Educational Post about Proper Speculation (save this post)hello traders Use this this to sharpen your skills and refresh your mind to become stronger. Im leaving you this educational post about proper speculation.
As you can see I'm talking about things that no one even talk.
give a like and comment and save if you agree with post! hope it will help you . Enjoy it
Harmonic Patterns
✅ RISK ON vs RISK OFF ✅ Today we will talk about RISK ON vs RISK OFF Market Sentiment as i use this confluence to enter trades.
🎯 Risk ON vs Risk OFF market sentiment reflects all the market activity, its not a market sentiment for crypto or forex or stock market its for all the financial markets, when i use this confluence i try to understand what are institutional/retail investors are doing are they buying risk on assets or they are buying risk on assets.
🎯 Usually investors buy risk on assets when they are looking for risk meaning they want higher yield on their investment they want to MULTIPLY money(key word) this is happening during times of financial prosperity, no wars, no lockdowns, no problems around the world everyone are doing great and making money
🎯 On other side RISK OFF is when investors tend to buy financil assets that PROTECT (key word) their capital they dont want a high yield they want just to save their money and protect during time of financial stress, wars, lockdowns when everything is not clear and safe.
✅ RISK ON Assets
Stock Market
Crypto
USOil
AUD
NZD
CAD
EUR
GBP
✅ RISK OFF Assets
Government Bonds
JPY
CHF
USD
GOLD
SILVER
BITCOIN EXCHANGE RESERVE 📉📉📉📉 WHY I AM BULLISH ON BITCOIN FROM A FUNDAMENTAL-MACRO PERSPECTIVE ?
✅ Exchange reserve is a collective measure of potential coins that are ready to be sold in the market.
Exchange Reserve is the accumulated result of Exchange In/Outflow & Netflow which naturally follows the indications that in/outflow has. Similar to Exchange NetFlow's interpretation, an increasing trend in netflow indicates the selling pressure and the decreasing trend indicates the buying pressure.
However, instead of Exchange In/Outflow & Netflow indicating the specific moment or period, Exchange Reserve is easy to track the result of the entire period's movements
✅ It indicates the degree of accumulated selling pressure in the exchange
High : High selling pressure
A large number of coins are staying in the exchange to be traded indicating high selling pressure
Low : Low selling pressure
A Small number of coins are staying in the exchange to be traded indicating low selling pressure
✅ It shows the changing status in scarcity
Increasing trend: Decreasing scarcity -Bearish
More coins are available in the exchange indicating decreasing scarcity of coins that are being traded which supports bearish movement
Decreasing trend: Increasing scarcity - Bullish
Fewer coins are available in the exchange indicating increasing scarcity of coins that are being traded which supports bullish movement
How To Use: VOLUME PROFILE + FIBSEducational Video on how I #TrendFollow using Fibonacci and fixed volume profiles.
Key Points -
1. Find an impulse and a peak/momentum shift.
2. Place Volume Profile & Fibs in the correct area.
3. Where the Fibs + VP coincide, will garner the likeliest probability of a bounce.
📌TOP Patterns you should know when Trading in any market❗❗You may have thought that the chart of an asset you were analyzing was starting to look just like another asset. Could this mean the outcomes would be the same?
Well, they definitely can be. The market is full of patterns and similar structures that traders often use for forecasting future price action. Many of these common patterns, ranging from triangles and rectangles, to wedges and head and shoulders can often determine if a market will continue to rise upon breakout, or drop once the price breaks down.
🔰How Do I Trade These Patterns?❗
If you come across a pattern that looks similar to one on the infographic, draw some support / resistance trendlines.
The main idea behind trading patterns is just like support and resistances. If you’re trading with the trendlines, you’d buy at support and sell at resistance. If you’re trading against, you’d buy when price action breaks through the resistance, and sell when it breaks through the support. Remember that hindsight makes these look easier than they actually are, and is why I stress the point that multiple tools should be used to confirm your analysis.
Sounds Easy?❗😀😄
Don’t be fooled. Trading is not as easy as this, and is a discipline that requires extensive learning. The truth is that 90% of traders lose money. However, with proper training and money management, you are able to be in the 10% that do not. Always have a trading plan, use stop-losses to cut your losses and move on, and never trade greedily.
AMD Trading Pattern 📉📉📉📈 To increase your chance of succeding in the financial markets as a trader you should understand what the market phases is and the logic behind this concept.
🔰 Accumulation - tipically accumulation is a range area where price forms equal highs and lows, from an institutional perspective we can see this zone as a clash between sellers and buyers usually after a accumulation move price will move sharply into a direction
🔰 Manipulation - manipulation aka the FAKE move will be the first move that exists the range in 80% of the situations the first move is just a move to trap retailers go into a certain direction and then quickly reverses, usually the manipulation happens during LN open (London) NY open ( New York ) NYSE open ( Nasdaq ) and the accumulation move forms during asian session especially for fx pairs
🔰 Distribution - distribution is the moment when price takes the opposite direction of the MANIPULATION it is offten called the TRUE DIRECTION of the DAY where its generally raided by institutions because retail traders were trapped in the manipulation phase.
Was this a valuable information ?
Market Strucutre 📉📉📉✅ MARKET STRUCUTURE .
Today we will talk about market strucutre in the financial markets, market strucuture is basicall the understading where the institutional traders/investors are positioned are they short or long on certain financial asset, it is very important to be positioned your trading opportunities with the trend as the saying says trend is your friend follow the trend when you are taking trades that are alligned with the strucutre you have a better probability of them closing in profit.
✅ Types of Market Strucuture
🎯 Bearish Market Strucuture - institutions are positioned LONG, look only to enter long/buy trades, we are spotingt the bullish market strucutre if price is making higher highs (hh) and higher lows (hl)
🎯 Bullish Market Strucutre - institutions are positioned SHORT, look only to enter short/sell trades, we are spoting the bearish market strucutre when price is making lower highs (lh) and lower lows (ll)
🎯 Range Market Strucutre - the volumes on short/long trades are equall instiutions dont have a clear direction we are spoting this strucutre if we see price making equal highs and equal lows and is accumulating .
I hope i was clear enough so you can understand this very important trading concept, remember its not in the number its in the quality of the trades and to have a better quality try to allign every trading idea with the actual strucutre
Inside Bar Candlestick Pattern📉📉📉We will cover the following today:
Inside Bar (Inside Day)
Inside Days
✅ Inside Days are a daily pattern involving two daily candles, we have a day of trade, also known as the ‘mother candle’ and then the following day trades the whole day within the range of the previous day. This is a two-day bias suggesting a potential reversal. A great way to play these sorts of biases is to pre-empt the failure of this reversal, as well as playing the success of the inside day, so what does this look like? Let’s take a look at an example below.
✅ What is an inside bar?
The inside bar is a popular reversal/continuation candle formation that only requires two candles to present itself. This pattern is a direct play on short-term market sentiment looking to enter before the 'big moves' that may take place in the market.
✅ Is an inside bar bullish?
First, unlike other candlestick patterns, inside bars are usually not distinguished as bullish and bearish by their look or color of the body itself, but rather by the location they are at and other peripheral developments
✅ An “inside bar” pattern is a two-bar price action trading strategy in which the inside bar is smaller and within the high to low range of the prior bar, i.e. the high is lower than the previous bar's high, and the low is higher than the previous bar's low.
📈 HOW TO IDENTIFY AN INSIDE BAR ON FOREX CHARTS
The following steps are used when identifying the inside bar pattern on forex charts:
Identify a preceding trend using price action/technical indicators
Locate inside bar pattern whereby the inside bar is engulfed fully by the preceding candle high and low
📌Fibonacci & FIBO retracement❗✳️The author of the Fibonacci series of numbers was the Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano. The series has been known for centuries for this series of numbers: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 and so on until infinity. The number is calculated by the sum of the two previous numbers.
