Cup and Handle Trading Pattern 📉📉📉✅ A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift. A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long.
🎯 Cup Handle Pattern
William O'Neil's Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. ... The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side and the handle is formed
🎯 What happens after cup and handle pattern?
If a cup and handle pattern is confirmed, it will be followed by a bullish price move upward. You can pick a price target based on the size of the cup, but it becomes much less clear what will happen after the initial breakout from the cup and handle pattern.
🎯 How reliable is cup and handle pattern?
The accuracy rate for cup and handle pattern for forex and stock on Daily timeframe are 65% and 68% respectively.
Harmonic Patterns
Marubozu Candlestick Pattern 📉📉📉📉 What is a Marubozu in forex?
A Marubozu is a long or tall Japanese candlestick with no upper or lower shadow (or wick). The candlestick pattern comes in both a bearish (red or black) and a bullish (green or white) form and is easy to spot due to its long body. It basically looks like a vertical rectangle.
📉 How can you tell if Marubozu is bullish?
The closing Marubozu is a stronger candlestick pattern. It is formed when the close price is equal to the high or the low of the day. When the close price is equal to the low then it is called bearish and when the close is equal to the high it is a bullish Marubozu
📉 What happens after a Marubozu candle?
After two long red candles, the bearish Marubozu close pattern occurs, which signals that the bears are still a dominant force. Ultimately, the price action continues to move lower as the market was very bearish during this period of time
📉 How do you use a Marubozu candlestick?
Basically, when trading marubozu candlesticks,
Watch for bullish or bearish candlesticks to form.
If bullish, take a long when price breaks above.
Place stop below candlesticks.
If bearish, take a short when price falls below.
Place a stop above candlestick.
Stochastic Trading Indicator 📉📉📉📉 The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set number of periods. The indicator can range from 0 to 100. The closing price tends to close near the high in an uptrend and near the low in a downtrend, the stochastic indicator is a two-line indicator that can be applied to any chart. It fluctuates between 0 and 100. The indicator shows how the current price compares to the highest and lowest price levels over a predetermined past period.
📉 How do you use a stochastic indicator?
How to use the Stochastic indicator and “predict” market turning points
If the price is above 200-period moving average (MA), then look for long setups when Stochastic is oversold.
If the price is below 200-period moving average (MA), then look for short setups when Stochastic is overbought.
📉 Is fast stochastic good?
The "fast" stochastic uses the most recent price data, while the "slow" stochastic uses a moving average. Therefore, the fast version will react more quickly with timely signals, but may also produce false signals. The slow version will be smoother, taking more time to produce signals, but may be more accurate.
Do you use Stochastic Indicator ?
Trading Psychology 📉📉📉✅ If you asked me to distill trading down to its simplest form, I would say that it is a pattern recognition numbers game
We use market analysis to identify the patterns, define the risk, and determine when to take profits. The trade either works or it doesn't.
✅ In any case, we go on to die next trade. It's that simple, but it's certainly not easy. In fact, trading is probably the hardest thing you'll ever attempt to be successful at. That's not because it requires intellect; quite the contrary! But because the more you think you know, the less successful you'll be.
✅ The mechanical stage of trading is specifically designed to build the kind of trading skills (trust, confidence, and thinking in probabilities
The first step in the process of creating consistency is to start noticing what you're thinking, saying, and doing
Creating a belief that "I am a consistent winner" is the primary objective
🎯 I AM A CONSISTENT WINNER BECAUSE:
1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I predefine the risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success an
d, therefore, I never violate them.
🎯 The greater your confidence, the easier it will be to execute your trades
To even start this process, you have to want consistency so much that you would be willing to give up all the other reasons, motivations, or agendas you have for trading that aren't consistent with the process of integrating the beliefs that create consistency. A clear, intense desire is an absolute prerequisite if you're going to make this process work for you.
The object of this exercise is to convince yourself that trading is just a simple game of probabilities ✅✅✅
Trading Aspects to Master 📉📉📉🎯 Analysing
To trade like a profesional first of all you have to learn technical/fundamental techinques to trade the market without them you have zero chance to succed in the markets.
