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Fibonacci

How to Draw Support & Resistance In TradingViewLearn how to effectively identify, draw, and utilize support and resistance levels in TradingView with this comprehensive step-by-step tutorial. Whether you're a beginner trader or looking to refine your technical analysis skills, this video covers everything you need to know about one of the most fundamental concepts in trading. What You'll Learn: Understanding support and resistance: the foundation of technical analysis and price action trading Step-by-step instructions for drawing horizontal support and resistance lines in TradingView Creating support and resistance zones for more flexible trading approaches Practical tips for using TradingView's drawing tools effectively This tutorial may be helpful for day traders, swing traders, and investors using TradingView who want to improve their chart analysis skills. The techniques covered could help you make more informed entry and exit decisions by understanding where price might find support or encounter resistance. Visit Optimus Futures to learn more about trading futures with TradingView: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary. This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Optimus Futures
2
Strategy & Education: Trading with Fibonacci and Order Blocks🔍 Trading Strategy Based on Fibonacci Levels and Order Blocks This chart showcases three consecutive sell trades I executed on the BTCUSDT pair, each resulting in a profitable outcome. The purpose of this explanation is to demonstrate how Fibonacci retracement levels can be combined with Order Block zones to identify high-probability trade setups. 🧩 The Foundation: Understanding Price Retracement Behavior The ABC, abc, and (a)(b)(c) structures marked on the chart are not Elliott Waves. Instead, these labels are used to represent simple retracement movements in the market. The focus here is not wave theory, but recognizing how price reacts and pulls back after a move, and how we can benefit from these reactions. 📌 Trade 1: Primary Fibo-OB Confluence I drew a Fibonacci retracement from the A wave to the B wave. The price then retraced to the C area, landing between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, where an Order Block (OB) was also present. This overlap created a strong technical and structural resistance zone. I entered the first sell trade from this confluence. 📌 Trade 2: Internal Retracement and OB Alignment Inside the first corrective move, a smaller abc pattern formed. I applied Fibonacci again from small a to small b. The c leg reached the same key Fibonacci zone (0.618–0.786) and overlapped with a second OB. This confluence offered a second sell entry. 📌 Trade 3: Micro Structure – Same Logic Reapplied I repeated the exact same logic one more time on a micro (a)(b)(c) structure. Fibonacci from (a) to (b), price touched 0.618–0.786, coinciding again with an OB. This became the third and final sell position. 🧠 The Logic Behind the Strategy: Price doesn’t move in straight lines—it flows in waves. During pullbacks, if Fibonacci levels align with Order Block zones, the market tends to react strongly. My focus here was to identify these areas of confluence in advance and enter trades at high-probability turning points.
Education
by Nurlan_PT
1
Using The Zig-Zag Indicator To Gain Clarity On Your Price ChartIn my experience, learning how to read a price chart, specifically understanding the ebbs and flows of a trend, is the biggest hurdle that newer traders face. At least on the technical side of things. Something that helped me shorten that learning curve at the beginning of my trading career was the "Zig-Zag" indicator. Now, I didn't use it as part of a strategy or anything like that. Rather, it was a tool that helped train my eyes to read extensions and retracements in the markets both at a beginner and advanced level. If you're someone that is struggling, hopefully it can do the same for you. Please remember to support by hitting that like button and if you thought this video was helpful please share so other traders can benefit as well. Akil
Education
by Akil_Stokes
4
Best Practice: Prepare, Assess, Plan Then TradeTraders are often eager to jump straight into the next trading session but this may not always be the best option to chose. It can be more beneficial to follow a regular pre-trading routine to note down important scheduled events, establish current trends, as well as meaningful support and resistance price levels, and importantly this doesn’t have to be time consuming. This is not meant to be that trading ‘holy grail’ but more of an addition to your existing trading process or plan. Having a regular routine to establish important levels, indicator set-ups and price trends to be aware of during your trading day may help you make trading decisions in a more effective way. This pre trading routine can also be helpful for traders that take longer term positions, as it’s still important to consider the longer-term weekly perspectives as well. This routine can be carried out at the weekend and then monitored and, where necessary, modified during the week as price action develops for the particular CFD(s) you are trading. 1. Keep Informed of Important Data Releases If there are several CFD’s you regularly trade and tend to stick with, make sure you have as much information about those assets as possible before you start trading. Consider utilising the Pepperstone trading calendar to help keep you informed of any economic releases/company earnings data that might impact the CFD you are trading before the week/session starts. Once you know the scheduled events ahead, you can ask yourself, Could these impact my trading? Could the market reaction to this new information increase the volatility of the CFD I am about to trade or already have a position in? How may this impact my risk? Knowing what it is expected by the market before a particular important economic data release, such as US Non-farm Payrolls, can help you assess positioning going into the release, gauge market reaction to the data, and then be prepared for any potential price sentiment change and/or increased volatility. 2. Be Aware of Potential Support and Resistance Levels Ahead of your trading day, consider running through the Pepperstone charts of the CFD’s you are considering trading and make a note of 3 support and resistance levels, that you identify as being meaningful. To help you we have set out an example Trading Template below. Daily: Level: Reason: Current Trend: Current Thoughts: Support 1st: 2nd: 3rd Resistance 1st 2nd 3rd Keep this next to your trading screen, so you are aware of particular levels that may act as support and resistance, if prices move in that direction. This can help you to improve trade entry or assist you with the placement of a stop loss or take profit order. If these levels are broken at any time, you can update the template with any new support/resistance levels during the trading period. 3. Be Aware of the Daily Trends – Focus on Bollinger Bands Using the direction of the daily Bollinger mid-average can be helpful to gauge the direction of the daily trend. If the, Mid-average is moving up = price uptrend Mid-average is moving down = price downtrend Mid-average is flat = possible price sideways range The daily and weekly perspectives are the most important to be aware of, so it can be beneficial to analyse the charts from the longest timeframe into the shortest as this allows you to build a better understanding of the dominant trends. You can also note these trends on the Trading Template, so it’s available to you when you are trading. 4. Follow the Same Process for All Other Timeframes - 4 Hour, 1 Hour, Even Shorter if it Suits Your Trading. You can carry out the routine outlined in point 3, for any timeframes you are trading. Things to note, Are there any new trends suggested within a shorter term perspective by the Bollinger mid-average? If the direction of a shorter term mid-average has changed, it may be an indication of either a change or resumption of a longer term price trend. If this trend change also looks to be resuming within the longer term perspectives, this could be a more important signal, as the resumption of an existing longer term trend may mean a more extended move in that direction. Be aware, confirmation of a price trend change within a longer term perspective might mean it could take longer and offer less trading opportunities, as initially price moves may be less aggressive in nature. 5. Where, Within the Various Timeframes is Price in Relation to the Bollinger Bands? As we have highlighted in a previous commentary (please take a look our past posts), Bollinger Bands can highlight increasing price volatility within a trend. Things to note regarding Bollinger Bands, Are the upper or lower bands being touched by prices within any of the timeframes? Within a sideways range (flat mid-average) this might suggest price has reached either a support or resistance level, with potential for a reversal. While being touched, are the upper and lower bands starting to widen which indicates increasing price volatility, or contract, which indicates decreasing price volatility? Remember - widening bands within a confirmed trend highlight increasing volatility, suggesting the current price move might continue for longer than you may anticipate, while contracting bands, point to decreasing volatility, which may lead to a reduction in a particular CFDs price movement. Do the timeframes align? If they do it may suggest a stronger trading opportunity is evident. CFDs within trending markets seeing increasing volatility tend to offer greater potential than those that aren’t. In this scenario it maybe worthwhile considering only trading with the trend, not trying to pick bottoms or tops of markets, or if you do, consider a more cautious approach to your trading by reducing the size of your position and risk. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
9
How to Use Drawing Tools on TradingViewThis tutorial video discusses why and how traders use different types of trading tools, how to access the trading tools in Tradingview, and a few examples of how and why you might apply them. Learn more about using Tradingview to trade futures with Optimus Futures: optimusfutures.com Disclaimer: There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by Optimus Futures
Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫 Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation. But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor? 🧠 A Quick Historical Detour Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21... When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include: 0.618 (the “golden ratio”) 1.618 2.618, and so on. While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move. 📊 Fibonacci Extensions To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points: The Start of a Trend (Point A) The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B) A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C) This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues. Common Extension Levels Include: 1.272 1.618 (golden ratio) 2.0 2.618 Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react. 🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes. The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle. Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash) to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak) From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph. 🔍 Why This Matters Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market: Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5 Panic at 0.618 Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025 This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis. ⚖️ Final Thought Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative. And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
Education
by WhiteBIT
Weekly analysis confirmation and continuation!!!Top-Down Analysis of the Image. 1. Macro Context: Asset Classes & Instruments - USD & XAUUSD. The image focuses on two key financial instruments: - USD.l Likely tracking the US Dollar Index (DXY) or a USD-paired asset. - XAUUSD**: Gold priced in USD, a critical safe-haven commodity. - Bearish Sentiment**: Both sections show descending price levels, indicating a broader market expectation of dollar strengthening and gold depreciation. --- 2. USD Section: Price Structure & Anomalies* - Key Levels**: - Starts at 3,500.000 (potential resistance) and trends downward to 3,375.845*l (support). - Notable mid-level dip at 3,462.199 , possibly a liquidation zone or failed breakout at 33:46 - Hypothesis : Time notation (e.g., 33 minutes and 46 seconds) for a specific trading session or chart timeframe. - Hypothesis 2. Ratio (e.g., 33:46) for risk-reward or position sizing. --- 3. XAUUSD Section: Gold’s Downward Trajectory - **Declining Values**: From **3,324.476** to **3,238.854**, reflecting a **bearish technical breakdown**. - **Purpose**: Likely marks **resistance levels** or **liquidation clusters** where sellers dominate. --- #### **4. Gold-Short/Un-Subtotal: Strategic Short-Selling Plan** - **Uniform Decrements**: Values decrease by **40.000** increments (e.g., 3,160 → 3,120 → 3,080). - **Interpretation**: Predefined **profit-taking levels** or **trailing stop-loss zones** for a short position. - **Risk Management**: Structured steps suggest a disciplined exit strategy to lock in gains or mitigate losses. --- #### **5. Final Line: "May 4 7 9"** - **Possible Meanings**: - **Dates**: May 4, 7, and 9 could mark: - Economic events (e.g., Fed meetings, NFP data). - Expiry dates for options/futures contracts. - Planned trade execution days. - **Code**: Numeric shorthand for order IDs, time intervals (e.g., 04:07:09), or technical indicators. --- ### **Key Takeaways** 1. **Strategic Trade Setup**: The image outlines a **short-selling strategy for gold (XAUUSD)** with explicit price targets and risk parameters. 2. **Technical Focus**: Emphasis on descending levels highlights reliance on **technical analysis** (e.g., trendlines, Fibonacci retracements). 3. **Date-Driven Execution**: "May 4 7 9" suggests alignment with external catalysts or time-bound trade management. 4. **Risk Control**: Uniform decrements in the Gold-Short section reflect systematic profit-taking, reducing exposure to volatility. --- ### **Recommendations for Further Analysis** - Cross-reference the dates (May 4, 7, 9) with economic calendars to identify relevant events. - Validate the "33:46" notation against historical price action or trading session hours. - Assess whether the USD levels correlate with DXY or a specific USD pair (e.g., EURUSD). This structured approach aligns with a trader’s playbook, combining technical levels, time-based triggers, and disciplined risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by S_O_C_H_I_M_A
The Golden Code: Unlocking the Markets with Fibonacci Sequence “Mathematics is the language in which God has written the universe.” – Galileo Galilei If this is true, then the Fibonacci sequence is the poetry of that language, especially in trading. 📚 What is Fibonacci? Why Should Traders Care? Fibonacci is more than just a sequence of numbers — it’s a universal law of growth and proportion. From galaxies to sunflowers, and now to the charts on your TradingView screen, Fibonacci is everywhere. In trading, Fibonacci retracement levels are used to identify potential reversal zones, where price is likely to bounce or stall, making it one of the most powerful tools in a trader’s arsenal. But few truly understand its depth, and fewer still use it intelligently. Let’s dive into the power of the Fibonacci sequence, how it influences retracements, and how you can use it to your trading advantage, whether you’re a scalper, swing trader, or position trader. 🧠 The Fibonacci Sequence: Where It All Begins The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, ... Some Math somebody? Take your seats and calculators away! 😂😂 📉 Fibonacci Retracement Levels & How They're Calculated These levels are percentages based on relationships between Fibonacci numbers. ✅ 0.236 (23.6%) Divide a number by the one three places ahead: Example: 13 ÷ 55 = 0.236 Another: 21 ÷ 89 = 0.236 ✅ 0.382 (38.2%) Divide a number by the one two places ahead: Example: 21 ÷ 55 = 0.382 Another: 34 ÷ 89 = 0.382 ✅ 0.500 (50.0%) Not directly from Fibonacci, but commonly used due to psychological midpoint in markets. ✅ 0.618 (61.8%) – The Golden Ratio Divide a number by the next number: Example: 34 ÷ 55 = 0.618 Another: 55 ÷ 89 = 0.618 This is the famous Golden Ratio, which appears in nature, art, and financial markets. ✅ 0.786 (78.6%) Derived from the square root of 0.618: √0.618 = 0.786 📈 Fibonacci Extension Levels & How They're Calculated Extensions project price targets beyond the retracement. ✅ 1.000 (100%) A full projection of the original move. ✅ 1.272 (127.2%) Square root of 1.618: √1.618 = 1.272 ✅ 1.618 (161.8%) – The Golden Extension Divide a number by the previous one: Example: 55 ÷ 34 = 1.618 Another: 89 ÷ 55 = 1.618 ✅ 2.000 (200%) A full double of the original move. ✅ 2.618 (261.8%) 1.618 + 1.000 = 2.618 This creates ratios that are found in nature, architecture, music, and, yes, price movements. 🔍 Fibonacci Retracement: Mapping Pullbacks with Precision When price moves impulsively in one direction, it often retraces a portion of that move before continuing in the same direction. Fibonacci retracement is used to map this pullback. Here’s how traders use it: Identify a clear impulsive move (either bullish or bearish). Plot the Fibonacci retracement tool from swing low to swing high (for bullish moves), or from swing high to swing low (for bearish moves). Watch how price reacts around key levels: 38.2% = Shallow pullback 50% = Midpoint (psychological) 61.8% = Golden Zone 78.6% = Deep retracement (but still valid) 🔥 Pro Tip: Most institutional traders love the 61.8% retracement, often placing hidden liquidity and traps around that area. 🔄 Fibonacci Extensions: Predicting Take-Profit Zones Once price retraces and continues its trend, Fibonacci extensions help identify possible target zones: Common extension levels: 1.272 1.618 → Golden Target 2.000 2.618 For example: After a bullish retracement to 61.8%, price often rallies to 1.272 or 1.618 extensions, making these ideal profit-taking zones. 🔄 Real-Life Market Behavior: Fibonacci in Price Action Let’s take a real example: 🟨 Example: XAU/USD Bearish Retracement Impulsive rally from $2,832.99 to $2,930.77. Price pulls back to $2,880 – exactly at the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Followed by a strong continuation to the upside. Price reach for the 127.20% and beyond to 161.80% Fibonacci extension of the original rally before pausing for some times — textbook Fibonacci behavior. 💡 This isn’t magic. It’s structure, order, and smart money playing on the same field. 🧬 Fibonacci + Confluence = Confirmation Fibonacci works best when combined with other tools: Support/Resistance Order Blocks Imbalances Trendlines Candlestick Patterns ✅ A 61.8% retracement + bullish order block + bullish engulfing = a high-probability long setup. ✅ A 78.6% retracement + unfilled imbalance = possible stop-hunt trap or liquidity grab. 🧠 Fibonacci Psychology: Why It Works Fibonacci works because it reflects natural human behavior: Fear and greed create overextensions and pullbacks. Traders place stops and entries near these key ratios, causing self-fulfilling reactions. Algorithms and institutional models often base trade entries on Fibonacci confluences. 💥 Common Mistakes Traders Make ❌ Using Fibonacci on every small swing – noise, not signal ❌ Forcing the retracement tool to “fit” your bias ❌ Ignoring higher time frame structure ❌ Using Fibonacci alone without confluence Remember: Fibonacci is a guide, not a guarantee. 📈 How to Trade with Fibonacci (Step-by-Step) First, identify market structure (trending or ranging). Second, mark swing high and swing low. Third, plot retracement tool accordingly. Fourth, look for confluence zones: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%... Price action signals (e.g., pin bars, engulfing) Institutional concepts (order blocks, imbalances) Enter with confirmation, not just based on levels. Set stop loss below/above structure or 78.6% line. Target extension levels or previous high/low. 🌀 Fibonacci in Different Trading Styles Scalpers Use Fibonacci on 1min–5min timeframes to catch micro pullbacks and entries. Swing Traders Use Fib retracements from daily or 4H structure to plot entries and targets. Position Traders Use weekly/monthly Fibonacci zones for macro views and long-term targets. 🧠 Final Thoughts: Fibonacci Is Structure, Not Sorcery The Fibonacci sequence is a map of order in a chaotic world. In trading, it helps bring discipline, clarity, and precision. It’s not about being right every time, it’s about stacking probabilities in your favor. 🧭 Ready to Master Fibonacci? If you’ve read this far, drop your thoughts in the comments and share your favorite Fibonacci setup! Let’s build a community of traders who use mathematics and structure, not hope and guesswork. Follow for more educational breakdowns, trading insights, and strategy walkthroughs — posted weekly.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by AmaWina
2
What If Trump’s Tariffs Are Actually Bullish for SPX ?Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I want to take a closer look at SPX and break down why the new U.S. tariffs and Trump’s economic policies could either boost or damage the U.S. economy in the coming months. So make sure to stay with me until the very end. 🔍 Let’s start with the chart: As you can see, SPX is currently holding above a weekly support level, marked by the orange ascending trendline. So far, so good. However, we’re also seeing a massive bearish divergence on the RSI — and in my opinion, this was one of the key reasons behind the recent Black Monday-style selloff. ⚠️ But here’s the deal: If SPX breaks below this orange trendline, the next strong support is around 3375 — aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the monthly blue trendline inside our green support zone. 🤔 Should we be bearish on SPX and the U.S. economy? That’s the big question… and it’s tricky to answer right now. Let’s break it down. 🔧 1. Tariffs and Trump: What’s really going on? We’re currently in a pause phase of the ongoing tariff war — with countries negotiating to avoid escalation. But here’s the catch: markets hate uncertainty, and that’s why we saw panic selling recently. Still, most people miss the bigger picture here. The U.S. has long been a consumer-driven economy, importing heavily from other nations. Meanwhile, U.S. producers have struggled to compete — both domestically and internationally — due to low tariffs at home and high tariffs abroad. So what do Trump’s new tariffs do? ✅ They level the playing field for U.S. companies at home ✅ They push other countries to lower their tariffs through negotiation ✅ They reduce dependency on foreign imports and support domestic production In short, if combined with smart monetary policy, these moves could actually help revive U.S. manufacturing and strengthen the economy in the mid-to-long term. 📉 Final thoughts on SPX: I personally don’t believe the bearish breakdown is coming — but as a trader, I focus on reality, not preference. Right now, we’re still holding above major support, and unless that breaks, the bullish scenario remains in play. Let me know what you think about this macro setup in the comments. And as always remember: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
SP:SPXEducation
by Kiu_Coin
1
EUR/USD- Elliott Wave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)SMC Insight Supply Zone Marked: Between 1.1500 – 1.2000. Price is heading toward the supply zone. On the right visual, schematic shows: Liquidity build-up below equal highs. Possible liquidity grab just above the supply zone. Expect reaction or reversal around that supply. --- Trade Bias Short-term: Bullish (momentum and structure are up). Long-term: Watch for reaction at the 1.1500–1.2000 zone. This could be a major sell zone if price shows rejection/mitigation signs
Education
by Greenfireforex
1
Why you should WAIT for trades to come to YOU!In this video, we dive deep into one of the most underrated but powerful habits that separates consistently profitable traders from the rest: waiting for the trade to come to you. It sounds simple, even obvious. But in reality, most traders—especially newer ones—feel the constant urge to do something. They scan for setups all day, jump in at the first sign of movement, and confuse activity with progress. That mindset usually leads to emotional trading, overtrading, and eventually burnout. If you've ever felt the pressure to chase price, force trades, or trade just because you're bored… this video is for you. I’ll walk you through: 1. Why chasing trades destroys your edge—even when the setup “kind of” looks right 2. How waiting allows you to trade from a position of strength, not desperation 3. The psychological shift that happens when you stop trading to feel busy and start trading to feel precise 4. How the pros use waiting as a weapon, not a weakness The truth is, trading is a game of probabilities and precision. And that means you don’t need 10 trades a day—you need a few good ones a week that truly align with your plan. Patience doesn’t mean doing nothing, it means doing the right thing at the right time. And when you develop the skill to sit back, trust your process, and wait for price to come to your level… everything changes. Your confidence grows. Your equity curve smooths out. And most importantly, your decision-making gets sharper. So if you're tired of overtrading, feeling frustrated, or constantly second-guessing your entries—take a breath, slow it down, and start thinking like a sniper instead of a machine gun. Let the market come to you. That’s where the real edge is.
Education
by Road_2_Funded
7
Mastering Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions on TradingView!1. Introduction to Fibonacci in Trading Fibonacci levels are widely used in trading to identify potential reversal zones, support, and resistance levels. These levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern found in nature and financial markets. Traders rely on Fibonacci retracements to find potential entry points and Fibonacci extensions to determine profit targets. The most critical area of interest is the golden pocket zone, which ranges between 0.618 and 0.65. Price often reacts strongly in this zone, either reversing or continuing its trend, making it a key level for traders to watch. 2. Key Fibonacci Levels for Trading Several Fibonacci levels are commonly used in trading. The 0.5 level, although not an actual Fibonacci number, is often observed as a psychological retracement level. The golden pocket zone, which consists of the 0.618 and 0.65 levels, is considered the most important for potential reversals. The 0.786 level represents a deeper retracement and is frequently used by traders for more precise entries before a strong price move. On the other hand, Fibonacci extensions, such as -0.618 and -1.618, are used to project potential price targets. These levels serve as reference points for identifying support and resistance, allowing traders to make more informed trading decisions. 3. How to Draw Fibonacci Retracements on TradingView To effectively use Fibonacci retracements, traders must first identify a swing high and a swing low on the chart. This process starts by recognizing a strong uptrend or downtrend. Once identified, the Fibonacci tool in TradingView can be used to plot retracement levels. By selecting the swing low and dragging it to the swing high in a bullish setup, or vice versa in a bearish setup, traders can visualize the key Fibonacci levels. It is essential to adjust the settings to only display 0.5, 0.618, 0.65, 0.786, -0.618, and -1.618 for better clarity. This method provides a structured approach to analyzing potential price reactions and planning trades with greater accuracy. 4. Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Levels A. The Golden Pocket Entry Strategy (0.618–0.65) One of the most reliable trading strategies involving Fibonacci retracements is based on the golden pocket zone. When price retraces to the 0.618–0.65 area, traders look for confirmation signals before entering a trade. These confirmations may include bullish or bearish candlestick patterns, such as engulfing candles, pin bars, or hammer formations. Additionally, traders may use momentum indicators like RSI or MACD to identify divergences, which suggest a potential trend reversal. A spike in volume at these levels can further validate the trade setup. A typical strategy involves entering a trade within the golden pocket, setting a stop-loss slightly below the 0.786 level for risk management, and targeting Fibonacci extensions for profit-taking. B. Fibonacci Extensions (-0.618 & -1.618) for Profit Targets Fibonacci extensions serve as valuable tools for setting take-profit levels in trending markets. Once price confirms a reversal from a retracement level, traders use extensions to project future price movements. The -0.618 extension is often considered a conservative target, providing an early profit-taking opportunity. Meanwhile, the -1.618 extension is a more aggressive target, generally used in strong trends where price momentum is high. By integrating Fibonacci extensions into their strategy, traders can optimize their exits, ensuring they capture the full potential of a move while minimizing premature exits. 5. Common Mistakes & How to Avoid Them Despite its effectiveness, Fibonacci analysis requires proper execution. One common mistake traders make is drawing Fibonacci levels incorrectly by selecting the wrong swing points. Accuracy in identifying the correct high and low points is crucial for reliable retracement levels. Another mistake is over-reliance on Fibonacci without additional confirmations. Traders should always seek confluence with other technical indicators, such as support and resistance levels, moving averages, or volume analysis. Additionally, failing to wait for confirmation signals can lead to premature entries, increasing the risk of losses. Understanding these pitfalls and applying Fibonacci with proper validation techniques can significantly improve trading outcomes. 6. Pro Tips for Using Fibonacci Like a Pro For best results, traders should use Fibonacci analysis on higher timeframes, such as the 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily charts, as these provide more reliable signals compared to lower timeframes. Confluence plays a crucial role in validating Fibonacci levels, so traders should always look for overlapping support and resistance, trendlines, or moving averages. Additionally, backtesting Fibonacci strategies using TradingView’s replay mode can help traders refine their approach and gain confidence in their setups before applying them in live trading. By combining Fibonacci with other technical tools and maintaining discipline in execution, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their overall trading success. Final Thoughts Mastering Fibonacci retracements and extensions can significantly improve trade accuracy. By focusing on the golden pocket zone (0.618–0.65) and using Fibonacci extensions like -0.618 and -1.618 as profit targets, traders can refine their strategies and maximize profitability. Understanding how price interacts with these levels and applying additional confirmations ensures more precise trade entries and exits. With practice and proper analysis, Fibonacci can become a powerful tool in any trader’s arsenal. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Education
by TehThomas
41
Behind the Buy&Sell Strategy: What It Is and How It WorksWhat is a Buy&Sell Strategy? A Buy&Sell trading strategy involves buying and selling financial instruments with the goal of profiting from short- or medium-term price fluctuations. Traders who adopt this strategy typically take long positions, aiming for upward profit opportunities. This strategy involves opening only one trade at a time, unlike more complex strategies that may use multiple orders, hedging, or simultaneous long and short positions. Its management is simple, making it suitable for less experienced traders or those who prefer a more controlled approach. Typical Structure of a Buy&Sell Strategy A Buy&Sell strategy consists of two key elements: 1) Entry Condition Entry conditions can be single or multiple, involving the use of one or more technical indicators such as RSI, SMA, EMA, Stochastic, Supertrend, etc. Classic examples include: Moving average crossover Resistance breakout Entry on RSI oversold conditions Bullish MACD crossover Retracement to the 50% or 61.8% Fibonacci levels Candlestick pattern signals 2) Exit Condition The most common exit management methods for a long trade in a Buy&Sell strategy fall into three categories: Take Profit & Stop Loss Exit based on opposite entry conditions Percentage on equity Practical Example of a Buy&Sell Strategy Entry Condition: Bearish RSI crossover below the 30 level (RSI oversold entry). Exit Conditions: Take profit, stop loss, or percentage-based exit on the opening price.
Education
by thequantscience
1
Understanding Buy The Dip In TradingBuying the dip is a trading strategy where you take advantage of temporary price drops in an overall uptrend. The goal is simple: enter the market at a lower price before it resumes its upward move. It sounds easy, but knowing when and how to do it makes all the difference. In this guide, we’ll explore key setups, ideal market conditions, and smart risk management techniques to help you trade dips like a pro. 🚀 1. Understanding Market Structure 🏗️ Before jumping into a trade, it’s crucial to understand how price moves. A strong uptrend is characterized by higher highs and higher lows—this is where buying dips can be very profitable. But beware: not every drop is a buying opportunity. Some dips are part of a pullback, a temporary retracement before the trend resumes, while others signal a complete reversal—the last thing you want to buy into. Key levels to watch include support zones, Fibonacci retracement levels, and high-volume areas. These zones act as potential turning points where the price is likely to bounce. 2. Proven Setups for Buying the Dip 🎯 🔢 Fibonacci Retracement Support When the price pulls back within a strong trend, it often lands on key Fibonacci levels like 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%. These act as natural support points where buyers step in. If a strong bullish candle appears at one of these levels, it can signal a solid dip-buying opportunity. Combine this with an oversold RSI and rising volume, and you have a strong case for entry. 🎭 Liquidity Grab (Stop Hunt) Markets love to shake out weak hands. Sometimes, the price dips below a previous low, triggering stop-loss orders before reversing sharply. This is called a liquidity grab—smart money accumulates positions while retail traders panic. If the price quickly reclaims the level it just broke, it’s a strong buy-the-dip signal. Look for big buy orders, a sharp recovery, and bullish candlesticks to confirm entry. 📊 Anchored VWAP Test Institutions often base their trades around VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), especially when anchored from a significant swing low. When the price revisits this VWAP in a strong uptrend, it’s a potential dip-buying zone. Watch for bounces off VWAP, rising volume, and confluence with other support levels for confirmation. 🔥 Point of Control (POC) Revisit Markets move towards areas of high liquidity. If the price revisits the Point of Control (POC)—the price level where most volume is traded in a range—it often serves as strong support. When price pulls back into the POC and finds buying interest, it’s a great spot to enter. Look for strong reactions, failed attempts to move lower, and confluence with Fibonacci levels. 📏 Previous Range Support A breakout from a trading range is significant, but the price often returns to retest the range high as new support before continuing higher. If this happens on low selling pressure and aligns with moving averages or VWAP, it can be a golden buy-the-dip opportunity. Look for bullish reactions, buying volume, and strong candles off the level. 3. When Buying the Dip Works Best ✅ Not all dips are worth buying. The best setups occur when: The market is in a strong uptrend, making higher highs consistently. 📈 Volume is high, showing that buyers are stepping in. 🔥 Macro conditions support upside movement, like favorable economic news. 📰 4. Risk Management: Protecting Your Capital 🛡️ Even the best traders take losses. What matters is how you manage risk: Set a Stop Loss 🎯: Always place a stop below key support levels. Position Sizing 📊: Never risk more than a small portion of your capital per trade. Have an Exit Plan 🚪: Know where you’ll take profits, whether it's at a resistance level or a trailing stop. Scale In and Out 🎢: Enter gradually instead of all at once, and take profits along the way to lock in gains. Key takeaways 🎤 Buying the dip can be a powerful strategy—when done correctly. The key is patience: wait for strong trends, allow price to reach significant levels, and confirm with volume and momentum. Combine technical analysis with solid risk management, and you’ll improve your chances of success in the markets. Happy trading! 🚀
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
6
Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold. I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView. Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels. Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView. We will need to modify that a bit. We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading. How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg. You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks. Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high. 1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high. Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low. Best Fibonacci Extension Levels Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView. We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels. 1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex. How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly Start with correct identification of a price action leg. Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low . Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high. I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years. They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
2
Divergence Trading Explained For Beginners -DAX Pullback TradeTrading divergence in the Forex or Stock market can be an important tool. Learn how to identify divergences & practically apply them to your technical analysis to increase your edge & profits in the financial markets. In this video you'll learn What is a bullish and bearish divergence How to use divergence to spot potential reversals in the market How to use volume to identify key levels of reversals How to measure out a "Kill Zone" What are tweezer tops & tweezer bottoms & why they are important How to use the Fibonacci retracement tool How to use the Relative Strength Index (RSI Indicator) Your Trading Coach - Akil
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Education
by Akil_Stokes
10
Bitcoin Seasonality - Best Month (October) and Best Day (Monday)It's very important for every Bitcoin trader to know its seasonality because this will significantly increase the probability of successful trades. I have been trading Bitcoin for almost 10 years, and I successfully use seasonality patterns to predict Bitcoin price movements. For example, you don't want to go long on Bitcoin during August or September; that's probably a very bad idea. The biggest market crashes usually happen in September. But you definitely want to go long in October or April, as these months are the most promising. Knowledge of these patterns will give you an advantage over standard retail traders. Every trade matters. Average return by Month (%) January: +5.1% February: +12.1% March: +4.8% April: ˇ+18.7% May: +14.2% June: +4.4% July: +6.1% August: -3.1% September: -8.4% October: +22.2% November: +17.9% December: +7.3% Average return by Weekday (%) Monday: +0.63% Tuesday: +0.18% Wednesday: +0.54% Thursday: +0.40% Friday: +0.37% Saturday: +0.45% Sunday: +0.10% Currently I am bullish on Bitcoin as the price is in an uptrend and the bear market is not confirmed; I expect Bitcoin to hit 115k probably at the end of February. What I also expect is an alt season - alt season is starting right now! So it's time to buy some altcoins. Ethereum should outperform BTC in the next weeks as well. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Education
by Xanrox
41
Understanding Fibonacci In TradingUnlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its powerful applications in trading. Learn how to use Fibonacci tools to identify optimal entry and exit points, manage risk, and refine your trading strategies. While many traders are familiar with basic Fibonacci retracements, this guide will also explore advanced techniques and lesser-known concepts. 📚 The Foundation of Market Geometry 🔢 What is Fibonacci? The Fibonacci sequence is a series where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34... This mathematical principle, introduced by Leonardo Fibonacci in Liber Abaci (1202), is foundational to nature, architecture, and financial markets. The key ratio derived from this sequence is 1.618, known as the Golden Ratio. ✨ The Golden Ratio and Market Significance The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in natural patterns and price movements. In trading, these ratios help determine potential support and resistance levels. Other critical Fibonacci-derived levels include: 0.236 (23.6%) 0.382 (38.2%) 0.5 (50%) (not strictly Fibonacci but widely used) 0.618 (61.8%) 0.786 (78.6%) 📊 How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool Traders noticed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, leading to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools: 📉 Fibonacci Retracement: Identifies potential reversal zones during pullbacks. 📈 Fibonacci Extension: Forecasts potential profit-taking levels. 📐 Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones: Advanced tools for multidimensional analysis. Circles Fans 🛠 Applying Fibonacci in Trading 📍 Step 1: Identifying Swing Highs and Swing Lows Choose a clear trend and mark: Swing High (peak before price declines) Swing Low (trough before price rises) 📏 Step 2: Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels On platforms like TradingView, apply the Fibonacci tool: Uptrend: Draw from Swing Low to Swing High. Downtrend: Draw from Swing High to Swing Low. Key retracement levels act as support or resistance zones. 🚀 Advanced Fibonacci Concepts 🎯 ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Zone A modern adaptation of Fibonacci, OTE focuses on the 0.618 - 0.786 retracement zone. 📊 Bullish Setup: In an uptrend, the price pulling back into the OTE zone signals a high-probability long entry. 📉 Bearish Setup: In a downtrend, price retracing into the OTE zone suggests a shorting opportunity. 💎 The Golden Pocket The zone between 0.618 - 0.650 is known as the "Golden Pocket." This is a prime area where the price often finds strong support or resistance before continuing its trend. ⏳ Fibonacci Time Zones While most traders focus on price-based Fibonacci levels, Fibonacci Time Zones can predict when significant price movements may occur. These vertical lines are placed at Fibonacci intervals (1, 2, 3, 5, 8...) from a significant market event. 🔄 Fibonacci Confluence When multiple Fibonacci levels align with other indicators (trendlines, moving averages, pivot points), it creates a Fibonacci Confluence Zone, strengthening the probability of a reversal or continuation. 📊 Fibonacci Clusters Traders can plot multiple Fibonacci retracements/extensions on different timeframes. Overlapping levels suggest a high probability reaction zone. 📌 Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools Fibonacci analysis is most effective when combined with: 📉 Candlestick Patterns: Confirmation for reversals or continuations. 📏 Trendlines & Moving Averages: Validate Fibonacci levels. 📊 Volume Analysis: Gauge strength of reactions at Fibonacci levels. 🧠 ICT Strategies: Incorporate Fair Value Gaps, Inversion Fair Value Gaps, Breaker Blocks, and Order Blocks for precision entries. 📍 Practical Applications of Fibonacci ⚡ Scalping: Use Fibonacci on lower timeframes (1m, 5m) to identify intraday opportunities. 📈 Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades. 💰 Long-Term Investing: Apply Fibonacci tools on weekly/monthly charts to pinpoint major turning points in the market cycle. 🏆 Key Takeaways Mastering Fibonacci enhances your ability to: Identify optimal entry and exit points. Manage risks with precision. Gain deeper insights into price movements. By integrating Fibonacci with other trading strategies, you can refine your approach and improve decision-making. Start experimenting with Fibonacci tools today on TradingView and elevate your trading strategy!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
Understanding Fibonacci ExtensionsUnderstanding Fibonacci Extensions Have you ever noticed that market movements often occur in repeatable patterns? Well, that’s where Fibonacci extensions come into play. Join us in this article as we dive into the world of Fibonacci extensions and discover how they can be a strong addition to your trading arsenal. A Primer on Fibonacci Ratios Fibonacci ratios originate from the Fibonacci sequence, where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34). The key ratio, known as the Golden Ratio, is approximately 1.618. This is calculated by dividing a number in the sequence by its immediate predecessor (e.g., 34 ÷ 21 ≈ 1.619). Conversely, dividing a number by the next number yields approximately 0.618 (e.g., 21 ÷ 34 ≈ 0.618). In trading, these ratios are used to identify potential support and resistance levels through Fibonacci retracements and extensions: - Fibonacci Retracements. These indicate where the price might pull back within an existing trend. Common retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. They are derived from the ratios between numbers in the sequence and are applied to measure potential correction points. - Fibonacci Extensions. These project potential price targets beyond the current range. Key extension levels include 100%, 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, and 423.6%. They are calculated by extending the Fibonacci ratios past the 100% level to anticipate where the price might move following a retracement. Note that these ratios can be expressed as either integers or percentages, e.g. 0.618 or 61.8%. What Are Fibonacci Extensions? Fibonacci extensions (also known as Fibonacci expansions or Fib extensions) are a technical analysis tool that allows traders to determine potential levels of support and resistance for an asset’s price. Like regular support and resistance levels, they are considered as areas of interest rather than where the price will turn with pinpoint precision. They’re most frequently used to set profit targets, although they can also be used to find entries. Fibonacci extensions can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, stocks, cryptocurrencies*, and more, and work across all timeframes. While not foolproof, using the Fibonacci extension tool combined with other forms of technical analysis might be an effective way to spot potential reversal points in financial markets. Fibonacci Retracements vs. Extensions Both Fibonacci retracements and extensions are based on the Fibonacci sequence and the Golden Ratio, but they are used to measure different things in the market. The former shows support and resistance levels during a pullback from a larger move. The latter measures the potential levels of support and resistance for an asset's price after a pullback has occurred. As shown in the chart above, the Fibonacci retracement tool can be applied to identify where the price may pull back to – 50% in this scenario. Then, the Fibonacci extension tool is used to plot where the price could end up beyond this pullback. The 100% and 161.8% levels posed significant resistance, causing the price to reverse. It’s easy to see how both tools can be used in conjunction to build a strategy. Generally speaking, traders tend to enter on a pullback to one of the key retracement levels, and then take potential profits at the extension levels. However, either tool can be used to find areas suitable for entries and exits. Fib Extensions: How to Use Them in a Trading Strategy If you’re wondering how to use Fib extensions in your own trading, here are the steps you need to follow. - Click to set the first point at a major swing low if expecting bullishness or swing high if expecting bearishness. - Place the second point at a swing in the opposite direction. - Put the third point at the low of the pullback if a bullish move is expected or the high if a bearish move is expected. That’s it! You now have an idea of where price may reverse as the trend progresses, allowing you to set profit targets or plan entries. You can also double-click the tool to adjust it to your preferences, like removing certain levels and changing colours. Bullish Example In this example, we have a swing low (1) followed by a swing high (2) that makes a retracement (3). These three points are all we need to plot a Fibonacci extension. Notice that the 138.2% level didn’t hold, showing that price isn’t always guaranteed to reverse in these areas. However, the wicks and sustained moves lower at the 100% and 161.8% areas gave traders confirmation that a reversal might be inbound. Bearish Example Here, we can see that each of the three areas prompted a pullback. Some traders might not consider the 138.2% area valid to trade. However, the most common way to get around this is to look for confirmation with a break of the trend, as denoted by the dotted line between extensions. Once the price gets beyond that swing high (intermittently breaking the downtrend), traders have confirmation that what they’re looking at is likely the start of a reversal. Some traders believe that if the price closes beyond a level, it’ll continue progressing to the next area. While this can sometimes be the case, it can just as easily reverse. Here, the price briefly closed below the 161.8% level before continuing much higher. How Can You Confirm Fib Extensions? While Fibonacci extensions suggest potential areas where price movements may reverse or stall, traders often seek additional confirmation to enhance their confidence in these levels. Here are some methods traders typically use to validate Fib extension levels. - Confluence with Other Fibonacci Levels. Traders can look for alignment between Fibonacci extensions and retracements from different timeframes or price swings. This overlap may indicate a more significant level where the price could react. - Support and Resistance Zones. If a Fibonacci extension level coincides with established support or resistance areas on the chart, it can reinforce the likelihood of a market response at that point. - Candlestick Patterns. Observing specific candlestick formations, such as doji, hammer, or engulfing patterns at Fibonacci extensions, can provide insights into potential reversals or continuations. - Technical Indicators. Incorporating indicators like moving averages, RSI, or MACD can help confirm the validity of a Fibonacci extension level. For example, if the RSI indicates overbought conditions at a key extension level, traders might anticipate a pullback. - Trendlines and Chart Patterns. Aligning Fibonacci extensions with trendlines or chart patterns like the Head and Shoulders can offer additional confirmation. Traders often find that extension levels intersecting with these tools carry more significance. - Volume Analysis. An increase in trading volume near a Fibonacci extension level may suggest stronger market interest, potentially validating the importance of that level. - Multiple Timeframe Analysis. Traders might analyse Fibonacci extensions across various timeframes to identify consistent levels of interest. A level that appears significant on both charts could be considered more reliable. - Market Sentiment and News Events. While primarily technical, acknowledging fundamental factors such as economic news or market sentiment can help traders assess whether a Fibonacci extension level might hold or be surpassed. Limitations of Fibonacci Extensions Fibonacci extensions are valuable for projecting potential price targets, but they come with limitations that traders should consider. Understanding these can lead to more informed use within a trading strategy. - Lack of Confidence in Price Movements. While based on mathematical ratios, Fibonacci extensions don't account for unexpected market events like economic news or geopolitical developments that can significantly impact prices. - Subjectivity in Point Selection. The effectiveness of extension levels hinges on correctly identifying swing highs and lows. Different traders may choose varying reference points, leading to inconsistent levels and interpretations. - Ineffectiveness in Certain Market Conditions. In sideways or highly volatile markets, prices may not respect Fib extensions, reducing their reliability as indicators of support or resistance. - Conflicting Signals Across Timeframes. Extension levels vary between different timeframes, potentially causing confusion and conflicting signals in analysis and decision-making. - Overreliance on Technicals. Focusing solely on Fib extensions might cause traders to overlook other critical technical indicators or fundamental factors influencing the market. - Unnatural Price Movements. Widespread use of Fibonacci levels can lead to price reactions simply because many traders expect them, creating artificial support or resistance that may not hold. - Psychological Biases. Traders might experience confirmation bias, seeing what they expect at Fib levels, which can lead to misguided trading decisions. Making the Most of Fibonacci Extensions By now, you may have a decent understanding of what Fib extensions are and how to use them. But how do you make the most out of Fibonacci extensions? Here are two points you may consider to improve your trading strategy. - Look for confirmation. Instead of blindly setting orders at extension levels, you can look for price action confirmation that the price is starting to reverse at the area before taking potential profits or entering a position. You could do this by looking for breaks in the trend, as discussed in the example above. - Find confluence. Similarly, you can use other technical analysis tools like trendlines, indicators like moving averages, or even multiple Fibonacci extensions, to give you a better idea of how price will likely react at a level. Your Next Steps Now, it’s time to put your understanding to the test. Spend some time practising how to use Fibonacci extensions and try backtesting a few setups to see how you could get involved in a trade. Once you feel you have a solid strategy, open an FXOpen account to start using your skills in the live market. In the meantime, why not try exploring other Fibonacci-related concepts, like Fibonacci retracements and harmonic patterns? Good luck! FAQ How Can You Use Fibonacci Extensions? Fibonacci extensions help traders identify potential future support and resistance levels beyond the current price range. To use them, traders select three points: the start of a trend, its end, and the retracement point. They then apply the Fibonacci extension tool to project where the price may move following a retracement. How Should You Draw Fibonacci Extensions? The process starts with choosing the trend-based Fib extension tool in your charting software. Then, the next step is to select the swing low/high (start of the trend), then the swing high/low (end of the trend), and finally the retracement low/high. The tool will display extension levels indicating possible future price targets. What Is the Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions? Fibonacci retracements identify potential support and resistance levels during a price pullback within an existing trend. Extensions, on the other hand, project levels beyond the current price range, indicating where the price might move after the retracement. Retracements focus on corrections; extensions focus on trend continuations. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
8
Probabilistic RealmI remember taking the CMT exam, where one question referenced the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), which asserts that price action is purely random. To avoid losing points, I had to select “random” as the correct answer, despite knowing that market behavior is far more structured than EMH suggests. Despite of passing I still won't ever agree that market is random. Prices are neither random nor deterministic. Market fluctuations follow a chaotic structure, but chaos is not the same as randomness. Chaos operates within underlying patterns and scaling, whereas randomness lacks any order or predictability. Although chaos makes predictions difficult, keep in mind that the universe is not random— effects still follow causes in continuity . No matter how chaotic a system may seem, it always follows a trajectory toward a certain point. For example, in Lorenz’s model of chaos, the trajectory formed a pattern resembling the wings of a butterfly. Understanding these patterns of chaos has practical applications. In the market, even a slight fluctuation can trigger irreversible changes, reinforcing the idea that we cannot rely on absolute forecasts— only probabilities . The market is not necessarily a reflection of the economy; rather, it reflects participants’ feelings about the “economy.” The human emotional component drives the uncertainty and chaos, making it essential to visualize price dynamics exclusively through "systematic" lens. Market Structure Is Self-Referential Markets move in proportion to their own size, not in fixed amounts. Price is arbitrary, but percentage is universal – A $10 move on Bitcoin at $100 is not the same as a $10 move at $100,000. Percentage metrics reflects this natural scaling and allows comparability across assets and timeframes – A 50% swing in 2011 holds similar structural significance to a 50% swing in 2024, despite price differences. Using log scale is a must in unified fractal analysis. Percentage swings quantify the intensity of collective emotions—fear, panic, euphoria—within market cycles. Since markets are driven by crowd psychology, percentage changes act as a unit of measurement for emotional extremes rather than just price fluctuations. After all it's the % that make people worry.. The magnitude of percentage swings encodes emotional energy, shaping the complexity of future market behavior. This means that larger past emotional extremes leave deeper imprints on market structure, influencing the trajectories future trends. The inverse relationship between liquidity and psychology of masses partially explains the market’s fractured movements leading to reversals. In bullish trends, abundant liquidity fosters structured price behavior, allowing trends to develop smoothly. In contrast, during bearish conditions, fear-driven liquidity contraction disrupts market stability, resulting in erratic price swings. This dynamic highlights how shifting sentiment can amplify price distortions, causing reactions that are often disproportionate to fundamental changes. PROBABILISTIC REALM Rather than viewing fluctuations as a sequence of independent events, price action unfolds as a probabilistic wave shaped by market emotions. Each oscillation (outcome) is relative to historical complexity, revealing the deep interconnectedness of the entire chart that embodies the “2-Polar Gravity of Prices.” Fibonacci numbers found in the Mandelbrot set emphasizes a concept of order in chaos. The golden ratio (Phi) acts as a universal constant, imposing order on what appears to be a chaotic. This maintains fractal coherence across all scales, proving that price movements do not follow arbitrary patterns but instead move relative to historic rhythm. The reason why I occasionally have been referring to concepts from Quantum Mechanics because it best illustrates the wave of probability and probabilistic realm of chaos in general. Particularly the Schrodinger's wave equation that shows probability distributions. Key intersections in Fibonacci-based structures function as "quantum" nodes, areas of market confluence where probability densities increase. These intersections act as attractors or (and) repellers, influencing price movement based on liquidity and market sentiment. Similar to Probability Distribution in QM. Intersections of Fibonacci channels reveal the superposition of real psychological levels, where collective market perception aligns with structural price dynamics. These points act as probabilistic zones where traders’ decisions converge, influencing reversals, breakouts, or trend continuations. Don’t expect an immediate reversal at a Fibonacci level—expect probability of reversal to increase with each crossing. To prove that Efficient Market Hypothesis is wrong about prices being random, I'd go back to a very distant past from current times. For example, price fell 93% from 2011 ATH, reversed and established 2013 ATH. Using a tool "Fibonacci Channels" to interconnect those 3 coordinates reveals that markets move within its fractal-based timing derived from direction. If prices were random, this would have never happened. The bottomline is that viewing current price relative to history is crucial because markets operate within a structured, evolving framework where proportions of past movements shape future probabilities. Price action is not isolated—it emerges from a continuous interaction between historical trends as phases of cycles, and liquidity shifts. By analyzing price within its full historical context , we can differentiate between temporary fluctuations and meaningful structural shifts justified by the fractal hierarchy. This approach helps identify whether price is expanding, contracting, or aligning with larger fractal cycles. Without referencing historical complexity, there is a risk misinterpreting patterns from regular TA, overreacting to short-term noise, and overlooking the deeper probabilistic structure that governs price behavior.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
20
Example of how to use the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- There was a question about how to select the selection point when using the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, so I will take the time to explain the method I use. Since it is my method, it may be different from your method. - Before that, I will explain the difference from the general Fibonacci retracement tool. The Fibonacci retracement tool uses the Fibonacci ratio as the ratio to be retracement within the selected range. Therefore, the low and high points are likely to be the selection points. The reason I say it is likely is because the lowest and highest points are different depending on which time frame chart it was drawn on. Therefore, in order to use a chart tool that specifies a selection point like this, you must basically understand the arrangement of candles. If you understand the arrangement of candles, you can draw the support and resistance points that make up it and determine the importance of those support and resistance points. The HA-MS indicator that I am using is a more objective version of this. Unlike the published HA-MS indicator, several have been added. I do not plan to disclose the formulas of these added indicators yet. However, if you share my ideas, you can use them normally at any time. The selection point for using the current Fibonacci retracement tool is the point that the fingers are pointing to. In other words, the 1st finger is the low point, and the 2nd finger is the high point. One question may arise here. Why is it the position of the 1st finger? The reason is that it is the starting point of the current wave. Therefore, you can find out the retracement ratio in the current rising wave. In fact, it is not recommended to use the Fibonacci ratio as support and resistance. This is because it is better to use the Fibonacci ratio to check how much wave is being reached and how much movement is being shown in chart analysis. However, the Fibonacci ratio can be usefully used when the ATH or ATL is updated. - If the Fibonacci Retracement tool was a chart tool that found out the retracement ratio in the current wave, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool can be said to be a chart tool that found out the extension ratio of the wave. Therefore, while the Fibonacci Retracement tool requires you to specify two selection points, the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool requires you to specify three selection points. That's how important it is to understand the arrangement of the candles. The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of an uptrend The chart above is an example of drawing to find out the extension ratio of a downtrend Do you understand how the selection points are specified by looking at the example chart? - The chart above is the chart when the 1st finger point is selected. The chart above is the chart when the 1-1 hand point is selected. When drawing on a lower time frame chart, you should be careful about which point to select when the arrangement of the candles is ambiguous. Examples include the 1st finger and the 1-1 finger. It may be difficult to select 1-1 and 1 depending on whether they are interpreted as small waves or not. The lower the time frame chart, the more difficult this selection becomes. Therefore, it is recommended to draw on a higher time frame chart if possible. The reason is that the Fibonacci ratio is a chart tool used to analyze charts. In other words, it is not drawn for trading. In order to trade, you trade based on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by readCrypto
10
Mastering Fibonacci in TradingMastering Fibonacci in Trading Unlock the secrets of Fibonacci and its applications in trading. Learn how to utilize this powerful tool to find optimal entry and exit points, manage risks, and enhance your trading strategies. What is Fibonacci? The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones. The sequence begins as follows: The sequence is named after the Italian mathematician Leonardo Fibonacci, who introduced it to Western mathematics in his book Liber Abaci in 1202. One of the fascinating properties of this sequence is the ratio between successive numbers, which converges to approximately 1.618—known as the Golden Ratio . The Golden Ratio and Its Significance The Golden Ratio (1.618) and its inverse (0.618) appear frequently in nature, art, architecture, and financial markets. In trading, these ratios, along with derivatives like 0.382 and 0.786, are used to identify potential support and resistance levels. How Fibonacci Became a Trading Tool Traders and analysts observed that price movements often respect Fibonacci levels, retracing or extending along these key points. This led to the creation of Fibonacci-based tools, such as: Fibonacci Retracement : Used to identify potential reversal levels during pullbacks. Fibonacci Extension : Helps forecast profit-taking levels during trends. Fibonacci Arcs, Fans, and Time Zones : Advanced tools for multi-dimensional analysis. Using Fibonacci in Trading Step 1: Identifying the Swing High and Swing Low Select a clear price movement, either an uptrend or a downtrend, and mark the highest point (swing high) and lowest point (swing low). Step 2: Applying Fibonacci Retracement Using the Fibonacci tool on platforms like TradingView, draw from the swing low to the swing high (for uptrends) or from the swing high to the swing low (for downtrends). Key levels to monitor are: 0.236 (23.6%) 0.382 (38.2%) 0.5 (50%) 0.618 (61.8%) 0.786 (78.6%) These levels often act as support or resistance zones. ICT Optimal Trade Entry Zone Fibonacci retracement levels have been widely used by traders, from traditional to Smart Money concepts. While technical analysis has evolved, traditional tools like Fibonacci retracement levels still hold their relevance. A modern adaptation of this is the ICT Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) concept. The Fibonacci level range from 62% (0.618) to 79% (0.786) is known as the Optimal Trade Entry Zone . This zone is critical for identifying high-probability reversal points during retracements. Bullish Setup : In an uptrend, the OTE zone provides a favorable entry point when the price pulls back to this area, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Bearish Setup : In a downtrend, the OTE zone serves as a resistance area where the price is likely to reverse and continue its downward trajectory. The Golden Pocket The zone between the 0.618 and 0.650 levels is also referred to as the "Golden Pocket," emphasizing its importance as a high-probability area for price reversals or trend continuation. Combining Fibonacci with Other Tools Fibonacci works best when combined with other technical analysis tools: Candlestick Patterns : Confirmation signals for reversals or continuations. Trendlines : Validate key Fibonacci levels. Volume Analysis : Assess the strength of price movements near Fibonacci levels. ICT Strategies : Use concepts like mitigation blocks or liquidity voids to refine entry points in the OTE zone. Practical Applications Scalping: Use Fibonacci on shorter timeframes to identify intraday opportunities. Swing Trading: Combine Fibonacci retracements with trend analysis for multi-day trades. Long-Term Investing: Employ Fibonacci on weekly or monthly charts to identify major turning points. Conclusion Fibonacci tools are essential for any trader looking to enhance their market analysis. By mastering these tools, including the ICT Optimal Trade Entry concept, you can: Identify optimal entry and exit points. Manage risks more effectively. Gain deeper insights into market behavior. Start experimenting with Fibonacci today on TradingView and discover how it can transform your trading strategy!
Education
by BigBeluga
25