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Harmonic Patterns

Risk-To-Reward-Calculation with Key-Components.________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello Traders Investors And Community. Welcome to this educational idea about the risk-reward-calculation in position trading with the 5-Key-Components determined. Today's markets constantly changing and adapting and in such environments, we need to stick to a systematic trading approach to have the long term goals realized and do not fall apart of market-making and smart money operators, when considering position-trading there are some important steps in acquiring the long-term-success we should take apart when calculating the right risk in comparison to our capital and other key-steps to measure what trading is the best for ones individual trading-system to achieve the aims we desire. Therefore I contributed the 5-Key-Components inevitable to measure one's risk-to-reward in the market and best applied in a functional trading-system. 1.) The 5 Key Position-Trading Rules 2.) Acknowledging Risk Aversion 3.) Risk-To-Reward-Calculation 4.) Risk-Reward-Ratio vs. Winrate 5.) Possibilities of Success and Ruin ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 1.) The 5 Key Position-Trading Rules 1. First Rule: Do not hold the position longer than necessary: It is important to choose a trading-system which has good entry timing and the right opportunities to exit therefore it is the best to be in the market when volatility increases and takes profit at the important levels to not hold the position unnecessarily longer. 2. Second Rule: Aim to make as much as possible by risking as little as possible: When trading we should advance by making the most of what we have at hand, today's markets offer options with leveraged trading which can work also with smaller percentages of the deposit at hand, in this case, the leverage should be calculated right. 3. Third Rule: Only risk a small amount of capital on any trade executed: It is commonly under beginner traders to risk a high percentage of the total deposit, this is a fatal mistake as the risk grows exponentially, to achieve security of the deposit in the long-run, the maximum risk per trade should not be more than 10% from the deposit, best is 0.5-2%. 4. Fourth Rule: Don't come to the situation to meet margin calls: This means you should avoid being marginally called on any occasions, when this happens there is evidence that the trade was too risky and the stop-loss better be placed before the margin call, when it happens, it should be a time to review your trading-system. 5. Determine the maximum drawdown for every trade in advance Before every trade you should measure how your position size with the stop-loss will possibly take a drawdown in the deposit. When the risk is too high then the smaller position should be preferred, when it is still too risky than a bigger account will be a good option. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2.) Acknowledging Risk Aversion This is a very important step in determining ones individual trading-systems, as traders act differently to circumstances some traders are risk-averse and others are risk-seeking, this means how the trader is reacting to risk and how much the individual would risk receiving a return. In the graph, you can see that the lesser your capital is the higher your risk-seeking, you are more ready to risk something averagely when your capital is lower, this diminishes the higher your capital is, there are different risk preferences reaching from extreme risk averter to extreme risk seeker. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 3.) Risk-To-Reward-Calculation In the big table in my chart you can see the risk-to-reward calculation and the values in it, the first value is the risk meaning how much you want to risk in the particular trade coming to the second value, the return is what you get in return on your trade. For example, you want to buy bitcoin at 15000 and have set the target at 15010, by the technical analysis you have determine a stop-loss at 14500, this will be a highly risky trade as you are risking to lose 500 points comparison to 10 points. The best trades are in the green section on the table beginning with trades where you gain 2 and risk 1, these trades should be the aim and preferred, the breakeven ratio determines how much trades need to go in breakeven to be long-time profitable. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4.) Risk-Reward-Ratio vs. Winrate This rate is showing you how your trading develops by time, when you have a good winrate this means you are closing many of your positions in a profit on the other side when this winrate is low you closing too many positions in a loss and often be unprofitable in the long-run. What determines an excellent trader now as it is marked in the chart is when the average risk-reward ratio is high and the winrate also, this means you close many of your positions in a profit and also with the proper risk-reward-ratio. On the middle of the chart is the threshold determining low and high, you can also be profitable when your risk-reward is high and your win rate low or in reverse, what should definitely be avoided is when both the winrate and ratio are lows this means you have to adapt your trading-system for sure. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 5. Determine the maximum drawdown for every trade in advance This is a simple but very effective and important graphic showing the likelihood traders have for a point of ruin and how much the risk of ruin in comparison to it is, meaning when your deposit is at a level on which there is no longer possibility to continue. This graphic shows that when your capital is more your risk of losing it diminishes, on the other side when it is low the possibility for losses is more as the capital is not big to stand the losses, this is a groundstone knowledge in determining the trading-system together with risk. The graphic shows that the higher your deposit is the better you can take the risks in comparison and the lower it is the higher is the risk of losing more, this is why it is important to combine the risk together with a solid portfolio. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Alright, these where the 5 key-components to determine risk in markets accordingly, traders should always look for the individual situation and where the journeys should lead, therefore it is important to determine the risks in comparison to rewards which I bundled into the 5 Key-components necessary determining the risk-management in ones trading-system, these components can be combined applied, or single integrated into ones trading-system. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ In this manner, thank you for watching , support for more tutorials and a good day! "Good luck is when opportunity meets preparation." Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by VincePrince
29
The Butterfly Pattern, Tutorial (Basic)The Butterfly pattern, is a harmonic pattern discovered by Bryce Gilmore using his Wave trader software program. The pattern structure was further refined using specific Fibonacci levels by Scott Carney which he outlined in his book 'The Harmonic Trader', published in 1998. The Butterfly pattern must include an AB=CD pattern to be a valid signal. In general, the AB=CD Pattern will possess an extended CD leg that is 127.2% or 161.8% of the AB leg.
Education
by Cryptsyxalt
1
The difference - Double Top & Head and ShouldersHello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** What Is Double Top and Bottom? Double top and bottom patterns are chart patterns that occur when the underlying investment moves in a similar pattern to the letter "W" (double bottom) or "M" (double top). Double top and bottom analysis is used in technical analysis to explain movements in a security or other investment, and can be used as part of a trading strategy to exploit recurring patterns. $$$ What Is a Head And Shoulders Pattern? A head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation that appears as a baseline with three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest. In technical analysis, a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. The head and shoulders pattern is believed to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. It is one of several top patterns that signal, with varying degrees of accuracy, that an upward trend is nearing its end.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Saeed966
8
Risk management in trading €$¥Hello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** What is market risk? Market risk is the capacity for your trades to result in losses due to unfavourable price movements that affect the market as a whole. There are several factors that can cause market risk, but movement in any of the following can exert major pressure: Stock prices Interest rates Foreign exchange rates Commodity prices What is liquidity risk? Liquidity risk is the possibility that you may be forced to trade an asset at a worse price than you anticipated. For example, when trying to sell an illiquid stock you may struggle to find a buyer, meaning that you have to sell your stock for less than its current market value. In some markets, liquidity risk can even mean that your trade negatively affects the price of the asset you are buying or selling. This is generally more of an issue in emerging or low-volume markets, where there may not be enough people in the market to trade with. How to manage your risk Risk management is the process of identifying, analysing and reducing risk in your trading decisions. Usually, it involves developing a trading plan that helps you decide what to trade, when to trade and where to place your stop losses. Here are three tips on how to manage risk: 1. Assess risk vs return In general, trading strategies focus on weighing up a trade’s potential risk against its potential return. If a trade has greater risk, it should carry the chance of a greater return to make that risk worthwhile. For example, government bonds are considered a safe, low-risk investment – but when compared to corporate bonds, they offer lower rates of return. This is because the risk of investing in a corporate bond is higher, so to compensate for the added risk investors are offered a higher rate of return. 2. Understand each market’s risks It’s important to ensure you understand the factors that influence different markets, so you can base your dealing strategies on relevant information. Improve your success rate by learning more about the markets you’re dealing on and exploring new strategies. Our trading skills section is a great place to learn about all the markets we offer. 3. Keep learning Learning to trade successfully while managing your risk is a continual process – and one of the best ways of ensuring that you are always improving is by starting a trading diary. By keeping track of which trades and strategies have worked in the past, you can build on your successes and learn from your failures.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Saeed966
6
Head and shoulders typesHello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** The head and shoulders chart pattern is a popular and easy to spot pattern in technical analysis that shows a baseline with three peaks, the middle peak being the highest. The head and shoulders chart depicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal and signals that an upward trend is nearing its end. The pattern appears on all time frames and can, therefore, be used by all types of traders and investors. Entry levels, stop levels and price targets make the formation easy to implement, as the chart pattern provides important and easy to see levels.
Education
by Saeed966
8
Ascending Channel & Descending ChannelHello my friend | Welcome Back. Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. *** One of the best methods of technical analysis at the beginning is to know the direction where it is heading Including the ascending channel and the descending channel pattern When drawing an ascending or descending channel, the tops of the bottoms are greater than the peaks and bottoms behind them, and usually there are three peaks or troughs, and then the break comes after To properly draw the pattern, link the tops and bottoms of each other so that the pattern is formed This in a nutshell
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Saeed966
10
Classic graphicsHello Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful. Classic technical analysis is one of the best analyzes for finding a buy or sell opportunity So I drew some of the most common technical drawings used in the analysis. ***** 1 ) What Is a Head And Shoulders Pattern? A head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation that appears as a baseline with three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest. In technical analysis, a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. The head and shoulders pattern is believed to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. It is one of several top patterns that signal, with varying degrees of accuracy, that an upward trend is nearing its end. * A head and shoulders pattern is a technical indicator with a chart pattern described by three peaks, the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest. * A head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal. * The head and shoulders pattern is believed to be one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns. 2 ) What is Inverse Head And Shoulders? An inverse head and shoulders, also called a "head and shoulders bottom", is similar to the standard head and shoulders pattern, but inverted: with the head and shoulders top used to predict reversals in downtrends. This pattern is identified when the price action of a security meets the following characteristics: the price falls to a trough and then rises; the price falls below the former trough and then rises again; finally, the price falls again but not as far as the second trough. Once the final trough is made, the price heads upward, toward the resistance found near the top of the previous troughs. 3-4 ) What is a Sideways Trend? A sideways trend is the horizontal price movement that occurs when the forces of supply and demand are nearly equal. This typically occurs during a period of consolidation before the price continues a prior trend or reverses into a new trend. A sideways price trend is also commonly known as a "horizontal trend." * A sideways trend is the horizontal price movement of a stock between resistance and support levels that occurs when the forces of supply and demand are balanced. * Traders can profit from sideways trends in several ways, from looking for confirmations of a breakout or breakdown to using stock options to placing stop-loss orders when the price nears resistance levels. 4 ) What is a Descending Triangle? A descending triangle is a bearish chart pattern used in technical analysis that is created by drawing one trend line that connects a series of lower highs and a second horizontal trend line that connects a series of lows. Oftentimes, traders watch for a move below the lower support trend line because it suggests that the downward momentum is building and a breakdown is imminent. Once the breakdown occurs, traders enter into short positions and aggressively help push the price of the asset even lower. 4-5 ) What is an Ascending Triangle? An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs, and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle. Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside. Ascending triangles are often called continuation patterns since the price will typically breakout in the same direction as the trend that was in place just prior to the triangle forming. 7 ) What is a Descending Channel? A descending channel is drawn by connecting the lower highs and lower lows of a security's price with parallel trendlines to show a downward trend. Officially, the space between the trendlines is the descending channel, which falls under the broad category of trend channels. 8 ) What Is Rising (Or) Ascending Channel Chart Pattern? As you can notice the rising channel pattern moves upwards, it is also called as Bullish Channel pattern. It comprises of two lines parallel to each other with points shaping higher highs and higher lows therefore consequential in bullish channel or upside channel. The price is limited between the two trend lines. 9 ) Support and resistance role reversal A key concept of technical analysis is that when a resistance or support level is broken, its role is reversed. If the price falls below a support level, that level will become resistance. If the price rises above a resistance level, it will often become support. As the price moves past a level of support or resistance, it is thought that supply and demand has shifted, causing the breached level to reverse its role.
Education
by Saeed966
44
Three Drives Harmonic Chart PatternThe three drivers chart pattern is a well known harmonic chart pattern that acts as a trend reversal. The pattern consists of either three higher highs or lower lows which is an indication of a potential trend reversal. There are two different types of three drives pattern: Bullish Bearish Bullish Three Drives Pattern There are three different waves in the pattern as the name suggests, three drives. With the subsequent drives, there are lower lows that are being formulated in the pattern with three different bottoms. Once the third wave is completed and the low point has been observed, a buy signal can be created with formulating the Fibonacci levels and generating the buy signal with a Fibonacci extension of 1.27 or 1.628. For the stop-loss and take profit levels, you can formulate a new Fibonacci level with the start and end of the pattern and keep 161.8% as the stop-loss level and 61.8% as the take profit level. The important point that confirms the drives is a similar time period between the uptrend after the 1st wave and 2nd wave also a similar time period between the 2nd wane and 3rd wave for the downtrend. The bearish three drives pattern is completely opposite of the bullish three dives pattern and can be spotted in a similar manner. The three drives pattern belongs to the family of harmonic patterns and thus makes use of not just chart patterns but also technical retracement levels to validate the pattern. A three-drive pattern that does not meet the retracement criteria can be discarded. The pattern is therefore qualitative as well as quantitative in nature. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you find the post useful, please like and share our ideas with the community! - Mudrex
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mudrex
5
📖 Japanese candlestick charts. Part 1We are beginning a new theme “Trading strategy’s most important technical analysis tools”. Today we are going to tell you about the most important things in trading, candlesticks! 📌Japanese candlestick charts were developed in the 17th-18th centuries by the Japanese rice traders. They were introduced to trading by Steve Nison in the 20th century. It's a simple, but very important tool for technical analysis, as these candlesticks contain different information about the market. I guess that everyone in this channel already knows how to read candlesticks, so we are going to talk about their usage. ⚡️First — its form, this shows market participants’ state and mood. It could show their doubts/balance (doji) or trend exhaustion (graph looks like a hammer or a falling star). There are only a few main models, and we are going to talk about them in the future. However, you can start learning about them yourself by saving the screenshot below. ⚡️Candlesticks show reversals and it is what we need in trading. By trading reversals you are catching the trend, it could be short or long. However, you will be able to understand when the trend is exhausting and you will be able to leave trade when there is a reversal. In addition to the presence of the reversal pattern itself, the preceding trend is important, you have to have at least 3 candles. If there isn’t a clear trend, then there is no trade. Additionally, we are looking at the candlesticks’ volumes and how trading continues after the last reversal pattern. We are entering position not on the reversal candlesticks, but on the following ones after the trade (or candlestick above/below fixation, depending on a situation)! Reversal setup is a needed factor, but it's not enough to enter a trade. 📌 And these are not all of the necessary conditions for implementation! You have to understand that you are getting rid of risky positions that not only will give you headache but could also result in losses. You should only trade in situations where you are confident in, the confidence is achieved by fulfilling very certain conditions, of which only few people in the market know about. Continued in part 2.
Education
by I.T.Analytics
24
The Cup and Handle Chart PatternCup and Handle Chart Pattern The cup and handle chart pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. It can help to predict future price movements. A cup and handle chart pattern is comprised of three main components: -A prior trend, as to qualify as a continuation pattern it has to have a prior trend -The cup, "U" shaped resembling a bowl or rounding bottom with almost equal heights on the either side -The handle, as the cup formation is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side forming the handle, usually 1/3rd of the size of the prior advance In this chart pattern, there is a prior trend followed by a cup forming with almost of the equal heights on either side with a low in observed nearly in the middle. After the low, the rice consolidates to reach near the high of the start of the cup, followed by a pullback forming a handle, similar in shape to a flag or pennant. Once the handle reaches back to the same level of the cup highs, a breakout is expected, confirming with spikes in the volume observed. Traders can use the cup and handle to buy when the breakout is observed i.e. at the candle when price breaks the highs formed by the cup. For confirmation, traders can use the sudden increase in volume as the cup and handle completes and the breakout is observed. Traders can put stop loss at the low of the handle in order to minimize the losses if the pattern fails, There are few limitations as well to the Cup and Handle Pattern: -Can be difficult to be observed for novice traders -Often might require assistance from other technical indicators -The cup and handle might take extensive periods to play out and complete the formation ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you find the post useful, please like and share our ideas with the community! - Mudrex
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by Mudrex
7
The Gartley Pattern, Tutorial (Basic)The Gartley Pattern , is a harmonic pattern discovered by H M Gartley and outlined in his book 'Profits in the Stock market', published in 1935. The pattern was further defined using specific Fibonacci levels by Scott Carney which he outlined in his book 'The Harmonic Trader', published in 1998. The pattern incorporates the 78.6% retracement of XA, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The B point must be at the 61.8% retracement of XA. The Gartley utilizes a minimum 127.2% projection of BC. In addition, the pattern should possess a distinct AB=CD pattern that converges in the same area as the 78.6% retracement of XA and the BC projection.
Education
by Cryptsyxalt
3