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JohnKicklighter JohnKicklighter PRO UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: Timing the First Rate Hike on the Fed's 'Dual Mandate'
861 5 12
UNRATE, D
Timing the First Rate Hike on the Fed's 'Dual Mandate'

The Fed's rate hike timing is 'data dependent'. Few data points are as comprehensive and influential for determining monetary policy than the BLS's monthly labor statistics. The unemployment rate is good for the employment element of the mandate, but there is also an inflation gauge: wage growth. Will this data offer enough of a push to shift interest rate ...

stockspy stockspy PRO UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: $SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.
10 0 4
UNRATE, D
$SPX $SPY Unemployment and continued claims bottoming out.

So we going to keep that bottomed out for next 4 straight years?

tmp_cox tmp_cox UEMPMEAN, D,
UEMPMEAN: Predicted financial 'crisis(?)'
90 0 8
UEMPMEAN, D
Predicted financial 'crisis(?)'

I based my opinion for 2017-2018 on macroeconomic statistics/ indicators deserved from the FED In this chart you can find the following indicators: - Average (mean) duration of unemployment - Velocity of M2 stock (included trendline) - S&P500 (included trendline) I have searched for opposite movements in the statistics/ indicators

Roll-The-Bones Roll-The-Bones PRO UNRATE, M, Short ,
UNRATE: Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.
127 0 2
UNRATE, M Short
Expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

When unemployment rate crosses 12 month ma signals long term trend change in SP500. Rate just crossed to upside, expect multi year SP500 down trend to begin.

gurple gurple PRO UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: WARNING: Beware of Recession
106 0 1
UNRATE, M
WARNING: Beware of Recession

Whenever the unemployment rate has crossed above the 12 month moving average, almost always a recession has soon followed. Here we are now.

Streetsurfer Streetsurfer UNRATE, D,
UNRATE: 12 month 3 month Unemployment Cross
34 0 0
UNRATE, D
12 month 3 month Unemployment Cross

12 month 3 month unemployment cross

CassidyChalhoub CassidyChalhoub FRED/UNRATE, M,
FRED/UNRATE: UNEMPLOYMENT VS ROC INDUSTRIALS VS ISM W/ NBER INDICATORS
31 0 1
FRED/UNRATE, M
UNEMPLOYMENT VS ROC INDUSTRIALS VS ISM W/ NBER INDICATORS

Historically, a cross over 5.5% unemployment, negative MoM % US Industrial Production, and the cross over of a 49.8 PMI renders a 97.1% probability of recession

J_Sims J_Sims UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: MACD and StochRSI accurately predict unemployment rates
57 0 6
UNRATE, M
MACD and StochRSI accurately predict unemployment rates

Next month's unemployment rate will determine if the MACD crosses and if we could potentially enter into a recession

BTCMarket BTCMarket UNRATE, 3M,
UNRATE: Chart Identifying When A Recession Starts
315 0 21
UNRATE, 3M
Chart Identifying When A Recession Starts

When the 3 Month Unemployment Average Goes Above The 3 Year Moving Average A Recession Is In Progress. The chart above shows every recession from 1953 to 2008 and shows when the moving average occurrence takes place it's a recession.

Killy_Mel Killy_Mel FRED/LNS12032194, W, Short ,
FRED/LNS12032194: DATA VIEW: DETAILED UNEMPLOYMENT MEASURES UPDATE
26 0 2
FRED/LNS12032194, W Short
DATA VIEW: DETAILED UNEMPLOYMENT MEASURES UPDATE

Detailed unemployment measures (part-time employment and long term unemployed) continue to trend down within their relevant descending ranges, however did not yet restore - unlike headline indicators (such as Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate), confirming the Fed's words regarding still weak employment market. If the indicators stay within their relevant ...

Koi_Capital Koi_Capital PRO UNRATE, M,
UNRATE: Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!
180 1 8
UNRATE, M
Unemployment Prediction Model with Scary Accuracy!

This RSI-MA Model Predicts Unemployment Rate With Scary Accuracy! Although high unemployment usually occurs during economic recessions, it doesn't always mean that equity valuations would drop, nor does rising unemployment always mean recession. On the monthly chart of the official national unemployment rate: Unemployment Momentum Rising = MA6(RSI3) cross>50 ...

charttrader charttrader PRO UNRATE, D, Short ,
UNRATE: UNEMPLOYMENT RATE NOW WITHIN TOUCHING DISTANCE OF NAIRU ESTIMATE
123 3 13
UNRATE, D Short
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE NOW WITHIN TOUCHING DISTANCE OF NAIRU ESTIMATE

October was the ninth consecutive month where the headline payrolls figure came in above 200k, rendering this year’s January to October period the strongest in fifteen years. The US NAIRU may be 5.2% or it may be 5.7%. But wherever it lies, the actual unemployment rate is moving swiftly towards it. Friday’s Employment Situation Report showed that the US economy ...

khboker khboker UNRATE, M, Long ,
UNRATE: unemployment vs Spy
96 0 3
UNRATE, M Long
unemployment vs Spy

Just an interesting chart

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