Candlestick Patterns (Pin Bar) Part 3Pin Bars Are in Top 5 Reversal Candlestick Setups: Chart example Bearish Pin Bar
1) Price for Candlestick Push Up Higher, but Seller are stronger & end up pushing price action down to lower edge of candlestick
2) Wick/Shadow/Tail should be 2/3 or more of candlestick in length of real body
4) Real body should be 1/3 overall length of candlestick
5) A bearish trade of 1.26500 to 1.26300 to 1.26250 or 20 pips to 25 pips would have been easy to set up on chart example
6) Set entry at 1.26500, Set stop at 1.26700 and exit/profit at 1.26300. Yes, that is 1:1 Risk Reward- but with high win rate of 70% or more, it works
Trading Forex is like playing baseball: sometimes you strike out, most of time you hit singles and sometimes doubles, triples & on occasionally you will hit a home run.
If you scalp or day trade look for singles or doubles when trading, then you will trade for a lifetime. All about not being greedy and taking what a given pair, price, session and time will give you related to a single trade. Just take a piece of pip pie, you do not need the whole PIP PIE.
Support and Resistance
Where to target and what to do once there?I've been bad. I've been greedy with having "strong hands" when I had some 5 to 7R, really should have gotten out when it started retracing. How do I let it go from over 5R to -1? From March-April to September 2020 I got baited. There was oil, there were all the USD trends in summer, and they all went rather far. After this I wanted to keep running my winners, I was not sure exactly what I should do, I was busy with other things to look into it (finalize a strategy and add 2 new ones to my pool of 2 + 2 I don't use so really double my setups) I just went for hold but on top of that I forgot about my positions and let them run (reverse) forever without paying much attention.
I spent 2 years on just 1 strategy (+2 I do not use) from mid-late 2018 to mid-late 2020. Took me I'd say around 10,000 hours of backtesting, trial and error, and so on, to make it right. Added a new one in 6 months (all day every day), and then in early 2021 damn it's actually recent I casually added 2 in a few days no sweat. My first strategy has a fixed target, or had, actually I am not entirely sure what to do here. But more generally I spent 4 years not really know what to do once the price got to the target area, should I trail with a tight stop or wide or just get out? But now I know.
It is a long road. The basics however, they are instant. No work required, it only depends on the individual they either get it or they don't. It's like you start with an edge from day 1, at +1% and then you spend a whole lot of time to bring that to +20%. People at -100% the huge losers don't "just do the opposite" and end up at +100%. Don't think brokers checked? The big losers take 20 trades a day. They have 0 edge positive or negative. And winners mostly follow the trend, risk a little to make a lot, and hold. It's just that for optimal results they learn to not always hold. No, not "after having learned to hold", there is no unlearning. Those that don't hold from day 1, just bad, no hope. At least according to academics, regulators and brokers. People that don't hold winners from the start never make it. Simple stats.
Getting started with targets is really easy. Entry does not matter, target is easy, stop too. Everything doesn't matter or is easy with investing.
First, the observations (non exhaustive):
There are 2 approach:
1- The robot. Throw a ball, the dog sees it, gets excited, chases the ball. The market throws some bounces, the "day" or "swing" trader sees them, gets excited, and chases. No added value, no intelligence. The price bounces, but in a very wide area and the bounce amplitude is random. So they think they found a holy grail, because damn they're onto something clearly no one noticed the price bounced on supports, and they insist on awful "strategies", try to make it work with 3 to 1 risk to reward, very far away stop since it bounces randomly around support, and the target is terribad for obvious reasons. Wide stop tiny target.
2- Since the price will bounce from moderatly to a lot, use this area as a target, and when the price starts reversing we know it probably will retrace significantly so we jump off the ship. The second approach is also buying in a downtrend on these supports same as 1-, but after having sold. So the "edge" noobies think they see and absolutely want to "take advantage of" is exploited this way, it is literally the same buying at supp. But I don't know I guess everyone today is terrible at math and logic they can't even think of buying at support without it being a ridiculous countertrend 0.3 reward to risk gamble, doesn't even cross their mind. You actually get to buy at support.
What is funny is they see the price breakout, then go in a straight line to the next level, and they somehow get all excited "I'm going to buy". No one wants to sell? Brain not working properly. Makes no sense.
