🔥SECRET METHOD TO IDENTIFY LONG TERM TREND:VOLUME PROFILE+POC🚀🔥Hi, friends! Trend is the most important thing in trading, so you have to know how to identify it and be a successful trader.
In this idea, I will explain to you the most easiest and useful method for trend identification. I know that you haven't heard about that.
📊 THE INSTRUMENTS WE USE TO IDENTIFY THE TREND:
🔥 Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP)
🔥 Point of control or POC
🔥 Bitcoin monthly candles/bars. They help to identify the long-term trend without local noise
✅ IF YOU WANT TO UNDERSTAND IF THE BULL MARKET BEGINS AND CONTINUES, YOU NEED:
1. Use the Volume Profile. Just pick it at the left side of the TradingView chart at "Prediction and Measurement Tools".
2. Stretch the volume profile on a monthly candle/bar.
3. After this you will see the Point of Control (POC, red line) which shows you where the most liquidity is concentrated.
4. If the price continues to close above the POC each month, this means that we have a healthy bull market.
5*. If you see that the monthly candle is close below the POC, you need to be more careful with your trends. This can indicate about a trend change, but it happens at least 1 time in the middle of the bull market.
Check the precious bull market. Thats work perfectly!
🚩 You can check if it rule works for the BEAR market and write it in the comments.
📊 WHY IT'S IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND THE LONG TERM TREND
I know that you guys know the most famous trading quote: "Trend is your friend." . Naive but very useful recommendation.
The understanding of the long term trend helps you to reduce 50-70% of your losing trades and increase your winrate at least to 60-80%:
🔥 you can use only trend following strategy and make much more money (open only long trades on bull market or open only a short trades on bear market)
🔥 reduce the risk when opening a trade against the trend and cut the losses.
🚩 Additionally, if you buy crypto (BTC, ETH or other alts) on spot, you can use this method to buy and hold crypto till BTC not change the trend. This method helps you to make a huge profit.
So friends, this 5 min educational idea helps you to grow your deposit much faster and don't get big losses during the trading.
Traders, was it useful for you? I know I have is a lot of experienced traders. Write your most useful trading tips in the comments to help the newbies.
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
7 Things to Consider Before Trading Full-TimeFor many traders, the dream of full-time trading represents the ultimate freedom. Full-time traders have the ability to choose their own hours, trade from anywhere, and select which opportunities to pursue. However, not all traders are ready to make the leap to full-time trading. Just as too much freedom can harm some economies, not everyone is prepared for the challenges of full-time trading. So, how do you know if you're ready to trade full-time? Here are some signs to consider:
1. You have sufficient capital:
Trading full-time means quitting your current job and relying on your trading income as your primary source of income. Be realistic about the fact that you may not make significant profits in your first few months.
2. You have tried and tested various methods and strategies:
It's important to have a strategy that has proven profitable for you, as well as other strategies that are suitable for different market conditions. You never know when and for how long market trends may shift.
3. You have spent a significant amount of time trading live accounts:
Trading live accounts bring about psychological challenges that you may not encounter when trading demo accounts. It's important to have a good understanding of your trading strengths and weaknesses and to be able to stick to a trading plan before committing to full-time trading.
4. Trading is your passion:
If trading is what motivates you to get up and start each day, it may be a sign that you're ready to trade full-time.
5. You have a solid risk management plan:
Full-time trading requires a steady stream of income, so it's crucial to have a risk management plan in place to protect your capital and ensure that you can continue trading in the long term. This includes setting stop-loss orders, properly sizing your trades, and having a plan for handling losing trades.
6. You have a support system:
Trading full-time can be isolating, so it's important to have a network of friends, family, or other traders to talk to and share ideas with. It can also be helpful to have someone who can hold you accountable for your trading plan and help you stay disciplined.
7. You have a plan for your non-trading time:
Full-time traders often spend a lot of time in front of their computers, so it's important to have a plan for how you'll spend your time outside of trading. This could include exercise, hobbies, and social activities to help maintain a healthy work-life balance.
Making the decision to become a full-time trader shouldn't be taken lightly. It requires a significant commitment of time and capital, and it may not be right for everyone. By considering these factors and being honest with yourself about your readiness, you can make an informed decision about whether full-time trading is the right path for you.
We hope you found this post valuable and informative.
10 things you need to know about Cryptocurrency1. Introduction:
Cryptocurrency is a relatively new concept that has gained a lot of attention in recent years. But what exactly is it, and how did it become so popular?
Definition of cryptocurrency: At its most basic, cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography for security. Cryptocurrency is decentralized, meaning it is not controlled by any government or financial institution. This decentralization makes it possible for users to make secure, direct transactions with each other without the need for intermediaries.
A brief overview of the popularity and growth of cryptocurrency: The first and most well-known cryptocurrency is Bitcoin, which was created in 2009. Since then, the popularity and value of cryptocurrency have exploded. As of 2023, there are over 21,844 different cryptocurrencies in existence with a total market value of over $859 Billion. The increasing adoption of cryptocurrency by merchants, investors, and consumers has led to its mainstream acceptance and the establishment of a thriving cryptocurrency market.
However, despite its growing popularity and mainstream acceptance, cryptocurrency is still a controversial and misunderstood topic. In this blog, we will explore the basics of cryptocurrency, how it works, and its potential future impact.
2. Cryptocurrency is a digital currency:
Cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography for security. This means that it exists purely in electronic form and is not tied to any physical asset or currency. Instead of being printed or minted like traditional fiat currency, cryptocurrency is created through a process called mining.
How cryptocurrency is created and stored: Mining is the process of verifying and adding transactions to the blockchain, a public ledger of all cryptocurrency transactions. Miners use powerful computers to solve complex mathematical problems and are rewarded with a certain amount of cryptocurrency for their efforts. The process of mining helps to secure the blockchain and prevent fraud.
Once it is created, cryptocurrency is stored in a digital wallet, which is a software program that stores the user's public and private keys. These keys are used to access and make transactions with the user's cryptocurrency. Digital wallets can be stored on a user's computer or in the cloud, and they can be accessed from anywhere with an internet connection.
The differences between cryptocurrency and traditional fiat currency: There are several key differences between cryptocurrency and traditional fiat currency, such as the U.S. dollar or the euro. One of the main differences is that cryptocurrency is decentralized and not controlled by any government or financial institution. This means that it is not subject to the same regulations and is not backed by any physical assets.
Another difference is that cryptocurrency is not physical. It exists purely in digital form and is stored in digital wallets. In contrast, traditional fiat currency is physical and can be stored in a physical wallet or bank account.
Finally, cryptocurrency is subject to high levels of volatility, meaning its value can fluctuate significantly over short periods of time. In contrast, the value of traditional fiat currency is generally more stable.
Overall, while cryptocurrency shares some similarities with traditional fiat currency, it is a unique and distinct type of currency with its own set of characteristics and features.
3. Cryptocurrency uses blockchain technology:
One of the key technologies that make cryptocurrency possible is blockchain. Blockchain is a decentralized, digital ledger that records transactions on multiple computers, making it difficult for any single transaction to be altered or tampered with. Each block in the chain contains a record of multiple transactions, and once a block is added to the chain, the transactions it contains become part of the permanent record.
Definition of blockchain: At its most basic, a blockchain is a series of blocks that are linked together using cryptography. Each block contains a cryptographic hash of the previous block, a timestamp, and transaction data. This structure makes it almost impossible to alter the data contained in any single block without altering all of the blocks that come after it, making the blockchain a secure and transparent record of all transactions.
