Mastering Multiple Timeframe Trading StrategiesMastering Multiple Timeframe Trading Strategies
In the fast-paced world of trading, the ability to analyse and interpret multiple timeframes can be one of the advantages of a trader. In this FXOpen article, we will delve into the concept of multiple timeframes in trading and consider two multiple timeframe trading strategies based on it.
Understanding Multiple Timeframes
Multiple timeframes refer to the simultaneous analysis of price data across charts with different periods. This approach allows traders to gain a comprehensive view of the market's dynamics. The use of multiple timeframes is paramount in trading for several reasons. By analysing various time intervals, traders may:
- Properly analyse the overall market trend.
- Identify potential entry and exit points.
- Enhance risk management by assessing the broader context.
- Avoid being trapped by short-term market noise and false signals.
Selecting Timeframes
Trading on multiple timeframes usually means confirming signals on charts with two or three different periods. More intervals may confuse traders with excessive market noise.
Choosing the Primary Timeframe
The primary timeframe serves as the foundation of your trading strategy. It's essential to select a primary timeframe that resonates with your trading style and objectives. Here's why it matters:
Alignment with Trading Style: Your primary timeframe should align with your preferred trading style. For example, if you are a day trader looking for quick, short-term opportunities, a primary timeframe of 1-hour or 15-minute charts may be suitable. On the other hand, if you are a swing trader seeking more extended trends, daily or weekly charts might be your primary choice.
Clarity of Signals: The primary timeframe should provide clear and actionable signals. It's the timeframe where you identify key support and resistance levels, chart patterns, and trend directions. The primary timeframe is where you make your core trading decisions.
Selecting Secondary Timeframes
While the primary timeframe forms the core of your strategy, the secondary one complements and reinforces your analysis. These secondary timeframes offer additional perspectives and confirmation. Here's how you may choose one:
Alignment with Primary Timeframe: Secondary timeframes should align with your primary period. For instance, if your primary period is the daily chart, you may consider a secondary interval, such as 4-hour or 1-hour charts. The secondary timeframes should provide a more detailed view without straying too far from your primary analysis.
Confirmation and Entry Timing: Use secondary timeframes to confirm signals from your primary analysis. When the primary chart generates a potential trade signal, consult the secondary one to validate it. This additional confirmation may enhance the reliability of your decisions and help you time your entries more accurately.
Managing Risk: Secondary timeframes can also assist in managing risk. By assessing shorter periods, you can identify intraday fluctuations and adjust your stop-loss and take-profit levels accordingly.
Multiple Timeframe Trading Strategies
Below, you will find two trading strategies that use multiple time frames to trade.
Swing Trading Strategy with Multiple Timeframes
Timeframes Used:
- Primary: Daily Chart
- Secondary: 4-Hour Chart
Indicators and Tools:
- Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) - 14-period and 21-period
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) - 14-period
- Fibonacci Retracement Tool
Entry and Exit Points:
Entry Point (Long Trade):
When the daily chart shows an uptrend (a 14-period EMA above a 21-period EMA) and an RSI above 50, and the 4-hour chart reveals a pullback to a Fibonacci support level:
You may enter a long trade with a stop-loss just below the support level on the 4-hour chart.
You may set a take-profit target at a resistance level or when the 4-hour chart shows signs of a potential reversal.
Entry Point (Short Trade):
When the daily chart indicates a downtrend (a 14-period EMA below a 21-period EMA) and an RSI below 50, and the 4-hour chart exhibits a retracement to a Fibonacci resistance level:
You may enter a short trade with a stop-loss just above the resistance level on the 4-hour chart.
You may set a take-profit target at a support level or when the 4-hour chart reflects a potential reversal.
You may use trailing stop-loss to partially close your trade and lock in the returns that have already been reached.
On the chart above, the 14-day EMA broke below the 21-day EMA, while the RSI indicator was below 50. A trader could have considered this as a signal to open a short position.
