50 Day Moving Average Strategy
TRADE ENTRY
1. To enter a 50-day moving average trade, you should wait for a breakout.
2. Whenever the price breaks the 50-day SMA, you should open a trade in the direction of the breakout.
3. In most cases, the price action will continue in the direction of the breakout.
STOP LOSS
1. If the price breaks the 50 SMA upwards, we need to go long, placing a stop below a bottom prior to the breakout. The opposite is true for bearish trades.
2. If the price breaks the 50 SMA downwards, we need to short the stock placing a stop below the bottom prior to the breakout.
PROFIT TARGETS
1. Hold your trades until the price action breaks your 50-day moving average in the direction opposite to your trade.
2. If you are long, you close the trade when the price breaks the 50-day SMA downwards.
3. If you are short, you close the trade when the price breaks the 50-day SMA upwards.
CONCLUSION
1. Stock price above the 50-day moving average is usually considered bullish.
2. Stock price below the 50-day moving average is usually considered bearish.
3. If the price meets the 50 day SMA as support and bounces upwards, consider a long entry.
4. Stock price meets the 50-day SMA as resistance and bounces downwards, consider a short entry.
5. If the price breaks the 50-day SMA downwards, you should switch your opinion to bearish.
6. If the price breaks the 50-day SMA upward, you should switch your opinion to bullish.
Support and Resistance
Don't be liquidityThis chart shows the common stop-loss touch and bounce pattern. And this happened because I was liquidity.
The stop-loss was set at an "obvious" invalidation level, the previous supply level ($20,800). So, right below it, there was heavy bidding.
The stop-loss hunters will place their bids just slightly below presumed ask levels.
Entry Model | Supply and Demand, and Smart Money ConceptFirst look for the higher timeframe trend is the price making higher highs and higher lows? (For bullish market) or lower highs and lower lows? (For bearish market) bullish or bearish, then go to the lower timeframe and see if the lower timeframe trend matches the higher timeframe trend. After that mark your supply and demand zones, and point of interest(POI). If you guys like this post please hit like👍 and follow. Thanks.
An Idiot's Guide to EURUSD: 5 Steps to Success 💲💲💲Synopsis
If you trade Forex then you know the weekends are the best time to analyse the market. Everybody likes to talk about how volatile EURUSD is, but what they don't tell you is that the market is ranging a good 80%-90% of the time; good deals do NOT last long. In fact, half of a days price movement can play out in 15-45 minutes, It's that fast. The best entries are usually snatched up in a matter of minutes, meaning that slow momentum oscillators and lagging trend following indicators don't perform well in these conditions. EURUSD in my opinion trades a lot like CL (crude WTI), where trading decisions need to be made while volatility is low to mitigate risk. Translation: if you can't win in a range, you're going to blow your account in this market, trust me.
I see so many people on here setting targets 2-3 times the daily atr with the expectation that they'll be paid by the end of the day or the next day. Don't do that, please. It's not a sprint, it's a marathon. Long term gains depend on practical consistent returns, not 10:1 RRs. It's actually a lot more realistic to take ZERO to two 20-40 pip trades per day. Over the course of a week it adds up.
The chart:
This week we came off of a really strong bullish surge away from parity, and the market then did what it does best, range. And the way that prices are moving right now is just classic EURUSD, I love it...I get so nostalgic, because ranges like these are how I learned to trade; the way that the market recycles over and over makes it so fun to trade, it never gets stale. Since it's the weekend and the markets are closed, I wanted to take this opportunity to share with anyone who might be wondering what it's like to day trade this market.
How to trade ranges:
Step 1: Find your levels...
The easiest way is to map out support and resistance zones. On the chart, I use my own variation of the Williams fractals indicator (I call them Neo fractals 😎) for every prominent swing high or swing low, the indicator draws a horizontal ray from the highest, lowest close and projects it out into the future. You can see the spots where lines start stacking up in a certain price range act as stronger support or resistance than the areas with only one dotted line. It only takes about 5-10 minutes per day to do this by hand though, so an indicator definitely isn't necessary. It's really important to be able to eyeball pivot points yourself anyways.
Step 2: Determine market phase...
After you've mapped everything out, it becomes a lot clearer what's happening in the market, and if the market is ranging or trending. If the market's ranging, you will see far more s/r lines on your chart especially once you start seeing s/r lines stacking up close to one another. A clear giveaway that the market is ranging is when price makes strong moves in one direction, only to return back from where it came, later in the day. Once you've determined what phase of the market you're even closer to spotting high quality trades.
Step 3: The next step is to find areas of value...
In general you want to find the areas within the range which provide the most exclusive prices, And steer away from price ranges that hold 80-90% of the activity on the cart. Being 5-10 pips in profit before a big move will completely change the way you feel about a trade when it starts to go against you (plenty winning trades will go against you, especially if you're trading reversals). On the chart you can see that the supply and demand zones only produced 2-4 trades this week, but all of them were for over 50 pips. These aren't the only trades you can take, but they're definitely the highest RR trades, you can get in a ranging market.
Step 4: What for confirmation...
There are so many ways to confirm a move, but my favorite for this market is a phenomena that I like to call a spike. (There's probably an actual name for it, but I'm self taught so I just make stuff up as I go 😅) Find a hammer or star candle on a higher chart like the daily or 4hr and it look at that time period again on a lower timeframe, what you'll see is that the hammer or star is actually just a large price movement in one direction followed by an equally large movement in the other direction. What might appear as a spike on a lower timeframe will appear as a hammer or star on a higher time frame, and the larger and longer the chart pattern takes to complete, the larger and longer the move will be in the opposite direction. These are the Rolls Royce of signals. When you realize that a head and shoulders pattern is really just a series of spikes, it will completely change the way that you trade. In my experience, trading price spikes alone out performs every other chart pattern there is, because most candlestick and chart patterns are made up of a series of spikes anyways. Most consolidation periods end in a large spike followed by a 1-200 pip surge in the opposite direction. They appear most often on higher timeframes as hammers and stars, or large engulfment. but on the lower time frames you can watch these things play out over 5 ,10 or even 100 periods sometimes. The key is to have very strict rules for what you consider a spike to be, how many pips? What kind of ratio are you looking for? is it happening in an area of value? etc.
Step 5: The range leads to the trend...
The reason that trend following strategies under perform in this market is because strong trends don't last long on EU AND getting good value is insanely competitive. The key is to spot these trends early, you have to be looking when nobody else is looking. That means waking up earlier than everyone else and having a plan in place before the move happens...Not seeing a big candle and just hopping in. I try to have a daily strategy in place before the Asian session ends, that way, I''m ready for London and NY. I live in the US, so that means I'm waking up everyday around midnight to 1 in the morning. But most of the time, if my trade starts well, I go back to bed and check back in around 7. If you want to trade EURUSD, that's what it takes though. There might have to be lifestyle changes that you have to make (especially for North and South American traders) in order to really commit yourself to this market and give your trading it the attention that it needs.
Resistance Turn into Support In this Educational Post, We are looking at One of the Simple and Useful Ways to find the next Possible support or Resistance lines.
First Example is about Resistance turn into support:(Yellow comments on the chart Shows that)(1 & 2)
As you can see Red zone(1) was the previous All Time High for Bitcoin so 20000$ in previous years was Major resistance until it broke; now we are looking for Support around 20000$ and we are expecting the previous Resistance now turn into major support(2) for the price.
Second Example is about Support turn into Resistance :(Blue comments on the chart Shows that)(3 & 4 & 5)
30000$ was major support for Bitcoin Two times, January 2021(3) and July 2021 (4) Now if possible support zone(2) that we found based on this Educational post remains valid, and the price starts to rise again then our first target would be 30000$ because Resistance zone(5) now is there.
Hope you enjoy this post is Not Financial advice so always Trade based on your own decision and research.
Trader📈 VS Gambler🎲: who are you?Press the "like"👍 button if you find yourself at this charts.
Hi friends! Today i`ll give you 5 simple advice how to improve your trading results if you are beginner. But first of all we have to identify who you are in trading.
📊Who is a gambler? A gambler is a person in the financial markets who:
1️⃣ does not control his/her risks and can use leverage without thinking about losing capital
2️⃣ trades mainly on info occasions (someone said something somewhere in Tweeter or Reddit)
3️⃣ does not have his/her own trading strategy and style
4️⃣ wants to make money and lambo as famous influencer here and now, without even knowing how to calculate the size of the position or the ability to determine the market trend
🚩Why is gambling so dangerous? Once you have earned a lot of money and of course lose it, the gambler is trying to win back, losing more and more money. This is a condition of excessive greed.
📊Who is a trader? A trader is a person who earns by buying cryptocurrency cheaper and selling it higher (long), or by selling it higher and buying it lower (short).
🚩Why a trader can make money, but a gambler can't? The trader follows these rules:
1️⃣ knows his/her trading style and
2️⃣ knows WHEN and WHY he/she buys or sells cryptocurrencies, which means he/she has a working trading strategy
3️⃣ is not afraid to miss opportunities, because he knows that the market gives them all the time
4️⃣ gradually increases deposit and increases the size of trades step by step
5️⃣ asks more experienced traders for advice, because he wants to avoid making the same mistakes and saves his time for trading
🔥The trader grows gradually, step by step, he is interested in new approaches, adapts to the market. If you are reading this idea now, it means that you really want to improve your trading skills and you are probably not a gambler.
✅How can you switch from gambling to trading mode? It's very simple if you start to follow the trader's points:
1️⃣ Define your trading style. Who are you: a scalper, a swing or a position trader? Try different styles and understand how you trade comfortably, which one gives you more pleasure and results. Don't forget about these 2 points.
2️⃣ Create or borrow a trading strategy that suits your trading style.
📈 If you don't know how to determine your trading style and where you can get free trading strategy, leave the comment or DM. I'll give you some advice.
3️⃣ Start trading with a small deposit . This will save you from possible losses due to inexperience, but it is worth to try. For example, use $50-100 or a demo account. If you can't make money with $100, how can you make money using $10,000?
4️⃣ Get in touch with newbies like you and share your trades. This is what our community of more than 800 traders with different trading level allows you to do, either share your ideas in comments on trading view or post your ideas and test their success over time.
🚩Of course, perfect trading only happens in a picture. Catching a stop loss because of your own mistake is a common thing both for an advanced trader and a beginner, but you have to work on your mistakes. 1 out of the 5 lessons in my mini-course is about typical trader's mistakes and how to fix them. Enjoy it!✅
Traders, what would you add to the traders` list to improve trading skills? Let`s discuss in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Pro Traders Take Profits on EarningsWhat happened today on the earnings announcement by PEP? Pro traders took profits against the retail crowd's buying on the news headlines that suggested an earnings "beat" for Q2. The retail buying causes the gap up at open, which is a prime cue to take profits on swing trades.
This was what we call a pre-earnings run. The earnings results don't matter as much as the technical setup a few weeks ahead of the earnings release. Swing trades were initiated at the reversal from the support at 155, confirmed by price and volume patterns at that time.
Now, with resistance overhead, where the initial target for this earnings play was, and the retail crowd causing a gap up at open on the earnings announcement, this is where professional short-term traders close long positions. This should not be construed as a good opportunity to short swing-style, however. It is an example of the execution of a long swing-style earnings strategy.
This is an example of TechniTrader's Relational Technical Analysis techniques for planning better trades.
When is the perfect time to participate in Launchpads?Hi friends! No, the best place is not BTC`s ATH but why a lot of hype around it exactly there? In this idea i will explain you where it`s better participate in ICO, IEO to get the profit during the bull run.
Fewer of the most experienced make money in the market, and the majority always lose in the end. A common example is Doge millionaires who lose their money in a few days on a Bitcoin dump.
