How to Trade the Breakout of a Range 101In this post, we will learn how to trade the breakout of a clear range. Let's start learning.
a) First of all, we need a clear Range ( we can say that is clear when we have a support and a resistance level and the price in between for a considerable amount of time)
b) From a technical perspective, the expected movement after a range is broken is the extension of it in the broken direction (green arrow)
c) Also, we will see how that projected movement fits in the context of the chart. In this case, we will look for the next resistance zone.
d) The correct way of identifying a resistance zone is by looking for clear reversal movements in the past. Ignore small corrections. Look for reversal movement and define it with a horizontal line ( in this case, we used 2 yellow arcs to show the idea)
e) Now you can see two things. 1) The projected distance of the range is very similar to the distance towards the next resistance zone 2) You have good space to try to catch a wave
f) But how can I trade a situation like this? You need a CONFIRMATION. In this case, we always wait for corrective structures (remember that corrective structures can be Flat, Zig Zag, Triangles, or Irregulars)
g) Wait for a clear corrective structure on the Edge of the broken Range. IF that happens, you need to define its edges, and from now, it's straightforward. (You can also look for a corrective structure on a lower timeframe; for example, if you define the range on the 4HS chart, you can change your timeframe to the 1H chart.)
h) Open positions on the Breakout of the structure, Set stop loss below the structure, Set take profit on the next resistance zone, Define the risk you will take on the trade
i) Use this as an archetype on how to trade this type of structure.
Have a great day!
Support and Resistance
Top down trading triad 09 NOV 2020 (reference)Visualization of 3 areas of chart analysis. Its makes it easier to break down the individual skill sets required to maximize success. This is just one way to break things down. You may break this down differently so this is just another way to view this if having issues.
Regardless of the indicators you use, looking at the market from these three angles may help you employ your preferred indicators more accurately. Breaking things down like this may also help your targeting.
Sources of education:
Richard Wyckoff
Tom Williams Volume spread analysis VSA/ Master the Markets
Pete Faders VSA*
Read the ticker dot com
Wyckoff analytics
Dee Nixon
Avoid buying into weakness/supply/resistance
Avoid selling into strength/demand/support
Avoid entry when price is in middle of a range (phase B)
Divergence in BTCUSDPrice while approaches its resistance level, is forming a divergence with MACD. Price is creating higher highs and MACD is forming lower highs. That means BTCUSD is losing its momentum. On the other hand there are confluence of sell orders in that resistance level.
Therefore it probably can't break that level and goes down.
But that's not enough for us. we need to catch a strong down move. What if it didn't breaks that level, but create a trading range around that resistance level? We do NOT want that. So we need evidence that shows us the price had reverse its move and is forming a downtrend. That evidence is our TRIGGER.
The trigger could be break of a trend line, a candlestick pattern, or anything that shows we're entering a downtrend move. I used breakout of a trend line here.
And for take profit, I used an 20 EMA as a trailing stop loss.
Thanks for reading. Write your opinion in the comments.
[EDUCATIONAL] BULL Flag on ETH/USD - Full ExplanationIn this technical analysis we are reviewing the price action on Ethereum. The confirmed bull flag is a very powerful signal and I will be explaining how you can trade it.
Both flags and Pennants are quite similar to each other and have proven to be powerful chart patterns in technical analysis. They are considered 'continuation patterns'. First of all it is important to understand where the name is coming from.
If you look at the picture to the left you should get a pretty good idea. The price goes up strongly (in case of a bullish pattern, downwards for bearish) and then enters a moment of soft consolidation with a slight bearish trend (or in case of a bear flag it should be bullish, you get the point).
The price is expected to continue in the direction of the move it had seen before (in this case the strong upwards momentum) after it breaks out of the flag. Ethereum has JUST confirmed the breakout on the bull flag, which should indicate a bullish continuation according to this pattern.
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
GBPUSD Heiken Ashi wick warfare (reference)The wicks on HA candles are quite pronouced. Never used them before but the information the provide in addition to volume data can be very pronounced which means clearer signals.
Look for long wicks at key support and key resistance with accompanying volume.
Cant use HA candles in replay mode.
More to foloow.
Methods 2: Retracement Levels 1This is the first installment in my second section on Methods I use for finding Support and Resistance. I use a live trade example on FOREXCOM:EURAUD to show how the simple 50% Fibonacci level was all that was needed to find where the price would inflect. While I am aware and have studied the Fibonacci levels I find that just drawing 50% levels is all I need to find good trade entries and targets. Hope all can learn from my small mistake and look forward to sharing more!
The script I wrote for to quickly identify these 50% levels are in the Link below.
XAUUSD GOLD SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONESXAUUSD GOLD SUPPLY AND DEMAND ZONES. Identifying high volume levels is very important. The reason behind this is because in high volume levels there are unfilled orders from the banks which are pending to be activated once price returns to that area. My trading is based off 4h with high level zones.
GBPUSD high pressure versus low pressure (reference)Low pressure at resistance ; increased pressure at support and the resulting action. Think 2-3 moves ahead.
The strength of any uptrend is going to correlate to the amount of buying that took place during the last down move (in general). Buy low/sell high.
Waiting to Enter on a Channel BreakHello my friend | Welcome Back.
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* Once I have this structure in place, finding the trend becomes relatively easy. When the pair is trending lower, I only want to look for selling opportunities. Of course, the opposite is true when the pair begins trending higher.
Enter in the Direction of the Trend
At this point, you have identified the major trend and found a favorable corrective pattern such as a channel or a wedge.
The next step is to look for an entry once price breaks the pattern.
Ascending Triangle Definition and TacticsHello my friend | Welcome Back.
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* The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
* Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
* A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
* A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
* A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
* A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
Thank you
BTCUSDT candle wicks, volume expansion at supportBTC can be surreptitious in its volume. The good thing is that when you hav large volume spikes in BTC at your target it tends to play out.
Just a simple example of volume increasing as price nears support. Schematic to the right to help.
Large wick at the bottom of a candle with low volume means?
Large wick at the bottom of a candle with high volume means?
Accurate Candle/volume interpretation will make you a profitable trader. Its actually very easy.
Using SIMPLE horizontal lines of Support and ResistanceThis is a segment for a Youtube video about my trading methods. I take off all indicators and ask for traders to look at simple highs and lows to find high probability inflection points of price. You don't need to get fancy to make money. Practice and master price action!