The Bear Market Isn't Coming? Old BTC Playbook is a TrapFor years, traders have relied on Bitcoin's predictable cycles. We look for the same clues, the same topping signals, and the same patterns. But what if the market has evolved? What if the playbook we've all been studying is now a trap?
This analysis dives deep into key indicators across all three

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Major indices
QE and YCC: What does it all mean?ECONOMICS:USCBBS
CBOT:ZB1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
There is growing market speculation that the Fed may tolerate inflation above 2% for longer, consistent with its Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework introduced in 2020.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal rates minus
EURUSD: Rally from Wedge Support to 1.1880Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
A prior uptrend failed, leading to a sharp drop down to the major Support zone 2 around the 1.1450 level. However, strong buying pressure emerged from that low, initiating a powerful reversal and establishing the cu
BTC Breakdown: Watching 112.6K-113.5K for Rejection Toward 109kHello guys!
Trend Structure:
The price was moving in a clear ascending channel, but recently broke down below the lower boundary with strong bearish momentum. This confirms a structural shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Current Price Action:
After the breakdown, BTC attempted a relief rally
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum to ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish phase, confirmed by the establishment of a well-defined ascending channel. This uptrend was initiated after a breakout from lower levels and has shown significant strength by pushing through multiple prior resistance areas, in
Bear market has startedThe End of the Bull Cycle. Why I'm Selling Everything and Won't Buy Again Until September 2026.
For the last year and a half, I have said that we are in a bull market. I never once changed my opinion. But all things come to an end. The time has come.
September 13, 2025, the date I have been ment
IPO Market Is Hot – Explore Winners, Losers & Listing CandidatesThe IPO market has woken up from its multi-year nap and is now in beast mode. But as always, Wall Street’s hottest party comes with an entrance fee and a dose of uncertainty – opaque prices, sketchy balance sheets, and a whole lot of FOMO.
So who’s winning, who’s losing, and who’s still waiting in
INDV - Helping Trump Fight The Drug War In The US and Overseas.Thought this was a good example of the kind of stock I like to trade.
Not all of these have to be true to make it tradable. Just things I like to see.
Up over 100% over the last 12 months
Nice and steady price gains continuing to make higher highs
Had a good bump on earnings
Has had a recent
Nvidia Returns to Yearly Highs on Temporary Boost in ConfidenceNvidia’s stock started the week with a gain of more than 4%, maintaining a steady bullish bias after it was announced that the company will invest over $100 billion in OpenAI to support the development of artificial intelligence infrastructure. As part of the agreement, Nvidia is expected to receive
Supreme Court ruling could lift gold further Gold has climbed $410 over the past four weeks, reaching ~$3,750 today after an additional ~$60 gain.
The combination of political risk, questions over central bank independence, and robust technical momentum has positioned gold as one of the best performing assets.
The Supreme Court has appare
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RiskMetrics█ OVERVIEW
This library is a tool for Pine programmers that provides functions for calculating risk-adjusted performance metrics on periodic price returns. The calculations used by this library's functions closely mirror those the Broker Emulator uses to calculate strategy performance metrics (
Simple Decesion Matrix Classification Algorithm [SS]Hello everyone,
It has been a while since I posted an indicator, so thought I would share this project I did for fun.
This indicator is an attempt to develop a pseudo Random Forest classification decision matrix model for Pinescript.
This is not a full, robust Random Forest model by any stretch o
Tick CVD [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script "Tick CVD" employs live tick data to calculate CVD and volume delta! No tick chart required.
Features
Live price ticks are recorded
CVD calculated using live ticks
Delta calculated using live ticks
Tick-based HMA, WMA, EMA, or SMA for CVD and price
Key tick levels (S
analytics_tablesLibrary "analytics_tables"
📝 Description
This library provides the implementation of several performance-related statistics and metrics, presented in the form of tables.
The metrics shown in the afforementioned tables where developed during the past years of my in-depth analalysis of various str
Adaptive Trend Classification: Moving Averages [InvestorUnknown]Adaptive Trend Classification: Moving Averages
Overview
The Adaptive Trend Classification (ATC) Moving Averages indicator is a robust and adaptable investing tool designed to provide dynamic signals based on various types of moving averages and their lengths. This indicator incorporates multipl
Statistics • Chi Square • P-value • SignificanceThe Statistics • Chi Square • P-value • Significance publication aims to provide a tool for combining different conditions and checking whether the outcome is significant using the Chi-Square Test and P-value.