How blockchain works to secure and record cryptocurrency transactions: In the context of cryptocurrency, the blockchain is used to secure and record transactions. When a user wants to make a transaction with their cryptocurrency, they create a digital "message" that contains the details of the transaction, including the amount of cryptocurrency being sent and the recipient's digital wallet address. The message is then broadcast to the network of miners, who verify the transaction and add it to the blockchain.
Once a transaction has been added to the blockchain, it becomes part of the permanent record and cannot be altered. This helps to prevent fraud and ensure that all transactions are transparent and secure.
The role of miners in verifying and adding transactions to the blockchain: Miners play a crucial role in the process of adding transactions to the blockchain. They use powerful computers to solve complex mathematical problems and are responsible for verifying and adding transactions to the blockchain. When a miner successfully adds a block to the blockchain, they are rewarded with a certain amount of cryptocurrency.
The process of mining helps to secure the blockchain and prevent fraud. It also ensures that there is no single point of failure in the system, as the blockchain is decentralized and spread across multiple computers. Overall, the role of miners in the cryptocurrency ecosystem is essential to maintaining the security and integrity of the blockchain.
4. Cryptocurrency is decentralized:
One of the key features of cryptocurrency is that it is decentralized, meaning it is not controlled by any single authority or entity. This is in contrast to traditional financial systems, which are centralized and controlled by governments or financial institutions.
What it means for a system to be decentralized: A decentralized system is one in which there is no central authority or point of control. Instead, the system is distributed and controlled by a network of users. This can be contrasted with a centralized system, which is controlled by a single authority or organization.
The benefits and drawbacks of decentralization for cryptocurrency: There are both benefits and drawbacks to decentralization in the context of cryptocurrency. One of the main benefits is that it makes the system more secure and resistant to censorship. Because there is no central point of control, it is much more difficult for an attacker to compromise the system or for transactions to be blocked or censored.
Another benefit of decentralization is that it can make the system more transparent and accountable. Because all transactions are recorded on the blockchain, they are publicly visible and cannot be altered. This can help to build trust and confidence in the system.
However, decentralization also has its drawbacks. One of the main drawbacks is that it can make the system more complex and harder to understand. It can also make it more difficult to reach a consensus on important decisions or updates to the system.
Overall, the decentralization of cryptocurrency is both a strength and a weakness. While it offers many benefits, it also comes with its own set of challenges and complexities.
5. Cryptocurrency can offer anonymity:
One of the features of cryptocurrency that has attracted both praise and criticism is its potential for anonymity. While traditional financial transactions are linked to the identity of the user, cryptocurrency transactions can be anonymous, making it difficult to trace the identity of the sender and recipient.
How cryptocurrency transactions can be anonymous: There are several ways in which cryptocurrency transactions can be made anonymously. One of the most common is the use of pseudonymous addresses. These are unique, randomly generated addresses that are used to send and receive cryptocurrency. Because they are not linked to any specific identity, it is difficult to trace the identity of the user associated with a particular address.
Another way to increase anonymity is through the use of a virtual private network ( VPN ) or a privacy-focused browser like Tor. These tools can help to mask the user's IP address and make it more difficult to trace their online activity.
The potential for cryptocurrency to be used for illegal activities: Because of its potential for anonymity, cryptocurrency has been associated with illegal activities, such as money laundering and the sale of illegal goods. While it is true that cryptocurrency can be used for these purposes, it is important to note that it is also possible to trace cryptocurrency transactions and identify the users involved. Law enforcement agencies have successfully used blockchain analysis to track and prosecute individuals involved in illegal activities using cryptocurrency.
Overall, while cryptocurrency can offer a certain degree of anonymity, it is not completely untraceable. It is important for users to be aware of the risks and potential legal consequences of using cryptocurrency for illegal activities.
6. Cryptocurrency is subject to volatility:
One of the key characteristics of cryptocurrency is that it is subject to high levels of volatility, meaning its value can fluctuate significantly over short periods of time. This volatility is due to a variety of factors, including market demand, investor sentiment, and regulatory developments.
How the value of cryptocurrency can fluctuate: The value of cryptocurrency is determined by supply and demand in the market. When there is high demand for a particular cryptocurrency, its value will generally increase. Conversely, when demand is low, the value will generally decrease.
In addition to market demand, the value of cryptocurrency can be influenced by investor sentiment and speculation. When investors are optimistic about the future of a particular cryptocurrency, they may be more likely to buy it, which can drive up its value. On the other hand, when investors are bearish or uncertain, they may be more likely to sell, which can drive down the value.
Finally, regulatory developments can also impact the value of cryptocurrency. For example, if a government announces new regulations or restrictions on cryptocurrency, it could affect investor sentiment and demand for the asset.
The potential risks and rewards of investing in cryptocurrency: The high volatility of cryptocurrency can be both a risk and a reward for investors. On the one hand, the potential for significant price movements can make it a risky investment. On the other hand, the potential for significant price appreciation can also make it a potentially lucrative investment.
It is important for investors to be aware of the risks and to carefully consider their investment strategies when it comes to cryptocurrency. It is also important to diversify investments and not invest more than you can afford to lose.
7. Cryptocurrency is not yet widely accepted:
While cryptocurrency has gained a significant amount of mainstream attention in recent years, it is still not widely accepted by merchants and consumers. While some merchants have begun to accept cryptocurrency as a form of payment, the majority of transactions still take place using traditional fiat currency.
The current level of adoption and acceptance of cryptocurrency by merchants and consumers: The adoption and acceptance of cryptocurrency by merchants and consumers vary depending on the location and the specific cryptocurrency in question. In some countries, cryptocurrency is more widely accepted than in others. For example, in countries with unstable or unreliable fiat currencies, cryptocurrency may be seen as a more stable and secure alternative.
Overall, while the use of cryptocurrency is growing, it is still a relatively small part of the global economy. According to a 2021 survey, only around 5% of the global population has used cryptocurrency, and only a small fraction of merchants accept it as a form of payment.
The potential for wider acceptance in the future: Despite the currently limited adoption of cryptocurrency, many experts believe that it has the potential to become more widely accepted in the future. As the technology continues to mature and more people become familiar with it, it is possible that cryptocurrency could become a more mainstream form of payment.
In addition, the increasing use of cryptocurrency for cross-border payments and the potential for it to be used as a store of value could also drive wider adoption. As more merchants and consumers become aware of the benefits of cryptocurrency, it is likely that its use will continue to grow.
8. Cryptocurrency is not yet regulated:
One of the challenges facing the cryptocurrency industry is the lack of clear and consistent regulation. Because cryptocurrency is a relatively new and decentralized asset class, there is currently a patchwork of regulations across different countries and jurisdictions.
The current state of regulation around cryptocurrency: The current state of regulation around cryptocurrency varies widely depending on the location. In some countries, cryptocurrency is heavily regulated and treated like any other financial asset, while in others it is largely unregulated.
In the United States, for example, the regulation of cryptocurrency is split between various federal agencies. The Internal Revenue Service ( IRS ) treats cryptocurrency as property for tax purposes, while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regulates certain cryptocurrency derivatives. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) also has authority over certain cryptocurrency offerings that are considered securities.
In contrast, some countries have taken a more hands-off approach to cryptocurrency regulation. For example, Switzerland has a reputation for being a cryptocurrency-friendly jurisdiction, with relatively light regulation compared to other countries.
The potential for future regulation: Despite the current patchwork of regulations, it is likely that cryptocurrency regulation will become more consistent and harmonized in the future. As the cryptocurrency industry continues to grow and mature, there is increasing pressure on governments and regulatory bodies to provide clarity and guidance on how to handle cryptocurrency.
In particular, there is a growing consensus that there is a need for better consumer protection and regulatory oversight to ensure that the cryptocurrency market is fair and transparent. It is possible that we will see more countries adopt cryptocurrency regulations that are similar to those that currently exist for traditional financial assets. However, it is also important to note that the decentralized nature of cryptocurrency means that it is difficult to regulate in the same way as traditional assets. There is a risk that too much regulation could stifle innovation and limit the potential of cryptocurrency.
Overall, the future of cryptocurrency regulation is uncertain and it is likely that it will continue to evolve as the industry matures. It is important for governments, regulatory bodies, and industry participants to work together to find a balance between protecting consumers and promoting innovation.
9. There are many different types of cryptocurrency:
While Bitcoin is the most well-known and widely used cryptocurrency, it is far from the only one. As of 2023, there are over 21,844 different cryptocurrencies in existence with a total market value of over $859 Billion. These cryptocurrencies differ in a number of ways, including their underlying technology, use cases, and market value.
The most well-known and widely used cryptocurrencies: Some of the most well-known and widely used cryptocurrencies include Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin.
Bitcoin: Bitcoin was the first and is still the most well-known cryptocurrency. It was created in 2009 and has the largest market capitalization of any cryptocurrency. Bitcoin is decentralized and uses a proof-of-work consensus mechanism to secure the blockchain and validate transactions.
Ethereum: Ethereum is a decentralized platform that runs smart contracts: applications that run exactly as programmed without any possibility of downtime, censorship, fraud, or third-party interference. These smart contracts are powered by Ethereum's native cryptocurrency, Ether.
Litecoin: Litecoin is a cryptocurrency that was created as a lighter and faster alternative to Bitcoin. It uses a different proof-of-work algorithm and has a faster block time, making it more efficient for small transactions.
The differences between the various types of cryptocurrency: While all cryptocurrencies use blockchain technology and share some similarities, there are also significant differences between the various types. Some cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin and Litecoin, are primarily used for peer-to-peer transactions and are designed to be a store of value. Others, like Ethereum, are designed to support smart contracts and decentralized applications.
Cryptocurrencies also differ in terms of their underlying technology, such as the proof-of-work algorithm they use, their block times, and their block sizes. These technical differences can impact the performance and scalability of the cryptocurrency.
Overall, there are many different types of cryptocurrency, each with its own unique features and characteristics. It is important for users to understand the differences between these cryptocurrencies in order to make informed decisions about which ones to use or invest in.
10. Conclusion:
Cryptocurrency is a digital or virtual currency that uses cryptography for security. It is created through a process called mining, in which powerful computers solve complex mathematical problems to verify and add transactions to the blockchain. Cryptocurrency is stored in a digital wallet and can be used to make transactions online.
One of the key features of cryptocurrency is that it is decentralized, meaning it is not controlled by any single authority or entity. This decentralization can make it more secure and resistant to censorship, but it also makes it more complex and harder to understand.
Cryptocurrency can offer anonymity, as transactions can be made using pseudonymous addresses that are not linked to any specific identity. However, it is also possible to trace cryptocurrency transactions, and the use of cryptocurrency for illegal activities carries legal risks.
Cryptocurrency is subject to high levels of volatility, meaning its value can fluctuate significantly over short periods of time. This volatility can be both a risk and a reward for investors, and it is important for investors to be aware of the risks and to carefully consider their investment strategies.
Cryptocurrency is not yet widely accepted by merchants and consumers, and the regulation of cryptocurrency varies widely depending on the location. However, it is likely that cryptocurrency will become more widely accepted and regulated in the future.
There are many different types of cryptocurrency, each with its own unique features and characteristics. It is important for users to understand the differences between these cryptocurrencies in order to make informed decisions about which ones to use or invest in.
The future potential of cryptocurrency: Despite the challenges and uncertainties facing the cryptocurrency industry, many experts believe that it has a bright future. As technology continues to mature and more people become familiar with it, it is possible that cryptocurrency will become a more mainstream form of payment.
In addition, the increasing use of cryptocurrency for cross-border payments and the potential for it to be used as a store of value could also drive wider adoption. As more merchants and consumers become aware of the benefits of cryptocurrency, it is likely that its use will continue to grow.
Some experts also predict that cryptocurrency could have significant implications for the way in which financial systems operate, potentially disrupting traditional financial institutions and changing the way we think about money.
Overall, while there are many challenges and uncertainties surrounding cryptocurrency, it is clear that it has the potential to transform the way we think about and use money. It will be interesting to see how the industry evolves in the coming years and what the future holds for cryptocurrency.
We hope you found this post valuable and informative.
Bitcoin Dominance Explained. When to buy Alts? BTC domination: how to use it? And when to buy Altcoins?
Today we will talk about Bitcoin Dominance.
What is bitcoin dominance? Why is needed? And why exactly Bitcoin?
Bitcoin is the first and the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.
Altcoin is any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin.
Dominance (BTC.D) displays the relationship between the direction of movement of different cryptocurrencies. To find this index you just need open TradingView and type BTC.D
There are quite a lot of indexes known to you in the world, the most famous of them are:
Dow Jones Industrial Average
S&P 500
RTS
Bitcoin dominance is the ratio of its market capitalization to all other cryptocurrencies.
However, we cannot trade this index.
Pure math: if the capital invested in bitcoin decreases, then part of the funds goes into altcoins.
BTC.D gives an understanding of the general direction of the market at the moment and helps to determine when alt pairs are correlated with the first cryptocurrency.
However, the dominance of Bitcoin is declining as new cryptocurrencies emerge.
Why? Because the capitalization of the alts is increasing much faster than the capitalization of bitcoin.
Bitcoin dominance often depends on the altcoin season
Altseason is a period during which altcoins gain a significant market share relative to Bitcoin, thus reducing the dominance of Bitcoin.
Note, however, that Bitcoin dominance does not always depend on the phase of the market.
What does it mean?
This means that if bitcoin falls in price, and with it the alts, then the dominance of bitcoin will remain approximately at the same level.
I prepared this cheat list by which you can determine the further movement of alts, depending on the Dominance of Bitcoin
You can always use it! Bitcoin dominance also can be used even on lower timeframes but it’s not a magic pill and you should understand some alts follow more btc some less. Thats why you can see situations when bitcoin going down and some alts with low cap can pump 100% in a few days.
Bitcoin dominance is just a tool that can give us more information about the state of the current market, and its possible future. On the Bitcoin Dominance chart, technical analysis works well, its help you to try predict the movement of the Bitcoin price relative to other alts.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
• For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS is the new KING ok here me out.
i'll go straight to point
this message is for the newbies (oldies gonna hate)
what is pure Minimalist Technical Analysis Trader ( MTAT : i just made this up)
-it is when u leave out all so-called indicators and focus on the chart
-some of these indis are: MACD, RSI, ATR, STOCHT....
-it's when u leave out the FUNDAMENTAL analysis and focus on the chart pattern
- i'm talking here about financial news and garbage flash news
- didn't u sometimes realize that a news come out, but the dollar act contrary to the news it-self?
HOW TO APPLY this MTAT ?
let's be practical, but first u need to watch so many charts until ur eyes pops out (it's a prerequisite).
1- always pick a 4h-time frame chart
2- always brush ur teeth before bed time
3- always look for a bullish pair to trade (this is essential for the plan to succeed)
4- after identifying the bullish pair, start looking for SUpport & Resistance...but never make the chart too complicated, u really need like 2-4 lines drawn only
5- after u draw the S&R lines, look for retracements (the pair is going down slightly)
6- use the FIBONACCI drawing tool and draw from the lowest to highest point (before the retracement)
7- it's best to focus on the 61.8% line
8- look for a confirmation candle:
a- a red Bar, which the low point of it touched (crossed) the 61.8% Fib line
b- followed by a green bar which closed ABOVE THE fib 61.8% line
c- place ur buy trade when the green candle closes
9- how to set your target:
a- use the (-61.8% or -100%) FIb levels
or
b- use the Resistance line u drawn previously
now the question is, do u really need MACD or RSI or STOCH?
of course NO, if you google it, u'll know that these reflects previous price actions? so why use it for FUTURE price actions?
what to do when big news are coming out?
IT WILL ACT ACCORDINGLY THE PREVIOUSLY SET CHART PATTERN...this will never fail you
DO YOU PLACE STOP ORDERS?
NEVER, never put pre-set stop orders,
you should be active on ur screen and wait for the price to fall to the price u set as a stoploss, AND CLOSE TRADE MANUALLY
WHY?, because when we have big news, we have volatility the pair will go up and down so hard to close all stoploss orders
then it will continue to obey the technical chart pattern as a fukn slave!
let's practice:
use the FIB Ret tool:
identify the red and green candle:
place your buy order:
et voila....
#STOP_BEING_POOR
Educational (divergence + volume)Hi guys, in order to spot a divergence you should be careful which timeframe you're looking at. for example in the left picture, the daily timeframe is showing higher highs in price (at each candle) and lower highs in RSI (at each candle). but note that these are not highs and lows and as long as you can't find signs of accumulation and distribution in highs and lows (as long as there's no valid consolidation) you can't name them as highs and lows. so there's no divergence. but in the lower time frame (what is shown is 4h) you can see it more clearer that for every candle in the daily time frame, you have a specific trend in the 4H timeframe. so you can name them as highs and lows and yes, there is a divergence now.
also, keep in mind that in the lower timeframe. every time you're making a new high in rsi, you should expect it to be more volatile and be more sensitive in a way that in the next new rsi high, you have less time spent in the overbought area.
The next part is about the volume profile. you have less resistance in front of the price movement where there is less volume traded in the past. BUT NOT ALWAYS!
less trades made in the past in an area means two things:
1- you can expect the price to move faster and sharper and take less time in that area
2- if the price wants to make a low or high or a pattern, it's less predictable and there's more chance of wrong analysis and fake patterns.
Feel free to leave any comments and ask questions!
What are Blockchain Transaction FeesBlockchain transaction fees are very essential method for cryptocurrency trading platform. This transaction fees obviously divide to the miner and validator as reward and commission who help to protect the network from spam and malvare attacks. Transaction fees can be small or large amount depending on the network . Market pressurize to increase the price and influence when you demanding is occurring high. Low fees could be be effect on the security concern.
🔥WHAT IS NEEDED FOR BITCOIN TO GROW HIGHER? 1300%vs4900%🚀🔥Hi friends! A lot of newbies consider these things as something bad. These make them very unhappy and disappointed because their position gets the loss. These things are the pullbacks or corrections after significant growth. Everyone is waiting for it now to buy more cheap crypto.
📊 The pullback is the price fall after significant growth. But why is it so good for price growth:
🔥 1. it makes the market (BTC as well) much healthier because it liquidates overleverage traders.
For example, -40% pullback liquidates all traders with 1.5x leverage and coll down the market (as it was in the 2016-2017 bull market).
🔥 2. it gives the opportunity to enter the long traders for the advanced traders. If we have 5-6 pullbacks every time after 100-150% growth, you can use already earned money in new trades (increase the risk per trade).
When the price doesn't make the pullbacks and you enter the trade at the very beginning of the bull market, you have no chance to exit the trade and use the margin from the profit to increase the risk per trade.
✅ COMPARISON OF 2016-2017 AND 2020-2021
🚩 2016-2017 BULL MARKET
The market had made 4900% of profit in just 2 years. I mention 6 huge dumps with 30-40% drawdowns. These dumps cool down the market and liquidate overleveraged traders. Lots of entrance opportunities. Hope the next bull market will be the same.
Of course, you can say that market was not as big as now and I agree with you. But the whole BTC capitalization is equal to 3.5% of the entire gold cap, so it's just the beginning for crypto.
🚩2020-2021 BULL MARKET
This bull market as well as the 2019 local bull market was almost with no pullbacks and entrance possibilities. Bitcoin had made just +1300% in 2 years. Just 3 pullbacks with +16-30%. Almost no liquidations and no cool down of the market. Not the best growth as the result.
In that bull market, the beginners can't even normally use their gaining margin to open new trades.
🔥 WHAT WILL HAPPEN IN THE NEXT BULL MARKET?
I think that this growth will be the same as at the last bull market. Of course, it will be some surprises as at each bull market, but it will grow nonstop.
I make a huge update about this in the last idea. Check it if you want to know what to expect from BTC and the crypto market here👇
🚩Traders, what is your expectation about BTC bull market? Do you agree with me or have another argument? Write it in the comments!
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
HOW TO BUY THE DIP- What is considered the bottom for a coin?
- How to identify the bottom?
- What technical analysis tools to use?
- What are the fundamental prerequisites for the bottom?
What is the bottom for a crypto asset?
The bottom is the lowest price level of a crypto asset, after which the price of this asset is expected to rise.
The bottom is not always an absolute measure for the entire history of the existence of an asset, but can be calculated for a certain period: a year, a quarter or a month.
How to identify the bottom
Each trader has his own set of tools to determine when to buy an asset.
Here are some of the most clearest signs to each of us:
There is a protracted flat with the upper border breakdowns
The movement occurs in a strong support zone and is accompanied by high volumes
The order book contains big bid checks
Good news on the market or the project
The price is lower than the sale price (ICO, IEO, IDO etc.)
The bottom we search for is not a new all-time bottom
Protracted flat with the upper border breakout
If you observe that for a long time: 2 weeks, 1 month, - the price is at the same level, while occasionally trying to “break out” up, that is, the resistance line is broken, then this is in 90% of cases - the impulse to the rapid growth of prices.
However, if the breakout is more often than just the support level, then get ready to test a new bottom.
Strong support zone and high side volumes
Determine that there is a strong support zone at this level, that is, it met more than 3 times on the chart for the period under study and is supported by good horizontal volumes (Volume indicator).
Display the VPVR (Volume Profile Visible Range) indicator on the same period on the screen and evaluate whether the maximum vertical volumes for the selected period are at this level.
Big average checks
If you observe volumes above average with a “small” candle body, then there are purchases at the same price for a large amount.
This may indicate "big checks" or high market density.
To confirm the existence of “big checks”, you can refer to the order book and make sure that there are real bid orders for large amounts.
Fundamental prerequisites
As an extra springboard from the bottom, news resources can:
Issue positive analytics from experts on this asset
Record the activity of major players - funds
Report new technologies that have been released or are about to be released by the project
Share the conditions for large investments in the project by large funds, etc.
Price analysis for IDO, ICO and Private Sale
If the project token or coin appeared on the market following one of the popular types of crowdfunding: ICO, IEO or IDO, the most popular one, then you need to compare the Public Sale price with the current price.
If the current price is below the Public Sale price of the IDO, then you can put this in another checkbox on your checklist as a sign of a potential bottom.
If the IDO price was lower, then this is not a bottom, there are still a large number of investors on the market who bought the coin at a lower price, which means they can sell it cheaper.
Our bottom is not a new all-time bottom
As we noted earlier, a support line is formed at the level of the potential bottom.
If the price has never dropped so low in the history of the asset, then we cannot build a support zone, which means that the price can go even lower and find many new bottoms.
Coin market theme!!! About coin ecosystemHello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day.
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As the coin market goes through rising and falling markets, many themes are being created.
These themes are expanding the interconnected coin ecosystem under the name of ecosystem.
Therefore, I think that the coin market is highly likely to have a circulation pump of theme coins after the rising market next year.
Numerous coins (tokens) are being created and also disappearing.
In order to survive in this situation, they are trying to increase their viability by creating and expanding a coin ecosystem.
Apart from this trend, there are coins (tokens) that do not belong to any coin ecosystem.
When trading coins (tokens) that are continuing to survive independently, I think you should invest in a short-term perspective or trade in a trading method that increases the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit while recovering the principal amount as much as possible.
Otherwise, you have to be careful because when and how you can plunge and never recover again.
Existing investment companies, institutional investors, and whales are gradually eating into the coin market due to funds entering the coin market through USDC and newly launched coin investment products in the stock market.
These funds will make more individual investors invest in the investment market, but it is expected that the time when individual investors earn large profits by trading on their own will gradually decrease.
There will come a time when individual investors will have less and less information available, and they will have to follow in their footsteps and trade with information provided by investment companies, institutional investors, and whales.
I believe this movement is unstoppable.
Therefore, from now on, it is necessary to find the coins (tokens) that are expanding the coin ecosystem (ecosystem) that is being formed and tie them together to figure out what kind of circulation pumping will occur.
As before, it is expected that the roadmap of one coin (token) or such technical stories from the foundation will no longer be able to move the hearts of investors.
Among these coin ecosystems, the ones we are interested in are as follows.
Ethereum Ecosystem
BNB chain Ecosystem
Cardano Ecosystem
Solana Ecosystem
Polkadot Ecosystem
TRON Ecosystem
Avalanche Ecosystem
Polygon Ecosystem
Near Protocol Ecosystem
Cosmos Ecosystem
Fantom Ecosystem
Optimism Ecosystem
As above, it is an 11 coin ecosystem.
Representative coins of the coin ecosystem are as follows.
BTC
ETH
BNB
ADA
SOL
DOT
TRX
AVAX
MATIC
NEAR
ATOM
FTM
OP
In addition, it is a coin that has the potential to create coins and coin ecosystems with large user communities.
XRP
ALGO
KLAY
Among the coins belonging to most of the current coin ecosystems, LINK is a representative coin.
However, due to the coin's own issue, the coins that need to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits while recovering the purchase principal as much as possible are as follows.
XRP
SOL
TRX
KLAY
OP
The above coins (tokens) have self-restraint issues, so I don't think it's good to trade them with the traditional trading method.
Of these, the OP token has just been created in the coin ecosystem, so I think a trading method is needed to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit while recovering the purchase principal as much as possible, at least until the next wave.
In conclusion, the coin market will start to be flooded with information comparable to the stock market after the bull market next year.
In this situation, in order to earn steady profits in the coin market, you need to start paying attention to a newly changing theme, the coin ecosystem.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.
** Check the formulas for the MS-Signal, HA-Low, and HA-High indicators at ().
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)
---------------------------------
How to double your small ($250) trading account trading Bitcoin How to Double your Small ($250) Trading Account Trading Bitcoin
I started a degen account with $250 and almost doubled it in 4 days making about 6 trades. This strategy is not Financial advice and I'm only illustrating what I have learnt trading this way. This is the first video in the series and I'll be continuing the series , updating you on progress, winners, losses, my trading journal and some live trading, so make sure to Sub, like comment and share.
I show you how I entered my current trade, where I am looking to take profits and show you my pnl on Bybit.
Not Financial Advice. DYOR. Papertrade before trading with real money.
Hope you have a profitable trading day!
Shawn
BITCOIN - Using the CCI and RSI Indicators to Predict DumpsThis was a cool trick I learned a while back and I thought I would share. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is very similar to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), but the CCI tends to be more sensitive. As a result, the CCI tends to drop when there is weakness in comparison to the RSI and the divergence in the two indicators becomes evident. I've highlighted to previous instances when the CCI dropped significantly in comparison to the RSI. Had you seen this, you could have exited your position and saved yourself a lot of money. The CCI is currently showing a strong bearish divergence to the RSI, which may very well be a foreshadowing of a coming BTC dump. As a result, I'm going to be in USD to be safe until I see the direction the market decides to go. I hope this trick helps you as much as it has helped me.
🟡 The Most Popular Myths About Bitcoin Debunked 🔑During the existence of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, a large number of erroneous judgments have appeared about them, which continue to spread among people even now. This leads to cryptocurrency being treated negatively, as the vast majority of myths about digital currencies are aimed at discrediting them.
In this article, we will look at the most popular of them and debunk them for good.
Bitcoin Can Be Hacked
Cryptocurrencies are created based on blockchain technology, which organizes a database consisting of a chain of blocks. Each successive block has information about previous blocks. Such a database is stored simultaneously on all computers of the system participants.
This technology is based on the principle of decentralization, that is, the database is not in one place, and all the computers participating in the system, form a network. To affect the network in any way, it is necessary to get 51% of its hash rate. Only then will it be possible to make changes to the transactions and impose their acceptance on a minority.
Bitcoin's computing power is distributed all over the world, and to try to take over the network, a large amount of hardware has to be combined. Still, mining companies will not destroy their source of income. And even if someone decides to attack the system, it will at most lead to failures, which will be eliminated with emergency updates.
However, cryptocurrency exchanges and other digital money services are vulnerable to hacking.
Bitcoin Is Not Backed By Anything
Back in 1971, the U.S. authorities abandoned the Bretton Woods system (the gold standard), and the U.S. dollar lost its peg to gold. Since then, the U.S. currency has not been specifically backed but is directly dependent on the country's financial stability.
To understand what bitcoin is secured with and how its price is formed, it is necessary to consider the value and functionality that the cryptocurrency presents to its owner:
Anonymity. No one monitors bitcoin transfers and has no right to influence (cancel or suspend) the transaction in any way;
Low commissions. In the network of the main cryptocurrency, there is a fixed commission for transfers, which is set based on the load on the network. It means that the commission will be the same if you transfer $100 and $100k, as well as any other amount;
Speed. Bitcoin transactions are usually instantaneous. Allowable delays range from a few minutes to one hour, depending on network load;
Limitlessness. You can transfer bitcoins anywhere in the world. The main thing is that the recipient has a cryptocurrency wallet.
Thus, bitcoin allows making anonymous payments and money transfers of any amount, regardless of the location of the sender and the recipient of the cryptocurrency. This factor, combined with bitcoin's limited issuance (21 million coins), determines the demand that subsequently forms the cryptocurrency's price.
Bitcoin Is Used Only By Criminals
The anonymity that cryptocurrencies give does allow the use of digital coins in illegal schemes. But, in this case, it is no different from cash, which is also used in illegal activities.
Last year, bitcoin began to be actively bought by large companies to protect against inflation and other risks of the traditional financial market. For example, the main cryptocurrency of $1.5 billion was purchased by Tesla. According to CEO Elon Musk, Tesla sold 10% of bitcoins at the end of March and recorded a profit.
The oldest U.S. banks, such as Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan, are also showing interest in cryptocurrencies. The latter is already preparing to launch its first actively managed bitcoin fund. Goldman Sachs will also make cryptocurrency investments available to clients.
Bitcoin Is A Bubble
Back in 2010, the price of bitcoin was less than $1, but now it is worth more than $23,000. Other cryptocurrencies have also seen their prices go up by hundreds or thousands of times. This gave reason to compare the cryptocurrency market with a bubble that will surely burst, and investors will be left with nothing.
First of all, let's understand what a bubble is. It is an economic cycle of trading an asset characterized by an unsustainable growth of its market value. One of the first examples of such a bubble was the rise in the price of tulips in the Netherlands in the 17th century. At that time, their value soared tenfold, and never recovered after the collapse. There was also the famous dot-com bubble at the beginning of the century. Back then, the value of Internet companies soared and collapsed dramatically in a short period of time.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have been around for more than a decade. During that time, they have gone through several cycles in which their value rose and fell. However, after all, previous falls, bitcoin has renewed its price records. Along with it, the entire cryptocurrency market grew.
As analysts explain, cryptocurrency fluctuations form a pattern typical of young markets. They expect assets to rise and fall with smaller fluctuations over time, and the time between these cycles will increase. That is, the cryptocurrency market will become more stable and predictable.
Buying Cryptocurrency Is Difficult
Many potential investors are deterred from buying crypto assets by their lack of experience. Since it is a new and technological tool, it may seem complicated. In fact, it is possible to invest through special exchanges, mobile applications, or other trading platforms. The registration procedure on them is usually no more complicated than, for example, creating an account on a social network or in an online store.
As a rule, the major exchangers ask to confirm the identity. To do this, it is necessary to upload a photo of the documents. This is a requirement of the world's regulators, which helps make exchanges more secure. However, those who value anonymity can also find exchanges where there are no such requirements.
The process of buying cryptocurrency itself is also simple. To do this, you can top up your account and use it to make purchases or pay with your card directly for each cryptocurrency purchase. In terms of complexity, this procedure can be compared to recharging a cell phone or buying goods.
One Needs A Lot Of Money To Buy Cryptocurrency
Most people learned about the existence of cryptocurrency when the price of bitcoin reached tens of thousands of dollars, which would seem to immediately cut off investors with a budget of a few hundred.
In fact, all services allow you to buy a share of bitcoin or another cryptocurrency. The minimum amount for which you can buy a cryptocurrency may vary from site to site, but usually, it's only a few hundred dollars.
If you buy a bitcoin or other cryptocurrency, you will earn on its growth, as well as those who operate with tens of thousands of dollars. If an asset doubles in value, for example, then the investments of everyone who holds it will also double. The same will happen if the crypto-asset becomes cheaper.
Only Pros Can Make Money With Cryptocurrency
There is a widespread belief that buying cryptocurrency is similar to trading on the forex market. They say you have to buy it when it goes down in price, sell it when it goes up in price, and so on in a circle. And in order to do that one has to understand its trends, news, and reasons for daily price changes.
Of course, that's how traders make money. However, most crypto investors are not actively trading. They only buy bitcoin or other tokens and wait for them to rise in price. This strategy is used by those who see the potential of cryptocurrencies in the long term. The superiority of this strategy is ease. You don't need to check the exchange rate every day and monitor the news.
Cryptocurrency Guarantees Anonymity
This myth arose because cryptocurrency allows for transactions outside of the banking system. There are also anonymous wallets, for the creation of which it is not necessary to enter any personal data.
At the same time, it should be taken into account that any transaction is recorded in the blockchain and saved forever. This means that if bitcoin has been in a wallet that is associated with criminal activity, no matter how much it is sent to other wallets, it cannot be "laundered". Law enforcement can access the blockchain data and track down the person who made the transactions. However, because this procedure is complicated, it is used only in special cases.
Everyone Who Buys Cryptocurrency Will Get Rich
There are a lot of stories about people who bought bitcoin when it was worth a few hundred and woke up rich a few years later. Similar cases occur with other coins that have increased in price tens or hundreds of times. However, this does not mean that everyone who buys cryptocurrency will certainly get rich.
Keep in mind that these are risky assets that can both rise and fall in value. In addition, their volatility is higher than that of stocks, real estate, or fiat currencies. Therefore, experts advise keeping 5% to 10% of their savings in crypto-assets.
Cryptocurrency Is A Vogue, And It Will Go Away Soon
A few decades ago, computers and e-mail were of interest only to a very limited number of technology enthusiasts. When Steve Jobs said that soon computers would be in every home, he was surprised to be asked, "what are they there for?".
The same thing is happening now with cryptocurrencies. So far, they have been used by a relatively limited number of people. But today's cryptocurrencies create ecosystems that, according to analysts, will continue to evolve, and there will be more and more practical applications for them.
There is growing interest in decentralized financial programs, which are safer, more reliable, and cheaper than the current systems. Tech giants are exploring ways to merge the real and digital worlds, using blockchain technology as a building block for this. States are thinking about creating their cryptocurrencies. So virtual assets, of course, will evolve and change but will remain with the technology on which they are based.
Conclusion
New tokens appear all the time and, quite possibly, some of them will increase in value hundreds of times. At the same time, some of them will depreciate or disappear altogether. Therefore, professionals advise diversifying your cryptocurrency portfolio: keep most of the funds in popular cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin or Ethereum, and only part of the funds should be spent on new projects that seem promising. This will allow you to keep a balance between risk and reward.
Our Trading ManifestoHello everyone! In this post we will present and explain our trading system.
Our trading system condensates everything we have learned from hard work, study and even harder lessons received in these years of trading. It is constantly evolving and updating, we are always ready to question some aspects of our system and research tools and strategies that can improve it.
We will distinguish and explain three different aspects of which the system is composed: Analysis, Execution and Research.
Analysis
The analytical part concerns all the tools and the strategies that we use to formulate an hypothesis on the direction of the market, and consequently develop a trading strategy.
A trading strategy is composed by:
-an Invalidation Level: a price level that, if crossed, proves our hypothesis wrong. This is the limit level at which stop losses can be set.
-a set of Entry Points/Levels: composed by price levels of chart points that according to our analysis can trigger the move that we are hypothesizing.
-a set of Target Points/Levels: composed by price levels of chart points where the move that we are hypothesizing can end.
Once a trading strategy is determined, it will be implemented in the executive part.
But on what is our analysis based?
Elliott Wave Theory, Pattern Trading and Sentiment Analysis.
We believe that the chart encodes all the information available. News and events are priced in the market instantaneously. The fundamentals are revealed simultaneously with the price action.
Any news or fundamental consideration is just one piece of the puzzle. Price is the synthesis of the result.
Price moves because of mass psychological dynamics inducing people to buy and sell. These dynamics are observable in the sentiment and in the fundamentals, and manifest themselves in chart patterns. The composition of chart patterns forms Elliott Waves structures.
We don't use this approach as a mix of independent tools, but in a holistic and comprehensive approach. We analyze the wave structure of the market starting from higher timeframes, assessing probabilities of different scenarios by analyzing chart patterns and using different tools related to the sentiment, such as Smart Money Indicator, Volume Profiles, Order Blocks, etc. We use the same approach in smaller timeframes to set the trading strategy (Entries, Targets and Invalidation Level).
Execution
The executive part of our trading system involves risk management, placing orders in the market, and managing active trades.
Once we have developed a trading strategy, we have a set of entries, a set of targets and an invalidation level. We have to use them to define a Trading Plan.
Here is the first rule of risk management: we can not lose more than 1.5% of the trading capital for each trading plan.
You don't have to depend on one trade. One trade should not be decisive. Trading must not be funny. This is the only way to decrease your biases and your emotional involvement.
So in a Trading Plan we decide how many trades to open, how much risk to allocate on each trade (NOT MORE THAN 1.5% TOTAL), at what price execute the trade, and where to set stop losses.
No stop loss can be set above the invalidation level. If prices reaches the invalidation level we are OUT. No matter if prices then follows the hypothesized direction, market will always provide other opportunities.
We also plan where to take profits at the pre-determined Target Levels.
Research
The research part of our system is our constantly updating and challenging our knowledge studying new tools, approaches, strategies. Knowledge is dynamic and always updating. You never stop learning.
We will post all our analysis and trades. Stay tuned and happy trading! :)
BITCOIN : CYCLES Mysterious Forces " CYCLES ,
The Mysterious Forces
That Trigger Events"
.
This is the name of the important book by Edward R.Dewey , which was first published in 1971. He discovered and theorized time cycles in macro trends.
And 50 years later, the power of cycles is still mysterious to us.
#BITCOIN is just a new small sample of cycles mysterious power in 21th century.
How do you calculate Bitcoin's Market Capitalisation?It’s quite similar to calculating the market cap of a share.
To calculate the market capitalization of a cryptocurrency, you need to know two things:
1. The current market price of the cryptocurrency
2. The total number of coins or tokens that have been issued.
Then all you do is multiply the market price and the total number of coins or tokens.
Let’s calculate the market cap of Bitcoin…
The current market price for bitcoin is $16,939 and the current number of tokens in circulation are 19,255,318.
To calculate the market capitalization of Bitcoin, you would multiply the market price by the total supply.
Bitcoin market cap = $16,939 X 19,255,318
= $329,021,194,902
You can go on Google and type in what the price of a Crypto coin is and then what the number of tokens are in circulation.
Then multiply the two and you’ll have the market cap.
If you have a trading question, ask in the comments.
Trade well, live free,
Timon
MATI Trader (Trader since 2003)
Why 90% of new investors losing moneyHi Tradingview Crypto community!
We have stepped into New 2023 Year and today I would like to list and share the most common reasons why new crypto beginners are getting “rekt” and end up losing money. Whatever your crypto investment or trading strategy is, these should be considered as a priority. Once you address these mistakes first, you will be able to make rational crypto decisions and prepare yourselves for the next Bitcoin bull run cycle.
Why 90% of new investors losing money:
-being new to crypto markets and having no knowledge about market cycle’s structure. Market moves in cycles.
-entering crypto market at the wrong time and at the peak of bull market. Crypto mainstream adoption works in the way that media encourages new investors to join crypto space at the top of markets.
-not understanding the complexity of cryptocurrencies. 90% of people do not understand the concept of cryptocurrencies and how to buy their first Bitcoin.
-lack of technical skills how to store or transfer crypto funds. Many people losing funds because of not managing their sensitive private and log in data safely, sending cryptocurrencies to wrong blockchains.
-being impatient and greedy with a “getting rich quick” mindset. Financial markets including crypto works in a way that capital flow from weak to strong hands, from impatient to patient investors.
-making uninformed decisions due to lack of knowledge about markets dynamics and price behaviour. Many investors do not understand that market follows the same patterns or waves.
-making irrational investment and trading decisions based on emotions and not understanding market psychology. Crypto market just like any financial market is a reflection of human emotions. Investors tend to make the same mistakes based on fear and greed emotions.
-not understanding crypto safety and security measures. Often funds disappear due to new people losing access to wallets or private keys, being naïve and falling into a trap of scammers.
My non-financial advice for new beginners would be to learn in depth about cryptocurrencies fundamentals, develop a good set of technical crypto and safety skills, spend 3-6 months watching and paying attention to crypto markets.
Don’t rush into the markets and spend some time to educate yourself before making your first crypto investment.
Cryptolearn:” Invest in yourself for a better future”.
For more ideas and educational content on how to become a successful investor, make sure to follow us here.
🔥THE BEST TIME TO BUY ALTCOINS: DOMINACE AND ALTSEASON🔥 Hi friends! All you know and like the time when altcoins make +50-100% or more profit just in 1-2 weeks. Most of the traders enjoy this time. Dominance is a key thing that helps us to identify such periods (altseasons) and buy alts in time.
📊 WHAT IS ALTSEASON AND WHY DOES IT HAPPEN?
Altseason is a time when most altcoins grow by 30% or more.
THE TWO MAIN REASONS OF ALTSEAON:
1. BTC capitalization outflow and its inflow in altcoins (dominance fall).
🚩 Dominance is the ratio between the total value of all Bitcoins to the total value of the crypto market ( Bitcoin + altcoins). Altcoins start ti griw when it falls.
Bitcoin currently has a $320 billion capitalization and for Bitcoin these $1-2B globally do not mean anything. As the altcoins have a lower capitalization, when $1-2 billion from Bitcoin flows into any altcoin, it can grow by 100% or more. With large outflows (10-20% of Bitcoin's capitalization), the growth of all altcoins (altseason) begins.
2. huge money inflow in altcoins during periods of "greed", when crypto market makes new ATH or BTC is at the last stage of bull market (parabolic growth). The BTC dominance falls in this case too.
All you know the periods when BTC make a new ATH and this is a most comfortable time to grow your deposit - everything is just exploding.
✅ As Bitcoin is still far from its highs, which is the second reason for the growth of altcoins, we should look for the first reason, which is the flow of money from BTC to altcoins now. Our main task is to buy good altcoins just before the altseason.
📊 WHEN WILL THE NEXT ALTSEASON START?
Friends, as you can see on the chart, the altseason begin when the BTC dominance falls. Now we should expect the next atseason when BTC reaches 50-54% of dominance.
✅ The altcoins start PUMPS during this dominance fall as was shown at 1 and 2 cases.
Friends, I will publish a list and trading setups of the best altcoins when that time comes. Let me know which altcoin I should pay attention to. Write it's ticker in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
🔥THE WORST YEAR FOR CRYPTO: 2022 OVERVIEW AND 2023 FORECAST✅🔥Hi friends! Bitcoin fall from $41 500 to $15 500 by 42% this year. 2022 was an amazing year, especially if you are trading using downtrend strategies. But who will be the winner in 2023? Long or short traders? Read more in this idea!
📊
WHAT WERE THE MAIN REASON FOR BTC DUMP IN 2022?
1.
LUNA, UST, and Do Kwon are the first such major crash this year. The algorithmic stablecoin UST lost its peg to $ and pulled down the LUNA token, which it was backed by.
Terra LUNA had one of the largest amounts of Bitcoin. In total, they had about 81,000 BTC in their wallets, but this did not save them from the fall. LUNA was top-10 altcoin by capitalization but fall from $110 to $0.01.
BTC fell from $31 000 to $17 900 by 44%.
2. FTX, FTT and Sam Bankman-Fried. At that moment, it seems like BTC begin to recover and already reached $21 500 after the 4 month consolidation (accumulation) from June to November. CZ tweeted about FTT sell off just only opened eyes to the problem of the #2 exchange.
🚩 Bitcoin fell to $15 500 but actually, it`s not a huge dump, as was all the year before. This fact indicates that there are almost no sellers in the markets and recovery is highly possible.
📊 THIS HAPPENED FOR THE FIRST TIME IN THE BITCOIN HISTORY
The Q1 2022 started with a small fall, but after this, the series of negative events in the cryptocurrency market pushed the price of bitcoin lower and lower. Now we should say that this is the worst year ever.
✅ All 4 quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) will close at loss FOR THE FIRST TIME IN BTC HISTORY.
📊 THE PREDICTIONS FOR BTC IN 2023
I name this year THE YEAR OF RECOVERY for the crypto market. BTC will reach $32k as a pullback to this year’s dump with a 95% probability. I think that the #1 crypto has a 70% probability test of $45k.
✅ But first, the price can update the lows and reach $10-12k. So if you are a trader , it will be a really good year because of its volatility.
If you are a long-term trader or investor , I would be in the market by 20-40% to not miss the possible growth. Another part of the deposit leaves for buying lower at $10-12k or after making new HH and HL at $21-22k.
It will be interesting to check the results in a year.
Friends, what is your target for BTC in 2023? Write your target at the comments. Please, don`t write $200-300k :)
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Unplugged in the crypto verse#1When i got into crypto, something just clicked i knew this would be future. So began my journey into the rabbit hole. Crypto profitability was something that i realised is the holy grail. So i began working on articles to where it started with bitcoin. I will be referencing this articles from time to time.
SIDE NOTE"So the big news of the time is the ftx scandal with Sam bankman fried. "
You have some cash and want to convert into crypto. Here are the steps.
1). Find an exchange;i use binance mostly.
2). Create a metamask wallet.
3). Get your crypto off exchanges if you are not trading.
4). Transfer your tokens into your metamask wallet. Congratulations you are now a crypto degen.
5). Exploring dapps into the crypto verse is mind blowing.
Some of this concepts i think are so revolutionary that they will change major industries in ways we might not imagine now.
The more you are in crypto, the more you realize how early you are. This space needs time. We need to root out the bad actors after every bitcoin halving. Thats the reason for the pain you are feeling now." Everyone is a genius in a bull market"that quote has stuck with me. Bitcoin needs the liquidity crunch that's how ecosystems evolve.
1).Financial dapps in the blockchain may be your best bet. That's why i advice you to start. Look at aave, compound, maker, uniswap e.t.c.
2).Crypto gaming maybe alternative, splinterlands, gods unchained,mobox e.t.c.
Also under crypto gaming, look for games with growing users that are verifiable within the blockchain.
Most of this exchanges will offer exchanges which users trade nfts within the game.
3).crypto trading with bots maybe your best bet at automating a crypto strategy. I personally use pionex.
All my articles are linked below free to read. Thank you for giving crypto a chance. Cheers.
Bitcoin: Bullish divergence on weekly rsiBitcoin has made a bullish divergence on the weekly rsi, meaning the price went lower while the rsi is making a higher high. Not only do we see a bullish divergence, the divergence is happening in a falling channel.
The only thing missing is a third confirmation of this bullish divergence. That confirmation can happen in 2 ways:
1: making a lower low on the price, while making an higher high on the rsi
2: makinga a double bottom on the price, while making an higher high on the rsi
Bitcoin Historical Volatility new low Here we have the BTC historical Volatility Index in blue. Orange is the price of BTC. The teal line is the 50sma for volatility. At the bottom, I have the correlation coefficient (CC) for the volatility index with BTC. I have marked in green when the CC reaches above 0.50, and red when it crosses below -0.50. The fibonacci retracement is fairly arbitrary, but fits nicely between 0.25 and 1.00. In this article, I would like to discuss a little bit about volatility. It is often associated as going up when price goes down, but is a bit more specific in what it is telling us than simply being an inverse price indicator. Next, I’ll talk about the correlation coefficient. It is an excellent tool that every trader, and investor, should learn to use. Finally, I would like to examine some of the similarities between our recent all time low in this index, breaking the low 2018, which proceeded the infamous 2018 capitulation event.
Volatility is always an interesting indicator, and is often used to indicate position risk for the asset it is being calculated for. Simply stated, it is a measure of how much the price of an asset moves in a particular period of time. However, it can be calculated a number of different ways. The most common is standard deviation, or how far price is from an average of the price over a recent period of time. The amount of time the data is taken from can also change how the volatility measure acts and how useful it is. More so, because it measures movement, and not so much direction, it can be difficult to use it in an accurate way, as correlation appears to be inconstant at face value. Historical volatility is calculated a little differently. And honestly, before reading a few papers on it for this essay, I had not realized that ‘historical’ referenced the calculation method as opposed to it being the history of the volatility. Historical, or realized, volatility is an estimation of the standard deviation of the price of returns over a particular period of time, in this case, 24 hours. It can also be calculated with a weighting for the trading volume over the calculation period. I have placed a 50ma (150 day moving average) to show a general range for average volatility, and we can see that MA tends to oscillate between 2.5 and 5.0.
The correlation coefficient is an excellent indicator that allows you to see, and quantify, the correlation of your current chart with any other chart ticker. Here I have it set to the BLX all time price index for BTC. The higher it goes, the more correlated the movement of the 2 charts are, and below zero indicates an inverse correlation. When CC is near zero, the movements of the two charts are NOT correlated. One of the issues with volatility indexes is their accuracy can vary, and is sometime disputed. My goal in using the correlation coefficient with this index is to parse out when volatility is most useful to pay attention to, and in which direction. On this chart, we can see that when volatility spikes above 10, it is often correlated with big, sudden moves to the downside. However, not all of them are. By using the correlation coefficient, we can parse out the direction of volatility. When CC is in the green, and volatility increases, we see the price of bitcoin moving up, usually in an explosive manner. Likewise, inverse correlation is often showing us downwards movements. I find this a useful way to pull a little bit of the noise out of the volatility index.
The previous all time low in volatility of 0.35 occurred on October 28th of 2018, and about sixteen days before the 2018 capitulation event began. About a week ago on Christmas day, we broke that low, going down to 0.34. Very low volatility tells us that price isn’t just moving sideways, but is pretty flat for the most part. And if you have been following bitcoin lately (bless your soul) you know flat and boring is kind of an understatement. The good news is that it’s likely going to get exciting soon. Volatility doesn’t seem to stay at or below 1.0 for very long, and seems to be either correlated, or inversely correlated with price within a few weeks to a month after reaching 1.0. An exception would be from August of 2019 to the pandemic crash in 2020. We can see some similarities in both volatility and the correlation coefficient between the time leading up to the 2018 capitulation event and our recent data in 2022. Price action is also fairly similar (flat and boring) with the exception that in 2018, the line chart had a small move down and back up during the flatness, while we had a small move up and then down earlier in December. Although, I doubt this really means anything. In 2018, we saw a 50% drop after price had already fallen around 70%. From top to bottom, the draw-down was just under 85%. Another 50% draw-down from where we are at the time of writing would take the price of bitcoin to just over $8,000.
So what does this mean? Well, I can tell you, for sure, 100%, that I can not tell the future. I will be, however, watching my new chart very closely. But I would say it is likely we’ll be seeing something exciting, and it will probably be in January. Unfortunately, it looks like CC moves down just as fast as price, and as fast as volatility moves up during sudden, capitulation like events. However, Bitcoin always has a way of surprising everyone. If CC moves down to 0, and then puts in another local high in the next week, I would be a little spooked. If it keeps moving up to 0.50, it may be an interesting and unexpected move to the upside. Regardless of what happens, I would encourage everyone to try to understand volatility a little better than you already do, and use the correlation coefficient indicator. It is a simple, yet versatile tool that can be used to quantify data in a way that makes a trading strategy precise. Here’s to 2023, I wish you well, and thanks for reading.