Moving Average | Not Always a Profitable Ways to Use 📊I have seen multiple post including some educational ones focusing or showing how to use the Moving Average (MA) as a sell or buy signal.
Here, we have one of the many examples of why it can be dangerous to use a single tool as a "buy" or "sell" signal, especially when that tool is a technical analysis tool.
I'm sure there are plenty of example of consistent trading opportunities using just a MA, but the reality is that if you want to be a decent trader, a single tool is not a good indicator of buy/sell signals.
Open to hearing everyone's opinion.
Support and Resistance
Daily Breakout Strategy A breakout trader is a type of trader that uses a breakout strategy. This strategy looks for levels or areas that a security has been unable to move beyond, and waits for it to move beyond those levels (as it could keep moving in that direction). When a price moves beyond one of these levels, it is called a breakout.
Bounce Risk for Selling ShortStocks that are falling rapidly often have the illusion that they will never stop falling. The panic that settles into the mindset of an investor who is watching his or her profits and capital erode overnight can overwhelm a stock’s price action. So for a brief time, the stock can behave outside of what the chart patterns would suggest was reasonable. But the higher risk is always the bounce.
Stocks can bounce without warning. Huge up days that form in a downtrend can cause significant losses for short sellers.
A stock bounces because it hits a price point where:
1. b uyers are waiting to go long
2. where large-lot short sellers are preparing to exit
Monthly and yearly highs are areas where there is risk for a bounce. These bounces are often caused by small-lot investors and traders perceiving this as a good place to buy a stock that has corrected. The old adage, “buy low and sell high,” prompts the uninformed to buy as a stock is running down without understanding the dynamics of a downtrend. So they buy at monthly and yearly highs when they are called out by the various news and trading chat forums: “XYZ has hit its 52-week price, this is a good time to buy XYZ.”
Another big bounce area is far more important: the monthly lows and yearly lows. This is the price range where the wiser bargain hunters and bottom fishers lurk around. They know that low area is solid support and that a downtrending correction isn’t going to last on a strong company. Therefore, lows pose even bigger risk of bounces that actually can reverse the downtrend, especially if the steep descent has been underway for some time.
A stock may nearly pierce through a sturdy support level, reach the yearly low and then suddenly make a V-shaped short-term bottom or shift sideways depending upon the strength of the stock and company. These sudden changes of trend catch many short traders unaware and create larger losses than monthly and yearly highs.
Sideways patterns also create sturdy support levels where large bounces can occur for the rapidly falling stock. Moving averages for long-term trendlines are another area of strong support where bounce risk is high.
How to avoid bounces for selling short:
Identify each area where a stock could bounce. This includes the highs and lows of sideways action from prior years. Identify long-term moving average support on weekly charts. Identify monthly and yearly the highs and lows.
After you have identified all support areas, determine if this support will be weak, moderate, or strong. Weak support will seldom cause problems for a falling stock and usually a resting day, at best, will form. Moderate support can cause a bounce that can take out tight stop losses and strong support can potentially wipe out a wider stop loss for a bigger loss.
It is important to calculate the point gain to the lean side when selling short because bounces can occur before the support is actually touched. And do not be fooled by the falling stock that runs just beyond the support level--often a small run beyond the lowest low is just a ‘gottcha’ sell short entry for bargain hunters. This is the area where you will find the larger reversal candle patterns.
Selling short is a faster-paced trading condition. It can be more lucrative with faster profits than the upside at times, but you must have plenty of experience to watch for high-risk areas in the downtrend and a strong mental attitude that allows you to cut losses quickly.
E-MINI Russel 2000 index (pressure concepts/tutorial) To optimise your "edge" practice identifying previous demand and supply zones. These zones have multiple titles. Some analysts call them "order blocks".. I do like order blocks because it does assume a square pattern. Accumulation patterns tend to outline as a square whereas RE accumulation will take on more of a triangular pattern.
Imagine if you will an accumulation pattern. This pattern can vary as far as time. But in general these should b considered "HIGH PRESSURE" zones. Price can and will exit this "block" without utilising all of the stored pressure... however, this pressure is still in this zone. When and if price does return here, it will encounter this pressures and there will be a reaction.
