USNAS100 | PSYCHOLOGY BEHIND A 34% RALLY WITHOUT CORRECTIONUSNAS100 | THE PSYCHOLOGY OF A MARKET THAT REFUSED TO CORRECT FOR 34%
1. Introduction
Since the March 31st low near 22,920, the Nasdaq has experienced an extraordinary rally, climbing approximately 34% and reaching a new all-time high around 30,770.
What's fascinating about this move is not t

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Bitcoin Is Testing the Floor — Not Starting a New Bull RunEveryone is waiting for the next Bitcoin bounce, but when I look at the weekly chart, I see something very different. BTC is currently sitting on a major support zone around 58k–62k USD, and this area is now under serious pressure. In the past, this zone acted as an important reaction area, but the
Eli Lilly Breaks Above Key Resistance as Uptrend StrengthensLLY is attracting renewed buying interest following a healthy pullback, with the stock successfully reclaiming and closing above the key $1,114 resistance level for the second time. The shares remain in a strong uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, while continuing to trade above
Growing Pressure on Bitcoin!Bitcoin came under significant selling pressure this week, falling to its lowest level in nearly four months before rebounding above the $64,000 mark. The decline was largely driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which negatively affected investor appetite for risk-sensitive
Micron Hit an All-Time High, Then Fell. What Does Its Chart Say?Micron Technology NASDAQ:MU fell some 6% Thursday morning after rising nearly 1,000% over 12 months, taking the stock to an all-time intraday high earlier this week. Let's check out what its chart and fundamentals say could happen next.
Micron's Fundamental Analysis
MU sank Thursday is sympath
CSCO: Moderately bullish skew with elevated downside riskI will share interesting trading patterns regularly and hopefully these patterns can give you some ideas.
Today I start from Cisco Systems (CSCO) which showed a moderately bullish historical setup after a strong 20-day move. I have already highlighted the setup in the chart. Similar setup has bee
BTC Weekly Cycle – 0.786/0.818 Fib + TDI + Miner CapitulationLooking at BTC's full price history on the weekly chart, one pattern has repeated itself across every single major cycle without exception: the macro bottom formed inside the 0.786–0.818 Fibonacci retracement zone of that cycle's range, while the weekly TDI was fully washed out near the 30 level, an
NEAR Rejected Before Major ResistanceLower Highs Continue To Build
• NEAR has once again failed to reach the key $3.30 resistance zone.
• The latest rally stalled at $3.08, leaving a potential third consecutive lower high on the weekly chart.
Rejection Candles Raise Concerns
• Two successive inverted hammer-style candles suggest bu
Bitcoin: Bulls, Bears, and PigsWhy Hunting for the Perfect Bottom Leads to Slaughter
Thirteen years in these markets have taught me one simple truth: the market owes nobody anything. It doesn't owe you the perfect entry point, doesn't need to signal reversals with flags and fanfare, and certainly doesn't have to wait for you to
SpaceX IPO Lands Next Week at $135 a Share. Here's What We Know.SpaceX NASDAQ:SPCX was the company everyone wanted to own but couldn't. Next week, that changes. And this comes with both big risks and big opportunities.
Elon Musk's space and AI empire is heading for what could become the biggest IPO in stock market history, with SpaceX announcing plans to pri
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Chart Patterns Screener [Trendoscope]🎲 Overview
Chart Patterns Screener is an advanced Pine Script designed to automatically detect and display classical chart patterns on TradingView. It is a specialized, fine-tuned version of the popular Auto Chart Patterns indicator, optimized specifically for use with the Pine Screener.
🎲 H
Machine Learning RSI | AI Classification & Ranking (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Machine Learning RSI | AI Classification & Ranking (Zeiierman) is an adaptive RSI intelligence system that combines momentum analysis, historical analog recognition, machine learning classification, confidence scoring, and dynamic trend management into a single framework.
Rather
Polynomial/Linear Regression Volume Profile [BigBeluga]Polynomial/Linear Regression Volume Profile is a state-of-the-art charting framework that blends advanced statistical modeling with localized volume distribution analysis. By evolving past traditional, static horizontal volume profiles, this indicator dynamically curves the volume profile matrix a
Whale Liquidity and Absorption Profile [AlgoAlpha]🟠 OVERVIEW
The Whale Liquidity and Absorption Profile maps intrabar buying, selling, delta, and absorption activity into stacked horizontal profiles. It samples lower timeframe volume data inside each chart candle, then groups that activity into price bins to show where aggressive participation and
Fractional EMA Kalman Filter [D7]Fractional EMA Kalman Filter
1. Description
Fractional EMA Kalman Filter is an experimental smoothing and state-estimation tool that combines a Kalman filter framework with a fractional EMA input. The objective is to create a filter that remains subdued during ranging conditions while retaini
Neural Weight Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Neural Weight Oscillator (Zeiierman) is an adaptive multi-factor oscillator that combines structured decision-making with dynamic market learning.
The script analyzes three core market behaviors: Trend, Mean Reversion, and Momentum. Instead of treating these components equally, t
NeuraLib: A Native AI and Deep Learning RuntimeNeuraLib is a tensor-based, auto-differentiating Machine Learning runtime built natively for Pine Script™.
It brings real Deep Learning mechanisms that power modern Artificial Intelligence systems into TradingView. Instead of relying on fixed formulas, static regressions, or rigid structures, Neur
Pine3D: A Native 3D Graphical Rendering EnginePine3D is a full 3D rendering engine for TradingView, powered by Pine Script™ v6.
Pine3D pushes forward the frontier of TradingView 3D rendering capabilities, providing a fully fledged graphical engine under an intuitive, chainable, object oriented API. Build meshes, transform them in world space,
TASC 2026.05 The AutoTune Filter█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the AutoTune Filter described by John F. Ehlers in the article "A Rolling Autocorrelation Function" from the May 2026 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips . The script analyzes rolling autocorrelation in filtered price data to calculate a band-pass filter that dyn
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Community trends
Tesla (TSLA) Bearish Breakdown Toward Major Support
**Target:** $360 – $365
Tesla has broken down sharply after failing to sustain higher prices, confirming a bearish shift in short-term market structure. The stock previously traded within an ascending channel, but sellers regained control and pushed price below key support levels near $400.
The re
$MU, a 50% crash feels way overdue. In my view, the top is likelNASDAQ:MU , a 50% crash feels way overdue. In my view, the top is likely in for a while.
The move became extremely extended, sentiment overheated, and risk/reward shifted dramatically. These types of parabolic semiconductor runs rarely unwind gently once momentum breaks.
Now it’s about reacting to
NVIDIA Loses 210 USD: Pullback or Distribution Phase?Hello everyone,
NVIDIA is entering a critical phase after dropping sharply from the 235 USD area to around 205 USD. On the H4 timeframe, price has fallen below both the short-term and long-term EMAs while losing the important 210 USD psychological level. This suggests that the strong uptrend that
NOK: Flush or Breakdown? My Take.Friday's selloff was brutal. NOK dropped roughly 13.5% while QQQ experienced one of its largest down days in quite some time.
However, after reviewing the chart, I am not convinced this is a structural breakdown.
The main reason is the series of accumulation boxes highlighted in red on the chart.
Netflix (NFLX) 1H Chart Analysis – Key Support & Resistance The chart shows Netflix testing strong support around 81.24 with potential for a bullish reversal. Immediate resistance at 83.60 could signal the first breakout, followed by key resistance at 87.00. Final resistance at 90.93 represents the major upside target. Traders should monitor price reactions
AXT Inc. stock has surged more than 5,100% in just one year✅ AXT Inc. is a California-based semiconductor company specializing in the manufacture of high-performance composite substrates. The company's flagship product is Indium Phosphide, along with Gallium Arsenide and Germanium, all critical materials for advanced photonics and optics applications in the
DOCU Rejection Signals Trend Reversal – 43 → 38 in PlayDOCU Rejection Signals Trend Reversal – 43 → 38 in Play
Price recently broke out of an ascending channel Indicating for a possible start of the bearish trend.
It's possible that DOCU price may rise to $50 before it moves down as shown in the chart.
We can see that DOCU is in a strong downtrend fo
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Today
DLTHDuluth Holdings Inc.
Actual
−0.20
USD
Estimate
−0.39
USD
Today
GHMGraham Corporation
Actual
0.18
USD
Estimate
0.29
USD
Today
CPBThe Campbell's Company
Actual
0.50
USD
Estimate
0.48
USD
Today
FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.
Actual
−1.45
USD
Estimate
−0.52
USD
Today
MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc.
Actual
0.49
USD
Estimate
0.33
USD
Today
REPLReplimune Group, Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
−0.71
USD
Today
PODCPodcastOne, Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
−0.01
USD
Today
ANIXAnixa Biosciences, Inc.
Actual
—
Estimate
−0.09
USD
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Community trends
BTCUSDT: Recovery Attempt After Strong Downtrend, Eyes On 64KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a broad descending channel after reversing from a major high. Following a bearish breakout below the channel support, price accelerated lower and entered a strong impulsive decline,
BTCUSDT – Bearish Breakdown Continuation📊 BTCUSDT – Bearish Breakdown Continuation
🔍 Market Overview
Bitcoin has experienced a strong bearish breakdown after failing to hold above a key descending trendline and major resistance zone. The sharp rejection from resistance confirms continued selling pressure, while market structure now favo
Bitcoin bullish til 6-September 2026? Buy everything below 70KThe bullish move lasted 3 months, from 6-Feb to 6-May. The bearish move is about to be one month old and is ending now—from 6-May through 6-June.
» 6-June 2026 Bitcoin can turn bullish again. Buy everything below $70,000—think long-term.
A repeat of Feb-May would mean bullish action in June, Jul
Ethereum on the EdgeHi!
Ethereum is flashing a serious warning sign on the weekly chart after breaking a well-defined bearish flag pattern below, a continuation structure that often appears before the next leg lower in a downtrend.
The recent rejection from the flag's upper boundary, combined with the loss of key sup
BTCUSD Daily Outlook BOS Breakdown FVG Targets & Reversal ZONE
This chart illustrates a complete Smart Money Concepts (SMC) market cycle on the Bitcoin daily timeframe. Price initially formed a **Change of Character (CHoCH)** and **Break of Structure (BOS)**, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish market conditions. Following a period of consolidation with
BTCUSD HIGH TIME FRAME TREND LINE REJECTION WITH 1H SUPPORT Bitcoin has experienced a strong bearish decline and is now testing a major daily support zone. Price is trading near a key demand area where buyers could step in and slow the downside momentum.
A sustained hold above daily support may trigger a relief bounce toward the marked recovery targets. How
Bitcoin price action oversold bounce Bitcoin price action continues to trade within a strong bearish market structure, with the trend remaining firmly defined by a sequence of lower lows and lower highs across multiple timeframes. Recent price action has shown little evidence of a meaningful reversal, with sellers maintaining control a
BTC – Bearish Gap Fill Setup Below 63K, Eyes on 61,2KBitcoin is opening a clean shorting setup after last week's strong rally into the weekend gap.
Why This Level Matters:
Price is stalling just under 63,442 after the rally and now sits above an unfilled weekend gap. Gaps like this tend to get filled, and the Main Target Zone near 61,250 lines up p
I bought some BTC on Friday here are the factors!I bought BTC of Friday because of the following factors :
We pierced the 200 Weekly SMA
Time count of 7
previous candles intra day price action showing interest and some accumulation
Were retracing to a trend line we broke out from a previous bull flag.
I'm not looking for a crazy gain just 10% min
BTC Is Bouncing Into Supply: $64.7K Reclaim Saves BullsBTC is trying to recover, but the bounce is walking directly into supply, not freedom.
On the 4H, BTC is trading around $62,022 and still sits below EMA20 at $62,428.95, EMA50 at $65,698.71, and EMA200 at $72,514.96.
That keeps the broader moving average stack bearish for now.
RSI: neutral a
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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold experienced a sharp sell-off on Friday following the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The metal broke decisively below the key $4,400 support zone and closed beneath it, signaling increased bearish momentum in the near term.
Gold Long-Term Trend & Liquidity Zones
This XAUUSD daily chart highlights a long-term Smart Money Concept (SMC) structure with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations, institutional supply and demand zones, and key liquidity levels. The market remains under bearish pressure after failing to reclaim major resistance areas, while
Gold Forms a Possible Rebound To The Resistance Level of 4380$Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (4H) chart structure. XAUUSD has been trading under a long-term descending trendline after reversing from a major high. Several consolidation ranges formed during the decline, but each recovery attempt failed to break the bearish
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like price to open and attack the lower defence box which is where we wanted a bounce to then get the opportunity to short this from a little higher. We got a temporary bounce for a decent capture, but the lower defence was breached withou
XAU/USD 1D CHART PATTERNXAU/USD is currently trading near a major support zone after facing strong bearish pressure during the previous session. As seen on the chart, gold reacted from the important 4251 support region and could continue bullish from the 4323 level, as price is now attempting to stabilize above the ascendi
US OIL Weekly CLS Model 2Hi Friends, Model 1 has already played out and price has made a pullback to the Model 2 zone. Im looking for short from this this key level. As always SL should be bellow the protected swing. Confirmation switch on LTF is advantage.
⏳ Stay patient Model2 dynamics is usually slower.
🎯 Target: Full
GOLD Setup ; Both Scenarios Mapped Gold is currently trading near a key support zone after a strong bearish move from the recent resistance area. The price has broken below the short-term trading range, showing that sellers remain in control for now.
The recent sharp downside reaction may be linked to stronger U.S. Dollar sentiment
GOLD - Bear market. A correction before the decline ICMARKETS:XAUUSD has broken below consolidation support, exiting the range and transitioning into a continuation of the downtrend. The key drivers are Friday's NFP report and a strong U.S. dollar
Gold is experiencing a bearish shift in both its fundamental and technical backdrop. The labor mar
XAUUSD: ABC Recovery May Start From the Weak Low
Gold closed the week under heavy pressure after a sharp decline into the weak low area around 4,311–4,328. From Kelly’s view, the main structure is still bearish, but early next week may bring an ABC corrective recovery if price can hold above the current low zone.
This is not a full bullish reve
XAUUSD Bearish Channel Breakdown – Sellers Eye Lower SupportGold (XAUUSD) has confirmed a strong bearish breakdown after trading within a descending channel. Price rejected the upper boundary multiple times before breaking below key support around the 4,380–4,400 zone, signaling increased selling pressure.
The breakdown below both the channel support and th
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EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Key Support & Resistance LevelsThis chart highlights major EUR/USD support and resistance zones, including demand areas where buyers may step in and resistance zones for potential profit-taking or reversals. Trendlines indicate market direction, while key levels provide guidance for entries, stop-losses, and target planning for s
EURUSD Long: Short-Term Pullback Toward 1.15600 PossibleHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current EURUSD (1H) chart structure. EURUSD experienced sharp bearish pressure after breaking down from an ascending channel and a major pivot point. Price recently formed a massive drop below previous support, confirming that sellers aggressiv
GBPUSD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGBP/USD is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking below the ascending trendline and retesting a key resistance zone around 1.3450–1.3500. The rejection from this area suggests that sellers remain in control, with price now trading near the important support level around 1.3330.
The recent d
GBPJPY Breakout and Potential Retrace : BOJ Intervention Risk!Hey Traders,
In tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around the 214.150 zone. GBPJPY was previously trading in an uptrend but has successfully broken market structure and is now in a correction phase, with price approaching the 214.150 retrace area, a key re
GBPJPY Bullish Reversal From Trendline SupportGBPJPY is showing signs of a bullish recovery after reacting from a key demand zone and trendline support. If buyers maintain control above support, the pair could continue its upward move toward higher resistance levels. 📈🔥
Alternative:
After a strong pullback, GBPJPY is attempting to regain bullis
USDCAD Bearish Pullback Toward Key Support ZoneUSDCAD has rallied strongly within an ascending channel and is now trading near a significant resistance area around **1.3940–1.3950**. After the sharp bullish breakout, price appears overextended and may undergo a corrective pullback toward the highlighted support zone. The marked demand area aroun
GBPUSD IS APPROACHING THE PERFECT BUY ZONEGBPUSD is approaching a high-confluence zone where a bullish order block aligns perfectly with a rising trendline.
This area has all the ingredients smart money traders look for:
✅ Higher-timeframe bullish structure
✅ Trendline support still intact
✅ Strong demand/order block zone
✅ Buy-side liquid
EUR/USD: The 1.1520 Macro Floor ReversalTimeline: Mid-June 2026 📅
The Euro has suffered a brutal, high-volume liquidation drop, currently hovering at 1.15256 on the 4-hour chart. 📉
While short-term retail traders are panicking over the steep vertical breakdown, the pair is sitting directly on an ironclad macro structural floor. 🏗️
📐 Th
AUD/USD Breaks Down from Consolidation – Recovery Targets..**Title:**
**AUD/USD Breaks Down from Consolidation – Recovery Targets at 0.7095 and 0.7150**
**Chart Description:**
This 1-hour AUD/USD chart highlights a sharp bearish breakdown following a period of consolidation. Price initially traded within a rising channel before losing momentum and eventual
EURUSD H4: Breakdown Below 1.1550 Puts Sellers Back in ControlHello everyone,
EURUSD has suffered a significant breakdown on the H4 timeframe after losing the 1.1600–1.1580 support zone and falling sharply toward 1.1528. The move came with a clear expansion in bearish momentum, confirming that sellers have regained control of the market.
What catches my att
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