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Fibonacci

What does it need to confirm altcoin season?"What seems good is not necessarily good" Maybe this statement is the right quote to represent current condition of the market in cryptocurrency universe, especially in altcoins! A lot of arguments about the next altcoins season has occured lately. not just because the height of the bitcoin dominance, but also most of the altcoins has reached an extremely bottom right now. If you've read about the logical thinking about money circulation in this current industry, you will understand very well about the correlation between bitcoin dominance and crypto market capitalization. Let me explain it to you about this logical thinking again. If the bitcoin dominance has reached the top and we see a possible drop on this dominance in the future, this will mean a shifting capital from whales which switch their investment from bitcoin to altcoins. And if this happens, it means that the money outflow from bitcoin will become the money inflow in altcoins because a lot of investors has switched their capital to altcoins. And if this happens, this will automatically increase the market capitalization on altcoins. In this podcast, I will be focusing on the technical analysis on this altcoin market capitalization. Based on the chart, we can see there is a possibility of this market cap to forms a head and shoulders pattern which will end up with the drop on this market cap. I still believe that altcoin season will happen in near future, but there must be a mitigation if our analysis comes wrong and the price moves against our will. Personally, i will put a huge amount of money on altcoins when the market cap of this altcoins breaks out of the blue region. otherwise, I will be very cautious and try to play conservatively on scalping. Just as you know the correlation of these important factors : - Bitcoin dominance goes up, altcoin market cap goes down, altcoin price goes down and vice versa. Thank you
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Education
by junosats
1
Ordered Chaos: "like a Pebble into Water": BTC Impulse ReduxPicture perfect Impulse, its Ripples, and the Redux (return). "Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water. "Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy. "Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket. Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power? Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy. Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several. . Part my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology (Religion?). . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity . each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PEducation
by EuroMotif
3
Ordered Chaos: "every TimeFrame displays its ripples". USDCAD 6h"Textbook" example of an "Impulse", its "Ripples", and the "Core". This Fib series has been the guiding light for over 3 months now. Once an Impulse is identified, its Ripples become the road map. . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. Confluence of 2 is Dependable. Congruence of 3 is Respectable. Coincidence of 4 is Worshipable. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
Education
by EuroMotif
2
Bitcoin - There's Levels to This! Fibonacci & Cluster AnalysisThis is a 1-hour chart of BTCUSD on Bitstamp. From the high this past July to the current price, it is clear that price is pivoting back and forth between key levels. Those key levels are: - 0.382 - 0.5 (not a Fib level but still a useful level of support/resistance) - 0.618 - 0.786 - 0.886 From the Fib off of the high around $13.9K to the low around $9K, we see clustering around the following levels: - 0.382 - 0.618 From the Fib off of the low around $9K to the high around $12K, we see clustering around the following levels: - 0.786 - 0.886 From the Fib off of the high around $12K to the low around $9.3K, we see clustering around the following levels: - 0.5 - 0.382 I think it's paramount to study and trade off of levels. Use levels along with price action, market structure, volume, and location. Otherwise, if you just rely on indicators, you are simply guessing where price could go. Indicators tell you about the PAST. It's time to get smarter with our trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by realcapmillen
Gnosis (GNOUSD): Coiling Volume.This is a daily chart of GNOUSD on Kraken. Looks like volume is coiling between an uptrend (green) line and a downtrend (red) line. Don't be surprised if you see a BIG move at the end of this coiling. Looking at price, based off of the Fib drawn from the high around $26 and the low around $13, we see some clear resistance at 0.382, a common area of resistance. If price can clearly break this resistance along with bullish market structure (i.e double bottom w. breakout), and volume looks bullish, it's a good call to buy some. Until then, pay attention.
KRAKEN:GNOUSDEducation
by realcapmillen
Ethereum (ETHUSD) Resistance - Expect at $240This is a daily chart, of ETHUSD on Kraken. We see a relatively bullish uptrend as of late, but I expect resistance to be hit around the $240 level. Why? A few reasons. Firstly, we can see a cluster of historical resistance and support around those levels. Makes sense for price to be tested there again. Secondly, the $240 level is right around the 0.382 retracement, if we draw a Fib from the high pivot around $364 to the low pivot around $165. 0.382 is a frequent area of resistance. Do you have different potential areas of resistance, based off of different analysis, i.e Gann, etc? Anyway, let's keep our eyes peeled.
KRAKEN:ETHUSDEducation
by realcapmillen
The "Pulse" of an asset times Fibonacci: LINK at Impulse ReduxChainLink and most other Alts got a nice boost. Now it has returned to the last Impulse Zone. Clues gained here can be applied to all Alts. "Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water. "Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy. "Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket. Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power? Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy. Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several. This is part my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology. . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity . each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
Education
by EuroMotif
The Key Fib Levels of 0.618 and 0.786 + Volume ProfileHere's a chart that nicely illustrates how the 0.618 and 0.786 levels are frequently used as reversal points by the market. Price is ping-ponging back and forth between these key levels, and we can also see an almost full Volume Profile (parabolic in shape). The shape of this VP tells us that all the prices within this given range have been discovered, with the middle areas being the places where the most buying and selling has occurred. This is a sign of a normal and healthy range. So, we have the Fib levels working in unison with Volume Profile to paint a picture of a ranging market.
NYSE:MSEducation
by realcapmillen
No Longer Random: Here's Why I Believe in Fib Ratios & HarmonicsI am going through a book on Harmonics and Fibonacci ratios (The Harmonic Trader by Scott Carney), and I'm seeing for myself how these ratios can be used as key areas of reversal. I used to believe that day-to-day price action was random, but after looking at several charts for myself, I now reject my old belief and concede that price action is greatly tied to key Fibonacci levels and conforms decently to harmonic patterns. The key levels I highlight here are - 0.382 - 1.618 In the first leg, we draw our Fib off of the pivot around the $51 level to the pivot high around the $70 level. Here, we can see a reversal off the 0.382 level almost 100% cleanly. In the second leg, we draw our Fib off that same pivot high around the $70 level to the pivot low around the $63 level. Here, we see a reversal off of the 1.618 extension level, another key reversal level. In the third leg, we draw our Fib off that same pivot low around the $63 level to the pivot high around the $76 level. Here, we see a test of the 0.382 level, again. But wait, there's more. We can also draw an AB=CD harmonic using the following levels. - A: Pivot low around $56 - B: Pivot high around $70 - C: Pivot low around $63 - D: Pivot high around $76 The AB leg is roughly the same length as the CD leg. As you can see, AB=CD reversal also happens to be in that same 1.618 area. All of this works together in unison. Amidst all of these reversals off these levels, here's my Golden Rule : Use market structure as confirmation of these reversals. Look for 'M's (double tops) and 'W's (double bottoms), as well as bullish/bearish candles when appropriate, to confirm the direction of the reversal. Don't blindly trade solely off of levels. I didn't cover them here, but I also love seeing reversals off of 0.618 and/or 0.786 levels. Those occur very frequently, too. Just gotta train your eyes.
NYSE:ADCEducation
by realcapmillen
Roles of confluence zonesIt has been a very interesting move from bitcoin, after a drop to touched the $10095 region, the price was immediately moves back to claim again the support around $10300 region to produce a long shadow on daily candle. This action could be a good representation of the bulls making their best effort to defend the $10000 region as a huge psychological support. And looking at the chart that I've shared, the green dotted line is the resistance trend line if I want to exclude the bull trap region on previous action (body to body connecting method). And the second thing is the white region, those 2 white regions are the confluence zone between the fibonacci retracement and the fibonacci extention which I believe will act as a huge resistance for swingers. The first resistance zone is around the $10750 - $10800 region which is moving align with the green dotted line as resistance trend line. The second resistance zone is the confluence zone between golden ratio and the 1.1 fib extention. My bias here is remain the same as before with a push to the down side for the big picture. but, I see a possible push to the first resistance zone with a bull trap region producing until the 2nd resistance zone if the $10300 region can defend the current price from further drop.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by junosats
Ethereum : Equilibrium on market and dominance on bitcoinHello fellas, Finally we get some moves on BTC and once again our analysis has met the precision here with a drop. I've warned you about the bull trap region and possible drop. At the time I made this post, the bitcoin dominance is standing at around 69.4% which is extremely high and not ideal for me. So, I believe in the near future, the dominance will throw over from current level and we will see a drop on bitcoin too. The biggest question is, what could happen on altcoin market? will it follow the bitcoin's drop? or will it moves against bitcoin? Personally, I really think that current price of altcoin is pretty low and most of them has already touched the historical low. I really can't imagine if the price of that altcoin will drop from current level, it will be such a hell. I use only the logical think to represent my view on current market. Just imagine if the dominance of bitcoin decrease, this will mean there will be a money outflow from bitcoin to keep the equilibrium play in this major market and if there is a huge outflow from bitcoin investment, I do believe the money from big investors which is known as whales in crypto industry will fill in the altcoins space to help bitcoin decrease its dominance. This phenomenon will cause a negative correlation between bitcoin and the altcoin. I choose to pick ETH as my weapon on this possible bullish scenario on alts because Ethereum is the 2nd largest crypto in this universe just under bitcoin in its rank based on market volume. I do believe in its project too. And from the technical side, it is moving align too with my above statement. currently the price is playing in the break out cycle both on diagonal and horizontal levels and based on the RSI and MACD, I see the price is gaining strength with its bullish divergence on daily based. I need to see 1 more drop toward the white region and if this level can hold on the price, I will open a long position from there. This will be a beautiful trade if I have all the confirmation is being met and you will feel how satisfied is with this profit.
BITMEX:ETHUSD.PEducation
by junosats
Bitcoin : key levels and significant resistance trend line.Hello fellas, Happy monday and have a good weeks ahead. a new week, new passion and I hope a new extra profit for us! let's talk about the key levels for bitcoin which will cover the support , resistance and the correlation with the fibonacci levels. As you can see, that the weekly candle is about to close in less than 2 hours when I made this post and the newest weekly candle close isn't significant at all for me. currently the weekly candle is forming an unknown pattern making it very random and neutral. That's why, I am not trying to explain my bias in this post. I just want to share about the analysis of price action and key levels that I've found interesting If you see my chart, I've shared 2 colored region which the grey region represent the key support and the blue region represent the key resistances. Each of this key levels here is moving align with the fibonacci levels. and I want you to highlight the period after November 5th, 2018. First action is at May 13th, 2019 the price has already broken up of the resistance zone and on June 3th 2019 the resistance zone retested and produced a bounce before another break out. Second significant action is at June 24th, 2019 candle. A really nasty wick has occured after the price tried to breaks the 50% fibonacci retracement and ended up getting rejected. After that the price was trying to break out of this 50% fibonacci levels again and always got a rejection toward the upside and it formed a shooting star candle. and for me, this action is very significant and has proven this region as a heavy region. Another highlighted thing that I want to share is the green line. after a break out at April 2019 (yellow sign) I haven't seen any retest toward this previous resistance that is now become support as well (remember my 3 phase break out strategy). Ideally, before the end of the year, I really wish that bitcoin will test this green line again as support. Thank you.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by junosats
