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Fibonacci

HOW TO TRADE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENTS: THE SHORT GUIDEHey there, traders. One of the common tools we use for technical analysis are Fib retracements and a lot of you been asking on how to use them properly. Well, today is your lucky day :) Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that is widely used by traders to identify potential levels of support and resistance in financial markets, including forex markets. The tool is based on the mathematical sequence known as the Fibonacci sequence, which is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The Fibonacci Retracement levels of 0.5 and 0.618 are two of the most important levels used in this tool. In this article, we will discuss how to use these levels for trading forex markets. Understanding Fibonacci Retracement Levels Before we dive into the specifics of using the 0.5 and 0.618 levels, let's briefly review the concept of Fibonacci Retracement. The tool is based on the idea that markets tend to retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which they may continue in the same direction or reverse. The retracement levels are calculated using the Fibonacci sequence, and they represent potential levels of support or resistance. The key levels are 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786. Using 0.5 and 0.618 Levels for Trading Forex Markets The 0.5 and 0.618 levels are particularly important because they are close to the midpoint of a move, and they are based on the golden ratio, which is a key number in mathematics and nature. The 0.5 level represents a 50% retracement of a move, while the 0.618 level represents a 61.8% retracement. To use these levels for trading forex markets, you can follow these steps: Step 1: Identify a Trend The first step is to identify a trend in the market. You can do this by analyzing the price action on a chart and looking for a series of higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend. Step 2: Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Once you have identified a trend, you can draw the Fibonacci Retracement levels using a tool provided by your trading platform. You will need to identify the high and low points of the trend, and then draw the retracement levels from the high to the low in an uptrend, or from the low to the high in a downtrend. Step 3: Watch for Reversals at 0.5 and 0.618 Levels The 0.5 and 0.618 levels are potential levels of support or resistance, and they can act as turning points in a trend. If the price retraces to one of these levels, you should watch for signs of a reversal, such as a bullish or bearish candlestick pattern, or a divergence in an oscillator indicator or any other personal confirmation for potential entry. Step 4: Confirm with Other Indicators To increase the probability of a successful trade, you should confirm the potential reversal with other technical indicators, such as a moving average, a trendline, or a momentum indicator, check with the fundamentals and most importantly confirm that it aligns with your original bias regarding the pair. This will help you to avoid false signals and improve your trading accuracy. Step 5: Enter the Trade and Set Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels Since the entry was at the "Golden zone", the exit would be around the 0% Fib level. Yes, you just missed half of the trend, but it's a consistent tool that can help you get that edge over the market that you need. We hope you found this useful and please let us know on what you would want us to cover next!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Investroy
11
📊 Fibonacci Trading: Extension LevelsThe Fibonacci retracement tool plots percentage retracement lines based upon the mathematical relationship within the Fibonacci sequence. These retracement levels provide support and resistance levels that can be used to target price objectives. Fibonacci Retracements are displayed by first drawing a trend line between two extreme points. A series of six horizontal lines are drawn intersecting the trend line at the Fibonacci levels of 0.0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%. 📍 How this indicator works The percentage retracements identify possible support or resistance areas, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%. Applying these percentages to the difference between the high and low price for the period selected creates a set of price objectives. Depending on the direction of the market, up or down, prices will often retrace a significant portion of the previous trend before resuming the move in the original direction. These countertrend moves tend to fall into certain parameters, which are often the Fibonacci Retracement levels. 📍 Calculation Fibonacci numbers are a sequence of numbers in which each successive number is the sum of the two previous numbers: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, and so on. 📍 What Are Fibonacci Extensions? Fibonacci extensions are a tool that traders can use to establish profit targets or estimate how far a price may travel after a pullback is finished. Extension levels are also possible areas where the price may reverse. Drawn as connections to points on a chart, these levels are based on Fibonacci ratios (as percentages). Common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%. 🔹 Because Fibonacci ratios are common in everyday life, some traders believe these common ratios may also have significance in the financial markets. 🔹 Fibonacci extensions don't have a formula. Rather, they are drawn at three points on a chart, marking price levels of possible importance. 🔹 The Fibonacci extensions show how far the next price wave could move following a pullback. 🔹 Based on Fibonacci ratios, common Fibonacci extension levels are 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, 200%, and 261.8%. 🔹 Extension levels signal possible areas of importance, but should not be relied on exclusively. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
4
How to trade Smart Money Concepts:Smart Money Concepts is a more sophisticated way of trading price action, while taking advantage of where institutions are likely to place their orders. This makes Smart Money Concepts a usable tool whenever you are dealing with hedge funds. What you are about to read is an elaborate tutorial explaining a lot about this trading strategy, including some trading strategies (NOTE: there are many SMC indicators and the one I’ll be using is the one by LuxAlgo since I believe is the most “complete” out of all). Let's start. 1) Order Blocks: Order Blocks are, in my opinion, the most important feature in SMC trading, as it shows where these institutions are likely to place their orders. In order for an order block to form, look at where the market is consolidating, creating an area of volume price is likely to be attracted to (some order blocks are formed due to imbalances in the market). In this image, you can see how order blocks are formed right after a ranging market has been broken. Because of this unique feature, order blocks are not the same as support/resistance zones. In order for us to trade using order blocks, look for where an order block has been formed recently, as the longer an order block survives, the weaker it becomes. Buy when the candle that hit the order block closes and set your stop loss under that order block. In this example it worked since the volume wasn’t too high and the order block had formed a few candles before the retest. You can do this for shorts as well (NOTE: the more retests the order block gets, the weaker it becomes) 2) BOS & CHoCH: Supports and resistances usually apply on Price Action, but they can be applied in Smart Money Concepts as well. The difference is that in Smart Money Concepts, you these supports and resistances when the price breaks through them. However, in many occasions these signals can be false and it’s only a retest of the support/resistance. In order to understand what BOS/CHoCH means, we need to look at the graph: This is an example I made. From the graph, a BOS or a Break of Structure is whenever the price breaks the most recent support/resistance in the direction of the trend direction(bullish/bearish). A CHoCH or a Change of Character is whenever the price breaks the most recent support/resistance in the direction opposite of the trend direction. What I mean by this is that in the example I have shown, the trend was bullish until it was not. Normally a bullish trend breaks the resistances instead of the supports, and vice-versa. This is why the name Break of Structure since the price continues going the direction it wants while solving any “issue” in its path. If this “issue” is big enough to break the support/resistance maintaining the trend intact, then it’s known as a Change of Character , since it changes the character of the trend. When this happens, there is a chance for a trend reversal to happen, which is the case for the example I’ve shown. Now I’ll show how to trade BOS/CHoCH in a real graph. As you can see from the chart, there are a lot of Breakthroughs of Structure and Changes of Character, but this indicator actually shows which of these BOS/CHoCH are major. The trick is that if the indicator shows a BOS/CHoCH marked by a straight line instead of a bunch of lines, this means that it is more accurate. In this example, we ignore the smaller BOS/CHoCH and just look at the 2 important ones. We know they are important because they are marked by a straight line. You buy after the CHoCH/BOS label appears and when the candle that retested the broken resistance/new support closes and the volume doesn’t increase before that (unless the market is ranging after it broke). Same thing with shorts. You short after the BOS/CHoCH label appears when the candle that retested the broken support/new resistance and the volume doesn’t increase from the candle before that. 3) EQH/EQL: In Price Action , there are chart patterns. One of the most known ones are the double top and the double bottom . Smart Money Concepts refers to these double tops/bottoms as Equal Highs and Equal Lows (EQH/EQL for short). Here’s an example: As you can see, there is a double top (EQH) which came after an uptrend, meaning that there is a chance that the price will break the necklace (the support line made in the middle of the double tops), causing a change of character, which it did. Due to the nature of double tops and bottoms, this rarely happens. You should use this tool in confluence with other SMC tools like Order Blocks and BOS/CHoCH. Personally, I don’t use them much. I just use them to identify strong supports and resistances, as well as double tops and bottoms. They could also be used to identify trend reversals on major areas of support and resistance. 4) Premium and Discount zones: Premium and Discount zones are ranges that form in the market when a recent major support and resistance has been established. In this example, you can see when did the premium and discount zones form. The price made a major support and resistance. The equilibrium zone is the 50% line in the Fibonacci Retracement tool if you pay close attention. This means that price can react off of the Equilibrium zone, and if you pay close attention, you can see it was ranging for a while. For a trading strategy, wait for the price to reach the Premium or Discount zones, and, if the market's volume decreases, enter a trade and set your take profit at the equilibrium zone. The reason why you should set your take profit at the equilibrium zone is because there is a chance the price rejects off of the equilibrium zone. 5) Fair Value Gaps: Fair Value Gaps are imbalances that form in the market and can be good support/resistance areas. They usually form when the market is volatile and when a breakout or retest just happened. In order to identify what a fair value gap is, look for a huge candle body like the one shown in the picture, then, draw a rectangle with its base being at the highest point of the previous candle's upper wick and with its top being the lowest point of the following candle's lower wick. Now, extend the rectangle to the right and now you have a fair value gap. For a trading strategy, look for the line in the middle which is shown in the fair value gap. This line acts as a support, and the price can bounce off of it. For an entry point, wait for the price to react to the fair value gap, and, if the volume decreases while the reaction is happening, enter. 6) Liquidity Grabs: Even if you think your trading strategy is amazing, you will always have to deal with scams. No matter how good your trading strategy is, all trading strategies fail to deal with hedge funds and whales. They sometimes act when the price is very close to a support or resistance, and when the people expect a bounce, they place their stop losses under the area of confluence. These hedge funds then act, and end up manipulating the market, forcing the people to panic buy or panic sell, depending on the area of confluence. One major example of market manipulation is in the Crypto Exchange. Trading Crypto is almost like gambling. Liquidity grabs perfectly reference the scam. You can spot them if, on a ranging market, there is a sudden increase or decrease in price. Always pay attention to traps like the ones in these examples shown below: For a trading strategy, wait for the scam pump or dump to stagnate and then enter your trade in the opposite direction that the candle was going to. In conclusion, Smart Money Concepts is a fascinating trading strategy for me, and it could be for you too. There are many aspects of it, and it is another way of trading Price Action, which itself is already fantastic. This tutorial took me 3 hours to make, so please make sure to heart and comment your opinion on this. Thank you for reading through all of this.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by lorinstocksinvesting
15
FLSY - Anatomy of a "Good" tradeHi All, This is just to share on how I would approach a trade (as a trader). 1. Look for signs that the stock is forming a bottom (rounded bottom, inverted Head and Shoulders, Adam and Eve), rising above 200 day MA, Golden Cross etc. 2. Check out its longer term charts (ie weekly and monthly) as you will likely see a clearer picture of it's direction. 3. Wait for some triggers (eg breaking above neckline especially on strong volume). FLSY is a good example and had presented several good opportunities for several short term trades recently (could be held for longer term if one had entered earlier around 12.36 (1st Entry in chart) and didn't get stopped out. 1) On 2nd Feb (Initial Breakup), it gapped and broke up above this neckline (as well as it's 200 day MA), everything looks good except volume was just above average. Well, this initial break up failed! Yes, it happens more often than we cared for, especially during the earlier phases of the trend, hence a conservative trader would prefer to wait for a pullback and long if the neckline proved to be a support. 2) on 13 Feb (1st Entry), FSLY once again gapped above the neckline and 200 day MA, but this time the volume was HUGE. However, this was prior to earnings announcements (2 days later, AMC). There is a possibility that earnings beat had been leaked, so if one decide to enter this trade, then it would probably be wise trade small. 3) on 16 Feb (2nd Entry), the day after earnings, which beat expectations (surprise surprise...LOL), many traders will FOMO into the stock especially as it rose above the previous candle's high around 14.20. This turned out to be a very profitabe trade (intraday). Next day however, it formed a "Harami" candlestick (aka "inside bar"), showing indecision at this point. I would raise the stop to 15.30, slightly just under this "Harami" candlestick (which is already a 11% SL from its high @ 17.18). Those with a larger risk appetite could raise the stop to entry price (ie 14.20), allowing for larger volatility which could stop one out prematurely but be prepared to give back all profits if wrong. 4) FSLY had a steep pullback after all (due to poor market sentiment during the whole month of Feb) and found support only at 61.8% of it's large AB up swing. This was also within a prior "Resistance" but turned "Support" zone. It began to form small sideway candles (a signal to long if it starts to break above this "consolidation" range) 5) We had a Long trigger again last Friday (3rd Entry) as the stock started to rise decisvely above the consolidation high @ 14.20. It turned out to be a large candle day, hence I would place initial stop loss just below this large candle (ie 13.55, a 5% initial SL). There is a good chance this stop will not get hit (although nothing is guaranteed LOL). Uptrend is underway for FSLY (above 200 day MA, with the shorter MAs (20 and 50) both rising. However, it could still experience large swings along the way and one has to manage the trade and raise the stops from time to time to protect profits. Just because one is stopped out does not mean the stock is spent. Sometimes it could be just periods of consolidation (short or long periods). Keep it on your watchlist as long as the stock has not shown signs of bearishness on a higher timeframe, set alerts for the next trigger. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:FSLYEducation
by Juliac
1
S&P 500 ETF Multi-FractalTheory of multi-universe rhymes with idea that entangled market can go either way and we're not quite sure which. Since nobody can predict market in the future, we'd ignore news and stick with markets distinctive reaction to reports and news. Positive and Negative fundamentals pushes market to their causing path anyway, we just need to know which extent the targets - endpoints of me. So It's about points of reversals that really matter and are self-evident and very distinctive for any observer . The term " observer " has second meaning which is also backbone of my own perception of %/TIME based collective consciousness observing the market causing this "matrix glitch" and proves that market has it's own path. Read role of the term observer Market's reaction on fundamentals already has been captured in history, so instead of using Elliott Waves why not use the interconnected market patterns itself DESPITE OF different scales. Black fractal path feels more natural for my subjective perception. White fractal might play out UNLESS price crosses pattern's violet uptrend line, which will cause at least parts of black pattern to play out, simply because it can cross earlier. Fractal Scales: Decade: /2: CloseUp FROM DECLINE: Grateful to @jdehorty for this calendar which I've just used to align events into my fractals such way. Events can cause HL points of fractal iside future bigger cycled fractal. Along side with indicators it's always good to look back into making sense out of consequent patterns and their collective relationship with zeroed in and zoomed out" versions of the entity itself. IF the slope of the fall would be steeper:
AMEX:SPYEducation
by fract
7
Fibonacci RetracementFibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool to identify potential support and resistance levels in financial markets. The tool is based on the Fibonacci series, a mathematical sequence of numbers where each is the sum of the previous two numbers. The origin of the Fibonacci sequence goes back to ancient India and the study of Sanskrit prosody. However, the series is named after Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced the sequence to the West in his book Liber Abaci, published in 1202. In contrast, the Fibonacci retracement was first used in financial markets in the 1930s. . Ralph Nelson Elliott, the famous trader, developed the Elliott wave theory. Elliott believed that market movements can be divided into waves, each with a characteristic pattern. Elliott noticed that certain retracement levels based on the Fibonacci sequence tended to act as support or resistance levels in the market. In particular, he called the levels 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% the most important. Since then, the Fibonacci retracement has become widely used in technical analysis and is included in many trading platforms and charting programs. Traders use it to identify potential support and resistance levels and determine trades' entry and exit points. Fibonacci retracement is a popular tool among technical analysts and traders and has many uses in financial markets. Here are some common uses of Fibonacci retracement: Identifying potential support and resistance levels: The 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels are often used as potential support and resistance levels in the market. When a price trend occurs, traders often consider these levels potential turning points. Identifying Entry and Exit Points: Traders often use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential entry and exit points for trades. For example, a trader can enter a long position on a stock when the price returns to the 50% level after a previous uptrend and then place a stop loss just below the 61.8% level. Trend Direction Confirmation: By analyzing Fibonacci retracement levels, traders can confirm the price trend direction. If the tracking levels align with the trend's direction, this can be a sign that the trend is likely to continue. Giving Price Targets: Fibonacci retracement can also be used to identify potential price targets for a trend. Traders often look for the 161.8% and 261.8% levels as possible targets for the trend when the price crosses the 100% retracement level. Summary with other technical analysis tools: Traders often use Fibonacci retracement levels in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as moving averages or trend lines, to strengthen trading signals and increase the probability of a successful trade. Fibonacci retracement is a widely used tool with advantages and disadvantages in technical analysis. Here are some of the main advantages and disadvantages of using Fibonacci retracement: Advantages: 1. Identifies potential support and resistance levels: Fibonacci retracement can be used to identify potential support and resistance levels, which is important for traders to identify a potential reversal. . . points in the price trend. 2. Ease of use: Fibonacci retracement is easy to use and can be applied to many financial instruments. It is readily available in most mapping software and trading platforms. It can be customized to meet the needs of individual traders. 3. Widely used: Fibonacci retracement is widely used in technical analysis and is well-known among traders and analysts. This facilitates interpretation and application in different market conditions. Cons: 1. Not always accurate: Fibonacci retracement is imperfect, and its accuracy may vary depending on the market area and period analyzed. Traders should use it with other technical analysis tools to confirm signals and reduce the risk of false signals. 2. Subjective: Like many technical analysis tools, Fibonacci retracement is quite subjective, and traders can interpret levels differently. This can lead to different business decisions and results. 3. Can be overused: Some traders may rely too much on the Fibonacci retracement method and use it as the basis for their trading decisions. This can be risky because only some tools can provide all the information needed for successful trading. Investors should use the Fibonacci retracement as part of a broader trading strategy that includes multiple indicators and factors. There are several important factors to consider when using Fibonacci retracement: 1. Choosing the appropriate pivot points: To use the Fibonacci retracement, traders must identify the appropriate swing points to calculate the level. These swing points should be significant highs and lows in the price trend and should be selected based on the analyzed time frame. 2. Understanding Levels: Traders should understand Fibonacci-rich levels and what they represent. The 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels are the most commonly used and considered potential support and resistance levels. 3. Using Fibonacci retracement with other indicators: Investors should use Fibonacci retracement with other technical analysis tools, such as moving averages or trend lines, to strengthen signals and increase the probability of a successful trade. 4. Adaptation to market conditions: The accuracy of Fibonacci retracement levels can vary according to the specific market area and the period under analysis. Traders must be prepared to adjust levels based on changing market conditions and adjust their trading strategy accordingly. 5. Risk Management: As with any trading strategy, traders should properly manage their risks using the Fibonacci retracement. This may include setting stop orders at appropriate levels or limiting position sizes to minimize the impact of potential losses. Fibonacci retracements are widely used in technical analysis. Still, there are also some alternative tools that traders can use to analyze the market. Moving Averages: Moving averages are commonly used technical analysis tools that help traders identify trends and potential entry and exit points. Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands is a technical indicator that helps traders identify potential support and resistance levels. Ichimoku Cloud: The Ichimoku Cloud is a technical indicator that helps traders identify trends, momentum, and potential support and resistance levels. Elliott Wave Theory: Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify trends and potential entry and exit points. It is based on the idea that the market moves in a series of waves and can be used on different timeframes. Thanks for reading this. What do you think the pros and cons are? Do you think I missed something? Let us know your ideas. Good luck.
Education
by MonoCoinSignal
14
How to Spot the Confluence Zone | Pro Fibonacci Technique If you are struggling with the identification of accurate trading entries, you definitely should try confluence zones. Note: there are hundreds of variations of confluence elements. In this example, we will discuss trend lines and fibonnachi. ❗️To identify a confluence zone, the price must follow a trend line (it should match higher lows if the market is bullish ; it should match lower highs if the market is bearish ). Once the trend line is confirmed by at least two touches and consequent reactions, you can look for a confluence zone. 1️⃣Project a trend line and identify the next POTENTIAL touchpoint of the market with a trend line . 2️⃣Take the last impulse in the direction of the trend. Draw a fib retracement based on it (swing low to swing high in case if the market is bullish , swing high to swing low in case if the market is bearish ). 3️⃣Take the previous impulse (it must be in the same direction as the initial one). Draw a fib retracement based on it. 4️⃣Look for a match of retracement levels of the last two impulses and a projected trend line . In case if two retracement fib.levels & trend line match, you found a confluence point. 5️⃣ Apply it as a safe entry point. You will get a perfect trend following opportunity. Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
Education
by VasilyTrader
9
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS is the new KING ok here me out. i'll go straight to point this message is for the newbies (oldies gonna hate) what is pure Minimalist Technical Analysis Trader ( MTAT : i just made this up) -it is when u leave out all so-called indicators and focus on the chart -some of these indis are: MACD, RSI, ATR, STOCHT.... -it's when u leave out the FUNDAMENTAL analysis and focus on the chart pattern - i'm talking here about financial news and garbage flash news - didn't u sometimes realize that a news come out, but the dollar act contrary to the news it-self? HOW TO APPLY this MTAT ? let's be practical, but first u need to watch so many charts until ur eyes pops out (it's a prerequisite). 1- always pick a 4h-time frame chart 2- always brush ur teeth before bed time 3- always look for a bullish pair to trade (this is essential for the plan to succeed) 4- after identifying the bullish pair, start looking for SUpport & Resistance...but never make the chart too complicated, u really need like 2-4 lines drawn only 5- after u draw the S&R lines, look for retracements (the pair is going down slightly) 6- use the FIBONACCI drawing tool and draw from the lowest to highest point (before the retracement) 7- it's best to focus on the 61.8% line 8- look for a confirmation candle: a- a red Bar, which the low point of it touched (crossed) the 61.8% Fib line b- followed by a green bar which closed ABOVE THE fib 61.8% line c- place ur buy trade when the green candle closes 9- how to set your target: a- use the (-61.8% or -100%) FIb levels or b- use the Resistance line u drawn previously now the question is, do u really need MACD or RSI or STOCH? of course NO, if you google it, u'll know that these reflects previous price actions? so why use it for FUTURE price actions? what to do when big news are coming out? IT WILL ACT ACCORDINGLY THE PREVIOUSLY SET CHART PATTERN...this will never fail you DO YOU PLACE STOP ORDERS? NEVER, never put pre-set stop orders, you should be active on ur screen and wait for the price to fall to the price u set as a stoploss, AND CLOSE TRADE MANUALLY WHY?, because when we have big news, we have volatility the pair will go up and down so hard to close all stoploss orders then it will continue to obey the technical chart pattern as a fukn slave! let's practice: use the FIB Ret tool: identify the red and green candle: place your buy order: et voila.... #STOP_BEING_POOR
XEducation
by meez_PremiumNOT
2
Fibonacci Retracement Levels In Forex TradingBoth novice and seasoned traders use Fibonacci levels as one of the most common and universal strategies when trading forex and other markets. It is a well-known fact that market prices incline toward levels where the bulk of market orders are gathered. Such levels can be found and predicted using a variety of ways. Systems for trading are built on a variety of levels. Since traders first realized that the price fluctuations of some assets frequently followed the Fibonacci number sequence, the Fibonacci levels have been employed in trading. The standard Tradingview trading platform, which is currently the most well-known and in demand, includes the tool because of how useful it is. Leonardo Fibonacci, who was born in ancient Italy, discovered a straightforward numerical sequence that is utilized globally and is consistent with a wide range of natural occurrences. The order is as follows: 0 followed by 1, then 1 (0+1), then 2 (1+1), then 3 (1+2), followed by 5, then 8 (3+5), etc. It appears that the Fibonacci sequence is the sum of the two numbers before it. An intriguing ratio may be calculated using these numbers: 0.618 is the result of dividing the first by the second (regardless of which of the numbers in the sequence are taken). And you get 0.382 when you split the numbers by one. The "golden ratio" is this set of fractions, and it appears frequently in nature, a striking example is a spiral like the seeds in a sunflower. The following are the trading-related Fibonacci correction levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, and 0.764. Levels of expansion are 0; 0.382; 0.618; 1.000; 1.382; and 1.618. It makes no sense for traders to manually calculate any of these figures, which are all calculated from the sequence. The key is to comprehend how they operate, what they are used for, what data they offer, and how to make effective use of them when trading. Special indicators that automatically draw lines on the chart or symbols in the trading platform are used while trading with Fibonacci levels. Retracement levels can be utilized for a number of purposes, such as support and resistance, to start trades, and to set stop orders. The usage of extension levels by traders for take-profit placement. Based on swings, or candles with at least two upper highs or upper lows on the left and right, Fibonacci levels can be applied to a chart. Additionally, bear in mind that Fibonacci levels for forex are a trending technique and are not applied during periods of consolidation. When the trend is upward, the price tends to retreat from Fibonacci-based resistance levels; the opposite is true for downtrends and support. Fibonacci Levels in Forex: How to Use Them Almost all charting applications contain Fibonacci retracement levels. Fibonacci lines are regarded as the most flexible and understandable option, however others also use fan lines, arcs, and time periods as typical tools. What do you need to know about Fibonacci numbers in order to trade? Values are calculated as 23.6, 38.2, 50.0, 61.8, and 76.4% on a scale of 0 to 100. The primary signal for foreseeing likely future price fluctuations is these ratios (prices often bounce back from levels). The indicator shows levels on the price chart and allows forecasting of future price changes.If you want to manually trade using the price chart or the software, you can select to display correction levels. To do this, drag the cursor from the bottom point of the trend to the top point. There will be five horizontal lines that display 0, 38.2, 50, 61.8, and 100% (an additional line showing 23.6% can be added). Depending on whether Fibonacci is trading above or below the lines, the lines can be utilized as support or resistance levels. The levels activate more frequently as the time span becomes longer. Finding a downward trend, appropriately stretching the Fibonacci lines, waiting for confirmation, and placing an order are the essential duties of a trader. Numerous strategies for using numerical series in trading exist. How Fibonacci Levels Work And How To Use Them In Trading Trading professionals can examine the changes in asset values by using Fibonacci numbers that are displayed as lines on the chart. As a result, resistance/support levels are established, and the degree of a trend movement's already-started corrective is examined. The price typically follows the guidelines of key levels on the Fibonacci lines. Therefore, there is a strong likelihood of a price reversal at the level, for instance, if the price crosses the line. Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly helpful for discovering pullback levels, for establishing the conclusion of a pullback, and for the continuation of price movement along with the trend because pullbacks are a natural part of every trend. The key correction levels are created by the interrelations between a trend and a correction shown by Fibonacci levels, which have recovery probabilities of 38%, 50%, and 62%. It only takes placing a grid over critical spots to see that pivotal price levels frequently cross Fibonacci percentage lines. Fibonacci levels and graphical patterns can be used to coincidentally determine market entrance and exit points. Opening profitable trading positions after a collapse or rebound from a level is beneficial. Trading professionals frequently employ Fibonacci lines to place Stop-Loss and Take-Profit orders. To avoid being caught by an unintentional pullback, it is preferable to position the Stop-Loss order above the levels (for the recovery from which the trader is counting). Take-Profit levels are based on Fibonacci extension.Remember that on a price chart, the support/resistance areas that coincide with the Fibonacci net levels are viewed as further support for the lines' significance. This instrument is the foundation of many trading techniques. Beginners should be aware that there is no definitive interpretation of the Fibonacci technique; it is merely a point of reference. Trading systems frequently incorporate Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools because this technique can occasionally fail to corroborate the signals. Importance Of Different Fibonacci Levels Expert traders claim that not every Fibonacci level behaves the same way on a price chart. Before using the instrument for trading, some regularities should be studied. Fibonacci levels and their importance in trading: 23.6 - weak, a clear confirmation is required to use it in trading. 38.2 - an important level, the price of the asset bounces from it for further consolidation. 50 is intermediate in importance between the two previous levels and gives a high probability of trigger. 61.8 - strong, like 38.2. 76.4 - 80.9 is a strong level as well. The likelihood of a profitable trade is quite high if we consider the strength of the levels, trade in line with the trend, weed out erroneous signals using a straightforward extra indicator, and avoid using low time frames. Additionally, it's critical to remember risk management and trading psychology's fundamental principles. Advice for using 38%, 50%, and 62% levels effectively Stretched between the trend's minimum and maximum, a grid is drawn on the graph. On the charts, three to four separate time frames with longer value movements can be displayed in various colors. Numerous Fibonacci levels will be displayed on the graph, allowing for analysis. Usually several of them exactly coincide on various time scales, therefore they are regarded as significant support/resistance levels. These three can be utilized to enter positions and exit open ones because fibonacci numbers have potentially important levels. These price retreat levels by themselves are not what drives price movement; if this line doesn't have the appropriate support, it will simply go to the next. More accurate signals are produced by combining Fibonacci with other tools (such as Moving Averages, trading channels, reversal patterns, etc.). A significant resistance/support level is 62%. When it is attained, the price frequently starts to vary erratically. When the price surges past the 62% level and moves on to the 70–75% retracement level (before returning to the 62% level), you can place an order. When two to three further crossover signals are received, trades can be initiated from deep retracement levels. It is preferable to avoid entering if there are no cross confirmations. It's also a good idea to keep in mind that once the correctional movement reaches the 62% pullback level, it may go on to reach 100% in the chosen time frame and stop the trend. Fibonacci Levels: How to Use Them in Forex Trading Fibonacci levels can be used relatively easily. The most crucial levels in forex trading are 23.6% and 38.2%, 61.8% and 76.4%. They are used to identify price pullbacks; when one appears on the chart, one should wait for a favorable price before joining the impulse (enter the movement at the moment of a pullback). When there is a significant market movement, the asset's price can drop by up to 23.6%, 38.2%, or even 50%. These ranges are regarded as ideal. Price increases of 61.8% or more may signal the beginning of a trend reversal. The Fibonacci levels should be drawn correctly: -Finding the price impulse. -Plotting the grid on the chart. -The expectation of a pullback to 23.6% or 38.2% or 50% to enter the market. -When there is no pullback, the price keeps moving, updating the lows/maximums, it is worth pulling over the grid based on new local extrema. -In this case, it is important not so much to determine the levels as to understand whether the current price movement is a correction concerning the previous one or the beginning of a new trend. When Fibonacci Correction Levels Do Not Work Fibonacci levels are not 100% reliable signals; they are more like rough guidelines that give information about the movement that is likely to occur. Fibonacci levels can also be broken occasionally, just like support/resistance levels can. There are many exceptions to the rules, therefore it is advisable to check the signals with additional tools and to take the maximum precautions when opening any position. The levels need to be carefully worked, refined, and filtered on a regular basis. Sometimes levels might be crossed, and the bounce occurs at 61.8 instead of 50%; other times, the price skips levels and views essential ones as weak and unimportant ones as important. Because of all these features, it is important to be able to combine different tools in a strategy and constantly gain experience trading with the selected tools. Conclusion The suggested strategy broadens the potential uses for trading with Fibonacci levels. You can use it to your advantage so that practically any corrective movement—not just ones that conclude at 38.2% or 61.8%—will be beneficial. You must be able to accept what the market offers you since it doesn't always move that well.
Education
by FOREXN1
15
How to double your small ($250) trading account trading Bitcoin How to Double your Small ($250) Trading Account Trading Bitcoin I started a degen account with $250 and almost doubled it in 4 days making about 6 trades. This strategy is not Financial advice and I'm only illustrating what I have learnt trading this way. This is the first video in the series and I'll be continuing the series , updating you on progress, winners, losses, my trading journal and some live trading, so make sure to Sub, like comment and share. I show you how I entered my current trade, where I am looking to take profits and show you my pnl on Bybit. Not Financial Advice. DYOR. Papertrade before trading with real money. Hope you have a profitable trading day! Shawn
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by zartraderguy
2
Are Retracements Stair-Stepping Toward a Breakout?The S&P 500 has frustrated traders for months as a tightening range punishes both bulls and bears. Picking levels in a market like this can be a huge challenge because prices keep revisiting the same spots as they narrow. It’s a bit like trench warfare, with armies battling futilely for weeks over a few yards of territory. But one basic technique has provided some clarity to help navigate the back-and-forth: Fibonacci retracements. Notice how SPX surged from below 3500 on October 13 toward 4100 by early December. The rally stalled around the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Sellers quickly returned, and for a while it looked the bears were in control again. But then the index held 3800: a low from May 2022 and a “nice round number.” The level had other relevance because it represented almost exactly a 50 percent retracement of the preceding rally. (See the yellow markings.) SPX sat for the next two weeks before returning to the 200-day SMA. The bears tried another attack, but couldn’t get prices to close under 3890. This matched the December 21 high, but it was yet another 50 percent retracement. (Marked in white.) Here are two potential lessons for traders: First, retracements of current moves can be a simple way to find levels and manage risk. This is especially true when many price points and indicators compete for your attention. Second, this kind of Fibonacci analysis may suggest the bulls are taking charge. After all, if prices rallied, retraced and continued higher two times in a row, it could be trying to tell us that a new uptrend is taking shape. Are we stair-stepping toward a breakout? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
SP:SPXEducation
by TradeStation
3
✅ 4 Methods to Confirm EntriesYou should make sure that your reward is bigger than your risk. It is up to you what your optimal risk to reward should be – ideally you should have a risk to reward of 1:2 or 1:3. ✔️Trendline Reversal & Break The trader should constantly monitor both the support and resistance trendlines and redraw them as the old ones break and new ones form. When an intersection of the projections happens, one of the trendlines must be broken and the other will most likely continue to hold the price. We trade in the direction of the trendline that remained unbroken with potential entries at the trendline breaks. ✔️Support & Resistance Look at the price chart and observe the support and resistance levels that you have drawn on the charts. You will look to place sell orders at the resistance levels and buy orders at the support levels. Stop loss below the support level or above the resistance level depending the call you’re on. ✔️Fibonacci Retracement Fibonacci retracement levels connect any two points that the trader views as relevant, typically a high point and a low point. The percentage levels provided are areas where the price could stall or reverse. These levels should not be relied on exclusively, so it is dangerous to assume that the price will reverse after hitting a specific Fibonacci level. ✔️Consolidations A price consolidation is a period when the price is moving sideways without any significant advancement in the upward or downward direction. A price consolidation can take any form. It could be a rectangular pattern (often called a range), any of the different types of triangle patterns, a rising or falling wedge, a pennant, or a flag. Depending the pattern that takes place, you’re gonna look for entries and stop loss bellow pattern’s invalidation. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
1
