The Bear Market Isn't Coming? Old BTC Playbook is a TrapFor years, traders have relied on Bitcoin's predictable cycles. We look for the same clues, the same topping signals, and the same patterns. But what if the market has evolved? What if the playbook we've all been studying is now a trap?
This analysis dives deep into key indicators across all three

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Major indices
QE and YCC: What does it all mean?ECONOMICS:USCBBS
CBOT:ZB1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
There is growing market speculation that the Fed may tolerate inflation above 2% for longer, consistent with its Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework introduced in 2020.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal rates minus
EURUSD: Rally from Wedge Support to 1.1880Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
A prior uptrend failed, leading to a sharp drop down to the major Support zone 2 around the 1.1450 level. However, strong buying pressure emerged from that low, initiating a powerful reversal and establishing the cu
BTC Breakdown: Watching 112.6K-113.5K for Rejection Toward 109kHello guys!
Trend Structure:
The price was moving in a clear ascending channel, but recently broke down below the lower boundary with strong bearish momentum. This confirms a structural shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Current Price Action:
After the breakdown, BTC attempted a relief rally
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum to ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish phase, confirmed by the establishment of a well-defined ascending channel. This uptrend was initiated after a breakout from lower levels and has shown significant strength by pushing through multiple prior resistance areas, in
Bear market has startedThe End of the Bull Cycle. Why I'm Selling Everything and Won't Buy Again Until September 2026.
For the last year and a half, I have said that we are in a bull market. I never once changed my opinion. But all things come to an end. The time has come.
September 13, 2025, the date I have been ment
IPO Market Is Hot – Explore Winners, Losers & Listing CandidatesThe IPO market has woken up from its multi-year nap and is now in beast mode. But as always, Wall Street’s hottest party comes with an entrance fee and a dose of uncertainty – opaque prices, sketchy balance sheets, and a whole lot of FOMO.
So who’s winning, who’s losing, and who’s still waiting in
INDV - Helping Trump Fight The Drug War In The US and Overseas.Thought this was a good example of the kind of stock I like to trade.
Not all of these have to be true to make it tradable. Just things I like to see.
Up over 100% over the last 12 months
Nice and steady price gains continuing to make higher highs
Had a good bump on earnings
Has had a recent
Nvidia Returns to Yearly Highs on Temporary Boost in ConfidenceNvidia’s stock started the week with a gain of more than 4%, maintaining a steady bullish bias after it was announced that the company will invest over $100 billion in OpenAI to support the development of artificial intelligence infrastructure. As part of the agreement, Nvidia is expected to receive
Supreme Court ruling could lift gold further Gold has climbed $410 over the past four weeks, reaching ~$3,750 today after an additional ~$60 gain.
The combination of political risk, questions over central bank independence, and robust technical momentum has positioned gold as one of the best performing assets.
The Supreme Court has appare
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RiskMetrics█ OVERVIEW
This library is a tool for Pine programmers that provides functions for calculating risk-adjusted performance metrics on periodic price returns. The calculations used by this library's functions closely mirror those the Broker Emulator uses to calculate strategy performance metrics (
Simple Decesion Matrix Classification Algorithm [SS]Hello everyone,
It has been a while since I posted an indicator, so thought I would share this project I did for fun.
This indicator is an attempt to develop a pseudo Random Forest classification decision matrix model for Pinescript.
This is not a full, robust Random Forest model by any stretch o
Tick CVD [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script "Tick CVD" employs live tick data to calculate CVD and volume delta! No tick chart required.
Features
Live price ticks are recorded
CVD calculated using live ticks
Delta calculated using live ticks
Tick-based HMA, WMA, EMA, or SMA for CVD and price
Key tick levels (S
analytics_tablesLibrary "analytics_tables"
📝 Description
This library provides the implementation of several performance-related statistics and metrics, presented in the form of tables.
The metrics shown in the afforementioned tables where developed during the past years of my in-depth analalysis of various str
Adaptive Trend Classification: Moving Averages [InvestorUnknown]Adaptive Trend Classification: Moving Averages
Overview
The Adaptive Trend Classification (ATC) Moving Averages indicator is a robust and adaptable investing tool designed to provide dynamic signals based on various types of moving averages and their lengths. This indicator incorporates multipl
Statistics • Chi Square • P-value • SignificanceThe Statistics • Chi Square • P-value • Significance publication aims to provide a tool for combining different conditions and checking whether the outcome is significant using the Chi-Square Test and P-value.
🔶 USAGE
The basic principle is to compare two or more groups and check the results
FiniteStateMachine🟩 OVERVIEW
A flexible framework for creating, testing and implementing a Finite State Machine (FSM) in your script. FSMs use rules to control how states change in response to events.
This is the first Finite State Machine library on TradingView and it's quite a different way to think about your
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman) is a volume-based market activity meter that transforms dollar-volume into a smooth, normalized “activity index.”
It highlights when market participation is unusually low or high with a dynamic color gradient:
Light Blue → Low Activity (thin p
Expected Value Monte CarloI created this indicator after noticing that there was no Expected Value indicator here on TradingView.
The EVMC provides statistical Expected Value to what might happen in the future regarding the asset you are analyzing.
It uses 2 quantitative methods:
Historical Backtest to ground your anal
Bar Index & TimeLibrary to convert a bar index to a timestamp and vice versa.
Utilizes runtime memory to store the 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎 and 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎_𝚌𝚕𝚘𝚜𝚎 values of every bar on the chart (and optional future bars), with the ability of storing additional custom values for every chart bar.
█ PREFACE
This library aims to tackle s
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Community trends
$TSLA: Sierpinski Fibs (RAW)Documenting in interactive the geometry of movements for research purposes to learn how future outcomes deviates in respect to angles from original measurements. Since the periods are vast, the corresponding price axis also spans large magnitudes. This uncovers the long-term confluence points and pr
NVDA Is Setup to Break New All-time Highs2025-09-26: NVDA Bullish Setup is Ready
1). Higher Lows Thursday ($173.13), Friday ($174.93). Will be perfect setup if next Monday close higher than $174.93.
2). Today vs Startup date Volume 23% Decrease 09-18: 191.76M vs 09-26 148.47M
3). Support Doji (Lower wig longer)
4). Close above all Moving
TSLA: Likely to Continue Rising if Holding Above $440Hello everyone,
Today, Tesla (TSLA) shares are trading at $442.87, up 0.77% from the previous close. After a strong rally recently, the market is closely watching whether TSLA can sustain its upward momentum or if a short-term pullback may occur.
The slight retreat in recent sessions mainly stems
NVDA: Potential Long Opportunity at Key Support LevelHello, fellow traders.
This analysis looks at a potential bullish setup on the 15-minute chart for NVIDIA (NVDA).
A key horizontal level has been identified around the $175.24 mark. As seen on the chart, this price has acted as a significant area of both support and resistance in recent trading sess
Micron Technology - New all time highs!💰Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is heading for new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
More than a decade ago, Micron Technology entered into a significant long term rising channel pattern. Recently, we witnessed an expected rally of about +120%, perfectly rejecting support. But with the current all t
Nike Is Struggling. Will Earnings 'Just Do It' For Investors?Nike NYSE:NKE plans to report earnings next week at a time when the stock has been a real rollercoaster -- down some 60% since its 2021 peak, up 30% from its April low and off 10%+ from its recent August high. What does fundamental and technical analysis say could happen next?
Let's see:
Nike's
9/26/25 - $naka - continuing to load9/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NAKA
continuing to load
- not complicated
- 25-30% discount to BTC on balance sheet
- good Trump play
- defn the only -ve i find here is ppl complaining about getting burned (story as old as time), i mean you were all buying BTC at >$1.0M equivalent at the peak of
TSLA: Battery Low, Time to Recharge?After reaching the all-time high area again with Elliott Wave C on the daily chart, a downside retracement looks likely. There are still gaps below to be filled, along with key Fibonacci levels yet to be tested. This creates a solid opportunity for a 1 ATR short trade, with the first target set at $
AMAZON FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅AMZN Price rejects supply area with ICT displacement, showing bearish order flow. Liquidity below 217$ becomes the likely draw as inefficiency invites continuation.
—————————
Entry: 220.10$
Stop Loss: 222.00$
Take Profit: 217.00$
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never mi
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Sep 29
BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc
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Sep 29
GMGIGolden Matrix Group, Inc.
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−0.00
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Sep 29
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated
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0.09
USD
Sep 29
CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp.
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−0.75
USD
Sep 29
LITSLite Strategy, Inc.
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Sep 29
TAYDTaylor Devices, Inc.
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0.69
USD
Sep 29
IXHLIncannex Healthcare Inc.