When the trader switched the timeframe, they may have noticed that the price rebounded from the 23.6% Fibonacci level. This could be considered as an entry point. A stop-loss could have been placed above the closest Fibonacci level (38.2% in this case) to fulfil a standard risk/reward ratio. The take-profit target would depend on the trader’s trading approach.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis for Day Trading
Timeframes Used:
- Primary: 15-Minute Chart
- Secondary: 1-Hour Chart
Indicators and Tools:
- Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) - 9-period and 50-period
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) - 14-period
- Support and Resistance Levels
Entry and Exit Points:
Entry Point (Long Trade):
When the 15-minute chart shows an uptrend (a 9-period EMA above a 50-period EMA), the RSI indicates bullish momentum, and the 1-hour chart confirms a support level:
You may enter a long trade with a stop-loss just below the support level on the 15-minute chart.
You may set a take-profit target at a resistance level or when the 15-minute chart reflects a potential reversal.
Entry Point (Short Trade):
When the 15-minute chart indicates a downtrend (a 9-period EMA below a 50-period EMA), the RSI indicates bearish momentum, and the 1-hour chart confirms a resistance level:
You may enter a short trade with a stop-loss just above the resistance level on the 15-minute chart.
You may set a take-profit target at a support level or when the 15-minute chart reflects a potential reversal.
On the chart above, created on the TickTrader platform, a trader may have spotted conditions for a long trade (the 9-period EMA was above the 50-period EMA, and the RSI indicator was above 50).
Checking the hourly chart, they may have noticed that the conditions occurred when the price rebounded from the support level. Moreover, the RSI indicator broke above the 50 level, signalling potential upward movement.
A trader could have opened a long position with a stop-loss order below the most recent swing point.
Mistakes to Avoid
Trading on multiple timeframes may be a powerful approach to gaining a comprehensive overview of the market and making more informed trading decisions. However, it also introduces complexities that traders need to navigate carefully. Here are some common mistakes to avoid:
Neglecting the Primary Timeframe. One of the most significant mistakes is focusing too heavily on the secondary timeframe and neglecting the primary one. The primary one provides the overall trend direction and context, so it's essential not to lose sight of it.
Overcomplicating Analysis. Trading on multiple timeframes can become overwhelming if you overcomplicate your analysis. Using too many multi-timeframe indicators, tools, or charts can lead to analysis paralysis. Keep your approach simple and effective.
Ignoring Conflicting Signals. It's not uncommon for different periods to produce conflicting signals. Avoid the mistake of trading solely based on one chart without considering the broader context. Conflicting signals should prompt caution and further analysis.
Chasing Short-Term Trends. Day traders may sometimes fall into the trap of chasing short-term trends on very small periods. Avoid the mistake of becoming too focused on micro-trends without considering the bigger picture.
Overlooking Risk Management. Regardless of their trading approach, traders should use proper risk management. It's essential to set stop-loss and take-profit levels based on your analysis and risk tolerance for each trade.
Neglecting the Market Context. Trading solely based on technical analysis from multiple timeframes may lead to neglecting the broader market context. Be aware of significant economic events, news releases, or geopolitical factors that could impact the market.
Final Thoughts
Trading on multiple timeframes can be a potent tool when used correctly, but it also comes with its challenges. Avoiding the common mistakes and maintaining discipline in your analysis and execution may lead to more effective trading. If you want to test multi-timeframe trading strategies, open an FXOpen account now!
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
X-indicator
GOLD Trading: 8 Mistakes Traders MUST Avoid in a Bull Market
The unstoppable uptrend on Gold may cause irrational and very costly decisions . For the past 6 months, we've seen an unprecedented surge, with new highs being set almost daily.
In this article, we will discuss critical mistakes that traders often make in the midst of such a bullish run and explore the strategies to maximize your gains.
1. Technical Indicators Lie
Always remember that technical indicators that measure the momentum or strength of a market trend, that show the overbought and oversold conditions, fail miserably in strong bullish or bearish rallies.
I am talking about such indicators as Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving average convergence/divergence, Stochastic, etc. The fact that one of these indicators show overbought condition or even a bullish divergence most of the time will be a false signal.
Above is the example of an overbought RSI on Gold chart on a daily.
After the market became overbought, it went 1000 pips higher before the first pullback.
2. It is Never too High
When the market starts setting new all-time highs, people typically start saying that the price is already "too high" and start closing their long positions or even open short positions.
Remember, that the notion of too high is very subjective.
Look at a bullish rally on Gold in 2020.
I well remember that when the market updated a yearly high in April,
People start staying that it is already "too high".
However, the market kept rallying for 4 consequent months, constantly updating the highs.
Such a market behavior may persist for a significant period of time, be prepared for that.
3. Beware of Overconfidence
Even though bullish rallies may be long, always remember that they can not last forever.
At some moment, correction or even bearish reversal will occur.
For that reason, open long positions carefully, setting realistic targets.
4. Protect Your Gains and Maximize Your Profits
When the market is trading in the uncharted territory, it is almost impossible to predict where it will find the resistance. With a take profit level, you may close the trade too soon.
If you see that the market is driven by euphoria and keeps setting new all-time highs, remove take profit and apply a trailing stop instead.
Keep that below the recent supports, use ATR or some other classic technical tool.
That will help you to benefit from the entire rally.
5. DON'T SELL BULLISH RALLY
When the market is driven by greed, euphoria or fear, never go against the market. The chance that you will accurately predict the turning point is close to 0.
6. Beware of Lower Time Frame Bearish Patterns
In a strong bullish trend, classic bearish reversal pattern have low accuracy, especially on minutes time frames.
Look at a sequence of double tops on 15 minutes time frame.
These patterns are a great example of manipulations and how smart money induce retail traders to start shorting.
In a such a strong bullish trend, the only strategy to rely on is trend-following trading.
7. Do Not Rely On News
In times of strong bullish/bearish rallies,
the data in economic calendar and important news releases stop giving the reliable signals.
In times of bulls/bearish runs, emotions become the main driver of the markets, not the fundamental data.
8. If You Missed It, Let It Go
I can imagine, how terrible you may feel yourself if you did not manage to buy Gold on a good price. It's sad, and it is painful to watch how the market goes higher and higher without you.
But always remember a simple rule: if you missed the rally, let it go. With each new high that the market sets, your potential gains drop dramatically.
I hope that these tips will help you not get burned while Gold is on fire.
Stay calm and patient, and do not let your emotions intervene.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Brilliant Basics - Part 3: Harnessing the Power of Moving AveragWelcome to the third instalment of our Brilliant Basics series, where we help you achieve consistency and discipline in foundational concepts that create a platform for long-term success.
Today, we’re harnessing the power of moving averages. We will explore how to use them effectively and consistently to enhance your trading.
Moving Averages: Momentum Versus Mean Reversion
Moving averages are a beautifully simple and robust indicator that can be used to gauge a market’s level of momentum and its level of mean reversion.
Momentum: Simply by looking at where the price is in relation to a moving average, and the slope of the moving average can tell you a lot about a market’s momentum. Is the price above or below the moving average? How far away from the moving average is the price? Is the slope of the moving average rising or falling? These simple observations can be used to construct robust and objective rule sets for defining trade entries and trade exits.
Example: In the below example of the S&P 500’s daily candle chart, we can see that the 9-period exponential moving average (EMA) is sloping higher and moving away from the 21 EMA – signalling a market with strong momentum. However, the price is now quite far from both moving averages – indicating that the market could be vulnerable to profit-taking.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Mean Reversion: When a market is trending, it cycles from periods of momentum to mean reversion. Moving averages provide a dynamic benchmark for how far the price has pulled back from trend highs.
