What would happen if the US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 20%? What would happen if the US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 20%? The clear five-wave pattern in bond yields is causing concern.
Government bonds
UK Bond Steps and ForcesThis is my perspective on the forces that might apply on the UK 10Y Gilt. It can climb along the red rectangles to fall down to the big green or if the first red rejects it or the bottom arc attracts it, we might see support in that area. The vertical green is a special one where unusual or special
Huge potential implications from YIELD SPREADS (US10y-DE10y)Folks know how I feel about very long term (multi year/decade+) outlook for inflation and yields - they are going higher.
And I have called for higher yields (and spreads) and thus dollar so far this year.
BUT BUT BUT
The yield spread chart is suggesting a potential divergent high which could hav
US 10Y yield key support under pressureWe suspect that the US 10Y yield chart has topped short term having tested and again failed at its previous uptrend at 4.74 (which is now acting as resistance) . Please see the weekly chart.
This throws the spotlight on key nearby support where we find a short term uptrend, last week's low, the 55-
US10 yield is "far" from long term "peak". 9/May/24US10Y > 8% what happen for those house/ car mortgage? What happen to #gold when big player have "guaranteed" in bank deposits? What happen to "healthy" bank's "stock"?..
stagflation pattern or parallel channelrate is moving up in yellow parallel channel
lower yellow line is working as perfect trend line
in recent may fomc fed has said he neither see stag or flation
if there are no hike in future then lower trend line must break
if second wave of rate hike is coming then trend line must hold and it can
US10Y - Bullish Sentiment ShiftWith predominantly bearish price action during the week, intraday sentiment is more shifted towards a continuation to the downside at this current time.
Due to higher time frame narrative, I am looking out for a retracement to 4.563% hourly fair value gap.
Candle body closure below 4.455% will neg
US02Y Next Move The matter still requires deeper analysis, despite the absence of wide-ranging movement today. The recent decline in bonds did not help boost gold prices. The yield on the two-year US bond is currently at a support level of about 4.8% on the one-dimensional chart and may look to rise. If the Federal
Ukraine bondsThere is clear 5 wave impulse down and clear initial impulse up which has a-b-s correction. What else needed for long?
US10Y 2024 FULL YEAR FORECASTI will start forecasting full years in advance
and provide updates from there finally understand how the bond markets works
dont be fooled folk 2024 nasdaq is crashing market is overbought the recovery was too quick
easy come easy go and only the informed are preparing their shorts
if u appreciat
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Bond collections
| 1 month | 3 months | 6 months | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | 30 years | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 EU | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 UK | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 Germany | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 France | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 Italy | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 Canada | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 Japan | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 India | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
