How Bitcoin can impact alt coins like sol and sui This video is a very quick update on the potential for bitcoin to drop into the 96/97k region and the effect it will have on alt coins .
If you hold altcoins and you see them bleed in price then its important to know and understand whats ahead for Bitcoin .
Understanding this will help you with your entry's and your exits on all altcoins .
Support and Resistance
How to Draw Support & Resistance In TradingViewLearn how to effectively identify, draw, and utilize support and resistance levels in TradingView with this comprehensive step-by-step tutorial. Whether you're a beginner trader or looking to refine your technical analysis skills, this video covers everything you need to know about one of the most fundamental concepts in trading.
What You'll Learn:
Understanding support and resistance: the foundation of technical analysis and price action trading
Step-by-step instructions for drawing horizontal support and resistance lines in TradingView
Creating support and resistance zones for more flexible trading approaches
Practical tips for using TradingView's drawing tools effectively
This tutorial may be helpful for day traders, swing traders, and investors using TradingView who want to improve their chart analysis skills. The techniques covered could help you make more informed entry and exit decisions by understanding where price might find support or encounter resistance.
Visit Optimus Futures to learn more about trading futures with TradingView: optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
Reading The Room: Market Sentiment TechnicalsThe Market Sentiment Technicals indicator, created by LuxAlgo , is a powerful tool that blends multiple technical analysis methods into a single, easy-to-read sentiment gauge. It’s designed to help traders quickly assess whether the market is bullish, bearish, or neutral by synthesizing data from trend, momentum, volatility, and price action indicators.
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
At @Xuantify , we integrate this indicator into our multi-layered strategy stack. It acts as a market context filter , helping us determine whether to engage in trend-following, mean-reversion, or stay on the sidelines. We use it across multiple timeframes to validate trade setups and avoid false signals during choppy conditions. This example uses MEXC:SOLUSDT.P , symbols like BINANCE:BTCUSDT or BINANCE:ETHUSDT are fine to use as well.
⭐ Key Features
Sentiment Panel: Displays normalized sentiment scores from various indicators.
Market Sentiment Meter: A synthesized score showing overall market bias. (Below image)
Oscillator View: Visualizes trend strength, momentum, and potential reversals.
Divergence Detection: Highlights when price action and sentiment diverge.
Market Sentiment Meter: A synthesized score showing overall market bias.
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
All-in-One : Combines multiple indicators into one cohesive tool.
Noise Reduction : Filters out conflicting signals by averaging sentiment.
Visual Clarity : Histogram and oscillator formats make interpretation intuitive.
Adaptability : Works across assets and timeframes.
⚙️ Settings That Matter
Smoothing Length: Adjusts how reactive the sentiment is to price changes.
Indicator Weighting: Customize which indicators influence the sentiment more.
Oscillator Sensitivity: Fine-tune for scalping vs. swing trading.
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
We pair this indicator with:
Volume Profile: To confirm sentiment with institutional activity.
VWAP: For intraday mean-reversion setups.
Breakout Tools: To validate momentum during sentiment spikes.
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
LuxAlgo Premium Signals: For entry/exit confirmation.
Relative Volume (RVOL): To gauge conviction behind sentiment shifts.
ADX/DMI: To confirm trend strength when sentiment is extreme.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Lag in Consolidation: Sentiment may flatten during sideways markets.
Overfitting Settings: Avoid tweaking too much—stick to tested configurations.
False Divergences: Always confirm with price structure or volume.
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Market Sentiment Technicals indicator is a game-changer for traders who want a 360° view of market psychology . At Xuantify, it’s become a cornerstone of our decision-making process—especially in volatile conditions where clarity is key.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
We break down tools like this weekly—follow @Xuantify to stay ahead of the curve.
How to use VWAP the right-way on TradingView
1️⃣ What Is VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)?
VWAP stands for Volume Weighted Average Price. It's a tool that shows the average price an asset has traded at throughout the day, adjusted for volume. That means it gives more weight to prices with high trading volume.
✅ It helps traders and investors see if the current price is above or below the average price paid.
✅ It’s often used by institutional traders, such as mutual funds and pension funds, to enter and exit positions without causing major price moves.
VWAP = (Sum of Price * Volume) / Total Volume
2️⃣ Why VWAP Matters
I (Traders) often use VWAP as a dynamic support or resistance zone.
- Price below VWAP: considered undervalued by some 👉 may act as support
- Price above VWAP: considered overvalued 👉 may act as resistance
It acts like a magnet for price, especially in trending markets.
VWAP is also used as a benchmark for large players want to buy below VWAP or sell above it.
3️⃣ Anchored VWAP (AVWAP)
Anchored VWAP is a more advanced version of VWAP. Instead of starting at the market open, you anchor it to a specific candle (pivot high or low).
🔍 Why use it:
- Lets you analyze the average price from key market turning points
- Helps spot institutional interest near pivots
- More accurate for swing trading
When you anchor VWAP to a major high or low, it gives you clean zones where smart money might enter or exit.
4️⃣ How I Use Anchored VWAP
I personally anchor VWAP from:
- Major pivot highs/lows
- Breakout points
- Strong reversal candles
Then I watch how price interacts with it.
✅ Works well on 30m and 4H charts for intraday or swing setups
✅ Can be combined with fixed range volume profile for extra confluence
If you haven’t read my guide on fixed range volume profile, scroll below — it’s linked there.
5️⃣ Common Uses
✔️ Support and resistance zone in trending markets
✔️ Institutional entry/exit level benchmark
✔️ Reversion-to-mean setups
VWAP is used across timeframes. I use higher timeframes like 4H to spot trend zones, then zoom into 30m or 15m for entries.
Setting and more information
VWAP Explained by TradingView: www.tradingview.com
Anchored VWAP Explained by TradingView: www.tradingview.com
6️⃣ VWAP Limitations
⚠️ VWAP doesn’t work well in all cases:
- In sideways/choppy markets, it can lose value
- It is not an exact entry/exit signal, but rather a dynamic zone
- In FX markets, it’s unreliable due to lack of centralized volume data
Also, treat VWAP as a zone, not a line. Large players fill big orders in that area, expect false moves or liquidity grabs.
7️⃣ Mistakes to Avoid
❌ Entering blindly on VWAP touches
❌ Using VWAP without confirmation from price action or volume
❌ Assuming it always gives perfect levels
It works best when combined with other tools, such as market structure, support/resistance, and volume profile.
8️⃣ Final Thoughts
VWAP is a powerful tool to see where price is relative to volume-based value. Anchoring VWAP to key levels adds precision and insight.
Used properly, it helps:
- Spot where institutions might be active
- Confirm high-probability zones
- Improve entries/exits when paired with other tools
Examples are provided below to show how VWAP works in real-time setups. This guide is educational and for learning purposes only.
VWAP Zone and a Example trade CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Example Stock Market NASDAQ:AAPL
Example Resistance NASDAQ:MSTR
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) helps traders see the average price weighted by volume. It's commonly used by institutions to identify good entry/exit zones. Anchored VWAP takes this further by starting from key points like pivot highs/lows for more accuracy. It's most useful in trending markets and works best when combined with tools like fixed range volume profile or support/resistance. While powerful, VWAP isn’t perfect it should be used as a dynamic zone, not a fixed level, and always with other confirmations.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
When and How to Use Weekly Time Frame in Gold Forex Trading
Ignoring weekly time frame chart analysis could cost you big losses in Forex, Gold trading!
Discover 3 specific cases when weekly time frame beats daily time frame analysis.
