the big runs up or down.
Trade Wisely,
Martha Stokes CMT
It’s Not Always the Strategy — Sometimes It’s the Wrong PairMany traders endlessly tweak their strategies, thinking small losses or missed trades are always a sign the system itself is broken. But in reality, sometimes the real problem isn't the strategy — it's the market you're applying it to.
Different forex pairs have different "personalities." Some are cleaner, trending smoothly with respect to structure, while others are choppier, heavily manipulated, or extremely news-sensitive. A structure-based strategy might perform well on pairs like GBP/JPY, where price respects support, resistance, and supply-demand zones cleanly. But the same strategy could struggle badly on a pair like EUR/USD, where high liquidity and institutional manipulation cause frequent fakeouts and liquidity sweeps.
Choosing the right pair for your strategy is just as important as the rules of the system itself. A good strategy in the wrong market will feel like a broken strategy. Before doubting your edge, ask: "Am I applying my system in the right place?"
Adapt your focus. Match your strategy with a market that suits its nature — and you'll be surprised how much smoother your trading becomes.
#forex #tradingpsychology #forexeducation #gbpjpy #eurusd #forextrading #tradingview
Gambling Is Not Trading : A Quick Reminder to THINKI've been getting quite a few messages from followers and many are positive. I seems my videos are helping many of you learn better skills and helping you find profits from these bigger price swings.
But it also seems some of you are really gambling for the bigger gains with 0DTE options and taking excessive risks (IMO).
I want to urge all of you to THINK and to try to learn to adopt a more fluid style of trading.
The markets will quickly humble many of you gamblers. They have a way of taking everything you have when you let your guard down.
Start Small.
Build Your Skills.
Learn How To Check Yourself When You Get Into That Gambling Mode.
Remember, The Market Can Take EVERYTHING (And MORE).
The trick to trading is to learn to GROW your account without gambling. It is like being a Sniper.
You have to learn when to take your shot and you also have to learn when to be patient and wait.
One of the best pieces of advice I've heard came from a friend (who trades options). He stated.
Start Small
Book Winners Quickly
Book Anything over 20-25%
-- Then Plan For The next Attack.
Think about it.
He's been trading for more than 20 years and has learned many of the pitfalls over that time. And, he is the one guy that I've seen generate 100-200%+ a week (consistently) over the past 2+ years.
If you want to survive as a trader, you have to start thinking like a trader (not a GAMBLER).
I hope this video helps.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Gravions IG: Why Apple's Shift to India Could Trigger a Drop in Apple is betting heavily on changing its production geography, planning to move a significant portion of iPhone assembly from China to India by 2026. Analysts at Gravions IG have assessed the situation and concluded that this move could negatively impact the company’s stock value in the near term.
Key Risks of Production Relocation
Indian manufacturing facilities, although growing rapidly, have not yet achieved the level of quality and logistical efficiency seen at Chinese plants. Gravions IG emphasizes that reconfiguring production processes takes time, and potential disruptions in supply chains or reduced quality in the early batches could trigger dissatisfaction among consumers and partners.
According to their analysis, the transition could increase product costs and squeeze profit margins, putting pressure on Apple’s financial results over the next few quarters.
Investor Reactions
Current market behavior reflects investor caution: Apple's share price has already fallen nearly 17% since the start of the year, with technical indicators suggesting further declines. The formation of a "death cross" — where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average — heightens concerns about a prolonged downtrend.
Gravions IG stresses that until the Indian production lines are fully operational and stable, Apple's stock will likely remain under selling pressure.
Strategic Perspective: Opportunity or Risk?
In the long run, diversifying manufacturing could benefit Apple by reducing its dependence on China and insulating it from potential geopolitical or economic shocks. Additionally, the Indian government's efforts to bolster its manufacturing sector could provide Apple with a stronger foundation for future expansion.
Still, Gravions IG insists that until Indian facilities reach consistent quality and scale, Apple will be vulnerable to market sentiment swings and potential reputational risks.
Conclusion
Relocating production is a strategically sound but high-risk move for Apple in the short term. Gravions IG advises investors to closely monitor product quality and supply chain stability in India before making long-term investment decisions regarding Apple's stock.
Solvery IG Predicts Bitcoin to Reach $105,000 by May 10, 2025The cryptocurrency market continues to surprise even the most seasoned investors. Against this backdrop, the analytical firm Solvery IG has released an ambitious forecast: according to their calculations, Bitcoin's price could reach $105,000 by May 10, 2025.
Factors Supporting Bitcoin's Growth
In recent months, the market has shown strong positive momentum. Several key factors have contributed to this trend:
Institutional Investments: Major banks, funds, and corporations are increasingly incorporating Bitcoin into their portfolios as a hedge against risks.
Macroeconomic Instability: Inflationary pressures and weakening fiat currencies are driving investors to seek alternative assets.
According to Solvery IG experts, it is the combination of these factors that creates a "perfect storm" for the continued growth of the leading cryptocurrency.
Analysis and Potential Risks
Despite the optimistic forecast, potential threats should not be overlooked. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Possible tightening of regulations in the U.S. and Europe, as well as sudden shifts in Federal Reserve policies, could exert downward pressure on the market.
Nevertheless, Solvery IG highlights a crucial technical point: according to their data, Bitcoin has successfully held above key support levels between $60,000 and $65,000. This indicates strong buyer sentiment and supports expectations for a continued upward trend.
The impact of the halving event, which occurred in April 2024, should also be taken into account. Historically, Bitcoin has shown significant growth 12–18 months following a halving, and the current market behavior aligns closely with these cyclical patterns.
What This Means for Investors
If Solvery IG’s forecast comes true, Bitcoin would achieve more than a 50% increase compared to current levels. This presents significant opportunities for long-term investors. However, experts advise exercising caution, diversifying risks, and avoiding allocating all funds to a single asset.
Cryptocurrencies remain high-risk instruments, and successful investing requires a deep understanding of the market and a realistic assessment of all potential scenarios.
Conclusion
Solvery IG’s prediction of Bitcoin reaching $105,000 by May 10, 2025, sounds promising, especially given the positive momentum in recent months. However, investors should always remember: high returns come with high risks.
The Hidden Power of the Silver Bullet Strategy - Full GuideIntroduction
The Silver Bullet Strategy is a high-probability intraday trading technique popularized within the Smart Money Concepts community. It focuses on taking precision trades during specific times of the day when liquidity is most active. Mastering this strategy can help traders consistently capture high-quality setups with minimal risk.
In this guide, we will cover:
- What the Silver Bullet Strategy is
- Key Times to Watch
- Entry Models
- Target Setting
- Risk Management
- Real Chart Examples
---
What is the Silver Bullet Strategy?
The Silver Bullet Strategy is based on trading within a "window" of high-probability price action, typically during key liquidity times. It looks to capture moves after liquidity sweeps, order block mitigations, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) plays.
Key Principles:
- Focuses on high-probability windows (New York session especially)
- Waits for a liquidity grab and displacement
- Entries are often on FVGs, OBs, or MSS points
---
Silver Bullet Timing Windows
Timing is crucial to this strategy. The "Silver Bullet" typically occurs in these windows (New York time):
- First Window: 10:00 AM - 11:00 AM (New York)
- Second Window: 2:00 PM - 3:00 PM (New York)
These times capture major moves post-liquidity sweeps or reversals after news/market manipulation.
---
Silver Bullet Entry Model
The classic sequence for a Silver Bullet setup:
1. Identify Liquidity Sweep: Look for price to grab liquidity above a swing high or below a swing low.
2. Look for Displacement: A strong move away from the sweep, creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or Breaker Block.
3. Entry in FVG or OB: Enter on a retracement into the FVG or Order Block after displacement.
4. Confirmation: Use lower timeframe MSS or BOS to confirm the reversal.
Liquidity sweep and FVG at the 5m:
MSS + Displacement candle at the 1m:
So all 4 steps completed!
Example Entry Checklist:
- Liquidity sweep
- Strong displacement creating an FVG
- Price retraces into FVG or OB
- MSS/BOS confirmation
- Execute trade with tight stop-loss
---
Where to Set Targets
Targets should be logical based on market structure:
- First Target: Recent internal liquidity (equal highs/lows)
- Second Target: External liquidity zones (major swing highs/lows)
- Optional: Use 1R/2R/3R scaling based on risk-to-reward goals
---
Risk Management for Silver Bullet Trades
Golden Rules:
- Risk less than 1% per Silver Bullet setup
- Set stop-loss beyond the liquidity sweep (not too tight, not too loose) or above FVG
candle
- Stick to one or two trades per window maximum
- Avoid revenge trading outside the windows
---
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Trading outside the specified time windows
- Entering without a confirmed sweep and displacement
- Overleveraging because the strategy "looks easy"
- Ignoring higher timeframe bias (HTF context is still critical!)
Pro Tip: Combine Silver Bullet entries with SMT Divergences, MSS, and IFVGs for maximum confluence.
---
Final Thoughts
The Silver Bullet Strategy is one of the cleanest ways to approach intraday trading. By mastering liquidity concepts, timing, and precision entries, traders can catch powerful moves with strong risk-to-reward setups.
Be patient, wait for your window, and always trade with discipline.
Happy Sniping!
How can beginners use ETFs to catch the next 10× quickly?Introduction to Crypto ETFs
How Crypto ETFs Work?
Future Candidates for ETF Inclusion
Advantages of Crypto ETF Listing
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Bitcoin is currently approaching three strong daily support zones, which perfectly align with key Fibonacci support levels. Based on this setup, I anticipate at least another 6% move to the upside, targeting the 99,700 level — very close to the major daily and psychological resistance at 100K.📈
Now, let's dive into the educational section , which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
Introduction to Crypto ETFs 📈
In the rapidly evolving world of digital assets, Crypto ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) provide a bridge between traditional finance and cryptocurrencies. They allow investors to gain exposure to assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and a basket of other cryptocurrencies through regulated stock exchanges, without the need for direct ownership or private wallet management.
How They Actually Work 🔍
Instead of holding company shares, a Crypto ETF holds cryptocurrencies or crypto-related assets. You’re tracking coins like BTC and ETH the same way you’d track the S&P 500, but without direct crypto ownership headaches.
Why Crypto ETFs Are a Big Deal 📈
They make crypto accessible to everyday investors, offer easy diversification across multiple coins, and skip the risk of managing private keys. Great for both beginners and institutions looking for safer exposure.
What’s Inside a Crypto ETF? 🛒
Top picks usually include Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), and Litecoin (LTC). Some ETFs even mix in other favorites like Cardano (ADA) and Chainlink (LINK) to broaden the basket.
Future Coins That Could Join the Party 🎉
Beyond BTC and ETH, expect to see DeFi giants like Uniswap (UNI) and Aave (AAVE) show up in future ETFs. Even stablecoins like USDC could sneak in to balance out volatility.
What Makes a Coin ETF-Ready? 🧠
It needs high liquidity, broad investor trust, strong security backing, and, most importantly, regulator approval. Only coins that tick all these boxes are likely to be considered.
Examples You Should Know 🏛️
Purpose Bitcoin ETF (Canada), Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), and ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) are a few leaders. They open crypto markets to a whole new class of investors.
Why Being in an ETF Matters 🌟
Landing inside an ETF boosts a crypto project’s credibility, liquidity, and investor demand. It’s almost like getting a stamp of approval from the traditional finance world.
Not Always Smooth Sailing 🌊
Regulations are still tricky. Compliance isn’t easy. Some coins might not make the cut due to legal hurdles or operational risks. It’s a selective process for a reason.
Final Thoughts: Crypto ETFs Are Just Getting Started 🌐
Crypto ETFs are reshaping the market, creating new bridges between blockchain and Wall Street. As more projects mature and regulations catch up, ETFs could become a dominant force in crypto investing.
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Crypto ETFs let you invest in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other coins through regular stock markets, no wallets needed. 🚀 They make crypto investing safer, easier, and more accessible, while giving you diversified exposure. Top coins like BTC, ETH, and even DeFi tokens are in — but only if they’re liquid, trusted, and regulator-approved. 📈 ETFs boost a crypto’s credibility, liquidity, and adoption, though regulation hurdles still exist. 🌐 Overall, Crypto ETFs are a game-changer, connecting traditional finance with the world of digital assets! 🔥
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Forex Grid Trading Overview: Practical Guide for 2025Forex Grid Trading Strategy: Detailed Overview & Low-Risk EUR/USD Application
1️⃣ What Is Grid Trading?
A grid trading strategy places a series of **buy** and **sell** orders at fixed intervals (“grid levels”) above and below a base price, without forecasting market direction. As price oscillates, it triggers orders across the grid, locking in small profits on each swing.
- **No Directional Bias** – Profits on both up- and down-moves
- **Automated Entry/Exit** – Ideal for Expert Advisors (EAs) on MT4/MT5
- **Scalable** – Grid size and lot sizing can be tailored to account size and volatility
2️⃣ How It Works – Core Components
1. **Grid Levels**
- Define a **base price** (e.g. current EUR/USD mid)
- Set **intervals** (e.g. every 20 pips) above/below the base
2. **Orders**
- **Buy Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips below base
- **Sell Limit** orders at 20, 40, 60 pips above base
3. **Take Profit (TP) for Each Order**
- TP typically equals the grid interval (e.g. 20 pips) so each triggered order nets a small profit
- No hard Stop Loss per order—risk is managed via overall exposure
4. **Cumulative P&L**
- Winning trades roll profits into the floating drawdown of unfilled orders
- As price oscillates, the grid “locks in” incremental gains
3️⃣ Pros & Cons
| Pros | Cons |
|---------------------------------------|------------------------------------------|
| ✅ Profits in ranging markets | ❌ Can incur large drawdowns in strong trends |
| ✅ Automated, systematic execution | ❌ Requires significant margin for multiple open trades |
| ✅ Scalable to any time-frame | ❌ Floating negative exposure if grid one-sided |
---
✅Low-Risk Best Practices
1. **Grid Spacing & Width**
- Wider grid intervals (e.g. 30–50 pips) reduce order density and margin use
- Use **ATR** (Average True Range) to adapt spacing to EUR/USD volatility
2. **Lot Sizing & Equity Risk**
- Risk ≤ 1–2% equity per full grid cycle
- Use **fixed fractional** sizing: each order size = (Equity × 1%) / (max number of open grid orders)
3. **Drawdown Control**
- **Maximum Open Orders** cap (e.g. 5 orders per side)
- **Equity Stop-Out**: if floating drawdown exceeds e.g. 10% of equity, close all orders
4. **Trend Filters**
- Use a **200-period SMA** or **ADX** filter: only enable sell grid if price < SMA (downtrend) or ADX < 25 (low momentum)
- Disables grid in strong one-way trends
5. **Grid Shifting / Re-Base**
- After a net grid profit, **shift** the base price to current mid to reset exposure
- Prevents runaway open trades far from current price
5️⃣ Step-by-Step: Applying to EUR/USD
1. **Choose Time-Frame**
- **H4 or H1** recommended: balances signal frequency and margin needs
2. **Define Grid Parameters**
- **Base Price:** current EUR/USD mid (e.g. 1.0980)
- **Interval:** 30 pips (≈ recent ATR on H4)
- **Levels:** 3 buys at 1.0950 / 1.0920 / 1.0890; 3 sells at 1.1010 / 1.1040 / 1.1070
3. **Set Order Size**
- Account equity $10 000, risk 1% = $100 per full grid
- Max open orders 6 → each order $100/6 ≈ $16.7 → ≈ 0.02 lots
4. **Configure TP & No SL**
- Each order TP = 30 pips (equals interval)
- No per-order SL; overall drawdown managed by equity stop
5. **Implement Filters**
- Only open **sell** grid if H4 close < 200-SMA; only open **buy** grid if H4 close > 200-SMA
- Pause grid if ADX > 30 (strong trend) or market events (e.g. NFP, ECB rate decision)
6. **Deploy & Monitor**
- Run on MT4 with an EA or semi-automated Expert Advisor
- Monitor margin usage; adjust grid or disable before major news
6️⃣ Example P&L Mechanics
| Trigger Price | Order Type | Entry | TP Target | Profit (pips) |
|---------------|------------|---------|-----------|---------------|
| 1.0950 | Buy Limit | 1.0950 | 1.0980 | 30 |
| 1.0980 | Sell Limit | 1.0980 | 1.1010 | 30 |
- If price moves down to 1.0950: buy executes, TP at 1.0980 nets +30 pips
- If price then climbs above base, sells trigger at 1.1010 nets +30 pips
2️⃣ Introducing Progressive & Regressive Scaling
🔼 2.1 Progressive Scaling
“Let winners run”—increase exposure after success
Concept: After each profitable grid cycle, step up your lot size by a fixed increment.