Bull Trap : Characteristics when the price is close to the APEXHello there my fellas, welcome back to my Sunday update about bitcoin! Well well, it has been a very interesting play for bitcoin for now. The condition is this, The price is moving very close to the upper line of the huge descending triangle (green line) and of course if we look at lower time frame, it looks like the price is going to break this resistance trend line. I am thinking of it more like a possible bull trap moves if it breaks the green resistance trend line on lower time frame and I believe it will only produces a long wick to the upside. Yes, maybe it is a very random statement for most of you because we have seen a strong volume and strong dynamic support that has defended the price really good. But, let's think like we are the whales who want to open a short entry because we see a huge descending triangle in play and the price in higher time frame view is losing a lot of strength! As a whales, I will definitely try to 'kill' the shorter in lower period of trading window. Why? because I want to get a short entry at higher rate so my risk to reward ratio will be better. The second reason is because the price is moving very close to the APEX of huge descending triangle, I am very sure there will be a lot of faking out moves to represent the war between the bulls and the bears! I believe the price will touch again the $10500 region as it is the golden pocket region or we can considering the area between the $10650 - $10700 as the last region for the long wick to the upside because it locates right at the 78.6 fib level and the previous swing high. Thank you and the daily view will be shared on update section.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by junosats
2
Dynamic Resistance and Phase 2 of break out strategy.Hello fellas, Do you remember when I said that is a probability for EOS to touch the previous support that is now become a resistance as a possible action for phase 2 break out strategy? Yes, I believe that scenario is going to happen before a major drop and still I am expecting a rejection at retested region for phase 2 confirmation. But, as a day trader that is not very wise to just wait the price at the resistance to enter the big short when we see a possible spike toward the upside as the confirmation of wave 5. That is why I am interested in entering long position for this alts! The reason is : 1. The dynamic resistance on 2 hours chart is holding the price really good. 2. Based on elliot wave count, there is 1 more possible wave up 3. The momentum of bitcoin which will spike higher. It will affect the price on alts with USD pair and will have a positive correlation. With sacrificing not more than 4% and a potential return of more than 9%, I think this set up is pretty good. I divide 3 take profit region: 1. at the tiny golden pocket which I represent with yellow region 2. Previous swing high 3. Slightly under the 2.618 fib extention levels which has a confluence pattern with previous major support that is now become resistance to be tested. Thank you
BITFINEX:EOSUSDEducation
by junosats
ARE YOU LOSING IN THE MARKET? THEN READ BELOW Losing is inevitable. To be a successful trader you must truly truly understand this. Look back at my analysis. I have both winners and losers and I absolutely love them both. Why do i love my losses? Because I don’t see them as losses, I see them as lessons. Every set up that doesn’t go as I anticipated is crucial information that I must study and this is truly what has made me good technically speaking. I learn from my mistakes and I don’t repeat them. Second most important fact is Risk Management which ALLOWS me to learn from my losses. If my trade goes bad and I lose 1% or 2% on a trade, I don’t feel bad , I simply move on to the next trade and take the information the market has given me and STUDY it. The moment I risk more than 2% and the trades goes bad is the moment my mental being shifts, the emotions start rolling in. I want to close but the trade is valid, I get scared, question why I didn’t risk less etc and I’m sure you can all relate to this. Once this happens, it’s very hard to study the losing trade because you now associate it with pain and you avoid looking back at it at all costs. KEY TAKEAWAYS: 1. To succeed you must fail, to succeed after failure, you must gain experience from your failures. 2. In order to gain experience form your failures, you must manage your risk, by managing your risk, you are controlling your emotions, by controlling your emotions you are allowing yourself to think analytically. 3. Trading is game of probabilities not guarantees. Every trade only has a 50% chance of winning.
Education
by Malika_Analysis
4
EOS : Death cross and phase 2 of break out strategyHello fellas, Let's discuss this beautiful EOS. Let's get to the point. I use bitfinex exchange to analyze current moves. From the chart that I've shared, there is a white support trend line that has already held the price since December 7th, 2019 and then it has broken out since August 14th, 2019. And since this break out, the price has never retest again the white trend line as confirmed resistance. I believe the last 11 days rally is a part of phase 2 break out strategy which will end up at the white trend line as confirmed resistance. In other side of fibonacci view, we can see the golden pocket zone is moving align with this previous support trend line. and when the price touch this golden pocket zone, I will be very interested to enter short position for EOS. My targeted area for take profit will be on previous swing low which is around $ 3.2 will produce a good rr. The risk to reward is pretty affordable with sacrificing 2% loss to catch the significant 23% profit. Thank you
BITFINEX:EOSUSDEducation
by junosats
The "Pulse" of an asset times Fibonacci: Silver Retrace RhythmSilver shone bright after Gold. Now it is retracing just as Bold. The Rhythm is clear, Wave End may be near. Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDEducation
by EuroMotif
3
The "Pulse" of an asset times Fibonacci: BTC missed Checkpoint ?Part of my ongoing collection of Impulse examples. This sequence has "Pinged" each line except the 2.618. The sharp drop from Band 4 is likely to see on more leg . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PEducation
by EuroMotif
4 hours chart : trend line, MA and the histogram on MACDLooking at the 4 hours chart, which is moving align with my yesterday's analysis about bitcoin. Current condition shows that the price is showing a rejection toward the previous support that is now become resistance as well. Beside that, I've seen the rejection when the price was trying to surpassed the MA 200 on 4 hours chart. The RSI on 4 hours chart is trending at under the 50 level which indicates the price is entering the bearish zone right now . The MACD histogram was once again ticking down to pass the previous wave low. So far, current price is moving align with my yesterday's bias and I will give you more details update when the weekly candle close. Thank you
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by junosats
1
The Precision, 5th truncated wave and Next possible stopHello all, It has been a very volatile day in the market, A huge moves has occured in today's market and I saw a lot of drama occur. But, once again our yesterday's scenario is going really well with 5th truncated wave at the upper line of the triangle. Back to the 4 hours chart which is becoming the best benchmark for swing traders. in this specific period, you can see the yellow trend line which become the broken resistance previously and until now, I haven't seen any proper retest toward this resistance again that is now become support. Usually, after a major trend occur to the upside, we will try to find a support for possible place to catch the reversal. I use the fibonacci levels to find supports and in this case, I really don't think that the golden pocket on fibonacci retracement can hold the price considering the fact that bitcoin is moving inside a huge descending triangle. In my opinion, The price should touch again the major support on around $9400-$9000 region where this horizontal support will find an alignment with the yellow line which now become a support trend line. and if this breaks, you will see a very very nasty drop from bitcoin. Right now, I want to stay idle and watch the wild volatility that occurs in the market.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by junosats
Elliot wave count, 5th wave could be truncated : short term biasHello fellas, once again I provide you my analysis about bitcoin. without further chit chat, let's get to the point. Here it is my detailed elliot wave count on bitcoin. Right after the call of bearish rising wedge or we can call it a leading first wave diagonal, we've seen a really huge up trend push form the bulls. I will label this moves as the 3rd wave going up on bitcoin on my short term view which has just finished, This means that current price is at the 4th wave phase which is the correction wave for wave 3. Based on elliot waves rules and guideline, we can easily deduce that the 4th wave could end up on fibonacci levels whether it is on 23.6 , 38.2 , 0.5 or the golden pocket as long as the price doesn't drop more than a wick of the 1st wave territory. The wave 4 trade is usually the most tricky wave that occur between the others wave so we have to be cautious. yes, there is a possible moves of one more waves up which will be labeled as the wave 5. But, I want you all to remember that even the wave 5 can be truncated which can make a lower high comparing to the wave 3 and considering the current price is trending just below the upper line of the huge channel (green dotted line) this truncated wave 5 could occur too. As of now, I am still on my long position and I use the white support trend line on smaller timeframe as the guideline. If the price breaks this support trend line, I will switch my long position into short and try to catch the wave 4. But, If this trend line can hold, I do believe that the price will touch at least the previous high.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by junosats
1
Elliot wave perspective on BTCGood afternoon all of my fellas, How are you doing? did you catch the last awesome bulls? I hope you are doing so. Let's get to the point of today's bitcoin analysis! In this podcast, I will cover the daily movement, intra day and scalp opportunity on bitcoin. Based on this chart, I show you 2 support and upper line movement the green dotted one and the green line. The different between this 2 line is based on how I connect the price. the green line I use the wick to wick connecting method which doesn't exclude the bear trap and bull trap region. the green dotted line, I use the body to body connecting method which exclude the bull trap and bear trap region. Based on those 2 line, It is clear that bitcoin still has the room to grow to the upside of the upper line. And based on my opinion, it can be at the golden pocket region around $11100 region which in fact has a confluence with the upper line of the triangle. And for smaller time frame view, I will give you an explanation on update section.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by junosats