Learn the situations when weekly timeframe exposes what daily charts can’t, how to analyze it properly and when to check it.
1. Long-term historic levels
When the market trades in a strong bullish or bearish trend and goes beyond recent historic levels, quite often the daily time frame will not be sufficient for the identification of significant supports and resistances.
The proven way to identify the next meaningful levels will be to analyze a weekly time frame.
Examine a price action on EURAUD forex pair on a daily time frame chart. The market is trading in a strong bullish trend and just updated the high.
Checking the historic price action, we don't see any historic resistance on the left.
Switching to a weekly time frame chart, we can easily recognize a historic resistance that the price respected 5 years ago.
That's a perfect example when weekly t.f revealed a historic price action that a daily didn't.
2. Trend-lines
Weekly time frame analysis is important not only for a search of historic levels. It can help you find significant vertical structures - the trend lines.
We can easily find several meaningful historic resistances on EURUSD pair on a daily time frame.
Though, there are a lot of historic structures there, let's check if there are some hidden structures on a weekly.
Weekly time frame reveals 2 important trend lines, one being a vertical support and another being a vertical resistance.
With a daily time frame analysis, these trend lines would be missed .
3. More accurate breakout confirmations
Some false support and resistance breakouts that you see on a daily could be easily avoided with a weekly time frame analysis.
Quite regularly, a daily time frame support or resistance is in fact a weekly structure. And for its breakout, a weekly candle close will provide more accurate confirmation.
From a daily time frame perspective, we see a confirmed breakout - a daily candle close above a solid resistance zone.
It provides a strong bullish signal on AUDUSD forex pair.
However, the violation turned out to be false and dropped.
Such a false breakout , could be easily avoided, checking a weekly time frame chart.
The underlined resistance is in fact a weekly structure.
The price did not manage to close above, and perfectly respected that, starting to fall after its test.
Such a deeper analysis would completely change our bias from strong bullish (based solely on a daily) to strongly bearish (based on a daily AND weekly)
Remember This
Do not ignore and always check a weekly time frame.
It shows a unique perspective on the market and reveals a lot of hidden elements that you would not notice.
No matter whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader,
remember that weekly time frame structures are very impactful and accumulate large trading volumes.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
What is a Bearish Breakaway and How To Spot One!This Educational Idea consists of:
- What a Bearish Breakaway Candlestick Pattern is
- How its Formed
- Added Confirmations
The example comes to us from EURGBP over the evening hours!
Since I was late to turn it into a Trade Idea, perfect opportunity for a Learning Curve!
Hope you enjoy and find value!
HA-RSI + Stochastic Ribbon: The Hidden Gem for Trend & MomentumNavigating volatile markets requires more than just raw price action. The Heikin Ashi RSI Oscillator blends the power of smoothed candlesticks with momentum insights to give traders a clearer picture of trend strength and reversals.
At Xuantify , we use the Heikin Ashi RSI Oscillator as a hybrid momentum and trend tool. While the indicator calculations are based on Heikin Ashi values to smooth out noise and better capture trend dynamics, the chart itself displays standard candlesticks (real price data) . This ensures that all signals are aligned with actual market structure, making it easier to execute trades with confidence and clarity.
This dual-layer approach gives us the best of both worlds: clarity from smoothing and precision from real price action. MEXC:SOLUSDT.P
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
At Xuantify , we integrate the Heikin Ashi RSI Oscillator into our multi-layered strategy framework. It acts as a trend confirmation filter and a momentum divergence detector , helping us avoid false breakouts and time entries with greater precision. We pair it with volume and volatility metrics to validate signals and reduce noise. Note the Stochastic Ribbon Overlay as shown in the chart, very accurate for momentum.
⭐ Key Features
Heikin Ashi Smoothing : Filters out market noise for clearer trend visualization.
RSI-Based Oscillation : Measures momentum shifts with precision.
Color-Coded Bars : Instantly identify bullish/bearish momentum.
Dynamic Signal Zones : Customizable overbought/oversold thresholds.
Stochastic Ribbon Overlay : A powerful multi-line stochastic system that enhances momentum analysis and trend continuation signals.
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
Less Whipsaw : Heikin Ashi smoothing reduces false signals common in traditional RSI.
Dual Insight : Combines trend and momentum in one visual.
Better Divergence Detection : Easier to spot hidden and regular divergences.
Visual Simplicity : Clean, intuitive design for faster decision-making.
⚙️ Settings That Matter
RSI Length : Default is 14, but we often test 10 or 21 for different timeframes.
Smoothing Type : EMA vs. SMA – EMA reacts faster, SMA is smoother.
Overbought/Oversold Levels : 70/30 is standard, but 80/20 can reduce noise in trending markets.
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
Combine with Volume Oscillators to confirm momentum strength.
Use Price Action Zones to validate oscillator signals.
Look for Divergences between price and oscillator for early reversal clues.
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
MACD : For cross-confirmation of momentum shifts.
Bollinger Bands : To identify volatility squeezes and breakouts.
Support/Resistance Levels : For contextual trade entries and exits.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Lag in Strong Trends : Like all smoothed indicators, it may react slightly late.
Over-Optimization : Avoid curve-fitting settings to past data.
Standalone Use : Best used in conjunction with other tools, not in isolation.
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Heikin Ashi RSI Oscillator is a powerful hybrid tool that simplifies complex market behavior into actionable insights. At Xuantify, it’s a core part of our strategy toolkit, helping us stay ahead of the curve with clarity and confidence.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
We regularly share deep dives into indicators, trading psychology, and backtested strategies. Stay tuned and level up your trading game with us!
SMI vs. Stochastic: Which One Gives You the Edge?Momentum indicators are essential tools in every trader’s arsenal—but not all are created equal. While the Stochastic Oscillator has been a go-to for decades, the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) offers a more refined and reliable way to read market momentum.
In this post, we’ll break down the key differences between these two indicators, how we use them at Xuantify , and why the SMI might just give you the edge you’ve been looking for.
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We’re always looking for tools that offer greater precision and less noise . While the Stochastic Oscillator is one of the most commonly used tools for spotting overbought and oversold conditions, the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) gives us a clearer, smoother view of momentum —especially in volatile or choppy markets.
We use the SMI to refine our entries and exits , particularly when trading breakouts or reversals. MEXC:ETHUSDT.P
⭐ Key Features
Stochastic Oscillator : Measures the closing price relative to the high-low range. Simple and responsive. Great for spotting short-term reversals.
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) : Measures the distance of the current close from the midpoint of the high-low range. Smoother and more centered around zero. Better at filtering out false signals.
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator vs. SMI:
Signal Smoothness: Moderate vs. High
Noise Filtering: Low vs. Excellent
Centered Oscillation: No vs. Yes (around 0)
Best Use Case: Range-bound markets vs. Trend shifts & momentum confirmation
False Signal Risk: Higher vs. Lower
The SMI is especially useful when you want to avoid whipsaws and get a more reliable read on momentum .
⚙️ Settings That Matter
Stochastic Oscillator : %K = 14, %D = 3
SMI : Length = 14, Signal Smoothing = 3, Double Smoothing = 3
You can adjust the SMI smoothing values to match the volatility of the asset— lower smoothing for fast markets , higher for slower ones.
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
Enhance SMI signals by combining them with:
Trend filters like EMAs or Supertrend
Volume confirmation
Support/resistance zones
Divergence spotting for early trend reversals
This layered approach helps us avoid false positives and stay aligned with the broader trend .