Why: Capitalizes on momentum and winning streaks.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order (1% equity risk).
After grid closes net-positive, next cycle = 0.03 lots.
Continue stepping up (0.04, 0.05 …) until a drawdown or equity-stop is hit.
Reset back to base lot after a losing cycle or whenever floating drawdown > 5%.
Caps & Safeguards:
Max Lot Cap: Never exceed 0.10 lots (or 2% equity risk).
Equity Stop: If floating drawdown > 10%, close cycle & reset.
🔽 2.2 Regressive Scaling
“Protect the downside”—reduce exposure after losses
Concept: After a losing grid cycle, step down your lot size to conserve capital.
Why: Limits damage during rough periods and preserves margin.
How to apply:
Base Lot: 0.02 lots per order.
If grid hits equity-stop or nets negative, next cycle = 0.015 lots.
Continue stepping down (0.01, 0.005) until you record a net-positive cycle.
Reset to base lot after recovery (e.g. two consecutive winning cycles).
Thresholds:
Don’t drop below 0.005 lots (to avoid over-shrinking).
After two winning cycles at reduced lot, return to base.
✅ Bottom Line
Forex grid trading on EUR/USD can generate steady gains in choppy markets—but demands **strict risk controls** (grid spacing, lot sizing, drawdown limits) and **trend filters** to avoid large losses in trending conditions. When properly applied, a low-risk grid on EUR/USD offers a robust, mostly hands-off strategy for capturing repetitive market swings.
4️⃣ Key Takeaways
Progressive Scaling lifts lot sizes on winning streaks, amplifying gains—but must be capped and reset on losses.
Regressive Scaling shrinks exposure after drawdowns, preserving capital until the strategy recovers.
Combine both with your grid’s risk parameters, trend filter, and a solid equity-stop to maintain a balanced, low-risk EUR/USD grid.
By layering scaling rules atop your grid, you adapt dynamically to market performance—maximizing winners and protecting against prolonged losing runs. Good luck! 🚀
Gold and Chart Patterns I’m dropping this XAU/USD M30 insight because my system’s a damn executioner, and you need to see how I hunt the market. This chart is a textbook of bearish patterns—first a bearish three drives showing smart money exhausting buyers with three weakening upward pushes, then a head and shoulders with the neckline break confirming the reversal, and now a bearish shark forming to seal the deal, all playing out within my descending trendlines. Smart money’s been in control from the start, distributing at the peaks, grabbing liquidity, and dumping price to hunt stop-losses below key levels. Supply and demand zones are my edge—supply at the right shoulder of the head and shoulders where sellers stacked orders before the break, demand near the lower trendline where buyers might step in, my target for this bearish move. My checklist operations are a predator’s playbook. I start with harmonic patterns, hunting XABCD structures like the bearish shark I’m seeing now, signaling smart money’s reversal zones. I confirm market structure, looking for breaks of structure to show trend shifts—here, the neckline break confirms bearish continuation. I identify order blocks, those consolidation zones where smart money stacks orders, like the bearish order block at the right shoulder where sellers distributed. Volume profile is key—I check for high volume nodes where price stalls, like the neckline where sellers defended, and low volume nodes that act as magnets, like gaps below the neckline. Top-down analysis keeps me sharp—four-hour timeframe sets the bearish trend, one-hour confirms the break, thirty-minute narrows the setup, fifteen-minute is my strike zone, waiting for a neckline retest. I use Heikin Ashi for confirmation—red candles mean sell, waiting for red on the fifteen-minute at the retest. Fibonacci levels mark my targets—I focus on key extensions to set exits, like targeting the lower trendline of the channel. Gann theory adds confluence—I look for angles or retracements to align with my setups, like a Gann angle pointing to the lower trendline. MACD and RSI measure momentum—MACD’s bearish crossover and negative histogram confirm the downtrend, RSI below fifty with bearish divergence at the right shoulder seals it. Risk management is my law—I risk small to win big, stop-loss above the right shoulder, take-profit at the lower trendline, aiming for a high reward ratio. I monitor news and liquidity traps—fake spikes above the neckline are smart money’s tricks, so I stay sharp. I wait for confirmation—every piece aligns, or I walk, then I document to keep my edge razor-sharp. I’m rating this system a ten out of ten—harmonic patterns, Smart Money Concepts, volume profile, top-down analysis, and now MACD and RSI for momentum make it untouchable. I’ve fine-tuned this over six months, backtesting until it’s a weapon. I need two of you to join me at Academia—let’s hunt together.DYOR
Shieldsmine Diaries
Mastering volume bars – How to read and use volume bars!When it comes to trading, price action often takes the spotlight, but volume is the quiet force behind the scenes that tells the real story. Volume bars show how much trading activity occurs during a given time period and can offer valuable insight into the strength or weakness of a price move. In this guide, we’ll break down how to read volume bars, what the different colors represent, and how to use them to make more informed trading decisions. Whether you're a beginner or looking to sharpen your strategy, understanding volume is a key step toward becoming a more confident and capable trader.
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What will we discuss:
- What is the volume indicator?
- What are the green and red volume bars + the MA line?
- How does the volume indicator work?
- How to use volume during Support/resistance flips?
- How to use volume while trading pattern breakouts?
- How to use volume while trading inside a pattern?
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What is the volume indicator
The volume Bar indicator is a simple but yet essential tool that helps traders understand the level of activity behind every price movement. When you add the Volume Bar indicator to your chart, you will see vertical bars appear beneath each candlestick under in your chart. This represents the total volume during that time period. These bars show how much buying and selling occurred, but not whether it was mostly buying or mostly selling. The taller the bar, the more active the market was during that candle.
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What are the green and red volume bars + the MA line?
A green volume bar means the price closed higher than it opened during that period, indicating bullish sentiment and suggesting that buying pressure was stronger. A red volume bar means the price closed lower than it opened, reflecting bearish sentiment and suggesting that selling pressure dominated. While the volume itself shows how much was traded, the color tells you whether that activity occurred mostly during upward or downward price movement. It's important to note that the color doesn't directly show the number of buyers or sellers, since every trade has both.
The MA line in a volume bar indicator stands for “Moving Average.” It represents the average trading volume over a specific number of past periods, smoothing out short-term fluctuations to show the overall trend in volume activity. This helps traders see whether the current volume is unusually high or low compared to the average. For example, if the current volume bar is significantly higher than the MA line, it could signal strong interest or momentum behind a price move. Conversely, if volume is consistently below the MA line, it may indicate weak market participation or a lack of conviction behind recent price changes.
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How does the volume indicator work?
Using volume effectively in trading involves looking at how it behaves in relation to price. For example, if price is moving up and volume is increasing , that usually confirms strong buying interest, suggesting the move is valid. On the other hand, if price rises on low volume, it could be a sign of weakness or a potential reversal. The same logic applies to down moves, if price drops on high volume, it is more likely a strong selling move. If it drops on low volume, it could just be a temporary pullback.
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How to use volume during Support/resistance flips?
Volume can also play a key role when trading support and resistance levels. When the price breaks through a key resistance level with strong volume, it often signals a shift in market sentiment and increases the likelihood that this level will now act as support. The high volume behind the breakout indicates strong conviction from buyers, meaning bulls were actively stepping in to push price higher.
Because of this, if the price comes back down to retest that zone, it's likely that buyers will defend it, turning the former resistance into solid support. This concept is often referred to as a "break and retest" strategy, and volume is what helps confirm whether the breakout was strong enough to validate the level as a new base.
Without significant volume, the breakout might lack follow-through, and the price could easily fall back below the level, failing to establish it as support. But when the breakout is backed by high participation, the probability of that level holding increases. I’ve included an example to show exactly how this plays out in action.
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How to use volume while trading pattern breakouts?
When trading chart patterns, volume can be a powerful tool to confirm whether a breakout is genuine or likely to be a fake-out. Patterns like triangles, flags, head and shoulders, or rectangles often lead to breakouts, but not all of them are trustworthy. That’s where volume comes in.
If price breaks out of a pattern, it's important to look at the volume at that moment. A strong breakout is usually accompanied by a noticeable increase in volume. This surge in volume indicates that more market participants are getting involved, adding weight to the move. Essentially, higher volume reflects stronger conviction. It means traders aren’t just watching the breakout, they’re actively trading it.
On the other hand, if the price breaks out but the volume remains low or even drops, that’s a red flag. Low volume suggests a lack of interest or commitment, and the breakout may not have enough strength to continue. In such cases, the price might quickly fall back into the pattern, turning what looked like a breakout into a fake-out.
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How to use volume while trading inside a pattern?
You can also use volume to gain insights while the price is still developing within a chart pattern, such as a rising wedge. In these situations, volume can help reveal the strength, or lack of strength, behind the price movement, even before a breakout occurs.
For example, if the price drops sharply with high volume and then starts moving upward again in a rising wedge formation, but this upward move happens on low or declining volume, it can be a sign of potential weakness. The initial high-volume drop shows strong selling pressure, and the lack of buying volume on the recovery suggests that buyers are not fully supporting the move.
This imbalance between strong selling and weak buying can indicate that the upward movement is not sustainable. It often means the rising wedge is forming as a corrective or weakening structure, increasing the chances of a breakdown once the pattern completes. In this way, volume becomes a clue, not just for breakouts, but for spotting when a move might be running out of steam even before it happens.
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S&P 500: The Indicator to Watch Right NowWith US stocks bouncing on Trump’s backtracking over tariffs — just weeks after a 20% correction — it’s fair to say caution is the name of the game. Even though the headline risk has eased slightly, markets are still navigating through a fog of geopolitical noise and economic uncertainty.
In moments like these, where the fundamental picture feels muddy at best, objective technical analysis can offer clarity — not crystal-ball predictions, but structure and focus.
The Traditional Technical Backdrop
Traditional technical analysis isn’t about magic lines on a chart — it’s about mapping out price behaviour with tools that help us stay grounded. Structural levels, trendlines, and a couple of moving averages might seem basic, but they’ve stood the test of time because they do something incredibly useful: they make sense of chaos.
In the case of the S&P 500, several key structural levels should anchor any serious analysis. We’ve got the pre-sell-off highs from February, the April lows, and two interim levels — broken support levels that flipped to resistance during retracement rallies between February and April. These levels now act like milestones in the market’s memory.
Drawing a downward-sloping trendline through the swing highs during the correction gives us a good sense of the broader downtrend. More recently, we’ve also started to see a modest uptrend emerge from the April lows. That creates something of a wedge formation — a narrowing range that’s coiling tighter as buyers and sellers battle it out.
Simple moving averages like the 50-day and 200-day are useful additions here. While they’re lagging by nature, they give us immediate context for where price sits in relation to recent momentum and long-term sentiment.
US500 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
The Indicator to Watch
There’s a good argument to be made that the most important indicator to watch right now, with the S&P 500 trying to claw back ground, isn’t a moving average or RSI — it’s Anchored VWAP.
Anchored Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is one of the most effective ways to cut through the noise and see who’s really in control — buyers or sellers. It tells you the average price that traders have paid for the index, weighted by volume, since a specific event or turning point. And unlike regular VWAP that resets daily, Anchored VWAP lets us choose a significant date and track how price interacts with that “anchor.”
If we anchor the VWAP to the February highs, we’re essentially tracking how the market has performed relative to that peak. This anchored VWAP line becomes a kind of gravity — it reflects the average cost basis of those who bought just before the sell-off. If price remains below it, it tells us those buyers are still underwater, and therefore less likely to add risk. Sellers, in that case, still hold the advantage.
On the flip side, if we anchor VWAP to the April lows, we get the average cost basis of the recent bounce. This line reflects where more optimistic, bottom-fishing buyers stepped in. If price holds above this level, it suggests those participants remain in profit — and potentially willing to buy dips.
Right now, the S&P 500 is stuck in a battle between these two anchored VWAP levels. One tracks the pain, the other tracks the hope. It’s a VWAP funnel, and it won’t last forever. Eventually, price will break above one and leave the other behind — and when it does, we’ll have an objective answer as to which side is winning.
Will it be the late bears holding on from February’s highs, or the early bulls from the April lows? The answer is coming. Keep your eyes on the anchored VWAPs — they’re telling the real story.
US500 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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Real Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in TradingReal Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in Trading
The falling wedge is a chart pattern highly valued by traders for its potential for bullish reversals after a bearish or consolidation phase. Its effectiveness has been extensively studied and documented by various technical analysts and leading authors.
Key Statistics
Bullish Exit: In 82% of cases, the exit from the falling wedge is upward, making it one of the most reliable patterns for anticipating a positive reversal.
Price Target Achieved: The pattern's theoretical target (calculated by plotting the height of the wedge at the breakout point) is achieved in approximately 63% to 88% of cases, depending on the source, demonstrating a high success rate for profit-taking.
Trend Reversal: In 55% to 68% of cases, the falling wedge acts as a reversal pattern, signaling the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new bullish phase.
Pullback: After the breakout, a pullback (return to the resistance line) occurs in approximately 53% to 56% of cases, which can provide a second entry opportunity but tends to reduce the pattern's overall performance.
False Breakouts: False exits represent between 10% and 27% of cases. However, a false bullish breakout only results in a true bearish breakout in 3% of cases, making the bullish signal particularly robust.
Performance and Context
Bull Market: The pattern performs particularly well when it appears during a corrective phase of an uptrend, with a profit target reached in 70% of cases within three months.
Gain Potential: The maximum gain potential can reach 32% in half of cases during a bullish breakout, according to statistical studies on equity markets.
Formation Time: The wider the wedge and the steeper the trend lines, the faster and more violent the post-breakout upward movement will be.
Comparative Summary of Success Rates:
Criteria Rate Observed Frequency
Bullish Exit 82%
Price Target Achieved 63% to 88%
Reversal Pattern 55% to 68%
Pullback After Breakout 53% to 56%
False Breakouts (False Exits) 10% to 27%
Bullish False Breakouts Leading to a Downside 3%
Points of Attention
The falling wedge is a rare and difficult pattern to correctly identify, requiring at least five contact points to be valid.
Performance is best when the breakout occurs around 60% of the pattern's length and when volume increases at the time of the breakout.
Pullbacks, although frequent, tend to weaken the initial bullish momentum.
Conclusion
The falling wedge has a remarkable success rate, with more than 8 out of 10 cases resulting in a bullish exit and a price target being reached in the majority of cases. However, it remains essential to validate the pattern with other technical signals (volume, momentum) and to remain vigilant against false breakouts, even if their rate is relatively low. When mastered, this pattern proves to be a valuable tool for traders looking for optimized entry points on bullish reversals.