Harmonic Patterns
HOW-TO: Use Harmonic Pattern Script - Part IIHello All,
This video was made to show how to use Harmonic Pattern script, and custom alert messages in it are explained. Before watching this video please watch Part I. If you have questions please ask them in the comments.
Thank you for watching it!.
Enjoy!
Best Candlestick Patterns
Long Wick (Shadow) Candle: Buyers or sellers tried to push the price further but failed
The inside bar: After a long wick could mean price change
Also engulfing is a reversal signal.
Momentum candle:
Multiple rejections: Good resistance and sign of price rejection and reversal
Shrinking candles: Loss of momentum
3 consecutive candles in the same colour: indicate the start of a new trend.
Big red candle: bearish
Doji: Open and close are similar and we have shadows on both sides. Can be a signal for reversal if the next candle shapes in a different colour from the previous one.
Hammer: bullish
Inverted hammer: bearish
A technique from 1202 - Really? images
Who was Fibonacci?
Fibonacci (1170 – c. 1240–50), also known as Leonardo Bonacci, Leonardo of Pisa, or Leonardo Bigollo Pisano was an Italian mathematician from the Republic of Pisa, considered to be "the most talented Western mathematician of the Middle Ages".
Fibonacci popularized the Hindu–Arabic numeral system in the Western world primarily through his composition in 1202 of Liber Abaci (Book of Calculation). He also introduced Europe to the sequence of Fibonacci numbers, which he used as an example in Liber Abaci.
You may have seen this?
This is what’s called the Golden ratio. I am not looking to go into depth on Fibonacci use cases, spirals, fans, arcs, circles, wedges and channels. However, it was important to mention so you can go away and do your own research on Fibonacci beyond this “welcome to” post.
Why is this useful for trading?
The Fibonacci sequence is quite possibly the most used tool in trading stocks, Forex, Commodities and even crypto.
In mathematics, the Fibonacci numbers, commonly denoted Fnuch that each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting from 0 and 1.
However, you are probably more familiar with Fibonacci extension and retracement levels.
It’s all based on the same logic.
Fibonacci numbers appear unexpectedly often in mathematics, so much so that there is an entire journal dedicated to their study, the Fibonacci Quarterly. Applications of Fibonacci numbers include computer algorithms such as the Fibonacci search technique and the Fibonacci heap data structure, and graphs called Fibonacci cubes used for interconnecting parallel and distributed systems.
They also appear in biological settings, such as branching in trees, the arrangement of leaves on a stem, the fruit sprouts of a pineapple, the flowering of an artichoke, an uncurling fern, and the arrangement of a pine cone's bracts.
Just look at this image once more!
So what?
The fact that these numbers appear in nature, it has clearly been adopted in art and architecture – this is due to the human desire for pattern recognition. It’s built into our DNA, the fact that we as a collective want to identify such patterns, will in fact drive charts.
I have written articles on Elliott Waves - which again is quite possibly one of the biggest use cases for Fibonacci, definitely an easy way to see the powers at work.
Here’s a link to one such article;
How to use Them?
If you have been trading for some time you are most likely familiar with Fibonacci techniques, if you are new, here is some basic logic to get you started.
As mentioned above there are several tools for Fibonacci, as a new trader I would suggest only looking at extensions and retracements to start you off.
Retracement
These levels often work well as support and resistance, you will find opportunities to enter on pullbacks (retracements) against the overall trend. Common levels here are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50% (although it’s not technically a real fib level, another topic for another time) then of course the 61.8% and the 78.6%.
How to draw these on the chart – you are looking for 3 points let’s assume A,B & C. You are looking for A to be at the start of your trend. Often this will be a swing low or high.
Let’s assume we are looking at an uptrend and we want to see the pullback. A would be placed here as above.
The next step is to use the extension tool and click A and drag to point B as below;
and the pullback level;
Now we have a move A to B we can start to look for areas of interest, in this example we can see the pullback was to the 38.2% level.
Some people are critical on the levels, for me I like it to tag the level and if it goes a little deeper then I still like it, if it doesn’t tag the level I would round it down to the lower level. Meaning if it fails at say 37.9% I would like to still think of it as only the 23,6% fib level. But there is no hard and fast rule on this.
Now this gives me A and B with a 38% pullback for C.
One way to trade using this could be a simple Buy at the break of B with a stop “Below” C
Not telling you this is what you should do, it’s just one method some do use. Obviously, you could increase the stop and put it under A instead.
Difference between Retracement and Extensions?
The data you gather by assessing the pullback becomes valuable when looking for potential targets, so whilst we used 2 touch points (A & B) for getting the retracement level, the most accurate extension forecasting tool would be to use all 3 (A, B and C). Although it can also be done by using only A and B as well, It’s another one of those not so clear rules.
Whilst the retracement tool gives us the pullback, the extension will give us some target areas.
Let’s start with the simple (not my preferred) method;
This is known as the extensions – 2 points (A, B) drag the curser from A to B and click and then back to A and click off.
With this method you will notice in your back-testing those areas of interest will often be at the 61.8% of the A to B move. This means if A + B = 100, then the target would be around 161-2.
Also, the 100% of the A-B move giving a target example of 200 and lastly the 1.618 level. Giving a target of 261-2 level. Again, no hard fast rule. This is just something seen over and over again.
Expansion levels
To start with go from A to B with the extension tool and pullback to C and click off. Assume you are using @TradingView
Much like the Extension you will notice similar characteristics of the moves up (in this example of the uptrend)
Something interesting
I mentioned above this is a great tool to use alongside Elliott Waves, here’s an example of how this works and can fit into the charts.
In this image above we use the same A point as a starting point, B becomes the 1 and 2 becomes the C. We can then work the Fibonacci extension & expansion levels to determine where 3 is likely to go. And then we can use the retracement for the pullback for (4) as well as new extensions for the projection of the 5th wave.
A few months back, I wrote an article here on tradingview on the psychology on the charts, it’s worth highlighting that here.
Click the link/image to view the article;
Nothing is 100% certain, but using these methods will help give you a better understanding of waves and swings, logic for pullbacks and reason for extension levels.
I hope this helps someone out here!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Price Channel Trading StrategyCharacteristics:
Channels are banded current trend-following indicators.
Similar to other indicators they lagging.
They have an upper and a lower line.
Upper and lower bands are at equal distance from a middle line.
The area between the upper and lower lines in the channel.
Signals:
The upper or lower line breakouts.
The upper and lower lines bounce backs.
Channels can be seen in trendy or sideways markets.
Different types of channels will be discussed in other videos like:
Donchain Channels
Keltner Channels
Fibonacci channels
.
.
ONE OF MY FAVORITE MATHEMATICAL TRADING SETUP ONE OF MY SIMPLE & SOLID MATHEMATICAL TRADING SYSTEM
1 ) SMS : shift of market structure .
2 ) BOS : Break of structure .
3 ) RTO : Retest of order block .
4 ) psychology behind the numbers . ( possible lequidity area )
5 ) Fibonacci number confirmations .
6 ) check COT data ( what big banks & institutions are doing )
7 ) place position with proper risk management rules
8) TARGET last low that create BOS & -27.2 of previous leg.
Is your money worth reading "maybe´s"Hello Trenders,
Been thinking a lot to or to not publish this signal. Many of you expect a deep on global level, therefore I here show you some mathematic forecast.
This may not be the end of the world, yet it is far worse than the most downbeat forecasts. The evidence to support this outlook is in plain
sight. Some sixth-grade math is a good place to begin the analysis. Make 2019 economic output 100 (the actual figure is $22 trillion; “100” is
100 percent of that number; a convenient way to measure ups and downs). Assume output drops 20 percent over the second and third
quarters of 2020 (many estimates project larger drops; 20 percent is a plausible if conservative estimate). A 20 percent drop for six months
equals a 10 percent drop for the full year, assuming the first and fourth quarters are flat on net. A 10 percent drop from 100 = 90 (or $2.2
trillion of lost output).