How to do accurate entries using the 50% fib levelThis strategy will require you to be able to distinguish between the impulsive move and the retracement since we only apply the fib retracement tool to the impulsive move. What you do is just lay your fib from the body to the body (not the wicks) then identify the 50% retracement level. Now if you're an aggressive trader you can set a pending order or just execute an instant entry once price reaches your 50% retracement level. On the other hand if you're a less aggressive trader, you will make a decision based on what price action will reveal at the 50% retracement level. I'll leave it to you to decide what kind of trader you are.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by JayForexAcademy
2
SP500 Fib Modeling IIn physics, when charged particles are fired at double slit, chances are they will leave 2 marks as they would go through 2 slits. Those waves of uncertainty crash into each other and interfere, merging and canceling each other out just like any other waves. Then, when an electron's wave hits the back screen, the particle finally has to decide where to land. Slowly, electron by electron, the wave pattern builds up. Our expectations can be evaluated by checking the results. But results can change by simply witnessing the process closeup. An intervention of consciousness can alter reality. Particle as we know started behaving like wave as if they were aware of being watched. So each time particle is fired, it becomes a wave of potential as it approaches the slits and through the quantum world of infinite possibilities finds its final destination. As a result we get interference pattern , the mark that commonly shared by targets of particles after going through such chaotic journey. The electron can go through both slits as wave of potential, then it collides back forming particle hitting the layer! Act of additional measuring by repeating experiment can make the particle act normal again with two stripes pattern. From this I'd outline the sharp changes in behavior as well as shift in entity itself. The collapse of wave function caused by particle's awareness of ongoing surveillance can in some way mean that matter is a derivative from consciousness. And these are the building blocks of universe, where things can simply appear and vanish without evident reason. Removed irrelevant fibs: Fibonacci Ratios found in regular Retracement as well as TimeFibs fit the parameters of Wave Function. The overlap of Golden Ratio with real life example of interference pattern formed by two slits using regular white light as a source. I was pleased to acknowledge that Fibonacci numbers with its known features are also applicable in Quantum Mechanics, when we're dealing with the odds, probabilities and forecasting. This observation actually adds more credibility to FIBS and explains my long fascination over price behaving differently near fibs in one way or the other. Wave-particle duality is an example of superposition. That is a quantum object existing in multiple states at once. An electron, for example, is both ‘here’ and ‘there’ simultaneously. It’s only once we do an experiment to find out where it is that it settles down into one or the other. Today we know that this ‘quantum entanglement’ is real, but we still don’t fully understand what’s going on. Let’s say that we bring two particles together in such a way that their quantum states are inexorably bound, or entangled. One is in state A, and the other in state B. The Pauli exclusion principle says that they can’t both be in the same state. If we change one, the other instantly changes to compensate. This happens even if we separate the two particles from each other on opposite sides of the universe. It’s as if information about the change we’ve made has traveled between them faster than the speed of light. This makes quantum physics all about probabilities. We can only say which state an object is most likely to be in once we look. These odds are encapsulated into a mathematical entity called the wave function. Making an observation is said to ‘collapse’ the wave function, destroying the superposition and forcing the object into just one of its many possible states. Arranging the fractal by phases with fibonacci on both price and time scales is an alternative approach to the known quantum mechanical solutions to finance, thus relying on a postulate that quantum mechanics applies to finance unchanged. For market prices, it is important to note that nowadays we are looking at a lot of noise when handling them. In financial markets we are dealing with infinite possibilities emerging patterns which also creates chaotic process just like in subatomic levels. On molecular scale, we know that elements don't just react without a reason. It can bond with other elements if it shares corresponding properties of valence. When it matches the electron configuration, it bonds into new compound generating geometric shapes like hexagon of new chemical structure, like shapes of puzzles unite to resemble a bigger picture. Similarly, as market makes a move, it determines next candle's dimensions. If previous candle hypothetically had different properties, then the current candle wouldn't be the same it's forming right now. I'd say even the slightest change can significantly delay or change targets and outcomes. Price action also rhymes with time cycles. Sometimes these cycles of different wavelengths overlap resulting in breakout with short-term rapid growth rate. To get an approximate idea of where price is heading to, we must carry out a thought process. Let's assume market is heading up. We know that chances of a rapid pump to establish new ATH in one day is very low. We assume it's rather going to start with gradual growth when breaking from cyclic entangled side trend. Imagine the candles are made out of metal string so you could touch it and play with it according to all laws of physics just like with a regular piece of metal wire in real life. Now imagine just grabbing the right end of it and pulling upwards to simulate shape unfolding into direction of your target... Nevertheless, various fragments of final structure would still carry its systematic shapes which were originally determined by the market. In both cases these is a psychological effect, almost convincing me, that the market path is predetermined by trajectories of EMA with intermediate arguments rather than by short-term direction of a wave a spike and collapses. And it's not about the overall performance of the economy or any other factors, market simply derives the path on the go like in multi-universe concept. The fact that >90% of people are losing is a result of sticking to the current market information noise and news. chances are market simply would have already reacted to the narrative even long before entries were placed. That's how fast things are happening. This happens when market is correcting to other "upcoming" more dominant arising fundamentals whether they are positive or negative. The curve of information distribution speed is vital concept which contributes to ignoring the naive need for information backup behind price moves. Many serious participants of the market are deaf to news. Whatever we receive, we must acknowledge that by the time we receive the news, millions of people already digested those them provided by some media company with their own angle in it. News trading is a very hysterical thing to do, unless you are among the first wave of investors possessing the information from real insiders. The lots and billions of entries in favor for the narrative are already locked in and they are waiting for the last remaining crowd to jump in to be kill them at 5th wave. Considering an accumulation should be after completing a fall. We must feel comfortable at places where the rest still feel fear in order to be able to beat them off due to averaging trades without blind faith. Modern approaches to stock pricing in quantitative finance are typically founded on the Black-Scholes model and the underlying random walk hypothesis. Empirical data indicate that this hypothesis works well in stable situations but, in abrupt transitions such as during an economical crisis, the random walk model fails and alternative descriptions are needed. For this reason, several proposals have been recently forwarded which are based on the formalism of quantum mechanics. In this paper we apply the SCoP formalism, elaborated to provide an operational foundation of quantum mechanics, to the stock market. We argue that a stock market is an intrinsically contextual system where agents&apos; decisions globally influence the market system and stocks prices, determining a nonclassical behavior. More specifically, we maintain that a given stock does not generally have a definite value, e.g., a price, but its value is actualized as a consequence of the contextual interactions in the trading process. This contextual influence is responsible of the non-Kolmogorovian quantum-like behavior of the market at a statistical level. Then, we propose a sphere model within our hidden measurement formalism that describes a buying/selling process of a stock and shows that it is intuitively reasonable to assume that the stock has not a definite price until it is traded. This result is relevant in my opinion since it provides a theoretical support to the use of quantum models in finance. Fibonacci ratios are another way of exposing the probability of future prices in respect to timing. Even when overwhelming majority of people expect growth after good news with obvious positive factors, price can fall and expectations of millions can easily be shattered by market in an action. Identifying patterns is a part of making sense of out of randomness. There is a logical parallel: If an observer can collapse wave function, same way the collective consciousness of market crashed the wave function of uptrend. This happens and quite often. Some people incorporate prime numbers to their trading systems. But of course I'd stick with fibonacci, because golden ratio governs chaos behind price swings as well as its time cycles derived from coordinates of fractal peaks and bottoms. I put tremendous amount of accent on raw data of candles. It doesn't just stop where it does, it is predestined to do it due to chain of cause and effect loop. New formed candles of particular metrics is a direct result of nearest historic candles and mathematical relationship shared between all of them. The way things are curved in nature and space, even exponential growth can be perfectly simulated with fibonacci sequence. Fib ratios are credible as they share and fit into concepts from fractal geometry and chaos theory as well as describing behavior of complex processes. A line simple line can be used to link of some recent buildup of systematic patterns to similar historic fractal echoing back into present. A properly observed shape can tell more words than any news article, as it passes through the phases of cycle. By documenting nature of short-term swings we can evaluate how market is determining the most efficient price having continuous stream of information, different opinions, events and other factors on the background can directly or indirectly shape the value of an asset. Patterns can tell whether collective psyche of the market feels distrust or approval of ongoing narrative and world trends are unfolding. It's quite easy to say "buy the dip" or "buy at the finishing stage of falling". It sure takes a good combination of decisiveness, discipline and being able to stick to your plan. But how can we be so sure that price will follow the direction after entry. To answer that question, I'd monitor the security with BSP - "Buying & Selling Pressure". During selloff SP is obviously over BP. We wait till SP loses momentum and declines while BP begins grow. This way we got ourselves interested. Then we examine the hypothetical entry by chain of logical confirmations. We actually need to wait for Buying Pressure to cross over Selling Pressure. IF bpma > spma is true, confirm with: volume > ta.ema(volume, 20) or ta.atr(10) > ta.atr(10) ta.ema(ohlc4, 13) >= ta.ema(ohlc4, 13) and ta.ema(ohlc4, 5) >= ta.ema(ohlc4, 8) and ta.ema(ohlc4, 5) < ta.ema(ohlc4, 8) bpma > bpma and ta.crossover(close, ta.vwma(close, 13)) stoploss = close - average(bpma, spma) If all of the conditions are met in a row, wait for correction to complete, see the Selling Pressure falling and enter with the next green candle. Meeting just 1 of these conditions would technically push me into placing a long order. However, I wouldn't do it without fabric of PriceTime scales interconnected with candle data by fibonacci ratios. Refracted EMA can also be a tool of choice to determine the levels support and resistance. Personally I'd go with fibonacci, because they are based on raw chart data instead of averaging with MA's and its derivatives.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by fract
11
The CoffeeShopCrypto Fibonacci Tool SetupWelcome to the coffee shop everybody once again. This is your host and baristo Eric and I have a number of strategies to put up for you but I realized that you guys are going to need some help with that. In a few of my previous videos you have seen me using my Fibonacci Retracement tool but the question always arises why does mine look different than yours. So I want to post this quick video so that you can have the information and the visual of what your Fibonacci tool should look like as well as being able to copy my settings into your Fibonacci tool. Make sure that at the end of applying these settings you go down to the bottom of the Fibonacci tool settings and you click save as then give it a template name because this is going to be used as a template setting so you can switch it on and switch it off. The purpose of setting your Fibonacci tool this way gives you a more clearly defined area of take profit 1 take profit two and take profit 3. So while the settings may not seem to make sense right off the bat, once you start using these strategies you'll understand more clearly what the settings are for. Fibonacci Retracement Tool Settings Trend line = on extend left / right = off Scale values: Column 1 0 GREEN 0.382 WHITE 0.5 YELLOW 0.618 YELLOW 0.764 ORANGE Column 2 0.88 RED -0.618 Green -0.25 Green 1 Light Blue Background = off Prices levels = on (values) Labels = Right / Top Font Size = 12 Fib levels based on log scale = off Under template click SAVE AS and name it "The Coffeshop"
Education
by CoffeeshopCrypto
18
Using Multi-Time Frame Analysis To Find Key Levels That MatterDo you find yourself drawing too many levels on your charts? Do you struggle to know which levels that actually matter for trading decisions? Do you wonder why price moves straight through some key levels and not others? This video will show you how to analyse a stock using Multi-Timeframe Analysis techniques to find the key levels that actually matter for trading, and how to quickly find the most important levels where price is likely to react.
NYSE:CCIEducation
by JoelWarby