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Swing Trade Set UP A simple, Swing Trade Set UP. Often it is simple trade setup that make lots of money. This is one such set up. Here trend is captured with alignment of MA's . 3 MAs are plotted EMA-10, EAM-21 and SMA 50. To pick the trend, first condition is EMA-10 > EMA-21 > SMA 50. Second condition is price above all these MAs. In the chart it is marked wherever this occurred. Now to make entry you have to wait till the stock out performs the Index. It can be captured through plotting a indicator named RS or Relative strength. use Bench mark index as #NIFTY50 or #CNX500. You can see that there are areas where MAs aligned but RS was negative and trend failed. But when all these aligned price moved up nicely. You can exit the trade on deceive break of EMA 21 or SMA 50. Try this on many charts and lean the nuance before making actual trade.

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The Multitimeframe Bias method for enjoyable trend trading Unlock the power of Multitimeframe Bias trading! This approach aims to identify and trade with the prevailing trend and momentum by assessing the bias across different timeframes. By determining the alignment of various timeframes, you can anticipate potential rollovers and make more informed trading decisions. Fully aligned and integrated with SB Style trading, this method offers a mechanical system that prevents impulsive trades, ensuring a disciplined and strategic approach to the market. Learn how to leverage Multitimeframe Bias to enhance your trading strategy today!

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21:24

Top 5 Books Every Trader Should Have on Their Shelf Let’s face it: there is more to trading than blindly smashing the buy and sell button after you’ve picked up the latest buzz on Reddit’s messaging boards. What’s happening between your ears is just as important as what’s happening on your charts. And sometimes, it might as well help you make sense of it all. So, where do you start if you want to sharpen your edge? Books . Real, old-fashioned, mind-expanding books. The kind of reads that will school you in both the mechanics and mindset of trading. Forget the social media noise—we’re listing five books that will hand you the wisdom, strategies and mental toughness you need to not just survive but thrive in the seemingly chaotic world of markets. Let’s get into it. 📖 1. Reminiscences of a Stock Operator ✍️ by Edwin Lefèvre 🧐 What’s it about : This is the OG of trading books. A classic that was first published in 1923, it follows the life of the legendary trader Jesse Livermore, who made and lost millions more times than most traders have had profitable months. It's less of a step-by-step guide and more of a philosophical deep dive into what drives traders to win, lose, and repeat the cycle. 💡 What’s the takeaway : You’ll find yourself nodding along, thinking, “Yep, been there” every few chapters. And trust us, Livermore’s lessons on greed, fear and market timing are still as relevant today as they were a century ago. 📖 2. Trading in the Zone ✍️ by Mark Douglas 🧐 What’s it about : If there’s one book that will help you stop blowing up your account because you’re caught in emotional trades, this is it. Mark Douglas breaks down the psychological barriers traders face and teaches you how to think in probabilities. Spoiler alert: The market owes you nothing. Douglas teaches you how to embrace the uncertainty of trading and act probabilistically—playing the odds, not emotions. 💡 What’s the takeaway : If you're constantly getting blindsided by your feelings, there is a high probability that this book will snap you out of that spiral and teach you how to approach the market with a level head. 📖 3. Market Wizards ✍️ by Jack D. Schwager 🧐 What’s it about : Ever wish you could pick the brains of the world’s greatest traders? Jack Schwager did it for you. This book is essentially a collection of interviews with the top traders of the 80s (think Paul Tudor Jones, Bruce Kovner, and Richard Dennis). Schwager’s interviewing style makes it feel like you’re sitting in on private conversations, absorbing their secrets, strategies and market philosophies. 💡 What’s the takeaway : There’s no single “right way” to trade. Whether you're a scalper or a trend follower, you’ll find someone here who matches your vibe. Plus, these stories prove that anyone—from a college dropout to a former blackjack player—can conquer the market with the right mindset and persistence. 📖 4. Technical Analysis of Stock Trends ✍️ by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee 🧐 What’s it about : If you’re serious about technical analysis, this is the trading bible. Originally published in 1948, this book largely introduced the world to concepts like trend lines , support and resistance , head-and-shoulders patterns , and much more. Edwards and Magee laid the foundation for almost every technical analysis tool you see around today. 💡 What’s the takeaway : This gem will teach you how to recognize trend changes, continuation patterns, and reversal signals that can sharpen your trading entries and exits. 📖 5. The Alchemy of Finance ✍️ by George Soros 🧐 What’s it about : If you want to understand not only how to trade but also how the world of finance operates, this is the book. Written by one of the most successful (and controversial) investors and currency speculators of all time, George Soros, The Alchemy of Finance is part autobiography, part deep dive into Soros' legendary "reflexivity" theory. It's not just about looking at price action—it's about understanding how traders' perceptions affect markets, often driving them in irrational directions. 💡 What’s the takeaway : Soros teaches you to think bigger than charts and numbers—to anticipate shifts in market psychology and position yourself accordingly. Wrapping Up You can binge all the videos, tutorials and online courses you want, but nothing beats the distilled wisdom found in a great trading book. These five reads are the perfect balance of trading psychology, real-life stories, and technical analysis insights that will help you become a better, more knowledgeable trader. Bonus tip : if you start now, you’ve got a couple of months until Thanksgiving when you can brag about how many pages you read. 📚 Additional Picks for the Avid Trader If you’re hungry for more insight, we’ve got a few additional picks for you. Of course, they offer a wealth of knowledge from market titans and cautionary tales from the trading trenches: 📖 More Money Than God by Sebastian Mallaby A brilliant history of the hedge fund industry, revealing the strategies and personalities behind some of the greatest trades ever made—and showing you how the masters manage risk and opportunity. 📖 When Genius Failed by Roger Lowenstein A cautionary tale of Long-Term Capital Management, the "genius" hedge fund that imploded in spectacular fashion. Learn what happens when ego and leverage collide in the financial world. 📖 The Man Who Solved the Market by Gregory Zuckerman This is the story of Jim Simons and his secretive firm, Renaissance Technologies, which revolutionized trading with quantitative models. It’s a must-read for anyone intrigued by the world of algorithmic trading. 📖 Big Mistakes by Michael Batnick Everyone makes mistakes—especially traders. This book dives into the biggest blunders made by history’s top investors and traders, showing you that even the greats are human—and how to avoid repeating their costly errors. 📖 Confusion de Confusiones by Joseph de la Vega Originally written in 1688, this is one of the first books ever on trading (to many, the first ever), set during the time of the Dutch stock market bubble. It may be old but its lessons on speculation, greed and market psychology are as timeless as they come. 🙋‍♂️ What's your favorite book on trading and did it make our list? Comment below! 👇