It is rly binary, you either get it or dont. It is a skill check (or is it attribute?) like in RPG games. Which is nice since you get to know very fast if you will make it or not, no need to waste 5 years. I saw (and regulators + brokers tell us) there are some degenerates that have been losing for 10 years and still continue. I saw someone on youtube that has a 20 years long "career" and all he has done is lose! For 20 years! He even describes his 20 years of failure in a video, his wife almost left him and he had many struggles. He sells robots now, trying to get some of what he lost back. He probably thinks he was "so unfortunate" it is ok to scam people. "The kid has heart", ye that's what you say about losers. Just means someone is dumb enough to insist when something is clearly not working for them.
There is not much more to it, the basics that is. Then from here getting good targets takes grinding, experience? Only way I know how to is with stats, even the "not stats people" look at the past and gain experience by "working out" like PTJ did to predict 1987 crash. He isn't a quant but still looked at the past. Even Warren Buffett learned from experience and made stats, I guess his targets are something like "how expensive" with variables "market emotions" and "interest rates" but he knows when expensive is too expensive based on statistics (that he read or experienced over the decades) not based on magical fairy dust.
What to do at target? Well this is a long story. So many possibilities and ifs and buts. I'm going to show 2 examples and call it a day.
There is a lot of stuff on the chart, it's not very clean, looks like a "technical analyst" or day trader chart, sorry. Obviously investing takes more than drawing 2 lines, there are going to be several conditions to enter, several conditions to where to enter, several things that go into the stop, the target, etc. A board hitting its head on a keyboard can't make money. The same way I doubt a robot mindlessly buying when a stock hits a P/E of 5 would make money, investors look at cash flow, management, past revenue, book value, competition, and many other things. Simple things, but several of them (not 1 million numbers either).
So once the trade is entered, and target is at 6R:
And yes it does not stop at every support, sometimes it fires past target:
And finally, of course:
Can be good places to add (after the bounce took place)!
EURGBP 1H HEAD AND SHOULDERS NECKLINE BREAK PULLBACK ENGULFINGOn the EURGBP 1H time frame there was recently a perfect head and shoulders pattern that formed.
A strong neckline break followed by a 50% pullback and then a strong bearish engulfing set up a perfect high probability trade.
The head and shoulders pattern confirms that the trend is temporarily turning bearish.
The engulfing candle opened perfectly at the neckline and spiked up forming a huge wick.
The engulfing candle engulfed 6 previous candles which increases the probability of further bearish momentum.
As soon as the bearish engulfing candles closes, it is safe to enter short.
A safe stop loss would be placed slightly above the high of the bearish engulfing candle.
A riskier stop loss would be placed slightly above the bearish engulfing candle body high.
A 1:3 risk to reward offers plenty of profit.
It is also important to note that the bearish engulfing candle closed at 3am CST.
Time & Price Strategy (Box Breakouts)Time & Price Strategy (Box Breakouts) rules:
1) If scalping and/or day trading
2) Use Forex pairs with high ATRs or over 90, now GBP and EUR pairs
3) Use hourly charts
4) Use Naked charts (only price action on them)
5) Add vertical lines every 4 hours from session open . Chart is 2pm, 6pm, 10pm, 2am, 6am & 10am. (Every 4 hours- from beginning of new session)
Chart look at smiley faces as times you should and should not trade r/t liquidity and volatility- red not trade, yellow maybe and green trade.
6) Add horizontal lines every 12.5 pips or as follows: 000, 125, 250, 375, 500, 625, 750, 875, so EIGHT lines. Example: 1.58125 as on chart.
The above will give you boxes of both 4 hour times (vertically) and 12.5 pips (horizontal).
Example hourly chart of EURAUD, on Friday gave you four possible trades to enter, place stops and exit with a profit. Three bullish and one bearish trade.
1) Trade with trend, momentum, support and resistance or breakout
2) Once price action hits or breakouts a box, then enter with stop at other end of box, three bullish trades use lower end of box for stop losses.
3) one bearish trade use upper end of box for stop loss.
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE- you do not need to complicate Forex trading. Focus on price action, trends, momentum, support and resistance & risk management. Best times to trade everyday is in-between Tokyo end to London end related to high liquidity and high volatility.
Read The Market (RTM) 🚦 each reversal pivot or node (flag) has big orders that makes a Failure To Continue interval which called FTC
imagine that each reversal pivot has 3 disposable price interval like traffic light :
1. yellow (FTC accept) : its kind of protection for FTC, start of finding divergence like wave 3-5 of Elliot
2. red (FTC) : the level which has biggest order and most potential to revers
3. green (MPL) : its safe to continue...
* notice that each interval is disposable, it means that if price touch it once, it doesn't work any more ...
** we have any fractal concept in this strategy like other's... sor for each big FTC, we have more accurate FTC ... if you dont know what fractal means, check "Butterfly effect and Fractal" tutorial on related ideas ...
as you see in Bitcoin, 55-58 is the last FTC of FTC for uptrend and it has already touched once, so we dont have any red light above but .... it has just reached accurate red light and still we have FTC of 55-58 interval which is 56100-56900 ... so BTC should have some retrace to a reversal point (FTC) ... it has a minor FTC in 42k and major one around 38k, both of them are untouched ... after 37k is green to continue to 27 or 24 even...
we try to continue showing each traffic light 🚦 in following analysis ...
thanks for reading this article, hope it would gainful...
SINPER CONFLUENCE TRADING OANDA:GBPUSD
confluence trading is just multiple reasons stacking up in your favour to take the trade. you should always have some sort of validation to take a trade... my trading style consist of fibonacci levels, psychological levels, support resistance, trend line bounces and much more.
one thing to remember is the more confluences you have the more confident you should be in taking the trade. in this example ive shown how you could plot your confluences for you to find a perfect entry with minimal drawdown. take your time to backtest and practice. get your eyes used to seeing these set ups occurring.
MTF Order Block Finder Final Update!
Release Notes: FINAL UPDATE
This script is Open Source and completely free and will remain public indefinitely!
We'll be releasing a Private Script with extremely useful Alert Conditions in ~1 Week!
Consider following my Profile to see updates regarding trial periods and subscriptions.
Start using the Free version of MTF Order Block finder before moving onto the Premium version,
with Alerts based on High Timeframe candles entering and leaving Order Blocks!
How To Use Order Blocks
1. Set the "Resolution" to a higher timeframe than your intraday chart (1H, 4H, D...)
2. Configure your "Order Block Style and Colors" to your liking
3. Pending Trade Setup - Price enters and closes within an Order Block
4. Entry Condition - Price exits and closes outside of an Order Block
5. Second Entry Condition - Confirm with your favorite momentum indicator (RSI, Stoch, TDI, Squeeze...)
6. Set your SL to the Order Block's furthest level (top or bottom)
7. Set your TP to the next Order Block's closest level (top or bottom)
8. Brew some coffee (or tea) and ride it out.
What are Falling and Rising Wedge Patterns?What Is the Wedge Pattern and Its Common Characteristics?
1. Wedge patterns have converging trend lines that come to an apex with a distinguishable upside or downside slant.
a. Wedge with an upside slant is called a rising wedge
b. Wedge with downside slant is called falling wedge
2. It has declining volumes as the pattern progresses.
3. It breaks out from one of the trend lines.
Why We Should Pay Attention to Wedge Patterns?
Some studies suggest that a wedge pattern will breakout towards a reversal rather than a continuation more often than two-thirds of the time. Therefore as the rule of thumb, people generally treat a falling wedge as a bullish pattern and a rising wedge as a bearish pattern, especially a falling wedge would be a more reliable reversal indicator than a rising wedge.
Since we know a wedge pattern has a higher probability to reverse and due to the fact that the price of wedge pattern converges to a smaller area, we can trade the reversal set up with a relatively close stop loss to its entry price, which provides us with a good trading opportunity with a decent Risk:Reward ratio.
Examples of a Bullish Rising Wedge and Bearish Falling Wedge.
Sadly, there is nothing that works 100% in trading. Not every rising or falling wedge will reverse as one might expect. Every trader must properly manage their risk by setting stop losses and not just trading based on price patterns. Below are two examples.
Bullish Rising Wedge (ETHUSDT during 15/NOV/20 - 28/DEC/20)
In the early stages of the epic 20-21 bull market, if traders blindly treat the rising wedge as a bearish signal and trade accordingly, they would pay a heavy price.
Bearish Falling Wedge (LTCUSD during 14/AUG/18 - 14/NOV/18)
On the contrary, in the late stage of the 2018 bear market, any trader who blindly trades the falling wedge to bet on a reversal would also learn a hard lesson.
Comment down your thoughts on Ascending Triangle Pattern in the comment section.
Disclaimer:
This is just an educational post. Never trade just any pattern. And please do your research before making any trades.
Happy Trading!
How to adjust your charts for dividend paymentsBond funds like the SPDR Portfolio Mortgage Backed Bond ETF (SPMB) often look like money-losers when you view their returns on a non-adjusted basis. In this case, the price is down about -0.74% over the life of the fund.
The picture looks very different when you adjust for dividends. For SPMB, the return changes to +46.09% over the life of the fund:
That's obviously a very different chart than the non-adjusted chart. Dividend adjustment can also make a large difference for high-yield dividend stocks. For instance, IBM is down over the last ten years on a non-adjusted basis, but on an adjusted basis it has gone sideways.
IBM, non-adjusted:
IBM, adjusted:
The commonly accepted adjustment methodology is that the most recent closing price will be the same on an adjusted and non-adjusted chart, but historical closing prices will be different. On an adjusted chart, the stock price on a historical date will be shown as the current closing price minus all dividends paid since then. Dividend subtractions typically are made on a percentage rather than dollar basis to prevent historical prices from showing as negative values. To actually perform the calculation is a little technical, but that's the overall idea.
To apply dividend adjustment to a TradingView chart is super easy. In the lower right-hand corner of your chart, you will see the letters "adj". Click to toggle between adjusted and non-adjusted price data. When the text is blue, you are viewing the adjusted chart. When the text is black, adjustment is turned off.
Right next to the letters "adj" is a "%" symbol. Toggling this on and off will switch the axis of the chart between dollars and percent change over the period visible on the chart. This is useful for comparing adjusted and non-adjusted returns.
One implication of using adjusted charts is that the support levels and moving averages will be in different places. For instance, on a non-adjusted basis, VALE is currently below its 200-week moving average. On an adjusted basis, it is well above the average.
VALE, non-adjusted:
Vale, adjusted:
In short, on an adjusted basis a stock may not be as cheap as it looks on a non-adjusted basis. Many quant traders and hedge funds will be using adjusted moving averages rather than non-adjusted ones.
ETH An example in why retail traders are wrong!Good Morning traders!
Today I have a great example of order protection and liquidity building.
This is something that I have been speaking about for a long time and this current PA shows it well.
The blue boxes show places where large orders have been placed and and initiated moves. See how price returns to retest these areas?! this gives the Banks, Whales and big players a chance to protect orders.
Retail traders place orders outside of these areas "support and resistance areas" These orders can easily be seen, and therefore hunted. The highs and lows create areas for the big players to exit the large volume positions as every buy order needs a seller and vice versa.
I hope this information has been helpful.
As always trade safe.
EnvisionEJ
A Few Thoughts About Drawing Trend LinesI generally like trend lines because of the basic information that they convey - a trend. A trendline going up and to the right suggests the trend is upward! A trend line going down and to the left suggests the trend is downward! You don't need to overthink it. BUT you also have to remember that if you chose to trade a trendline you need to be willing to sit on your hands, be patient, and wait... wait... wait until that trendline comes into any contact whatsoever.
Always 3 or more connecting points!
Before I get deep into trendlines and how I have learned to use them, I want to quickly comment on one art of trendlines that needs to be addressed: a trendline needs to connect at least 3 or more times. Anyone can draw a trendline with two connecting points. You will always find that. What separates a random trendline with no visual significance is one that has 3 more trendlines. Yes it might still be random, but each trendline touch and bounce also may show that someone else is following this exact trendline as well, either from a fundamental mindset (growing revenues with price or something like that) or a technical mindset (trend following, dip buying, etc).
Trendlines are not easy
As Benoit Mandelbrot once said, “The trend has vanished, killed by its own discovery.”
I always think of that quote when setting trendlines, because, well, there is a dual edge sword to when you found the trendline and its time horizon. Are you late to the trendline? Has everyone already discovered this winning investment? Or is only just beginning? Of course, the trend can be reinforcing and the longer it lasts the stronger it can get, but ultimately you want to avoid hype. Find the trend BEFORE the discovery of it by everyone else.
A few other Trendline tips
I think a lot of people will trade trendlines thinking "well it's up, so if I get in here at least I know it's heading up!" But that is the wrong way to think of trendlines. You actually may want to think of it as the opposite.