There are 3 ways in which price will react:
1- Price will find pressure and "bounce" off of this previous box and continue to "mark-up"
2- Price will find this pressure and begin another "trading range" until demand exceeds supply
3- Price will get to this area and find minimum to no pressure and will continue on its trajectory
These concepts are not difficult to see with practice. The most difficult part of any trading strategy is waiting for what you want to see.
When you hear traders talk about looking left on the chart, this is what is going on. It could sometimes take months to years for price to return to these price areas, indeed. It can also tale a few hours. It depends on wether or not you are trying to day trade or invest longterm.
Regardless of strategy, in order to minimise risk, it is paramount that you become aware of these previous "HIGH PRESSURE" zones. You never want to short into a previous demand zone, nor do you ever want to go long into a previous supply zone. Volume helps to facilitate you and I spotting this "residual" volume iin these high pressure zones.
These concepts are difficult to type/explain. I am contemplating some sort of video series, text so that I can share these concepts. These concepts however, ARE NOT MINE. They are the charts... they are for all of us to exploit. But in order for anyone to exploit these weaknesses, you need to practice. Trading view is absolutely the best platform to do this and I am certain that if traders began trading accurately using volume, trading view would start charging to use what is currently the free volume indicator. It is THE most powerful TA indicator.
Again these are difficult concepts to explain and I do appreciate if you made it through this tutorial
Sources of education:
Richard Wyckoff
Tom Williams Volume spread analysis VSA/ Master the Markets
Pete Faders VSA*
Sam Seiden (supply and demand)
Read the ticker dot com
Wyckoff analytics
PsychFX
MentFX
Element 15 trades (bitchute/odessy)
Avoid buying into weakness/supply/resistance
Avoid selling into strength/demand/support
Avoid entry when price is in middle of a range (phase B)
📊Bitcoin consolidation pattern! Read the description!Hi friends, you've probably noticed that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies start to rise or fall after consolidation. In this idea I will explain why consolidations happen, how to use this in cryptocurrency market analysis and where the next ATH for Bitcoin will be.
📊What is a consolidation? Consolidation is the small price range. Unlike a bullish or bearish trend, a consolidation is the absence of a trend. As we can see from the chart after consolidations price fall or rise for amazing %. In trading it calls "become volatile".
🔸Why consolidations happen? Actually, consolidations happen because of traders sentiment. If the price don`t move in any side this is bad for most of them. As we know, the biggest part of traders earn on the huge price movements. So when the price start consolidate there are no bull or bear power and price move in the range.
🔸What happend when the price leave the consolidation range? Consolidation is like a spring. The harder you squeeze it, the more it bounces back. It's the same with the price. For example, Bitcoin starts to rise or fall a lot when it comes out of consolidation, the spring rebound, and this has happened in all the examples in Bitcoin's history.
🔸What will happen to BTC next? For more 516 days BTC price is in $29-64k consolidation range. Now we can see the largest consolidation since 2015-2016 before the price reached ATH in 2017.
📈If we follow the rule that the longer the consolidation, the bigger the fall/rise, it's actually hard to predict what will happen next. In any case, Bitcoin will not be able to grow by 5000% in the next bull cycle because of its huge capitalization, but 600-900% growth from global lows ($20-26k) is quite possible.
🚩Traders, what do you think about this pattern? What will be the next ATH for Bitcoin in the next bull cycle based on this rules? Write in the comments, let's discuss it together.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
S&P500 Index - Multi timeframe analysis with the Ichimoku CloudMulti timeframe analysis of the S&P500 Index using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo with original 9,26,52,26 settings, i have also added Volume Profiles (VPVR) and (VPFR) onto the charts.
1 DAY CHART:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is upwards at the moment. This will possibly change to sideways or even downwards on the open of the next daily candle.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. Note that support at the Base Line (Kijun Sen) has failed on this 1 day timeframe.
The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago and is i the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud).
The Kumo (Cloud) is still red. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move upwards but will swing back down if the price continues to drop.
Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is still under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout for if/when the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) starts to move downwards on this 1 day timeframe indicating further strength to the downside.
Note that the price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 day timeframe.
Note that on this 1 day timeframe, the Price is under all of the Ichimoku Cloud indicators so let’s have a look at the 1 week timeframe and see if we have any Ichimoku support levels.
Volume Profiles:
Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 14x daily candles i have selected.
1 WEEK CHART:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the price has found some resistance from the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) on this 1 week timframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term downwards momentum.