Why it's worth it to participate in lanchpads at the beginning of the Bitcoin bull market:
1. all altcoins follow Bitcoin and will grow till BTC grow. Yes, Bitcoin outperforms alts in short terms at the beginning, but they make good profits during altseasons. Often there are 2-3 such altseasons. By the way, if you are interested to know how to determine the best place to buy altcoins - write me in the comments, I will make an educational idea for you.
2. If the lunchpad was unsuccessful and you get a loss, during the BTC bull market the price of alt return at least to you entry point . As long as the loss isn't fixed, it's not a loss, so you can wait for a return to the entry point and come out at break even or in profit. That way you will save your money because you bought alts at the beginning of bull market.
For example, let's take the coins from the Binance Launchpad in 2020 when the bullmarket just begin:
1. WRX +9700% to its peak (ATH). At hte beginning you even can gea a loss. but after had amazing return.
2. SAND +11300%
3. AXS +112670%
I don't think it's worth adding anything.
Why are lunchpads almost no profitable at ATH:
1. a lot of hype around the new launchpads , people feel extreme greed. You know, that 90% of traders are not profitable. Majority will not earn because the majority can`t be the professionals.
2. after lunchpads at crypto market highs, altcoins don't grow so high. If you bought any altcoin when Bitcoin was $4-5 or $10k, you would have made more money than on popular lunchpads. This only works if you don't have a strategy for trading Bitcoin futures trading during a bull market, when you are increasing just the number of Bitcoins. Then you can make much more money than on altcoins.
But if you prefer Altcoins, you can not only fail to earn, but also lose a lot of money, as most of traders, who bought crypto when Bitcoin was above 50-60 thousands, did.
To give you an example, let's take the lunchpads on Binance for the then popular Game-Fi projects on ATH:
1. DAR - up 35% and down 91%
2. MBOX - after growing by 130%, it fell by 95%.
Is this the kind of profit you want to make? The fairy tale about 100x is definitely not here.
Summing up, it's better to take part in several Lunchpads at Bitcoin's "bottom" and get 1000% or at least break-even, than to participate at ATH and get a loss of 95%.
It`s worth to say that only 1 out of 100 coins/crypto have a some value, another one made for collecting money from the crypto newbees. Our aim is to buy low and sell high. That`s all.
Check the idea about when it`s better to come to a crypto market and crypto trading. This idea give you a clear understanding about why you are at the rights place now!
I will explain you where is the best place to buy ALT`s in the next educational ideas! Cheers!
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
The '5th rule' in support/resistance trades !!!There is a false and very deceptive saying in technical analysis when it comes to identifying strong and valid S/R levels, which says that the more tests apply to S/R levels the stronger they become.
excuse me WHAT?!!!!!
Many tests won't make support nor resistance levels any stronger, in fact, we have a rule here which mentions: ' the 5th touch of S/R level will most probably become a breakout '
most probably ladies and gentlemen, not 100%
the psychology behind this is simple:
every time we bounce from a support or resistance level, more retail traders will be attracted to open a position in the direction of the bounce, therefore a lot of liquidity will create for market makers, aka smart money, to join the party and grab their liquidity in their favor and move the market with ease afterward.
as lots of retail traders are not familiar with basic risk management methods, they put their stop losses just above or below the S/R levels, sooooo... liquidity will be provided. easy stop hunt opportunity !!!
this is in fact a common way for market makers to manipulate the market and deviate the price, trap as many traders as they can, and hunt every stop losses out there.
*one more key point: after the breakout, it's not 100% guaranteed that the S/R level is flipped. it could be a deviation!!
that it for today's article, please consider liking and following me if you find any of my ideas useful xoxo
What is Potential Reversal zone and how to make it?How can we find a Potential Reversal Zone?
Is it enough to just make a simple Retracement or we can make our support zone narrower? how can we be more confident about our possible supports?
