Harmonic Patterns
Classic Double Top, Bear Flag & 5-0 Pattern lined up all-in-one.Classic Double Top, Bear Flag & 5-0 Pattern lined up all-in-one. What could it signify? Am I just transposing an image onto a market that is not really a reflection of reality? Let's see.
Short NDUSD:
Reasons:
Classic Double Top, Bear Flag & 5-0 Pattern lined up together
volume confirmed the double top
Intermarket confirmation: It appears as though the US Dollar has found support and will rally: s3.amazonaws.com
Inside Bars on the 8 hour chart. Thus, expect a volatility expansion:
MACD Divergence
Do chart patterns work? Well, they certainly gives the trader a disciplined method for attacking the markets. Chart patterns can prevent the trader from overtrading. Certainly, if a chart pattern confirms something fundamental or if one believe it confirms something from sentiment or intermarket analysis, then go for it with proper risk management.
EURUSD what to do now? Banksters still have 5 times more longs.Hi Traders, thank you for watching my multi-timeframe analysis of this pair.
My trading strategy is based on the simplicity and core of the markets which is Buying and selling.
I'm trying to spot the next steps of the big players by using the Market profile, Volume and COT (commitment of traders)
The way I think about the markets is based on the fact that Market makers (banks, hedge funds)can do their operations only when other side (traders like you and me)
provide them liquidity = We must sell so they can buy and opposite. So I'm looking for the Stop loss zones, fake outs and other confluences to enter the markets.
My battlefield is defined by the channels on the higher timeframes, I mostly play on the upper bands and middle bands in the directions of the COT .'
I'm swing trading not intraday trading, so my ideas always takes a time and patience to play out and most important is to do the good risk management, se we can stay emotionless in a trades.
Don't hesitate to comment with any questions and if you learning something support this idea with like or share it in other trading forums.
Wish you good hunt !!
Dave FX Hunter
Previous analysis:
Explanation of profit taking, before it happen
Dollar analysis:
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Upgrade your trading view with my free indicators:
FX HUNTER WEALTH COT DATA - Click the script picture below and add it to your trading view
FX HUNTER COT CANDLE REPORT - - Click the script picture below and add it to your trading view
How the banks use us as liquidity providers for their operationsHi Traders, thank you for watching this tutorial. Its not any secret. That markets works like this.
Basic principle of the market is that if someone buys other must sell. And this is the technique of the market makers
artificial intelligence how to use us for their operations. Hope it helps you realize importance of the
Stop loss zones / Liquidity zones.
Try to not have SL where the others have it.
My trading strategy is based on the simplicity and core of the markets which is Buying and selling.
I'm trying to spot the next steps of the big players by using the Market profile, Volume and COT (commitment of traders)
The way I think about the markets is based on the fact that Market makers (banks, hedge funds)can do their operations only when other side (traders like you and me)
provide them liquidity = We must sell so they can buy and opposite. So I'm looking for the Stop loss zones, fake outs and other confluences to enter the markets.
My battlefield is defined by the channels on the higher timeframes, I mostly play on the upper bands and middle bands in the directions of the COT .'
I'm swing trading not intraday trading, so my ideas always takes a time and patience to play out and most important is to do the good risk management, se we can stay emotionless in a trades.
Don't hesitate to comment with any questions and if you learning something support this idea with like or share it in other trading forums.
Wish you good hunt !!
Dave FX Hunter
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Upgrade your trading view with my free indicators:
FX HUNTER WEALTH COT DATA - Click the script picture below and add it to your trading view
FX HUNTER COT CANDLE REPORT - - Click the script picture below and add it to your trading view
How to navigate any turn 2 steps ahead! Real Time examples!Live - Real Time - Trading examples of navigating the turn(s) - swings - in any market. (In this case: EURUSD & EURGBP)
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The following *** Live Trading snapshot *** can be found in this Real Time Trading Post:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
EURUSD - 5 min.; 09-24-2020, 02:05 EST.
Buy - LONG @Market; w.33 pip Trailing Stop.
======================================
EURUSD - LONG;
Buy - LONG @Market; w.33 pip Trailing Stop.
EURUSD - 5 min.; 09-24-2020, 02:05 EST.
Most likely Price Action - for reference only.
35 mins. later
45 mins. later
60 mins. later
70 mins. later
95 mins. later
100 mins. later
120 mins. later
... and...
145 mins. later
... and here it is, the same market (EURUSD)...
... "many" minutes later.
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
This Live (Real Time) Trading example (EURGBP) can also be found in the same post as the one above:
The commens for this live (real time) example are included in the charts.
============ EURGBP ==================
Entering LONG here:
Then...
... and ...
Then...
... and...
... and ...
Then... BOOM!!
... and ...
... and finally:
Same pattern different resultsIn the graph I have rounded two points..the curves look similar but difference between two moves are..the above curve retested the resistance level..but it took downward path..
The below curve why it exploded up? The reason is after retest near the resistance it consolidated near the resistance that's a indicator of a bullish move..the inner circle below circled one is the consolidated area
The Big Picture of CompositeThis is the big picture of IDX Composite Index using Harmonic Pattern (Bearish Gartley) as projection, Pivot Points Yearly as S/R and Gann Fan as Trendline.
It will happen as long as index break 2 trend line of gann fan (3/1 & 4/1) and S4 pivot points (yearly).
It will be canceled:
1) If Index break and stay in S2 area untill the end of year. Index become sideway around S2 and S3 Pivot Points.
2) If Index can't break S4 this year and stay under S3, Index become sideway around S4 and S3.
3) Break and stay above Pivot Points Area will try new trend (bullish) which is less possible to happen.
eurgbp harmonic patternhello everyone EurGbp is ricing like a rocket right now
we expect to reach resistance line that mentioned in chart
here is that AB=Cd is complete and we expect a gartley pattern as well
notice that its opposite of trend so Enter with at most 3% of your equality
notice that target is based on fibonacci and lowest profit that is available in this case
my strategy is based on
1 : fibonacci
2 : harmonic pattern gartley and Ab=CD
3 : trend line and channel trading
4 ; Rsi h4
notice that in order to enter this trade you should see some confirmations like : candlesticks formation , indicator,s signs (ichimoku , moving average and ... )
then at last wait for break higher low to enter short
Hope you Enjoy
♥ { comment in below and share you opinion with my team } ♥
this is MkyTradingGroup
Impact of Presidential Election on Financial Markets.________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hello Traders Investors And Community.
Welcome to this educational idea about the Impact of Presidential Election on Financial Markets. First of all, this is not a political view at all nevertheless we
are facing the next important event that can have a substantial effect on the financial markets and therefore also important for traders and investors. Coming
to this conclusion the history has shown that the presidential election and its pre also as post events can be suited into a whole presidential-election-cycle in
which the several stages and timeframes within the cycle affecting the performance of markets.
For this case, I looked at the past data and how presidential elections affected market performances and found out some very interesting and worthwhile
things about it, these data resulting from the past election data can be measured into a 1.5-Year-Presidential-Pre-And-Post-Election-Performance-Cycle and
the whole 4-Years-Presidential-Election-Performance-Cycle , both cycles are measured by historical market data and have a logical and coherent approach
within them as the reelected or elected party together with the president playing an elementary role within it.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
1.5-Year-Presidential-Pre-And-Post-Election-Performance-Cycle:
As you can watch in the graph on my chart, the past data has shown that it is a meaningful factor wether the elected party gets reelected or other party gets
elected. This is matching with the theory that the new elected party needs to adjust firstly to increase economy properly, however what they both have in
common is the decline in the first year after election where the market has shown decrease whether under the incumbent party or new elected party.
Furthermore, the graph shows that certainly after the first year since election has passed the market tends to increase where with incumbent parties the
market performed better and on the contrary, with a new elected party the perfomance of the market increased also however not that big as with the
incumbent party where the increase was partially four times higher.
Besides that what is also really interesting here is the difference between the incumbent party and new elected in the last six month to the new election,
where the market showed some steady decrease in growth however still an increase with the incumbent party while under the new elected not that
much and also showed declines to the downside.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
4-Years-Presidential-Election-Performance-Cycle:
This graph shown in the left bottom of my chart is explicating the importance of the 4-years passing after a election, where the market clearly showed a
weaker performance and possible declines in the first year after election which is matching also with the first graph and 1.5-years. This can result of a first
adjustment in the market to this fundamental macroeconomic event before it can regain in pace together with the elected party and economic policies.
The performance increased averagely steadily in the second year after election in historical price data till it reached its peak in the third year before election
as the sitting party and president going into the objectives they have set in the campaign to increase the economy and with the goal to get reelected, this
data was fairly consistent, regardless of the presidents and party political leanings.
In the first year the peak performance going a little bit back which is also matching with the first graph where it also counts on the incumbent party or the
new one, this year is the preparation on the new election and data has shown that performance has experienced steply declines till the election countdown.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion:
Taking all these factors into consideration we can say that the market in the first year after election begins to grow slowly and firstly adjustes to the election
results as the party comes in touch with it, then the performance begins to grow after the second year, here is it also a fundamental factor if the incumbent
party got reelected or a new party got elected, as the incumbent reelection showed averagely better results. This tendency to the upside reaches its peak at
the third year and then falls slowly till the election countdown. These data has been really coherent and repeatedly in the past that is why the election cycle
is an important measurement that should not be kept by side. At the end it has to be noted that a massive swift in politics can also transform the cycle into
other performances, however, this did not happen till now.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Outlook:
It is no more than two months till the next election is taking place and it will be an significant occurrence as historical data has shown if the incumbent
party currently consisting wins the election anew or new party is going to taking place which can change performances. Not only by the fact that history
has shown declines in the first year after election we should not ignore that the corona crisis is still not yet over and that there exists a gap between real
economy and stocks where real economy is still damaged by the corona increase and measurements while stock market making gains, this is an unhealthy
environment which can unload itself, the real economy and stock market need to grow together for providing a solid market growth, this current economic
disadvantaged situation matching with the first performance year after an election which is averagely not the best can take place into an inconsistent market
outlook, therefore we should not keep the decline perspective out of sight especially the weeks and months it can show up in critical movements.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
In this manner, thank you for watching , support for more tutorials and a good day!
"There are many roads to prosperity but one must be taken."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Next Week's Trading Plan = Last week's result: +57% R.O.I.The week that was... *** Real Time Trading ***
We (and you?) have just completed 135 consecutive hours of Live Trading, while simultaneously posting the trades in Real Time on this TradingView page.
This Live Trading Session(s) took place from September 13., 2020, 18:00 EST - September 18., 2020, 16:00 EST; I.e. five (5), consecutive and continuous trading days, from Sun.-Fri..
How did it all turn out? - Just as the title suggests: "+57% R.O.I".
This post is a summary, as well as a repository for the *** Links to all the live posts *** made during those 135 hours.
1) If one traded along then one has probably long tallied up the results (and the money :-), so obviously, very little use to read on;
2) If one is interested to review / verify / analyze the trades (as one should!), posted during this live trading period. In which case the relevant posts are LINKED BELOW, where all the trades are posted as they were placed.
** However, it will be your task to scroll through(down) to find the relevant ** Real Time entries **, as these posts also contain other, relevant but static information - such as trade setups, etc.; i.e.: just additional, regular "stuff".
The Trading System / Techniques used during these Live Trading Sessions are described in detail, in this post:
"Nasdaq 100 E-mini; +2036 pts. profit the last 14 days. TUTORIAL"
First: These are the LINKS to all the relevant posts containing the Live Sessions posts / markets:
- These are Not in chronological order! The actual clues for the Live Trades are further down,
in the dated list, *** following this First list, in Chronological Order ***.
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Nasdaq100 E-mini
THe FAANGs
EURAUD
EURUSD
AUDJPY
AUDUSD
AUDNZD
AUDCAD
GBPJPY
*** We are Not counting this one but one might want to look at it, anyways.
This has missed Live Trading Week by 24 hours. Nevertheless,... it's a fair one :-)
*****
====================== ... and finally, here we go ... =================================
September 13., 2020; Sun.
---------------------------------
Look for this Nasdaq100 chart:
+30.25 points;
Look for this EURUSD chart:
1.1834
.. and this EURUSD chart ...:
-15 pips
September 14., 2020; Mon.
---------------------------------
Look for this EURAUD chart:
... and this EURAUD chart ...:
+84.5 pips;
September 15-16., 2020; Tue.-Wed.
--------------------------------------------
Look for this EURAUD chart:
-7 pips;
Look for this EURAUD chart:
+5.5 pips
Look for this EURAUD chart:
... and this EURAUD chart ...:
+38 pips
... and this EURAUD chart ...:
+0 pips (scratch)
Look for this AUDJPY chart:
+52 pips
Look for this EURUSD chart:
-18 pips
Look for this Nasdaq100 chart:
+89 points;
... and this Nasdaq100 chart ...:
+243.50 points;
Look for this GBPJPY chart:
+28 pips
... and this GBPJPY chart ...:
-12 pips
September 17., 2020; Thur.
----------------------------------
Look for this Nasdaq100 chart:
Look for this AUDJPY chart:
... and this AUDJPY chart ...:
+32.5 pips
Look for this AUDUSD chart:
... and this AUDUSD chart ...:
+30 pips
Look for this AUDUSD chart:
0 pips (scratch)
September 18., 2020; Fri.
-------------------------------
Look for this Nasdaq100 chart:
+198.75
Look for this USDJPY chart:
+19 pips
------------------------------------------------------
Futures Totals:
------------------
Nasdaq100 E-mini Total: +561.50 points;
Forex Totals:
----------------
EURAUD: +121 pips
AUDJPY: +84 pips
EURUSD: -32 pips
USDJPY: +19 pips
GBPJPY: +16 pips
------------------
Total: +208 pips
-----------------------------------------
For the purposes of this Live Trading exercise, we have used $50,000 USD of our own funds.
All of the trades, placed above, involved:
- 2 ea. Nasda100 E-mini contracts (2x $16k margin);
- 4-6 (Full sized) Forex lots ($4k-$6k margin);
---
Basing the results on the $50,000 actual capital used, the one week (135 hours) long Live Trading session(s) resulted in:
$21630 in Net Profit, or = 56.74% Net Return on Capital. (hence, the title of this post.)
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p.s. BTW, this does not mean that we will repeat this "exercise" - as in live posting -, right away, this coming week :-)
Good luck out there!