For example, how far off is price from the trend line you drew? Is it 10% above the trendline or 20% above the trendline? Well that's actually a reason to wait. Let it come to you. You can create an alert right on the Trendline and then sit back, kick your feet up, and patiently wait for that alert to trigger.
So to me a Trendline is not a buy signal or a bullish event. Actually possibly the opposite. It's more of a buy the dip event. Something you wait to be tested and then your risk/reward aligns.
But like I said, one problem I often see with trendlines i people think just because the trend is up now is a good time to buy. No... wait for the trendline test before you think of buying.
Hope you enjoyed this quick post about trendlines and how I think about them!
Moving Averages Are Foundation Of Trading (MAs or EMAs)The Moving average indicator is a Forex trading indicator. This Moving average indicators can be used with Forex all currency pairs that is also compatible with other trading strategies. Every trader should be comfortable with the basics of moving average.
The Forex market is controlled by banking system and global companies. As a result, it’s critical to understand what’s happening on at the global level.
The moving average is the average price of the previous result of candles, which claims to represent the price’s overall trend.
If the price is buying and selling just under the moving average, even so, it indicates that buyers are in control of the money supply. As a result, if the price is above the moving average, you should focus your trading strategy on buying trades. It is one of the most important Forex indicators for a trader to understand. In moreover, the simple moving average represents the typical price of the previous number of candles,
which enables traders in understanding the market frame of reference. The increasing moving average, on the other hand, focuses on the most recent trend and supports traders in trying to enter a trade.
This is part of basic Forex tools you need to know, if you want to be successful as a Forex trader.
My five EMA strategy was taken from BTMM (Beat The Market Maker) strategy- but still works today. FYI *You can you tube or google this if wanting too. They are EMA- 5,13,50,200 & 800< all have a reason and purpose to be on chart when scalping, day trading, position or swing trading.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) Biggest problem with beginner tradersHi Everyone, today I wanted to ramble a little more on something that I struggled a lot with and still do to this day, that is the fear of missing that one big trade that your one hundred percent sure that this is the one that will make you a millionaire. This is where the problem comes in many people think of trading as such a simple thing but also over complicate it at the same time. When you ask another trader they may be using ten different indicators on their chart at once they will tell you that it helps them time the market better and is their way of approaching the market, this approach is perfectly fine if that your personal style. But, on the flip side if you ask that same trader if they are willing to create a simple trading plan to make sure that their emotions are in check before taking the trade and this is the trade they really want to be taking. A simple trading plan can really make a difference in anyone's trading career but this is not the main focus for today, I will be posting more on a strict trading plan to do exactly that, keep you in check and allow for your edge in the market to really reveal itself.
Fear of missing out, this is something that many of us have personally struggled with whether we like it or not some of us including myself even struggle with it to this day. This is when you are looking at the chart and without doing a full analysis on the pair you go into it already having a bias on the pair and this will only allow you to see the market in one single way. This causes you to think there is a good trade but in reality there is nothing really even going in your favor, but you think oh no I know for a fact this thing is going down and I need to get in now for a better risk to reward ratio. This causes you to be blinded to what is actually happening in the market and leads you to taking a stupid trade that could have easily been avoided.
Some of you may be following me already and have already seen some of my analysis and post these previous few weeks, while a lot of them went against my initial analysis I did not take half of the trades on my account. For me to take a trade I want to have confirmation which would be a close above the zone of recent highs or lows and after that close confirming that there is more momentum in my favor, only then will I actually take the trade. I have this "Rule" in place to allow for better trades and try to limit me to my stupid trades due to my fear of missing out. I even started to literally sit on my hands or not even look at the charts for a while waiting to see if my trade that I would want actually lines up or if it is a false breakout, waiting for that confirmation has allowed for me to take a lot less losing trades and this is something that I would highly suggest doing in your own trading strategy as well.
You should be able to close your eyes and imagine your perfect setup right now, and that is the only conditions you should take a trade under. If you are taking trades based on emotions that is never going to go well, so many different things can happen in someone's life that can effect their personal trading routines and overall psychology. It is very very very important to have rules set in place to help better your trading and help you along that journey of becoming a break even trader and even a future profitable trader. While this will allow for a person's strategy to really thrive, risk management and the proper set up rules will really improve any trading strategy no matter how good or bad it may be.
Thank you all for the support the trading community has already showed me while I have been trying to share my trades for my own personal benefit and the benefit to whoever may take a peek at my information. Hope you all had an amazing trading week and I will be posting more about suggested topics or whatever I feel like writing about that day, hope you had a good day.
Thanks again,
KeySlot
The Magical 50 days Exponential Moving Average (50EMA)In 2021, we should take the price reaction to 50EMA very seriously! Especially if you like to buy the dips!
I believe it could be single best tool to help you find the best entry and exit point in many tickers..!
Let's review few examples:
1- NASDAQ:NVDA
2- NASDAQ:MSFT
3- NASDAQ:AAPL
4- NASDAQ:GOOG
5- NASDAQ:FB
6- NYSE:CRM
7- NASDAQ:CSCO
8- NYSE:SNOW
9- NYSE:BAC
10- NYSE:XOM
and major indexes:
SP:SPX
TVC:NDX
TVC:DJI
What is Price Action?
Price action is the movement of a security's price plotted over time. Price action forms the basis for all technical analysis of a stock, commodity, or other asset charts. Many short-term traders rely exclusively on price action and the formations and trends extrapolated from it to make trading decisions. Technical analysis as a practice is a derivative of price action since it uses past prices in calculations that can then be used to inform trading decisions.
Price action generally refers to the up and down movement of a security's price when it is plotted over time.
Different looks can be applied to a chart to make trends in price action more obvious for traders.
Technical analysis formations and chart patterns are derived from price action. Technical analysis tools like moving averages are calculated from price action and projected into the future to inform trades.
How to Use Price Action
Price action is not generally seen as a trading tool like an indicator, but rather the data source off which all the tools are built. Swing traders and trend traders tend to work most closely with price action, eschewing any fundamental analysis in favor of focusing solely on support and resistance levels to predict breakouts and consolidation. Even these traders must pay some attention to additional factors beyond the current price, as the volume of trading and the time periods being used to establish levels all have an impact on the likelihood of their interpretations being accurate.
Limitations of Price Action
Interpreting price action is very subjective. It's common for two traders to arrive at different conclusions when analyzing the same price action. One trader may see a bearish downtrend and another might believe that the price action shows a potential near-term turnaround. Of course, the time period being used also has a huge influence on what traders see as a stock can have many intraday downtrends while maintaining a month-over-month uptrend. The important thing to remember is that trading predictions made using price action on any time scale are speculative. The more tools you can apply to your trading prediction to confirm it, the better. In the end, however, the past price action of a security is no guarantee of future price action. High probability trades are still speculative trades, which means traders take on the risks to get access to the potential rewards.
Conclusion:
Monitor asset reaction to 50EMA and define your entry and exit strategy based on this simple tool!
Reference Article::
www.investopedia.com
New Upgrade to [MTF Order Block Finder]Thank you all for the support on my most recent indicator - MTF Order Block Finder
I'm happy to announce a new update with new default settings, added features requested by traders, and a new setting to make MTF Order Block analysis significantly less frustrating!
Check out the indicator page for more details if you've never used the tool :)
Release Notes: Settings changes, feature requests, and upgrades!
1. New default values for settings
- Min. Percent move for valid OB (0.25% -> 0.3%)
- Max Bullish Zones to show (2 -> 4)
- Max Bearish Zones to show (2 -> 4)
- Ignore Dojis at Start (disabled -> enabled)
2. Requested Features
- Bullish/Bearish Zone color - set your own color and transparency instead of choosing from presets
- Line Widths for High/Low and Avg- set your own line width when using the LINE drawing style
3. Upgrades
Order Block Draw Distance
Often times when using an Intraday chart and drawing MTF Order Blocks, you'll see
your candles shrink and compress - this can be very annoying, especially on TradingView mobile.
TradingView automatically resizes the chart to keep ALL drawings within view and unfortunately,
there are no chart settings to "ignore" drawings that aren't relevant to current price.
Now you can set a Draw Distance by percent (%) change to hide Order Blocks that are
very distant from current price.
Using this setting has several benefits:
- MTF Order Block zones plot much faster (less objects for TV to draw)
- Allows you to have many Order Blocks (more than the default of 4) and only show most relevant
- Overall less frustration! No need to take your chart off "Auto" and resize it manually
Breaking down a movementMy goal is to help others see the reason behind my analysis and hopefully they learn something new or at least review what they already know
I believe to be successful in the analysis regardless of the timeframe you should breaking it down to pieces and manage it piece by piece:
1- A bull trend is a period of time in financial markets when the price of an asset or security rises continuously.
2- A sideways trend is the horizontal price movement that occurs when the forces of supply and demand are nearly equal. This typically occurs during a period of consolidation before the price continues a prior trend or reverses into a new trend. A sideways price trend is also commonly known as a "horizontal trend."
3- A breakout refers to when the price of an asset moves above a resistance area, or moves below a support area. Breakouts indicate the potential for the price to start trending in the breakout direction. For example, a breakout to the upside from a chart pattern could indicate the price will start trending higher.
4- A pullback is a temporary reversal in the price action of an asset or security. The duration of a pullback is usually only a few consecutive sessions. ... Pullbacks can provide an entry point for traders looking to enter a position when other technical indicators remain bullish.
5- Resistance occurs where an uptrend is expected to pause temporarily, due to a concentration of supply.
Reference Articles:
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
Now let's review my trading setup published last week:
What is Ascending Triangle Pattern?What is an Ascending Triangle Pattern?
Ascending Triangle Pattern is a continuation pattern that means when it plays out it will continue the preceding trend. It is created by price moves that allow for an upper horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs, and a lower rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. These two lines form an ascending triangle. Traders here usually watch for breakouts from upper resistance in ascending triangle patterns.
How does the Ascending Triangle Pattern work?
After the prior uptrend when investors try to book profits it creates a resistance that leads to a high supply zone. But due to the prior uptrend investors are still interested in the asset which leads to picking up in demand slowly, resulting in a rising trendline. Time in this phase is also a crucial element. The longer this pattern consolidates, the more chances it has to give a possible breakout to continue the uptrend.
Why is the Ascending Triangle Pattern Unique?
Ascending triangle patterns usually have a higher breakout success rate than symmetrical triangle patterns. In an ascending triangle, higher lows are constantly being built, which shows there is a strong demand for the asset.
Role of Volume:
Volume plays a major role in the completion of all major patterns. The horizontal trendline which acts as resistance can give spikes in volume. We will call it a breakout when a candle closes above horizontal resistance level with a great volume spike or rise in average volume.
Above Chart Explanation:
This is the 4H chart of FTTUSDT with a clear preceding upward trend. After the uptrend, we enter the second phase where the upper horizontal line becomes resistance 4 times in a row and the lower rising trendline becomes support 3 times in a row. As we have observed here FTTUSDT consolidated for nearly 1 month in an ascending triangle pattern, which finally led to a super bullish breakout.
Two Possible Entries:
Entry 1: On rising support, when the price touches the rising support trendline and if there is rising average volume, it makes a good entry with a stop loss placed below the previous higher low point.
Entry 2: On resistance breakout, we should wait for the 4H candle to close above the resistance to confirm the breakout’s validity. Once the breakout is valid, a potential opportunity would be to enter at the close of the 4H candle with a stop loss placed a little below the breakout level. Usually, we should target the height of the triangle after the breakout.
Comment down your thoughts on Ascending Triangle Pattern in the comment section.
Disclaimer:
This is just an educational post. Never trade just any pattern. And please do your research before making any trades.
Happy Trading!
The Fibonacci Golden RatioThe Golden Ratio: After opening, few numbers in the Fibonacci series, the ratio that will appear after every greater number will equivalent to .618, whilst the lowest number will be 1.618. These two important numbers are known as the Golden ratio. Example divide Fib #: 34/55= 1.618
Fibonacci numbers were first introduced in European countries, which was still using Roman numerals with the decimal system or the Hindu-Arabic numerals as presently used. The Fibonacci sequence: 1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34 and so on to infinity, is made by adding the two previous numbers in the sequence, to come up with the next number. Golden ratio is connected to Fibonacci, as it was recorded that just after the first few numbers in Fibonacci sequence, ratio of any number to the next higher number is approximately .618, and the lower number is 1.618. These two numbers are known as the Golden ratio.
Trading golden ratio means that traders need to find previous high or previous low on the wished trading chart (daily high or low, weekly high or low, etc.), and then to analyze significant retracement price levels typically translated into percentages such as 23.6, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% on the chart. Golden ratio trading strategy represents a strategy where traders buy or sell assets using retracement and expansion levels for stop loss, entry price, and target price.
What Can Fibonacci Do For You?
1) Fibonacci shows us where to place stop-loss levels. Any trader can apply these numbers to make a stop loss level. For example, if at least three price levels of Fibonacci numbers appear with a different and tight spot, then a dealer can put a stop loss either under or above the spot to settle down things.
2) Fibonacci determines position size. Position size can be determined by the Fibonacci, which relies on the level of risk you take in your deal. For example, if the prices are exactly on a required level, then at that time, you would probably wish to have multiple positions that could move your price further.
3) Fibonacci defines targets. In Fibonacci numbers, when the pattern has finished in a price zone, you can take advantage of it to profit. This objective will assist the traders in being analytical in their strategy.
Supply and Demand patterns scanned automaticallyVery often the main issue for traders is to just on time (quickly?) spot on chart correct patterns that may warn traders about incoming to market Supply or Demand. Everyone tries to catch reversals as this is beginning of potentially long new trend. And asking yourself try to answer honestly to yourself - how often you skipped the move because you didn't notice it at first glance and only it was visible to you AFTER the move happen, when you revisited chart and tried to take lesson learnt from chart and wondering why you didn't enter trade that time..
There could be a lot of reasons of that but one of main that I try to fight is - eliminate subjectiveness. Therefore still I don't automate trading, but try to get potential signals identified by software. After multiple months of research and work, I modified original VSA approach and prepared better version of definitions combining knowledge and tips from multiple VSA Experts. That's how software was created and is learnt to identify Demand and Supply Signals automatically notifying me via alerts/notifications about potential trades. When we add to those signals automatic drawing of Volume Zones, we have complete trading system. Especially during first retest Volume Zones works like a charm when there's perfect opportunities to enter trades in original direction of first breakthrough.
On chart I also marked recent examples of Demand & Supply signals that were identified by Scanner BEFORE the trend move happened. Still judgement of trader (manual) is needed but Scanner gives already big edge on market. Combining this with Volume Analysis known from VSA approach and with knowledge about basic market structures, there's no other option than become profitable trader. Of course if you follow your own trading rules and properly manage money alongside with Risk:Reward ratio.
Fibonacci Expansion (How To Use)PLOTTING A FIBONACCI EXPANSION:
- Select the Fibonacci Expansion Tool
1) Start From The Top Of The Trend (In A Down Trend)
2) Set The Middle Point Where The Correction Started
3) Set The 3rd Point, Where The Correction Ended
Possible Target areas and/or zones are plotted below this 3rd point for you to utilize as per your risk management and trading style.
*For an uptrend set up you would just need to turn the above upside down, not hard but will help lessen your stress when trading FX.
Fibonacci Retracement Definition Part 4Fibonacci Retracement Definition Is:
In finance, Fibonacci retracement is a method of technical analysis for determining support and resistance levels.
It is named after the Fibonacci sequence of numbers, whose ratios provide price levels to which markets tend to retrace a portion of a move, before a trend continues in the original direction.
A Fibonacci retracement forecast is created by taking two extreme points on a chart and dividing the vertical distance by important Fibonacci ratios.
0% is considered to be the start of the retracement, while 100% is a complete reversal to the original price before the move.
Horizontal lines are drawn in the chart for these price levels to provide support and resistance levels. Common levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%.
Yes, you can add or change any and/or all of these numbers to your trading style- they can be used to enter a trade, set stop loss and targets.
This retracement percentage lines are short term reversal areas to possible take new trades with the main trend of day, week or month.
Fibonacci Retracement Entries Part 3Fibonacci Retracement Tool can:
1) Give you Support lines or areas
2) Give you Resistance lines or areas
3) Where to enter a trade
4) Where to place your stop loss
5) Where to place your target profit (use the Fibonacci extension tool for profit targets)- where price action MIGHT go too.
Your trading will be easier if you use the Fibonacci Retracement tool (and Extension tool)- by making your trading strategy mechanical. Trading without emotions and with risk management will put you into the 10% of successful traders, this is where you want to be.
Buy low into an upwards trend and Sell low into a downtrend will great increase your profits and reduce your stress- Fibonacci Tool is the one for this.