Learn - candlestick patterns, simple patterns, fibonaci, market structure, trendline, imbalance, orderblock, volume profile etc
🎯 Risk Management
To survive in this game you need a very strict risk management, you will pass hard times and your account will survive.
Risk Management rules should include :
Risk per trade
Session Risk
Daily Drawdown Limit
Weekly Drawdown Limit
Monthly Drawdown Limit
You have to know your numbers, start small then grow.
🎯 Entries
Develop a rule based entry strategy always and every time, for example you will short a certain asset only if price is in a bearish market structure and its rejecting a fibonacci key area, you have to build your own system and develop confidence.
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Intra-Day Strategies 📉📉📉Today i will share with you types of intra-day strategies that can work in every market no matter if it's forex/stocks or crypto.
📊 Reversal Strategy
Buy close to the support (demand area) and sell from the resistance (Supply area) for the reversal move
📊 Patterns
Buy/Sell using different technical patterns such as Wedge,Triangle,DoubleTop Double Bottoms, Head&Shoulders
📊 Moving Averages
Using MA to understand trends and cross-overs, basically you have to LONG when price is above EMA/MA and vice-versa
📊 Pullbacks
When a new's event makes a big movement such as CPI,NFP, Unemployment but then a correction move happens
📊 Gap Up/Down
Trading Gap's Up/Down basically they appear during fundamental release or fundamental context when the market is closed, it's basically a big discrepancy between buyers and sellers
What is your intra-day strategy
Three White Soldiers Candlestick ✅✅✅Three white soldiers is a bullish candlestick pattern that is used to predict the reversal of the current downtrend in a pricing chart. The pattern consists of three consecutive long-bodied candlesticks that open within the previous candle's real body and a close that exceeds the previous candle's high.
🎯 To identify the three white soldiers pattern, look for three consecutive green or white candlesticks. Each must open and close progressively higher than the first. The candlesticks should have big bodies and very small (or no) wicks. As mentioned, you are likely to see the pattern at the bottom of a downtrend.
✅ What Do Three White Soldiers Tell You?
The three white soldiers candlestick pattern suggests a strong change in market sentiment in terms of the stock, commodity or pair making up the price action on the chart. When a candle is closing with small or no shadows, it suggests that the bulls have managed to keep the price at the top of the range for the session. Basically, the bulls take over the rally all session and close near the high of the day for three consecutive sessions. In addition, the pattern may be preceded by other candlestick patterns suggestive of a reversal, such as a doji.
✅ Limitations of Using Three White Soldiers
Three white soldiers can also appear during periods of consolidation, which is an easy way to get trapped in a continuation of the existing trend rather than a reversal. One of the key things to watch is the volume supporting the formation of three white soldiers. Any pattern on low volume is suspect because it is the market action of the few rather than the many.
To combat the limitation of visual patterns, traders use the three white soldiers and other such candlestick patterns in conjunction with other technical indicators like trendlines, moving averages and bands. For example, traders may look for areas of upcoming resistance before initiating a long position or look at the level of volume on the breakout to confirm that there was a high amount of dollar volume transacting. If the pattern occurred on low volume with near-term resistance, traders may wait until there is further confirmation of a breakout to initiate a long position.
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📊 What is Market Seasonality ? 🎯 Seasonality refers to particular time frames when stocks/sectors/indices are subjected to and influenced by recurring tendencies that produce patterns that are apparent in the investment valuation.
🎯 Seasonality is a characteristic of a time series in which the data experiences regular and predictable changes that recur every calendar year. Any predictable fluctuation or pattern that recurs or repeats over a one-year period is said to be seasonal.
📊 What is a Seasonality Forecast?
In time series data, seasonality refers to the presence of variations which occur at certain regular intervals either on a weekly basis, monthly basis, or even quarterly (but never up to a year). Various factors may cause seasonality - like a vacation, weather, and holidays
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✅ You can use the Market Seasonality as an extra fundamental confluence for the price, we have 2 market seasonalities bullish and bearish. If a price has bullish seasonality it means the pariticular asset will tend to rise during that cycle and viceversa. Market Seasonality (MS) is a good tool to have in your arsenal but only if you are trading on a mid-long term perspective. You can't trade using the market seasonality on a scalping or a intra-day basis because it makes no sense.
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Survival Rules in TRADING 📉📉📉📉 Survival rules in trading for newbies, if you respect those rules i can make a bet you wound't lose your account as the majority of traders are.
📉 The key word there is IF YOU RESPECT
✅ 1. Always trade with a stop loss
✅ 2. Have a pre-determined risk on each trade no more then 1%
✅ 3. Don't move your stop loss if the price is not going in your favour
✅ 4. Don't add to losing positions, only viceversa. Add to your winning positions
✅ 5. You have to increase your risk only if you are in profit on your account, decrease your risk when you are losing and increase it when you are winning.
Hope that was usefull for your trading plan.
Forex Market ✅✅✅
✅ KEY TAKEAWAYS
The foreign exchange (also known as FX or forex) market is a global marketplace for exchanging national currencies against one another.
Market participants use forex to hedge against international currency and interest rate risk, to speculate on geopolitical events, and to diversify portfolios, among several other reasons.
Major players in this market tend to be financial institutions like commercial banks, central banks, money managers and hedge funds.
Global corporations use forex markets to hedge currency risk from foreign transactions.
Individuals (retail traders) are a very small relative portion of all forex volume, and mainly use the market to speculate and day trade.
✅ Who Trades Forex?
The forex market not only has many players but many types of players. Here we go through some of the major types of institutions and traders in forex markets:
📊 Commercial & Investment Banks
The greatest volume of currency is traded in the interbank market. This is where banks of all sizes trade currency with each other and through electronic networks. Big banks account for a large percentage of total currency volume trades. Banks facilitate forex transactions for clients and conduct speculative trades from their own trading desks.
When banks act as dealers for clients, the bid-ask spread represents the bank's profits. Speculative currency trades are executed to profit on currency fluctuations. Currencies can also provide diversification to a portfolio mix.
📊 Central Banks
Central banks, which represent their nation's government, are extremely important players in the forex market. Open market operations and interest rate policies of central banks influence currency rates to a very large extent.
A central bank is responsible for fixing the price of its native currency on forex. This is the exchange rate regime by which its currency will trade in the open market. Exchange rate regimes are divided into floating, fixed and pegged types.
Any action taken by a central bank in the forex market is done to stabilize or increase the competitiveness of that nation's economy. Central banks (as well as speculators) may engage in currency interventions to make
their currencies appreciate or depreciate.
For example, a central bank may weaken its own currency by creating additional supply during periods of long deflationary trends, which is then used to purchase foreign currency. This effectively weakens the domestic currency, making exports more competitive in the global market.
Central banks use these strategies to calm inflation. Their doing so also serves as a long-term indicator for forex traders.
📊 Investment Managers and Hedge Funds
Portfolio managers, pooled funds and hedge funds make up the second-biggest collection of players in the forex market next to banks and central banks. Investment managers trade currencies for large accounts such as pension funds, foundations, and endowments.
An investment manager with an international portfolio will have to purchase and sell currencies to trade foreign securities. Investment managers may also make speculative forex trades, while some hedge funds execute speculative currency trades as part of their investment strategies.
📊 Multinational Corporations
Firms engaged in importing and exporting conduct forex transactions to pay for goods and services. Consider the example of a German solar panel producer that imports American components and sells its finished products in China. After the final sale is made, the Chinese yuan the producer received must be converted back to euros. The German firm must then exchange euros for dollars to purchase more American components.
Companies trade forex to hedge the risk associated with foreign currency translations. The same German firm might purchase American dollars in the spot market, or enter into a currency swap agreement to obtain dollars in advance of purchasing components from the American company in order to reduce foreign currency exposure risk.
Additionally, hedging against currency risk can add a level of safety to offshore investments.
📊 Individual Investors
The volume of forex trades made by retail investors is extremely low compared to financial institutions and companies. However, it is growing rapidly in popularity. Retail investors base currency trades on a combination of fundamentals (i.e., interest rate parity, inflation rates, and monetary policy expectations) and technical factors (i.e., support, resistance, technical indicators, price patterns).
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Trade Defensively 🔰🔰🔰 🔰 Trading Defensively
• Proper Lot Size
Stop changing the lot size on each trade you take based on the ,, confluences,, your risk should be pre-determined and fixed.
Example you risk only 0.50% from your account on each trade
• Take Profits before News Release
Number one goal is to protect your equity, news can bring high volatility into the markets and random big moves. It is better to fix your profit or move your stoploss to breakeven before important news release
• Use Trailing Stops
Secure the profits and let your winners run, you can apply this strategy when you are already in profit and want to squeeze more from the trade
• Multiple Take Profits
Remember that a win is still a WIN, you dont need big profits to be profitable in the market. You need small consistent wins and over time you will see the difference
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Why i TRADE ✅💸 Why i Trade ?
Trading is a serious endeavour where you meet with the financial elites of the world, i will give you couple reasons why i trade and why do i recommend it for you as well.
✅ Be your own BOSS
You don't have a BOSS, you are your own boss. You have to be very disciplined because no one is looking at you to be productive
✅ Freedom of Time
You have the Freedom of Time to work when you want, from where you want. As the advantage above you have to stay very disciplined because it takes time to acquire the skill
✅ Travel
You can travel whenever you want as you are your own boss, this happens only if you are a profitable trader. I dont recommend you to trade during travelling as your focus level hardly decrease
What any advantage you see ?
Tips for Trading Currency Pairs ✅📉 Trading Currency Pairs
I will try to explain in this post what you should look at when you are starting trading the Forex Market (Currency Market )
✅ Choose Liquid Pairs
Choose liquid pairs so you will have all your orders filled easily, dont trade pairs with low Liquidity as those can impact your trading results. EURUSD / GBPUSD / AUDUSD / NZDUSD etc and don't trage USDZAR / USDRON / USDBRL and other exotic pairs
✅ Analyze Fundamentals
Fundamentals drive the markets especially in the Forex Market, take a look at the country's monetary policy are they hawkish or doveish on a certain currency, also take a look at inflation, nfp, unemploymenyt, gdp as those affect the market as well.
✅ Determening the Leverage
My recommend leverage for newbies is something around 1-30 / 1-50 so you wound't over trade.
✅ Trading Strategy
Always ensure you have a trading strategy when you will start to trade, look at those things such as market structure, key psychological levels, fiibonacci, moving averages to build a trading strategy.
✅ Choose your Trading Timeframe
You have to know what trading style you are trading, is this scalping on the lower time frame or highertimeframe position trading. Ensure you have this noted in your trading plan
Plan Before Execute 📉📉📉✅ Plan Before Execute - It is very important when you stard trading financial markets to have a plan that you follow, no plan means you dont know what you are doing and where you are going.
✅ Have an entry strategy - it is very important to know your edge, your edgea means when you enter the trades based on what confluences. Couple confluences or entry strategies are trading with the market strucutre + key leveles + fibonaci retracement or moving averages to generate trading ideas
✅ Use Stop Losses to Protect Capital - The first goal of a trader should be capital protection not capital growth, always use the stop loss on each trade. Use Take Profit - You are making money when you are closing the position, its also very important when you are closing the trade. Always place your take profits in areas where price gives a reverse signal. For example you entered from a support area with a BUY you put your TAKE PROFIT near a resistance area where price could reverse
What do you think ? Comment below..
Two Biggest Trading Mistakes 📉📉📉✅ Two Biggest Mistakes in Trading .
✅ No STOP LOSS Run the risk of incurring a much bigger loss than expected may lead to wishfull thinking and end up holding and hoping may cause panic selling when trade goes against your direction, no stop loss trading in the long term will kill your account in the short term you can survive.
✅Overtrading - Higher change of losing focus as there are too many traders placed wil be emotionally overwhelmed to perform optimally, placing oversized positions than one can handle financially
What do you think ?
Bearish Engulfing Pattern 📉📉📉Bearish engulfing pattern is a technical chart pattern that signals lower prices to come. The pattern consists of an up (white or green) candlestick followed by a large down (black or red) candlestick that eclipses or "engulfs" the smaller up candle.
✅ A bearish engulfing pattern is a hint that a market may have formed a top. Any engulfing pattern below the daily time frame should be ignored. These patterns should only be traded at swing highs. The engulfing candle must break key support to be considered “tradable
✅ Bullish engulfing patterns are a confirmation that more buyers want to join the uptrend. On the other side, a bearish engulfing pattern gives confirmation for more sellers joining the short side
✅ An engulfing pattern is a strong reversal signal. There are bullish and bearish engulfing patterns and they are composed of two candlesticks – one bullish and one bearish. ... It is no
Power of Consistency 📉📉📉📉 Consistency Power
🔰 Don't focus on short term results when trading, it's a marathon not a sprint. You can't become elite traders overnight
🔰 Don't care about short term results and single trade outcome, only look at the weekly,monthly results as they are not random as daily results,a single trade means nothing dont be anxious and change something in your system only if you have more than 100 trades journaled so you know what works and what doesn't
🔰 Don't try to hit home runs aka BIG RETURNS OVERNIGHT it's a gambler short term thinking and their account have zero durability overtime
🔰 Focus on risk management and improve your edge over the market on a daily basis both technical and mental/emotional
LONG TERM over SHORT TERM ✅
RSI Trading Indicator 📉📉📉🎯 RSI - Relative Strenght Index
What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that moves between two extremes) and can have a reading from 0 to 100.
Traditional interpretation and usage of the RSI are that values of 70 or above indicate that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued and may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition (kindly see the photos attached)
Survival Rules in TRADING 📉📉📉‼️ Survival rules in trading for newbies, if you respect those rules i can make a bet you wound't lose your account as the majority of traders are.
‼️ The key word there is IF YOU RESPECT
✅ 1. Always trade with a stop loss
✅ 2. Have a pre-determined risk on each trade no more then 1%
✅ 3. Don't move your stop loss if the price is not going in your favour
✅ 4. Don't add to losing positions, only viceversa. Add to your winning positions
✅ 5. You have to increase your risk only if you are in profit on your account, decrease your risk when you are losing and increase it when you are winning.
Hope that was usefull for your trading plan.
Liquidity Concept 📈Hi guys! I would like to briefly explain my strategy, I use liquidity to understand where should market go .
🏦 Liquidity is basically a zone in the market where a lot of stops are located both retail/ institutional, I will look to enter near that area but only after the manipulation on the buy-side or sell-side liquidity to all my trades with "Smart Money". as known as "Wall Street"
You can separate the Liquidity Concepts in two areas.
✅ Buy Side Liquidity - area of the price where sellers put their stop loss, its located on old highs, equal highs (Resistance) above double tops, above key psychological numbers
✅ Sell Side Liquidity - area of the price where buyers put their stop losses, usually below old lows, below equal lows(support), below psychological key levels.
‼️ REMEMBER
Dumb Money sell at high
Smart Money SELL ABOVE THE HIGH
Dumb Money buy at low
Smart Money BUY BELOW THE LOW
Using this concept as i explained you will have less stop losses because you will allign your trades with institutional orderflow.
W PatternsAs a rule, when I see a crooked W, I steer clear and watch it if it is a security I want. The impulse/long leg/is to the downside whereas a bullish crooked M pattern, the impulse leg is up. We are all different.
Crooked Ws are not always bearish, but it just gets too complicated for this post so I will stop there. For the most part, a W is bearish.
I have noted a W will pull to the middle, or the hump, or point in the middle of the W. I marked it with a green X.
Does this always happen? NO. Can it go further than this point or not as far? YES. Just a guide for me, and we are all different.
Does the same exact thing happen twice in the market on a regular basis? NO LOL
Often a Double Bottom will have a W associated with it. I often wait for price to come back to this point and reassess if I am not already in the security when I see it. You can do fib levels to figure out which bearish harmonic pattern the W represents if you wish to hang on to the last leg up of that W, then sell and catch it again when it hits another entry level. Ws are usually bearish but if you know your patterns, it is possible to go long on the last leg up of the W.
No recommendation
Tomorrow is another day (o: