Harmonic Patterns
BITCOINBITCOIN ,the buy will face a strong supply roof and i will watch to see if on 4hrs the respect or break the structure, if the break it ,i will look for a buy opportunity and target the long term ascending trendline breakout and sell from that roof.
on the flip side if they continue to see i have a demand floor on the diagram to act a dynamic support.
trading is 100% probability ,pls trade with caution .
equity preservation is everything for a trader
MY MINDSET IS THE HUNTERS MINDSET,NO HUNTER WASTE HIS BULLET ON SMALL ANAMAL,THEY WAIT FOR THE BIG ONE.
RISK TO REWARD COMES FIRST,DONT TRADE BECAUSE OTHERS ARE TRADING.
LOWER YOUR EXPECTATION AND ENJOY THE JOURNEY
GOODLUCK.
EURAUD The EURAUD exchange rate is around 1.79312 and after seeing the rejection from the supply roof we are now looking for buy at 1.78663-1.785
10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 2.733%
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 4.323%
Interest Rates
European Central Bank (ECB) Key Rates:
Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00%
Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) Rate: 2.15%
Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40%
Rates have been steady since a 25 basis point cut in June 2025.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate:
Current Cash Rate: 3.60% after a 25 basis point cut in August 2025.
RBA has signaled at least one more rate cut expected by November 2025 to around 3.35% due to slowing economic growth and easing inflation.
Heads of Central Banks
ECB President: Christine Lagarde, serving since November 2019, continues to lead the ECB through challenging economic conditions.
RBA Governor: Michele Bullock, who took office in September 2023, managing monetary policy with a current focus on supporting growth amid inflation returning to target.
In summary, EURAUD reflects the interest rate differential with higher Australian yields but recent RBA easing versus steady ECB rates. The Australian 10-year yield at about 4.32% contrasts with Eurozone 10-year at 2.733%, contributing to AUD strength relative to EUR currently.
trading is 100% probability.
goodluck
EURAUD
The EURAUD exchange rate is around 1.79312 and after seeing the rejection from the supply roof we are now looking for buy at 1.78663-1.785
10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 2.733%
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 4.323%
Interest Rates
European Central Bank (ECB) Key Rates:
Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00%
Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) Rate: 2.15%
Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40%
Rates have been steady since a 25 basis point cut in June 2025.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate:
Current Cash Rate: 3.60% after a 25 basis point cut in August 2025.
RBA has signaled at least one more rate cut expected by November 2025 to around 3.35% due to slowing economic growth and easing inflation.
Heads of Central Banks
ECB President: Christine Lagarde, serving since November 2019, continues to lead the ECB through challenging economic conditions.
RBA Governor: Michele Bullock, who took office in September 2023, managing monetary policy with a current focus on supporting growth amid inflation returning to target.
In summary, EURAUD reflects the interest rate differential with higher Australian yields but recent RBA easing versus steady ECB rates. The Australian 10-year yield at about 4.32% contrasts with Eurozone 10-year at 2.733%, contributing to AUD strength relative to EUR currently.
trading is 100% probability.
goodluck
BITCOINBITCOIN ,since am holding one sell position at 124k and failed to add another sell position due to oversight on 4hr break of structure not seen earlier enough, am waiting on key critical demand floor for by on daily rejection.
trading is 100% probability
every strategy have its challenges and non is consistently in winning .
manage your risk
THINK LIKE A HUNTER
GOODLUCK
BITCOIN BITCOIN is retracing after Jackson hole gain ,the truth of the Jackson hole buy was to retest a broken demand floor and use it as a supply roof of 4HE close is very evident .
sellers are holding this market for now ,am watching key structural demand floor for buy back.
trading is 100% probability manage your risk.
GOODLUCK
BITCOIN ON a closer look from our last two chart we have broken 4hr demand floor and after retest selling is raining into 103-104k zone and 90k zone will be watched.
the dream to retest the ascending trendline at 117-118k zone has failed ,because trading is probability.
so watch 103-104 zone for buy opportunity and 90 k zone as predicted by 200 ema on daily.
Goodluck.
#bitcoin
NVDA Earnings, US GDP, US Core PCE - August Wrap-UpAs if Jackson Hole noise wasn't enough, sprinkle in some additional major news
for this week.
NVDA Earnings (After Close Wednesday)
US GDP (Thursday)
US Unemployment Claims (Thursday)
US PCE / US Core PCE (Friday)
NVDA at nearly 8% market cap for S&P can certainly move the market
Look at NVDA, MAGS, SPY, QQQ and they all look like 50/50 charts - price could
go either direction
NVDA expecting +/- 11.00 points on the week, average earnings move is around 12.66 points
I'm looking to fade any big gap on NVDA into September monthly and quarterly expirations with low risk options trades and I'm also deleveraging some of my naked puts and ratio spreads
to take profits and add more buying power for the end of year
I'll be watching - let's see how everything shakes out
BITCOINBTC came to the demand floor and reacted again and i hope we can push into 118-117 and sell on the retest of the broken ascending trendline.
my strategy is based on the character of a hunter.
am waiting on high reward to low risk trade opportunity.
trading is 100% probability.
manage you capital.
GOODLUCK
THETAFor word requirements:
By Grok ~ Trading: An Overview
Trading involves buying and selling financial assets like stocks, bonds, commodities, or currencies to profit from price fluctuations. It’s a dynamic activity central to global economies, enabling wealth creation and risk management. Traders operate in markets such as stock exchanges or forex platforms, driven by strategies ranging from short-term day trading to long-term investments.
Successful trading requires understanding market trends, economic indicators, and risk tolerance. Technical analysis, using charts and patterns, helps predict price movements, while fundamental analysis evaluates an asset’s intrinsic value. Traders must stay disciplined, avoiding emotional decisions that can lead to losses. Risk management tools, like stop-loss orders, are critical to minimizing downsides.
Trading offers opportunities but isn’t without challenges. Volatility can yield high returns or significant losses. Leverage, while amplifying gains, increases risk. Beginners often face steep learning curves, requiring education and practice to navigate complex markets. Technology has democratized trading, with apps and platforms making it accessible to retail investors. However, competition with institutional traders demands sharp skills and continuous learning.
In essence, trading blends analysis, strategy, and discipline. It’s a high-stakes endeavor that rewards preparation and resilience, shaping wealth and economies worldwide.
Boom and Crash Strategy on tradingview – Smart Money ConceptTrading Boom and Crash indices can be exciting, but also very challenging. These synthetic assets are designed with volatility in mind. Boom creates sudden upward spikes, while Crash produces sharp downward spikes. For most traders, these spikes feel random, but when you understand market structure and timing, they actually make sense.
In this post, I want to share a detailed Boom and Crash trading strategy based on smart money concepts (SMC). This is not about chasing every spike or relying on heavy indicators. Instead, it’s about learning how the market moves, spotting liquidity traps, and waiting for the right confirmations before entering.
Why Boom and Crash Are Different
Unlike forex pairs or crypto assets, Boom and Crash follow an internal synthetic engine created by Deriv. This means:
They run 24/7 without downtime.
There are no external fundamentals moving them — only programmed volatility.
Spikes are built into their behavior.
Because of this, traditional technical analysis alone often leads to frustration. Many traders try to scalp spikes randomly and end up losing accounts. What works better is combining price action with smart money concepts to create rules for when and where to trade.
Core Elements of the Strategy
Here’s the step-by-step structure of the strategy explained in my video:
1. Liquidity Grab
Markets often move to take out stop-loss clusters before reversing. On Boom and Crash, this is even clearer — you’ll see price sweep recent highs or lows with a sudden spike. That’s your signal that the market is preparing to move the other way.
2. Supply and Demand Zones
Instead of chasing every candle, mark out zones where price previously moved aggressively. These are institutional footprints. When price comes back to test these zones, you prepare for entries.
3. Fractal Confirmation
Don’t enter immediately when price touches your zone. Wait for confirmation — such as a smaller structure break, rejection wick, or micro liquidity grab. This reduces false entries.
4. 1-Minute and 5-Minute Setups
The Boom and Crash 1-minute strategy is for scalpers who want quick profits, but I recommend checking the 5-minute chart for context. Using both keeps you aligned with short-term opportunities while respecting the bigger picture.
5. Best Times to Trade
Timing matters. Even though Boom and Crash are open 24/7, volatility has cycles. Trading during low-volume windows (when fewer spikes are engineered) often produces smoother moves and cleaner setups.
Example Setup
Imagine Boom 1000 is consolidating near a previous high. Suddenly, it spikes above that high, grabbing liquidity. Instead of buying the spike, you mark the supply zone left behind. When price returns to test that zone, you wait for confirmation (a break of structure on the 1-minute chart). That’s your entry for a short, riding the move down safely.
This method works because you’re trading with the market’s intention, not against it.
Risk Management
No strategy works without discipline. For Boom and Crash especially, lot size and stop loss make the difference between growing an account and blowing one.
Risk no more than 2% per trade.
Always set a stop loss, even if it’s mental.
Take profits at clear liquidity pools instead of holding forever.
Remember, consistency matters more than catching every big spike.
Why This Strategy Works
The beauty of this strategy is that it simplifies trading Boom and Crash. Instead of chasing random spikes, you’re reading the “story” of the market: where liquidity is, where institutions are positioned, and when the reversal is most likely.
It also gives confidence. Many traders hesitate to enter because Boom and Crash look unpredictable. With this method, you have rules:
Wait for liquidity grab.
Mark supply/demand.
Confirm with structure.
Enter with controlled risk.
My Journey With Boom & Crash
When I first started with Boom and Crash, I made the same mistakes most traders do. I tried scalping every spike, opening too many positions, and hoping luck would carry me. Accounts got blown faster than they were funded.
It wasn’t until I studied price action and smart money concepts that things changed. I realized Boom and Crash don’t need dozens of indicators. They just need patience, timing, and a structured plan.
This strategy is the result of testing, failing, refining, and testing again. Now it’s the backbone of how I approach synthetic indices.
Key Takeaways
Don’t chase every spike — let the market grab liquidity first.
Focus on supply and demand zones for cleaner entries.
Use 1-minute for scalps, 5-minute for context.
Trade during stable sessions for less noise.
Protect your account with strict risk management.
Final Thoughts
Boom and Crash can either be a trader’s nightmare or a powerful opportunity. It all depends on how you approach them. With a structured strategy based on smart money concepts, you don’t have to guess — you simply wait for the market to show its hand.
If you’re serious about trading these indices, I encourage you to watch the full video breakdown. It walks through chart examples, entry setups, and risk management in detail.
SOLANATRADERS SHOULD ALLOW FED SET RATE ,RATHER THAN SPECULATING IT.THE CHANCES THEY WILL APPLY TYLOR RULE IS ON THE DESK.
The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions.
What is the Taylor Rule?
It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors:
The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%).
The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output.
The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating.
Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth.
Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions?
The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency.
It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth.
The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy.
During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment.
The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets.
AM WAITING ON SELL FROM THE ROOF .
HUNTER WAY.
#SOLANA
BITCOIN TRADERS SHOULD ALLOW FED SET RATE ,RATHER THAN SPECULATING IT.THE CHANCES THEY WILL APPLY TYLOR RULE IS ON THE DESK.
The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions.
What is the Taylor Rule?
It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors:
The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%).
The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output.
The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating.
Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth.
Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions?
The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency.
It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth.
The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy.
During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment.
The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets.
AM WAITING ON SELL FROM THE ROOF .
HUNTER WAY.
#BTC #BITCOIN






