The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) has dropped below the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and is now back in the Equilibrium Zone on this 1 week timeframe.
The Kumo (Cloud) is still red on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move downwards and is still under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B).
Note that the price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 week timeframe.
Note that on this 1 week timeframe, the Price is under all of the Ichimoku Cloud indicators so let’s have a look at the 2 week timeframe and see if we have any Ichimoku support levels.
Volume Profiles:
Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 11x weekly candles i have selected.
2 WEEK CHART:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term downwards momentum.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the price from 26 periods ago but is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud).
The Kumo (Cloud) is still green. Note that the Leading Span A (Senko Span A) is still above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) is moving sideways at the moment but the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is moving upwards, be on the lookout for if the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) starts to move closer towards the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B).
Be on the lookout if the price drops below and closes below the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) into the Equilibrium Zone on this 2 week timeframe.
Note that the price is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud) on this 2 week timeframe.
Note that on this 2 week timeframe, the Price is under the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) and Base Line (Kijun Sen) but still has the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as potential support levels. Let’s have a look at the 1 month timeframe and see if we have anymore Ichimoku support levels.
Volume Profiles:
Note that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 6x 2 weekly candles i have selected.
1 MONTH CHART:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-term momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Mid-term momentum is upwards at the moment.
Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still above the Base Line (Kijun Sen) indicating strength for short term sideways momentum as the indicator is moving sideways at the moment.
The Ichinoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment…… is downwards. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still above the price from 26 periods ago and is still in the Bullish Zone.
The Kumo (Cloud) is still green. Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has started to move upwards but may swing back down if the price continues to drop on this 1 month timeframe. Note that the Leading Span A (Senko Span A) is still above the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B). Be on the lookout for if the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) starts to move closer towards the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B).
Note that the price is still in the Bullish Zone above the Kumo (Cloud) on this 1 month timeframe.
Note that on this 1 month timeframe, the Price is under the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) but still has the Base Line (Kijun Sen) Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) as potential support levels.
Volume Profiles:
Note that the Price is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts visible range.
Not that the Price is still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 6x monthly candles i have selected.
Notes:
Please remember that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) & Base Line (Kijun Sen) are not SMAs or EMAs they are X amount high/low period midpoints in whatever timeframe you are in, so they should not be used as SMA or EMAs.
Note that there are other aspects to the Ichimoku Cloud which make it a very complete system such as Price Theory, Wave Theory and Time Theory but I won’t go into those on this post.
Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) = Highest High + Highest Low calculation over 9 Periods = Blue Line.
Base Line (Kijun Sen) = Highest High + Highest Low calculation over 26 Periods = Red Line.
Lagging Span (Chikou Span) = Today’s price displaced back 26 Periods = Green Line.
Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) = Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen calculation value displaced ahead 26 Periods = Cloud Green Line.
Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) = Highest High + Highest Low over 52 Periods Value displaced ahead 26 Periods = Cloud Red Line.
Bullish Zone = Above the Cloud.
Equilibrium Zone = Inside the (Kumo) Cloud can be Green or Red.
Bearish Zone = Below the Cloud.
This was just a post to show how you can use the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo in multiple timeframes for support, resistance & momentum, so I hope this post has been helpful with your trading and understanding of the Ichimoku Cloud. So in which direction is the S&P500 Index going to go...... i leave up to you to make your own minds up ;-).
Working with combined/calculated tickers -> coding toolA while ago Tradingview made it possible to combine multiple tickers, and even do calculations with them.
By doing so you can create a whole new ticker!
For example:
-> Add symbol (+)
-> search bar -> type -> AAPL/GOOG or ((AAPL*2) + (GOOG*3)) / BTCUSD or ...
-> press Enter
-> the chart will appear and is added to your watchlist
Sometimes you want a script to do something ONLY when the chart is on a particular ticker
For example, you want a draw line at the latest high, only when 'AAPL' is selected for your chart:
(if I would use following logic, I would code this differently, this is just for making a simple example)
if barstate.islast
if syminfo.ticker == 'AAPL'
line.new(bar_index, high, bar_index + 1, high, extend=extend.both)
If you replace 'AAPL' with 'AAPL/GOOG' and go to the chart of 'AAPL/GOOG' you would see nothing...
