Harmonic Patterns
US10YUS 10-Year Treasury Yield
The yield on the US 10-Year Treasury is about 4.22% to 4.24%.
It has slightly decreased by approximately 0.02 percentage points from the previous session.
The yield remains elevated compared to last year (3.83%) but is below the long-term average of 4.25%.
This yield serves as a benchmark for long-term borrowing costs and reflects market expectations for growth and inflation.
US Dollar Index (DXY)
The DXY, which measures the US Dollar against a basket of major currencies, typically moves in correlation with US Treasury yields.
Historically, rising 10-year yields tend to strengthen the dollar as higher yields attract foreign capital.
Recently, the correlation has shown some divergence, with the dollar maintaining strength despite slight yield declines.
The DXY remains sensitive to Federal Reserve policy signals, inflation expectations, and global market dynamics.
Interest Rate Context
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep the federal funds rate steady around the current level (4.25%-4.50%) for now but market expectations for a rate cut in September have increased.
Treasury yields reflect these expectations and influence the dollar's value through changes in investment flows.
Summary
There is typically a positive relationship between the US 10-year Treasury yield and the USD index: higher yields suggest a stronger dollar and vice versa. However, market dynamics can cause short-term deviations. Current yields near 4.22% reflect a cautious but still higher rate environment, supporting the dollar's value amidst mixed economic signals
#US10Y #DOLLAR
BITCOIN BTCUSDT DAILY CHARTBITCOIN ,the structure requires patience at the moment to either break on daily the supply roof or take away the current ascending trendline on daily acting as a demand floor from daily close of the line chart.
if all things play in the direction of sellers price will touch 99k-100k zone demand floor and if the the probability favors buyers ,then the break of 118k and 124k will be on the desk with a new probability for a new all time high in the zone of 128k and 136k based on the structure
trading is 100% probability ,dont take it personal .
protect your capital at all time.
the mindset of a hunter is key
GOODLUCK
BITCOINBITCOIN ,the structure requires patients to either break on daily the supply roof or take away the current ascending trendline on daily acting as a demand floor from daily close of the line chart.
if all things play in the direction of sellers price will touch 99k-100k zone demand floor and if the probability favors buyers ,then the break of 118k and 124k will be on the desk with a new probability for a new all time high in the zone of 128k and 136k based on the structure
trading is 100% probability ,dont take it personal .
protect your capital at all time.
GOODLUCK
Shopify - Bears will get wrecked!☎️Shopify ( NASDAQ:SHOP ) will soon break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
In 2021, Shopify created the previous all time high which was followed by a drop of more than -80%. But over the course of the past couple of years, Shopify managed to regain most of its strength. Therefore an all time high breakout will happen after the bullish break and retest.
📝Levels to watch:
$150, $120
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BITCOINBITCOIN ,the buy will face a strong supply roof and i will watch to see if on 4hrs the respect or break the structure, if the break it ,i will look for a buy opportunity and target the long term ascending trendline breakout and sell from that roof.
on the flip side if they continue to see i have a demand floor on the diagram to act a dynamic support.
trading is 100% probability ,pls trade with caution .
equity preservation is everything for a trader
MY MINDSET IS THE HUNTERS MINDSET,NO HUNTER WASTE HIS BULLET ON SMALL ANAMAL,THEY WAIT FOR THE BIG ONE.
RISK TO REWARD COMES FIRST,DONT TRADE BECAUSE OTHERS ARE TRADING.
LOWER YOUR EXPECTATION AND ENJOY THE JOURNEY
GOODLUCK.
EURAUD The EURAUD exchange rate is around 1.79312 and after seeing the rejection from the supply roof we are now looking for buy at 1.78663-1.785
10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 2.733%
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 4.323%
Interest Rates
European Central Bank (ECB) Key Rates:
Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00%
Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) Rate: 2.15%
Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40%
Rates have been steady since a 25 basis point cut in June 2025.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate:
Current Cash Rate: 3.60% after a 25 basis point cut in August 2025.
RBA has signaled at least one more rate cut expected by November 2025 to around 3.35% due to slowing economic growth and easing inflation.
Heads of Central Banks
ECB President: Christine Lagarde, serving since November 2019, continues to lead the ECB through challenging economic conditions.
RBA Governor: Michele Bullock, who took office in September 2023, managing monetary policy with a current focus on supporting growth amid inflation returning to target.
In summary, EURAUD reflects the interest rate differential with higher Australian yields but recent RBA easing versus steady ECB rates. The Australian 10-year yield at about 4.32% contrasts with Eurozone 10-year at 2.733%, contributing to AUD strength relative to EUR currently.
trading is 100% probability.
goodluck
EURAUD
The EURAUD exchange rate is around 1.79312 and after seeing the rejection from the supply roof we are now looking for buy at 1.78663-1.785
10-Year Bond Yields
Eurozone 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 2.733%
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: 4.323%
Interest Rates
European Central Bank (ECB) Key Rates:
Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00%
Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) Rate: 2.15%
Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40%
Rates have been steady since a 25 basis point cut in June 2025.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Cash Rate:
Current Cash Rate: 3.60% after a 25 basis point cut in August 2025.
RBA has signaled at least one more rate cut expected by November 2025 to around 3.35% due to slowing economic growth and easing inflation.
Heads of Central Banks
ECB President: Christine Lagarde, serving since November 2019, continues to lead the ECB through challenging economic conditions.
RBA Governor: Michele Bullock, who took office in September 2023, managing monetary policy with a current focus on supporting growth amid inflation returning to target.
In summary, EURAUD reflects the interest rate differential with higher Australian yields but recent RBA easing versus steady ECB rates. The Australian 10-year yield at about 4.32% contrasts with Eurozone 10-year at 2.733%, contributing to AUD strength relative to EUR currently.
trading is 100% probability.
goodluck