What is Equilibrium in SMC. Balance and Imbalance in Forex Gold
Equilibrium is one of the core elements for understanding market liquidity.
In this article, we will go through the essential basics of liquidity in Forex trading with Smart Money Concepts SMC.
You will learn the interconnections between supply and demand and I will explain how to easily identify balance and imbalance on any market.
Let's start our discussion with understanding how forex pairs move.
The price of an asset goes up if the market demand is stronger than the market supply. The excess of buying activity make the markets update the highs. In smart money concepts, such an event will also be called a buying imbalance.
Look at a strong bullish rally on Gold.
The price is going up because of a buying imbalance.
A strong buying activity creates a massive amount of buyers with unfilled orders.
To entice sellers to start selling, they must offer a higher-better price.
At the same time, if the price of an asset goes down , it means that the market supply is stronger than a demand. The excess of supply will make the markets update the lows. In smc, it will be called a selling imbalance.
That is exactly what is happening with GBPUSD forex pair.
A strong selling activity and the shortage of demand makes the price go down.
The excess of supply or demand on the market can not be eternal.
The lower the price becomes, the more buyers will start buying, and the more sellers will start closing their positions.
At some moment, the surplus of supply will be absorbed by the buyers.
That will be a moment when the market will find equilibrium , the balance between supply and demand.
A strong bearish imbalance on USDJPY made the price drop significantly.
The falling price made 3 things:
It attracted more buyers, because the lower the price the more profitable is buying USDJPY.
It discouraged some buyers from buying, considering that the price is already "too low".
It encouraged some buyers to close their positions in profit.
Because of that, USDJPY stopped falling and found a balance in supply and demand. That is what we call Equilibrium .
In a bull run, the higher the price will go, the more sellers will start selling.
At some moment, buying imbalance will be absorbed by the bears and supply & demand will eventually balance.
Such an event will be called the equilibrium .
EURGBP was rallying strongly.
The higher the price went, the more sellers started to sell, considering selling the pair more and more profitable.
And the same time, fewer buyers were buying and the more started to close their buy positions in profits.
At some moment, the entire excess of the market demand was absorbed by a supply. The market stopped growing and equilibrium was found.
One of the main characteristics of a market equilibrium is sideways price movement and a termination of a formation of new highs or new lows.
Usually, such a sideways price action will form a horizontal range.
That's a real example how a CAD JPY pair found an equilibrium after an extended bearish movement. A formation of a horizontal range confirmed a balance between a supply and a demand.
Please, note that these ranges will form on any time frame that you analyse.
The rule is that the higher is the time frame of the range, the stronger is the market equilibrium.
Above, I have 3 different charts:
USDJPY on a daily time frame, EURJPY on a 4H and GBPUSD on 15 minutes.
All the pairs found an equilibrium in horizontal ranges.
An equilibrium on USDJPY will signify intra week or even intra month balance,
while on EURJPY it will mean intraday/intra week balance.
On GBPUSD, it will signify intraday equilibrium.
Market equilibrium can not last forever.
Fundamentals news and changing market conditions, make the market participants constantly reassess a fair value of an asset.
A violation of the range and a breakout of one of its boundaries will be a trigger of an occurrence of an imbalance .
A bullish violation of the upper boundary of the range will signify a buying imbalance and a highly probable rise to the new highs.
While a bearish violation of the lower boundary of the range will mean a selling imbalance and a highly probable fall to the new lows.
Please, study how GBPCHF was moving for a week on an hourly time frame.
The periods of balance were changed by the periods of bullish or bearish imbalances, that found a new equilibrium on higher/lower price levels.
Understanding of basic principles of supply and demand in trading is essential for profitable trading smart money concepts.
Learn to recognize the periods of imbalance and equilibrium.
It will provide you the edge in understanding and trading any forex pair.
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Support and Resistance
TradeCityPro Academy | Support & Resistance Part 2👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel
🎓 Educational Section Technical Analysis Training Series
Welcome to the Educational Content Section of our channel!
Here, we aim to teach you technical analysis from A to Z through structured playlists.
We’ll cover everything from risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, and market cycles, to more advanced concepts.
Our lessons are based on both real market experience and The Handbook of Technical Analysis.
🎨 What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to forecast price movements in financial markets by analyzing historical data, especially price and volume.
It’s based on the idea that history tends to repeat itself, and that recurring patterns can reveal profitable trading opportunities.
📚 Complete Guide to Support and Resistance in Technical Analysis
🧩 Introduction
In technical analysis, two key concepts form the foundation of nearly every trading strategy: Support and Resistance.
These levels represent areas on the chart where the price is likely to change direction, as buyers or sellers regain control.
But to truly understand them, you must go beyond the chart — because their origin lies in human psychology and collective behavior.
🟢 What Is Support?
A support level is an area where buying pressure increases and prevents the price from falling further.
It acts like a floor where buyers believe the asset has become cheap enough to buy.
As a result, the market tends to bounce upward from that area.
For example, if Bitcoin has repeatedly reversed near $55,000, that zone is considered a support level.
🔴 What Is Resistance?
A resistance level is an area where selling pressure increases and stops the price from rising higher.
When the price approaches this level, traders often feel the asset is “too expensive” and start selling.
For example, if Ethereum has failed multiple times to break above $3,800, that area is considered resistance.
💭 Why Do Support and Resistance Form?
Markets are not just numbers — they’re the reflection of human emotion and crowd behavior.
When large groups of traders make similar decisions (to buy or sell) around the same price zone, it creates a psychological memory in the market.
If price has reacted there before, traders remember it — and react the same way next time.
This repetition forms the backbone of how support and resistance levels develop and strengthen over time.
🧠 The Role of Emotion and Crowd Psychology
Emotions drive markets.
When prices rise quickly, people experience FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and rush to buy — until demand runs out and price reverses (resistance).
When prices fall, fear of losing money triggers panic selling — until sellers dry up and price rebounds (support).
This constant emotional cycle repeats endlessly, creating recurring support and resistance zones on every chart.
⚙️ The Structure Behind the Levels
From a technical perspective, these levels form because large clusters of orders are placed around them.
Traders typically set buy orders below the current price (near support) and sell orders above it (near resistance).