You'll need to get the exact ticker name, which is apparently not 'AAPL/GOOG'
To fetch the correct syminfo.ticker, add the following to your code to your script:
if barstate.islast
label.new(bar_index, high, text=syminfo.ticker, textcolor=color.white)
Then you'll see this:
When you enter this at the correct place:
if barstate.islast
if syminfo.ticker == 'AAPL/BATS:GOOG'
line.new(bar_index, high, bar_index + 1, high, extend=extend.both)
->
The same with '((AAPL*2) + (GOOG*3)) / BTCUSD'
The syminfo.ticker is actually 'AAPL*2+BATS:GOOG*3)/BITSTAMP:BTCUSD' 😃
->
Cheers!
📊Why do the trading patterns work?Hi friends! Probably all traders began their career by learning the trading patterns.
A trading pattern is a price movement pattern in a certain range. Generally there are 2 types of patterns: candlesticks (shooting star, hammer, bullish or bearish engulfing) and figures (triangles, channels, flags, head and shoulders, etc.). The number of them is constantly increasing, through the change of market, but there are up to 50 main patterns.
📊So why do the trading patterns work?
The answer is very simple - because many traders use them in trading. Imagine a traffic light with a red light🔴 According to the rules all drivers who have the same signal stand waiting for a green light✅ Here, it lights up and allows all cars to move in the right direction. It's a clear rule, not only in your country, but in all the countries in the world. The situation is the same with trading patterns.
Let's imagine that a chart is a road, and a pattern is a light. The price rises or falls and a pattern is formed. You have determined that it is a bullish pattern, such as a bullish wedge. Of course, you are waiting for the wedge to move to the upper boundary and break it up, that will be a signal to open a trade (green signal to move✅). At the same time, all the drivers (read as "traders") begin buying with you and pushing the price higher and higher.
Why do traders do this? As I said in the beginning, patterns, like the rules of the road, are learned by all traders, regardless of nationality, this is the general rule, that is why these patterns work.
📊In what cases do they not work?
As you know, most people in the market can't be right. Conventionally, if everyone opened a long and bought Bitcoins at $50,000 and the price went up to $100,000, then someone should have bought those Bitcoins from you for 100% more. If everyone held a long, there would be no one to sell and no one would make a profit in the end. That's why there are always 2 sides in trading: buyers and sellers.
With the increasing popularity of patterns, most traders and especially beginners who first study patterns began to open trades according to these rules and .... took a loss. Patterns work especially badly on the cryptocurrency market, which shows how young this market is. But why? All because most cannot be right when trading patterns, otherwise no one would make money.
📊What should I do if I trade only paterns?
I would recommend adding more rules to your trading strategy. These can be different trading tools, filters which will help you to remove "fake" signals and increase win rate. For example, trade not the triangle pattern, but its false breakout using a volume indicator:
1️⃣A false breakout in most cases shows that the price will not go in the direction of the breakout, as there are too many willing to open a trade in the direction of the price movement.
2️⃣The volume indicator will show the actual number of buy and sell orders. If the volume at a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the triangle has increased - this tells us that the price is more likely not to move down, as there is serious support there.
This is the simplest example. You can also use indicators, additional trend lines, candlestick or fundamental analysis.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
Support And Resistance VS Supply And DemandSee picture for full analysis.
Let me know your thoughts?
📊What is a key level? How to use it in trading? Clear tutorial!What is a key level? A key level is a price level on the chart that creates the support or resistance to the price when it falls or rises. A key level is also called an extremum.
📊There are 3 types of levels in total:
1. Resistance level — when price rises and rebounds down when it test the level.
2. Support level — when price falls and rebounds up when it test the level.
3. Mirror level — when the level is both support and resistance.
🚩How to identify the key level? As a rule, the key level may be either the price maximum (high, H) or minimum (low, L). Price maximums occur when the price moves in a trend (bearish or bullish). It is harder to identify the key levels during consolidation, because often the price simply blurs them, making false breakouts, as we can see on the Bitcoin chart. Especially often the key level is the global highs (ATH).
It can be found on any timeframe, but the higher it is (4 hours, 1 day, 1 week), the more clearly they work, because the level of 1 week may be identify by a scalper, a swing-trader or an investor, while the local levels of 1-30 minutes are only looked at by scalpers, i.e. a smaller total number of traders.
Usually, the key level is an even number: 1, 50, 100, 1000. For example, $ 50,000 for Bitcoin, $ 2,000 for Ethereum, $ 1.5 for Forex pairs.
💹Why do key levels work? It's all because the traders place their orders near these levels. To put it simply, key levels work and price reacts to them, because a large number of traders often use them. Every trader knows that when Bitcoin is falling, the level of $ 20,000 will be support for the price, because this is the level of the previous ATH, and most traders put buy orders, so the bounce of the price can be huge (10-20%).
✅How can you use a key level in trading? There are many different uses of the key level in trading, for example, trading a rebound from a level when a trader places a buy order below the level or a sell order above the level. As I said before, the more prominent the level on the chart, the stronger the price pullback, so some traders place their orders near key levels in advance to buy or sell at the best price.
Also, I use the key level on 30m-4h timeframses to identify price weakness or strength for false breakout trading. A false breakout of a key level shows that most traders are set up for a price move in the other direction.
🔥As many traders as there are ways to use the key level. My advice is to be craftier and use the key level with the rest of the technical analysis instruments, candle patterns, indicators. That way your win rate can increase significantly when different approaches are used together.
🏁Traders, how the key level helps you to identify the best entry point? Share your idea or a screenshot in the comments!
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
day trading forex strategies price action for beginnersIn this video, you will see me analyse my forex watchlists to look for trading opportunities
day trading for forex beginners
day trading forex strategies
forex day trading strategies for beginners
day trading forex strategies price action for beginners
How an asset is losing buyer support.Small scheme as holders and buyers based on hopes for growth in the past
hope to get a stable trend and get disappointed and go out selling
1) bounce above Supports
2) more rebound
3) Support is broken, but then turned out to be false (support is no longer completely reliable)
4) support broken for the second time (maybe there will be no support in the future)
5) Support turned out to be resistance
6) fall into obscurity
Holders exit the asset because there is no longer past price behavior.
You can draw a new support, but there is no guarantee that it will not be broken too.
USDJPY LONG USDJPY has broken the Ascending triangle pattern in Upside on a MONTHLY TIME Frame.
Biden has come out publicly stating that Powell has his full support in whatever he plans to do in order to bring the economy back on track.
Read More: www.forexgdp.com
Here is a break down of your pip value in ZAR and Dollars
0, 01 = R1,43 / $0,10c
0. 05 = R 7,15 / $ 0.50
0.10 = R 14,3 / $1.00
1 Lot size = R 146,26
How to calculate Margin = (Lot Size * Contract Size)/Leverage, Lets say your broker gives you 1:500, and you open 0,2 size, How much are you exposing ? calculations : (0.2 * 10 000) / 500 = $4 (R58) also (1 Lot * 100 000) / 500 = $200 (R2 960)
So, each time I open (1 Lot size, am exposing R2960 (Down payment)
Remember, These are long term trades, It is advisable to have enough margin to handle the fluctuation of the markets.
Please like and share for more useful content:
day trading for beginners 2022 the ultimate in-depth guideIn this video, you will see me analyze the crypto market from a higher time frame to lower time frame and pick my intraday trades for the day.
If you like this video, like this video and click on the subscribe button to subscribe to me and access more videos like this from me anytime i upload new videos.
Moving Average | Two Profitable Ways to Use 📊
Hey traders,
In this post, we will discuss two efficient ways to apply the moving average(s) indicator in your trading.
Please, note that the settings for a moving average depend on many factors and can not be universal. Time frame, your style of trading and many other factors should be taken into consideration when you define the settings.
1️⃣The first very efficient way to apply moving average is to consider that to be a strong support/resistance. Such a method is appropriate for trend-following traders.
A very important condition to note applying MA as the structure is that the market should be trending: it should trade in a bullish or bearish trend, not in sideways.
📍In a bullish trend, a moving average will provide you a relatively safe point for buying the market after a pullback. Quite often after a test of MA, the price tends to bounce all the way up to a current high and even go higher to the next highs.
📍In a bearish trend, a moving average will serve as a strong resistance and quite often will indicate a completion point of a retracement leg after a strong bearish impulse.
2️⃣The second way to apply moving average is to apply a combination of 2 MAs with different settings (one with a bigger and one with a smaller length). Such a method is usually applied by counter-trend traders.
And again, a very important condition to note, is that if you want to apply this method efficiently, remember that the market must be trending, it should be bullish or bearish.
Your task will be to track an intersection of two MAs.
📍In a bullish trend, a crossing of two moving averages with a high probability will indicate a trend violation and initiation of a new bearish trend.
Such a signal usually serves as a trigger to open a short position.
📍In a bearish trend, a crossing of two moving averages will signify a violation of a bearish trend and the start of a new bullish trend.
The intersection by itself will be a signal to open a long position.
Your task as a trader is to find the most accurate inputs for MAs. With backtesting and experience, you will find the settings applicable to your trading style.
What indicator do you want to learn in the next post?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
📊How to use the VOLUME indicator? Tutorial for traders!The volume indicator is so universal that it is used by most traders, no matter what their trading style. I will talk about the main methods of using this indicator in this idea.
📊What is the volume? A volume indicator is data from the exchange on how much cryptocurrency or shares were traded during a certain period of time. Volumes are displayed in the form of bars. The more bought and sold, the higher the bars on the indicator.
How can I use volumes?
✅Volumes show large trades, which helps to understand the sentiment of the market (bullish or bearish). In this GMT example, you can see how traders bought this coin 4 times and did not "let" the price go lower. After that, you could open a profitable trade on a breakdown of the trend line.
✅Test levels as support. The same principle as in the first example, but here there is a clear test of the level by the price. Volume growth in this case helps you to understand the strength of the buyers and open your trade!
✅False breakout is a situation in the market when the price breaks through a key level for a while and comes back under it. This pattern happens very often in the cryptocurrency market. The volumes grew, which shows a large amount of traded volume, but the price did not go higher and showed weakness, and then Bitcoin fell. Keep this pattern in mind.
✅Divergences. You can see a divergence in the Bitcoin price. Divergence is when the indicator and price values start to be different. As volumes rose, so did the price. After volumes began to fall and the price continued to rise, a divergence formed and Bitcoin fell by 50%. Divergences can be looked for in any cryptocurrency and any timeframe.
✅Indicators. Volumes are a classical indicator, on the basis of which many other well-known indicators are built: VWAP, OBV, etc.
⚙How can I add the volume indicator to the chart? You need to open "Indicators" on the top panel of TradingView and write "Volume" in the search bar. After clicking on the title, it will automatically be added to the chart.
🚩On what timeframes can I use volumes?
Volumes can be used on all timeframes, but it all depends on trading style:
1️⃣ Scalpers watch volumes on lower timeframes: 1m, 5m, 30m. In this way they can identify if the price reacts to a key level, trend line or value zone;
2️⃣ Swing traders use the indicator on timeframes from 1 hour to 1 day. By the same principle as scalpers, you can identify the reaction of other traders to a particular level. For example, Bitcoin has fallen to $50,000 and touched a key level where other traders' buy orders may have been placed. If there were really a lot of bids there, then on the volume indicator, you will see the bars rise as well as price rise. If there was no growth in the bars, it means that most likely the price will fall further.
3️⃣ Long-term traders use the indicator on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week and more. With the help of volumes on higher timeframes, you can identify large liquidation zones on exchanges, important resistance and support levels.
Friends, if you still have questions about how to use the volume indicator, write in the comments. What other methods of using this indicator do you know?
💻Press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
How did Open Interest tell me: Stay long as BTC Dumped!?!BYBIT:BTCUSD
I was in 3 long trades as Bitcoin dumped on the 26th of May 2022.
I had 2 choices. Close my longs because I saw price dumping below my entry
or
look at what Open interest was telling me to determine if this was a fakeout.
I saw price dropping as OI was dropping. This meant that longs were closing out their positions, which means that when this ended, price could reverse quickly.
Longs were closing out their positions and re-entering as shorts. As soon as this selling dried up, Longs started entering and then suddenly shorts were being liquidated, pushing the price up again.
This is known as a stop run. Hit long stops and then hit short stops. Be aware of this kind of fakeout as it happens again and again!
Learn to trade the retest and why it is important not to short at support and inversely why it is NB not to long at resistance, UNLESS you get a retest of that level!
Not financial advice, DYOR. Papertrade before using real money.
If this educational snipped helped you, please consider giving it a thumbs up and follow for more like this!
Trade Safely and Learn something every day!
Shawn
Why Shorting support & Longing resistance gets traders REKT!INDEX:BTCUSD INDEX:ETHUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FRED:SP500 NASDAQ:NDX
I see this time and time again - no matter if you are trading, cryptocurrency, commodities, indices or stocks, the principle remains the same:
Shorting at support and longing at resistance is GENERALLY not a good idea.
I show you examples in the video and explain why.
There is however a good time to short at support - i.e. When it has flipped into resistance after the retest, changing the market structure - and the inverse is true for longs.
If this video helped you, please consider leaving a thumbs up and a comment if you have any questions!
Learn, learn and then learn some more!
Not financial advice. DYOR. Papertrade before using real money
📊How to make a trading strategy?What helps the traders to be successful? That's right, their trading strategies. A trading strategy is a trader's plan for deciding whether or not to open a trade. The purpose of the strategy is to help the trader to make more successful trades, to analyze the mistakes and successes. At a time of uncertainty, these rules help to keep calm and make the right decision. Simply put, it's a set of filters that remove unnecessary noise from the charts and help you make right decision.
💹How to develop a trading strategy? Figure out what you want to trade and what you're best at. Do you like trading false breakouts? Let`s do it! Like to trade patterns? Perfect! Pick your best 20-30 possible trades from the past on the chart, and look for those patterns to repeat on the chart.
As soon as you get a chance to make a trade, remember the rules of your strategy, and if they all match, then do it.
💹What does a trading strategy consist of? This set of rules includes:
1️⃣ The tool you use (patterns, levels, indicators, waves, candlestick analysis, etc.). For example, a squeeze under the trend line, a false breakout of a level, the exit of the indicator into the oversold or overbought zone - all these trading tools can be used in your strategy.
2️⃣ Risk Management. How much money to use in 1 trade, risk per trade. This is a mandatory ingredient of any trading strategy. You can't be 100% right on every trade, so risking all of your capital is not advisable. The average win rate of traders is 50-60%. That means that 5-6 out of 10 trades will be successful - an excellent result. The other 4 trades will be either loss-making or break-even, so it is better to start with a small amount or virtual account on the crypto exchange. In the picture below, you can see what the risk-to-reward ratio and winrate should be.
If you have 50% of successful trades, then at least in each trade you should have RR 1:2 (for 1 risk you receive 2 rewards). To calculate your RR in TradingView, use the "Date and Price Range" section on the left side of the screen and choose "Long Positions" or "Short Position".
✅Example of a trading strategy.
Tools:
🔶false breakout of the key level;
🔶volume indicator.
Description: you marked a key level of $30420 on the chart. After the false breakout you noticed that a large volume appeared on the chart.
Target: the level of highs of $42K.
Risk to reward (RR) 1:5. Good for us? Let's look at the table! The win rate of this strategy is 50% and so RR profitable.
🚩Summary: by opening a trade with a risk of $10, you got $50.
💹Advice for beginners:
1. the trading strategy does not have to be yours. You can take the rules from another strategy and adapt them to you, make your own risk management, rules of entering the trade, in the end, how many trades you make per week or month.
2. start with something simple, like a channel trade and a volume indicator that will show you the reaction of a buyer or seller when it touches the channel boundary. Gradually add filters to remove noise from your charts and increase your win rate. For example, do not open a long on altcoins if Bitcoin is falling. Statistically, 99% of cryptocurrencies repeat Bitcoin's movements, so it is unlikely to be a good trade. Unless you know the secret information, or you have more than 8 years in trading, and you have enough experience.
3. make screenshots of your best and unsuccessful trades, analyze problems and fix them, and try to repeat the best trades more often. A trading journal is best for keeping statistics.
🏁Follow your plan and you will succeed. If you still have questions about how to create your trading strategy, write in the comments. Experienced traders, how did you create your own trading strategy? Share it with the beginners!
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Price Action Ranges| Range High/Low| Deviations
In this segment we will discuss the concept behind Price Action Ranges; they are periods of oscillation in the market where supply and demand is balanced. Once this occurs, there is a high probability of a price expansion out of the range.
The basic concepts in price action ranges are the following:
- Range High Resistance
- Range Low Support
- Range –Mid
- Deviations
Range High Resistance
- This is an area on the chart where resistance is present, price action tests this area before reversing back down
Range Low Support
- This is an area on the chart where support is present, price action visits this area for a test before reversing back up
Deviations
- Deviations occur out of the region to generate liquidity, it is designed to trap trader before reversing in the opposite direction.