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
SMI + EMA Crossovers: Confirm momentum with trend direction
SMI + RSI Divergence: Spot early reversals with confluence
SMI + Volume Profile: Validate momentum near key price levels
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Lag in fast markets: SMI’s smoothing can delay signals slightly
Over-optimization: Avoid excessive tweaking of parameters
Not ideal alone: Best used with confluence tools for confirmation
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Stochastic Oscillator is a classic for a reason—but the Stochastic Momentum Index is a refined evolution . We’ve found that SMI gives us cleaner signals , better momentum clarity , and fewer false alarms —especially when paired with smart filters.
If you're looking to upgrade your momentum toolkit , the SMI might just be your edge.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
We break down indicators, strategies, and market psychology to help you trade smarter—not harder.
london break out strategy (my strategy) back test :2025 mayto learn is to share...
hello traders!
this is back test of london breakout strategy for gbp usd pair for month of the may.
i hope u read this see the idea that i had give me your comments and ideas ,maybe help me fix my mistakes, maybe it gives you some lead and etc. no more talking straight to the strategy ...
strategy summary the Strat focuses on breaking the range market of the asian session,
first u got to mark the high and low of the price between 4 am to 6 am utc then you have range that in the chart i showed like box , next we wait till 7 am utc , if price was out of the box zone we open a trade toward the trend( if it broke above you open a long and vise versa) or if it wasn't u simply wait for price to close above or below, then you open a trade with sl put on the opposite side of the box and profit set to 1.5 times of the sl. only one trade per day is acceptable .
there are some exception that you don't have to trade:
1.when there is bank holiday
2.when your sl would exceed 50 pip (that's high of a risk)
3. further effect of the news shall be studied that i didn't consider in this back test
I've put the results in an ai and asked it to analyze the results:
Summary Statistics
Total Trades: 19
Total Profit: +152.3 pips
Average Profit per Trade: +8.02 pips
Max Profit in a Trade: +49.0 pips
Max Loss in a Trade: -30.2 pips
Winning Trades: 10
Losing Trades: 9
Win Rate: 52.6%
Profit Factor: 1.74 (total gain / total loss)
Why You Should Trade Zones, Not Points – Especially on XAUUSDIf you've been trading Gold (XAUUSD) for a while, you’ve likely noticed something strange in many analyses online. Support at 3256.73? Resistance at 3352.14?
Really? That precise?
This kind of fixed-point trading might look good on a chart, but it doesn't work in a real, volatile market — especially not in 2025.
I've been trading Gold as my primary asset for over a decade, and if there's one thing experience — and logic — have consistently shown me, it's this: you should trade price zones, not fixed points. Let me explain you why.
________________________________________
🔍 1. Gold Is Not a Low-Volatility Asset
Gold isn't EURUSD. It doesn't move in clean 20-30-pip increments. It's volatile, reactive, and sensitive to everything from Fed rate rumors to random tweets and global conflicts.
Over the past months, volatility has spiked — and not just because of economic data. We’re seeing:
• Geopolitical uncertainty that escalates and de-escalates overnight
• Macro shifts in interest rate expectations almost weekly
• Market sentiment changing faster than ever
In this environment, the idea that price will reverse exactly at 3352.14 is pure fantasy.
________________________________________
📏 2. Percentages Matter More Than Pips Now
Back when Gold was around $2000, a 200-pip move meant a 1% change in price.
Now, with Gold trading above $3300, the same 1% move is 330 pips.
So, if you're still treating 30–50 pips like a serious target on Gold, you're not adjusting to reality. You're chasing crumbs in a storm.
I’ve written before about why you shouldn't trade Gold for small 30–50 pip moves. It’s no longer a high-probability game — the math doesn’t work. You’re either over-leveraging or underperforming.
________________________________________
📈 3. Price Zones Are Where the Smart Money Trades
Markets aren’t binary. They don’t care about your exact number.
They care about liquidity zones — where enough buyers and sellers are willing to transact in volume.
Here’s how professionals approach it:
• Support isn’t a number — it’s a range.
• Resistance isn’t a line — it’s a battle zone.
When you analyze Gold, think in ranges like 3280–3290 or 3320–3330. This is where price breathes, traps traders, and makes real moves.
Fixed points create unrealistic expectations and false confidence.
________________________________________
🧠 4. Emotion Kills Precision in Real Time
In live trading, you’re not a machine. You’re a human reacting to candles, tweets, and news.
Waiting for an entry at exactly 3352.14 often means:
• You miss the move entirely
• Or you force a bad entry when price front-runs your level
But when you use zones, you give yourself the flexibility to act within context, not dogma.
You can read the candle behavior inside that zone, you can spot exhaustion, you can scale in or out — you become tactical, not rigid.
________________________________________
✅ Final Thoughts: Adapt or Stay Frustrated
If you want to trade Gold successfully in this current market, you must adapt:
• Use zones instead of pin-point levels
• Adjust your expectations to the new pip-to-percentage dynamics
• Respect the volatility and macro backdrop
The traders who will survive are not the ones with the cleanest lines on their charts. They’re the ones who know how to handle chaos with structure, using zones as flexible tools, not false certainties.
🎯 Start thinking in ranges, not numbers. That’s where the edge is.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
How to draw support and resistance levels the right way?
1️⃣ Why Are Support and Resistance Levels So Important?
Support and resistance levels show where price has reacted strongly in the past. These are zones where many traders including large players have placed buy or sell orders.
Support = where buyers step in and push price up
Resistance = where sellers step in and push price down
These levels are important because they act like decision zones:
- Price might bounce from these levels
- Or break through and start a new move
- Or even fake out traders before reversing again
Knowing where these levels are gives you an edge:
- You can better time your entries and exits
- You avoid chasing price in the middle of nowhere
- You prepare for market reactions not random guesses
Think of them like traffic lights for the market when price hits them, something important usually happens.
2️⃣ Three Main Types of Support and Resistance
There are 3 key types of support and resistance levels traders commonly use:
- Level-Based: Horizontal zones drawn from key highs and lows
- Pattern-Based: Support/resistance found in chart patterns like triangles, flags, etc.
- Channel-Based: Diagonal trendlines showing support and resistance in a channel
Today, we focus on level-based support and resistance horizontal lines drawn on key price zones.
3️⃣ How to Draw Support and Resistance Levels
Use daily, weekly, or monthly timeframes to find major zones. These higher timeframes give you stronger, more respected levels.
Look for:
- Candle bodies that close and open around the same price
- Strong wicks rejecting a certain level
- Zones where price has bounced multiple times in the past
I often pick:
- The close of a red candle
- The open of the next green candle
These spots usually show where sellers lost control and buyers stepped in — or vice versa.
4️⃣ Timeframes and Their Strength
The higher the timeframe, the stronger the level:
- Monthly = very strong, long-term zones
- Weekly = strong and reliable
- Daily = useful for swing trading
- Lower timeframes (15m, 5m) = more noise, less reliable unless you're day trading or scalping
Pick levels based on your strategy:
- Swing traders = use daily/weekly/monthly
- Scalpers = lower timeframes with extra confluence (volume, structure)
5️⃣ Don’t Use Support/Resistance Alone
Support and resistance are helpful — but not enough by themselves. Always combine them with:
- Market structure (higher highs/lows)
- Volume confirmation
- Indicators or price action signals
You want to watch how price reacts at your levels. Wait for confirmation before making decisions.
6️⃣ Common Mistakes Traders Make
Mistake 1: Drawing too many levels clutters your chart and creates confusion.
Mistake 2: Keeping old levels that have already been broken or invalidated.
Mistake 3: Ignoring volume. Just because price hits a level doesn’t mean it will reverse. You need volume to back the move.
Also:
Don’t enter blindly on breakout, breakouts can fail. Wait for confirmation.
Don’t assume a level is strong just because it’s touched once — look for multiple rejections.
7️⃣ Example: How I Draw Support/Resistance
Let’s say I’m looking at a daily chart.
- I find a red candle that closes at 42,000
- Then a green candle opens at 42,000 and pushes higher
That tells me buyers stepped in at 42,000 — this is a potential support.
I draw my horizontal line across that level.
Then I zoom into 30m or 15m charts to watch price behavior when it comes back to that level.
If price respects it again, I may enter a trade based on the reaction.
This technique gives me more confidence and clarity.
I know where liquidity might be waiting.
I can combine it with indicators or volume tools.
I avoid random trades.
🔄 Summary
Identify a timeframe – Use the monthly, weekly, or daily chart.
Look for two candles – Draw your support or resistance line at the point where one candle closes and the next one opens.
Make sure the level hasn’t been hit yet – This helps you spot areas where liquidity grabs might happen.
Wait for price to reach the level – Once price touches the support or resistance zone, watch how it reacts.
After price touches the level, remove it – Once tested, that level is no longer fresh and should be cleared from your chart.
Support and resistance isn’t magic — but used with confluence, it becomes a powerful guide.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?What is Bitcoin Dominance, and When Can We Expect Altseason?
✅ In the fast-paced and ever-changing world of digital currencies, traders and investors are continually seeking signs and tools to aid them in making informed decisions. One key sign is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
Understanding this and examining its chart can provide us with important clues about what the market might do next, especially regarding when Altseason (the period of growth for altcoins) might begin.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
What is Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)?
Simply put, Bitcoin Dominance indicates the percentage of the total value of all digital currencies that is held by Bitcoin. For example, if the total value of all digital currencies is $1 trillion and Bitcoin's value is $600 billion, then Bitcoin's Dominance is 60%.
This number is very important because:
It shows market feeling: When Bitcoin Dominance goes up, it usually means money is moving to Bitcoin as a safer option, and people are less willing to take risks. When Bitcoin Dominance goes down, it can mean people are more confident in altcoins and are ready to take more risks for bigger profits.
It shows money flow: Changes in BTC.D show how money is moving between Bitcoin and altcoins.
❓ What is Altseason?
Altseason is a time in the digital currency market when altcoins (digital currencies other than Bitcoin) do much better than Bitcoin, and their prices go up a lot.
During Altseason, money often flows from Bitcoin to altcoins, and many altcoins can see their prices increase many times over.
Looking at the Current Bitcoin Dominance Chart and forecasting Altseason
If we look at the provided chart for Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D), we can see a few key things:
Long-term upward channel: The chart shows that Bitcoin Dominance has been in a long-term upward path. The bottom of this path is marked by a blue support line , and the top is marked by a red resistance line . This means that, in the bigger picture, Bitcoin's control over the market has been growing.
Broken short-term upward trend: There was a shorter-term upward trend line (shown in black on the image) that the price broke below on May 9th . This break could be an early warning sign that Bitcoin's dominance might be weakening in the short term, and its dominance might start to fall.
⚠️ But here is a very important point:
We cannot be sure that Altseason has definitely started until the price clearly breaks below the main support line of the channel (the blue line) and stays below it.
The break of the short-term upward trend line (black line) is an early signal. However, to confirm a change in the trend and the possible start of a significant Altseason, we need to see stronger support levels, like the blue support line on the chart, get broken.
⏳ So, When Should We Expect Altseason?
Based on the chart analysis and the points mentioned:
Early Sign: The break of the short-term upward trend line (black) on May 9th might make people pay more attention to altcoins, but it's not enough on its own.
Key Condition for Altseason: The most important signal for the start of a real Altseason would be if the Bitcoin Dominance price breaks below the blue support line of the long-term upward channel. As long as Bitcoin Dominance stays above this support line, Bitcoin will likely keep its relative strength in the market, and altcoins might only see limited growth or could even face selling pressure.
Conclusion:
Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance is a useful tool for understanding how the digital currency market works and for predicting possible trends. Right now, because the short-term trend line has been broken, the market is at a sensitive point. However, traders and investors should watch the BTC.D price movements very carefully and wait for stronger confirmations, especially a possible break of the blue support line, before announcing the start of Altseason.
How to Use Fixed Range Volume Profile on TradingView
1️⃣ Why Fixed Range Volume Profile Matters
✅ It helps you spot real price structure where traders were active, not just where price passed through.
Useful for:
Identifying Supply & Demand zones
Understanding nstitutional activity (volume concentration = likely smart money involvement)
Analyzing range-bound markets
Confirming pullbacks or entries in trending setups
There are two different tools: one is called Volume Profile, and the other is Fixed Range Volume Profile. To learn more about them, check out the link below.
Volume Profile Indicators: basic concepts: www.tradingview.com
Fixed Range Volume Profile: www.tradingview.com
2️⃣ What is Volume in Trading?
Volume refers to the total number of units (e.g., shares, contracts, coins) traded during a specific time period. It measures the market's participation.
✔️ High Volume = strong interest and confirmation of price moves.
❌ Low Volume = weak conviction, indecision, or potential false moves.
Volume is calculated by counting all completed trades in a candle both buying and selling.
Learn more about volume here: www.tradingview.com
3️⃣ What is Fixed Range Volume Profile?
Fixed Range Volume Profile is a tool you can draw on your chart to check how much trading happened at different price levels, but only within the range you select. You pick the start and end point, and the tool shows volume activity just in that area.
It shows three main levels:
🔴 Point of Control (POC): the price where the most trading happened
🟢 Value Area High (VAH): the highest price in the area where most trades occurred (about 70% of total volume)
🔵 Value Area Low (VAL): the lowest price in that same area
These three levels show the price range where most trading took place also called the value area.
4️⃣ Why Fixed Range Volume Profile Matters
It helps you spot real price structure where traders were active, not just where price passed through.
Useful for:
Identifying Supply & Demand zones
Understanding institutional activity (volume concentration = likely smart money involvement)
Analyzing **range-bound markets
Confirming pullbacks or entries in trending setups
5️⃣ How to Use Fixed Range Volume Profile on TradingView
Steps:
1. First, look for a clear range on your chart. A range is a sideways movement where price is mostly moving back and forth instead of trending.
2. I like to use the 4-hour chart for this, but you can use any timeframe. Using candles with clearer shapes can help you see the range more easily.
3. Once you see a range, go to the left-hand toolbar and select the Fixed Range Volume Profile tool.
4. Click at the beginning of the range, then drag your mouse to the end of the range.
5. Let go of the mouse, and the volume profile will appear on that section of the chart.
Analyze:
POC: Price may often return to this level because it's where most trading happened
VAH: Price could have a harder time moving higher if it reaches this level may act like resistance
VAL: Price may find support around here — traders bought more in this area
1. Find the Range
2. Draw your Profile
3. You should treat your volume range like a basic support and resistance level. What you want to see is a flip between support and resistance.
4. If the price breaks above the volume profile and keeps going higher, you want it to come back and retest that same range this time acting as support.
5. Your entry should be near the support. Your stop-loss should be placed above the high of the breakout or a logical structure. Of course, setting a stop-loss always depends on more context, like the overall market structure and your risk management plan.
6️⃣ Practical Scenarios
✔️ Use it during sideways or quiet market phases (called consolidation) to see where most of the trading happened before the market moved
✔️ Try it on pullbacks in trending markets to check if price is returning to an area of high volume
✔️ Draw profiles on different price swings to spot areas where volume keeps showing up again and again
Example:
⚠️ Limitations
Fixed Range Volume Profile might not work well when:
The asset has very little trading volume (like new coins or very small stocks)
There’s a big news event causing unexpected volume spikes
The market is moving fast in one direction, and the volume zones don’t hold
⚠️ A couple of common mistakes traders make when using Fixed Range Volume Profile:
They apply it in trending markets. This tool works best in sideways or ranging markets, not when price is trending strongly up or down.
They include breakout volume. Breakouts often include forced liquidations or trapped traders this can create misleading spikes in volume.
7️⃣ Summary
Fixed Range Volume Profile helps you see where most trades happened in a specific part of the chart. It highlights price zones where traders were most active, which can help you understand possible support, resistance, or value areas.
✅ Good for:
Markets that are going sideways
Double-checking volume around key levels
Spotting price zones where support or resistance might appear
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Best Practice: Prepare, Assess, Plan Then TradeTraders are often eager to jump straight into the next trading session but this may not always be the best option to chose. It can be more beneficial to follow a regular pre-trading routine to note down important scheduled events, establish current trends, as well as meaningful support and resistance price levels, and importantly this doesn’t have to be time consuming.
This is not meant to be that trading ‘holy grail’ but more of an addition to your existing trading process or plan. Having a regular routine to establish important levels, indicator set-ups and price trends to be aware of during your trading day may help you make trading decisions in a more effective way.
This pre trading routine can also be helpful for traders that take longer term positions, as it’s still important to consider the longer-term weekly perspectives as well.
This routine can be carried out at the weekend and then monitored and, where necessary, modified during the week as price action develops for the particular CFD(s) you are trading.
1. Keep Informed of Important Data Releases
If there are several CFD’s you regularly trade and tend to stick with, make sure you have as much information about those assets as possible before you start trading.
Consider utilising the Pepperstone trading calendar to help keep you informed of any economic releases/company earnings data that might impact the CFD you are trading before the week/session starts.
Once you know the scheduled events ahead, you can ask yourself,
Could these impact my trading?
Could the market reaction to this new information increase the volatility of the CFD I am about to trade or already have a position in?
How may this impact my risk?
Knowing what it is expected by the market before a particular important economic data release, such as US Non-farm Payrolls, can help you assess positioning going into the release, gauge market reaction to the data, and then be prepared for any potential price sentiment change and/or increased volatility.
2. Be Aware of Potential Support and Resistance Levels
Ahead of your trading day, consider running through the Pepperstone charts of the CFD’s you are considering trading and make a note of 3 support and resistance levels, that you identify as being meaningful. To help you we have set out an example Trading Template below.
Daily: Level: Reason: Current Trend: Current Thoughts:
Support
1st:
2nd:
3rd
Resistance
1st
2nd
3rd
Keep this next to your trading screen, so you are aware of particular levels that may act as support and resistance, if prices move in that direction. This can help you to improve trade entry or assist you with the placement of a stop loss or take profit order.
If these levels are broken at any time, you can update the template with any new support/resistance levels during the trading period.
3. Be Aware of the Daily Trends – Focus on Bollinger Bands
Using the direction of the daily Bollinger mid-average can be helpful to gauge the direction of the daily trend.
If the,
Mid-average is moving up = price uptrend
Mid-average is moving down = price downtrend
Mid-average is flat = possible price sideways range
The daily and weekly perspectives are the most important to be aware of, so it can be beneficial to analyse the charts from the longest timeframe into the shortest as this allows you to build a better understanding of the dominant trends.
You can also note these trends on the Trading Template, so it’s available to you when you are trading.
4. Follow the Same Process for All Other Timeframes - 4 Hour, 1 Hour, Even Shorter if it Suits Your Trading.
You can carry out the routine outlined in point 3, for any timeframes you are trading.
Things to note,
Are there any new trends suggested within a shorter term perspective by the Bollinger mid-average?
If the direction of a shorter term mid-average has changed, it may be an indication of either a change or resumption of a longer term price trend.
If this trend change also looks to be resuming within the longer term perspectives, this could be a more important signal, as the resumption of an existing longer term trend may mean a more extended move in that direction.
Be aware, confirmation of a price trend change within a longer term perspective might mean it could take longer and offer less trading opportunities, as initially price moves may be less aggressive in nature.
5. Where, Within the Various Timeframes is Price in Relation to the Bollinger Bands?
As we have highlighted in a previous commentary (please take a look our past posts), Bollinger Bands can highlight increasing price volatility within a trend.
Things to note regarding Bollinger Bands,
Are the upper or lower bands being touched by prices within any of the timeframes?
Within a sideways range (flat mid-average) this might suggest price has reached either a support or resistance level, with potential for a reversal.
While being touched, are the upper and lower bands starting to widen which indicates increasing price volatility, or contract, which indicates decreasing price volatility?
Remember - widening bands within a confirmed trend highlight increasing volatility, suggesting the current price move might continue for longer than you may anticipate, while contracting bands, point to decreasing volatility, which may lead to a reduction in a particular CFDs price movement.
Do the timeframes align?
If they do it may suggest a stronger trading opportunity is evident. CFDs within trending markets seeing increasing volatility tend to offer greater potential than those that aren’t.
In this scenario it maybe worthwhile considering only trading with the trend, not trying to pick bottoms or tops of markets, or if you do, consider a more cautious approach to your trading by reducing the size of your position and risk.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Strength of Movement: A Hidden Gem for Trend Traders📌 What Is It?
Have you ever struggled to determine whether a price move has real strength behind it? The Strength of Movement indicator might be the tool you're missing.
The Strength of Movement (SoM) indicator by RedK is designed to measure the momentum and conviction behind price movements. Unlike traditional momentum indicators like RSI or MACD, SoM focuses on the strength of directional moves, helping traders identify when a trend is gaining or losing steam.
This post will explore the features, configuration, and practical applications of this indicator.
🔍 What is the RedK Strength of Movement Indicator?
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator is designed to measure the strength of price movement and show when a quality trend has been established. It uses a simple mathematical concept to identify opportunities for long call or put positions.
📈 What kind of indicator is it?
The Strength of Movement indicator falls into the category of momentum indicators. Momentum indicators are used to measure the speed and strength of price movements.
⏳ Is it Leading or Lagging?
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator is primarily a leading indicator. It can act as a leading indicator for an imminent change in trend direction by exposing the relative movement or change of price.
⭐ Key Features
Strength Circles: These circles indicate that the top or bottom has not been reached yet, providing valuable insights into market momentum.
Measures the strength of price movement.
Identifies quality trends.
Helps filter out low-momentum conditions.
💡 Benefits Compared to other indicators
Provides clearer signals for trend identification.
Acts as a leading indicator for trend changes.
Helps avoid low-momentum conditions.
⚙️ Indicator Configuration
Timeframe Source: The indicator works on any timeframe, but higher timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly) are recommended for identifying high-quality trend setups.
Range Source: The calculation is based on the relative price change (as a ratio) from the previous bar, rather than absolute values. This makes it more intuitive and accurate for traders.
SoM Calculation Type: The core logic uses a modified `stoch()` function to normalize the strength of movement between 0% and 100%.
Smoothing Adjustments: In version 2, the calculation was refined to avoid visual confusion—especially on Renko or non-time-based charts—by adjusting how the lowest and highest values are interpreted.
📈 Enhancing Signal Accuracy with a Trend Indicator
To enhance the accuracy of signals generated by the RedK Strength of Movement indicator, it can be used in conjunction with trend indicators such as:
Moving Averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are widely used to identify trend direction.
MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence helps reveal both direction and underlying momentum.
Combining these tools helps confirm signals and reduce false positives.
🔄 Alternatives
While the RedK Strength of Movement indicator is powerful, there are other alternatives that also focus on momentum and trend identification:
RSI: Relative Strength Index measures the speed and change of price movements.
Stochastic Oscillator: Measures the level of the closing price relative to the range of prices over a certain period.
💡 Practical Tips
Combine with Trend Indicators: Use the RedK Strength of Movement indicator alongside trend indicators to confirm signals.
Monitor Strength Circles: Pay close attention to the strength circles for insights into market momentum.
Backtest Thoroughly: Before using the indicator in live trading, backtest it on historical data to understand its performance and adjust settings accordingly.
📈 Which Securities Does This Apply For?
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator can be applied to a wide range of securities, including:
Stocks: Useful for identifying quality trends in individual stocks.
ETFs: Effective for analyzing exchange-traded funds.
Forex: Valuable for currency pairs, helping traders identify market cycles and potential reversals.
Commodities: Applicable to commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural products.
Cryptocurrencies: Can be used to analyze digital assets, providing insights into market momentum.
📌 Conclusion
The RedK Strength of Movement indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis. By measuring the strength of price movement and identifying quality trends, it provides clearer and more accurate signals, helping traders navigate complex market cycles.
Trade the Angle, Not the Chop: Angle of MA ExplainedNot all moving averages are created equal. While most traders rely on the slope of a moving average to gauge trend direction, the Angle of Moving Average script by Mango2Juice takes it a step further—literally measuring the angle of the MA to help filter out sideways markets and highlight trending conditions.
Let’s explore how this tool works, how we use it at Xuantify, and how it can sharpen your trend-following strategy.
🔍 What Is the Angle of Moving Average?
This indicator calculates the angle of a moving average (default: EMA 20) to determine whether the market is trending or ranging. It introduces a No Trade Zone , visually marked in gray, to signal when the angle is too flat—suggesting the market is consolidating.
Key Features:
Measures the slope of the moving average
Highlights ranging zones with a gray color
Helps filter out low-momentum conditions
Customizable MA type and length
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We use the Angle of Moving Average as a trend filter —not a signal generator.
1. Trend Confirmation
We only take trades in the direction of a steep enough angle. If the MA is flat or in the gray zone, we stay out.
2. Entry Timing
We combine this with structure tools (like BOS/CHOCH) to time entries after the angle confirms a trend is underway.
🎨 Visual Cues That Matter
The script uses color to show when the market is:
Trending : Clear slope, colored line
Ranging : Flat slope, gray line (No Trade Zone)
This makes it easy to:
Avoid choppy markets
Focus on momentum-driven setups
Stay aligned with the dominant trend
⚙️ Settings That Matter
You can customize:
MA Type : EMA, SMA, etc.
MA Length : Default is 20
Angle Sensitivity : Adjust to define what counts as “flat”
⚙️ Higher timeframe alignment
You can look at HTFs for better and stronger entry and exit points.
Below a 1H and 4H chart where the 4H clearly adds strong buying power for a good long entry point.
🔗 Best Combinations with This Indicator
We pair the Angle of MA with:
Structure Tools – BOS/CHOCH for trend context
MACD 4C – For momentum confirmation
Volume Profile – To validate breakout strength
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – For sniper entries
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
This is a filter , not a signal. It won’t tell you when to enter or exit—it tells you when not to trade . Use it with price action and structure for best results.
🚀 Final Thoughts
If you’re tired of getting chopped up in sideways markets, the Angle of Moving Average is a simple but powerful filter. It helps you stay out of low-probability trades and focus on trending opportunities.
Try it, tweak it, and see how it fits into your system.
Learn TOP 3 Elements of a Perfect SWING TRADE (GOLD, FOREX)
In the today's post, I will share with you a formula of ideal swing trading setup.
✔️Element 1 - Market Trend
When you are planning a swing trade, it is highly recommendable that the direction of your trade would match with the direction of the market trend.
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, you should look for buying the market while if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting.
Take a look at CHFJPY pair on a daily. Obviously, the market is trading in a bullish trend and your should look for swing BUYING opportunity.
✔️Element 2 - Key Level
You should look for a trading opportunity from a key structure.
IF the market is bullish, you should look for buying from a key horizontal or vertical SUPPORT, WHILE if the market is bearish, you should look for shorting from a key horizontal or vertical RESISTANCE.
CHFJPY is currently approaching a rising trend line - a key vertical support.
Please, note that if the price is NOT on a key structure, you should patiently wait for the test of the closest one.
✔️Element 3 - Confirmation
Once the market is on a key level, do not open a trading position blindly. Look for a confirmation - for the sign of strength of the buyers, if you want to buy or for the sign of strength of the sellers, if you are planning to short.
There are dozens of confirmation strategies, one of the most accurate is the price action confirmation.
Analyzing a 4H time frame on CHFJPY, we can spot a falling wedge pattern. While the price is stuck within that, the minor trend remains bearish. Bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge will be the important sign of strength of the buyers and can be your strong bullish confirmation.
Following these 3 conditions, you will achieve high win rate in swing trading. Try these techniques yourself and good luck in your trading journey.
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Two MAs, One Ribbon: A Smarter Way to Trade TrendsSome indicators aim to simplify. Others aim to clarify. The RedK Magic Ribbon does both, offering a clean, color-coded visualization of trend strength and agreement between two custom moving averages. Built by RedKTrader , this tool is ideal for traders who want to stay aligned with the trend and avoid the noise.
Let’s break down how it works, how we use it at Xuantify, and how it can enhance your trend-following setups.
🔍 What Is the RedK Magic Ribbon?
This indicator combines two custom moving averages:
CoRa Wave – A fast, Compound Ratio Weighted Average
RSS_WMA (LazyLine) – A slow, Smooth Weighted MA
When both lines agree on direction, the ribbon fills with:
Green – Bullish trend
Red – Bearish trend
Gray – No-trade zone (disagreement or consolidation)
Key Features:
Visual trend confirmation
No-trade zones clearly marked
Customizable smoothing and length
Works on any timeframe
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We use the Magic Ribbon as a trend filter and visual guide .
1. Trend Confirmation
We only trade in the direction of the ribbon fill. Gray zones = no trades.
2. Entry Timing
We enter near the RSS_WMA (LazyLine) for optimal risk-reward. It also acts as a dynamic stop-loss guide.
🎨 Visual Cues That Matter
Green Fill – Trend is up, both MAs agree
Red Fill – Trend is down, both MAs agree
Gray Fill – No-trade zone, MAs disagree
This makes it easy to:
Avoid choppy markets
Stay aligned with the dominant trend
Spot early trend shifts
⚙️ Settings That Matter
Adjust CoRa Wave length and smoothness
Tune RSS_WMA to track price with minimal lag
Customize colors, line widths, and visibility
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
We pair the Magic Ribbon with:
Structure Tools – BOS/CHOCH for context
MACD 4C – For momentum confirmation
Volume Profile – To validate breakout strength
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – For sniper entries
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
This is a confirmation tool , not a signal generator. Use it with structure and price action. Always backtest and adjust settings to your asset and timeframe.
🚀 Final Thoughts
If you want a clean, intuitive way to stay on the right side of the trend, the RedK Magic Ribbon is a powerful visual ally. It helps you avoid indecision and focus on high-probability setups.
What really sets the Magic Ribbon apart is the precision of its fast line—the CoRa Wave. It reacts swiftly to price action and often aligns almost perfectly with pivot reversals. This responsiveness allows traders to spot potential turning points early, giving them a valuable edge in timing entries or exits. Its accuracy in identifying momentum shifts makes it not just a trend filter, but a powerful tool for anticipating market moves with confidence.
Try it, tweak it, and let the ribbon guide your trades.
Learn Best Candlestick Pattern For Trend Trading Gold XAUUSD
This secret pattern will change the way you trade Gold XAUUSD.
If you study technical analysis in Gold trading, there is one unique candlestick pattern that you absolutely need to know.
In this article, you will learn the structure and the meaning of one of the most accurate candlesticks in Gold trading.
I will teach you how to recognize this pattern and how to trade it for maximum profits.
Let's start with some theory and let me show you how this candlestick pattern looks.
This candlestick pattern is called inside bar.
It is based on a combination of at least 3 candles.
The first candlestick in a sequence should be a strong bullish or bearish candle. The consequent candles should strictly close within its range.
If at least 2 candles close within the range of the first candle with its bodies, that will be a valid inside bar.
The first candle will always be called the mother's bar , while the following candles will be called the inside bars.
That's a perfect example of the inside bar pattern on Gold XAUUSD chart on a daily.
This pattern is based on 2 important elements that you should always pay close attention to.
The upper boundary of the range of the mother's bar will compose a significant resistance that will provide a safe place to sell.
While the lower boundary of the range of the mother's bar will be a strong support to buy Gold from.
Look how nicely Gold price respected the resistance of the range, dropped to its support and started to grow then.
Once you identified the inside bar, you can easily trade it within the range.
However, I strictly recommend waiting for a confirmation signal before you place a trade.
One of the proven confirmations is a price action signal on lower time frames.
In the example above, Gold formed a bullish chart pattern - double bottom after a test of a support and a bearish pattern - head and shoulders after a test of a resistance.
Remember that the market can not stay within the range of the inside bar candlestick pattern forever.
Bullish violation and a candle close above the range will be a strong signal to buy Gold.
While, a bearish breakout of its range will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
That's how a breakout of the underlined resistance triggered a strong rally on Gold.
Inside bar is the essential pattern both for the gold swing traders and day traders.
This pattern provides a lot of profitable trading opportunities, being very simple to recognize.
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Unlocking Market Cycles with the RSI Cyclic Smoothed IndicatorIntro
In the world of technical analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is established. However, the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator takes this classic tool to the next level by incorporating cyclic smoothing and dynamic bands. This post will explore the features, configuration, and practical applications of this powerful indicator.
What is the RSI Cyclic Smoothed Indicator ?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is an advanced version of the traditional RSI. It enhances the classic RSI by adding cyclic smoothing and cyclic memory, allowing it to better adapt to market cycles and provide more accurate signals.
Dynamic Bands
One of the standout features of the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is its dynamic bands. These bands adjust automatically to the asset’s cyclical levels, providing clearer signals in varying market conditions. The adaptive upper and lower bands help traders avoid whipsaw trades and identify overbought and oversold conditions more effectively.
What kind of indicator is it ?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator falls into the category of oscillators. Oscillators are technical analysis tools that vary over time within a banded range, typically used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Leading or Lagging ?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is primarily a lagging indicator. It smooths the RSI data to reduce noise and provide more reliable signals, but it does not predict future price movements.
Key Features
Cyclic Smoothing: Reduces noise and enhances signal accuracy.
Dynamic Bands: Adaptive upper and lower bands that adjust to market cycles.
Cyclic Memory: Uses the dominant cycle length to optimize signal accuracy.
Benefits Compared to Normal RSI
Enhanced Signal Accuracy: The cyclic smoothing reduces noise and false signals, providing more reliable trading signals.
Adaptability to Market Cycles: The cyclic memory allows the indicator to adapt to the dominant market cycle, making it more responsive to cyclical changes.
Dynamic Bands: Unlike the fixed levels in normal RSI, the dynamic bands adjust to market conditions, offering better identification of overbought and oversold levels.
Reduced Whipsaw Trades: The smoothing process helps avoid the frequent false signals that can occur with the normal RSI, especially in volatile markets.
Indicator Configuration
Configuring the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator involves setting the dominant cycle length and adjusting the smoothing parameters. The key parameters include:
Dominant Cycle Length: Defines the duration of the dominant market cycle.
Smoothing Factor: Reduces fluctuations and noise.
Cyclic Memory: Stores the indicator’s history to calculate dynamic reference levels.
Ideal settings vary based on market conditions, but a common approach is to start with a dominant cycle length that matches the asset’s typical cycle and adjust the smoothing factor to balance responsiveness and noise reduction.
Enhancing Signal Accuracy with a Trend Indicator
To enhance the accuracy of signals generated by the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator, it can be used in conjunction with trend indicators. Examples of trend indicators include:
Moving Averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are widely used to identify trend direction.
MACD: Moving Average Convergence Divergence helps reveal both direction and underlying momentum.
ADX: Average Directional Index measures the strength of a trend.
Combining these tools helps confirm signals and reduce false positives.
MTF Chart Setup
Below is an example chart showcasing the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator in action. The chart highlights trading signals where the signal line crosses above or below the adaptive bands, providing clear entry and exit points. Below are the 1H, 2H and 4H overbought aligned.
Alternatives
While the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is powerful, there are other alternatives that also focus on overbought and oversold conditions:
Stochastic Oscillator: This indicator measures the level of the closing price relative to the range of prices over a certain period. It identifies overbought and oversold conditions with key levels below 20 (oversold) and above 80 (overbought).
Williams %R: Similar to the Stochastic Oscillator, Williams %R compares the closing price to the high-low range over a specified period. It indicates overbought conditions above -20 and oversold conditions below -80.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): The CCI measures the deviation of the price from its average price over a given period. It identifies overbought conditions above +100 and oversold conditions below -100.
Bollinger Bands: While not an oscillator, Bollinger Bands can be used to identify overbought and oversold conditions when the price touches the upper or lower band.
Additional Insights
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is highly responsive to market moves and can be fine-tuned to match the dominant cycle of the asset being analysed. For more in-depth information, refer to Chapter 4 of "Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm, Part 1".
Practical Tips
Combine with Trend Indicators: Use the RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator alongside trend indicators to confirm signals.
Adjust Cyclic Parameters: Fine-tune the cyclic parameters to match the market conditions and dominant cycle.
Monitor Dynamic Bands: Pay close attention to the adaptive bands for overbought and oversold signals.
Backtest Thoroughly: Before using the indicator in live trading, backtest it on historical data to understand its performance and adjust settings accordingly.
Stay Updated: Market conditions change, so periodically review and adjust the indicator settings to ensure they remain optimal.
Which Securities Does This Apply For?
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator can be applied to a wide range of securities, including: Stocks: Useful for identifying cyclical patterns and overbought/oversold conditions in individual stocks. ETFs: Effective for analyzing exchange-traded funds, especially those tracking cyclical sectors. Forex: Valuable for currency pairs, helping traders identify market cycles and potential reversals. Commodities: Applicable to commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural products, where cyclical movements are common. Cryptocurrencies: Can be used to analyze digital assets, providing insights into cyclical trends and volatility.
Conclusion
The RSI Cyclic Smoothed indicator is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis. By incorporating cyclic smoothing and dynamic bands, it provides clearer and more accurate signals, helping traders navigate complex market cycles.
What is Opening Range Breakout (ORB)Hello mates today i want to share an Educational post about Opening range breakout a very common and old strategy used by many traders and it's still pretty effective. I hope you will read the complete post and like my publication too friends.
So let's understand about Opening Range Breakout below-::
⚡Introduction to Opening Range Breakout-::
In the world of trading timing can be everything. One of the strategies that traders use to capitalize on market movements at the start of the trading day is the Opening Range Breakout (ORB). This technique is particularly popular among day traders because it leverages the market's early volatility to make quick profits. In this article we'll dive deep into what ORB is, how it works, and how traders can effectively use it.
⚡What is the Opening Range-::
The "opening range" refers to the price range established during the first few minutes of a trading session. This range is defined by the high and low prices observed within this period. Depending on the trader's preference and the asset being traded, this range can be set over different time intervals, commonly 5, 15, or 30 minutes.
⚡Understanding the Breakout-::
A breakout occurs when the price moves outside the opening range, either above the high or below the low. This movement indicates a potential direction for the day's trend. The idea behind the ORB strategy is that the price, once it breaks out of this range, is likely to continue moving in that direction, giving traders a chance to enter a position early in the day and ride the trend.
⚡Why Use ORB-::
1.Early Market Volatility-: The market often shows significant volatility at the opening bell, driven by overnight news, earnings reports, and economic data. This creates opportunities for sharp price movements.
2.Defined Risk and Reward-: Since the opening range is defined, traders can set clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, making risk management straightforward.
3.Capturing Early Trends-: ORB allows traders to capture trends early, often before the broader market catches on. This can lead to significant profits in a short period.
⚡How to Implement the ORB Strategy-::
1-Identify the Opening Range-: At the start of the trading session, observe the price action and note the high and low points within your chosen time frame (e.g., the first 15 minutes).
2-Set Breakout Levels-: Once the opening range is established, these levels (the high and low) become your breakout levels.
3-Place Orders-::
Long Position-: If the price breaks above the high of the opening range, enter a long position (buy).
Short Position-: If the price breaks below the low of the opening range, enter a short position (sell).
4-Set Stop-Loss-: A common approach is to place a stop-loss just inside the opening range. For example, if you enter a long position, your stop-loss might be slightly below the high of the range.
5-Set Profit Targets-: Profit targets can be set based on a fixed ratio (e.g., 2:1 risk/reward ratio), or by trailing the stop-loss as the price moves in your favor.
⚡Factors to Consider for ORB Success-::
1-Market Conditions-: ORB tends to work best in markets with high liquidity and volatility. Stocks with news catalysts, or major indices, are often good candidates.
2-Time Frame Selection-: The choice of the opening range time frame is critical. Shorter time frames (e.g., 5 minutes) might offer more frequent signals, but they can also lead to more false breakouts. Longer time frames (e.g., 30 minutes) may provide more reliable signals but fewer opportunities.
3-Volume Confirmation-: It's often wise to confirm breakouts with an increase in volume, which can indicate the strength of the move.
4-Avoiding False Breakouts-: Not every breakout leads to a sustained move. To avoid false breakouts, some traders wait for a retest of the breakout level or use additional technical indicators, such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, to confirm the trend.
⚡Example of ORB in Action-::
Let’s consider a stock that has an opening range of 100 to 105 in the first 15 minutes of trading. Here’s how a trader might approach this:
Breakout Above 105-: The trader places a buy order at 105.10 (a little above the breakout level) and sets a stop-loss at 104.50 (just below the high of the opening range). The profit target might be set at 107.20, assuming a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
Breakout Below 100-: Alternatively, if the stock breaks below 100, the trader could short the stock at 99.90 with a stop-loss at 100.50 and a profit target at 97.80.
⚡Advantages of ORB-::
Clarity-: The strategy provides clear entry and exit points, reducing guesswork.
Structure-: It imposes discipline by setting predefined rules for trading.
Simplicity-: ORB is relatively simple to understand and execute, making it accessible to traders of all experience levels.
⚡Challenges and Limitations-::
False Breakouts-: These can lead to losses if not managed carefully.
Whipsaws-: In highly volatile markets, prices might break the range multiple times, leading to potential whipsaws.
Over-Reliance on Opening Range-: Solely relying on the opening range might ignore broader market context or trends from previous days.
⚡Conclusion-::
The Opening Range Breakout strategy is a powerful tool in a trader's arsenal, particularly for those who thrive on early market action. While it offers a structured approach to capturing trends, success with ORB requires discipline, proper risk management, and an understanding of market conditions. By combining ORB with other strategies or indicators, traders can increase their chances of capturing profitable moves while minimizing risks.
Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting, mastering the ORB strategy can provide you with the edge needed to navigate the fast-paced world of day trading.
Thanks for reading the post, I hope you will like the information shared above and like my idea too.
Best Regards- Amit
KISS Trading SystemOverview :
Trading process should be as simple as possible. One of the simple method to trade is primarily identify direction, find a good location to entry, wait for confirmation in the location, and finally execute the trade when the risk reward ratio is good.
1. Direction
To identify direction, follow the market structure. Higher high and higher low indicates price is in a bullish trend (uptrend), while lower high and lower low indicates the price is in a bearish trend (downtrend). If there is no clear structure higher high and higher low or lower and high lower low, price is in sideways mode. Best is to avoid trade under this condition until clear trend is formed.
2. Location
Every time price create a new breakout structure, mark the the structure as our potential location for entry. There are some occasion where price does not pullback to the location and continuing the trend by creating a new breakout structure. Do not FOMO, just wait for the next location and confirmation within the location to entry and minimize your risk.
3. Confirmation
Patience is the key. Wait for price to pullback at higher time frame location, and focus for confirmation in lower time frame to entry and reduce risk. Time is fractal, the structure pattern is same on all timeframes. Choosing the right timeframe pair is crucial. Refer to table in the notes below for timeframe pairing.
4. Risk Reward
This is the main essence in trading, controlling risk and preserving capital. Entry without doubt when the risk reward are good. Execute, and trust your setup.
Best GOLD XAUUSD Psychological Levels Indicator on TradingView
There is one free technical indicator that will show you every significant psychological level on Gold XAUUSD chart.
It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set.
Discover the best psychological support and resistance indicator for Gold trading , its settings and useful tips.
First, let's discuss the significance of psychological levels in GOLD XAUUSD analysis and trading.
The classic way of the search of significant supports and resistance is based on the analysis of a historic price action.
However, while Gold constantly sets new historic highs such a method does not work, because there are no historic resistances to rely on.
In such a situation, the only reliable strategy to find potentially strong resistances is to analyze psychological levels.
Psychological levels are the round numbers based price levels. Because of the common human psychological biases, these levels attract the interest of the market participants and the prices tend to react to them.
A great example of a psychological level in Gold trading is 3000 level.
It served as a resistance first and after a breakout turned into an important support.
And I found a free technical indicator that plots all the significant psychological levels efficiently.
One more thing to note is that I strictly recommend searching for psychological levels on a daily time frame, because it provides the most relevant perspective.
To use this indicator, search "round" in indicators wind ow.
It is called "Round numbers above and below".
Click on that and it will start working immediately.
You can see that the indicator plotted 3 significant psychological resistances above current prices and 3 supports below on Gold chat.
In the settings of the indicator, you can change the number of levels to identify and change the style of the horizontal lines.
Examine the reaction of the price to psychological supports that the indicator shows. These levels may remain significant in futures and applied for pullback/breakout trading.
With a crazy bullish rally that we contemplate on Gold this year, psychological levels will be the most reliable technical analysis tools for the identification of future bearish reversals and corrections.
This free technical indicator on TradingView will help you in search of the strongest ones.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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