So when the market reaches those areas, there’s a strong battle between buyers and sellers.
That’s why these zones are not just psychological — they’re also built into the order flow and liquidity structure of the market.
📈 Reactions and Breakouts
When price approaches a key level, two outcomes are possible: Reaction or Breakout.
In a reaction, price touches the level and reverses — meaning buyers or sellers defend it successfully.
In a breakout, price pushes through with strong momentum and high volume, breaking the market’s previous belief.
After a breakout, the level often changes its role:
A broken resistance becomes new support.
A broken support becomes new resistance.
This behavior is known as Role Reversal, one of the most powerful principles in chart analysis.
⚖️ The Professional Mindset
Support and resistance are zones, not exact numbers.
The market may slightly move above or below them before reacting — this is known as a fake breakout.
Professional traders look for confirmation such as reversal candles, volume spikes, or RSI divergences before acting.
The key is not to memorize lines but to read crowd behavior.
Once you understand why people buy or sell at certain points, you gain a true edge over the average trader.
🧩 Conclusion
Support and resistance are not just lines on a chart; they are the visible footprints of fear, greed, and collective memory in the market.
By understanding their psychological and structural roots, you can identify better entry and exit zones,
predict reactions more accurately, and avoid emotional mistakes.
Learn to read the emotions behind the candles — because at its core, the market is simply a crowd of human minds trying to win.
My Plan To Improve My Win/Loss Ratio In Forex TradingThe trading plan that I have been designing based on SMC was amazingly beautful in terms of its mechanics. Yet, it had a terrible Win/Loss ratio.
Because I loved its mechanics, I didn't want to drop it all together, and was looking for ways to enhance it. I tried to merge it with the classical school and with some Volume indicator, but things still went south.
Finally, I came by some educational material that showed me a couple of things on using Stochastic. I loved it, and this will be my addition, and what I will test in the coming week.
My plan will include the same SMC rules, and the Stochastic. I will draw the support and resistance zones and maybe trendlines.
I will be using the daily timeframe on two different sets of settings for the stochastic, one is long term and another is shorter term.
I will be coming back with my test results next week.
Top-Down Analysis Strategy: How I Open and Manage TradesLearn how I use top-down analysis from senior to junior timeframes to find high-probability entry points and confidently follow through on trades.
On the weekly chart, I identify point A and the presumed point B — this is my idea. Then, gradually shifting through the timeframes, I need to confirm this idea. I get confirmation when volume appears on the chart.
On the daily chart, I note the formation of a new trading range, which arises as a result of the interaction of the price with the key level. I determine the POI in the form of a daily FVG — my idea is confirmed, and the price is ready to move towards point B.
I also note the daily SNR as a potential zone of interest. If the price reacts to the SNR, it will mean that I am working in a strong trend. If the reaction occurs on the FVG, the movement simply continues along the trend.
If you are interested in the topic of working in ranges, write in the comments — I will definitely cover it.
As a result of the daily SNR test, the price confirms the presence of volume through the formation of a 4-hour True SNR. You can open a position from it with a limit order with a target beyond point B and fix the risk/profit ratio at 1:2.
If you found this article interesting and my method useful, I would appreciate your support — please like, share, and help promote this article so that it reaches more traders.
How to Analyze Daily Time Frame on Gold. 5 Important Things
There are 5 important things that you should analyze on Gold on a daily time frame to accurately predict long term, midterm and short term movements.
In this article, I will share with you a step-by-step guide for daily time frame analysis that you can apply on Gold or any other financial instrument.
1 - Identify the market trend
When you analyze a daily time frame, you should identify long term, midterm and short term market trends.
Long-term trend is based on the analysis of one year long price action.
In the example above, Gold is trading in a long term bullish trend because the price keeps setting new higher high and new higher lows during the year.
Midterm trend is based on the analysis of a price action for the last 4–5 months.
Above, we can clearly see that a mid-term trend is bullish because again, the price sets new higher highs and higher lows over time.
Short-term trend is based on the analysis of price movements for the last 2 months.
Short-term price action is also bullish on Gold, with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
According to the trend analysis, long-term, mid-term and short-term trends are bullish.
2 - Identify the directional bias
The directional bias defines a highly probable future direction on the market.
In our example, we can anticipate that Gold will keep growing among all the dimensions: long-term, mid-term and short-term.
3 - Execute structure analysis
Identify important historic horizontal and vertical structures.
That will be the points from where you should look for trading opportunities.
When you analyze key levels, identify the structures that are lying close to the current price levels.
Make sure that all the structures that you spotted were respected by the market in the past.
4 - Look for price action patterns
Price action patterns are the language of the market.
Proper identification of the patters will help you correctly understand the intentions of the market participants.
You can see that a bearish breakout of a rising channel triggered a correctional movement on the market.
Gold started to fall steadily within a bullish flag pattern and after it tested a key support, the price violated the resistance of the flag.
5 - Analyze candlesticks
Candlestick patterns can provide extra clues and confirmations.
You can see that the market formed multiple rejections from key support, an inside bar formation and bullish engulfing candle.
Violation of the inside bar to the upside with a strong bullish candle is an important bullish signal.
Combining trend analysis, structure analysis, price action and candlestick analysis, and you can make predictions and look for trading opportunities.
You can also make your analysis even more sophisticated, for example, analyzing fundamental analysis or applying technical indicators.
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TradeCityPro Academy | Support & Resistance Part 1👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel
🎓 Educational Section Technical Analysis Training Series
Welcome to the Educational Content Section of our channel!
Here, we aim to teach you technical analysis from A to Z through structured playlists.
We’ll cover everything from risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, and market cycles, to more advanced concepts.
Our lessons are based on both real market experience and The Handbook of Technical Analysis.
🎨 What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to forecast price movements in financial markets by analyzing historical data, especially price and volume.
It’s based on the idea that history tends to repeat itself, and that recurring patterns can reveal profitable trading opportunities.
🧩 The Human Concept of Support and Resistance
Support and resistance aren’t just numbers on a chart — they’re the result of collective human behavior.
When large groups of traders make similar decisions — buying or selling — at a certain level, that area becomes psychologically important in the market.
Support forms where fear of missing out (FOMO) drives people to buy.
Resistance forms where fear of loss motivates people to sell.
💭 The Psychology Behind Formation
In a downtrend, when prices fall too much, traders start thinking “It can’t go any lower”, and buying pressure increases — forming support.
In an uptrend, when prices rise sharply, traders think “It’s too expensive now”, and selling pressure builds — forming resistance.
So, these levels reflect emotions like fear, greed, and FOMO, rather than being purely technical.
🌍 Real-World Example
When the USD price drops so low that everyone rushes to buy it — that’s support.
When gold becomes so expensive that no one wants to buy anymore — that’s resistance.
Markets operate on these same human instincts — only visualized through candlesticks and numbers.
🧩 Introduction
In technical analysis, two key concepts exist in nearly every strategy:
Support and Resistance.
These are areas on the chart where the probability of price reaction or reversal is high.
🟢 What is Support?
A support level is where buying pressure is expected to increase and prevent further price decline.
It acts like a floor that supports price.
📘 Example:
If Bitcoin repeatedly bounces from the $60,000 level, that area is considered a support zone.
🔴 What is Resistance?
A resistance level is where selling pressure increases, preventing further price growth.
It acts like a ceiling that stops price movement upward.
📘 Example:
If Ethereum fails multiple times to break above $3,800, that area is a resistance zone.
📈 How to Identify Support and Resistance
There are several methods to detect these levels:
Previous Highs and Lows:
The most common method — look for areas where price has reacted before.
Trendlines:
In an uptrend, connecting higher lows gives you a dynamic support line.
Moving Averages (MA):
MAs like MA50 or MA200 often act as dynamic support or resistance.
Supply and Demand Zones:
Areas where heavy buying or selling previously occurred.
⚙️ Market Psychology
Support and resistance are emotional memory points for traders.
When price reacts to a level once, it becomes mentally significant, leading to similar reactions in the future.
That’s why these zones often repeat over time.
🔄 Breakouts and Role Reversal
When price breaks a support or resistance level with strong volume and momentum, that level changes its role:
Broken resistance → becomes new support
Broken support → becomes new resistance
This concept is known as Role Reversal.
🎯 Importance of Timeframes
Support and resistance zones on higher timeframes (Daily, Weekly) carry greater significance, since more traders and larger volumes are involved.
🧠 Pro Tips
✅ Always treat support and resistance as zones, not fixed price points.
✅ If price approaches a level with strong momentum, it’s more likely to break it.
✅ Combine S/R with candlestick reactions, volume, and indicators for confirmation.
✅ Levels that repeat multiple times usually grow stronger over time.
💬 Summary
Support and resistance are the foundation of technical analysis.
Understanding them helps you find better entry and exit points and gain a deeper insight into market psychology.
Something’s Brewing at the Front EndDonald Trump wants lower interest rates. He may well get his wish soon, at least at the front of the U.S. Treasury curve. The chart you’re looking at has two panes. On the left, we have U.S. two-year Treasury futures. On the right, we have two-year U.S. Treasury yields. The former uses a weekly tick, the latter daily.
With futures coiling in a well-defined ascending triangle pattern for more than a year, you get the sense that should we see a weekly close above 104’16’0, it may act as a catalyst to spark further upside, potentially explosive. The contract has been rejected at the level six separate times since July 2024, including four failed breakout attempts over the same period. This reinforces its importance. Given its proximity to the level with RSI (14) and MACD generating bullish momentum signals, attempt number seven—if we see it—stands a decent chance of sticking.
If we see a sustained break above 104’16’0, 105’08’0, 106’06’6 and 107’06’2 loom as the levels to watch, especially the latter as it aligns with the extension target based on the triangle’s height. If it were to be achieved, it points to a nominal two-year Treasury yield of around 1.5%.
That’s obviously far lower than where it currently resides, pointing to negative real rates given the Fed’s 2% inflation target and, in all likelihood, economic conditions far weaker than recent years or monetary policy being guided by factors other than fundamentals.
While the setup is tradable, if it plays out, it will have ramifications far beyond rate futures given the economic signal it would provide. When you look at recent moves in hard assets with perceived scarcity value, it appears many investors and traders are already positioning for such an environment.
Good luck,
DS
Support and Resistance VS Supply and Demand Explained
In the today's post, I will compare support and resistance levels with supply and demand zones.
I will explain to you the difference between them and share important tips and examples.
What are support and resistance levels?
We also call them key levels. These are particular levels on a price chart from where in the past we saw significant bullish or bearish movements.
Key support will be a one single level, that has a historical significance and from where a bullish reaction will be anticipated.
The all-time low on USDCHF will be a perfect example of a key support.
It is one single level that was respected one time in the past and from where a bullish reversal initiated.
Key resistance will be a one single level on a price chart that has a historical significance and from where a bearish movement will be expected.
The all-time high on Gold will represent a key horizontal resistance.
That level was respected one time in the past and from that level exactly the market dropped heavily.
What are supply and demand zones?
In comparison to support and resistance levels, supply and demand zones are the areas on a price chart. The zones that are based on multiple touches and consequent strong bullish or bearish reactions.
Demand zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past, and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
The yellow area above will a good example of a demand zone.
You can see that the price tested that area 3 times, and each time the market respected different levels lying within that.
These 3 tests compose the demand area.
Supply zone will be the area that was tested at least 2 times in the past and the price should strictly respect different price levels within that area.
A similar reaction will be anticipated from the demand zone in the future.
In this example, a supply area on EURUSD is based on 2 touches of key levels, lying very close to each other.
On the chart above, I underlined 2 horizontal support levels - the single levels that were respected by the market multiple times, and a supply zone - the area that is based on tests of multiple levels lying close to each other.
Support and resistance levels give you SINGLE levels from where you can look for trading opportunities. While supply and demand zones represent the areas . After a test of a supply and demand zone, the market may react to a RANDOM level within that.
For newbie traders, it is highly recommendable to trade single key levels, while experienced traders can broaden their strategies and trade supply and demand zones as well.
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What is Bullish/Bearish Breaker Block & How to Find It Easily
Breaker blocks are easier to find than you think.
In this article, I will share with you very efficient price models for the identification of Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks.
You will learn their meaning, how to draw and use them in trading Smart Money Concepts SMC.
