Harmonic Patterns
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
GBPUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
WTI USOIL WTI oil ,watch oil inventory and opec data report for clear directional bias . if the monthly candle closes above the supply roof,it will be a long confirmation if demand holds .the probability of rejection is high, because the current candle is coming as a retest candle to broken demand floor that served as bench mark oil price level 65$-68$ zone for long time .
#oil #opec #usoil #wti
WTI US OIL US Oil (WTI Crude) Price Context
Price: WTI crude oil futures settled at approximately $68.66 per barrel close of friday.
Prices rebounded after a prior decline, supported by strong summer travel demand, high refinery utilization, and supply management efforts by major producers like Russia and Saudi Arabia.
Outlook: Despite near-term supply tightness, the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC forecast a potential surplus later in 2025 and slower demand growth through 2026–2029, especially due to slower Chinese economic growth.
The DXY measures the USD strength against a basket of major currencies and often moves inversely to commodities priced in USD like oil.
When the DXY strengthens, oil prices can face downward pressure due to higher USD value making oil more expensive in other currencies.
Conversely, a weaker DXY tends to support higher oil prices.
Current Dynamics:
If geopolitical risks or supply constraints push oil prices up, the USD may weaken as markets price in inflationary pressures.
Conversely, if the USD strengthens due to safe-haven demand or monetary policy, oil prices may soften.
#usoil
MSTR MICROSTRATEGY As of July 11, 2025, MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) is trading at approximately $434.58 per share on the NASDAQ, showing a strong daily gain of about 3.04% (+$12.84). The stock has experienced significant growth recently, with a 3-month return of around 45% and a 1-year return exceeding 220%.
Key Highlights about MicroStrategy (MSTR):
Industry: Software - Application
Market Cap: Approximately $118.8 billion
Shares Outstanding: About 273 million
Trading Range (Year): Low near $102.40 and high around $543.00
Volume: Active trading with daily volumes around 18 million shares
CEO: Phong Q. Le
Headquarters: Tysons Corner, Virginia, USA
Business: MicroStrategy provides enterprise analytics software and services, including a platform for data visualization, reporting, and analytics. It serves a broad range of industries including finance, retail, technology, and healthcare.
Recent Price Trend
The stock has steadily appreciated from about $255 in February 2025 to over $430 in July 2025.
Recent trading range for July 11 was between $423.70 and $438.70.
After-hours trading shows a slight dip to around $433.25.
Outlook
The next earnings announcement is scheduled for July 31, 2025.
Analysts forecast the stock price could range between $434.58 and $798.13 in 2025, reflecting optimism about the company’s growth prospects and market position.
MicroStrategy’s strong correlation with Bitcoin price movements (due to its large BTC holdings) often influences its stock volatility and performance.
In summary: MicroStrategy is a major player in enterprise analytics software with a highly volatile stock influenced by its Bitcoin exposure and market sentiment. Its stock price has surged strongly in 2025, reflecting both business fundamentals and crypto market dynamics.
GB10Y UK GOVERNMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD
The current Governor of the Bank of England is Andrew Bailey.
Appointment: Andrew Bailey has served as Governor since March 16, 2020, and his term runs until March 15, 2028.
Role: As Governor, he chairs the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee, and Prudential Regulation Committee.
Background: Prior to his appointment as Governor, Bailey was Chief Executive Officer of the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and has held several senior roles within the Bank of England, including Deputy Governor for Prudential Regulation.
Recent Activity: He remains active in shaping UK monetary policy and financial stability, and was recently nominated as the next Chair of the Financial Stability Board, beginning July 2025.
Andrew Bailey continues to lead the Bank of England through significant economic and financial developments.
Upcoming UK Economic Reports (July 13–17, 2025)
Below is a schedule of major UK economic releases and events for the coming week, with local times (BST):
Date Time (BST) Event
July 13, Sun 06:00 AM Core Inflation Rate MoM
July 13, Sun 06:00 AM Retail Price Index MoM
July 13, Sun 06:00 AM Retail Price Index YoY
July 14, Mon 12:00 PM NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
July 14, Mon 11:01 PM BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
July 15, Tue 09:00 AM Treasury Stock 2032 Auction
July 15, Tue 08:00 PM BoE Governor Andrew Bailey Speech
July 16, Wed 06:00 AM Inflation Rate YoY
July 16, Wed 06:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY
July 16, Wed 06:00 AM Inflation Rate MoM
July 16, Wed 06:00 AM Core Inflation Rate MoM
July 16, Wed 06:00 AM Retail Price Index MoM
July 16, Wed 06:00 AM Retail Price Index YoY
July 16, Wed 09:00 AM Treasury Gilt 2034 Auction
July 17, Thu 06:00 AM Unemployment Rate
July 17, Thu 06:00 AM Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
July 17, Thu 06:00 AM Employment Change
July 17, Thu 06:00 AM Average Earnings excl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
July 17, Thu 06:00 AM HMRC Payrolls Change
July 17, Thu 06:00 AM Claimant Count Change
July 17, Thu 09:00 AM Treasury Gilt 2030 Auction
Note: All times are in British Summer Time (BST). These events are subject to change based on official updates.