Example: Sticking with the same market as used in our momentum example, we can see that the market has cycled from its momentum phase to its mean reversion phase – pulling back towards the 21 EMA
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Selecting the Right Moving Averages for Your Trading Style
Different trading styles require different moving average settings to effectively capture market movements. Here’s how you can choose the right settings for your approach:
Position Trading: Daily Simple Moving Averages (SMA’s)
For position traders who hold trades for weeks or months, the 200 SMA and 50 SMA are essential tools. These moving averages provide a broad view of the market's direction and help identify long-term trends.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Swing Trading: Daily Exponential Moving Averages (EMA’s)
Swing traders, who typically hold trades for 2-5 days, benefit from the more responsive nature of EMAs. The 21 EMA and 9 EMA are popular choices, allowing traders to capture shorter-term price movements and react quickly to market changes.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Day Trading: 5-Minute EMA’s and VWAP
Day traders need even more sensitivity to price movements. Using 5-minute EMAs along with the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) provides an excellent framework for intraday trading. The VWAP, in particular, helps day traders identify the average price over a trading session, factoring in volume, which is crucial for short-term decision-making.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
3 Steps to Harness the Power of Moving Averages
1. Be Consistent: Use the same moving average settings consistently across your analyses. Consistency ensures that you build a reliable and repeatable process for making trading decisions.
2. Target Pullback Zones: Moving averages act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Target these zones for potential entry points in the direction of the trend. For example, in an uptrend, look for buying opportunities when the price pulls back to the moving average.
3. Combine with Price Patterns: Enhance the effectiveness of moving averages by combining them with price patterns. Patterns such as flags, pennants, and double bottoms can provide additional confirmation for trade entries and exits.
Example: In this swing trading example, notice how EUR/USD pulls back to the upward sloping moving averages. When price does this, the confluence of the moving average and a simple price pattern can provide a strong signal for entering a long trade.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Summary
Moving averages are an indispensable tool in a trader’s arsenal, offering insights into both momentum and mean reversion. By selecting the right moving averages for your trading style and consistently applying them, you can significantly enhance your analysis.
In our penultimate instalment, Part 4, we will delve into Multi-Timeframe Analysis , helping you understand how to align strategies across different timeframes for more robust trading decisions. Stay tuned!
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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My interpretation of the superTrend indicatorHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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I think the superTrend indicator is a good indicator for checking trends.
Also, when the superTrend indicator shows a horizontal line, it can act as support and resistance, so I think it is an even better indicator.
However, it is difficult to use it in trading by adding it to the chart.
Therefore, I think it is one of the indicators that is not used much when actually trading.
In my chart, it is used to construct the BW indicator, but this is the reason why it is not displayed near the actual price chart.
The superTrend indicator creates a buy line and a sell line.
When the buy line forms a horizontal line, it can be interpreted as a buying period if it shows support.
On the other hand, when the sell line forms a horizontal line, it can be interpreted as a selling period if it shows resistance.
However, when the buy line or sell line is created by breaking, it can be used as an opposite concept.
Therefore, when the buy line -> sell line changes, it should be interpreted as a loss-cutting period.
On the other hand, when the sell line -> buy line changes, it should be interpreted as an (aggressive) buying period.
Therefore, when the lines intersect, you should draw a separate horizontal line and create a response strategy.
As explained above, you can see that there are two ways to interpret the supperTrend indicator.
Therefore, you should look at how the buy line or sell line is created.
You should look at whether the buy line or sell line is connected by a line or created by intersecting each other, and create a response strategy accordingly.
It is also better to use the superTrend indicator with other indicators rather than using it alone.
In my chart, I recommend looking at it with the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts).
The reason is that the superTrend indicator is also a trend indicator.
If you use the MS-Signal indicator, you may wonder if you really need to use the superTrend indicator, but I think it is worth using because the superTrend indicator also has areas that play the role of support and resistance.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section that is expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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MTF WAVE indicator Case study on $ALICECase study for the MTF Wave showing all entries and phases in a clear way.
Make sure to compare the ideal MTF Wave concept with the actual MTF Wave indicator below the chart to compare the wave start, short and long entries, as well as different wave phases and how they correspond to Price action.
This one geared up while showing the perfect Fake Down (large gap between gray and blue) right at the support retest after initial breakout, followed by a 116% run so far!
Trading reversals with iFVG, swing tradeTrying to work out a strategy based on what is known as everything from an imbalance, to a single print, to a Fair Value Gap. When traders see these zones and the momentum doesn't carry on with the prevailing trend, these chart structures and patterns become great jump-off points for a reversal.
The challenge is set to a risk-reward of 1:2, there is a minimum of 25 pips SL. This video is all about trying to ensure you get the best entry and you don't waste time pushing through heavy traffic.
$GTC textbook MTF Stoch Wave reversal patternA clear example of a textbook MTF Stochastic Wave, see the example of that on the top right. Showed three distinct entries with Gray stoch curve tapping down each time while the gap between gray and blue kept getting bigger indicating a stronger fakeout each time and while Green was gearing upwards, indicating an impulse wave coming...
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VPart V - Deploying Success/Failure Techniques
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IVPart IV - Decision Making (A vs B)
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
High Correlation US S&P500 and Nifty 50Last 5 years if one adjusts for covid related correction. US and Indian Markets have given phenomenal returns. Looking at the 5-year chart, the correlation between the markets looks quite high. While US markets was a leading indicator in the beginning. but Nifty later on started giving leading indicator. One can argue that Nifty return is in INR while SPX return is in USD. If one looks at the USDINR exchange rate the CAGR would be around 3% in last 5 years.
While market surely looks heated up .. SPX supported by FAANG and now NVIDIA the rally is very concentrated... while NIFTY has seen sector rotation and broader participation across stocks and industries. The steam to rally another 10% to 15% is still there but risk reward is not going in Favour of being long. One should start trimming position and give away last 5 to 10% gain and focus on saving capital.
Trend lines are also lagging(?)Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I think trend lines are drawn to find out the trend that appears when candles are formed.
Therefore, since they are drawn after candles are formed, they can be called lagging.
However, since there is a characteristic of moving along a trend that has been formed unless there is a special issue, chart analysis is done by referring to trend lines.
To draw trend lines, you need to understand the arrangement of candles.
If not, there is a high possibility that it will be a meaningless line, so you need to study candles in advance to draw trend lines.
The point to use as a reference when drawing trend lines may vary depending on your investment style.
When drawing a trend line, I draw it according to the following rules.
1. Connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles corresponding to the high point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the blue line)
2. Connect the low point of the price candles corresponding to the low point of the StochRSI indicator (indicated by the light green (#00FF00) line)
The setting values of the StochRSI indicator are 3, 3, 14, 7 (K, D, RSI, Stoch).
However, the source value is the value of the Heikin-Ashi candle (Open + Close) / 2.
The difference can be confirmed by the StochRSI indicator and the Stoch RSI indicator of the TS - BW indicator on the chart.
1. Use the high point formed when the StochRSI indicator rises above 80,
2. Use the low point formed when the StochRSI indicator falls below 20.
Exclude any low or high points formed other than these.
The trend line connecting the low points can be connected by connecting the low points of the price candles.
However, the trend line connecting the high points must connect the opening price of the falling candle among the price candles, so when the price candle where the high point of the StochRSI indicator is formed is an upward candle, the opening price of the first falling candle among the right candles is specified and used.
Therefore, since there is a difference between the StochRSI indicator of the TS -BW indicator and the general StochRSI indicator, it is recommended to use the StochRSI indicator formula of the TS - BW indicator if possible.
When the StochRSI indicator entered the oversold zone and formed two low points, the trend line was not drawn by connecting the two low points.
Therefore, the trend line is drawn as shown on the chart.
Both the most recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2) are down, so it seems likely that a change in trend will occur.
However, since it is virtually impossible to know with just the trend line, it is recommended to comprehensively evaluate by adding auxiliary indicators.
Therefore, it is recommended to refer to the BW indicator, which displays MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and SuperTrend indicators.
If the BW indicator is rising from the 0 point, it means that the trend is rising.
