From Shutdown Relief to AI Anxiety — Two Narratives Driving ESMarket Theme
The week began on a strong footing, driven by a bullish Sunday reopen in ES after news broke that the 43-day government shutdown was set to end, following the Senate’s late-night support for a potential agreement on November 9th. This relief catalyst created early upside momentum, pus

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QQQ (14 November)The +/- 3% envelope with the 20d MA works well for mean-reversion strategies since it clearly shows inflection points where price may snap back toward the average
How far is price from its 20d MA & is price near extremes of the 3% bands?
Bollinger Bands adjust dynamically with volatility
Price
Technical analysis of bitcoin key levels and wedge chart pattern1. Trend Structure
The descending trendline (Resistance line) at the top of the chart remains valid.
The price has repeatedly faced rejection at this level, indicating that the medium-term downtrend is still intact.
2. Key Price Levels and Indicators
50-week EMA
The price has recently
Bitcoin Sinks to May Low Under $96,000. When Buy the Dip?Because sometimes the dip just keeps on dipping.
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD can’t seem to catch a break. The flagship crypto slid below $96,000 on Friday, a level last seen in May, and traders aren’t exactly rushing to buy the dip.
The decline caps a tough few weeks for the OG coin, now lower by
When Arctic Storm Meets Government ShutdownNYMEX: Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures ( NYMEX:MNG1! )
A “Perfect Storm” is brewing by weather catastrophe and man-made events.
On Thursday, November 6th, forecaster Atmospheric G2 said that it predicted colder than normal weather over the Eastern US for November 11-15. Driven by the expectati
ASTS 4H: space internet or orbital dream?AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is consolidating above the $61–69 zone, right near the 0.618 Fibonacci level of its last major rally. On the 4H chart, momentum shows early reversal signs: falling volume on pullbacks, stochastic turning up, and buyers defending local lows. The bullish setup holds as long as p
RENDER – Nvidia’s Favorite GPU Coin Testing Demand Zone RENDER – Nvidia’s Favorite GPU Coin Testing Demand Zone 🔍🎯
Render just kissed the $1.91–$2.00 demand zone — the base of the macro channel and a textbook long-term retest level.
This is not just any altcoin. Render powers the Las Vegas Virtual Dome and is the only crypto Nvidia has ever name-drop
TSLA Setting Up for a Big Move This Week (Nov 10–14)Here’s the full multi-timeframe outlook for TSLA based on SMC structure, channels, BOS/CHoCH shifts, momentum, and the GEX map. Each section is separated so you can attach the matching chart under it.
1. Weekly Timeframe (1W)
Macro Structure
TSLA is still holding its bigger weekly breakout after cl
Dollar Index Pulls Back from a Key HighDollar Index Pulls Back from a Key High
As the Dollar Index (DXY) chart shows, the index is currently trading below its 5 November high, which formed after a false bullish breakout (marked by an arrow) above the 1 August peak — a scenario previously outlined in the post “The Dollar Index Near a Ke
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Holographic Market Microstructure | AlphaNattHolographic Market Microstructure | AlphaNatt
A multidimensional, holographically-rendered framework designed to expose the invisible forces shaping every candle — liquidity voids, smart money footprints, order flow imbalances, and structural evolution — in real time.
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📘 Overview
The Hol
PriceFormatLibrary for automatically converting price values to formatted strings
matching the same format that TradingView uses to display open/high/low/close prices on the chart.
█ OVERVIEW
This library is intended for Pine Coders who are authors of scripts that display numbers onto a user's charts. T
LogNormalLibrary "LogNormal"
A collection of functions used to model skewed distributions as log-normal.
Prices are commonly modeled using log-normal distributions (ie. Black-Scholes) because they exhibit multiplicative changes with long tails; skewed exponential growth and high variance. This approach i
Range Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Range Oscillator (Zeiierman) is a dynamic market oscillator designed to visualize how far the price is trading relative to its equilibrium range. Instead of relying on traditional overbought/oversold thresholds, it uses adaptive range detection and heatmap coloring to reveal where pri
Volume Surprise [LuxAlgo]The Volume Surprise tool displays the trading volume alongside the expected volume at that time, allowing users to spot unexpected trading activity on the chart easily.
The tool includes an extrapolation of the estimated volume for future periods, allowing forecasting future trading activity.
🔶 U
Smooth Theil-SenI wanted to build a Theil-Sen estimator that could run on more than one bar and produce smoother output than the standard implementation. Theil-Sen regression is a non-parametric method that calculates the median slope between all pairs of points in your dataset, which makes it extremely robust to o
Fair Value Gaps by DGTFair Value Gaps
A refined, multi-timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection tool that brings institutional imbalance zones to life directly on your chart.
Designed for precision, it visualizes how price delivers into inefficiencies across chart, higher, and lower (intrabar) timeframes — offering a fl
TASC 2025.11 The Points and Line Chart█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Points and Line Chart described by Mohamed Ashraf Mahfouz and Mohamed Meregy in the November 2025 edition of the TASC Traders' Tips , "Efficient Display of Irregular Time Series”. This novel chart type interprets regular time series chart data to create an ir
Simplified Percentile ClusteringSimplified Percentile Clustering (SPC) is a clustering system for trend regime analysis.
Instead of relying on heavy iterative algorithms such as k-means, SPC takes a deterministic approach: it uses percentiles and running averages to form cluster centers directly from the data, producing smoo
Adaptive Volume Delta Map---
📊 Adaptive Volume Delta Map (AVDM)
What is Adaptive Volume Delta Map (AVDM)?
The Adaptive Volume Delta Map (AVDM) is a smart, multi-timeframe indicator that visualizes buy and sell volume imbalances directly on the chart.
It adapts automatically to the best available data resolution
See all indicators and strategies
Community trends
TSLA Losing Momentum – Uptrend Breakdown RiskLooking at the current picture, both news flow and technical signals show that Tesla is entering a challenging phase. A series of recent negative developments — from large funds selling off, to declining sales in China, and Elon Musk potentially taking a loss on his latest share purchases — have cle
This is not a gloat. This is Proof!In this video, I’m not showing a “win.”
I’m showing the process.
Months ago, the algorithmic structure on PACS pointed to a very specific liquidity target - more than 30% below where price was trading at the time.
Price tapped that exact level… and has since moved over 100% higher.
This isn’t lu
Double Top - Rejection CandlesI do believe we are in the beginning innings of a mild "bear" market for the rest of the year. Too many folks wanting to sell high beta/valuation names. Add the Mag 7 collapse risk and TSLA is particularly vulnerable and may get unwound back to mid 300s.
We do have NVDIA earnings this Wednesday a
TTD massive and explosive growth TTD has proven to be an underrated competitor in the stock market . It has beaten earnings in the last report , and has touched its proven major major support level of 45 numerous rimes. Based on Jesus and my analysis. It’s expected to go above 72$ this week with a massive recovery book to the upsid
NVDA – First Signs of Stabilization After a Heavy Selloff (11/17NVDA finally showed the first real sign of stabilization after multiple days of controlled selling. The move off the lows wasn’t random — when you zoom into the different timeframes and combine it with the GEX landscape, the bounce actually makes a lot of sense. NVDA dropped right into a deep put zo
TSLA: Wave 4 or Explosive Momentum – Get Ready for a Big MoveTSLA: Wave 4 or Explosive Momentum – Get Ready for a Big Move
📈 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish scenario:
The price holds the $436–$449 zone, ending the correction with wave 4.
Breaks above $470–$471, triggering wave 5 → target of $488–$505+.
Consolidation:
The price is in the $436–$471 range, without a
Microsoft Approaches Key Level, Expands Xbox Design Lab GloballyMicrosoft has announced a major expansion of its Xbox Design Lab through a new global partnership with ESW, significantly widening its international ecommerce footprint. Xbox Design Lab allows gamers to create personalized Xbox Wireless Controllers and Elite Series 2 controllers. With ESW now servin
UNH Liquidity Grab Signals Cycle Reversal - Are you ready?A multi-decade bull cycle doesn’t end quietly.
UNH’s Wave 5 has reached exhaustion, and the chart is finally revealing what the next macro chapter might look like.
When price, structure, Fibonacci geometry, and smart money behavior all align — the market is speaking.
🌀 Wave Theory
UNH has
Ahead of Nvidia’s (NVDA) Earnings: How the Price Could MoveAhead of Nvidia’s (NVDA) Earnings: How the Price Could Move
On Wednesday, after the close of the main US trading session, Nvidia will release its quarterly results — a report seen not merely as another batch of corporate data but as a crucial test for the entire AI-driven bull run.
NVDA shares ar
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HDHome Depot, Inc. (The)
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3.84
USD
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OCSLOaktree Specialty Lending Corporation
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0.39
USD
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MDTMedtronic plc.
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1.31
USD
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ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.
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1.12
USD
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HSDTSolana Company
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−50.50
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MANUManchester
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0.08
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CODID/B/A Compass Diversified Holdings Shares of Beneficial Interest
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0.61
USD
Today
RILYB. Riley Financial, Inc.
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Community trends
Bitcoin: Extreme support 91k! Big pump soon (easy, watch this)Bitcoin is in a critical situation because the price broke the falling wedge, and instead of a bullish breakout, we see a bearish breakdown! I expected this price action, please look at my previous posts. The falling wedge in general is a bullish pattern, but in bear markets they are bearish pattern
Understanding Risk Management in TradingWelcome everyone back to Trading view article by King_BennyBag.
In today’s post we will discuss how one can understand risk management in trading, and action it.
We will start off by defining what risk management is.
Risk management definition:
Risk management is the process of identifying
The Market is at 80°C. What Happens at 100°C?Greetings, everyone.
Today, I don't want to talk about the news. I want to talk about what truly matters: market structure. Many traders are currently looking for a news event to explain the current lull and predict Bitcoin's next move. They are looking in the wrong direction.
Remember this: the n
ETHUSD – Bearish Channel Respect, Flag Breakdown SetupHi
The chart illustrates a clean, structured bearish trend where price continues to respect a broad descending channel. Each major reaction level and pattern aligns well with the larger downtrend, indicating that sellers are still in control.
Price recently tapped a key flip area near the upper bo
BTCUSD: Buyers Aiming for a Move Toward 99,000 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSD has recently completed a strong downward phase inside a well-defined Downward Channel, where price continuously formed lower highs and lower lows. After reaching the Support Zone around $94,500–$95,200, buye
BITCOIN The 1W MA50 Bear confirmation you didnt want, happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 06 2023. Since that break-out, the 1W MA50 had been tested and held on 3 major occasions within the Bull Cycle, providing the most optimal mid-Cycle entries during those 2.5 years.
What's even
BITCOIN → 100K broken. Consolidation in the short zone...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P broke through the 100K support level and is consolidating within the local range of 94,150 - 97,280. The decline may continue if the market does not receive support (news or other bullish drivers).
Bitcoin is consolidating below the upward trend line of support and below 100
Bitcoin: 100K Resistance Watch 88K Overlap.Bitcoin rejected the 105K area NEW resistance/old support. I wrote about this possibility a week ago and highlighted it during my stream. With the new low in progress, this area 95K and 90K are the next support areas to watch for swing trade reversals. Note the 90K to 88K area is a major support and
BTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building AgainBTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building Again
Market Summary
BTC/USD continues to operate within a declining market environment where sell-side pressure remains dominant. The recent recovery attempt has shown limited strength, forming only a temporary corrective phase within a broader downward cycle. Curr
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Potential Brief Recovery Key Support ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT is pressing into the key support zone near 92,000, where price previously created a major reaction and where a fresh bullish divergence is forming. The market structure shows a clean downward channel, but price is stabilizing inside
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XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold completed the expected bullish correction, reached the resistance zone and the broken trendline, and was strongly rejected from that area.
This rejection confirms continued bearish pressure in the market.
In the current region, we expect gold t
XAUUSD Buyers Step In — Market Aiming for $4,140 RetestHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). XAUUSD maintains a bullish structure after bouncing from the key $4,050–$4,060 support zone, where price also retested the ascending trendline. After breaking out of the descending channel, Gold formed a new accumulation zone and moved higher, appro
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: The $4,000 Gatekeeper DecidesOANDA:XAUUSD recent rally hit a wall, surrendering a significant chunk of its weekly gains as trading volume dried up, signaling waning bullish conviction. The critical resistance zone near $4,250 proved impenetrable, acting like a magnet that pulled price back down after a brief flirtation. This f
Gold 30-Min — Volume Sell Reversal Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4090 Area
XAUUSD: Bullish Rebound Setup as Price Holds Above Wedge SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is currently maintaining a bullish market structure after rebounding from the key Wedge Support Line, which continues to act as a major dynamic support for the ongoing uptrend. The chart shows that Gold previou
GOLD → Consolidation while awaiting the driverFX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a sharp decline. Bulls are consolidating above 4050. Important US data is ahead, including the employment report (NFP) on Thursday.
Decrease in bets on Fed easing: The probability of a cut in December has fallen to 46% (from 67% a week ago) after cautious stat
GOLD: Watching The Support Zone for the Next MoveGOLD: Watching The Support Zone for the Next Move
Gold has pulled back sharply after yesterday’s aggressive selloff, but price is now sitting right on a strong support zone.
This area aligns with the previous structure and could act as a launch point if buyers step back in.
If this zone holds,
Gold Price Retest Setup – Key Supply Zones in FocusGold (XAUUSD) has broken below its ascending structure, forming a clear weak low and shifting into a bearish environment. Price is now attempting a recovery toward two major supply zones highlighted on the chart.
The first reaction zone sits near 4099–4121, where sellers may re-enter. If this level
XAUUSD: Double Flag Setup, but with a "Warning"Things could get interesting this week.
In my previous analysis, I pointed out a big flag structure, with a smaller flag forming on top of it. But for the bullish scenario to actually happen, that second flag needs to break to the upside with strength…
THE PROBLEM? This retracement is already dee
NQ Year End Range (11-17-25)Recent price action is looking like what we saw late 2024 into 2025, prior to 26% drop (Feb,25). You can view the Post here:
The lift back up from the 26% drop has been a 60% run up on low volume, including the 10 minute 12% pop from Wash ST. "time to buy" Tweet. NAZ under long term TL (Orange tren
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EURUSD - Outlook for next week!Introduction
EURUSD has been steadily climbing, maintaining a firm uptrend that continues to show strength in market structure. The series of higher highs and higher lows suggests that bullish momentum remains intact, with the market consistently respecting key demand zones on its way upward. As th
EURUSD Rejected From Resistance — Pullback Toward 1.1560 in PlayHello traders! Let’s analyze the current EURUSD market structure. EURUSD continues to move within a broad descending channel, where both the Resistance Line and the Support Line have been respected multiple times, confirming a well-defined bearish market structure. Throughout the past sessions, pric
GBP/CAD - Triangle Breakout (17.11.2025)🧠 Setup Overview
GBP/CAD has broken below a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential bearish continuation after repeated rejections from the upper trendline. The pair is now trading under the breakout level, with sellers showing strong control. If bearish momentum continues, the next support zon
AUDUSD: Watching 0.6470 as Fed Cut Bets GrowHey Traders,
In today’s session we’re monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.64700 zone. The pair remains in a clear uptrend, and price is currently pulling back toward a major trend support / S&R confluence at 0.64700 — a level where bulls have previously stepped in with
GBPJPY → Attempt to reverse the local trend to bullish FX:GBPJPY breaks the structure of the local downtrend amid the fall of the Japanese yen. The price may continue the global bullish trend...
The yen continues to fall, the pound is rising. A breakout of the trend resistance is forming. The global trend is bullish. Key support is 203.500 - 203.2
USDCHF I Monthly CLS I Model 1 I Target 50% of the rangeHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50%
USD/JPY Rejection Signals Possible Drop Toward 154.300USD/JPY is reacting from a strong resistance zone, showing signs of rejection after multiple failed breakouts. Price is expected to pull back toward the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and may extend further down toward the 154.300 target, aligning with the mapped order block below.
GBPCAD: Perfect Buying Opportunity In Making Worth 1000+ PipsDear Traders,
The GBP/CAD pair is at a turning point, and it might just reverse! Recent market data indicates a strong upward trend, with the pair gaining over 1000 pips in the last cycle. This surge is backed by increasing trading volume and a convincing week-closing candle, with smaller timeframe
Lingrid | AUDUSD Weekly High False Breakout - Sell SetupFX:AUDUSD is rejecting the resistance block after forming a clear lower high right beneath the descending red trendline. Price is now slipping back under the minor breakout zone, showing fading bullish momentum inside the shaded range. As long as price stays below 0.6550, sellers remain in control
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