What are Fibonacci levels for different types of Fibonacci and what are typical ones among them? How can we implement different wave degrees to make our PRZ even stronger?
You can find answers to all above questions in this video.
I hope you to enjoy this video and wish you all the best.
Trade Recap - CADJPY, EURJPY, USDJPY (+1.8R)Hi Traders. As usual, just some of my trade recap today, net off a positive 1.8R, extremely grateful for that.
I believe this is one of the best way to boost most of your trading performance, is by watching me explain step by step, what's my thought process on each of the decision I make on a daily basis.
If you enjoy the content, make sure you follow my profile and click the like button.
Take care and trade safe.
All the content I've posted are for educational purposes, please perform your own research and only take it as a reference.
📊BTC and FED RATE: is it better to hike? Crypto mythbusters!Some experts use such rules as hiking rate = bear market and falling rate = bull market but if we compare the fed rate with the BTC price we can see that the price is not always follow this rule. Trully say in most cases it don`t.
Let's dive deeper into it!
______________
📊THE BULL MARKETS:
1️⃣ 2015-2017 – the rate is growing.
2️⃣ 2018-2019 - the rate isn`t growing but still high.
3️⃣ 2020-2021 - the rate is 0 and market is growing.
In 2 out of 3 cases the market is growing when the rate is high.
At the end if we compare two Bull markets of 2017 and 2021 there is more massive and longer growth was at 2017 when the rate was hicking.
______________
📊THE BEAR MARKETS:
1️⃣ 2017-2018 - the rate is growing and market is falling. Actually, it can happen because of the lack of buyers. It was the biggest BTC bullrun so the hicking rate is not the main reason.
2️⃣ 2019-2020 - the rate is falling and price is falling too.
3️⃣ 2021-2022 - the rate is growing but the price is falling.
In 2 out of 3 cases the hicking of the rate push the price lower but as we have already identified the 1st bear market of 2017-2018 had to happen after the biggest bull market.
🚩Why the market can fall this time? We had the case of Do Kwon and Luna, UST. Additionally, the stock market push the price of crypto lower. This 2 thing caused the extreme fear at the market and forced retail traders to sell.
🏁Finally, we can say that this pattern is unclear and in most cases work against the rule "hicking rate = bear market".
Traders, what do you think about this patterns of the FED rate and BTC price? Maybe we need to use it with other aproaches such as inflation rate, money supply etc together to make a succesfull fundamental analysis? Write your thoughts in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
The power of the daily highs, lows and the VWAP!Hey Traders and Happy Monday!
In todays post on our Tradingview channel talk about the importance of the 3 main levels we focus on, which are,
VWAP
Daily high
Daily low
Based on what happens at these levels we usually take big action! The video explains more.
Enjoy and see you tomorrow!
#support #resistance #keylevel
📊When you come to the crypto vs When you really need to comePush the like if you come to cryptomarket at #1 and #4 areas or write a comment if at #2, #3, #5. I bet it will be more likes. Today, i`ll explain you why you need to come at #2, #3, #5 in crypto and most of traders don`t understand it.
As you can see the yellow areas is always the "hype" area when most of the newbees are coming at the crypto market and any other markets. It`s actually not bad because more and more people discover the crypto and trading of crypto.
What is wrong with the bear market? Market is crashing, everithing is bad for short-term for hodlers. But guys, traders can open short trades using futures trading. Essential thing that is potential to earn. At the falling market it`s much less then at the BULL market.
EXAMPLE: if you open a short with x1 leverage even from ATH to the bottom it`s just: +83%, +71%, +70%. If you open the long with x1 leverage or just trade the bull market which start at white areas you can earn +350%, +1300% and it`s just about BTC.
What about the altcoins? They have unexpected % of growth. Most of them grow higher than Bitcoin. Some of them make x10, x50, x100. And it`s only at the BULL MARKETS which start at white areas.
So if you are at crypto now start to study and be ready for the next bull market. Please don't follow the majority and leave the market when everyone else does. Your time will come soon, if you prepare for it well.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.