This numerical relationship has also been used on the financial markets for a century.The number Phi is of particular importance. Phi was created from the golden ratio. The golden ratio is the ratio of two numbers, the higher number is the numerator and the lower number is the denominator. The result is always around 1.618. Below is an example:
a = 0.618
b = 0.382
0.618/0.382 = 1.618
Golden Ratio: 0.618 + 0.382 = 1,000
🔶🔷It's all about resistance and support:
The Fibonacci retracement is a method of finding potential resistance and support zones in an underlying asset. It is based on the idea that a predetermined portion of a move from a price will bounce back. After that, the price will continue in the “real” direction. Often a correction corrects a Fibonacci percentage of a previous wave. From experience, the most common retracement levels are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. These levels are watched by most analysts because they represent potential market reversal points.
🔴As an example, this chart depicts the rally of BITCOIN towards its ATH . The price drops right back to the 23.6%, after which the price stabilizes and continues in the uptrend
🔵The next chart shows the ETHUSDT on the 4H chart. As we see, the price is going back to the 23.6% and then 38.2% zone, but it failed to stabilize and falls to the next 50% retracement level and returned . Prices recovered and made a new high, continuing the previous uptrend.
⚪Fibonacci Analysis allows you to determine the support and resistance levels of a price correction and more importantly helps you find price targets and potential reversal points Almost in any market
for instance in the past rally for ADAUSDT, I used Fibonacci to determine the possible targets, and it exactly worked:🎯🏹
🔰How to draw Fibonacci retracements on the chart:
It is best to use candlestick shadows so that the analysis includes the extremes of market sentiment. Most of the time the difference is not significant, but sometimes it is crucial. The example below shows how the Fibonacci retracement was drawn to the shadows of the candlesticks from the trend low to high.
The measurement should be in the same direction as the price movement. After the measurement, the horizontal lines can be seen in the chart. These lines are potential support and resistance levels.
🔰Fibonacci retracement as part of trading strategy:
Fibonacci retracements can be very efficient for timing a trend. This method is often used by traders as part of trend strategy. With this strategy, traders monitor key price levels within a trend. This means they buy when the market is going up and sell when it is going down. Traders try to place orders in the same direction as the original trend (less risk). In this scenario, you assume that the price has a certain probability of bouncing off the Fibonacci levels and moving back in the direction of the main trend. In our example, the price dropped to the 38.2% level before correcting again. The probability of a turning point in the market increases sharply,
🔰Powerful and sometimes useful:
Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool and useful because it often marks reversal points with uncanny accuracy. Because of this, it should be used in conjunction with other indicators to identify potential trading opportunities. also There are five types of trading tools that are based on Fibonacci's discovery: arcs, fans, retracements, extensions, and time zones and ... . The lines created by these Fibonacci studies are believed to signal changes in trends as the prices draw near them.
📌7 Key Tips to Improve Your Trading ✅1. Predictions and Forecasts Are a Waste of Time
It's not about how many of your predictions were accurate, it's about when you was right and predicted correctly ,how much money you have gained !
Actually Predictions and forecasts are interesting and can help us prepare for volatility ahead, but it is the reaction to changing events that is the most important. Moving to the sidelines as a downtrend emerges will protect you better than any prediction or forecast. It is reacting decisively that works far better than predictions and forecasts.
Don't focus on anticipation and predictions. Focus on vigilance and reaction.
✅2. Compound Your Profits by Keeping Your Accounts as Close to Highs as Possible
Nothing is more counterproductive than making up losses. If you lose half of your money, you must double it to just return to even. If you are zealous at keeping your accounts near highs, you will outperform over the longer term.
Long-term buy-and-hold investing is often promoted because it allows you to compound your money and that it is what makes investors such as Warren Buffett so successful. but take it in mind Compounding fails to work when you suffer big drawdowns and losses.so The key is to address it and not just sit there.
✅3. Profits Occur Sporadically
The market is, and always will be, cyclical. It goes through ups and downs of various magnitudes on an irregular basis. Newer traders likely have a very unrealistic view of the bigger market picture. The style of trading that is working right now will not last forever and if you do not appreciate that fact, then your career in trading will be short-lived.
Traders should be mindful of the 80/20 rule. Most traders will typically produce 80% of their profits in 20% of the time. The other 80% of the time they make little progress. New traders that have immediate success will have a tough time dealing with this fact as the market shifts. Many have been spoiled recently by a fantastic market and they will give back much of their profits and eventually give up in defeat because they are not prepared for the inevitable shifts the market will undergo.
✅4. Use Charts
Charts are often dismissed as voodoo by the same people who are confident of their ability to predict macroeconomic events, but they miss the main point. Charts are useful because they provide a framework for discipline. There are millions of ways to use charts, but at the heart of every method is cutting losses and letting profits run.
Don't think of charts as a way to predict the future. Think of charts as a way to manage your existing trades. The charts will help you when to buy and when to sell, but they won't tell you what is going to happen in the future
✅5. No Trading Approach Is Inherently Superior
The best approach to the market is highly subjective. Some people do very well with trend-following and momentum. Others do equally well with value plays and fundamentals. What works best will depend on how you view the market and the methodology you use to protect capital and find new stocks to buy.
✅6. Trade Incrementally and in Multiple Time Frames
Most people think of the trading and investing process as being a single buy and then an eventual sale. They decide that this is a good stock, buy it, and then sit there and hope that it works out well. There is no strategy involved in this sort of market approach. You lose your power to control the situation when you trade in this manner.
The better approach is to move incrementally
✅7. Trading Is Hard, Which Is Why It Can Make You Rich
If you read social media, it is easy to develop the impression that thousands of people make a huge amount of money with a steady diet of great stock picks.
The reality is that trading is tough and that even the best traders have substantial losses along the way. The very best traders are those that embrace the inevitable of poor trades and make them part of their process. No matter how good you are at trading, you will have losing streaks and be hit by tremendous bad luck at times. It is the nature of the beast.
Work on developing a style that makes sense to you. If it doesn't work as well as you'd like, keep modifying it. The market is constantly changing, which means what works best will shift all the time. Just make sure you keep in mind the discussion about how profits tend to occur sporadically.
BOS - BREAK OF STRUCTURE 📉📉📉🎯 WHAT IS BOS ?
BOS - break of strucuture. I will use market strucutre bullish or bearish to understand if the institutions are buying or selling a financial asset.
To spot a bullish/bearish market strucutre we should see a higher highs and higher lows and viceversa, to spot the continuation of the bullish market strucuture we should see bullish price action above the last old high in the strucutre this is the BOS.
🎯 BOS for me is a confirmation that price will go higher after the retracement and we are still in a bullish move
Kindly see attached photos
Do you use BOS as a trading concept ?
DXY INDEX TUTORIAL 📉📉📉🎯 DXY - USD Index
USDINDEX - The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX, DXY, DX, or, informally, the "Dixie") is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, often referred to as a basket of U.S. trade partners' currencies, this index helps us to understand if USD is bullish or bearish on a short term or long term perspective.
🎯 DXY has two correlations one of them is positive meaning the certain assets moves like DXY and negative corelation meaning certain assets move exactly vice-versa.
✅ DXY Positive Correlations
DXY ⬆️
USDCAD ⬆️
USDJPY ⬆️
USDCHF ⬆️
USDRUB⬆️
USD XXX ⬆️
✅ DXY Negative Corelations
DXY ⬆️
EURUSD ⬇️
GBPUSD ⬇️
AUDUSD ⬇️
NZDUSD ⬇️
From a technical standpoint to have a better probability in your trades try to find entries when both DXY and for example USDCAD are in long poi (point of interest) this will increase your chance of having profits as you use inter-market correlations
SUPPLY vs DEMAND 📉📉📉✅1) Use longer time frames to identify supply and demand zones
By zooming out, traders are able to get a better view of areas where price had bounced off previously. Be sure to use the appropriate charts when altering the between multiple time frames. Draw a rectangular shape to denote this zone. Demand and supply zones do not necessarily have to appear together - often currency pairs can reveal one or the other.
✅ 2) Identify strong moves off the potential demand/supply zone
Certain price levels offer value to either bullish or bearish traders. Once institutional traders and big banks see this value, they will look to capitalize on it. As a result, price action tends to accelerate relatively quickly until the value has diminished or has been fully realized. Witnessing multiple instances of this at the same price level increases the probability that it is an area of value and therefore, a supply or demand zone.
✅ 3) Use indicators for confirmation of support and demand zones
Traders can incorporate daily or weekly pivot points to identify or confirm supply or demand zones. At DailyFX, we have a dedicated page showing relevant support and resistance levels for all major markets. Traders should look for support and resistance levels to line up with demand and supply zones for higher probability trades.
🏦 Often, a currency pair will climb to an area of resistance called a ‘selling zone’, where sellers perceive there to be great selling potential at a relatively overbought price. The reverse is also true for currency pairs that drop to relatively low levels, ‘demand zone’ where buyers perceive there to be great value to buy.
If you haven’t learned the basics of the supply and demand, or would like a refresher, read our guide on the forces of supply and demand.
🏦 Supply and demand zones are observable areas on a chart where price has approached many times in the past. Unlike lines of support and resistance, these resemble zones more closely than precise lines. Traders can customize charts to identify the demand and supply zones
Do you use this concept ? 🔥
educational 🧙 ♂️ Buying rumors and selling news to those who still don't know or follow me recently
Buying a rumor and selling the news is a trading practice
Rumors are an essential component of price action, and news is one that has the opposite effect. In other words, it will give the trader more focus on rumors rather than news. In addition, it will be the entry point when rumors emerge, and the exit point when news emerges.
This trading strategy places great emphasis on the timing of each trade as the rumors and news come in other than the technical analysis of the stock or asset.
Knowing that news and rumors are about to emerge, traders make important trading decisions after these events.
If you don't understand, then see the world upside down 😂😂
An example of simplification The market from the beginning of the week was expected to raise the interest rate, so gold is correcting downwards (this is a rumor buying)
While after the news is released, gold is expected to rise, and this is (selling the news).
Bullish Gartley patternBullish Gartley Pattern:
It starts with a bullish XA move. AB is then bearish. BC is bullish, and CD is bearish again.
XA: This can be any price activity on the chart. There is no specific price movement in Gartley chart formation.
AB: The AB move should be approximately 61.8 % Fibonacci of XA and should not cross the starting point X. If it crosses X then the pattern becomes invalid.
BC: The BC move should finish between 38.2% and 88.6% Fibonacci of XA and should no cross point A. If it crosses point A then the pattern becomes invalid.
CD: The CD move will be the final and important part of the pattern and to place a long trade when CD is 78.6% of XA. Ideally point D should represent 127% to 161.8% Fibonacci of BC. Look for entry at point D once you see the trend reversal. Note point D cannot be cross the starting point X. If it crosses then the pattern becomes invalid.
Profit Targets:
The full target price of the pattern is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the AD. However, there can be 3 intermediate targets before the final target
which are:
Target 1: point B swing
Target 2: Point C swing
Target 3: Point A swing
Target 4: Point E 161.8% Fibonacci of AD
Note that you can only draw (AD) Fibonacci retracement once the pattern has completed at point D and the price has reversed.
Stop Loss : should be just below X with a support channel.
If you like my TA & ideas!! Want to keep yourself updated with current market action, then please follow my profile for more analysis.
Harmonic Patterns With Advanced Explanations Check It OutHarmonic price patterns are those that take geometric price patterns to the next level by utilizing Fibonacci numbers to define precise turning points. Unlike other more common trading methods, harmonic trading attempts to predict future movements.
Let's look at some examples of how harmonic price patterns are used to trade currencies in the forex market.
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KEY TAKEAWAYS
Harmonic trading refers to the idea that trends are harmonic phenomena, meaning they can subdivided into smaller or larger waves that may predict price direction.
Harmonic trading relies on Fibonacci numbers, which are used to create technical indicators.
The Fibonacci sequence of numbers, starting with zero and one, is created by adding the previous two numbers: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.
This sequence can then be broken down into ratios which some believe provide clues as to where a given financial market will move to.
The Gartley , bat, and crab are among the most popular harmonic patterns available to technical traders.
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Geometry and Fibonacci Numbers
Harmonic trading combines patterns and math into a trading method that is precise and based on the premise that patterns repeat themselves. At the root of the methodology is the primary ratio, or some derivative of it (0.618 or 1.618). Complementing ratios include: 0.382, 0.50, 1.41, 2.0, 2.24, 2.618, 3.14 and 3.618. The primary ratio is found in almost all natural and environmental structures and events; it is also found in man-made structures. Since the pattern repeats throughout nature and within society, the ratio is also seen in the financial markets
By finding patterns of varying lengths and magnitudes, the trader can then apply Fibonacci ratios to the patterns and try to predict future movements. The trading method is largely attributed to Scott Carney
although others have contributed or found patterns and levels that enhance performance.
Issues with Harmonics
Harmonic price patterns are precise, requiring the pattern to show movements of a particular magnitude in order for the unfolding of the pattern to provide an accurate reversal point. A trader may often see a pattern that looks like a harmonic pattern , but the Fibonacci levels will not align in the pattern, thus rendering the pattern unreliable in terms of the harmonic approach. This can be an advantage, as it requires the trader to be patient and wait for ideal set-ups.
Harmonic patterns can gauge how long current moves will last, but they can also be used to isolate reversal points. The danger occurs when a trader takes a position in the reversal area and the pattern fails. When this happens, the trader can be caught in a trade where the trend rapidly extends against him. Therefore, as with all trading strategies, risk must be controlled.
It is important to note that patterns may exist within other patterns, and it is also possible that non-harmonic patterns may (and likely will) exist within the context of harmonic patterns . These can be used to aid in the effectiveness of the harmonic pattern and enhance entry and exit performance. Several price waves may also exist within a single harmonic wave (for instance, a CD wave or AB wave). Prices are constantly gyrating; therefore, it is important to focus on the bigger picture of the time frame being traded. The fractal nature of the markets allows the theory to be applied from the smallest to largest time frames.
To use the method, a trader will benefit from a chart platform that allows him to plot multiple Fibonacci retracements to measure each wave.
Types of Harmonic Patterns
There is quite an assortment of harmonic patterns , although there are four that seem most popular. These are the Gartley , butterfly , bat, and crab patterns.
A perfect example of Bearish Bat patternAs you can see in the weekly charts Gold has made a bearish bat pattern and has reached the first target..!
Further correction in the high inflation era is less likely..! do not count on the 2nd and 3rd targets..!
Always consider the probability of something happening, and Keep in mind nothing is impossible in the market!!!
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Bullish Bat Harmonic Tutorial on GBPAUD H4 (Come with Analysis)When Bullish Bat appears, it is more confident to Take Profit.
TP1 is 0.382.
TP2 will be 0.618.
The early entry can be at the Bullish Engulfing at the bottom.
Because of the trend has manage to break 0.618, it is successful to about making a new Bullish trend here.
This tutorial come with Analysis. :)
Look for Buy opportunity now.
Let's ride this trend.
Note: I am starting to care less about FA bit by bit. It stays fun to know. TA is much more.
Harmonic Pattern is founded and detected by Mr. Scott Carney at year 2000. They are all already patented.
Learn more about Harmonic Patterns from his website. I am still studying them. I like it. It is proven today.
Combine with other technique to add more conviction.
I really appreciate this knowledge. :)
Like/Comment/Thumbs Up if this is any helpful. Thanks in advance.
educational A detailed explanation of the BUTTERFLY harmonic pattern 🦋
🔹 BUTTERFLY is a reversal pattern consisting of four waves, similar to the Gartley and Bat pattern.
They are X-A, A-B, B-C and C-D waves.
🔹 Helps you identify when the current price movement is coming to an end, this means that you can enter the market as the price reverses its direction.
🔹 There is a bullish pattern where you can open a buy position
And a bearish pattern where you open a short position.
🔹 BUTTERFLY is a reversal pattern that allows you to enter the market selling at the highest levels and buying from the extreme bottoms.
🔴 buying style:
1️⃣ We have a strong upward movement, which is the beginning of the pattern and is called the (X-A) leg.
2️⃣ The leg (A-B) must be 78% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (X-A)
3️⃣ Then the leg (B-C) and it should be between 38% and 88% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (A-B)
4️⃣ Then the leg (C-D) and it must be between 161% and 261% Fibonacci extension of the leg (B-C)
5️⃣ And the pattern (D) ends, which should be between 127% and 161% Fibonacci extension of the leg (X-A)
6️⃣ When the model is formed and its conditions are completed as we mentioned, the price will rise from point (D) and can benefit from buying from point (D).
🔴Selling style:
1️⃣ We have a strong downward movement, which is the beginning of the pattern and is called the (X-A) leg.
2️⃣ The leg (A-B) should be 78% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (X-A).
3️⃣ Then the leg (B-C) and it should be between 38% and 88% Fibonacci retracement of the leg (A-B).
4️⃣ Then the leg (C-D) and it must be between 161% and 261% Fibonacci extension of the leg (B-C).
5️⃣ And the pattern (D) ends, which should be between 127% and 161%, the Fibonacci extension of the leg (X-A).
6️⃣ When the model is formed and its conditions are completed, as we mentioned, the price will drop from point (D) and the sale can benefit from point (D).
below you can see other educational content
The 4th TURNING and Davos' GREAT RESETThe 4th Turning is a sociological study of the last 600 years of Wester culture. In it, the authors conclude that society goes through 4 stages culminating in the 4th Turning, a time of chaos and upheaval that ends with the establishment of
a "new order". We are in that period now, and the excessive debt, inflation and political tensions around the world indicate that there is a monumental change coming. Perhaps Davos' GREAT RESET as annunciated by Klaus Schwab, Perhaps something worse. Only time will tell.
educational A detailed explanation of the SHARK harmonic pattern
The Shark model was discovered in 2011 by Scott Carney.
It is somewhat similar to the crab pattern, and the most important characteristic of this pattern is that it depends on the 88.6 Fibonacci correction ratio
This model was created by combining Fibonacci numbers with Elliot Wave Theory.
The shark model is characterized by the need to specify the points for determining the model points, which are x, a, b, c, and the beginning of the structure of the model is point 0. In the shark model, point B exceeds point x
buy style
1- There is no specific correction for A
2- Point B corrects 113 to 161.8 from XA
3- Point C of model completion at 88.6 to 113 0X and at 161.8 to 224 AB
sell style
1- There is no specific correction for A
2- Point B is a correction from 113 to 161.8 from XA
3- Point C of model completion at 88.6 to 113 from 0X and at 161.8 to 224 from AB
below you can see one of our trades on shark pattern , and other educational content and some other trades on it
goldIn a side conversation with my friend the gold trader
Or in parentheses ( the person who distributes and sells gold to gold shops )
I asked him: Do you receive gold from the price of 2070
He replied and said it is impossible only if this gold is for me personally and not for my work
I asked him why, he said, because this is what happened to us two years ago
1 Merchant like 100 merchants with one rule
And if you want to know why 2070 resisted the rise, you have to know that gold is a commodity governed by traders in the first place, 50% of the gold is with them
And when the merchant refuses to buy from the market by this price
This is a normal reaction to drop for $100
, I did not leave him, and I asked him what if he came back and retested 2070 . He said, “We will do the same thing again.”
buy if the price of gold breaks 2070, it will turn into Future
Like what happened with oil, when its price was negative
I asked him when will you buy, he said when a strong bounce occurs again, like 70 with 100 dollars, then we will buy again and cover ourselves with 100 dollars, an upward movement
Look, I made it easy to talk as much as I could
If you understand this is a good thing, but if you do not get angry, then this is normal because the subject is difficult






