Bullish Trend Model & Breaker Block.
Let's start with an essential theory .
Please, examine a following price model:
In a classic bullish structure where the price consistently updates Higher Highs HH and Higher Lows HH, a bullish order block zone will be the area based on the last Higher How.
I will explain how to draw that zone in the examples below.
In some instances, a bullish order block zone will fail to deliver a bullish wave. Its bearish breakout will follow after its test instead.
It will be a critical event that is called a market structure shift in Smart Money Concepts SMC.
A formation of a new low will signify a violation of a bullish trend and a highly probable change of the market sentiment.
A broken bullish order block zone will turn into a Bearish Breaker Block.
The zone from where the next bearish wave will most likely follow.
It will provide a very safe place to sell from.
Market structure shift in a bullish trend is not a random event.
It usually occurs after a test of a significant supply zone with a liquidity grab.
It can help you to predict the change of the sentiment way before it happens.
That's an example of such a price model on GBPAUD forex pair.
We see a confirmed bullish liquidity sweep in uptrend after a test of a historic supply zone.
A bearish wave followed then and a bullish order block zone was broken.
To draw Order Block Zone, I picked the level of the last higher low as its lower boundary and a low of a body of that candlestick as the upper boundary.
After a breakout, it turned into a Bearish Breaker Block.
A bearish continuation occurred after its test.
Bearish Trend Model & Breaker Block.
Please, check this model:
In a classic bearish structure where the price consistently updates Lower Lows LL and Lower Highs LH, a bearish order block zone will be the area based on the last Lower High.
In some instances, a bearish order block zone will fail to deliver a bearish wave. Its bullish breakout will follow after its test instead.
It will be a significant event that is called a bullish market structure shift in Smart Money Concepts SMC.
A formation of a new high will signify a violation of a bearish trend and a highly probable change of the market sentiment.
A broken bearish order block zone will turn into a Bullish Breaker Block.
The zone from where the next bullish wave will most likely follow.
It will provide a very safe place to buy from.
Market structure shift in a bearish trend is not a random event.
It usually occurs after a test of a significant demand zone with a liquidity grab.
That's a real example of such a price model on WTI Crude Oil.
A bearish structure was violated after a test of a demand zone.
A bearish order block was broken, and it turned into a Bullish Breaker Block Zone then.
(Drawing a bullish order block zone, I picked the level of the last lower high as its upper boundary and a high of a body of that candle as its lower boundary )
A bullish movement followed after a deep test of that.
A proper combination of structure mapping and liquidity analysis will help you to predict a market structure shirt and a breaker block creation before they happen.
The models that I shared will help you to confirm bullish and bearish breaker blocks trading Forex or any other markets with Smart Money Concepts SMC ICT.
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From Distribution to Defense Reading the Market’s MessageHello TradingView family, One thing about price it never forgets. Here’s how smart money distribute defends, tests, and retests the same levels to shape every trend.
So In this post we’ll explore how market structure evolves through repeated interactions with the same zones and why smart money often revisits prior levels to confirm or reject market direction.This phenomenon, often called reconfirmed demand and supply, offers valuable insight into how institutions defend, test, or abandon positions during structural transitions.
Understanding the Sequence--::
The price action we’re looking at highlights how an all-time high can transform into a repeating cycle of supply and demand a classic story of how the market moves in waves of distribution and accumulation.
Let’s walk through the four stages of this evolving structure 👇
1️⃣ Primary Supply Zone (Distribution High)--::
The first rally culminates in a zone where aggressive buying starts to weaken. Volatility increases, candles become larger, and momentum slows. This area represents smart money distributing positions where liquidity is abundant because breakout traders are still buying, and institutions can quietly sell into that strength. This phase often sets the benchmark high that defines the rest of the structure.
2️⃣ Initial Demand Zone (Accumulation Response)--::
After the distribution, price declines until new demand emerges. The downtrend pauses here, forming a clear demand base a level where institutional buyers see value and start building exposure again. This level often becomes the anchor of the upcoming structure, as it’s where the first response from buyers is confirmed by noticeable rejection and strength.
From here, the market begins to rebound.
3️⃣ Secondary Supply Zone (Lower High Confirmation)--::
The rally from the demand base faces resistance before reclaiming the prior high a lower high. This lower-high reaction is a crucial sign that supply remains dominant and that the recent buying was likely re-distribution rather than new strength. This is the zone where smart money offloads again, using the recent bounce to re-sell into liquidity. It also marks a Change of Character (ChoCH) and a potential trend transition.
It’s not a new high it’s the confirmation of a shift.
4️⃣ Reconfirmed Demand Zone (Previous Support Retest)
The final swing shows price declining back into the same demand zone from Stage 2. This zone isn’t new it’s a reconfirmation of prior institutional activity. When the same level holds again, it signifies that the same participants are defending the zone, maintaining the structure and keeping the market in balance. If the level breaks, however, it signals distribution completion the moment when prior demand can’t hold, and the market transitions into a markdown phase.
💡 The Bigger Picture--::
This repeating interaction between supply and demand is a snapshot of market psychology where the big players constantly test the same levels to validate whether the market still agrees with the prior valuation. Each touch, rejection, or breakthrough reveals who’s winning the battle between smart money and retail momentum.
By recognizing this pattern — distribution ➜ accumulation ➜ re-distribution ➜ retest — traders can better understand where the true liquidity zones are and how the market’s behavior constantly revolves around these zones.
This is not just about recognizing patterns it’s about understanding why these patterns form and how they reflect the business of smart money as they manage risk, scale positions, and trap liquidity.
🚀 Takeaway--::
When a previous level reacts again, the zone itself becomes part of the story not just a random reaction, but a confirmation of intent from bigger players. If you can read how the same zones behave on the second touch, you can anticipate where the next impulsive move or breakdown may occur. Mastering this pattern doesn’t just improve your entries it helps you think like the pros.
Regards- Amit.
Ascending channels trading applied to Gold current situation🔼 Ascending Channel – Explained Simply
An ascending channel is a bullish pattern — but not always a bullish ending.
It shows a market climbing step by step between two parallel rising lines:
the lower trendline (support) and the upper trendline (resistance).
🧠 Market Psychology
Buyers dominate, but sellers still show up at every swing high.
Each dip gets bought, keeping the trend alive —
until one side finally breaks the rhythm.
⚙️ How to Trade It
• Inside the channel:
Buy near the lower rail, take profit near the upper rail.
• Breakout play:
Go long on a confirmed close above resistance,
or short on a clean break below support.
• Stops:
Just outside the opposite rail — below support for longs, above resistance for shorts.
• Targets:
Use the channel height projected from the breakout point.
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
• False breakouts happen often.
• Too-steep channels usually fail faster.
• Volume must confirm — low volume = fake strength.
• Statistically, breakdowns occur slightly more often than breakouts.
________________________________________
Key takeaway:
An ascending channel isn’t a promise of a bull run —it’s a structured climb that eventually ends.
Trade the rhythm, not the hope. 🎯
Statistically, in 57% of cases, up channels are broken to the downside
Gold now situation: the recent 1k pips is way-way-way to steep
Confirmation came with a drop under 3950 zone
Usually, in the case of such a steep channel, all the move is negated, so a drop to the 3850 zone.
However 3900 zone is strong support now, so a break under 3950 zone could lead to "only" a drop to this support.
Learn Profitable Doji Candle Trading Strategy (GOLD, FOREX)
In the today's post, I will share my Doji Candle trading strategy.
This strategy combines the elements of multiple time frame analysis, price action and key levels.
Step 1
Analyze key levels on a daily time frame.
Identify vertical and horizontal supports and resistances.
Here are the key structures that I spotted on AUDUSD.
Step 2
Look for a formation Doji Candle on a key structure.
This rule is crucially important: we will trade only the Doji candles that are formed on key levels.
From key supports , we will look for buying , and we will look for shorting from key resistances .
Look at this Doji Candle that was formed on a key daily support on AUDUSD.
Step 3
Look for a horizontal range on a 4h/1h time frames.
Doji Candle signifies indecision . Quite often, you will notice the horizontal ranges on lower time frames when this candlestick is formed.
Here is a horizontal range that was formed on a 4H time frame on AUDUSD after a formation of Doji.
Step 4
Look for a breakout of the range.
To sell from a key resistance, we will need a bearish breakout of the support of the range. That will be our bearish confirmation.
To buy from a key support, we will need a bullish breakout of the resistance of the range. It will be our bullish signal.
Here is a confirmed breakout of the resistance of the range with a 4H candle close above. That is our bullish confirmation on AUDUSD.
Step 5
Buy aggressively or on a retest.
After you spotted a confirmed breakout of the range, open a trading position aggressively or on a retest.
Personally, I prefer trading on a retest.
If you sell, a stop loss should be above the high of the range and your target should be the closest key daily support.
If you buy, your stop loss should be below the low of the range and a take profit will be on the closest daily resistance.
On AUDUSD, a long position was opened on a retest. Stop loss is lying below the lows. Take profit is the closest resistance.
Here is how this great strategy works!
Always patiently wait for a confirmation! That is your key to successful trading Doji Candle.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Complete system for Day & Swing TradersHey whats up traders,
Today Im going reveal simple but effective way to analyze and trade any markets - Stocks, Indices, Forex and Crypto. This thing works on everything because it's based on liquidity manipulations.
It's 100% mechanical structured aproach with fixed targets and defined. So unlike traders who trade various patterns and have on charts different patterns and diagonal subjective lines, you can backtest it and measure its and yours execution performance to get your statistical data for Risk Reward and Winning Ratio.
‼️Once you obtain such data from data sample large enough you will also solve biggest trading problems - FEAR, GREED and OVERTRADING. Why ?
📊 Because if you know you win rate is 60 - 70 % trades with RR 2.3 with aprox. 4 trades in a month per instrument, why would you then do following?
Try to look for trade every day when there is not your setup.
Fear open next trade after few losses?
Open huge gamble trade if you know 30% of trades can be loss
Try to hold for unrealistic target if you know most of your trades hit 2.5 RR
Try to pass prop challenge in one trade ?
... and many more psychological and undisciplined mistakes which discretional pattern traders without EDGE and statistical data about their strategy are doing.
🧠 Having mechanical system with backtested data is your EDGE.
💪 That is what makes you DISCIPLINED TRADER.
🧩 Basic Concept
Im looking for the fake break out of the range. Whether we call it manipulation or Stop hunt. It really doesn't matter. The idea is that once big candle is created it creates fomo and break out traders are entering continuation. I trade against them.
📍Bullish continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback
📍Bearish Continuation setups
Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target
Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback
🧩 Manipulation phase
is key for this concept. Without it happening, institutional move cant happen. Why ? Market makers are not looking to stop hunt our stop losses. They dont care about your or mine stop losses even if we trade 100 lots. Most of the brokers are B-Book anyway. But they are seeking the liquidity and they are placed above the highs and lows. You dont even need to read order book or book map to know it. To understand liqudity better read this post below
Now you understand after the liquidity was swept. Big players have guns loaded and the move can start. This is what we want to participate. But !! What I have just shown you are patterns. Without adding them in to the right context with the market they will not have highest winning ratio. You must be selective. Basically you want to:
📍Down Trend - Trade Stop hunts above the highs
📍Up Trend - Trade Stop Hunt below the lows
In other words we want be buying lows and selling highs. 🧪 How to do it I explained in this post below 📍 Top- Down analysis
Before we go to the refined entries we must understand top down analysis and what to look for on the charts. Never start with LTF. You always must go with top Down analysis.
🧩 TOP Down analysis
HTF Timeframe for the trend
ITF - Timeframe - Ranges and Key Levels
LTF - Timeframe Profiling and entries
Once we analyze the trend define our range on our timeframe we are looking for manipulation before we go to entries remember this:
🧪Range is mostly created close the key level. If any candle close above the range - Its makes it invalid.
🧪We want see and trade wicks above the range, there you are looking for LTF entry.
📍 Bearish Scenario - (ITF view ) Price should not have candle close above the range on the same timeframe otherwise setup is invalidated and new range created. 📍 Bearish Scenario - (LTF view) - price (yellow has structured movements and should be crating AMD profiles on the edge of the range. We need to drop to LTF to read the structure. 📍 Bullish Scenario ITF view - Price should not have candle close below the range on the same timeframe otherwise setup is invalidated and new range created. 📍 Bullish Scenario - (LTF view) - price (yellow) has structured movements and should be crating AMD profiles on the edge of the range. We need to drop to LTF to read the structure. ‼️Note that Im always referring to the key level. It's called key level , because it's key for the success of the setup. Without it it will work only sometimes. This element must be part of the setup. I personally like the Order Block in other word Supply / Demand zone.
🧪 I have explained Order block in the post below Before we go to trade setup let's clarify timeframes again. Price is fractal you can basically trade this on any timeframes, but you still need to keep structure of 3 Timeframes.
🧩 Timeframe Alignments
🧪Short Term Trading
Trend - Monthly - Directional draw on liquidity
RangeS - Weekly - Stop hunts
AMD Profiles / Entries - H4/H1
🧪Swing Trading
Trend - Weekly - Directional draw on liquidity
Range - Daily - Stop hunts
AMD Profiles / Entries - H1/M15
🧪Day trading
Trend - Daily - Directional draw on liquidity
Range - H4 - Stop Hunts
AMD Profiles / Entries - M15/ M5
🧪Scalping
Trend - H4 - Directional draw on liquidity
Range - H1 - Stop hunts
AMD Profiles / Entries - M5/M1
🔥I recommend to trade daily and weekly ranges. Im not saying Day trading and Scalping is impossible. But Im sure none of us started trading for being isolated nerd behind the PC whole day stressing yourself about every minute. You want live social live and enjoy the freedom which trading can give you and mainly Daily and weekly ranges are higher probability.
🧩 AMD- Accumulation Manipulation Distribution
This is happening on the markets over and over. Everyone who trades profitably use it and if not they are not continuous about using it but they use it is what is necessary to move the market. And we want see It on the Edge of the range with confluence of the key level.
How to Find Key Levels and Support/Resistance Zones Gold XAUUSD
Key levels and support/resistance zones are 2 essential concepts for profitable trading Gold.
In this article, I will share with you a simple and a proven way to find levels and supply/demand clusters on XAUUSD chart.
I will provide a complete guide with examples.
Always start levels/zones analysis on Gold with key levels identification.
Simply put, a key level is a completion point of a strong bullish or bearish movement.
It is the highest high of a bullish wave and the lowest low of a bearish wave.
Let's take a price action on Gold for the last month and let's try to identify key levels.
Analyzing peeks and bottoms of significant price movements, I managed to quickly find a bunch of important key levels.
The ones that are below current spot prices will be called key support levels, while the ones that are above current prices will be called key resistance levels.
What many traders miss, analyzing key levels, is that every key level will always be a part of support/resistance zones.
Candle closes of highs and lows of important price movement will also be important levels.
I underlined all such levels on our Gold chart.
These levels and highs/lows of the impulses will compose supply and demand zones.
That is how these zones look.
The areas that are based on key supports will be called demand zones.
The areas that are based on key resistances will be called supply zones.
The logic is that a high volume of selling orders will be distributed within supply clusters.
Probabilities will be high that a bearish reaction will follow after a test of such a zone.
Demand zones will accumulate buying orders and buying activity.
With a high probability, Gold price will bounce from such zones.
Levels and zones analysis will provide you with a map for trading Gold.
Use that as a map that 95% of retail traders will not see.
It will help you find profitable trades.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Order Flow & Fair Value Gap Approach 3 Setups in the last 48hourThis strategy leverages order flow analysis and the concept of fair value gaps, operating on the principle that the market behaves as an auction—constantly seeking areas of balance and imbalance.
Over the past 48 hours, BTCUSD has presented three high-probability scalping setups aligned with this methodology.
Market Context
Trend: Bullish
The market has shown clear bullish momentum over the last 48 hours.
Breakout Event:
Price broke out of a consolidation zone with strong, aggressive buying activity, indicating a shift in market sentiment and the initiation of a new leg in the trend.
Imbalance Creation:
During this breakout, two fair value gaps (FVGs)—also referred to as low value nodes (LVNs)—were formed as a result of inefficient price movement.
Trade Setup Criteria & Checklist
To validate each setup, we apply the following checklist:
Criteria Status
1. Trend is bullish ✅ Confirmed
2. Breakout from a consolidation zone with aggressive buy orders ✅ Confirmed
3. Fair value gap created by impulsive buying ✅ Confirmed
4. Retracement into the fair value gap ✅ Confirmed
5. Confirmation of strong buyers defending the FVG zone ✅ Confirmed
6. Defined risk with favorable R:R (1:2 or better) ✅ Confirmed
Risk Management
Each trade setup followed a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, maintaining consistency with our strategy's risk parameters.
This sequence illustrates how combining order flow with structural imbalances like fair value gaps can produce high-quality scalping opportunities. Always remember: context, confirmation, and confluence are key.
September 28, Forex Outlook: What Can Traders Expect This Week?Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
Master Horizontal Lines on Trading Charts | Signal & Structure 2In this second episode of the Signal and Structure series, we dive deep into one of the most fundamental yet powerful tools in technical analysis - horizontal support and resistance lines. This practical tutorial demonstrates a systematic approach to identifying and marking key price levels across multiple timeframes.
What You'll Learn:
Color-Coded Line System for Multiple Timeframes:
Monthly (Black, thickness 4) - The strongest levels from monthly candle closes
Weekly (Maroon/Brown, thickness 3) - Key weekly support/resistance zones
2-Day (Red, thickness 2) - Intermediate term levels
12-Hour (Orange, thickness 1-2) - Short-term trading levels
3-Hour (Yellow, thickness 1) - Day trading reference points
Key Concepts Covered:
Why monthly candle closes often matter more than wicks (with live examples)
How previous resistance becomes new support - demonstrated on Bitcoin's chart
Identifying distribution and accumulation ranges using horizontal levels
The importance of avoiding chart clutter - when NOT to add more lines
Using transparent candles to see through to your levels and indicators
Practical Techniques:
Live demonstration on TradingView using Bitcoin/USD charts
How to identify the most significant levels from each timeframe
Creating "boxes" to visualize trading ranges and distribution zones
Brief introduction to Wyckoff theory concepts (spring patterns)
Tips for maintaining clarity when working with multiple overlapping levels
Chart Setup Tips:
Why exchange charts (KuCoin, Gate.io) provide better volume data than index charts
Continuing emphasis on logarithmic scale for crypto analysis
How to organize your workspace for multi-timeframe analysis
This 20-minute tutorial walks you through the exact process of building a professional-grade support and resistance framework on your charts. The presenter demonstrates each concept in real-time on TradingView, making it easy to follow along and implement these techniques immediately.
Perfect for traders who want to move beyond random line drawing and develop a systematic, color-coded approach to identifying key market levels. Whether you're scalping on the 3-hour or position trading on the monthly, this hierarchical system helps you see exactly where the important levels are at a glance.
Next episode preview: Diagonal trend lines, channels, and Fibonacci levels - including a unique approach to stacking channels that provides an edge in the markets.
Learn the Significance of Psychological Levels and Round Numbers
When traders analyze the key levels, quite often then neglect the psychological levels in trading.
In this article, we will discuss what are the psychological levels and how to identify them.
What is Psychological Level?
Let's start with the definition.
Psychological level is a price level on a chart that has a strong significance for the market participants due to the round numbers.
By the round numbers, I imply the whole numbers that are multiples of 5, 10, 100, etc.
These levels act as strong supports and resistances and the points of interest of the market participants.
Take a look at 2 important psychological levels on EURGBP: 0.95 and 0.82. As the market approached these levels, we saw a strong reaction of the price to them.
Why Psychological Levels Work?
And here is why the psychological levels work:
Research in behavioral finance has shown that individuals exhibit a tendency to anchor their judgments and decisions to round numbers.
Such a decision-making can be attributed to the cognitive biases.
Quite typically, these levels act as reference points for the market participants for setting entry, exit points and placing stop-loss orders.
Bad Psychological Levels?
However, one should remember that not all price levels based on round numbers are significant.
When one is looking for an important psychological level, he should take into consideration the historical price action.
Here are the round number based levels that I identified on AUDUSD on a weekly time frame.
After all such levels are underlined, check the historical price action and make sure that the market reacted to that at least one time in the recent past.
With the circles, I highlighted the recent reaction to the underlined levels. Such ones we will keep on the chart, while others should be removed.
Here are the psychological levels and proved their significance with a recent historical price action.
From these levels, we will look for trading opportunities.
Market Reaction to Psychological Levels
Please, note that psychological levels may trigger various reactions of the market participants.
For instance, a price approaching a round number may trigger feelings of greed, leading to increased selling pressure as traders seek to lock in profits.
Alternatively, a breakout above/below a psychological level can trigger buying/selling activity as traders anticipate further price momentum.
For that reason, it is very important to monitor the price action around such levels and look for confirmations.
Learn to identify psychological levels. They are very powerful and for you, they can become a source of tremendous profits.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dealing Ranges - Powerful filter tool to your tradingHello Traders today. I ll break down for you how to enter on a pullback with high accuracy and not being stopped out by using a fibonacci in other words a Dealing range.
A Dealing Range forms when price takes out both a swing high and a swing low, followed by a clear expansion move. That expansion swing becomes the dealing range.
• By dividing the dealing range in half, we get two zones:
• Discount region (lower half) – where buying opportunities are typically more favorable.
• Premium region (upper half) – where selling opportunities are typically more favorable.
• You can think of a dealing range as similar to a PD Array Matrix, but specifically applied to expansion swings rather than consolidation phases.
On the example bellow I drew a Dealing range. If I took the long from the key level in the premium the trade would fail. But if waited for the key level in discount I could get much better RR and explosive move vice versa is happening on the bearish order flow charts. Check on your charts
So why is this situation on the above happening quite often?
It's simple - Liquidity. Market makers needs liquidity to fill their orders so they print nice trade opportunities in the premium where trader enter this setup, for trend continuation.
Setup is technically right. But by placing the trades in premium they creates a stop loss cluster = liquidity in the discount. Then this happen - price go for the liquidity of early buyers in the premium hits key level in the discount and it continue with the trend.
Im not saying that key levels in the premium cant work, in the strong trend there is no always pullback to the discount. But by applying Dealing ranges you will get:
Less but more accurate trades
Higher Risk reward setups
You can build HTF narrative
Use it for targets
Better risk management
Remember, there is not always a key level in the premium and pullback to the discount is not enough. Trade must go from a key level. So if there is not a key level in the premium price is often retracing to the discount key level in order to create a liquidity around a key level price makes a false break which sucks traders in to the market and create a liquidity on a key level.
Dont enter if price is not going from key level its a trap.
Time frame alignments
Always use 2 timeframes Higher time frame (HTF) and Lower timeframe (LTF)
• Higher Timeframe (HTF) = Dealing ranges
• Lower Timeframe (LTF) = Market Profiles / Profiling
Timeframe sequence
HTF Monthly - LTF - Daily / H4
HTF Weekly - LTF - H4 / H1
HTF Daily - LTF H1/ M15
HTF H4 - LTF M15 / M5
Im giving 2x LTF options because sometimes you need to scale lower timeframe to understand price action and best entries. However for the confirmations you can do well with the main sequence of first two.
Apply this rule to any markets. Im adding links to few examples from stocks, crypto an FX where you can see application of this concept. Click to charts to open them and see how price behave in discount and premium.
Examples from successful Tradingview Ideas
Tesla pullback to the discount - Low created in discount ATH most likely coming
Bitcoin pullback to the discount - Followed by expansion to ATH
Palantir pullback to the discount - followed by expansion to ATH
Bitcoin pullback to the Discount - followed by expansion
GBPCHF - Targeting Liquidity in the discount
Hope this help you in your trading journey. Let me know in the comments
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
System Hopping - The Hidden Cost of Self-DoubtNOTE – This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. If anything, I’m taking the time here to post as an effort to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so that you are able to execute your own trading system as best you can from a place of calm, patience and confidence.
Here’s a scenario:
You take a loss.
Then another.
Suddenly, the system you trusted yesterday feels broken today.
On this chart of Solana, imagine you were trading a breakout system. You may have had four false breaks that didn’t really follow through before the market finally broke higher. When do you give up on the idea or the system altogether?
How self-doubt shows up:
You start thinking: “Maybe another system would have worked better…”
You switch, tweak, reinvent mid-cycle.
You lose patience with the method you worked so hard to design.
You are in danger of system hopping.
Emotional side:
Self-doubt often disguises itself as “rational analysis,” but underneath it’s uncertainty, frustration, even a tightening in the chest. You hesitate to pull the trigger, second-guess your plan, or overcorrect with a brand-new approach.
It’s rarely your system that’s broken.
It’s the lack of trust in yourself to see it through.
Shift your mindset
Every system has drawdowns. If you abandon yours too soon, you never let it prove itself. So the task really is to find a way to collect the data without blowing out / over extending yourself.
Practical tips … the How:
Write down your system rules and keep them visible, so you trade what’s planned, not what you feel.
Track results over a proper sample size (50–100 trades) before judging performance.
Make sure you are position sizing sensibly. This is an art in and of itself. The key being - do not risk what you can not afford on any one trade / series of trades. Paper trade if you need to to start with just to collect the data on the system.
Journal emotions separately from trade outcomes — so you see when doubt is about you, not the system.
Set a “no system changes” rule during drawdowns. Only review at scheduled intervals.
Closing thought:
Your edge doesn’t come from finding the perfect system.
It comes from trusting a good one long enough to let it work.
How to Use Fibonacci Levels in Gold Trading. Best Ratios For XAU
I will teach you a simple but efficient way of using Fibonacci levels for Gold analysis.
You will learn the strongest Fib.retracement levels and a proven strategy for XAUUSD trading.
First, let me show you the most powerful Fibonacci retracement levels that you should use for trading Gold.
The most significant ones are: 382, 50, 618, 786.
To use these Fib.Retracement levels properly, you will need to find the strongest 3 impulse legs.
Please, note that you can execute Fibonacci analysis of Gold on any time frame, for the sake of the example, we will do that on a daily.
Here are 3 impulses that I found.
I was simply trying to identify the price waves with the strongest impact. I underlined them from their lows to their highs.
We will draw Fibonacci Retracement levels based on these 3 movements.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bullish impulse from its low to its high.
We plot Fib.Retracement of a bearish impulse from its high to its low.
That is how it looks.
After that we will need to find a confluence - zones or levels where Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses match .
Such zones will be significant liquidity clusters where market participants will place huge volumes of trading orders.
The first 2 confluence zones that I spotted on a Gold chart will be specific. They are based on 1 and 0 Fib.Retracement levels that match.
These 2 areas are both completion and starting points of our impulse legs.
The fact that significant price movements completed and started after tests of these zones indicates their significance .
Confluence zones 3/4/5/6 are based on a convergence of at least 2 Fib.Retracement levels of different impulses.
Probabilities will be high that these zones will attract the market liquidity.
After we found all confluence zones, I recommend removing Fibonacci levels from the chart to keep it clean .
That is how our complete Fib.Analysis will look.
From these zones, we will look for trading opportunities.
The areas that are above current price levels will be significant supply areas , and we will look for sell signals from them.
The zones that are below Gold spot price will be demand areas. Chances will be high that a strong buying reaction will follow after their test.
Confluence zones that we spotted on Gold chart provide unique perspective. Integrating them in your XAUUSD analysis, you will increase the accuracy of your predictions and trading decisions.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How to Use Moving Averages in TradingViewMaster moving averages using TradingView's charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures.
Moving averages are among the most versatile technical analysis tools available, helping traders analyze trends, identify overbought/oversold conditions, and create tradeable support and resistance levels.
What You'll Learn:
Understanding moving averages: lagging indicators with multiple applications
Simple moving average basics: calculating price averages over set periods
Key configuration choices: lookback periods, price inputs, and timeframes
How to select optimal lookback periods (like 200-day) for different trading styles
Using different price inputs: close, open, high, or low prices
Applying moving averages across all timeframes from daily to 5-minute charts
Analyzing price relative to moving averages for trend identification
Using 50-day and 200-day moving averages for trend analysis on E-Mini S&P 500
Mean reversion trading: how price tends to return to moving averages
Trend direction analysis using moving average slopes
Famous crossover signals: "Death Cross" and "Golden Cross" explained
Trading moving averages as dynamic support and resistance levels
Advanced moving average types: weighted and exponential moving averages
Applying moving averages to other indicators like MACD and Stochastics
Balancing sensitivity vs. noise when choosing periods
This tutorial may benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to incorporate moving averages into their trading strategies.
The concepts covered could help you identify trend direction, potential reversal points, and dynamic trading levels across multiple timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting
5 Elements of the Best Key Level in Forex, Gold Trading
What are the best key levels to trade?
This year I analyzed more than 1500 key structures on Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
In the today's article, I prepared for you a list of 5 elements of a perfect support and resistance for trading.
As always, remember that the best key levels are always on a daily time frame . So all the structures that we will discuss will be strictly on a daily .
Also, all the structures that I analyzed and traded are available on my TradingView page, so you can back test them by your own.
1. Clear historical significance
The structure that you spotted should act as a significant historical support or resistance.
Here are the important historical support and resistance that I spotted on USDCAD on a daily time frame.
2. Psychological significance
The structure that you identified should match with round numbers.
All the structures that we spotted on USDCAD match with psychological numbers.
3. Confluence with other technical tools
The best structure should align with other trading tools such as trend lines or Fibonacci levels , strengthening its significance.
After adding fibonacci levels and a significant falling trend line on the chart, the confluence was found in Resistance 6, Resistance 3, Resistance 2, Resistance 1, Support 2. Other structure does not match with technical tolls.
4. Volume
The level experiences high trading volumes, indicating strong participation and interest from market participants, especially smart money.
All the structures that we underlined show significant volume spikes. By volume spike, I mean a volume being higher than the average volume - a blue curve on volume.
5. Multiple touches
The more, the better. There are numerous instances where price has respected and reacted to the structure, confirming its strength (at least 2).
Only these 3 structures were confirmed by the multiple touches. These resistances will be considered the strongest ones.
That checklist will help you to identify the most significant structures from where you will be able to catch impulsive movement and make nice profits.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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