Key releases include inflation data, labor market statistics, retail sales, and several government bond auctions. The Bank of England Governor's speech is also a major event for markets with price volatility .
the UK 10-year gilt yield (UK10Y) is approximately 4.63%, having edged up 0.03 percentage points from the previous session. Over the past month, it has risen about 0.15 points and is 0.52 points higher than a year ago, reflecting persistent inflation concerns and expectations about Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy.
Correlation Between UK10Y, UK10, and GBP Strength
UK10Y Yield and GBP:
The 10-year gilt yield is a key indicator of UK long-term borrowing costs and investor sentiment. Higher yields typically attract foreign capital seeking better returns, which tends to strengthen the British pound (GBP). Conversely, expectations of BoE rate cuts or economic weakness can pressure yields lower and weaken GBP.
Recent Dynamics:
Despite inflation remaining above 3%, the UK economy has shown signs of contraction (GDP shrinking 0.1% in May), prompting markets to price in an 80% chance of a BoE rate cut in August. This has led to some volatility in yields and GBP strength.
The BoE’s policy rate has already been reduced from 5.25% to 4.25% over the past year, and further easing is anticipated, which can weigh on the GBP.
UK10 (Shorter-Term Yields) vs. UK10Y:
Shorter-term gilt yields (e.g., 2-year or 5-year) tend to be more sensitive to immediate BoE policy moves, while the 10-year yield reflects longer-term inflation and growth expectations. A steepening yield curve (rising long-term yields relative to short-term) can indicate confidence in economic recovery and support GBP. A flattening or inverted curve may signal caution and pressure GBP.
GBP Strength Mixed; supported by higher yields but pressured by economic slowdown and easing expectations
Yield Curve Moderately steep, reflecting growth/inflation expectations
In essence: The UK 10-year gilt yield at 4.63% supports GBP strength by attracting yield-seeking capital, but the expected BoE rate cut and economic weakness introduce downside risks. The interplay between short- and long-term yields and BoE policy guidance will continue to influence GBP’s trade directional bias .
UK GOVERNMENT 10 YEAR BOND PRICE GB10Relationship Between GB10 Price and GBP Strength
Inverse Relationship:
Bond prices and yields move inversely. When gilt yields rise (due to inflation concerns or expectations of tighter monetary policy), gilt prices fall. Conversely, if yields fall, prices rise.
Impact on GBP:
Higher UK gilt yields, reflecting higher interest rates or inflation expectations, tend to attract foreign capital seeking better returns. This supports demand for the British pound (GBP), strengthening the currency.
However, if yields rise due to inflation fears without confidence in economic growth, or if rate cuts are expected, GBP strength may be limited.
Current Market Context:
The UK economy has shown signs of contraction, and markets are pricing in an 80% chance of a Bank of England rate cut in August 2025. This dynamic creates some volatility:
Yields remain elevated (4.63%), supporting GBP.
Expectations of easing may cap GBP gains and pressure gilt prices higher (yields lower).
GBP Strength Supported by higher yields but tempered by expected BoE easing
Market Drivers Inflation, economic contraction, BoE rate expectations
Conclusion
The current UK 10-year gilt price near 99.0 and yield around 4.63% reflect a market balancing inflation risks and economic slowdown. Elevated yields help support GBP strength by attracting yield-seeking investors, but the prospect of Bank of England rate cuts and economic weakness limit upside for the pound.
#GBP #GB10 #GB10Y
ETHEREUM ETHEREUM DAILY CONFIRMATION FOR LONG IS NOT APPROVED YET.BE PATIENT
Ethereum Approximately $2,930.55-2,925$ per ETH, watch for 30754 ascending trendline breakout or pull back into 2680 zone ,if we keep buying then 4100 zone will be on the look out as immediate supply roof break and close will expose 4900.my goal in this context is to see ETHUDT buy into my purple supply roof,it will happen .
Market Capitalization: Around $358 billion, making Ethereum the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
Circulating Supply: About 120.7 million ETH.
Recent Performance: Ethereum has gained roughly 17.3% over the past week and about 7% over the last month, though it is down about 4% compared to one year ago.
Market and Technical Overview
Ethereum remains a key player in the blockchain ecosystem, supporting decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and smart contract applications.
The price is consolidating near the $3,000 level, with technical indicators suggesting moderate bullish momentum but some short-term volatility.
Trading volume in the last 24 hours is around $29 billion, indicating strong liquidity and active market participation.
Ethereum continues to be a foundational blockchain platform with strong institutional interest and ongoing development, maintaining its position as a major digital asset in 2025.
#ethusdt #btc #bitcoin
ETHEREUM DAILYETHEREUM DAILY CONFIRMATION FOR LONG IS NOT APPROVED YET.BE PATIENT
Ethereum Approximately $2,930.55 per ETH, watch for 30754 ascending trendline breakout or pull back into 2680 zone ,if we keep buying then 4100 zone will be on the look out as immediate supply roof break and close will expose 4900.my goal in this context is to see ETHUDT buy into my purple supply roof,it will happen .
Market Capitalization: Around $358 billion, making Ethereum the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
Circulating Supply: About 120.7 million ETH.
Recent Performance: Ethereum has gained roughly 17.3% over the past week and about 7% over the last month, though it is down about 4% compared to one year ago.
Market and Technical Overview
Ethereum remains a key player in the blockchain ecosystem, supporting decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and smart contract applications.
The price is consolidating near the $3,000 level, with technical indicators suggesting moderate bullish momentum but some short-term volatility.
Trading volume in the last 24 hours is around $29 billion, indicating strong liquidity and active market participation.
Ethereum continues to be a foundational blockchain platform with strong institutional interest and ongoing development, maintaining its position as a major digital asset in 2025.
#ethusdt #btc #bitcoin
XRPRipple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse has made bold statements in 2025 about XRP’s potential to disrupt and capture a significant share of SWIFT’s cross-border payments market. Here are the key points:
Ripple’s Ambition vs. SWIFT
Goal: Ripple aims to capture up to 14% of SWIFT’s current cross-border payment volume within five years. SWIFT currently handles over $5 trillion daily in money transfers and more than 45 million financial messages.
Focus on Liquidity, Not Just Messaging: Garlinghouse emphasizes that SWIFT’s traditional strength is in messaging between banks, but the real value lies in liquidity—the actual movement of funds. Ripple’s blockchain-based XRP Ledger offers both messaging and instant liquidity, enabling faster and cheaper cross-border transfers.
XRP as a Bridge Currency: XRP facilitates instant currency conversions, reducing the need for banks to hold large foreign currency reserves in multiple countries, freeing up capital and improving efficiency.
Why XRP Could Gain Market Share
Speed and Cost: XRP transactions settle within 3–5 seconds and cost less than a cent, compared to SWIFT transfers that can take days and cost $20–$50 per transaction.
Central Bank and Institutional Interest: Several central banks are reportedly studying Ripple’s network alongside SWIFT’s systems in pilot programs, signaling growing institutional acceptance.
Blockchain Integration: Ripple is launching an Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM)-compatible sidechain on the XRP Ledger, expanding its ecosystem and utility for decentralized applications, which could enhance adoption.
Legal Clarity: Following the SEC’s dismissal of remaining claims against Ripple in mid-2025, XRP’s legal status as not being a security has boosted confidence among investors and institutions.
Potential Impact on XRP Price
Experts suggest that if XRP captures a significant portion of SWIFT’s liquidity layer, its price could rise substantially, potentially reaching three-digit levels in USD.
Current XRP price is around $2.25–$2.92, up over 300% since late 2024, but many analysts believe it remains undervalued relative to its utility and potential market share.
Summary
Aspect Details
SWIFT Daily Volume $5 trillion+ in cross-border payments
Ripple’s Target Market Share Up to 14% within 5 years
XRP’s Role Bridge currency providing instant liquidity
Transaction Speed & Cost 3–5 seconds, <$0.01 vs SWIFT’s days and $20–$50
Institutional Adoption Increasing, with central bank pilots underway
Legal Status SEC claims dismissed; XRP not a security
Price Potential Analysts project possible three-digit USD price
Conclusion
Ripple is positioning XRP as a disruptive alternative to SWIFT’s legacy system, focusing on liquidity and speed rather than just messaging. With growing institutional interest, blockchain innovation, and a clearer legal environment, XRP could capture a meaningful share of global cross-border payments, potentially driving significant price appreciation over the next five years.
#XRP
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
11.07.25 USDJPY Trade Recap + Re-Entry for +2.5%A long position taken on USDJPY for a breakeven, followed by a premature re-entry that I took a loss on. I also explain the true re-entry I should have taken for a 2.5% win.
Full explanation as to why I executed on these positions and also more details around the third position that I did not take.
Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
Am I looking for longs on XAUUSD?Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
BTCUSDT Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a new all-time high, trading around $111,000 to $112,000 per coin.
Key Highlights:
Bitcoin hit an intraday record high surpassing its previous peak of about $111,970 set in May 2025.
market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion.
The rally is attributed to a combination of factors including:
A weakening US dollar, which reduces opportunity cost for holding Bitcoin.
Increased demand from institutional investors, with nearly $1 billion net inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in early July.
Positive market sentiment following statements on monetary policy and expectations of potential Fed rate cuts.
Recent significant moves include the transfer of 20,000 BTC from wallets inactive for 14 years, highlighting long-term holder activity.
Price Data Snapshot:
Current Price: Around $111,000
Day’s High: Approximately $112,152
Market Cap: About $2.02 trillion
Volume (24h): Over $57 billion
Year High: $112,021 (intraday)
Summary:
Bitcoin continues its strong upward momentum in mid-2025, breaking new records amid supportive macroeconomic conditions such as a softer dollar and growing institutional adoption. The cryptocurrency remains volatile but shows robust demand as a digital asset and inflation hedge.
#BTC