Since 1948, U.S. annual real growth in GDP has never exceeded 10 percent. Since 1984, real growth has never exceeded 5 percent. The
highest-growth years since the end of World War II were 8.7 percent in 1950, 8 percent in 1951, and 7.2 percent in 1984. An assumption
that real growth will occur in 2021 at a 6 percent annual rate is a generous if unrealistic assumption. Such growth would qualify as a Vshaped recovery.
If our new base is 90 (compared with 100 in 2019) and we increase output by 6 percent in 2021, this brings total output to 95.4. If we
enter 2022 with the new base of 95.4 and increase that base by 4 percent (so, 95.4 × 1.04), we come to 99.2 in total output by the end of
2022. Here’s the problem. Using 100 as a baseline for 2019 output, and assuming 6 percent real growth in 2021 and 4 percent in 2022 (rates
of growth that have not happened on an annual basis since 1984), the economy does not get back to 2019 output levels. The hard truth is
that 99.2 < 100.
Source : The new great depression (2021).
What about if we really have a second wave harder then the first with mutatied covid?
I want to add, is not my intention to spread panic or "maybe´s" but the study got my attention.
Even the legends will have trouble surviving if this happen.
So how can a trader survive in this case condition by trading as only source of income???
Perhaps agricultural commodities will always perform....
THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND,BUT HOW TO ACCURATELY DETERMINE THE WINMany of us have been taught that the trend is our friend and we should trade in the direction of the trend.As we have eventually discovered this is easier said than done.I am a Mechanical Engineer by profession so i was inclined to find an excellent way to determine the trend of a market,forex currency pair, cryptocurrency pair or a stock.
Gartley Pattern Trading Strategy
Gartley patterns are harmonic chart patterns based on Fibonacci numbers.
The first stop-loss point is often positioned at Point X and the take-profit is often set at point Fibonacci retracement numbers.
I normally open 3 small positions or a big position and close partially at 0.618, 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci numbers.
The Golden Days are for Celebration My indicators are clear and straightforward...high and low pay more attention to the Elliott 3 wave you'll see the zigzag gives a clear indication of the direction.
High and Low movements so becareful when you place your orders to carefully pay close attention to the DIRECTION right now it either you trade to make money 💰 or you support your favorite commodity.
But Smart Investor knows when to wait and observe.
Trading is made easy all you need to do is keep it simple to complicate it, once again don't pay too much attention to news especially about the positive and negative side of trading they will mislead so that their bosses can make more money than you do.
Remember this is business by the way...always apply your understanding first, revisit the chart basics and fundamentals then you'll be safe and OK.
Newest layout and maybe my best one yet!This layout has everything you'll need for price action trading. All custom settings with included indicators. ( Trendlines, pivot points, bollinger bands, RSI Divergence, VMC-Cipher, Money-Miner with custom settings and bar colors.
- This setup is absolutely awesome for scalping and intraday trading. It only has useful moving averages and indicators and everything flows together almost seemlessly. Enjoy!!
--CryptoSavvy
Link to chart setup - www.tradingview.com
Inverted cup with handle: identification guidelines Feature Discussion
Rounded turn Look for a smooth, rounded curve (an inverted cup), but allow exceptions.
Cup rims The two cup rims should reach the bottom at close to the same price.
Cup handle To the right of the cup there should be a handle. The cup's recoil handle should not rise above the top of the cup, but often tracks 30% to 60% above the height of the cup.
Confirmation The pattern is confirmed as valid when the price closes below the right edge of the glass.
Unique Pattern BTCThis is the strongest Bitcoin Pattern. Its called the Ladel Pattern, and it Starts when BTC reaches All-time high.