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−0.29
USD
Sep 29
TAOPTaoping Inc.
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Community trends
Bitcoin - Sacrificed by the banks! (100k, then 130k - buy here)Bitcoin and the whole crypto market have been dropping heavily these days. And I know why! You may wonder, why is Bitcoin in such a weak uptrend, and why do the majority of altcoins never grow, or after a small pump, a huge dump follows? Finally, I bring you the answer to this important question man
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Buy the Dip Before $138K!Hello guys!
Bitcoin is once again at a critical stage, and the chart is giving us a clear roadmap for the next move. Let’s break it down:
Current Setup
Price is holding above $108K–109K and has shown strength around the $103K support zone.
The structure remains bullish as long as BTC trades abo
BTCUSD Short: Fading the Rally in a Bear ChannelHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been in a clear bearish phase since its rejection from the SUPPLY ZONE 2 near 115200. This has established a well-defined descending channel that has been guiding the price lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rallies, confirmin
Arbitrum (ARB): Looking For Buy Entry | 2 Zones To Keep an EyeArbitrum caught our attention with potential buy zones that we might be seeing pretty soon. We are looking for slight downward movement from here toward the major CME gap, which would be an ideal area for a buy entry, once we form the proper MSB there, so that's what we are looking for.
Swallow Aca
Bitcoin Buy signalThis signal is a little risky and i would say it would be MED_RISK level.
also the RR is good and it is 1:3(Risk: Reward).
i put entry below the support of green trendline because we may have some stop loss hunting there.
Also if stop hit then market is also bearish for a while and more dump may le
Bitcoin - It is either $50.000 or $1.000.000!🪅Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains undecided:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past couple of months, Bitcoin has been consolidating. With the two recent all time highs, we could see a similar pattern to what we saw back in 2021, followed by a bear market. But so far, Bitcoin remains bullish with t
PORTOUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumPORTOUSDT is currently trading with strong support levels, showing signs of accumulation and potential breakout momentum. The chart structure suggests that the pair is building strength within a demand zone, and with good trading volume backing it up, the probability of an upward move is high. Based
Bitcoin to Surge? Price Forecast and Key News You Can't Miss!Hello everyone, let's go through some important information regarding Bitcoin recently.
Technical Analysis:
The 109,000 USD support level is a key point as FVG zones have appeared, and there has been a clear recovery response. If Bitcoin holds above this level, there is potential for it to conti
UUSD/US Dollar (1h): High Risk/Reward Long SetupTimeframe: 1-hour (1h)
Pair: UUSD / US Dollar on Kraken.
Recent Action (Sept 24 - Sept 27): The price appears to have been moving within a light-blue, upward-sloping channel (or parallel channel). This suggests an uptrend was in place or the market was experiencing a slightly bullish consolidation
BTC Cycle PennantDoes anyone else see the MASSIVE wedge that has formed from the present and previous cycle? It is coming to a point and could create some very interesting price action in coming weeks to months of Q4 2025 into Q1 2026. Oh boy, this could be telling us that BTC is about to go parabolic, or completely
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Gold weekly setup for new athThis chart shows a 1-hour analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar).
Price is currently around $3,759, slightly above the key support trend line.
Important support levels are marked near $3,755, $3,735, and $3,723, where buyers may step in.
The short-term bullish scenario points to a possible rebo
XAU/USD | Gold at $3,740 – Demand Zone Decides the Next MoveBy analyzing the Gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday the price finally started a correction, dropping to $3,717 . From this key psychological level, demand stepped in and pushed gold strongly up to $3,761 .
Currently, gold is trading around $3,740 , but it hasn’t full
September 2025 Market Summary Gold and ForexProjectSyndicate Market Summary September 2025
📊 MTD performance
🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD): 3,759.65 | +286.65 (+8.31%)
💶 EURUSD: 1.1702 | +16 pips (+0.14%)
💷 GBPUSD: 1.3392 | −112 pips (−0.83%)
💴 USDJPY: 149.19 | +211 pips (+1.43%)
📈 SPX: 6,637.97 | +236.46 (+3.69%)
📈 NDX: 24,503.57 | +1,483.10 (+6.44
Gold could continue higher!Price had been consolidating, where sellers tried to cap momentum but could only slow buyers down, not reverse them. Buyers steadily building pressure. Eventually, price broke through the flag’s resistance line with conviction, signaling a strong continuation move.
If price retests the broken fla
Gold Roadmap: Breakout Confirmed –New ATH or Another Correction?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) as I expected in the previous idea (Short and Long positions hit the target).
First of all, I should say that this analysis is for the short term and on a 15-minute time frame.
Gold seems to have managed to break the Resistance lines, Resistance zone($3,763-$3,750), and the
Gold consolidating between two key ranges above recent highsGold is currently consolidating between two key ranges after failing to sustain above recent highs. The metal hovered below 3740 per ounce on Thursday, marking its second consecutive decline since hitting a record high of 3792 earlier in the week. The pullback was driven largely by strong U.S. econo
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of the news. Rise or fall?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar.
The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increa
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3774
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising benea
Silver - Eventually new all time highs!🪚Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) might soon break out:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we look at the bigger picture, Silver has been consolidating for the past couple of decades. But with the recent strong rally of about +50%, Silver is once again heading back to the previous all time highs. Despite a potential
Gold Prepares for a New Breakout👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ?
XAUUSD has been consolidating in a narrow range, forming a bullish flag pattern with clear support at 3,730. Additionally, the Bollinger Bands are showing that the market is preparing for a potential breakout.
If the price co
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Euro will Fall Towards the 1.1575 Support LevelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The market for the Euro has recently shown a significant sign of weakness, with a failed breakout above the key 1.1770 Resistance Level. After a sustained rally within an upward channel, the price of EURUSD pushed into the 1.1770 - 1.1790 s
USD/JPY: Important Bearish SignalFollowing a strong bullish rally, 📉USDJPY shows a brief period of consolidation on an hourly chart
Subsequent to the release of today's US economic data, the price experienced a decline, resulting in the formation of a high-momentum bearish candle.
The hourly candle closed below the range's suppo
EURUSD: Strong U.S. Data Supports USD, All Eyes on PCEEURUSD: Strong U.S. Data Supports USD, All Eyes on PCE
From our analysis during the FOMC meeting, EURUSD formed only a false bullish breakout, as I explained earlier, and has already reached two of our targets.
U.S. data has been strong for a long time, but the dollar has been held back by specul
GBPUSD - Unexpected Reversal👋Hello everyone, what do you think about FX:GBPUSD ?
The GBP/USD pair ended Thursday's trading session with a decline of over 0.78%, seemingly preparing to test even lower levels due to the lack of economic data in the UK, which will likely draw traders into the momentum of the U.S. Dollar.
Loo
EUR/AUD - Breakout Pattern|Buy Opportunity (26.09.2025)The EUR/AUD pair has been trading inside a descending wedge formation and is now showing a potential breakout to the upside.
🔹 Price successfully tested the trendline resistance and is gaining bullish momentum.
🔹 Buyers are stepping in after multiple rejections near the lower boundary (A–C trendlin
CAD/JPY 1H chart Pattern..CAD/JPY 1H chart:
Current price is around 107.43.
I have already marked two downside target levels with arrows.
📉 Targets shown:
1. First target: ~ 107.00
2. Second target: ~ 106.30
So if CAD/JPY continues to reject from the red resistance zone, my downside targets are:
TP1 → 107.00
TP2
EURUSD: Will the 4H OB Hold, or is a Deeper Correction Coming?In a strong trend, the key is not to chase the price but to patiently wait for it to come to you. After a clear daily uptrend, the price is now pulling back to logical support zones. This analysis outlines two distinct, high-probability scenarios to join the bulls if the price shows the right reacti
USD/JPY 1-Hour Candlestick Chart
Entry Point: ≈149.394
This is set just below the current price and near the lower boundary of the recent consolidation/support zone. The anticipation is that the price will dip slightly to this level before reversing up.
Stop Loss (SL): ≈149.068
The stop loss is placed below a recent swing low o
GBPCHF Bears Press Against Downtrend ChannelGBPCHF continues to grind lower within a clear descending channel. Each rally attempt is being capped by trendline resistance, with price now hovering near 1.0800. The pound’s weakness, driven by slowing UK growth and dovish Bank of England expectations, contrasts with the franc’s resilience as a de
AUD/JPY - Bearish Rejection from Key Zone📉 AUD/JPY Analysis 📉
Price is currently testing a key structure level after rejecting the upper zone. If bearish pressure continues, we could see a potential drop toward the highlighted Key Zones below. 🚨
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 96.10 – 96.30
Support Zones: 97.40 / 97.25
⚠️ Watch how price
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