🔶 USAGE
The basic principle is to compare two or more groups and check the results
FiniteStateMachine🟩 OVERVIEW
A flexible framework for creating, testing and implementing a Finite State Machine (FSM) in your script. FSMs use rules to control how states change in response to events.
This is the first Finite State Machine library on TradingView and it's quite a different way to think about your
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman) is a volume-based market activity meter that transforms dollar-volume into a smooth, normalized “activity index.”
It highlights when market participation is unusually low or high with a dynamic color gradient:
Light Blue → Low Activity (thin p
Expected Value Monte CarloI created this indicator after noticing that there was no Expected Value indicator here on TradingView.
The EVMC provides statistical Expected Value to what might happen in the future regarding the asset you are analyzing.
It uses 2 quantitative methods:
Historical Backtest to ground your anal
Bar Index & TimeLibrary to convert a bar index to a timestamp and vice versa.
Utilizes runtime memory to store the 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎 and 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎_𝚌𝚕𝚘𝚜𝚎 values of every bar on the chart (and optional future bars), with the ability of storing additional custom values for every chart bar.
█ PREFACE
This library aims to tackle s
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Community trends
NVDA: Potential Long Opportunity at Key Support LevelHello, fellow traders.
This analysis looks at a potential bullish setup on the 15-minute chart for NVIDIA (NVDA).
A key horizontal level has been identified around the $175.24 mark. As seen on the chart, this price has acted as a significant area of both support and resistance in recent trading sess
$TSLA: Sierpinski Fibs (RAW)Documenting in interactive the geometry of movements for research purposes to learn how future outcomes deviates in respect to angles from original measurements. Since the periods are vast, the corresponding price axis also spans large magnitudes. This uncovers the long-term confluence points and pr
NVDA Is Setup to Break New All-time Highs2025-09-26: NVDA Bullish Setup is Ready
1). Higher Lows Thursday ($173.13), Friday ($174.93). Will be perfect setup if next Monday close higher than $174.93.
2). Today vs Startup date Volume 23% Decrease 09-18: 191.76M vs 09-26 148.47M
3). Support Doji (Lower wig longer)
4). Close above all Moving
Carrier Global (CARR) – Neckline Zone at RiskOn the Weekly timeframe, price action is showing potential weakness:
A Double Top pattern is visible at the top, and the price is now testing the critical neckline zone.
The global trendline has been broken with stronger-than-usual volume. Importantly, price has reached this trendline faster
GME - Time for Giants again?GME is not a stock I have a clear wave-count on by any means, but elliot wave theory is not the only means by which I trade. I selectively look at volume/market structures to make decisions. And let me say, for ALL of 2025, this 'Decision Trend Line' has been the deciding factor between GME running
Apple Stock Supported by Earnings Strength and New ProductsApple Inc. (AAPL) is currently trading around $256.93, up 1.35% in the latest session. Following a strong rally, AAPL remains supported by both technical signals and macro factors. On the technical side, $257 is acting as a key resistance; a breakout above this level could open the way toward $260 a
Peloton (PTON): Can Bulls Ride Toward $17?Peloton (PTON): Can Bulls Ride Toward $17?
Peloton is showing signs of life after months of consolidation. With price action breaking above the $8.00 resistance and forming a bullish pattern.
The breakout above $8.00 confirms bullish intent. A sustained close above $8.00 could attract swing trade
IREN Wave 3 complete Wave 3 appears to be complete with a thrust above the weekly R5 pivot on NASDAQ:IREN .
Sentiment is extremely greed on social and mainstream media warning of a top.
Wave 4 has a target of the R3 pivot and 23.6 Fibonacci retracement at $28, new traders and investors will be trapped buying the hyp
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Tomorrow
BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc
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IXHLIncannex Healthcare Inc.
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−0.29
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ANEBAnebulo Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
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−0.07
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TAYDTaylor Devices, Inc.
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0.69
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BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated
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0.09
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GMGIGolden Matrix Group, Inc.
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−0.00
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TAOPTaoping Inc.
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APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.
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0.84
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Community trends
Bitcoin - Sacrificed by the banks! (100k, then 130k - buy here)Bitcoin and the whole crypto market have been dropping heavily these days. And I know why! You may wonder, why is Bitcoin in such a weak uptrend, and why do the majority of altcoins never grow, or after a small pump, a huge dump follows? Finally, I bring you the answer to this important question man
DOGS/USDT – Three Drives PatternHello guys!
The chart is shaping into a classic three-drives pattern.
We already saw the first drive and the second drive, complete with similar extensions.
Now, the market seems to be setting up for the third drive lower, which could push the price into the 0.000110 – 0.000115 area.
If this str
BTCUSD Short: Fading the Rally in a Bear ChannelHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been in a clear bearish phase since its rejection from the SUPPLY ZONE 2 near 115200. This has established a well-defined descending channel that has been guiding the price lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rallies, confirmin
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still moving inside an upward channel.
After its strong rally, the price has entered a corrective phase and is now positioned around the midline of the channel.
We expect the correction to extend toward the support zone and the lower
Arbitrum (ARB): Looking For Buy Entry | 2 Zones To Keep an EyeArbitrum caught our attention with potential buy zones that we might be seeing pretty soon. We are looking for slight downward movement from here toward the major CME gap, which would be an ideal area for a buy entry, once we form the proper MSB there, so that's what we are looking for.
Swallow Aca
Bitcoin - It is either $50.000 or $1.000.000!🪅Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains undecided:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past couple of months, Bitcoin has been consolidating. With the two recent all time highs, we could see a similar pattern to what we saw back in 2021, followed by a bear market. But so far, Bitcoin remains bullish with t
PORTOUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumPORTOUSDT is currently trading with strong support levels, showing signs of accumulation and potential breakout momentum. The chart structure suggests that the pair is building strength within a demand zone, and with good trading volume backing it up, the probability of an upward move is high. Based
Bitcoin to Surge? Price Forecast and Key News You Can't Miss!Hello everyone, let's go through some important information regarding Bitcoin recently.
Technical Analysis:
The 109,000 USD support level is a key point as FVG zones have appeared, and there has been a clear recovery response. If Bitcoin holds above this level, there is potential for it to conti
UUSD/US Dollar (1h): High Risk/Reward Long SetupTimeframe: 1-hour (1h)
Pair: UUSD / US Dollar on Kraken.
Recent Action (Sept 24 - Sept 27): The price appears to have been moving within a light-blue, upward-sloping channel (or parallel channel). This suggests an uptrend was in place or the market was experiencing a slightly bullish consolidation
Bitcoin Buy signalThis signal is a little risky and i would say it would be MED_RISK level.
also the RR is good and it is 1:3(Risk: Reward).
i put entry below the support of green trendline because we may have some stop loss hunting there.
Also if stop hit then market is also bearish for a while and more dump may le
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Gold weekly setup for new athThis chart shows a 1-hour analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar).
Price is currently around $3,759, slightly above the key support trend line.
Important support levels are marked near $3,755, $3,735, and $3,723, where buyers may step in.
The short-term bullish scenario points to a possible rebo
September 2025 Market Summary Gold and ForexProjectSyndicate Market Summary September 2025
📊 MTD performance
🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD): 3,759.65 | +286.65 (+8.31%)
💶 EURUSD: 1.1702 | +16 pips (+0.14%)
💷 GBPUSD: 1.3392 | −112 pips (−0.83%)
💴 USDJPY: 149.19 | +211 pips (+1.43%)
📈 SPX: 6,637.97 | +236.46 (+3.69%)
📈 NDX: 24,503.57 | +1,483.10 (+6.44
Gold Roadmap: Breakout Confirmed –New ATH or Another Correction?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) as I expected in the previous idea (Short and Long positions hit the target).
First of all, I should say that this analysis is for the short term and on a 15-minute time frame.
Gold seems to have managed to break the Resistance lines, Resistance zone($3,763-$3,750), and the
XAUUSD: Bullish Momentum Fueled by Latest PCE Data👋Hello traders! What do you think about the current trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Gold continued its rise on Friday, surpassing the recent target of $3,750 , as the U.S. Dollar (USD) weakened following the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report, which showed no surprises in in
Gold can Resume its Uptrend After This CorrectionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price action reversed from the deep 3335 - 3355 buyer zone, a move which established the current, well-defined upward channel. This bullish structure has since been guiding the p
XAU/USD | Gold at $3,740 – Demand Zone Decides the Next MoveBy analyzing the Gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price finally started a correction, dropping to $3,717 . From this key psychological level, demand stepped in and pushed gold strongly up to $3,761 .
Currently, gold is trading around $3,740 , but it hasn’t full
Gold could continue higher!Price had been consolidating, where sellers tried to cap momentum but could only slow buyers down, not reverse them. Buyers steadily building pressure. Eventually, price broke through the flag’s resistance line with conviction, signaling a strong continuation move.
If price retests the broken fla
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of the news. Rise or fall?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar.
The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increa
Gold consolidating between two key ranges above recent highsGold is currently consolidating between two key ranges after failing to sustain above recent highs. The metal hovered below 3740 per ounce on Thursday, marking its second consecutive decline since hitting a record high of 3792 earlier in the week. The pullback was driven largely by strong U.S. econo
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Euro will Fall Towards the 1.1575 Support LevelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has recently shown a significant sign of weakness, with a failed breakout above the key 1.1770 Resistance Level. After a sustained rally within an upward channel, the price of EURUSD pushed into the 1.1770 - 1.1790 s
GBPUSD - Unexpected Reversal👋Hello everyone, what do you think about FX:GBPUSD ?
The GBP/USD pair ended Thursday's trading session with a decline of over 0.78%, seemingly preparing to test even lower levels due to the lack of economic data in the UK, which will likely draw traders into the momentum of the U.S. Dollar.
Loo
AUDNZD at Historical Levels - Layer ShortsAUDNZD at Historical Levels - Layer Shorts
Every once in a while, markets reach extreme levels that can be taken advantage of. This is one of those times.
📊 Technical Analysis:
AUD/NZD D1 RSI is currently trading at its highest daily levels ever. We have only seen this once before, in August 20
USD/JPY: Important Bearish SignalFollowing a strong bullish rally, 📉USDJPY shows a brief period of consolidation on an hourly chart
Subsequent to the release of today's US economic data, the price experienced a decline, resulting in the formation of a high-momentum bearish candle.
The hourly candle closed below the range's suppo
EURUSD: Strong U.S. Data Supports USD, All Eyes on PCEEURUSD: Strong U.S. Data Supports USD, All Eyes on PCE
From our analysis during the FOMC meeting, EURUSD formed only a false bullish breakout, as I explained earlier, and has already reached two of our targets.
U.S. data has been strong for a long time, but the dollar has been held back by specul
EURUSD SWING TRADE IDEAMarket Structure
I’ve been tracking the EUR/USD rally, but price is now pressing into the 1.17–1.18 zone, which is a major supply and resistance area where it has sold off hard before. This level also lines up with the 75 percent Fibonacci retracement at 1.176, which adds weight to the setup. Unles
USDJPY FREE SIGNAL FOR MONDAY|SHORT|
✅USDJPY Price forms a double-top and breaks neckline, signaling bearish order flow. ICT framework suggests liquidity draw into the 149.00 demand area.
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Entry: 149.60
Stop Loss: 150.05
Take Profit: 149.00
Time Frame: 3H
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SHORT🔥
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EUR/USD: Holding 1.16500 to Sustain the UptrendHello everyone,
The EUR/USD pair is currently trading around 1.16788, showing a slight rebound after a pullback from recent highs. Following a strong rally, the Euro is now testing a crucial zone, but the broader outlook remains supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
On the chart, t
USD/JPY 1-Hour Candlestick Chart
Entry Point: ≈149.394
This is set just below the current price and near the lower boundary of the recent consolidation/support zone. The anticipation is that the price will dip slightly to this level before reversing up.
Stop Loss (SL): ≈149.068
The stop loss is placed below a recent swing low o
GBPCHF Bears Press Against Downtrend ChannelGBPCHF continues to grind lower within a clear descending channel. Each rally attempt is being capped by trendline resistance, with price now hovering near 1.0800. The pound’s weakness, driven by slowing UK growth and dovish Bank of England expectations, contrasts with the franc’s resilience as a de
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