The Ladel pattern has been consistently appearing at every major all-time high of BTC. And the accuracy of this pattern is pretty high as you’ll see in this video.
People are used to “One Size Fits All Patterns”. The ladle pattern is proof that each Currency/Stock does have their own unique patterns that cannot be found in the traditional textbook pattern list.
Why I didn't take this trade USD/CADAlthough I didn't post this trade as viable now the time has past I thought I would post it so you can see why I didn't take it. A real shame as the Fibonacci levels on the harmonic are near perfect but the first profit target is to small. if it is not bigger than the stop lose then I don't take the trade. Hope this gives you some insight to harmonics. Although it has reached the first target the risk reward does not give us a long term profit.
Gartley patternHow to Trade when you see the Gartley Pattern?
What to consider to enter the trade?
To enter a Gartley trade you should first take note of the pattern and then confirm if it is valid or not. Outline the four price swings on the chart and check to make sure they respond to their respective Fibonacci levels to draw the Gartley pattern on your chart. Ensure you mark every price action swing with the important letters X, A, B, C, and D. By doing this, you will be able to estimate the overall size of the pattern and get a clear idea about the parameters.
If your chat is a bullish Gartley, open a long trade after noticing these conditions:
CD gets support at 127.2 percent or 161.8 percent Fibonacci level of the BC move.
The price action bounces in a bullish direction from the respective Fibonacci level.
If the Gartley pattern is bearish, then you make use of the same two rules to open a trade. But in this case, your trade will to the short side.
Where to set your stop-loss for a Gartley trade?
It is always recommended that you use a stop loss order regardless of your preferred entry signal. By doing this, you will be protecting yourself from any rapid or unexpected price moves. The stop loss order of a bullish Gartley trade should be found below the D point of the chart pattern. But for a bearish Gartley trade, your stop loss order should be found above the pattern’s D point.
What to aim for your take profit for a Gartley trade?
When you open your Gartley trade and you place your stop loss order, you expect the price to move in your favor, right? And if and when it does, you should know how long you expect to stay in the trade.
It is advisable to enter a full position after the D bounce and then scale out at different levels when trading a Gartley harmonic pattern. If the price momentum continues to show signs of strength, you can opt to keep a small portion of the trade open so as you can catch a large move. Use price action clues such as trend lines, support and resistant techniques, candle patterns and trend lines to find the right final exit point. But generally, if the price action shows no signs of interrupting the new trend, just stay in it for as long as you can.
Crab and Deep Crab harmonic patternHow to trade when you see the pattern?
Trading a bearish Crab pattern
To trade a bearish crab pattern, put a short (sell) order at point D (the 161.8 percent Fibonacci extension of the XA leg).
Entry: Identify where the pattern will end at point D, and place your order
Stop-Loss: Put your stop-loss just below point D
Take Profit: The location of your profit target is highly subjective and depends on your objectives and market conditions. If you desire aggressive profit, place it at point A of the pattern. For a more conservative profit, place it at point B.
Trading a bullish Crab pattern
First of all, choose the crab pattern charting tool and follow all the above rules to identify the pattern. Remember that the Fibonacci ratios are very important to trade the crab pattern. If you notice the pattern on a price chart and if you find the ratios not matching with the pattern rules, it means that the pattern is not valid. So do not trade that pattern.
When the price action confirms the pattern, immediately enter for a buy. If you are a conservative trader, ensure you wait for a couple of bullish confirmation candles before entering the trade.
There are four targets (X, B, C, A) to place the take-profit order in the crab pattern. At the start, traders try to book full profit at point A, but when the price crosses point B, the market turns sideways. So book half of your profit at point B and then close your full positions at point A.
Most of the traders placing their stop-loss way below point D; however, that’s a wrong way to do it because they are risking more due to this simple logic. If the price action breaks point D, it automatically invalidates the pattern.
Cypher patternHow to trade when you see the Cypher pattern?
While trading the cypher pattern, you will apply a set of simple rules. They will try to minimize risk and maximize profits. Even though there is one more important step to learn before defining the cypher pattern trading strategy rules.
Step 1: Drawing Cypher patterns
Click on the harmonic pattern indicator located on the right-hand side toolbar of the TradingView platform.
Identify the starting point, X, on the chart, which can be any swing low or high point.
Once you’ve located your first swing high/low point, follow the market swing wave movements.
Every swing leg has to be validated and abide by the cypher pattern forex Fibonacci ratios.
Step 2: Trading process
Now that you know how to identify and qualify the harmonic cypher pattern, it’s time to trade the pattern. Standard methods of trading the cypher pattern include:
Entry point
The cypher pattern may be the most exciting harmonic pattern for risk management, because it has the highest winning rate. Backtesting results have continuously proven the cypher pattern forex is a very dependable harmonic pattern.
Next, buy with a market order at the first candle preceding the completion of the D point at 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the XC leg. Once the market touches the 0.786 level, wave D is in place, because you can’t control how far the market will go.
When the CD leg gets to the 78.6 percent retracement level, the cypher pattern is complete and valid. However, the 78.6 percent Fibonacci retracement level of X to C also acts as the standard entry point for a valid cypher pattern trade.
Take profit
There are some ways to take profit with this pattern, but the standard method is to scale out of your position at the first take profit level and end the trade at the second take profit level. Take profit once you get to point A. To get to such levels, draw a Fibonacci retracement of the CD leg.
The cypher patterns trading method is a reversal method. Make sure you capture as much as possible from the new trend. If you’re not a fan of reversal strategy, and you prefer a trend following strategy, follow the MACD trend following strategy-simple to learn another strategy. The strategy has attracted a lot of interest from the Forex trading community.
Ensure you take profits once you reach point A of the pattern, because it has conservative take profit target.
So, why should you take profit so early?
For the most part of the harmonic patterns, it’s best to lock in profits as soon as possible. Since the cypher pattern is one of the most profitable harmonic patterns, you can give it more room for the price action to breath. You have the chance to at least see a retest of the wave A.
Stop-loss
Ensure you give your trade at least 10 pips space above X in the intraday charts. While trading a bullish cypher pattern, place the stop-loss at least 10 pips lower than the low of X. For a bearish pattern, place the stop-loss at least 10 pips higher than the high of X. That’s the only logical place to hide your stop-loss, because any break below will automatically invalidate the trade.
Shark patternHow to trade when you see the Shark pattern?
The ideal method used to trade a shark pattern is quite different from that used for other chart patterns. The take profit can be at 50 to 61.8 percent of BC .
The way to trade this pattern is to go in at the open of the next candlestick after the harmonic indicator has detected the pattern. As soon as the C-leg forms, enter the market with a protective stop-loss at the 2.618 extensions of AB swing-leg.
Drawing the pattern
Click on the indicator of the harmonic pattern which can be found on the right-hand side toolbar of the platform
Determine on the chart the starting point 0, which can be any swing high or low point on the chart
After locating the first swing high/low point, follow the market swing wave movements
Traders need to have 4 points or 4 swings high/low points that join together to form the harmonic crab pattern strategy. Each swing leg has to be validated and stick to the Fibonacci ratios of the shark pattern forex.
Trading the pattern
Buy at point D, which has to satisfy the requirement CD = 1.13 OX segment. The D to X can be found anywhere between 0.886 to 1.13, but it is best to take trades using an ideal 1.13 extension.
Stop-loss
The stop-loss can be placed below the 1.150 Fibonacci extensions of XA at point C. As the market begins to go towards the first take profit, move it after D leg. This is the best place to hide the stop-loss because any break below will automatically invalidate the Fibonacci requirements for a shark pattern.
Just as it is with any new pattern, you need to be cautious when trading this pattern. You should only trade the best price structure that fits into all the Fibonacci ratios with great precision. Be picky! The shark harmonic trading strategy works very well as a strong counter-trend strategy.
Bat harmonic patternHow to trade when you see the Bat pattern?
Before trying and trading the pattern, confirm from this checklist that the pattern is real. It should include these vital elements:
An AB=CD pattern or an extension of this pattern
An 88.6 percent Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg
A 161.8 to 261.8 percent Fibonacci extension of the B-C leg
Next will be to look at how traders can trade using the bat pattern. We will make use of the bullish bat pattern as an example. For a bearish bat pattern, simply do the opposite for your orders.
The first thing to look for when looking for this pattern is the impulsive leg or the XA leg. We are trying to identify a strong move up or down depending if we either have a bullish bat or a bearish bat pattern.
The next thing that needs to be satisfied for an authentic bat pattern structure is a minimum 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg and it can go as deep as 0.50 Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg, but it cannot break below the 0.618. This will form the B leg of the pattern.
The next thing traders should do is to look for a retracement of the AB leg up to at least 38.2 percent Fibonacci ratios, but it cannot exceed the 88.6 percent, and this will form the third point C of the pattern strategy.
The last thing to do is to establish is the D point, and to get to the D point, find the 0.886 Fibonacci ratios of the impulsive XA leg, which will lead to a deep CD leg, and finally, it will complete the entire structure of the pattern.
Market strategy
The market strategy of the pattern has been tested across various classes of assets (commodities, currencies, stocks, and cryptocurrencies). It is recommended that traders should take the time and back-test the bat harmonic patterns strategy before using this advanced pattern for trading.
Step 1: Drawing the pattern
Begin by clicking on the bat pattern indicator that is found on the right-hand side toolbar
Identify the beginning point X, which can be any swing high or low point on the chart
After identifying the first swing high/low point, simply follow the market swing wave movements
You should get 4 points or 4 swings high/low points that join and form the harmonic bat pattern strategy
Step 2: Trading the pattern
The 88.6 percent Fibonacci ratio provides traders a more reliable risk/reward ratio which is why the market strategy of the bat pattern is such a very popular as a market strategy. The best entry point is the 88.6 percent Fibonacci retracement which is a very accurate market turning point.
It is recommended that traders should enter as soon as they touch the 88.6 percent figure. Oftentimes the harmonic bat pattern strategy doesn’t go much above this level.
Step 3: Placing a stop-loss
Usually, traders should place their protective stop-loss lower than the point X of a harmonic bat pattern. That is the only logical location to hide the stop-loss because any break below will automatically invalidate the pattern.
Step 4: Take-profit margin
There can be several ways to manage your trades, but the best target for this pattern should be to use a multiple take profit formula. For this pattern strategy, take the first partial profit once you hit wave-C level and the remaining half once we break above wave-A.
By doing this you will accomplish two things:
first, you’ll ensure that you accumulate profits,
and secondly if the markets reverse, you ensure you’re stopped at BE and don’t lose any money.
Alternate Bat harmonic patternWhat is the Alternate Bat harmonic pattern?
The alternate bat pattern is a variation of the Gartley pattern. Scott Carney developed it in 2003. It is popular for incorporating the 1.13XA retracement as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The alternate bat harmonic pattern is one of the most precise trading patterns that works exceptionally great in the relative strength index (RSI) BAMM set up.
How to identify the Alternate Bat harmonic pattern?
The alternate bat is a unique trading pattern that involves certain precise measurements. Those measures are crucial in order to identify the alternate bat. A pattern must meet the following conditions to be an alternate bat pattern:
The first important factor is the B point retracement that must be 0.382 retracements or it must be less of the XA leg.
The alternate bat only utilizes 2.0 BC projections or greater than that.
The AB = CD pattern within the alternate bat pattern always extends requiring a 1.618 AB = CD calculations.
Generally, the best structures use 50% retracement at the midpoint.






