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The Fair Value Gap (FVG)The term "fair value gap" is known by various names among price action traders, including imbalance, inefficiency, and liquidity void. But what do these imbalances mean? They arise when the forces of buying and selling exert considerable pressure, resulting in sharp and rapid price movements. On a chart, a Fair Value Gap appears as a three-candlestick pattern. In a bullish context, an FVG forms when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, the FVG is created when the bottom wick of the first candlestick fails to connect with the top wick of the third candlestick. The gap on the middle candlestick, created by the wicks of the first and third candlesticks, represents the Fair Value Gap. The concept of FVG trading is based on the idea that the market has a natural tendency to self-correct. These price discrepancies or inefficiencies are generally not sustainable over time, and the market often returns to these gaps before continuing in the same direction as the original impulsive move. What are the Types of Fair Value Gaps? 1. Bearish Fair Value Gap A bearish Fair Value Gap occurs when there is a space between the bottom wick of the first candlestick and the top wick of the third candlestick. This gap typically appears on the body of the middle candlestick, and the individual characteristics of each candlestick are not particularly important. What’s crucial in a bearish scenario is that the gap on the middle candlestick results from the wicks of the surrounding candlesticks not connecting. 2. Bullish Fair Value Gap A bullish Fair Value Gap occurs when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. In this case, the specific direction of each candlestick is not as important. What really matters is that there is a gap in the middle candlestick, where the wicks of the first and third candlesticks have not linked. 3. Inverse Fair Value Gap An Inverse Fair Value Gap is an FVG that has lost its validity in one direction but remains significant enough to influence price movement in the opposite direction. For example, a bullish FVG is deemed invalid if it fails to act as a demand zone. However, it then transforms into an inverse bearish FVG, which may serve as a supply zone capable of holding the price. 4. Implied Fair Value Gap The Implied Fair Value Gap is also a three-candlestick pattern, but it does not feature a gap on the middle candlestick, which is why it’s called an “implied FVG.” Instead, it consists of a larger middle candle flanked by two relatively long wicks from the first and third candles. The “gap” is defined by marking the midpoint of the wick of the first candlestick that touches the middle candle and the midpoint of the wick of the third candle that also touches the middle candle. These two midpoints create the gap. Here are some factors that can lead to the formation of fair value gaps: 1. Economic Data Releases Key economic data releases, such as changes in interest rates or unemployment statistics, can similarly create imbalances. If the data surprises the market, it can trigger a swift price movement in one direction, resulting in a gap. 2. Sudden News Events Unexpected news that significantly affects market sentiment can lead to a rapid increase in buying or selling activity, resulting in a gap as prices adjust to the new information. For instance, if a company unexpectedly reports strong earnings, its stock price may surge, creating a gap on the chart. 3. Market Openings or Closings Gaps may form during periods of low liquidity, such as at market openings or closings. With fewer market participants, even a small amount of buying or selling can cause a noticeable price jump that isn’t quickly countered. 4. Large Institutional Trades Significant trades by institutional investors can also lead to fair value gaps (FVGs). When a hedge fund or financial institution executes a large buy or sell order, it can overwhelm the existing order book, causing a rapid price shift and leaving a gap behind. 5. Weekend Gaps FVG's are often observed between the close on Friday and the open on Monday, reflecting news or events that occurred over the weekend. KEY POINTS TO KNOW - Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are powerful tools traders use to identify market imbalances and inefficiencies. - FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure leads to significant price movements, leaving behind gaps on price charts. - FVGs can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns. - Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.

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by TaylorDeMario

Unveiling the Nuances: Logarithmic vs. Linear Scales Technical analysis is a cornerstone for navigating the dynamic world of financial markets. A crucial element of this analysis is interpreting price movements depicted on charts. However, the way these movements are displayed can significantly impact your understanding. This article delves into the two primary price scaling methods employed in financial charts: linear and logarithmic. Linear Scale: A Straightforward Approach A linear scale presents price movements with an equal distance allocated to each absolute price change. This method offers a clear picture of price movements over time, particularly for short-term analysis. For instance, a $10 price increase from $100 to $110 would occupy the same chart space as a $10 price increase from $10,000 to $10,010. Benefits for Beginners: Linear scales are often easier to grasp for beginners as they provide a clear visualization of absolute price movements. Imagine tracking a stock price. A linear scale shows you exactly how much the price has moved in dollars, whether it's $10 from $100 or $10 from $1,000. Drawbacks for Volatile Assets: However, linear scales can distort the significance of percentage changes, particularly for volatile assets. A $10 increase might seem like a big deal for a low-priced stock, but barely a blip for a high-priced one. This is where logarithmic scales come in. Logarithmic Scale: Unveiling the Percentage Play A logarithmic scale prioritizes the relative change in price, depicting movements as a percentage of the current price. This approach offers a clearer picture of the effort (percentage change) behind each price movement. Think of a stock that jumps from $10 to $15. On a linear scale, this might appear insignificant. However, on a logarithmic scale, the significant percentage increase (50%) would be more visually apparent. Benefits for Long-Term Analysis: Logarithmic scales are generally preferred by experienced traders for long-term analysis. They emphasize the relative importance of price movements, especially for volatile assets like stocks and commodities. This allows for easier identification of significant percentage changes, regardless of the asset's current price. Drawbacks for Beginners: However, logarithmic scales can be less intuitive for beginners due to the compressed scale at lower price points. They might also be less suitable for short-term analysis where absolute price changes might hold more significance. Choosing the Right Tool The optimal choice depends on your trading goals and risk tolerance: Logarithmic Scale: For experienced traders focused on long-term analysis of percentage changes and volatility assessment in stocks and commodities. Linear Scale: A suitable starting point for beginners due to its straightforward nature. However, it's crucial to be aware of its limitations when interpreting percentage changes. The Straightforward Scale: Linear Think of a ruler. A linear scale on a stock chart works similarly. Each price change, regardless of how big or small in dollar amount, gets the same amount of space on the chart. This can be helpful for beginners because it clearly shows how much a stock's price has moved in dollars and cents. For example, if a stock price goes from $10 to $15, that $5 increase takes up the same space on the chart as a jump from $100 to $105. This makes it easy to see how much a stock's price has gone up or down in absolute terms. Benefits: Easy to understand, especially for beginners. Shows clear dollar-for-dollar price movements. Drawbacks: Can be misleading for percentage changes. A $5 jump might seem like a big deal for a low-priced stock, but barely a blip for a high-priced one. For example, a $5 increase for a $10 stock is a huge 50% jump, but for a $100 stock, it's only a 5% increase. Linear scales don't show this difference clearly. Zooming in on Percentages: Logarithmic Scale Imagine a special ruler that stretches out the vertical scale. This is kind of like a logarithmic scale. It focuses on how much the price is changing as a percentage, not just the raw dollar amount. This can be super helpful for spotting big swings, especially for stocks that have soared in price or taken a nosedive. Here's how it works: The space between $10 and $15 on the chart would be much bigger than the space between $100 and $105 because the first jump is a much steeper climb in percentage terms (50% vs. 5%). Conclusion Understanding linear and logarithmic scales empowers you to extract richer insights from financial charts. Experiment with both to determine which approach best aligns with your trading strategy and risk profile. Remember, effective technical analysis requires a combination of tools and knowledge. By mastering these scales, you'll be well on your way to unlocking the secrets hidden within those squiggly lines and navigating the ever-evolving financial landscape with greater confidence.

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Updated

Activate the alarm function when touching the set indicator Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- One of the good things about using TradingView charts is that you can use the alarm function. This alarm function has a limit on the number depending on the plan you use, so please check it out. I will take the time to explain the alarm function using my chart. It is hard, boring, and tedious to just look at the chart until you meet the desired trading point or criteria. If you do that, you may end up making a wrong trade or missing the trading period while doing something else. If you create an alarm and change the Value section to the HA-MS_BW indicator, multiple indicators will be displayed. The indicators currently activated on the chart are HA-Low, HA-High, BW, and M-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, so you can select BW or HA-Low, LH, LL and check if the alarm turns on when they cross. When looking at the 15m chart, since it is moving sideways in the box section of the HA-Low indicator, if you set it to LH, LL indicator, the alarm will come when you touch the upper or lower point of the box. Then, you can use it conveniently when you want to trade within the box section. If you want to trade in a large trend, I think it would be good to set the alarm to turn on when you touch the 5EMA on the 1D chart. Or, you can set the alarm to turn on when the OBV indicator breaks through the high (HH) or low (LL) line upward. If you are a paid member of TradingView, I highly recommend using the alarm function. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - Big picture The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K. The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------

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Use the SMA crossover as the trigger for direction change.Use this with SPY or SPX to identify direction. When the RSI crosses below the SMA you would initiate a buy Put option or initiate a Bear Call Credit Spread. If RSI Crosses above the SMA you would initiate a buy Call option or initiate a Bull Put Credit Spread. This is not financial advice it is what I do!

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Order Flow Trading Order Flow Trading What is Order Flow and Why is it Important? Order flow trading is the process of analyzing the real-time flow of buy and sell orders in the market. Unlike technical analysis, which relies on historical price data, order flow looks at the immediate actions of market participants—particularly large institutions—that directly influence price movements. This approach helps traders understand market liquidity, identify major buyers and sellers, and anticipate potential price reversals or continuations. Order flow trading is crucial because it offers insights into the market's real-time supply and demand dynamics. By seeing the actual transactions occurring at specific price levels, traders can gauge the strength of market participants and make more informed decisions. Essentially, order flow reflects where the money is moving in the market, making it a powerful tool for identifying key price levels and market trends. Tools for Analyzing Order Flow Several tools and platforms allow traders to monitor and analyze order flow. These tools provide a real-time view of market activity and reveal hidden information that can’t be seen through price charts alone. Here are the most popular tools for order flow analysis: 1. Depth of Market (DOM) The Depth of Market or DOM is a tool that displays the current buy and sell orders placed in the market at different price levels. It shows the number of contracts or shares that are waiting to be executed at various prices, allowing traders to see where large orders are sitting in the order book. Usage: Traders use DOM to identify areas of high liquidity, where many buy or sell orders are clustered. These areas often act as support or resistance levels, as large institutional players may defend these zones to prevent the price from moving beyond them. 2. Time & Sales The Time & Sales window (also called the tape) is a real-time list of executed trades. It shows the time, price, and volume of each trade, as well as whether the trade was executed at the bid or the ask price. Usage: By watching the tape, traders can see whether more trades are being executed at the bid (indicating selling pressure) or at the ask (indicating buying pressure). This helps in identifying whether market participants are aggressive buyers or sellers. 3. Footprint Charts Footprint charts combine price data with order flow information to show the volume traded at each price level. These charts are color-coded, making it easy to see where buying or selling is dominant. Unlike a regular candlestick chart, footprint charts offer more granular information about the balance of buy and sell orders. Usage: Traders use footprint charts to see whether volume is increasing or decreasing at key price levels. This helps them gauge the strength of a price move or spot potential reversals when high volume fails to push the price in a certain direction. 4. Volume Profile The Volume Profile is a tool that displays the amount of volume traded at different price levels over a specific period. It gives a clear picture of where most of the trading activity has occurred and highlights high-volume areas that could act as support or resistance. Usage: Traders use the volume profile to spot significant price levels where large institutional orders are likely to have been placed. These zones often indicate key levels for potential reversals or continuation of trends. Using Order Flow to Spot Large Buyers/Sellers and Market Direction Order flow provides a real-time view of market participants' intentions, especially large institutional traders. By identifying large buy and sell orders, traders can infer the likely direction of the market. 1. Spotting Large Buyers and Sellers Large Buy Orders: If the DOM shows a large number of buy orders stacked at a specific price level, this suggests strong buying interest. Large institutions may be accumulating positions, and the price is likely to bounce from this level if those orders get filled. Large Sell Orders: Conversely, large sell orders stacked at a price level indicate strong selling pressure. If these orders remain unfilled or new sell orders keep appearing, it could mean a price drop is likely, especially if the market struggles to break through this level. Time & Sales Activity: By watching the tape, traders can spot large individual trades, which often signal the activity of institutional players. These trades can serve as clues for potential market direction. For example, a series of large trades executed at the ask price may signal aggressive buying and a potential upward move. 2. Identifying Market Direction Buy or Sell Imbalances: If there’s a significant imbalance in the DOM between buy and sell orders, this can indicate the likely market direction. For example, if there are substantially more buy orders than sell orders, it could suggest bullish sentiment and the possibility of an upward move. Absorption and Rejection: If large buy or sell orders are continually placed at a specific level but are not being filled (absorbed by the market), it could signal that the price is likely to reverse. This is known as order absorption, where one side of the market (buyers or sellers) can no longer push the price higher or lower. Price Support and Resistance: Large orders at key price levels often act as temporary support or resistance. If the market fails to break through these levels despite multiple attempts, it could signal that a reversal is likely. Conversely, if the orders get consumed quickly, it might suggest that the price is ready to break out in the direction of the larger order flow. 3. Tracking Institutional Activity One of the primary advantages of order flow trading is its ability to reveal the actions of institutional players. By analyzing where large orders are placed and executed, retail traders can follow the "smart money." Institutions often hide their intentions by splitting large orders into smaller ones, but order flow analysis can help identify these patterns. Example: Suppose you see a significant number of buy orders at a specific price level over an extended period. This could indicate that a large institution is accumulating a position, and once these orders are filled, the price may move sharply upwards. Conclusion Order flow trading provides unique insights into real-time market activity, allowing traders to anticipate price movements with greater precision. By understanding the dynamics of large buy and sell orders, monitoring liquidity levels, and using tools like the DOM, Time & Sales, and footprint charts, traders can spot opportunities that are invisible on traditional price charts. Incorporating order flow into your trading strategy can give you a competitive edge by helping you align with the moves of larger market participants.

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3 Pro Tips for Managing Losing Trades,Risk, Emotions & Strategy Managing losing trades is an essential part of trading, whether you're involved in stocks, forex, or any other financial market, we have all heard traders say I haven't ever taken a loss before my strategy has 100% win rate blah blah ok really, even the best traders in the world take losses, as humans we naturally don't like to lose but in trading its a part of doing business. Here are three in-depth tips to help manage losing trades effectively: ### 1. ** Develop and Stick to a Risk Management Plan ** A risk management plan is your primary defence against significant losses. The key components include position sizing, setting stop-losses, and managing risk-reward ratios. - ** Position Sizing **: Always ensure that you're not risking too much of your capital on a single trade. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any given trade. This way, even if you hit a streak of losses, your account can recover. - ** Set Stop-Loss Orders **: A stop-loss is a predetermined point where you exit a trade to prevent further losses. This should be set based on your analysis and not emotions. Many traders use technical levels like support and resistance or a percentage-based rule (e.g., 2-5% below the entry price). However, it’s essential to place the stop at a level that aligns with market conditions, rather than placing it arbitrarily. - ** Risk-Reward Ratio **: Aim for a risk-reward ratio that makes sense in the long term (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3), meaning that for every dollar you risk, you aim to gain two or three. This ensures that even with a lower win rate, your winning trades can outweigh your losses. ### 2. ** Detach from Emotional Biases ** Emotions like fear, greed, and frustration can cloud judgment, leading to poor decision-making during losing trades. Psychological discipline is crucial to protect against these common pitfalls. - ** Avoid Chasing Losses **: After a losing trade, many traders try to "win back" what they lost quickly, often leading to overtrading or taking high-risk trades. This is called "revenge trading" and can exacerbate losses. Take a step back, assess the situation, and only enter new trades that meet your criteria. - ** Accept Losses as Part of the Process **: Losing trades are inevitable. Successful traders view losses as an expense or cost of doing business. They understand that even the best trading strategies have losing streaks. Accepting this reality helps you avoid emotionally driven decisions. - ** Maintain a Trading Journal **: Keeping track of both winning and losing trades can help you identify emotional patterns. Record why you took the trade, the results, and how you felt during the trade. This reflection can provide insight into emotional triggers and help you make more rational decisions in the future. ### 3. ** Adjust Your Strategy Based on Market Conditions ** Markets are dynamic and constantly changing. What works in one market environment may not work in another. Regularly review and adapt your trading strategy to current market conditions, particularly after losing trades. - ** Assess Trade Context **: After each losing trade, conduct a post-trade analysis. Did the trade fail due to poor market conditions, execution errors, or a flaw in your strategy? Recognising these patterns can help you tweak your approach and avoid repeating the same mistakes. - ** Diversify Your Strategy **: Relying too heavily on one trading approach or asset class can increase the likelihood of losses during unfavourable conditions. Consider diversifying your strategies (trend following, mean reversion, etc.) and the assets you trade. This spreads risk and can stabilise performance during market volatility. - ** Cut Losses Early When Conditions Change **: If the market conditions that supported your trade change significantly, don’t hesitate to exit the trade, even before hitting your stop-loss. For example, news events or shifts in sentiment can render your trade idea invalid. Being flexible and willing to exit early when your initial reasoning no longer holds is essential. By applying a robust risk management plan, controlling emotional biases, and regularly adapting your strategy to current market conditions, you can navigate and limit the damage of losing trades.

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What are Volume Candles and how to use them Volume Candles are a great chart type you can use to integrate volume analysis into your trading. TradingView is a superb platform that offers this chart type in real-time, so you can immediately get a completely different feel of what the market is actually doing. As an experienced trader, understanding volume candles is crucial in getting a deeper insight into market dynamics. Unlike standard candlestick charts, which focus primarily on price movement, volume candles combine price action with the strength of trading activity (volume). This offers a unique perspective that can give you an edge in reading market sentiment and momentum. What Are Volume Candles? Volume candles are modified candlestick charts where the width of the candle is proportional to the trading volume during the corresponding time period. The typical candlestick elements—open, high, low, and close prices—are still present, but the volume aspect adds an additional layer of information, enhancing the clarity of price action. Key Features of Volume Candles: Height: Represents price movement (just like in regular candlesticks). Width: Indicates the volume of trades within that period. Unique Information You Can Extract from Volume Candles: 1. Volume-Driven Price Action Volume candles show how much trading interest exists at various price levels. When you observe a large volume candle, it tells you that a lot of market participants were active at that price. Conversely, a thin candle signals lower activity. This helps you: A. Identify levels where strong participation occurs (institutional players what I call the puppet master). B. Spot consolidation zones where volume is low, which often precedes significant price moves. 2. Momentum Confirmation High-volume candles that align with price trends suggest strong momentum. Wide Bullish Candles: If you see a wide up candle during an uptrend, it indicates that the buying pressure is backed by solid volume. This gives more credibility to the uptrend and hints at a continued move upward. Wide Bearish Candles: Similarly, a wide down candle during a downtrend signals strong selling pressure. Volume Candle Chart can also be used for day trading purposes where you need to act FAST. This TradingView chart type is extremely good so you don't need to compare the traditional volume bars on the bottom of the chart. IMPORTANT: You must understand the puppet master mentality, which gives you context. *** EXTRA: You can use this theme color.

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What To Expect After The Fed rate Cut: 9-18-2024 (Fed Day)This video is really designed to teach you some basics about Fibonacci Price Theory (FPT) Analysis. I wanted to show you how I see the charts using FPT and why, sometimes, I might be seeing things differently than you do on the charts. In my world, there are simple constructs that are evident on every chart. Supply & Demand zones, trending/flagging, and most importantly Fibonacci Price Theory constructs. Fibonacci Price Theory is the basis of all my analysis. It is the ground-level structure I look for in price on all charts. Then, I move to more advanced indicators and other analysis types to develop a Success/Failure outcome (trend/trade expectation). What I do is not hard to understand - it just takes practice. Fibonacci & Gann techniques are infinitely adaptable to any type of price action. I use another technique I call the Tesla Price Amplitude Arcs which often help me identify where/when price events may happen - but that is for another video (maybe). Ultimately, it comes down to understanding the structure and intent of price action (either success or failure) and how to position your trades for that success or failure of any price event. There are really two types of traders: trend traders and counter-trend traders. Trend traders try to catch the explosive price moves as trend events. Counter-trend traders try to catch major reversal levels in price and try to profit from counter-trend price moves (reversals/reversions). Using FPT, you can learn to execute both type of trading styles and improve your ability to see the market trends/setups more clearly. I hope this video helps you learn to become a better trader and helps you understand my Plan Your Trade videos more clearly. At least you'll be able to understand how I see charts and what drives much of my thinking related to chart. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold

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Evening Star pattern The Evening Star pattern is a technical analysis tool that signals an upward price momentum's reversal to bearish momentum. The pattern rarely appears, but it is considered a reliable bearish indicator. The Morning Star pattern is also a trend-reversal pattern, which is bullish and gives a buying signal.

Education

by CTA_tradesmart

The "Head and Shoulders": Real success rates.Inverted Head and Shoulders: WATCH volumes when the neckline breaks!! Here is what we can say about the success rate of the inverted head and shoulders pattern in trading: -The inverted head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns to anticipate a bullish reversal. -According to some sources, the success rate of this pattern would be very high, with around 98% of cases resulting in a bullish exit. -More precisely, in 63% of cases, the price would reach the price target calculated from the pattern when the neckline is broken. -A pull-back (return to the neckline after the break) would occur in 45% of cases. -However, it should be noted that these very optimistic figures must be qualified. Other sources indicate more modest success rates, around 60%. -The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, neckline breakout, volumes, etc. A rigorous analysis is necessary. -It is recommended to use this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly. In conclusion, although the inverse head and shoulders pattern is considered a very reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60-70% than the 98% sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but must be used with caution and in addition to other analyses. __________________________________________________________________ Head and Shoulders: Here is what we can say about the success rate of the head and shoulders pattern in trading: -The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns, but its exact success rate is debated among technical analysts. Here are the key takeaways: - Some sources claim very high success rates, up to 93% or 96%. However, these figures are likely exaggerated and do not reflect the reality of trading. - In reality, the success rate is likely more modest. One cited study indicates that the price target is reached in about 60% of cases for a classic head and shoulders pattern. - It is important to note that the head and shoulders pattern is not an infallible pattern. Its presence alone is not enough to guarantee a trend reversal. - The reliability of the pattern depends on several factors such as respect for proportions, the breakout of the neckline, volumes, etc. Rigorous analysis is necessary. - Many experienced traders recommend using this pattern in addition to other indicators and analyses, rather than relying on it blindly. In conclusion, while the head and shoulders pattern is considered a reliable pattern, its actual success rate is probably closer to 60% than the 90%+ sometimes claimed. It remains a useful tool but should be used with caution and in conjunction with other analyses. _____________________________________________________________________________ NB: In comparison, the classic (bearish) head and shoulders pattern would have a slightly lower success rate, with around 60% of cases where the price target is reached.

Education

by Le-Loup-de-Zurich

Trading Near the Bells Part 2: The Close In this second part of our series, we shift focus from the market open to the close—the final hour of the trading session. The dynamics of the close are different from the open because the time to act is much shorter. Unlike the open, where you have the whole trading day ahead of you, the close compresses decisions into a much tighter window. This makes the strategies and the mindset for trading the close unique. In this section, we'll cover two core strategies for trading the close—one momentum-based and one focused on mean reversion. Whether you're riding the final burst of a trend or capitalising on an overextended market move, these setups can help you navigate this high-stakes period effectively. The Significance of the Close The final hour of trading—the "Power Hour" —is dominated by institutional traders and large funds rebalancing their portfolios, closing positions, or placing large end-of-day orders. Retail traders often close out positions as well, creating an environment where liquidity spikes and volatility increases. This surge in activity can lead to significant price swings, especially in individual stocks with strong intraday trends or overextended moves. What happens during this period can set the stage for the next day’s market action. If the close is strong, closing at or near the high of the day, it suggests that buyers were in control and may continue pushing prices higher the following day. Conversely, a weak close at the low could signal selling pressure carrying over into the next session. Two Key Strategies for Trading the Close We’ll explore two strategies tailored for this critical time frame. These setups are designed to take advantage of the distinct characteristics of the close: heightened volatility, fast price action, and end-of-day positioning. Strategy 1: Run into the Close (Momentum) The "Run into the Close" strategy tends to work well on days where the market has been trending strongly. This strategy takes advantage of the final surge in momentum as large traders and funds push prices even further in the direction of the trend. This is particularly effective if the market is breaking out from several days of price compression. The idea is to enter on a pullback in the final hour and ride the momentum into the close. Setup: • Look for an established trend during the trading session, with price ideally breaking out of multi-day consolidation. • Watch for a small pullback in the last hour, ideally to the 9-EMA on the 5-minute chart. • Wait for price to break back above the 9-EMA after the pullback. Entry: • Enter following the break back above the 9-EMA on the 5-minute candle chart. Stop-Loss: • Place your stop below the low of the pullback. Trade Management: • Use the 9-EMA for dynamic risk management—if price closes below it, consider exiting early. Target: • Hold the position until just before the close, capturing the final push of momentum. Example: The S&P 500 had been trending up all day, breaking out from a tight multi-day consolidation. During the last hour of trading, the market pulls back briefly, touches the 9-EMA, and then breaks back above it. This is your entry signal, allowing you to ride the trend into the final minutes of the session. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Strategy 2: Revert to VWAP (Mean Reversion) The "Revert to VWAP" strategy is a mean-reversion play that tends to work well when the market is overextended going into the last hour of trading. Often, prices can move too far from the day's volume-weighted average price (VWAP), and late in the session, there is a tendency for price to revert back toward it. This strategy uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought or oversold conditions and then waits for a break of recent swing highs or lows on a 5-minute chart to trigger the entry. Setup: • Look for an overextended market going into the final hour of trading. The price should be far away from VWAP. • Check RSI on a 5-minute chart for overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) conditions. • Wait for price to break above a recent swing high (for a reversal from oversold) or below a swing low (for a reversal from overbought). Entry: • Enter a long position if the price breaks above a swing high (from oversold conditions). • Enter a short position if the price breaks below a swing low (from overbought conditions). Stop-Loss: • Place your stop just below the recent swing low (for long positions) or above the recent swing high (for short positions). Target: • Target VWAP as the price reverts back toward the average. Example: As we approached the final hour of the day, the S&P 500 index had moved into an oversold position on the RSI when it tested a key level of swing support. This was followed by a break above a small swing high – triggering a move back towards the true average price for the day – VWAP. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Conclusion Whether you’re aiming to ride the trend with a "Run into the Close" or seeking to capitalise on an overextended market with a "Revert to VWAP" strategy, trading the final hour requires sharp execution and discipline. Even if you don’t trade the close directly, understanding how the market finishes the day can provide valuable insights for the next session. Watch how the price closes in relation to the day’s range, as this can set the tone for the following day’s market sentiment. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83.51% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Education

Market Analysis Techniques for Traders Market Analysis Techniques for Traders Navigating the financial markets demands a strong toolkit of analysis techniques. This comprehensive article introduces traders to key market analysis methods, ranging from fundamental and technical analysis to more specialised approaches like price action and quantitative methods. You can pair your learning with FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform to gain the deepest understanding of these techniques. There, you will find the price charts, drawing tools, and indicators necessary for many of these market analysis methods. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis involves the scrutiny of economic indicators, company financials, and geopolitical factors to assess an asset's intrinsic value. Economic indicators like GDP, employment rates, and interest rates offer a macroeconomic view, while company financials such as earnings, debt ratios, and future projections are microeconomic factors. Fundamental analysts also pay close attention to geopolitical events, like elections or trade wars, which can shift market sentiment. The strength of this approach lies in its thorough, long-term outlook, making it particularly useful for investors in equities and commodities. However, it is time-consuming and often requires a deep understanding of economic theory. For example, Warren Buffet's value-based approach leans heavily on fundamental analysis, emphasising the importance of understanding the intrinsic value of stocks. Technical Analysis Technical analysis diverges from the fundamental approach by focusing solely on past and current price movements and trading volumes. Traders employ various indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), to predict future price behaviour. Trend lines and support and resistance levels further supplement these indicators, offering visual aids for decision-making. A famous case is Paul Tudor Jones, who successfully predicted the 1987 market crash using technical indicators. He compared the market’s top in 1987 with the previous peak of 1929 and found notable similarities, demonstrating the power of learning technical analysis. The advantage of technical analysis in trading is its applicability across different time frames, from intraday to multi-year trends. However, it can sometimes give false signals, known as "whipsaws," leading to potential losses. Price Action Analysis Price action analysis, while related to technical analysis, is a more focused method that relies on the interpretation of raw price movements instead of using additional indicators. Traders primarily use chart patterns like head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and candlestick patterns such as bullish or bearish engulfing to make trading decisions. Like technical analysis, support and resistance levels are also crucial here. One of the advantages of price action analysis is its simplicity: no need for dozens of indicators. On the flip side, it can be subjective and open to interpretation, making it less straightforward for some traders. Munehisa Homma, a 17th-century Japanese rice trader, is often cited as an early pioneer of price action analysis. Utilising candlestick charts, he achieved great success and laid the foundation for modern technical analysis. Quantitative Methods Quantitative analysis employs mathematical and statistical models to evaluate financial assets and markets. Algorithmic trading, a method that automatically executes trades based on pre-set criteria, is a prime example of the use of quantitative techniques. Traders also use backtesting to validate the effectiveness of a trading strategy by applying it to historical data. The quantitative approach offers the benefit of speed and precision, but it also carries risks such as model overfitting, where a strategy works well on past data but fails in real-time trading. One notable firm that has achieved exceptional success through quantitative methods is Renaissance Technologies, a hedge fund that’s achieved annual returns of 30%+ through its sophisticated mathematical models. Sentiment Analysis Sentiment analysis focuses on gauging market psychology by monitoring news, social media, and sentiment indicators. It seeks to understand how collective emotions are driving market trends. Methods for sentiment analysis include text mining of news articles and tweets, as well as tracking investor sentiment indexes like the Fear & Greed Index. While sentiment analysis offers a real-time pulse of market psychology, it is also prone to rapid changes, making it less reliable for long-term trading decisions. Notably, traders during the GameStop short squeeze phenomenon in early 2021 relied on sentiment analysis from online forums, turning what seemed like an undervalued stock into a trading frenzy. Intermarket Analysis Intermarket analysis extends the analytical lens to the relationships between different asset classes, such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds. By identifying these correlations, traders can gain insights into how a movement in one market could influence another. The advantage of intermarket analysis is its holistic view of market dynamics, but it also requires a strong grasp of global economics. For instance, in the chart above, we can see the price of crude oil with the price of Exxon Mobil (XOM) and BP (BP) overlaid. There is a strong correlation between crude oil’s trend and the trend of these companies’ share prices. Traders could evaluate the bullishness or bearishness of crude oil to set a bias for XOM and BP’s future direction. Seasonal Analysis Seasonal analysis examines recurring patterns in markets, often influenced by factors like weather, holidays, and fiscal calendars. For example, retail stocks often rise before the holiday shopping season, and energy commodities can be influenced by demand for transport fuel in summer and heating fuel in winter. Tools like seasonal charts help traders identify these trends. However, a major challenge lies in the changing dynamics of markets, which may render some seasonal patterns less reliable over time. Investors who had historically profited from buying stock in winter and selling in summer found this strategy less effective in recent years due to evolving market conditions. The Bottom Line In summary, a well-rounded understanding of diverse market analysis techniques is key to trading success. Whether focused on long-term investments or intraday trades, incorporating these methods can substantially enhance your trading strategy. For those ready to apply these insights in a live trading environment, opening an FXOpen account can serve as the next logical step in your trading journey. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Education

What is Technical Analysis In Simple Words Technical Analysis is about study order flow the interpretation of transactions between buyers and seller's. Thanks

Education

00:31

The key to starting a trade is support and resistance points Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- As you study candles, you will learn about trend reversal sections. Therefore, rather than learning the shapes or patterns of candles, when you study them, you will be able to see the support and resistance points and sections made up of the selling area and trend reversal sections in a big picture. Therefore, rather than trying to memorize the shapes or arrangements of candles, it is important to see whether support and resistance points and sections are formed when such shapes, arrangements, and patterns appear. The same goes for other studies related to charts. - As you study candles, you will find that what you have studied appears in the sections where candles are gathered. These areas are drawn as horizontal lines to indicate support and resistance points. However, objective information is needed to conduct trading on the horizontal lines drawn like this. Otherwise, even the support and resistance points you drew will likely become useless lines if you conduct barrack trading because you don't trust them. Be careful because your psychological state will interfere with analyzing the chart. - The easiest way to obtain this objective information is the Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart. The Heikin Ashi chart and the Renko chart help you check the trend because they show fewer fakes and sweeps. (Heikin Ashi chart) (Renko chart) Among these, you can immediately see that the Renko chart is a bit easier to find support and resistance points. - You can think of the points near the end of the blocks on the Renko chart as having strong support and resistance points. Therefore, among the horizontal lines drawn on the chart above, the 2800.0 and 4000.0 points are the end points of three blocks, so they can be seen as strong support and resistance points. If you change the Renko chart to a regular candle chart, you can clearly see that it will form support and resistance points or sections. However, since the Renko chart changes the price in blocks, it is difficult to trade at this point. Therefore, the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart is good to use when analyzing the chart, but it is difficult to trade. - To compensate for this, we created a horizontal line at the price position using indicators (StochRSI, OBV, CCI, RSI) that have been used for a long time. The horizontal line connected to the current candle position plays the role of the current support and resistance point. And, since the longer the horizontal line, the stronger the support and resistance role, you can see that it plays the role of support and resistance even if it is not connected to the current candle. - The support and resistance points drawn on the Heikin Ashi chart or Renko chart are difficult to use for trading, but you can easily check the support and resistance section by looking at only the 1D chart. However, in order to display support and resistance points with a general candle chart, support and resistance points must be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. And, the order of charts with strong support and resistance is 1M > 1W > 1D charts. - When you look at the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts using the HA-MS indicator, horizontal lines like the above are displayed. You can display them by changing the line type or line thickness to make them easier to see and then proceed with trading. ---------------------------------------------------------------- The above content corresponds to the method of finding support and resistance points included in general chart-related books. Of course, it is different from the explanation in the chart-related book, but I explained how to use indicators to more clearly indicate support and resistance points. - Even if you trade with the support and resistance points above, it will not work well when you actually trade. This is because you are not familiar with the most important trading strategy in trading. In conclusion, the most important thing is to create a trading strategy, rather than finding the support and resistance points explained above, looking at the trend line, or looking at indicators. However, it is very difficult to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style from the beginning. So, you should practice creating a trading strategy that suits you while trading based on the information of the objective chart. In order to trade, you need to decide on the following three things: 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method The above three things must be determined. No. 1 and 2 are determined according to your investment style. Therefore, it is recommended not to change No. 1 and 2 after you start trading. 3. Based on the information of the actual chart, the buy section, sell section, and stop loss point are determined. In addition, the profit realization method can be determined according to the investment period. The profit realization method is: 1. How to get cash profit 2. How to increase the coin (token) corresponding to the profit There are methods 1 and 2 above. - In order to create a trading strategy, it is important to display all the information you want on the chart before starting the transaction. If you do not, and then display lines on the chart after starting the transaction, psychological factors will be added and displayed, so the possibility of not trusting the lines drawn after starting the transaction increases. To prevent this, it does not matter if you use the indicator added to the HA-MS indicator. The reason is because it is objective information. You should increase profits or reduce losses by adjusting the investment ratio while conducting the transaction using this objective information. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------

Education

Basic example of starting a trade Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This is an example of starting a trade, explaining that you should objectively define the basics that are right for you. Therefore, I hope that this will be an opportunity to reexamine your trading judgment criteria rather than judging it as right or wrong. ----------------------------------------- It is showing a downward trend without breaking through the sell line of the superTrend indicator. Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator (approximately 59953.52) on the 1W chart and rise above 60672.0-61099.25. If not, you should check whether it is supported near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart). Therefore, 1st: 59053.55 2nd: 57889.10 You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. - Usually, there are many cases where you trade impulsively based on your psychological state. To prevent this, it is good to have an objective trading method according to your investment style. This objectification is best done at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, it is good to trade based on whether it is supported near 59053.55 or 60720.0-61099.25. However, judging whether it is supported only by sight can lead to an incorrect judgment depending on psychological factors that occur during trading, so it is good to have objective information as the basis for judgment. It refers to indicators added to the chart as objective information. The MS-Signal indicator is used as a trend-related indicator, which is the M-Signal indicator of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. As a trading-related indicator, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and their corresponding box sections, superTend, and volume profile are used. As a trading-related reference auxiliary indicator, the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator are used. - If we explain the current movement by referring to these indicators, - The superTrend indicator, which is passing around 60672.0-61099.25, has failed to rise above the sell line, - It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, - The StochRSI indicator is showing a trend of changing from an upward to a downward slope in the overbought section. However, since the StochRSI indicator has not yet fallen from the overbought zone and is not in a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is difficult to see it as a downward turn. Therefore, an aggressive sell (SHORT) is possible between the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and the 60672.0-61099.25 range. Afterwards, when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and becomes a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, if it shows resistance near 59053.55 or the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, you can sell (SHORT). If it is supported at the point mentioned above, you can buy (LONG). However, it is recommended to check whether the state has been changed to StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. If not, it can pretend to rise and fall right away. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------

Education

Trend lines - how to build them and how to use them?Before we dive into the world of trend lines, I recommend familiarizing yourself with the support and resistance zone Here we go: Trend lines are one of the most universal tools for trading in any market, used in intraday, swing and position trading strategies. Properly drawn on charts, they help to predict the direction of price movement and identify trend reversals. In addition, trend lines help you to accurately determine the optimal entry and exit points, as well as set a stop loss. It is recommended not to rely on trend lines alone, but to integrate them with other methods of technical analysis, expanding your trading arsenal. Often many traders draw too many lines, it is uninformative and useless How to place trend lines on a chart? An uptrend is a combination of at least two pullbacks Similar in a downtrend: Instructions for markings: Find at least two points on the chart Connect them with a line But, let's remember the Axiom: 1. Randomness 2. Coincidence. 3. Regularity Until a trendline is pushed back a third time - it is considered unconfirmed... Once the third bounce has occurred, the line can be considered valid, but does not guarantee that it will necessarily bounce the fourth time! Like all patterns in the market, trend patterns can be drawn on any timeframe, also - they are more effective on older ones (as well as all others) How to use trend lines in your trading? Frequent trades from a trend line are rebound or breakout trades Example: Trendline confirmed (bounced three times) - on the fourth approach we can pay attention - what happens next? Price will either bounce from our trendline again or there will be a breakout Next example: How can we determine whether there will be a breakout or a bounce? As I said before, you need to take into account the context: indicators, price action, nearby levels and so on (it all depends on your psychology) How do trend lines fit together? Support and resistance levels are areas on a chart that indicate potential pressure (on a side) The same principle applies to trend lines. The only difference is that trend lines are sloped rather than horizontal. How to properly label/draw trend lines? Which trend lines are important and which ones should be ignored? Focus only on the major pivot points Connect at least two major pivot points. Adjust the slope of the line to get the most amount of price touching the line, whether it is the shadows of candles or their bodies. Important clarification - trend lines represent a support zone, not specific levels. How can you use trend lines? The trend is our friend. Where the trend goes, so goes we. Trading against the trend is foolish. If you do decide to do it, it must be justified! Trend lines are the direction of the current market. Also the trend line itself can be divided into two positions: If the trend becomes flatter, it means that the market is moving into a state of consolidation If the trend is becoming steeper, it means that the trend is getting stronger (or perhaps it is reaching its climax and is approaching its final stage). Trend Lines Entry Point: Like all other patterns in technical analysis or price action - trend lines can help you find a more favorable entry point in terms of risk-to-reward ratio How to use a trend line to identify a market reversal? Chances are you have encountered this before. There is a trend line breakout, you are already expecting a trend reversal, but the market continues its original movement Like all indicators/patterns - not a panacea. Each strategy has its own risks, just when we add other osnovnopologologayuschih signs to one strategy, the chance of risking a loss - decreases! Technique for determining a trend reversal: Wait for a trend breakout Wait for a lower low/maximum to form. If the price breaks the previous minimum/maximum, most likely the trend will go in the direction of the breakdown...

Education

by truepersonal

Updated

Chart Analysis: Establishing Trading Strategies --------------------------------- Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a good day today. ------------------------------------- When you start studying charts, the first thing you learn is about candles. However, you start studying about the Open, Close, High, and Low of candles. When you start studying about the Moving Average, you start to think that you understand the charts. However, when you actually start trading with the Moving Average, you realize that nothing works properly. So, you start studying other indicators. - The above is based on my experience. When you study various charts, you may think you know them, but when you actually start trading, you realize that they don't apply at all. Where on earth did I go wrong?... What I learned after a long time is that I was wrong from the very beginning. - In other words, I realized that my subsequent chart studies were not done properly because I lacked understanding of candles. When you start studying candles, you study candles of various shapes and patterns. At this time, you should not be too obsessed with the names of candle shapes or patterns or the conditions that occur and try to memorize them. It is important to read it repeatedly several times until you can grasp the concept of the arrangements formed by the combination of candle shapes or patterns, that is, the support and resistance points. Eventually, when the candle shapes or patterns are combined, you can find the volume profile section formed around it, that is, the section where trading volume occurs. By drawing and marking the support and resistance points you find in this way on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, you can create a trading strategy on the charts you mainly trade. That's all the experts in chart analysis say. In the end, everything is about looking at the combination of candles that make up the chart, finding the corresponding support and resistance points, and trading according to your trading strategy. A trading strategy is to create a response strategy at the corresponding support and resistance points based on the three things above: 1. Investment period 2. Investment size 3. Trading method and profit realization method However, since most books do not include trading strategies, you will only learn about the timing of trading and closing of trading using various indicators. Because of this, there are many cases where you cannot respond to the volatility that occurs after starting trading and end up losing money. Even so, it is difficult to specifically define the contents of trading strategies. This is because the investment period, investment size, and trading method are different depending on the individual's investment style. Therefore, what I can tell you is that you need to set the buy, sell, and stop loss points according to the support and resistance points obtained through chart analysis and wait for a while. Due to price volatility, you may not touch the buy, sell, and stop loss points or may move past them. You should learn how to create a trading strategy by modifying the way you respond to these things according to your investment style. - One important thing here is that you should mark the support and resistance points in advance through chart analysis before starting trading. Otherwise, if you start trading and then mark support and resistance points, psychological factors will come into play, which will likely lead to an unexpected transaction. Don't forget this, and you should practice marking support and resistance points in advance before starting a transaction. Also, you should avoid analyzing charts after listening to various articles, news, or community content. The reason is that psychological factors can come into play. - I think trading is a response to the movement of prices that fluctuate in real time. Therefore, waiting and determination are necessary. If you wait too long or do not make a decision and pass it by, there is a high possibility that you will suffer losses or make little profit, so you need something to refer to when waiting or making a decision. That is the support and resistance points I mentioned above. - However, support and resistance points alone do not solve everything. Therefore, you should add trend lines and various indicators to ask for a method of responding to price fluctuations. However, since the trend line is formed by a diagonal line, there is a lack of countermeasure strategies using the trend line. Therefore, the trend line is used to literally find out what the current trend is. - Therefore, when it deviates from the trend line, the movement at the support and resistance points is checked and the corresponding response is made. When trading with a chart consisting of the above two support and resistance points or only the trend line, there are often cases where the transaction cannot be properly conducted due to fakes or sweeps. Therefore, in order to counter these fakes or sweeps, various indicators are added to the chart. The most commonly used of these is the price moving average. Even if you add the price moving average, you realize that it is a curve, just like the trend line, and is therefore not suitable for countermeasure strategies. So, the price moving average is also used to check the trend, just like the trend line. - In that regard, the indicator I recommend is the StochRSI indicator. The default settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D). The value of the Signal line (EMA) of the StochRSI indicator is 7. If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying period. On the other hand, if the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a selling period. However, you should trade depending on whether there is support or resistance at the support and resistance points formed at that location. Even if there is movement in the StochRSI indicator, it is recommended not to trade if you do not have support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. The reason is that you may feel psychologically anxious, so there is a possibility that the trade will proceed incorrectly. - If you can trade with only what I mentioned above and make an average profit, it is because you have established a trading strategy according to your investment style. - We need objective information to establish a trading strategy according to your investment style. We think that this is the only way to minimize the psychological factors that arise when starting a trade. If you can add various indicators to the chart to obtain objective information and receive support and resistance point information according to them, you can create a trading strategy according to them at any time. To do this, we used the StochRSI, OBV, CCI, and RSI indicators to display support and resistance points on the price candle part. And, we added the StochRSI and BW indicators as auxiliary indicators. The StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is not the StochRSI indicator provided by default, but an indicator with a modified formula, so you can share the chart and use it or copy and paste the TS-BW UP indicator to your own chart and use it. There is no problem using the basic StochRSI indicator. However, there is a slight difference from what I said, so there may be a slight problem in understanding. - As above, since the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are drawn on the chart to create a trading strategy, my chart is very confusing and not easy to understand when you first look at it. And, since there are many indicators that I have not explained, it may be even more difficult to see the chart. Therefore, to resolve the difficult parts, share the chart, hide the indicators added to the chart, and activate them one by one while looking at them, and you will be able to understand the chart. If you share the chart, you can use it normally, so you can check the chart from various angles. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------

Education

Boost your trading with Naked Point of Controls Learn how to identify and use Naked Points of Control (nPOCs) in your trading sessions. This video explains the concept of nPOCs, their significance on the chart, and practical applications for thesis generation, entries, and trade management. Based on James Dalton's concepts from "Mind Over Markets," this strategy provides a strong edge for traders.

Education

12:30

Gold Trading Strategy: A Professional Approach to XAUUSD 👀 👉 This comprehensive video presents a sophisticated trading plan for the XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) market, designed to maximize profitability through a structured approach. We delve into crucial aspects of technical analysis and leverage TradingView's advanced tools to gain a competitive edge in the markets. Key topics covered include: 1. Trend identification and analysis 2. Entry and exit criteria 3. Market overextension assessment 4. Discount entry strategies aligned with institutional positioning 5. Higher timeframe trend analysis combined with 4-hour chart entry points 6. Price action and market structure interpretation Our methodology emphasizes the importance of avoiding premium entries in bullish markets and instead focuses on identifying optimal discount entry opportunities. By aligning our strategy with institutional movements, we aim to enhance the probability of successful trades. The video provides a detailed exploration of various technical analysis components, including: - Trend analysis techniques - Market structure interpretation - Price action patterns - Overextension indicators - Traded Volume indicators - Multi-timeframe analysis (higher timeframe trend combined with 4-hour chart entries) This comprehensive approach to XAUUSD trading is designed to equip traders with the tools and knowledge necessary to navigate the gold market effectively and potentially increase their trading success. Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making any investment decisions. Trade responsibly and use proper risk management techniques. 📉✅

Education

21:39

by fxtraderanthony

The “Fan Principle” is a powerful technique The “Fan Principle” is a powerful technique in trading, using trendlines to predict price movements. Highlights 📈 Powerful Technique: The Fan Principle is formidable in technical analysis. 📉 Identifying Points: Drawing trendlines from three key points. 🔴 Trading Signals: Buy or sell signals can be identified depending on the pattern. 📊 Practical Examples: Analyzing price movements on charts to illustrate the technique. 💰 Profit Opportunities: Strategies can result in significant gains, up to 22%. 🛑 Risk Management: Importance of placing stop-losses to protect investments. 🔍 Additional Resources: Detailed information and charts will be shared to deepen understanding. Key Insights 📈 Technique Effectiveness: The Fan Principle helps identify clear trends using reference points, making the strategy both simple and effective. 📉 Importance of Confirmation: Validating trendlines with a third point builds confidence in trading signals, increasing the chances of success. 🔴 Warning Signals: Sell or buy signals, as shown in the video, can lead to strategic decisions based on historical analysis. 📊 Visual Analysis: Visualizing data on charts helps understand market movements, which is essential for technical analysis. 💰 Profit Potential: Trades based on the Fan Principle can provide significant profit opportunities, highlighting its effectiveness. 🛑 Protection Strategies: Placing stop-losses above resistance points is crucial to limit losses in the event of adverse market movements. 🔍 Access to resources: The information shared in the description and on other platforms offers ways to deepen the understanding of the technique and improve trading skills. __________________________________________________________________ The fan principle in trading is a strategy that consists of opening several positions on the same asset at different price levels. Here are the main aspects of this approach: How it works The idea is to open several positions (or "lots") on the same financial asset at different price levels, thus forming a "fan" of positions. These positions are opened at points considered as potential market reversals. The objective is to let these positions unfold like a fan or to close them gradually according to the evolution of the market. Advantages Risk diversification: By entering the market at different levels, the trader reduces the impact of a single bad entry. Movement capture: This approach allows to take advantage of different phases of a price movement. Flexibility: The trader can adjust his strategy by closing some positions while keeping others open. Complementary Tools The fan principle can be combined with other technical analysis tools to improve its effectiveness: Fibonacci Fan: This tool automatically draws trendlines at key levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) that can serve as entry points for fan positions. Gann Angles: These lines, drawn at different angles (82.5°, 75°, 71.25°, etc.), can also help identify potential levels to open positions. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Some traders combine the fan principle with the RSI to confirm entry points. Important Considerations This strategy requires good risk management, as it involves opening multiple positions. It is crucial to set stop-loss and take-profit levels for each position in the range. Using this approach requires a thorough understanding of the market and significant trading experience.

Education

by Le-Loup-de-Zurich

Updated

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Select market data provided by ICE Data Services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.Copyright © 2025, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. SEC fillings and other documents provided by Quartr.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

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