On the contrary, if it is falling from the 0 point, it means that the trend is falling.
Since the BW indicator is currently above the 0 point, we can see that the trend is rising.
Therefore, when looking at the trend line and the BW indicator comprehensively, we can respond by selling when it falls from the recently drawn trend lines (1) and (2).
However, since the BW indicator is in an upward trend, it is recommended to respond with a split sell rather than a 100% sell.
It is still difficult to determine the timing of trading with the trend line alone.
Therefore, it is recommended to select the timing of trading by indicating the support and resistance points.
In that sense, it is a good idea to add HA-Low, HA-High indicators and use them to select the trading period.
Even if you do not use HA-Low, HA-High indicators, you should draw support and resistance lines according to the arrangement of candles on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and mark them on the chart to select the trading period.
The good thing about using indicators that indicate support and resistance points is that the support and resistance points do not change depending on your psychological state.
When you start trading, your psychological state may become unstable due to price volatility, and if you are in an unstable psychological state, you may draw a line incorrectly, which may result in an unreliable line.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IPart I
I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups.
Essentially, it comes down to three key components...
A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length).
B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low.
C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend.
Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated.
I go over multiple techniques in this video.
Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory
Anchor Bars (breakaway bars)
Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending
Stochastics
RSI
Wave formations (ZigZag)
and Others
This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style.
Hope you enjoy.
ORDER BLOCK AND FAIR VALUE GAP SMART MONEY CONCEPT**Order Block**:
An order block is a specific price area on a financial chart where institutional traders have placed large buy or sell orders. These areas often lead to significant price movements and are used by traders to identify potential zones of support or resistance. Order blocks represent clusters of orders from big players like banks or hedge funds, signaling where major buying or selling interest lies. When price revisits these zones, it often reacts strongly, making them valuable for predicting price reversals or continuations.
**Fair Value Gap**:
A fair value gap (FVG) is a price range on a chart where there is an imbalance between buyers and sellers, often created during periods of high volatility or news events. This gap typically occurs when the market moves so quickly that trades do not fully fill, leaving a visible gap on the chart. Traders use fair value gaps to anticipate potential price retracements to these levels, as the market tends to revisit and fill these gaps over time, aligning price with its perceived fair value.
Both concepts are crucial in technical analysis for identifying key price levels where significant market activity is likely to occur.
Divergence - asset price directionDivergence is the discrepancy between the direction of an asset's price and the readings of an indicator. There are three types of divergences: classical, extended, and hidden. The first two can be used to gauge market sentiment and to trade in the opposite direction. Hidden divergence, however, is more significant and can serve as a powerful supplementary factor in determining the price direction and opening positions.
The use of extended divergence is not necessary, as it rarely occurs and forms at equal highs or lows. In such cases, an indicator is not needed to gauge market sentiment; the chart itself will suffice.
Classical Divergence
Classical divergence indicates a potential trend reversal or the beginning of a correction. Bullish classical divergence is identified when a lower low (LL) forms on the chart while a higher low (HL) appears on the indicator.
The masses buy when classical bullish divergence appears, anticipating significant growth. An upward price movement may begin, but after short-term liquidity for buying is exhausted and the price rebalances, a reversal will occur, and the decline will continue. Long positions opened during the correction will become unprofitable. In a bear market, classical bullish divergence typically appears before the start of a correction.
Bearish classical divergence is identified when a higher high (HH) forms on the chart while a lower high (LH) appears on the indicator.
The masses sell when classical bearish divergence appears, expecting a significant decline. A downward price movement may begin, but after short-term liquidity for selling is exhausted and the price rebalances, a reversal will occur, and the growth will continue. Short positions opened during the correction will become unprofitable. In a bull market, classical bearish divergence typically appears before the start of a correction.
The formation of multiple divergences is common. The masses will seize every opportunity to open their positions, leading to unprofitable outcomes. The number of divergences before the start of a correction is not limited. It is recommended to wait for the price to react after reaching the resistance zone. In the example above, the correction began after partially filling the imbalance on the 1D timeframe within the imbalance on the 1W timeframe.
Hidden Divergence
Hidden divergence serves as a confirmation of trend continuation.
Bullish hidden divergence is identified when a higher low (HL) forms on the chart and a lower low (LL) appears on the indicator.
In an uptrend, hidden bullish divergence may form before the continuation of growth, acting as a strong supplementary factor in determining the future price direction and considering positions.
Bearish hidden divergence is identified when a lower high (LH) forms on the chart and a higher high (HH) appears on the indicator.
In a downtrend, hidden bearish divergence may form before the continuation of the decline, acting as a strong supplementary factor in determining the future price direction and considering positions.
Notes
- The RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator is used to identify divergences.
- RSI is plotted without considering candle shadows.
- Divergence should be viewed as an additional factor to your analysis, not a standalone tool.
- Divergence below the chart will always be bullish, while divergence above the chart will always be bearish.
MARKET STRUCT USING ICT CONCEPTThe Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept in trading, developed by Michael J. Huddleston, offers a comprehensive approach to understanding and navigating market structure. ICT emphasizes the importance of market structure, which refers to the organization and arrangement of various market components, such as support and resistance levels, trends, and price patterns. This approach involves identifying key levels where institutional investors might be placing orders, understanding liquidity pools, and recognizing the behavior of smart money. By focusing on these elements, traders can better predict market movements, identify high-probability trade setups, and manage risks effectively. The ICT methodology combines technical analysis with a deep understanding of market dynamics to provide traders with a robust framework for making informed trading decisions.
HIGH + LOW RESISTANCE LIQUIDITYHIGH + LOW RESISTANCE LIQUIDITY
LOW RESISTANCE LQ
1. No liquidity
Available SSLQ generated at weak low = low ressistance LQ
2. Price is more likely to pullbakc to the nearest POI
3. High resistance LQ left at new strong high
4. Price will move impulsively past low resistance lows to target availabe weak low
HIGH RESISTANCE LQ
1. Strong liquidity
Signals potential institutional backing leaves high resistanve LQ
2. Often price will then pull bakc much deeper or protentially reverse
3. The end of the pullback often forms through a liquiditytion, leaving high resistance LQ at what he becomes the new strong / protected high
4. Price meets some resistance at the sweep zone to the left rather than smashigh straight through the weak lows when there's low resistance lQ
New Product Launch: How to Use TradingView OptionsWe’ve rolled out our newest product and we’re eager to brag about it! It’s an options platform — TradingView Options. More precisely, it’s a powerful set of tools for options traders who want to keep a close eye on every little detail and fine-tune their strategy to perfection.
What Are Options?
Options are financial derivatives that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a set price within a set period.
TradingView Options
TradingView Options is designed to illuminate your options trading strategy from the first step to the last one. Get razor-sharp options strategies on gold futures ( COMEX-GC1! ), oil futures ( NYMEX-CL1! ), and many more.
Let’s break it down and discuss what it's about. For starters, you’ve got three key components — Strategy Builder, Options Chain, and Volatility Analysis.
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Create, test and visualize options strategies with real-time data.
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Options chains are broken down into two sections — calls and puts.
Strike price is displayed in the center column — it’s where the put or call can be exercised.
Next to Strike is IV, %, which stands for Implied Volatility in percentages.
Measure options risk with the Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, and Rho.
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Analyze market volatility to understand potential price movements and risks.
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Currently, TradingView Options supports options contracts from major exchanges including CME and its subsidiaries NYMEX, COMEX, and CBOT, alongside NSE , and BSE .
Conclusion
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Are you an options trader? What’s your trading style? Let us know in the comments!
Tutorial TOP DOWN Entry/ Exits DKLs ...Good morning,
I took the time to show you my analysis and how I work.
- Top Down D1 to H1
- Intraday through scalping
- DKLs / HKLs
- Important Zones
- Zone to Zone
- Specific asset volatility
- Entries
- Stop Losses and Exits
Hope you like it so far and could catch some pips. Let me know in the comments below.
Order typesIn the past, a person would typically have to go to the brokerage or another financial entity to buy or sell a security. The trade would be then settled through a personal meeting or, as technology progressed, over the phone. Nonetheless, the implementation of modern technology within the financial markets of the 21st century made placing buy and sell orders as easy as a few mouse button clicks. Nowadays, many trading platforms allow their clients to execute various types of orders beyond ordinary buy and sell orders.
Key takeaways:
Using limit orders is generally considered one of the safest ways to buy or sell a security.
Modern technology allows placing buy and sell orders with a few mouse clicks.
A stop-loss and stop-limit orders are used to protect an investor’s capital.
A trailing stop locks in some of the accrued profits.
Quick trade orders get instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button.
Limit order
A buy limit order is used to buy a security at a specified price. This type of order is executed automatically in a case when the price of a security is lower than the value of the buy limit order. A sell limit order is used to sell a security at a specified price. It gets automatically filled when the price of a security is higher than the value of the sell limit order. This design occasionally allows for the execution of the buy limit order or the sell limit order at a better price. Generally, limit orders are one of the safest ways to purchase or sell a security.
Quick-trade order
Some trading platforms allow the use of quick-trade orders. A quick-trade order is a type of order that is instantly filled by a single or double click on a bid or ask button in a trading platform. These orders are relatively safe to use. However, filling this type of order in highly volatile markets might be difficult due to a quickly changing price.
Market order
When traders choose to use a market order, they let the market set the price of security. In essence, this means that for a buy market order, a trade execution occurs at the nearest ask. For a sell market order, a trade execution takes place at the nearest bid. The use of the market order is less safe in comparison to limit order because it allows for worse filling of orders in illiquid markets and markets dominated by algorithmic trading. However, some platforms offer their clients the option to choose the tolerance threshold for such trade orders.
Good ‘Til Canceled order (GTC)
This type of order remains active until it is filled or canceled.
Stop-loss and stop-limit orders
A stop-loss order sells a position at a market price if it reaches or passes a specified price. Unlike a stop-loss order, a stop-limit order liquidates a position only at a specified or better price. These types of orders are used to protect investor’s capital before depreciation.
Trailing stop order
A trailing stop order trails the price as it moves in the trader’s favor. For a long position, a trailing stop moves higher with the price but stays unchanged when the price falls. Similarly, for a short position, a trailing stop moves lower with the price but remains unchanged when the price rises. The intent of a trailing stop is to lock in some of the accrued profits.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
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HOW TO TRADE CHOCH IN FOREX - SMART MONEY TRADERThe "Change of Character" (ChoCh) is a trading concept used to identify potential trend reversals in financial markets. It signifies a shift in market sentiment, such as from bullish to bearish or vice versa.
### Key Elements of ChoCh:
1. **Trend Breaks**: ChoCh occurs when a price trend fails to continue, such as not making a new lower low in a downtrend or a new higher high in an uptrend.
2. **Volume Spikes**: An unusual increase in trading volume accompanying a price movement can indicate a ChoCh.
3. **Candlestick Patterns**: Patterns like engulfing or doji candles can signal a shift in market sentiment.
### Trading Strategy:
1. **Identify Points of Interest (POIs)**: Use higher time frames to find significant levels like order blocks or support/resistance areas.
2. **Analyze Lower Time Frames**: Look for changes in trend around these POIs, using signs like price failing to break previous highs/lows.
3. **Entry Points**: Enter trades aggressively after a ChoCh is identified or conservatively after a return to the fair value gap created during the ChoCh.
4. **Stop-Loss and Take-Profit**: Set stop-loss orders just beyond reversal points and take-profit targets at next significant levels or using a fixed risk-reward ratio.
5. **Confirmation**: Use additional indicators like RSI or Moving Averages to confirm ChoCh signals.
ChoCh helps traders anticipate market reversals and make informed trading decisions across various markets, including forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies.