GBPJPY - Top Down Analysis== IN SUMMARY ==
Basically just waiting for the PCE report from the US to be released.
As of recently the US has been continuing to show signs of economic improvement including yesterday's GDP, Initial Jobless Claims and the early PCE report.
If today's report shows inflation still hot, I'm expecting the Yen to strengthen, US equities to decline and the British Pound to also decline.
Furthermore, Trump did announce yesterday a 100% tariff on branded pharmaceutical imports, effective October 1, which could add further inflationary pressure and weigh on global risk assets like equities while bolstering the USD in the short term.
This move, part of his broader tariff escalation, risks amplifying supply chain disruptions but aligns with the resilient US data we've seen—Q2 GDP revised up to 3.8% annualized growth (from 3.3%), driven by strong consumer spending and a narrowing trade deficit.
Initial Jobless Claims also dropped sharply to 218K for the week ending September 20, signaling a tight labor market and low layoff risks.
Harmonic Patterns
Day 38 — Trading Only S&P Futures | +$1,935 WinI’m trading one system, one ticker — S&P 500 futures — every single day for a full year. I journal every session to track progress, reflect, and sharpen my execution.
If you’re serious about building consistency and treating trading like a business, you’re in the right place.
Stick around — at the end, I’ll break down the key levels I’m watching for tomorrow. Let’s go.
Recap & Trades
Day 38 was different — I woke up late, wasn’t feeling well, and missed the morning’s big drop and recovery. Instead of forcing trades, I stayed patient on the sidelines.
By the afternoon, DL and DD signals lined up beautifully. That’s when I stepped in, executed clean trades, and finished the session +$1,935. Proof that sometimes the best edge is waiting until the market gives you alignment.
GOLD XAUUSD Market structure will never lie, we as traders have oversight a lot and ignore signs of potential buy and sell zone.
there is nothing like manipulation in the market, what we have is demand and supply.
the question is how do you know which demand/supply zone carry majors bias, at the end of the day price action moves in the direction of majority bias
i will be watching the break of 1hr supply roof for sell or buy.
GOODLUCK.
#XAUUSD #GOLD
Alibaba - Here we have the final bottom!🏮Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally created its bottom:
🔎Analysis summary:
As we are speaking, Alibaba finally managed to create a long term bottom formation. Specifically with the recent bullish break and retest, bulls are picking up momentum. We just have to see a break above the current key resistance level in the foreseeable future!
📝Levels to watch:
$140
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
EVENING FORECASTINGThey're tardy, it's Oscar here again, and in today's video, I wanted to run you through my evening forecast and also share a few messages and lessons on the trades I took and wanted to take. Please do let me know how you find the lessons, and I will be more than happy to hear your perspective as well. God bless.
MIXED SIGNALS ON THE DOLLAR INDEXThe dollar index has beautifully retraced 100% of a bearish Butterfly pattern that was identified between July 1st and August 13th 2025, hitting the monthly support target of 95.911. There has been a strong bounce from this support zone into the weekly closing range.
What we currently have now is also a bullish Butterfly pattern on the daily chart and the bounce from the support zone has retraced to exactly the 0.382 fib level (97.336). The weekly hammer candle suggests that bulls will attempt to reach the 0.5 fib level, however lower time frames shows that the bulls are losing their strength. As such, I am not expecting DXY to continue grinding up next week without a major pullback to retest the weekly candle wicks. Basically expecting a lot of volatility in both directions.
I thank you for checking out my publication and I wish you a successful trading week. Cheers!!
AUDJPY Trade Recap + Coffee Sell Position Explanation 25.09.25Two positions covered in this recap.
AUD / JPY - 1%
COFFEE Short Structure Explanation
Full explanation as to why I executed on this position, using the 4H to my advantage but also understanding price was due a deeper pullback, but these pullbacks do not always happen.
Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
GOLD XAUUSD GOLD, as the dollar index faces daily resistance to upswing we have a strong rebound for the metal at 3717 and this has broken key 30 min roof ,a break out from the descending trendline will be a challenge of the neckline of the current double top structure that sent price tanking from 3771-3772 during newyork session yesterday.
#gold #xauusd.
XAUUSD Trade Plan Follow UpThe threat of a U.S. government shutdown is intensifying, heightening the stakes and sustaining elevated gold prices in the wake of recent Federal Reserve and President Trump speeches.
Additionally, U.S. jobless claims data is set for release this morning, with the forecast at 240,000 compared to last week's 264,000. If jobless claims come in better than expected (i.e., below 240,000), it could pave the way for an ABC correction in gold prices.
Finally, monitor the PCE report scheduled for this Friday, with a forecast of 2.6% year-over-year for the core measure and a previous reading of 2.9%.
Solana - The sleeping giant waking up!🔦Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) will still head higher:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, over the past four years, Solana has overall been just consolidating. But eventually, Solana will catch up with the entire crypto market and create a new all time high. Specifically with bulls picking up momentum lately, it becomes more and more likely that Solana will do exactly that.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION